Cr Pr 2-4 (3-01)a Prospective Plantings National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released March 30, 2001, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Prospective Plantings" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX Update Alert Correction was made to tables titled "Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2000-01, Domestic Units" on page 25 and the Metric Units on page 27. The correction was made to Sugarbeets. XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX Corn Acreage Down 4 Percent from 2000 Soybean Acreage Up 3 Percent Cotton Acreage Up Slightly Corn growers intend to plant 76.7 million acres of corn for all purposes in 2001, down 4 percent from 2000 and down 1 percent from 1999. Expected acreage is down in almost all areas of the United States. Plantings are down throughout the Corn Belt due mostly to the high cost of inputs and low price prospects. Farmers intentions shifted away from corn in Texas and Louisiana as planting was hampered by frequent rains during the spring. Dry soils and lack of water reserves in the Southeast reduced intended corn plantings. The only region where farmers intend to plant more corn is in the Northeast where cool, wet weather last spring prevented many corn acres from being planted. Soybean producers intend to plant 76.7 million acres in 2001, up 3 percent from last year. If realized, this will be the largest planted area for soybeans on record. Of the 31 soybean producing States, producers in 22 States intend to plant more acres this year, while producers in 8 States intend to plant fewer acres than in 2000. Oklahoma is expecting no change from the previous year. Sorghum plantings are expected to total 9.37 million acres, up 2 percent from last year. All wheat planted area is expected to total 60.3 million acres in 2001. This is down 4 percent from 2000 and the lowest level since 1973. Area planted to Durum wheat is intended to total 3.46 million acres, down 12 percent from 2000. The 2001 other spring wheat planted acreage is estimated at 15.5 million acres, up 2 percent from last year. Of the total, about 14.6 million acres are Hard Red Spring wheat. All Cotton plantings for 2001 are expected to total 15.6 million acres, up less than 1 percent from last year. If intentions are realized this would be the largest acreage since 1995 and the second largest since 1962. Low cotton prices and high energy costs have limited any significant increase in planting intentions. Upland cotton acreage is expected to total 15.4 million acres, 29,000 acres above 2000. Growers intend to plant 220,000 acres of American-Pima cotton, up 28 percent from last year. This report was approved on March 30, 2001. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Keith J. Collins Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Frederic A. Vogel Contents Page Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 Reliability. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 Barley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Beans, Dry Edible. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Canola . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Corn . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Biotechnology Varieties. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Cotton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Biotechnology Varieties. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Hay. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Oats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Peanuts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Rice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Sorghum. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Soybeans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Biotechnology Varieties. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Sugarbeets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Sunflower. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Sweetpotatoes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Tobacco. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Wheat, All . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Durum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Other Spring. