Cr Pr 2-4 (3-05) Prospective Plantings National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released March 31, 2005, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Prospective Plantings call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Corn Planted Acreage Up 1 Percent from 2004 Soybean Acreage Down 2 Percent All Wheat Acreage Down 2 Percent All Cotton Acreage Up 1 Percent Corn planted area for all purposes is estimated at 81.4 million acres, up 1 percent from 2004 and 4 percent above 2003. If realized, this would be largest corn acreage since 1985. Expected acreage is up from last year throughout much of the Corn Belt and southern Great Plains. However, growers in most States in the Delta, Southeast, and northern Great Plains intend to decrease their corn acreage as producers are switching to other more profitable crops due to low corn prices and high fuel and fertilizer costs. Soybean producers intend to plant 73.9 million acres in 2005, down 2 percent from last year's record high acreage. Of the 31 soybean producing States, growers in 16 States intend to plant fewer acres this year, while producers in 11 States intend to plant more acres than in 2004. The largest acreage declines are in the Dakotas, where low soybean prices have some farmers shifting to other crops. Large declines in soybean acreage are also expected in the Delta and Southeast States. Due to the discovery of Asian soybean rust in the U.S., questions were asked of farmers in soybean producing States about their awareness of the disease and how it has affected their planting decisions. For detailed results of this effort, see pages 20 - 23 of this report. All wheat planted area is expected to total 58.6 million acres in 2005, down 2 percent from 2004. If realized, this would be the lowest planted acreage since 1972. Winter wheat planted area for the 2005 crop is 41.6 million acres, down 4 percent from 2004. Of the total, about 30.5 million acres are Hard Red Winter, 6.6 million acres are Soft Red Winter, and 4.5 million acres are White Winter. The 2005 other spring wheat planted acreage is estimated at 14.4 million, up 4 percent from last year. Of the total, about 13.7 million acres are Hard Red Spring wheat. Area planted to Durum wheat is intended to total 2.61 million acres, up 2 percent from the previous year. All cotton plantings for 2005 are expected to total 13.8 million acres, 1 percent above last year. Upland acreage is expected to total 13.5 million acres, also up 1 percent. Producers in Arizona, California, Florida, Georgia, Kansas, and Texas intend to decrease acreage from last year. Growers in all other cotton producing States intend to increase planted acreage. American-Pima cotton growers intend to increase their plantings 10 percent from 2004, to 275,000 acres. The increase is primarily in California, where producers are intending to plant 25,000 more Pima acres than last year. This report was approved on March 31, 2005. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Mary Kirtley Waters Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Contents Page Grains & Hay Barley. . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Corn. . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Hay . . . . . . . . . . . . .12 Oats. . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Rice. . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Sorghum . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Wheat, All. . . . . . . . . . 8 Wheat, Durum. . . . . . . . .10 Wheat, Other Spring . . . . .10 Wheat, Winter . . . . . . . . 9 Oilseeds Canola. . . . . . . . . . . .14 Flaxseed. . . . . . . . . . .12 Peanuts . . . . . . . . . . .13 Soybeans. . . . . . . . . . .13 Asian Rust Awareness by State 20 Asian Rust's Impact on Planting Intentions by State and Region . . . . . . . . . . . . .21 Asian Rust Awareness by Intended Planted Acreage and Region22 Asian Rust's Impact on Planting Intentions by Intended Planted Acreage and Region . . .23 Sunflower . . . . . . . . . .14 Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops Cotton. . . . . . . . . . . .15 Sugarbeets. . . . . . . . . .16 Tobacco . . . . . . . . . . .16 Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils Dry Edible Beans. . . . . . .19 Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops Sweet Potatoes. . . . . . . .19 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . .29 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . .24 Information Contacts . . . . . .36 Reliability of Acreage Data in this Report34 Weather Summary. . . . . . . . .28 Corn: Area Planted by State and United States, 2003-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 1/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 Acres ------------- Percent : AL : 220 220 215 98 AZ : 47 53 60 113 AR : 365 320 260 81 CA : 530 540 560 104 CO : 1,080 1,200 1,200 100 CT : 30 31 32 103 DE : 170 160 160 100 FL : 75 70 65 93 GA : 340 335 270 81 ID : 190 230 240 104 IL : 11,200 11,750 12,000 102 IN : 5,600 5,700 5,800 102 IA : 12,300 12,700 12,800 101 KS : 2,900 3,100 3,400 110 KY : 1,170 1,210 1,290 107 LA : 520 420 390 93 ME : 28 28 28 100 MD : 480 490 460 94 MA : 20 20 20 100 MI : 2,250 2,200 2,150 98 MN : 7,200 7,500 7,500 100 MS : 550 460 400 87 MO : 2,900 2,950 3,100 105 MT : 68 70 71 101 NE : 8,100 8,250 8,400 102 NV : 4 4 3 75 NH : 15 15 14 93 NJ : 80 86 78 91 NM : 130 125 120 96 NY : 1,000 980 1,000 102 NC : 740 820 790 96 ND : 1,450 1,800 1,500 83 OH : 3,300 3,350 3,400 101 OK : 230 250 270 108 OR : 51 58 50 86 PA : 1,450 1,400 1,350 96 RI : 2 2 2 100 SC : 240 315 330 105 SD : 4,400 4,650 4,400 95 TN : 710 680 690 101 TX : 1,830 1,830 1,950 107 UT : 55 55 50 91 VT : 100 95 90 95 VA : 470 500 470 94 WA : 130 170 150 88 WV : 48 48 50 104 WI : 3,750 3,600 3,700 103 WY : 85 90 85 94 : US : 78,603 80,930 81,413 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2005 as indicated by reports from farmers. Sorghum: Area Planted by State and United States, 2003-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 1/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 Acres ------------- Percent : AL : 10 10 5 50 AZ : 17 20 18 90 AR : 225 60 90 150 CA : 18 28 26 93 CO : 270 280 260 93 DE 2/ : 2 2 GA : 55 45 55 122 IL : 110 85 130 153 KS : 3,550 3,200 2,900 91 KY : 33 15 22 147 LA : 170 85 100 118 MD 2/ : 6 5 MS : 75 20 30 150 MO : 215 150 150 100 NE : 660 550 390 71 NM : 140 140 140 100 NC : 18 17 17 100 OK : 300 270 280 104 PA : 15 12 13 108 SC : 7 7 9 129 SD : 270 250 250 100 TN : 45 20 15 75 TX : 3,200 2,210 2,500 113 VA 2/ : 9 5 : US : 9,420 7,486 7,400 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2005 as indicated by reports from farmers. 2/ Estimates discontinued in 2005. Oats: Area Planted by State and United States, 2003-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 2/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 Acres ------------- Percent : AL 3/ : 50 CA : 260 240 250 104 CO : 100 75 75 100 GA : 100 90 100 111 ID : 120 90 90 100 IL : 60 55 50 91 IN : 25 25 20 80 IA : 220 220 240 109 KS : 140 120 110 92 ME : 27 34 32 94 MI : 90 80 80 100 MN : 350 310 310 100 MO : 30 26 35 135 MT : 120 105 90 86 NE : 220 140 150 107 NY : 85 65 85 131 NC : 55 55 55 100 ND : 620 490 530 108 OH : 80 65 65 100 OK : 70 50 45 90 OR : 60 50 45 90 PA : 140 130 140 108 SC : 40 40 35 88 SD : 420 380 390 103 TX : 625 680 700 103 UT : 65 60 60 100 VA 3/ : 15 WA : 35 20 30 150 WI : 380 340 320 94 WY : 60 50 70 140 : US : 4,597 4,085 4,267 104 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall. 2/ Intended plantings in 2005 as indicated by reports from farmers. 3/ Estimates began in 2005. Barley: Area Planted by State and United States, 2003-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 2/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 Acres ------------- Percent : AZ : 32 40 35 88 CA : 100 110 100 91 CO : 85 80 65 81 DE : 25 29 29 100 ID : 750 680 650 96 KS : 9 15 20 133 KY : 9 9 10 111 ME : 28 23 22 96 MD : 43 42 46 110 MI : 15 14 18 129 MN : 190 130 140 108 MT : 1,150 1,000 950 95 NE 3/ : 6 6 NV : 5 4 4 100 NJ : 4 3 3 100 NY : 15 14 20 143 NC : 20 23 22 96 ND : 2,050 1,600 1,200 75 OH : 7 5 5 100 OR : 70 75 75 100 PA : 75 65 55 85 SD : 75 70 70 100 UT : 45 50 40 80 VA : 75 55 60 109 WA : 320 250 200 80 WI : 55 45 50 111 WY : 90 90 85 94 : US : 5,348 4,527 3,974 88 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall. 2/ Intended plantings in 2005 as indicated by reports from farmers. 3/ Estimates discontinued in 2005. All Wheat: Area Planted by State and United States, 2003-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 2/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent : AL : 150 120 120 100 AZ : 119 105 85 81 AR : 700 670 240 36 CA : 870 680 590 87 CO : 2,630 2,315 2,670 115 DE : 50 50 50 100 FL : 20 18 20 111 GA : 380 330 350 106 ID : 1,190 1,250 1,250 100 IL : 850 920 650 71 IN : 460 450 360 80 IA : 25 28 25 89 KS : 10,500 10,000 10,100 101 KY : 500 530 420 79 LA : 155 180 130 72 MD : 165 160 150 94 MI : 680 660 650 98 MN : 1,877 1,728 1,975 114 MS : 150 160 110 69 MO : 960 1,050 700 67 MT : 5,440 5,470 5,310 97 NE : 1,900 1,850 1,800 97 NV : 12 14 17 121 NJ : 31 28 28 100 NM : 500 490 490 100 NY : 130 105 120 114 NC : 530 600 590 98 ND : 8,630 8,195 9,010 110 OH : 1,060 920 840 91 OK : 6,700 6,200 5,900 95 OR : 1,115 1,000 1,020 102 PA : 175 140 180 129 SC : 200 190 180 95 SD : 3,078 3,270 3,318 101 TN : 430 400 270 68 TX : 6,600 6,300 5,800 92 UT : 177 143 152 106 VA : 210 210 200 95 WA : 2,400 2,330 2,340 100 WV : 12 8 7 88 WI : 212 247 205 83 WY : 168 160 170 106 : US : 62,141 59,674 58,592 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall. 2/ Intended plantings for 2005 as indicated by reports from farmers. Winter Wheat: Area Planted by State and United States, 2003-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent : AL : 150 120 120 100 AZ : 4 5 5 100 AR : 700 670 240 36 CA : 740 560 500 89 CO : 2,600 2,300 2,650 115 DE : 50 50 50 100 FL : 20 18 20 111 GA : 380 330 350 106 ID : 760 750 770 103 IL : 850 920 650 71 IN : 460 450 360 80 IA : 25 28 25 89 KS : 10,500 10,000 10,100 101 KY : 500 530 420 79 LA : 155 180 130 72 MD : 165 160 150 94 MI : 680 660 650 98 MN : 25 27 25 93 MS : 150 160 110 69 MO : 960 1,050 700 67 MT : 1,900 1,900 2,150 113 NE : 1,900 1,850 1,800 97 NV : 7 6 8 133 NJ : 31 28 28 100 NM : 500 490 490 100 NY : 130 105 120 114 NC : 530 600 590 98 ND : 130 245 260 106 OH : 1,060 920 840 91 OK : 6,700 6,200 5,900 95 OR : 970 820 870 106 PA : 175 140 180 129 SC : 200 190 180 95 SD : 1,650 1,650 1,500 91 TN : 430 400 270 68 TX : 6,600 6,300 5,800 92 UT : 160 130 135 104 VA : 210 210 200 95 WA : 1,850 1,800 1,900 106 WV : 12 8 7 88 WI : 205 240 200 83 WY : 160 150 160 107 : US : 45,384 43,350 41,613 96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall. Durum Wheat: Area Planted by State and United States, 2003-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 2/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent : AZ : 115 100 80 80 CA : 130 120 90 75 ID 3/ : 10 MN 4/ : 2 1 MT : 640 570 560 98 ND : 2,000 1,750 1,850 106 SD : 28 20 18 90 : US : 2,915 2,561 2,608 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall in AZ and CA. 2/ Intended plantings in 2005 as indicated by reports from farmers. 3/ Estimates began in 2005. 4/ Estimates discontinued in 2005. Other Spring Wheat: Area Planted by State and United States, 2003-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 1/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent : CO : 30 15 20 133 ID : 430 500 470 94 MN : 1,850 1,700 1,950 115 MT : 2,900 3,000 2,600 87 NV : 5 8 9 113 ND : 6,500 6,200 6,900 111 OR : 145 180 150 83 SD : 1,400 1,600 1,800 113 UT : 17 13 17 131 WA : 550 530 440 83 WI : 7 7 5 71 WY : 8 10 10 100 : US : 13,842 13,763 14,371 104 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2005 as indicated by reports from farmers. Rice: Area Planted by Class, State, and United States, 2003-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : Area Planted and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 1/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 Acres ------------- Percent : Long Grain : AR : 1,300 1,405 1,460 104 CA : 7 7 6 86 LA : 435 525 540 103 MS : 235 235 260 111 MO : 175 195 205 105 TX : 180 220 210 95 : US : 2,332 2,587 2,681 104 : Medium Grain: AR : 165 155 110 71 CA : 460 540 510 94 LA : 20 13 10 77 MO : 1 1 1 100 TX : 1 2 1 50 : US : 647 711 632 89 : Short Grain : AR : 1 1 1 100 CA 2/ : 42 48 44 92 : US : 43 49 45 92 : All : AR : 1,466 1,561 1,571 101 CA : 509 595 560 94 LA : 455 538 550 102 MS : 235 235 260 111 MO : 176 196 206 105 TX : 181 222 211 95 : US : 3,022 3,347 3,358 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2005 as indicated by reports from farmers. 2/ Includes sweet rice. All Hay: Area Harvested by State and United States, 2003-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 1/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------------- 1,000 Acres ------------- Percent : AL : 780 850 865 102 AZ : 275 275 280 102 AR : 1,340 1,420 1,300 92 CA : 1,620 1,550 1,600 103 CO : 1,500 1,520 1,600 105 CT : 63 66 70 106 DE : 13 14 14 100 FL : 255 260 265 102 GA : 600 600 600 100 ID : 1,500 1,480 1,450 98 IL : 775 750 750 100 IN : 650 660 680 103 IA : 1,600 1,600 1,500 94 KS : 3,250 3,350 3,300 99 KY : 2,450 2,340 2,300 98 LA : 380 370 400 108 ME : 144 155 160 103 MD : 195 215 200 93 MA : 79 88 90 102 MI : 1,050 1,100 1,100 100 MN : 2,075 2,000 1,950 98 MS : 750 720 750 104 MO : 4,250 4,350 4,350 100 MT : 2,450 2,500 2,500 100 NE : 3,150 2,800 2,850 102 NV : 440 420 450 107 NH : 52 57 57 100 NJ : 120 120 120 100 NM : 300 330 330 100 NY : 1,850 1,270 1,740 137 NC : 778 712 710 100 ND : 2,950 2,730 2,800 103 OH : 1,350 1,190 1,250 105 OK : 2,810 3,060 3,200 105 OR : 1,100 1,130 1,130 100 PA : 1,650 1,700 1,750 103 RI : 9 9 9 100 SC : 340 330 330 100 SD : 4,300 3,900 4,200 108 TN : 2,030 1,935 1,920 99 TX : 5,240 5,350 5,400 101 UT : 700 715 720 101 VT : 235 230 230 100 VA : 1,280 1,290 1,290 100 WA : 810 790 770 97 WV : 545 575 560 97 WI : 2,100 2,050 2,000 98 WY : 1,200 990 1,050 106 : US : 63,383 61,916 62,940 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended area harvested in 2005 as indicated by reports from farmers. Flaxseed: Area Planted by State and United States, 2003-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 1/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Acres ----------- Percent : MN : 8 3 9 300 MT : 17 20 35 175 ND : 560 490 850 173 SD : 10 10 25 250 : US : 595 523 919 176 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2005 as indicated by reports from farmers. Soybeans: Area Planted by State and United States, 2003-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 1/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------------- 1,000 Acres ------------- Percent : AL : 170 210 160 76 AR : 2,920 3,200 3,100 97 DE : 180 210 180 86 FL : 13 19 11 58 GA : 190 280 220 79 IL : 10,300 9,950 9,700 97 IN : 5,450 5,550 5,400 97 IA : 10,600 10,200 10,300 101 KS : 2,600 2,800 2,900 104 KY : 1,250 1,310 1,350 103 LA : 760 1,100 850 77 MD : 435 500 450 90 MI : 2,000 2,000 2,000 100 MN : 7,500 7,300 7,300 100 MS : 1,440 1,670 1,600 96 MO : 5,000 5,000 5,100 102 NE : 4,550 4,800 4,800 100 NJ : 90 105 100 95 NY : 140 175 190 109 NC : 1,450 1,530 1,550 101 ND : 3,150 3,750 3,250 87 OH : 4,300 4,450 4,500 101 OK : 270 320 340 106 PA : 380 430 440 102 SC : 430 540 440 81 SD : 4,250 4,150 4,050 98 TN : 1,150 1,210 1,220 101 TX : 200 290 310 107 VA : 500 540 530 98 WV : 16 19 19 100 WI : 1,720 1,600 1,550 97 : US : 73,404 75,208 73,910 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2005 as indicated by reports from farmers. Peanuts: Area Planted by State and United States, 2003-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 1/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------------- 1,000 Acres --------------- Percent : AL : 190.0 200.0 215.0 108 FL : 125.0 145.0 155.0 107 GA : 545.0 620.0 750.0 121 NM : 18.0 17.0 18.0 106 NC : 101.0 105.0 105.0 100 OK : 37.0 35.0 34.0 97 SC : 19.0 35.0 55.0 157 TX : 275.0 240.0 240.0 100 VA : 34.0 33.0 25.0 76 : US : 1,344.0 1,430.0 1,597.0 112 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2005 as indicated by reports from farmers. Sunflower: Area Planted by Type, State, and United States, 2003-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Varietal : Area Planted Type and :--------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 1/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Acres ------------ Percent : Oil : CO : 95 90 130 144 KS : 170 150 260 173 MN : 55 30 85 283 NE : 51 36 55 153 ND : 1,060 720 1,000 139 SD : 475 410 550 134 TX : 17 18 35 194 : Oth Sts 2/3/ : 75 79 70 : US : 1,998 1,533 2,185 143 : Non-Oil : CO : 35 45 60 133 KS : 23 21 40 190 MN : 35 30 65 217 NE : 15 20 40 200 ND : 150 160 260 163 SD : 30 25 50 200 TX : 42 23 40 174 : Oth Sts 2/3/ : 16 16 10 : US : 346 340 565 166 : All : CO : 130 135 190 141 KS : 193 171 300 175 MN : 90 60 150 250 NE : 66 56 95 170 ND : 1,210 880 1,260 143 SD : 505 435 600 138 TX : 59 41 75 183 : Oth Sts 2/3/ : 91 95 80 : US : 2,344 1,873 2,750 147 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2005 as indicated by reports from farmers. 2/ Other States include CA, GA, IL, LA, MI, MO, MT, NM, NY, OH, OK, PA, SC, UT, WA, WI, and WY, in 2003 and 2004, and only include CA, IL, MI, MO, MT, OK, WI, and WY beginning in 2005. 3/ 2005 estimates carried forward from 2004. First 2005 estimate will be published in "Acreage" on June 30, 2005. Canola: Area Planted by State and United States, 2003-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 1/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Acres ------------ Percent : MN : 57 35 45 129 MT 2/ : 23 ND : 970 780 950 122 : Oth Sts 3/4/ : 55 50 29 : US : 1,082 865 1,047 121 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2005 as indicated by reports from farmers. 2/ Estimates began as part of the federal program in 2005. 3/ Other States include AL, AZ, CA, GA, ID, IN, KS, MI, MT, NY, OR, PA, SC, SD, and WA, in 2003 and 2004, and only include ID, MI, OR, and WA beginning in 2005. 