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Winter. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 U. S. Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Corn: Area Planted by State and United States, 1999-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 1/ : 2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 Acres ------------- Percent : AL : 220 230 190 83 AZ : 50 56 50 89 AR : 105 180 170 94 CA : 525 540 520 96 CO : 1,230 1,350 1,130 84 CT : 38 36 34 94 DE : 169 165 170 103 FL : 90 85 78 92 GA : 350 400 300 75 ID : 165 195 190 97 IL : 10,800 11,200 11,000 98 IN : 5,800 5,700 5,500 96 IA : 12,100 12,300 11,900 97 KS : 3,150 3,450 3,400 99 KY : 1,320 1,330 1,280 96 LA : 340 380 280 74 ME : 33 28 28 100 MD : 470 480 490 102 MA : 26 25 25 100 MI : 2,200 2,200 2,150 98 MN : 7,100 7,100 6,800 96 MS : 340 410 400 98 MO : 2,650 2,850 2,850 100 MT : 65 60 55 92 NE : 8,600 8,500 8,300 98 NV 2/ : 4 4 100 NH : 15 15 15 100 NJ : 110 90 100 111 NM : 150 150 140 93 NY : 1,150 980 1,100 112 NC : 750 730 710 97 ND : 800 1,080 950 88 OH : 3,450 3,550 3,350 94 OK : 430 300 270 90 OR : 45 55 55 100 PA : 1,500 1,550 1,550 100 RI : 3 2 2 100 SC : 300 310 270 87 SD : 3,600 4,300 4,100 95 TN : 630 650 640 98 TX : 1,950 2,100 1,900 90 UT : 61 64 62 97 VT : 106 90 90 100 VA : 500 470 430 91 WA : 155 155 125 81 WV : 60 55 55 100 WI : 3,600 3,500 3,400 97 WY : 85 95 85 89 : US : 77,386 79,545 76,693 96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2001 as indicated by reports from farmers. 2/ Estimates began in 2000. Sorghum: Area Planted by State and United States, 1999-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 1/ : 2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 Acres ------------- Percent : AL : 11 10 12 120 AZ 2/ : 16 14 88 AR : 130 150 160 107 CA 2/ : 12 11 92 CO : 230 280 300 107 DE 2/ : 3 3 100 GA : 50 55 55 100 IL : 100 90 90 100 KS : 3,600 3,500 3,600 103 KY : 10 11 11 100 LA : 240 220 240 109 MD 2/ : 10 7 70 MS : 60 90 100 111 MO : 320 280 280 100 NE : 550 600 650 108 NM : 150 165 200 121 NC : 19 18 18 100 OK : 440 450 470 104 PA 2/ : 13 13 100 SC : 8 9 8 89 SD : 200 180 190 106 TN : 20 25 30 120 TX : 3,150 3,000 2,900 97 VA 2/ : 8 6 75 : US : 9,288 9,195 9,368 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2001 as indicated by reports from farmers. 2/ Estimates began in 2000. Oats: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 1999-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State:-------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 :2001 2/ :2001/2000: 1999 : 2000 :2001 2/ :2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Acres ----- Percent -------- Acres -------- Percent : AL 3/: 40 20 AR 3/: 13 11 CA : 275 220 220 100 25 25 30 120 CO : 50 80 95 119 20 35 25 71 GA : 60 70 100 143 25 35 40 114 ID : 80 80 80 100 25 15 20 133 IL : 75 75 70 93 60 55 55 100 IN : 40 40 30 75 25 25 20 80 IA : 250 270 230 85 175 180 150 83 KS : 120 110 100 91 70 50 40 80 ME : 30 32 30 94 27 30 27 90 MD 3/: 8 5 MI : 100 95 85 89 75 75 70 93 MN : 360 400 375 94 300 310 260 84 MO : 35 50 45 90 22 30 27 90 MT : 170 130 150 115 70 50 55 110 NE : 135 130 145 112 75 45 80 178 NY : 100 80 75 94 70 60 55 92 NC : 60 60 50 83 30 30 25 83 ND : 650 600 550 92 330 315 300 95 OH : 120 110 100 91 100 90 80 89 OK : 75 60 50 83 30 15 10 67 OR : 40 50 45 90 20 25 20 80 PA : 170 175 170 97 145 145 140 97 SC : 55 60 50 83 35 35 30 86 SD : 320 350 370 106 200 220 215 98 TX : 670 600 700 117 110 100 150 150 UT : 45 50 55 110 9 7 10 143 WA : 30 35 35 100 15 15 15 100 WV 3/: 7 2 WI : 430 400 350 88 300 280 225 80 WY : 60 65 70 108 27 27 30 111 : US : 4,673 4,477 4,425 99 2,453 2,324 2,204 95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall. 2/ Intended area planted and to be planted and area to be harvested for 2001 as indicated by reports from farmers. 