4/ 2005 estimates carried forward from 2004. First 2005 estimate will be published in "Acreage" on June 30, 2005. Cotton: Area Planted by Type, State, and United States, 2003-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Type : Area Planted and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 1/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent : Upland : AL : 525.0 550.0 560.0 102 AZ : 215.0 240.0 230.0 96 AR : 980.0 910.0 980.0 108 CA : 550.0 560.0 480.0 86 FL : 94.0 89.0 85.0 96 GA : 1,300.0 1,290.0 1,200.0 93 KS : 90.0 85.0 80.0 94 LA : 525.0 500.0 620.0 124 MS : 1,110.0 1,110.0 1,250.0 113 MO : 400.0 380.0 410.0 108 NM : 53.0 68.0 70.0 103 NC : 810.0 730.0 760.0 104 OK : 180.0 220.0 230.0 105 SC : 220.0 215.0 230.0 107 TN : 560.0 530.0 570.0 108 TX : 5,600.0 5,850.0 5,700.0 97 VA : 89.0 82.0 85.0 104 : US : 13,301.0 13,409.0 13,540.0 101 : Amer-Pima : AZ : 2.5 3.0 3.0 100 CA : 150.0 215.0 240.0 112 NM : 6.1 10.6 10.0 94 TX : 20.0 21.0 22.0 105 : US : 178.6 249.6 275.0 110 : All : AL : 525.0 550.0 560.0 102 AZ : 217.5 243.0 233.0 96 AR : 980.0 910.0 980.0 108 CA : 700.0 775.0 720.0 93 FL : 94.0 89.0 85.0 96 GA : 1,300.0 1,290.0 1,200.0 93 KS : 90.0 85.0 80.0 94 LA : 525.0 500.0 620.0 124 MS : 1,110.0 1,110.0 1,250.0 113 MO : 400.0 380.0 410.0 108 NM : 59.1 78.6 80.0 102 NC : 810.0 730.0 760.0 104 OK : 180.0 220.0 230.0 105 SC : 220.0 215.0 230.0 107 TN : 560.0 530.0 570.0 108 TX : 5,620.0 5,871.0 5,722.0 97 VA : 89.0 82.0 85.0 104 : US : 13,479.6 13,658.6 13,815.0 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2005 as indicated by reports from farmers. Sugarbeets: Area Planted by State and United States, 2003-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 2/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent : CA : 50.8 49.5 49.0 99 CO : 28.6 36.0 38.0 106 ID : 208.0 195.0 173.0 89 MI : 179.0 165.0 149.0 90 MN : 492.0 486.0 484.0 100 MT : 51.7 53.7 52.0 97 NE : 45.3 49.8 49.0 98 ND : 259.0 256.0 259.0 101 OH : 2.0 1.8 0.0 OR : 10.0 13.0 7.0 54 WA : 4.0 3.8 3.0 79 WY : 35.0 36.4 36.0 99 : US : 1,365.4 1,346.0 1,299.0 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except CA. In CA, relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in central CA and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern CA. 2/ Intended plantings in 2005 as indicated by reports from farmers. Tobacco: Area Harvested by State and United States, 2003-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 1/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------------- Acres ----------------- Percent : CT : 2,180 2,340 2,300 98 FL : 4,400 4,000 2,800 70 GA : 27,000 23,000 19,000 83 IN 2/ : 4,200 4,200 KY : 111,650 114,800 82,200 72 MD 2/ : 1,100 1,100 MA : 1,250 1,220 1,250 102 MO : 1,400 1,450 1,400 97 NC : 159,700 156,500 133,300 85 OH : 5,300 5,600 4,500 80 PA : 3,700 4,000 5,200 130 SC : 30,000 27,000 23,000 85 TN : 31,140 31,260 25,260 81 VA : 25,110 29,790 18,950 64 WV : 1,200 1,300 700 54 WI 2/ : 1,820 1,500 : US : 411,150 409,060 319,860 78 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended area harvested in 2005 as indicated by reports from farmers. 2/ Estimates discontinued in 2005. Tobacco: Area Harvested by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2003-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested Class and Type :-------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 1/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------------- Acres --------------- Percent : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 40,000 43,000 31,000 72 VA : 18,000 23,000 14,000 61 US : 58,000 66,000 45,000 68 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 94,000 89,000 83,000 93 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 20,000 19,400 16,500 85 SC : 30,000 27,000 23,000 85 US : 50,000 46,400 39,500 85 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 4,400 4,000 2,800 70 GA : 27,000 23,000 19,000 83 US : 31,400 27,000 21,800 81 Total 11-14 : 233,400 228,400 189,300 83 Class 2, Fire-cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 550 720 450 63 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 2,600 2,700 3,000 111 TN : 5,200 5,300 5,300 100 US : 7,800 8,000 8,300 104 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 2,500 2,500 2,600 104 TN : 400 420 420 100 US : 2,900 2,920 3,020 103 Total 21-23 : 11,250 11,640 11,770 101 Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-cured : Type 31, Burley : IN 2/ : 4,200 4,200 KY : 103,000 106,000 73,000 69 MO : 1,400 1,450 1,400 97 NC : 5,700 5,100 2,800 55 OH : 5,300 5,600 4,500 80 PA 3/ : 2,400 TN : 25,000 25,000 19,000 76 VA : 6,500 6,000 4,500 75 WV : 1,200 1,300 700 54 US : 152,300 154,650 108,300 70 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD 2/ : 1,100 1,100 PA : 1,300 2,200 1,500 68 US : 2,400 3,300 1,500 45 Total 31-32 : 154,700 157,950 109,800 70 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Tobacco: Area Harvested by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2003-2005 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested Class and Type :-------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 1/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------------- Acres --------------- Percent : Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3B, Dark : Air-cured : Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 2,300 2,300 2,300 100 TN : 540 540 540 100 US : 2,840 2,840 2,840 100 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 1,250 1,300 1,300 100 Type 37, VA Sun-cured : Belt : VA 4/ : 60 70 Total 35-37 : 4,150 4,210 4,140 98 Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 2,400 1,800 1,300 72 Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 1,400 1,450 1,350 93 MA : 970 920 950 103 US : 2,370 2,370 2,300 97 Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI : WI 2/ : 1,400 1,100 Type 55, Northern WI : WI 2/ : 420 400 Total 54-55 : 1,820 1,500 Total 51-55 : 4,190 3,870 2,300 59 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper : Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-grown : CT : 780 890 950 107 MA : 280 300 300 100 US : 1,060 1,190 1,250 105 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 : 7,650 6,860 4,850 71 : All Tobacco : 411,150 409,060 319,860 78 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended area harvested in 2005 as indicated by reports from farmers. 2/ Estimates discontinued in 2005. 3/ Estimates began in 2005. 4/ No sun-cured tobacco is expected to be harvested in 2005. Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted by State and United States, 2003-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 2/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent : CA : 77.0 60.0 60.0 100 CO : 80.0 75.0 90.0 120 ID : 75.0 80.0 95.0 119 KS : 12.0 9.0 9.5 106 MI : 170.0 190.0 235.0 124 MN : 115.0 115.0 130.0 113 MT : 13.0 13.0 14.0 108 NE : 155.0 120.0 160.0 133 NM : 10.0 6.0 6.0 100 NY : 25.0 24.0 28.0 117 ND : 540.0 560.0 720.0 129 OR : 7.0 8.0 8.0 100 SD : 8.0 9.0 20.0 222 TX : 50.0 20.0 17.0 85 UT : 5.6 5.3 6.0 113 WA : 27.5 30.0 35.0 117 WI 3/ : 6.0 5.0 WY : 30.0 25.0 30.0 120 : US : 1,406.1 1,354.3 1,663.5 123 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed. 2/ Intended plantings in 2005 as indicated by reports from farmers. 3/ Estimates discontinued in 2005. Sweet Potatoes: Area Planted by State and United States, 2003-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 1/ : 2005/2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 Acres ------------ Percent : AL : 2.7 2.8 2.7 96 CA : 10.7 11.5 11.2 97 LA : 19.0 16.0 17.0 106 MS : 14.0 16.0 18.0 113 NJ : 1.1 1.2 1.2 100 NC : 43.0 45.0 40.0 89 SC : 1.4 1.0 1.0 100 TX : 3.4 3.5 3.4 97 VA : 0.5 0.4 0.4 100 : US : 95.8 97.4 94.9 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2005 as indicated by reports from farmers. Asian Soybean Rust The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts the March Agricultural Survey in all States each year. Randomly selected farmers across the United States were asked what they intend to plant during the upcoming growing season for a number of crops, including soybeans. Due to the discovery of Asian soybean rust in the United States and the heightened speculation of how growers would react to the fast-spreading, yield-reducing disease, questions were included in the March Agricultural Survey for the 31 soybean-producing States to measure farmer awareness of Asian soybean rust and how its discovery has affected their planting decisions for the 2005 crop. Results of the Asian soybean rust questions by State are included in the following tables, along with results by acres intended to be planted for 2005 and Region. These survey results are subject to sampling variability because all operations planting soybeans are not included in the sample of over 68,000. The variability for the 31 soybean-producing States, as measured by the relative standard error at the U.S. level, is approximately 2.4 percent for farmer awareness, 4.6 percent for whether Asian rust was a factor in the planting decisions, and 4.3 percent for their change in planting intentions. This means that chances are approximately 95 out of 100 that survey estimates will be within plus or minus 4.8 percent for farmer awareness, 9.2 percent for whether Asian rust was a factor in the planting decisions, and 8.6 percent for their change in planting intentions. Soybeans: Asian Rust Awareness by State and United States, Percent of All Farms and Farms Reporting Soybean Intentions, March 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Have you seen, read, or heard any information about Asian Rust? :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State: All Farms :Farms Reporting Soybean Intentions :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yes : No :Don't Know : Yes : No :Don't Know ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Percent : AL : 32 58 10 91 9 * AR : 38 58 4 88 10 2 DE : 22 65 13 59 3 38 FL : 3 97 * 72 25 3 GA : 30 70 * 90 10 * IL : 89 9 2 98 2 * IN : 62 32 6 81 18 1 IA : 87 6 7 94 2 4 KS : 61 32 7 89 8 3 KY : 35 64 1 65 29 6 LA : 52 25 23 91 4 5 MD : 35 53 12 91 9 * MI : 36 61 3 93 6 1 MN : 59 33 8 82 13 5 MS : 42 57 1 88 12 * MO : 62 31 7 93 6 1 NE : 86 13 1 96 3 1 NJ : 33 67 * 86 12 2 NY : 22 76 2 75 23 2 NC : 37 63 * 84 16 * ND : 60 32 8 96 4 * OH : 48 39 13 92 5 3 OK : 24 74 2 70 29 1 PA : 34 66 * 87 12 1 SC : 38 58 4 82 18 * SD : 76 20 4 95 5 * TN : 26 71 3 85 9 6 TX : 15 76 9 69 28 3 VA : 21 78 1 86 14 * WV : 28 65 7 91 5 4 WI : 63 26 11 78 8 14 : US : 43 51 6 89 8 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ * Data rounds to less than 0.5 percent. Soybeans: Asian Rust's Impact on Planting Intentions for All Farm Operators who are Aware of Rust by State, Region, and United States March 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Was Asian Rust a factor in your planting intentions? State and :----------------------------------------------------------- Region 1/ : Yes : If so, how did your intentions change? : :-------------------------------------------- : : Increase : Decrease : No Change ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 7 2 57 41 AR : 6 5 59 36 DE : 9 * 52 48 FL : 6 * 87 13 GA : 10 3 50 47 IL : 12 4 58 38 IN : 8 7 48 45 IA : 8 10 49 41 KS : 5 4 56 40 KY : 3 2 48 50 LA : 8 3 75 22 MD : 8 3 49 48 MI : 7 12 32 56 MN : 7 13 56 31 MS : 3 3 76 21 MO : 5 8 28 64 NE : 8 17 43 40 NJ : 4 * 56 44 NY : 2 24 26 50 NC : 7 * 51 49 ND : 6 8 50 42 OH : 6 7 33 60 OK : 2 1 54 45 PA : 4 19 43 38 SC : 13 1 79 20 SD : 8 5 71 24 TN : 6 1 66 33 TX : 2 7 69 24 VA : 2 4 59 37 WV : 1 12 38 50 WI : 7 4 75 21 : Northeast : 4 13 44 43 Great Lake States : 7 10 58 32 Corn Belt : 8 7 47 46 Northern Plains : 7 10 54 36 Appalachian : 4 1 56 43 Southeast : 3 2 61 37 Delta States : 5 3 70 27 Southern Plains : 2 4 63 33 : US : 6 7 53 40 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Data rounds to less than 0.5 percent. 1/ Regions consist of the following States: Appalachian: KY, NC, TN, VA, WV; Corn Belt: IA, IL, IN, MO, OH; Delta States: AR, LA, MS; Great Lake States: MI, MN, WI; Northeast: DE, MD, NJ, NY, PA; Northern Plains: KS, NE, ND, SD; Southeast: AL, FL, GA, SC; Southern Plains: OK, TX. Soybeans: Asian Rust's Impact on Planting Intentions for Soybean Farm Operators who are Aware of Rust by Region and United States March 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Was Asian Rust a factor in your planting intentions? Region 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------- : Yes : If so, how did your intentions change? : :-------------------------------------------- : : Increase : Decrease : No Change ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : Northeast : 12 16 44 40 Great Lake States : 9 14 45 41 Corn Belt : 10 7 47 46 Northern Plains : 11 12 48 40 Appalachian : 13 2 55 43 Southeast : 29 4 63 33 Delta States : 19 5 63 32 Southern Plains : 15 6 55 39 : US : 11 9 49 42 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Regions consist of the following States: Appalachian: KY, NC, TN, VA, WV; Corn Belt: IA, IL, IN, MO, OH; Delta States: AR, LA, MS; Great Lake States: MI, MN, WI; Northeast: DE, MD, NJ, NY, PA; Northern Plains: KS, NE, ND, SD; Southeast: AL, FL, GA, SC; Southern Plains: OK, TX. Soybeans: Asian Rust Awareness by Intended Planted Acreage, Region, and United States, Percent of Farms Reporting Soybean Intentions, March 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Have you seen, read, or heard Soybean Acres : any information about Asian Rust? Intended and :------------------------------------------------------------ Region 1/ : Yes : No : Don't Know -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : 1-99 Acres : Northeast : 80 15 5 Great Lake States: 73 17 10 Corn Belt : 86 11 3 Northern Plains : 87 10 3 Appalachian : 68 28 4 Southeast : 80 19 1 Delta States : 74 25 1 Southern Plains : 53 46 1 : US : 80 15 5 : 100-249 Acres : Northeast : 95 5 * Great Lake States: 94 3 3 Corn Belt : 96 2 2 Northern Plains : 95 3 2 Appalachian : 94 4 2 Southeast : 95 5 * Delta States : 81 11 8 Southern Plains : 87 10 3 : US : 95 3 2 : 250-499 Acres : Northeast : 99 1 * Great Lake States: 94 3 3 Corn Belt : 97 1 2 Northern Plains : 98 2 * Appalachian : 90 9 1 Southeast : 97 3 * Delta States : 97 2 1 Southern Plains : 85 8 7 : US : 96 2 2 : 500-999 Acres : Northeast : 97 2 1 Great Lake States: 98 1 1 Corn Belt : 99 1 * Northern Plains : 98 2 * Appalachian : 98 1 1 Southeast : 98 1 1 Delta States : 97 3 * Southern Plains : 92 6 2 : US : 98 1 1 : 1000 Acres & Over : Northeast : 85 6 9 Great Lake States: 95 3 2 Corn Belt : 99 1 * Northern Plains : 98 2 * Appalachian : 97 3 * Southeast : 96 3 1 Delta States : 96 3 1 Southern Plains : 93 7 * : US : 97 2 1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Data rounds to less than 0.5 percent. 1/ Regions consist of the following States: Appalachian: KY, NC, TN, VA, WV; Corn Belt: IA, IL, IN, MO, OH; Delta States: AR, LA, MS; Great Lake States: MI, MN, WI; Northeast: DE, MD, NJ, NY, PA; Northern Plains: KS, NE, ND, SD; Southeast: AL, FL, GA, SC; Southern Plains: OK, TX. Soybeans: Asian Rust's Impact on Planting Intentions for Operators who Intend to Plant Soybeans and are Aware of Rust by Intended Planted Acreage, Region, and United States, March 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Soybean Acres : Was Asian Rust a factor in your planting intentions? Intended and :----------------------------------------------------------- Region 1/ : Yes : If so, how did your intentions change? : :-------------------------------------------- : : Increase : Decrease : No Change ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : 1-99 Acres : Northeast : 11 21 42 37 Great Lake States: 7 15 39 46 Corn Belt : 8 8 42 50 Northern Plains : 9 8 48 44 Appalachian : 12 1 55 44 Southeast : 24 4 53 43 Delta States : 8 * 83 17 Southern Plains : 12 * 71 29 : US : 9 9 46 45 : 100-249 Acres : Northeast : 15 14 52 34 Great Lake States: 11 16 46 38 Corn Belt : 13 10 44 46 Northern Plains : 13 16 38 46 Appalachian : 14 1 57 42 Southeast : 37 1 74 25 Delta States : 25 3 63 34 Southern Plains : 18 14 75 11 : US : 13 11 46 43 : 250-499 Acres : Northeast : 15 * 60 40 Great Lake States: 9 8 43 49 Corn Belt : 11 4 59 37 Northern Plains : 11 8 68 24 Appalachian : 17 * 54 46 Southeast : 36 14 63 23 Delta States : 24 4 67 29 Southern Plains : 25 * 16 84 : US : 12 5 58 37 : 500-999 Acres : Northeast : 13 4 19 77 Great Lake States: 15 8 63 29 Corn Belt : 10 1 45 54 Northern Plains : 11 11 50 39 Appalachian : 11 8 44 48 Southeast : 37 * 79 21 Delta States : 19 8 58 34 Southern Plains : 7 22 31 47 : US : 12 6 51 43 : 1000 Acres & Over : Northeast : 34 * 15 85 Great Lake States: 7 19 34 47 Corn Belt : 13 10 57 33 Northern Plains : 10 26 40 34 Appalachian : 10 17 60 23 Southeast : 31 * 74 26 Delta States : 16 5 55 40 Southern Plains : 11 * 33 67 : US : 12 12 51 37 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Data rounds to less than 0.5 percent. 1/ Regions consist of the following States: Appalachian: KY, NC, TN, VA, WV; Corn Belt: IA, IL, IN, MO, OH; Delta States: AR, LA, MS; Great Lake States: MI, MN, WI; Northeast: DE, MD, NJ, NY, PA; Northern Plains: KS, NE, ND, SD; Southeast: AL, FL, GA, SC; Southern Plains: OK, TX. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2004-2005 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 4,527.0 3,974.0 4,021.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 80,930.0 81,413.0 73,632.0 Corn for Silage : 6,103.0 Hay, All : 61,916.0 62,940.0 Alfalfa : 21,707.0 All Other : 40,209.0 Oats : 4,085.0 4,267.0 1,792.0 Proso Millet : 710.0 595.0 Rice : 3,347.0 3,358.0 3,325.0 Rye : 1,380.0 320.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 7,486.0 7,400.0 6,517.0 Sorghum for Silage : 352.0 Wheat, All : 59,674.0 58,592.0 49,999.0 Winter : 43,350.0 41,613.0 34,462.0 Durum : 2,561.0 2,608.0 2,363.0 Other Spring : 13,763.0 14,371.0 13,174.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 865.0 1,047.0 828.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 523.0 919.0 516.0 Mustard Seed : 73.0 68.7 Peanuts : 1,430.0 1,597.0 1,394.0 Rapeseed : 8.7 7.8 Safflower : 175.0 159.0 Soybeans for Beans : 75,208.0 73,910.0 73,958.0 Sunflower : 1,873.0 2,750.0 1,711.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 13,658.6 13,815.0 13,057.0 Upland : 13,409.0 13,540.0 12,809.0 Amer-Pima : 249.6 275.0 248.0 Sugarbeets : 1,346.0 1,299.0 1,306.7 Sugarcane : 952.1 Tobacco : 409.1 319.9 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 30.5 21.5 Dry Edible Beans : 1,354.3 1,663.5 1,219.3 Dry Edible Peas : 530.0 507.8 Lentils : 345.0 329.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 5.8 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.2 Hops : 27.7 Peppermint Oil : 77.7 Potatoes, All : 1,194.0 1,168.1 Winter : 18.7 20.0 18.5 19.8 Spring : 76.5 72.2 Summer : 59.1 54.6 Fall : 1,039.7 1,022.8 Spearmint Oil : 15.1 Sweet Potatoes : 97.4 94.9 93.3 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2004-2005 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Unit :------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------ 1,000 ----- : : Grains & Hay : : Barley : Bu : 69.4 279,253 Corn for Grain : " : 160.4 11,807,217 Corn for Silage : Ton : 17.6 107,336 Hay, All : " : 2.55 157,774 Alfalfa : " : 3.47 75,383 All Other : " : 2.05 82,391 Oats : Bu : 64.7 115,935 Proso Millet : " : 25.3 15,065 Rice 2/ : Cwt : 6,942 230,818 Rye : Bu : 26.9 8,615 Sorghum for Grain : " : 69.8 454,899 Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 13.5 4,763 Wheat, All : Bu : 43.2 2,158,245 Winter : " : 43.5 1,499,434 Durum : " : 38.0 89,893 Other Spring : " : 43.2 568,918 : : Oilseeds : : Canola : Lb : 1,618 1,339,530 Cottonseed 3/ : Ton : 8,411.0 Flaxseed : Bu : 20.3 10,471 Mustard Seed : Lb : 819 56,290 Peanuts : " : 3,057 4,261,700 Rapeseed : " : 1,394 10,875 Safflower : " : 1,105 175,765 Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 42.5 3,140,996 Sunflower : Lb : 1,197 2,047,863 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 846 23,006.0 Upland 2/ : " : 835 22,270.0 Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 1,425 736.0 Sugarbeets : Ton : 22.9 29,932 Sugarcane : " : 30.8 29,295 Tobacco : Lb : 2,159 883,171 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,228 264 Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,460 17,799 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 2,249 11,419 Lentils 2/ : " : 1,271 4,182 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : " : 899 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) : Lb : 1,220 7,100 Ginger Root (HI) : " : 40,000 6,000 Hops : " : 1,990 55,203.9 Peppermint Oil : " : 92 7,146 Potatoes, All : Cwt : 391 456,362 Winter : " : 260 235 4,818 4,658 Spring : " : 314 22,663 Summer : " : 345 18,858 Fall : " : 401 410,023 Spearmint Oil : Lb : 116 1,746 Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 176 16,399 Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 5,200 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2004-2005 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 1,832,030 1,608,240 1,627,260 Corn for Grain 2/ :32,751,560 32,947,030 29,798,130 Corn for Silage : 2,469,820 Hay, All 3/ : 25,056,790 25,471,190 Alfalfa : 8,784,610 All Other : 16,272,180 Oats : 1,653,160 1,726,810 725,200 Proso Millet : 287,330 240,790 Rice : 1,354,500 1,358,950 1,345,590 Rye : 558,470 129,500 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 3,029,510 2,994,710 2,637,360 Sorghum for Silage : 142,450 Wheat, All 3/ :24,149,470 23,711,600 20,234,100 Winter :17,543,310 16,840,360 13,946,430 Durum : 1,036,410 1,055,430 956,280 Other Spring : 5,569,750 5,815,800 5,331,390 : Oilseeds : Canola : 350,060 423,710 335,080 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 211,650 371,910 208,820 Mustard Seed : 29,540 27,800 Peanuts : 578,710 646,290 564,140 Rapeseed : 3,520 3,160 Safflower : 70,820 64,350 Soybeans for Beans :30,435,930 29,910,640 29,930,060 Sunflower : 757,980 1,112,900 692,420 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 5,527,500 5,590,790 5,284,040 Upland : 5,426,490 5,479,500 5,183,670 Amer-Pima : 101,010 111,290 100,360 Sugarbeets : 544,710 525,690 528,810 Sugarcane : 385,310 Tobacco : 165,540 129,440 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 12,340 8,700 Dry Edible Beans : 548,070 673,200 493,440 Dry Edible Peas : 214,490 205,500 Lentils : 139,620 133,140 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,350 Ginger Root (HI) : 60 Hops : 11,230 Peppermint Oil : 31,440 Potatoes, All 3/ : 483,200 472,720 Winter : 7,570 8,090 7,490 8,010 Spring : 30,960 29,220 Summer : 23,920 22,100 Fall : 420,760 413,920 Spearmint Oil : 6,110 Sweet Potatoes : 39,420 38,410 37,760 Taro (HI) 4/ : 150 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2004-2005 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.74 6,080,020 Corn for Grain : 10.06 299,917,130 Corn for Silage : 39.43 97,373,580 Hay, All 2/ : 5.71 143,130,170 Alfalfa : 7.78 68,386,310 All Other : 4.59 74,743,860 Oats : 2.32 1,682,790 Proso Millet : 1.42 341,670 Rice : 7.78 10,469,730 Rye : 1.69 218,830 Sorghum for Grain : 4.38 11,554,970 Sorghum for Silage : 30.33 4,320,920 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.90 58,737,800 Winter : 2.93 40,807,910 Durum : 2.56 2,446,490 Other Spring : 2.90 15,483,410 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.81 607,600 Cottonseed 3/ : 7,630,330 Flaxseed : 1.27 265,980 Mustard Seed : 0.92 25,530 Peanuts : 3.43 1,933,070 Rapeseed : 1.56 4,930 Safflower : 1.24 79,730 Soybeans for Beans : 2.86 85,483,900 Sunflower : 1.34 928,900 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.95 5,008,970 Upland : 0.94 4,848,720 Amer-Pima : 1.60 160,250 Sugarbeets : 51.35 27,153,850 Sugarcane : 68.97 26,575,980 Tobacco : 2.42 400,600 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.38 11,970 Dry Edible Beans : 1.64 807,350 Dry Edible Peas : 2.52 517,960 Lentils : 1.42 189,690 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : 40,780 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.37 3,220 Ginger Root (HI) : 44.83 2,720 Hops : 2.23 25,040 Peppermint Oil : 0.10 3,240 Potatoes, All 2/ : 43.79 20,700,230 Winter : 29.19 26.37 218,540 211,280 Spring : 35.18 1,027,980 Summer : 38.71 855,380 Fall : 44.93 18,598,330 Spearmint Oil : 0.13 790 Sweet Potatoes : 19.70 743,850 Taro (HI) 3/ : 2,360 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Winter Weather Review Highlights: Winter conditions varied dramatically in the West, ranging from periods of excessive precipitation across southern California, the Great Basin, and much of the Southwest, to persistently dry weather across the northern half of the region. Southwestern storminess caused flooding and mudslides but eased or eradicated long-term drought. Meanwhile, drought expanded or intensified in the Northwest, where meager high-elevation snowpacks were not expected to provide much spring and summer runoff. A similar pattern was observed on the Plains, where abundant precipitation across the southeastern half of the region contrasted with worsening drought on the northern High Plains. During the second half of January and much of February, the northern High Plains' winter wheat crop was exposed to occasional weather extremes. Farther east, the Midwestern winter featured unusually wet weather in the southern and eastern Corn Belt but rather tranquil conditions in the upper Mississippi Valley. Stormy, often snowy, weather affected areas from the lower Great Lakes region into the Northeast. Farther south, however, drier-than-normal weather prevailed from the central Gulf Coast region to the southern Atlantic States. Above-normal temperatures were observed nearly nationwide. Winter readings generally ranged from 2 to 6 degrees F above normal on the Plains and averaged as much as 8 degrees F above normal in the upper Midwest. Near- to slightly below-normal temperatures were confined to parts of California, the Great Basin, the lower Great Lakes, and the Atlantic Coast States. December: December featured some brief but historically snowy, cold weather across the South. Ironically, wet snow Deep South Texas' first accumulation in more than a century helped to insulate citrus, sugarcane, and winter vegetables from a Christmas Day freeze. Meanwhile, warmer- and drier-than-normal weather prevailed in most areas from the High Plains to the Mississippi River, providing generally favorable conditions for overwintering grains. Somewhat wetter conditions were observed in the Great Lakes and Northeastern States, although much of the rain and snow fell early in the month. Farther south, a major snow and ice storm affected parts of the Ohio Valley and interior South on December 22-23. Toward the end of December, stormy weather returned to California, the Great Basin, and the Southwest, following nearly a month-long respite. The Western precipitation caused local flooding and mudslides, but padded high-elevation snow packs and further eased long-term drought. Farther north, however, snowpacks remained mostly below normal for this time of year across the northern Rockies and northern Intermountain West. There were also some wild temperature swings in all parts of the United States. Although monthly temperatures averaged as much as 8 degrees F above normal on the northern Plains, readings briefly dipped to -20 degrees F or lower in some locations on December 23. Two days later, the high-pressure system responsible for Montana's cold snap reached the Deep South, where southern Texas noted a hard freeze (temperatures of 28 degrees F or lower). However, cool conditions were most persistent in the Southeast, where monthly temperatures averaged as much as 4 degrees F below normal. Nevertheless, Florida's winter agricultural areas avoided a significant freeze, although temperatures flirted with the freezing mark (32 degrees F) in the State's northern citrus belt on December 15. Meanwhile, monthly temperatures were mostly above normal in the West, despite cool spells in early December and again after midmonth. The Northwest was especially warm, relative to normal. January: In most sections of the United States, January's weather exhibited two distinct characters. For example, the first 2 weeks of January featured warmth, record wetness, and widespread flooding in the Ohio and middle Mississippi Valleys. Colder, drier weather followed, causing concerns in soft red winter wheat areas due to numerous freeze-thaw cycles and heaving of saturated soils. Near-record to record warmth also prevailed across much of the South and East until a pattern-changing cold front swept offshore on January 14. Although only light precipitation accompanied sharply colder weather in the Southeast, a major snowstorm swept across the upper Midwestern, Great Lakes, and Northeastern States from January 21-23, preceded and followed by several less serious storms. Unlike wheat fields in Ohio and middle Mississippi Valleys, a thick blanket of snow protected the wheat crop from weather extremes in the lower Great Lakes region, including Michigan. Farther west, a late-month return to wet weather (rain and snow) maintained adequate to locally excessive soil moisture reserves across the southern half of the Plains. In contrast, cold, occasionally snowy conditions on the northern Plains in early to mid-January were suddenly replaced by mild, windy weather. As a result, the northern High Plains' wheat crop lost not only its protective snow cover but some of its winter hardiness as well. The interior Northwest also experienced a rapid change from cool, showery weather early in the month to unfavorable dryness and record warmth. By month's end, water-supply concerns mounted across the Northwest due to meager mountain snowpacks and already low reservoir levels. Farther south, record-setting precipitation totals deluged California, the Great Basin, and much of the Southwest through January 12, causing flash flooding and mudslides, but padding high-elevation snowpacks, improving spring and summer runoff prospects, and further easing the effects of long-term drought. Quieter weather prevailed west of the Rockies thereafter, although a pair of storms brought a brief return of showery conditions to the Southwest during the last week of January. Despite a mid- to late-month cooling trend, January temperatures averaged 4 to 8 degrees F above normal across much of the South. Slightly lower (near-normal) temperatures were observed along the southern Atlantic Coast. Unusually mild weather also prevailed in the Four Corners States, where monthly temperatures in a few locations averaged