3/ Estimates discontinued for 2000. All Wheat: Area Planted by State and United States, 1999-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 2/ : 2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent : AL : 140 140 190 136 AZ : 86 92 85 92 AR : 970 1,180 1,150 97 CA : 590 600 585 98 CO : 2,653 2,548 2,452 96 DE : 75 65 60 92 FL : 16 13 10 77 GA : 300 300 300 100 ID : 1,420 1,370 1,400 102 IL : 1,050 950 800 84 IN : 550 550 500 91 IA : 40 20 25 125 KS : 10,000 9,800 9,900 101 KY : 650 670 550 82 LA : 110 200 180 90 MD : 215 220 190 86 MI : 610 530 570 108 MN : 2,045 2,022 2,072 102 MS : 180 250 205 82 MO : 980 1,050 900 86 MT : 5,560 5,330 4,920 92 NE : 1,900 1,750 1,800 103 NV : 17 18 17 94 NJ : 42 40 31 78 NM : 445 470 500 106 NY : 130 150 125 83 NC : 650 720 680 94 ND : 9,410 10,170 10,060 99 OH : 1,050 1,120 1,000 89 OK : 6,400 6,100 5,400 89 OR : 870 880 875 99 PA : 195 200 170 85 SC : 225 190 230 121 SD : 3,105 3,020 2,875 95 TN : 500 550 520 95 TX : 6,200 6,000 5,700 95 UT : 176 173 168 97 VA : 280 240 200 83 WA : 2,525 2,475 2,530 102 WV : 11 13 12 92 WI : 133 149 180 121 WY : 210 201 182 91 : US : 62,714 62,529 60,299 96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall. 2/ Intended planting for 2001 as indicated by reports from farmers. Winter Wheat: Area Planted by State and United States, 1999-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 : 2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent : AL : 140 140 190 136 AZ : 11 7 5 71 AR : 970 1,180 1,150 97 CA : 500 500 500 100 CO : 2,600 2,500 2,400 96 DE : 75 65 60 92 FL : 16 13 10 77 GA : 300 300 300 100 ID : 760 780 760 97 IL : 1,050 950 800 84 IN : 550 550 500 91 IA : 40 20 25 125 KS : 10,000 9,800 9,900 101 KY : 650 670 550 82 LA : 110 200 180 90 MD : 215 220 190 86 MI : 610 530 570 108 MN : 40 20 20 100 MS : 180 250 205 82 MO : 980 1,050 900 86 MT : 1,050 1,500 1,200 80 NE : 1,900 1,750 1,800 103 NV : 11 10 8 80 NJ : 42 40 31 78 NM : 445 470 500 106 NY : 130 150 125 83 NC : 650 720 680 94 ND : 60 120 160 133 OH : 1,050 1,120 1,000 89 OK : 6,400 6,100 5,400 89 OR : 710 750 750 100 PA : 195 200 170 85 SC : 225 190 230 121 SD : 1,300 1,350 1,300 96 TN : 500 550 520 95 TX : 6,200 6,000 5,700 95 UT : 150 150 145 97 VA : 280 240 200 83 WA : 1,900 1,850 1,850 100 WV : 11 13 12 92 WI : 125 140 170 121 WY : 200 190 170 89 : US : 43,331 43,348 41,336 95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall. Durum Wheat: Area Planted by State and United States, 1999-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 2/ : 2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent : AZ : 75 85 80 94 CA : 90 100 85 85 MN : 5 2 2 100 MT : 360 480 470 98 ND : 3,450 3,250 2,800 86 SD : 55 20 25 125 : US : 4,035 3,937 3,462 88 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall in AZ and CA. 2/ Intended plantings in 2001 as indicated by reports from farmers. Other Spring Wheat: Area Planted by State and United States, 1999-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 1/ : 2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent : CO : 53 48 52 108 ID : 660 590 640 108 MN : 2,000 2,000 2,050 103 MT : 4,150 3,350 3,250 97 NV : 6 8 9 113 ND : 5,900 6,800 7,100 104 OR : 160 130 125 96 SD : 1,750 1,650 1,550 94 UT : 26 23 23 100 WA : 625 625 680 109 WI : 8 9 10 111 WY : 10 11 12 109 : US : 15,348 15,244 15,501 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2001 as indicated by reports from farmers. Barley: Area Planted by State and United States, 1999-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 2/ : 2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 Acres ------------- Percent : AZ : 63 40 45 113 CA : 140 110 130 118 CO : 95 110 105 95 DE : 30 30 27 90 ID : 710 750 760 101 KS : 16 8 5 63 KY : 9 9 9 100 ME 3/ : 22 27 123 MD : 55 55 55 100 MI : 23 20 20 100 MN : 200 270 260 96 MT : 1,300 1,250 1,200 96 NE : 5 10 5 50 NV : 5 4 4 100 NJ : 6 5 5 100 NY 3/ : 12 10 83 NC : 24 30 28 93 ND : 1,350 1,900 1,600 84 OH 3/ : 14 11 79 OK 4/ : 5 OR : 145 150 125 83 PA : 75 80 80 100 SC 4/ : 3 SD : 80 115 90 78 TX 4/ : 15 UT : 90 95 85 89 VA : 80 85 65 76 WA : 500 500 400 80 WI : 80 65 60 92 WY : 90 105 110 105 : US : 5,194 5,844 5,321 91 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall. 2/ Intended plantings in 2001 as indicated by reports from farmers. 3/ Estimates began in 2000. 4/ Estimates discontinued in 2000. Soybeans: Area Planted by State and United States, 1999-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 1/ : 2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------------- 1,000 Acres ------------- Percent : AL : 240 190 160 84 AR : 3,400 3,350 3,250 97 DE : 205 215 220 102 FL : 20 20 15 75 GA : 220 180 200 111 IL : 10,600 10,500 10,700 102 IN : 5,600 5,650 5,800 103 IA : 10,800 10,700 11,000 103 KS : 2,850 2,950 3,000 102 KY : 1,200 1,200 1,250 104 LA : 1,020 930 820 88 MD : 490 520 550 106 MI : 1,950 2,100 2,150 102 MN : 7,000 7,300 7,600 104 MS : 1,950 1,700 1,500 88 MO : 5,400 5,150 5,250 102 NE : 4,300 4,650 4,850 104 NJ : 105 100 105 105 NY : 130 135 140 104 NC : 1,400 1,400 1,350 96 ND : 1,350 1,900 2,400 126 OH : 4,600 4,450 4,650 104 OK : 480 460 460 100 PA : 370 400 420 105 SC : 480 460 490 107 SD : 4,100 4,400 4,700 107 Tn : 1,250 1,180 1,050 89 TX : 400 290 330 114 VA : 470 500 480 96 WV 2/ : 16 17 106 WI : 1,350 1,500 1,750 117 : US : 73,730 74,496 76,657 103 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2001 as indicated by reports from farmers. 2/ Estimate began in 2000. Rice: Area Planted by Class, State, and United States, 1999-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : Area Planted and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 1999 : 2000 1/ : 2001 2/ : 2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 Acres ------------- Percent : Long Grain : AR : 1,378 1,138 1,228 108 CA : 5 9 10 111 LA : 585 460 520 113 MS : 325 220 225 102 MO : 184 169 184 109 TX : 254 210 216 103 : US : 2,731 2,206 2,383 108 : Medium Grain: AR : 250 280 170 61 CA : 455 507 475 94 LA : 35 25 20 80 MO : 2 1 1 100 TX : 6 5 4 80 : US : 748 818 670 82 : Short Grain : AR : 2 2 2 100 CA : 50 34 35 103 : US : 52 36 37 103 : All : AR : 1,630 1,420 1,400 99 CA : 510 550 520 95 LA : 620 485 540 111 MS : 325 220 225 102 MO : 186 170 185 109 TX : 260 215 220 102 : US : 3,531 3,060 3,090 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised 2/ Intended plantings in 2001 as indicated by reports from farmers. Sunflowers: Area Planted by Type, State, and United States, 1999-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Varietal : Area Planted Type and :--------------------------------------------------------------- State : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 1/ : 2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Acres ------------ Percent : Oil : CO : 175 120 120 100 KS : 250 200 290 145 MN : 80 55 50 91 NE : 49 55 65 118 ND : 1,250 1,020 900 88 SD : 870 700 600 86 TX : 25 15 30 200 : Oth Sts 2/3/4/: 58 54 54 100 : US : 2,757 2,219 2,109 95 : Non-Oil : CO : 95 65 85 131 KS : 30 20 30 150 MN : 50 35 50 143 NE : 52 35 40 114 ND : 450 320 300 94 SD : 50 40 50 125 TX : 50 45 55 122 : Oth Sts 2/3/4/: 19 13 13 100 : US : 796 573 623 109 : All : CO : 270 185 205 111 KS : 280 220 320 145 MN : 130 90 100 111 NE : 101 90 105 117 ND : 1,700 1,340 1,200 90 SD : 920 740 650 88 TX : 75 60 85 142 : Oth Sts 2/3/4/: 77 67 67 100 : US : 3,553 2,792 2,732 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2001 as indicated by reports from farmers. 2/ 2001 estimates carried forward from 2000. First 2001 estimate will be published in "Acreage" on June 29, 2001. 3/ For 1999, Other States include AR, CA, DE, FL, GA, IL, IN, KY, LA, MD, MI, MS, MO, MT, NJ, NM, NY, NC, OH, OK, PA, SC, TN, UT, VA, WA, WI, and WY. 4/ For 2000, and 2001, Other States include CA, GA, IL, LA, MI, MO, MT, NM, NY, OH, OK, PA, SC, UT, WA, WI, and WY. Canola: Area Planted by State and United States, 1999-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 1/ : 2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Acres ------------ Percent : MN : 105 140 135 96 ND : 855 1,270 1,600 126 : Oth Sts 2/3/4/ : 116 157 157 100 : US : 1,076 1,567 1,892 121 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2001 as indicated by reports from farmers. 2/ 2001 estimates carried forward from 2000. First 2001 estimate will be published in "Acreage" on June 29, 2001. 