more than 10 degrees F above normal. In contrast, mid- to late-month warmth only partially offset a bitterly cold start to the year on the northern Plains, where January temperatures averaged as much as 4 degrees F below normal. Meanwhile, temperatures varied sharply across the interior Northwest, ranging from as much as 6 degrees F below normal in the snow-covered northern Great Basin to 4 degrees F above normal in several locations farther north. Elsewhere, temperatures averaged near normal in California, while Midwestern readings ranged from 2 degrees F below normal in Michigan to as much as 8 degrees F above normal in the lower Ohio Valley. Some of the coldest weather, relative to normal, affected New England, where temperatures averaged as much as 4 degrees F below normal. February: Continuing a winter-long trend, unfavorably dry weather in the Northwest contrasted with excessive wetness in southern California and parts of the Southwest, where periods of heavy precipitation further eased or eradicated long-term drought and sustained tremendous high-elevation snowpacks. Southwestern storminess also caused flash flooding and mudslides, although some large reservoirs remained low. Meanwhile, Northwestern drought-related concerns included diminishing moisture reserves for dryland winter grains, meager mountain snowpacks, and dismal spring and summer runoff prospects. A similar weather pattern prevailed on the Plains, where persistently dry weather across northern areas contrasted with widespread precipitation from southeastern Nebraska and much of Kansas southward. On the drought-affected northern High Plains, winter wheat-related concerns included soil moisture shortages and the crop's exposure to occasional temperature and wind extremes. By month's end, warm weather prompted winter wheat to begin breaking dormancy as far north as the central Plains. Farther east, below-normal precipitation in parts of the Southeast promoted late-winter fieldwork but reduced topsoil moisture for pastures and winter grains. However, a pattern change toward month's end produced widespread rain and was especially beneficial across Florida's peninsula, reducing the threat of wildfires and easing citrus irrigation demands. Elsewhere, snow fell frequently during February across the Great Lakes and Northeastern States, while widespread showers maintained soggy conditions in feedlots and winter wheat fields in the southern and eastern Corn Belt. However, the upper Midwest continued to experience a relatively mild winter, with above-normal temperatures and generally light snow. Above-normal temperatures prevailed nearly nationwide during February, with the warmest weather relative to normal affecting the upper Midwest (5 to 9 degrees F above normal). Colder-than-normal conditions (locally as much as 7 degrees F below normal) were confined to some valley locations across the interior Northwest, while near-normal readings were observed in parts of the Southwest, Pacific Northwest, and the Atlantic coastal plain. Winter Agricultural Summary Warm, dry conditions in the northern Great Plains prevented the accumulation of snow cover across most of the region. Though temperatures averaged well above normal, periods of bitterly cold weather were unfavorable for unprotected winter wheat. Moreover, producers were concerned about the availability of soil moisture in the spring, which is heavily dependent upon snow melt. By contrast, precipitation was abundant in the southern Great Plains. Soggy conditions continued to delay fieldwork, including the harvest of last year's cotton crop in Texas, which was still not complete by the end of February. In the Corn Belt, both temperatures and precipitation were above normal for the winter. In the southern and eastern areas of the region, excessive rainfall caused widespread flooding in the Ohio and middle Mississippi Valleys. Combined with repetition of the freeze-thaw cycle, the persistent wetness caused soil heaving, particularly in low-lying areas. Much of the western Gulf Coast, from New Orleans to the Rio Grande, was blanketed with snow on Christmas morning, for the first time in over 100 years in some locations. However, the winter agricultural area of southern Texas escaped freeze damage, as temperatures were below 28 degrees Fahrenheit for only a few hours. Through the remainder of the winter, above-normal temperatures prevailed along the western Gulf Coast, while in Florida, temperatures averaged below normal, though not low enough to damage citrus crops. Across the remainder of the Southeast and Mississippi Delta, mild, dry weather prevailed through most of the winter. However, periods of heavy rainfall toward the end of the season hindered field preparation and planting. Heavy precipitation fell in the Southwest, causing persistent flooding in southern California, where over 25 inches fell in some areas. However, the rain and snowfall eased long-term drought conditions, recharged reservoirs, and increased high-elevation snowpacks. Further north, however, in the interior Pacific Northwest and northern Rocky Mountains, conditions were mostly warm and dry. Snow accumulation remained well below normal throughout winter, leaving winter wheat unprotected from occasional cold snaps and limiting the availability of moisture from spring snowmelt. Corn: Growers intend to plant 81.4 million acres of corn for all purposes in 2005, up 1 percent from 2004 and 4 percent above 2003. If realized, this would be largest corn acreage since 1985 when 83.4 million acres were planted for all purposes. Expected acreage is up from last year throughout much of the Corn Belt and southern Great Plains. However, growers in most States in the Delta, Southeast, and northern Great Plains intend to decrease their corn acreage as producers are switching to other more profitable crops due to low corn prices and high fuel and fertilizer costs. Corn farmers in the ten major corn producing States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin) intend to plant 64.5 million acres, an increase of 1 percent from the 63.6 million acres last year. Kansas is showing the largest increase as 3.40 million acres are intended to be planted, which is 300,000 acres above last year. Illinois farmers expect to plant a record high 12.0 million acres, an increase of 250,000 acres from last year. South Dakota is the only major corn State showing a decrease from last year as producers there expect to plant 250,000 fewer acres. Sorghum: The 2005 intended sorghum area planted for all purposes is estimated at 7.40 million acres, down 1 percent from last year. Sorghum acres declined from last year in seven States, but increased in ten States. The largest acreage declines are expected by growers in Kansas and Nebraska, which will combine for a decrease of 460,000 acres. Parts of Kansas that had been in very dry conditions for several years received ample moisture this last fall and winter. Due to the better moisture conditions, some Kansas growers are planning on switching to other crops this year. The largest acreage increase is expected in Texas, where the intended sorghum area is 2.50 million acres, up 13 percent from the previous year. Soil conditions are adequate across most of Texas due to plenty of rainfall this fall and winter, but planting has been slowed in some areas due to wet field conditions. If the wet field conditions persist, some growers may change their planting intentions. Oats: Acres seeded and to be seeded for the 2005 crop year are expected to total 4.27 million acres, up 4 percent from last year's planted area. Acreage planted to oats is expected to increase or remain at the same level as 2004 in most states across the Great Plains, except in Kansas, Montana, and Oklahoma. The largest increase of oat acreage is expected in North Dakota, which is up 8 percent from 2004. Iowa, New York, Texas, and Wyoming are each expecting an increase of 20,000 acres from last year. Barley: Growers intend to plant 3.97 million acres for 2005, down 12 percent from last year and, if realized, the lowest since barley planted acreage estimates began in 1926. Expected acreage declined from last year in the 4 largest barley-producing States. Of the top 10 barley States, Minnesota is the only State with increased planting intentions. North Dakota growers expect to plant 1.20 million acres, 400,000 acres below 2004 and, if realized, the fewest planted acres on record. Acreage intentions in Montana and Washington are the lowest since 1953. Drought conditions and an expected decrease in malting barley contracts are the main reasons for the decrease in planting intentions. Winter Wheat: Planted area for the 2005 crop is 41.6 million acres, down 4 percent from 2004, but virtually unchanged from the Winter Wheat Seedings report. Changes from the previous report were minor and mostly offsetting. Of the total, about 30.5 million acres are Hard Red Winter, 6.6 million acres are Soft Red Winter, and 4.5 million acres are White Winter. Seeding began last August and advanced ahead of the 5-year average pace until the middle of October, when wet weather slowed progress. Nearly all of the U.S. acreage was seeded by December 1. Ample precipitation in most areas contributed to record high condition ratings throughout much of the fall. Durum Wheat: Area seeded to Durum wheat is expected to total 2.61 million acres, up 2 percent from 2004. Planted area is up 100,000 acres in North Dakota, where growers expect to shift acres from other crops to wheat. This more than offsets acreage declines in all other States. In Idaho, which is new to the estimating program this year, growers intend to plant 10,000 acres. Unusually heavy rain in California hampered seeding activities during February. Other Spring Wheat: Growers intend to plant 14.4 million acres this year, up 4 percent from 2004. Of the total, about 13.7 million acres are Hard Red Spring wheat. Large increases in North Dakota, South Dakota, and Minnesota more than offset declines in the Pacific Northwest (PNW) and Montana. Growers in the Dakotas are returning acreage to other spring wheat from barley, corn, and soybeans. Extremely dry conditions in the PNW are leading to lower intended acreage. Montana producers shifted acreage from other spring wheat to winter wheat. Rice: Area intended for rice in 2005 is estimated at 3.36 million acres, up less than 1 percent from 2004 and up 11 percent from 2003. Growers in California and Texas intend to plant fewer acres compared with last year, while the remaining producing States expect an increase in acreage from 2004. Long grain intended acreage, representing 80 percent of the total, is up 4 percent from last year. Medium grain intended acreage is down 11 percent from 2004 and represents 19 percent of the total. Area intended for short grain varieties declined 8 percent from 2004 and represents 1 percent of the total. Hay: Producers expect to harvest 62.9 million acres of all hay in 2005, up 2 percent from last year. The two States with the largest expected increases are New York, which is up 470,000 acres from last year, and South Dakota, which is up 300,000 acres. Acreage in Texas and Oklahoma is expected to increase due to beneficial weather conditions. A wet fall combined with a mild winter has allowed for adequate soil moisture and expectations of a larger hay crop in those States. Conversely, much of the Northwest has experienced an unusually dry winter with very low snow-pack levels leading to reduced expectations for hay in that region. Soybeans: Growers intend to plant an estimated 73.9 million acres in 2005, down 2 percent from the record acreage planted in 2004. Growers in 16 of the 31 soybean producing States intend to plant fewer acres this year, while producers in 11 States intend to plant more acres than in 2004. Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, and West Virginia are unchanged from last year. The largest intended decrease in soybean acreage is in the Dakotas, where low soybean prices have some farmers shifting to other crops. Producers in the Delta and Southeast States are more concerned with Asian soybean rust than in other parts of the country. The expected rise in soybean production costs to combat the disease are persuading some farmers in those regions to find alternatives. Acreage planted to soybeans in Louisiana is expected to decrease 23 percent, partially due to the risks of Asian soybean rust. Producers in the eleven major soybean growing States (Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Ohio) intend to plant 60.4 million acres, down 1 percent from last year. Illinois and Indiana farmers intend to plant 250,000 and 150,000 fewer soybean acres, respectively. Planted acreage is expected to increase from last year in Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, and Ohio. Due to the discovery of Asian soybean rust in the U.S., questions were asked of farmers in soybean producing States about their awareness of the disease and how it has affected their planting decisions. Of those intending to plant soybeans this year, 89 percent had seen, read, or heard at least some information about Asian soybean rust. Only 11 percent of those aware of the disease considered rust as a factor in making their 2005 soybean planting decisions, but 49 percent of these farm operators who intend to plant soybeans decreased acreage because of the additional factor of rust in their decisions. The largest percentage of soybean farmers who decreased their acreage due to the additional factor of Asian soybean rust were in the Delta and Southeast regions, where 63 percent decreased acreage. For additional information by State, Region, and intended soybean acres planted, see pages 20 - 23 of this report. Peanuts: Producers intend to plant 1.60 million acres of peanuts in 2005, up 12 percent from last year. Of the nine producing States, five intend to plant more acres than in 2004. Southeast growers (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) intend to plant 1.18 million acres, up 18 percent from last year. In the Virginia-North Carolina region, producers intend to plant 130,000 acres, down 6 percent from 2004. Growers in the Southwest (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) intend to plant 292,000 acres, unchanged from last year. Sunflower: Growers expect to plant a total of 2.75 million acres in 2005, up 47 percent from last year and the first acreage increase since 1998. Area intended for oil type varieties, at 2.19 million acres, is up 43 percent from 2004, and the non-oil varieties, estimated at 565,000 acres, are up 66 percent from last year. North Dakota sunflower growers intend to plant 1.26 million acres in 2005, up 380,000 from 2004, and growers in South Dakota intend to plant 600,000 acres, up 165,000 acres from the previous year. Acreage increases are also expected in Colorado, Kansas, Minnesota, Nebraska, and Texas. Canola: Producers intend to plant 1.05 million acres in 2005, up 21 percent from 2004, the first increase in canola acreage since 2000. Producers in North Dakota, the leading canola State, intend to plant 950,000, while producers in Minnesota and Montana expect to plant 45,000 and 23,000 acres, respectively. Flaxseed: Producers expect to plant 919,000 acres in 2005, up 76 percent from last year. If realized, this would be the largest planted area since 1979 when 922,000 acres were planted. Each of the four States in the estimating program (Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota, and South Dakota) are showing significant increases from 2004 as producers are hoping to take advantage of high flaxseed prices. North Dakota growers intend to plant 850,000 acres in 2005, up 73 percent from 2004. Cotton: The U.S. planted area for all cotton in 2005 is estimated at 13.8 million acres, up 1 percent from 2004. Upland cotton acreage totaled 13.5 million acres, also up 1 percent. Growers intend to increase American-Pima cotton planted area 10 percent from 2004, to 275,000 acres. Upland growers in the Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee) planted 3.83 million acres, up 12 percent from 2004. Farmers in Louisiana and Mississippi expect to plant 120,000 and 140,000 more acres than last year, respectively. Producers in Kansas, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas intend to plant 6.08 million acres of upland, a 2 percent decrease from last year. Planting intentions in Texas are 150,000 acres below 2004. In the Southeast (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia), farmers expect to plant 2.92 million acres, 1 percent below 2004. Upland planted acreage in Arizona and California is estimated at 710,000 acres, 11 percent below last year. California producers intend to plant 480,000 acres, 14 percent less than 2004. Growers expect to plant 275,000 acres of American-Pima cotton. This is a 10 percent increase from last year's crop. California shows the largest increase, planting 240,000 acres, a 12 percent increase from last year. Texas producers are planning to increase planted acreage by 5 percent, while Arizona remained the same as last year. New Mexico growers intend to plant 10,000 acres, down 600 acres from a year ago. Factors such as water availability, the cost of irrigating, and prices of upland relative to American-Pima will impact the final planting decisions. Sugarbeets: Area planted to sugarbeets for the 2005 crop year is expected to total 1.30 million acres, 3 percent below the 2004 planted acreage. Intended plantings decreased from last year in all States, except North Dakota and Colorado. The largest declines in acreage were in Idaho, with 22,000 fewer acres than in 2004, and Michigan, with 16,000 fewer acres. If realized, these would be the lowest planted acreage since 1988 for Idaho and since 1987 for Michigan. Lack of soil moisture across most sugarbeet-producing areas was the main reason for the decline in planting intentions. Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco area for harvest in 2005 is expected to be 319,860 acres, down 22 percent from both 2004 and 2003. If realized, this will be the lowest harvested acreage on record. The previous low of 369,000 acres occurred in 1868. Large decreases in flue-cured and light air-cured harvested acreage are expected as well as decreases in dark-air cured and all cigar types. However, a slight increase in acres to be harvested is expected for fire-cured. Acreage this year will be heavily impacted by the elimination of the tobacco quota program and price supports as farmers adjust to the tobacco buyout. Flue-cured tobacco, at 189,300 acres, is 17 percent below a year ago and down 19 percent from 2003. Flue-cured acreage accounts for 59 percent of this year's expected total tobacco acreage. Acreage in North Carolina, the leading flue-cured State, is down 14 percent from last year. Harvested acreage is also expected to decline in Virginia, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina by 39 percent, 30 percent, 17 percent, and 15 percent, respectively. Light air-cured tobacco types are down 30 percent from last year and 29 percent below 2003. Burley tobacco, at 108,300 acres, is down 30 percent from a year ago and 29 percent below two years ago. Seven burley producing States expect acres to decrease from last year. These States are Kentucky, Tennessee, Virginia, Ohio, North Carolina, Missouri, and West Virginia which are down 31 percent, 24 percent, 25 percent, 20 percent, 45 percent, 3 percent, and 46 percent, respectively. Pennsylvania tobacco