3/ For 1999, Other States include AL, AZ, AR, CA, CO, DE, FL, GA, ID, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, MO, MT, NE, NJ, NY, NC, OH, OK, OR, PA, SC, SD, TN, UT, VA, WA, WI, and WY. 4/ For 2000 and 2001, Other States include AL, AZ, CA, GA, ID, IN, KS, MI, MT, NY, OR, PA, SC, SD, and WA. Sweet Potatoes: Area Planted by State and United States, 1999-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 1/ : 2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 Acres ------------ Percent : AL : 3.3 3.3 2.9 88 CA : 10.0 9.7 9.2 95 GA : 0.7 0.6 0.6 100 LA : 24.0 25.0 25.0 100 MS : 10.5 12.7 14.0 110 NJ : 1.0 1.2 1.0 83 NC : 37.0 38.0 38.0 100 SC : 1.2 0.8 1.0 125 TX : 5.6 5.5 4.0 73 VA : 0.5 0.5 0.5 100 : US : 93.8 97.3 96.2 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2001 as indicated by reports from farmers. Peanuts: Area Planted by State and United States, 1999-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 1/ : 2001 2/ : 2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------------- 1,000 Acres --------------- Percent : AL : 207.0 200.0 195.0 98 FL : 102.0 94.0 95.0 101 GA : 546.0 492.0 480.0 98 NM : 22.0 24.0 24.0 100 NC : 126.0 123.0 123.0 100 OK : 83.0 97.0 90.0 93 SC : 11.5 12.0 12.0 100 TX : 360.0 425.0 370.0 87 VA : 77.0 76.0 76.0 100 : US : 1,534.5 1,543.0 1,465.0 95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Any revisions for the 2000 crop will be released in "Crop Production" published on April 10, 2001. 2/ Intended plantings in 2001 as indicated by reports from farmers. Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted by State and United States, 1999-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 2/ : 2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent : CA : 135.0 115.0 100.0 87 CO : 155.0 120.0 90.0 75 ID : 105.0 90.0 90.0 100 KS : 22.0 18.0 15.0 83 MI : 350.0 285.0 200.0 70 MN : 205.0 165.0 120.0 73 MT : 26.5 40.5 50.0 123 NE : 210.0 165.0 140.0 85 NM 3/ : 1.0 NY : 31.0 25.0 30.0 120 ND : 630.0 610.0 500.0 82 OR : 11.5 12.0 11.0 92 SD 4/ : 11.0 11.0 100 TX : 50.0 18.0 18.0 100 UT : 6.7 5.4 6.4 119 WA : 36.0 32.0 30.0 94 WI : 8.3 8.3 7.5 90 WY : 40.0 36.0 34.0 94 : US : 2,023.0 1,756.2 1,452.9 83 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed. 2/ Intended plantings in 2001 as indicated by reports from farmers. 3/ Estimates discontinued in 2000. 4/ Estimates began in 2000. All Hay: Area Harvested by State and United States, 1999-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 1/ : 2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------------- 1,000 Acres ------------- Percent : AL : 800 720 800 111 AZ : 240 247 250 101 AR : 1,240 1,250 1,250 100 CA : 1,580 1,530 1,540 101 CO : 1,520 1,400 1,550 111 CT : 61 65 60 92 DE : 15 17 17 100 FL : 260 270 270 100 GA : 600 650 700 108 ID : 1,430 1,390 1,410 101 IL : 850 850 850 100 IN : 700 750 750 100 IA : 1,700 1,700 1,700 100 KS : 2,750 2,800 2,900 104 KY : 2,400 2,450 2,300 94 LA : 380 350 410 117 ME : 162 132 130 98 MD : 210 235 240 102 MA : 107 96 105 109 MI : 1,300 1,300 1,300 100 MN : 2,450 2,250 2,400 107 MS : 850 800 800 100 MO : 3,650 3,720 3,850 103 MT : 2,600 2,000 2,500 125 NE : 3,200 3,050 3,200 105 NV : 480 490 485 99 NH : 62 58 60 103 NJ : 130 130 130 100 NM : 380 380 380 100 NY : 1,500 1,520 1,600 105 NC : 710 710 720 101 ND : 2,900 2,450 2,800 114 OH : 1,300 1,400 1,440 103 OK : 2,560 2,430 2,550 105 OR : 1,100 1,080 1,050 97 PA : 1,900 1,800 1,850 103 RI : 8 9 9 100 SC : 300 300 300 100 SD : 4,000 4,050 4,200 104 TN : 1,880 2,035 2,040 100 TX : 5,530 4,120 5,900 143 UT : 700 700 700 100 VT : 245 230 245 107 VA : 1,270 1,320 1,320 100 WA : 740 780 760 97 WV : 580 600 600 100 WI : 2,600 2,100 2,100 100 WY : 1,290 1,140 1,250 110 : US : 63,220 59,854 63,771 107 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended area harvested in 2001 as indicated by reports from farmers. Cotton: Area Planted by Type, State, and United States, 1999-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Type : Area Planted and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 1/ : 2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent : Upland : AL : 565.0 590.0 600.0 102 AZ : 270.0 280.0 280.0 100 AR : 970.0 960.0 1,050.0 109 CA : 610.0 775.0 660.0 85 FL : 107.0 130.0 120.0 92 GA : 1,470.0 1,500.0 1,500.0 100 KS : 33.0 40.0 44.0 110 LA : 615.0 710.0 800.0 113 MS : 1,200.0 1,300.0 1,500.0 115 MO : 380.0 400.0 400.0 100 NM : 84.0 90.0 75.0 83 NC : 880.0 930.0 1,050.0 113 OK : 240.0 280.0 300.0 107 SC : 330.0 300.0 310.0 103 TN : 570.0 570.0 600.0 105 TX : 6,150.0 6,400.0 6,000.0 94 VA : 110.0 110.0 105.0 95 : US : 14,584.0 15,365.0 15,394.0 100 : Amer-Pima : AZ : 9.0 6.0 7.0 117 CA : 240.0 145.0 190.0 131 NM : 7.5 4.5 7.0 156 TX : 33.0 16.0 16.0 100 : US : 289.5 171.5 220.0 128 : All : AL : 565.0 590.0 600.0 102 AZ : 279.0 286.0 287.0 100 AR : 970.0 960.0 1,050.0 109 CA : 850.0 920.0 850.0 92 FL : 107.0 130.0 120.0 92 GA : 1,470.0 1,500.0 1,500.0 100 KS : 33.0 40.0 44.0 110 LA : 615.0 710.0 800.0 113 MS : 1,200.0 1,300.0 1,500.0 115 MO : 380.0 400.0 400.0 100 NM : 91.5 94.5 82.0 87 NC : 880.0 930.0 1,050.0 113 OK : 240.0 280.0 300.0 107 SC : 330.0 300.0 310.0 103 TN : 570.0 570.0 600.0 105 TX : 6,183.0 6,416.0 6,016.0 94 VA : 110.0 110.0 105.0 95 : US : 14,873.5 15,536.5 15,614.0 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2001 as indicated by reports from farmers. Tobacco: Area Harvested by State and United States, 1999-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 1/ : 2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------------- Acres ----------------- Percent : CT : 3,040 1,700 2,400 141 FL : 5,800 4,500 4,500 100 GA : 33,000 31,000 27,000 87 IN : 6,500 3,800 3,800 100 KY : 221,650 137,700 130,500 95 MD : 6,500 6,000 2,600 43 MA : 1,320 550 1,300 236 MO : 2,300 1,400 1,500 107 NC : 207,800 170,400 169,400 99 OH : 9,800 7,500 7,500 100 PA : 6,200 5,100 2,800 55 SC : 39,000 34,000 32,000 94 TN : 63,170 51,920 41,220 79 VA : 38,300 27,900 28,400 102 WV : 1,600 1,300 1,300 100 WI : 1,180 960 1,450 151 : US : 647,160 485,730 457,670 94 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended area harvested in 2001 as indicated by reports from farmers. Tobacco: Area Harvested by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1999-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested Class and Type :-------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 1/ : 2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------------- Acres --------------- Percent : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 55,000 40,000 40,000 100 VA : 26,000 17,500 19,000 109 US : 81,000 57,500 59,000 103 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 119,000 102,000 102,000 100 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 26,000 21,000 21,000 100 SC : 39,000 34,000 32,000 94 US : 65,000 55,000 53,000 96 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 5,800 4,500 4,500 100 GA : 33,000 31,000 27,000 87 US : 38,800 35,500 31,500 89 Total 11-14 : 303,800 250,000 245,500 98 Class 2, Fire-cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 1,600 1,300 1,300 100 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 3,750 4,100 3,200 78 TN : 7,000 7,600 6,100 80 US : 10,750 11,700 9,300 79 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 3,500 3,800 3,000 79 TN : 570 630 500 79 US : 4,070 4,430 3,500 79 Total 21-23 : 16,420 17,430 14,100 81 Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-cured : Type 31, Burley : IN : 6,500 3,800 3,800 100 KY : 210,000 125,000 120,000 96 MO : 2,300 1,400 1,500 107 NC : 7,800 7,400 6,400 86 OH : 9,800 7,500 7,500 100 TN : 55,000 43,000 34,000 79 VA : 10,600 9,000 8,000 89 WV : 1,600 1,300 1,300 100 US : 303,600 198,400 182,500 92 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD : 6,500 6,000 2,600 43 PA : 3,000 2,700 900 33 US : 9,500 8,700 3,500 40 Total 31-32 : 313,100 207,100 186,000 90 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnotes at end of table. --continued Tobacco: Area Harvested by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1999-2001 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested Class and Type :-------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 1/ : 2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------------- Acres --------------- Percent : Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3B, Dark : Air-cured : Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 2,850 3,100 2,800 90 TN : 600 690 620 90 US : 3,450 3,790 3,420 90 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 1,550 1,700 1,500 88 Type 37, VA Sun-cured : Belt : VA : 100 100 100 100 Total 35-37 : 5,100 5,590 5,020 90 Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 3,200 2,400 1,900 79 Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 1,530 600 1,300 217 MA : 970 300 1,000 333 US : 2,500 900 2,300 256 Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI : WI : 890 730 1,100 151 Type 55, Northern WI : WI : 290 230 350 152 Total 54-55 : 1,180 960 1,450 151 Total 51-55 : 3,680 1,860 3,750 202 