farmers expect to begin growing burley in 2005, with 2,400 acres. New opportunities for Pennsylvania growers are available due to the elimination of the tobacco quota program. Pennsylvania's southern Maryland type tobacco acres are estimated at 1,500, down 32 percent from last year but 15 percent above two years ago. Fire-cured tobacco types, at 11,770 acres, are up 1 percent from 2004 and 5 percent above 2003. Kentucky producers expect acreage to increase 8 percent from last year while Tennessee growers expect no change in their acreage. Dark air-cured tobacco types, at 4,140 acres, are 2 percent below last year's harvested acres but virtually unchanged from 2003. One sucker type tobacco, at 2,840 acres, and Green River type tobacco, at 1,300 acres, are both unchanged from last year. Farmers in Virginia do not expect to grow sun-cured tobacco this year. All cigar types, at 4,850 acres, are down 29 percent from last year and 37 percent below 2003. Acreage of Pennsylvania seedleaf, at 1,300 acres, is down 28 percent from last year. Connecticut and Massachusetts broadleaf acreage, at 2,300, is down 3 percent from the 2004 crop. Expected harvested acres of Connecticut and Massachusetts shade-grown tobacco are estimated to be 1,250, up 5 percent from a year ago. Dry Beans: Prospective 2005 planting of dry beans in the U.S. totals 1.66 million acres, up 23 percent from last year and 18 percent above 2 years ago. High prices for the 2004 crop and low inventories contributed to the expected increase in planted acres. Thirteen States expect to plant more dry bean acres than a year ago and 3 States expect planted acres to be unchanged, while acreage in Texas is expected to be down from 2004. North Dakota farmers expect a 29 percent increase in dry bean acreage this year. Michigan's prospective acreage is up 24 percent. Nebraska growers expect a 33 percent increase, while Minnesota dry bean acreage is expected to go up 13 percent. South Dakota growers expect a 122 percent increase if current plans are realized. Colorado and Wyoming producers expect planted acres to be up 20 percent, while prospective dry bean acres in Idaho rose 19 percent. Acres in Kansas, Montana, New York, Utah, and Washington are also expected to be up. Acres in California, Oregon, and New Mexico are expected to be unchanged from 2004. Texas acres are expected to decrease 15 percent from last year due to good planting conditions for other crops. Garbanzo beans have been planted in California but other varieties will not be planted until mid-May. Growers are waiting for warmer and drier weather. Most States will wait until late April through June for dry bean planting. Water supplies in Idaho, Montana, Oregon, and Washington are low and growers are uncertain if they will be able to plant. In Colorado, water supplies are better than in the last 3 years. Sweet Potatoes: Growers intend to plant 94,900 acres of sweet potatoes in 2005, down 3 percent from last year and 1 percent below 2003. This intended decrease in planted acreage is being influenced by high storage inventories. Acreage is expected to be lower than last year in 4 States, unchanged in 3, and higher in 2. Transplant preparations are active in North Carolina, as most growers have planted their beds or have lined up sources for plants. North Carolina growers expect to decrease planted acres by 11 percent. Alabama growers plan to lower planted acres by 4 percent. Mississippi and Louisiana planting intentions for sweet potatoes are up 13 and 6 percent, respectively. Growers in New Jersey, South Carolina, and Virginia expect to plant the same as last year. Planting intentions in California are down 3 percent from last year. Hotbed planting is underway in California. Growing conditions have been good, with ample rainfall reported. Texas growers also plan to decrease acres 3 percent this year. Wet conditions may delay planting. Reliability of Acreage Data in this Report Survey Procedures: The acreage estimates in this report are based primarily on surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of March. The March Agricultural Survey is a probability survey that includes a sample of over 83,000 farm operators selected from a list of producers that ensures all operations in the U.S. have a chance to be selected. These operators were contacted by mail, telephone, or personal interview to obtain information on crop acreage planned for the 2005 crop year. Estimating Procedures: National, Regional, State, and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). Survey data are compiled to the National level and are reviewed at this level independently of each State's review. Acreage estimates were based on survey data and the historical relationship of official estimates to the survey data. Revision Policy: Acreage estimates in the "Prospective Plantings" report will not be revised. These estimates are intended to reflect grower intentions as of the survey period. New acreage estimates will be made based on surveys conducted in June when crop acreages have been established or planting intentions are firm. These new estimates will be published in the "Acreage" report scheduled for June 30, 2005. Winter wheat is an exception. Since winter wheat was seeded prior to the March survey, any changes in estimates in this report are considered revisions. The estimate of the harvested acreage of winter wheat will be published on May 12, 2005, along with the first production forecast of the crop year. Reliability: The survey used to make acreage estimates is subject to sampling and non-sampling errors that are common to all surveys. Sampling errors represent the variability between estimates that would result if many different samples were surveyed at the same time. Sampling errors for major crops are generally between 1.0 and 3.0 percent, but they cannot be applied directly to the acreage published in this report to determine confidence intervals because the official estimates represent a composite of information from more than a single source. Non-sampling errors cannot be measured directly. They may occur due to incorrect reporting and/or recording, data omissions or duplications, and errors in processing. To minimize non-sampling errors, vigorous quality controls are used in the data collection process and all data are carefully reviewed for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of acreage estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviations between the acreage estimates in this report and the final estimates are expressed as a percentage of the final estimates. The average of squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current estimates relative to the final end-of-season estimates, assuming that factors affecting this year's estimates are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the corn planted estimate is 2.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current corn acreage estimate will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 2.0 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 3.5 percent. Also, shown in the table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the difference between the "Prospective Plantings" planted acreage estimates and the final estimates. Using corn again as an example, changes between the intentions estimates and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 1.16 million acres, ranging from 7,000 acres to 3.84 million acres. The prospective plantings estimates have been below the final estimate 7 times and above 13 times. This does not imply that the planted estimate this year is likely to understate or overstate the final estimate. Reliability of Prospective Plantings Planted Acreage Estimates -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : 20-Year Record of : : : Differences Between Forecast : : : and Final Estimate : : :------------------------------------ : Root Mean : : Thousand Acres : Number of Crop :Square Error: 90 : Quantity : Years : Percent : Percent :------------------------------------ : :Confidence : : : :Below:Above : : Interval :Average:Smallest:Largest:Final:Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Acres ---- Number : Corn : 2.0 3.5 1,164 7 3,844 7 13 Sorghum : 7.8 13.6 662 31 2,471 10 10 Oats : 7.7 13.3 604 24 2,429 4 16 Barley : 4.8 8.3 311 31 760 5 15 Winter Wheat : 1.2 2.0 423 9 1,630 9 11 Durum Wheat : 7.3 12.5 186 12 552 12 8 Other Spring Wheat: 6.0 10.3 835 12 2,543 14 6 Soybeans : 2.0 3.5 1,094 25 2,582 13 7 Upland Cotton : 3.8 6.7 406 6 945 10 10 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Joe Prusacki, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127 Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye(202) 720-8068 Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed (202) 720-9526 Troy Joshua - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Dennis Koong - Hay, Oats, Sorghum(202) 720-7688 Jason Lamprecht - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Dennis Koong - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688 Brian Young - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops(202) 720-7621 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127 Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235 Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas(202) 720-3250 Jorge Garcia-Pratts - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Rich Holcomb - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts(202) 720-4215 Terry O'Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries, Plums, Prunes(202) 720-4288 Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940 Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2157 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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