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper : Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-grown : CT : 1,510 1,100 1,100 100 MA : 350 250 300 120 US : 1,860 1,350 1,400 104 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 : 8,740 5,610 7,050 126 : All Tobacco : 647,160 485,730 457,670 94 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended area harvested in 2001 as indicated by reports from farmers. Sugarbeets: Area Planted by State and United States, 1999-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 2/ : 2001/2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent : CA : 110.0 98.0 43.0 44 CO : 72.1 71.5 49.5 69 ID : 211.0 212.0 203.0 96 MI : 194.0 189.0 180.0 95 MN : 480.0 490.0 483.0 99 MT : 61.8 60.7 60.0 99 NE : 72.7 78.2 59.0 75 ND : 251.6 258.0 258.0 100 OH : 1.8 1.2 1.0 83 OR : 20.1 16.2 11.0 68 WA : 27.5 28.4 30.0 106 WY : 58.0 61.0 55.0 90 : US : 1,560.6 1,564.2 1,432.5 92 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted beets in CA. 2/ Intended plantings in 2001 as indicated by reports from farmers. Biotechnology Varieties The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts the March Agricultural Survey in all States each year. Randomly selected farmers across the United States are asked what they intend to plant during the upcoming growing season. Questions include whether or not farmers intend to plant corn, soybean, or upland cotton seed that, through biotechnology, is resistant to herbicides, insects, or both. The biotechnology (biotech) questions were asked for the first time in March 2000. The States published individually in the following tables represent 82 percent of all corn planted acres, 89 percent of all soybean planted acres, and 82 percent of all upland cotton planted acres. Conventionally bred herbicide resistant varieties were excluded. Insect resistant varieties include only those containing bacillus thuringiensis (Bt). Stacked gene varieties include those containing biotech traits for both herbicide and insect resistance. The acreage estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations planting biotech varieties are not included in the sample. The variability for the 48 corn States, as measured by the relative standard error at the U.S. level, is approximately 2.2 percent for all biotech varieties, 2.8 percent for insect resistant (Bt) only varieties, 3.9 percent for herbicide resistant only varieties, and 9.3 percent for stacked gene varieties. This means that chances are approximately 95 out of 100 that survey estimates will be within plus or minus 4.4 percent for all biotech varieties, 5.6 percent for insect resistant (Bt) only varieties, 7.8 percent for herbicide resistant varieties, and 18.6 percent for stacked gene varieties. Variability for the 31 soybeans States is approximately 0.7 percent for herbicide resistant varieties. Variability for the 17 upland cotton States is approximately 1.4 percent for all biotech varieties, 0.7 percent for insect resistant (Bt) only varieties, 1.2 percent for herbicide resistant only varieties, and 0.9 percent for stacked gene varieties. Corn for Grain: Biotechnology Varieties by State and United States, Percent of All Corn Planted, 2000-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Insect Resistant (Bt) : Herbicide Resistant State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : IL : 13 11 3 3 IN : 7 5 4 5 IA : 23 20 5 6 KS : 25 25 7 10 MI : 8 7 4 7 MN : 28 24 7 8 MO : 20 19 6 8 NE : 24 18 8 6 OH : 6 6 3 3 SD : 35 29 11 14 WI : 13 11 4 4 : Oth Sts 1/: 10 12 6 7 : US : 18 16 6 7 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Stacked Gene Varieties : All Biotech Varieties :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : IL : 1 * 17 14 IN : * 1 11 11 IA : 2 2 30 28 KS : 1 2 33 37 MI : * 1 12 15 MN : 2 3 37 35 MO : 2 2 28 29 NE : 2 1 34 25 OH : * 1 9 10 SD : 2 3 48 46 WI : 1 2 18 17 : Oth Sts 1/: 1 1 17 20 : US : 1 1 25 24 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Data rounds to less than 0.5 percent. 1/ Other States includes all other States in the Corn estimating program. Upland Cotton: Biotechnology Varieties by State and United States, Percent of Upland Cotton Planted, 2000-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Insect Resistant (Bt) : Herbicide Resistant State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 33 21 23 16 CA : 3 5 17 17 GA : 18 12 32 29 LA : 37 39 13 10 MS : 29 16 13 16 NC : 11 6 29 22 TX : 7 6 33 38 : Oth Sts 1/: 17 19 21 25 : US : 15 13 26 28 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Stacked Gene Varieties : All Biotech Varieties :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 14 35 70 72 CA : 4 2 24 24 GA : 32 36 82 77 LA : 30 37 80 86 MS : 36 54 78 86 NC : 36 43 76 71 TX : 6 3 46 47 : Oth Sts 1/: 36 27 74 71 : US : 20 23 61 64 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States includes all other States in the Upland Cotton estimating program. Soybeans: Biotechnology Varieties by State and United States, Percent of All Soybeans Planted, 2000-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Herbicide Resistant Only : All Biotech Varieties State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 43 51 43 51 IL : 44 59 44 59 IN : 63 72 63 72 IA : 59 62 59 62 KS : 66 80 66 80 MI : 50 61 50 61 MN : 46 55 46 55 MS : 48 61 48 61 MO : 62 70 62 70 NE : 72 75 72 75 ND : 22 36 22 36 OH : 48 60 48 60 SD : 68 77 68 77 WI : 51 63 51 63 : Oth Sts 1/: 54 64 54 64 : US : 54 63 54 63 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States includes all other States in the Soybean estimating program. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2000-2001 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 5,844.0 5,321.0 5,201.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 79,545.0 76,693.0 72,732.0 Corn for Silage : 5,868.0 Hay, All : 59,854.0 63,771.0 Alfalfa : 23,077.0 All Other : 36,777.0 Oats : 4,477.0 4,425.0 2,324.0 2,204.0 Proso Millet : 440.0 370.0 Rice : 3,060.0 3,090.0 3,039.0 Rye : 1,335.0 302.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 9,195.0 9,368.0 7,723.0 Sorghum for Silage : 265.0 Wheat, All : 62,529.0 60,299.0 53,028.0 Winter : 43,348.0 41,336.0 35,022.0 Durum : 3,937.0 3,462.0 3,572.0 Other Spring : 15,244.0 15,501.0 14,434.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1,567.0 1,892.0 1,509.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 536.0 517.0 Mustard Seed : 46.0 42.9 Peanuts : 1,543.0 1,465.0 1,315.5 Rapeseed : 4.0 3.9 Safflower : 215.0 197.0 Soybeans for Beans : 74,496.0 76,657.0 72,718.0 Sunflower : 2,792.0 2,732.0 2,629.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 15,536.5 15,614.0 13,097.5 Upland : 15,365.0 15,394.0 12,927.0 Amer-Pima : 171.5 220.0 170.5 Sugarbeets : 1,564.2 1,432.5 1,378.1 Sugarcane : 1,037.0 Tobacco : 485.7 457.7 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 5.2 4.1 Dry Edible Beans : 1,756.2 1,452.9 1,606.4 Dry Edible Peas : 188.0 179.0 Lentils : 217.0 214.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 6.8 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.3 Hops : 36.1 Peppermint Oil : 89.5 Potatoes, All : 1,387.3 1,351.6 Winter : 17.2 16.8 17.0 14.0 Spring : 77.4 75.6 Summer : 64.7 61.8 Fall : 1,228.0 1,197.2 Spearmint Oil : 21.7 Sweet Potatoes : 97.3 96.2 94.2 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2001 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2000-2001 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Unit :------------------------------------------- : : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------ 1,000 ----- : : Grains & Hay : : Barley : Bu : 61.1 317,865 Corn for Grain : " : 137.1 9,968,358 Corn for Silage : Ton : 16.8 98,538 Hay, All : " : 2.54 152,183 Alfalfa : " : 3.48 80,347 All Other : " : 1.95 71,836 Oats : Bu : 64.2 149,195 Proso Millet : " : 19.8 7,320 Rice 2/ : Cwt : 6,281 190,872 Rye : Bu : 28.5 8,619 Sorghum for Grain : " : 60.9 470,070 Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 10.8 2,863 Wheat, All : Bu : 41.9 2,223,440 Winter : " : 44.6 1,562,733 Durum : " : 30.7 109,805 Other Spring : " : 38.2 550,902 : : Oilseeds : : Canola : Lb : 1,337 2,016,951 Cottonseed 3/ : Ton : 6,439 Flaxseed : Bu : 20.8 10,730 Mustard Seed : Lb : 852 36,570 Peanuts : " : 2,499 3,287,600 Rapeseed : " : 1,474 5,750 Safflower : " : 1,434 282,545 Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 38.1 2,769,665 Sunflower : Lb : 1,363 3,584,339 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 631 17,219.5 Upland 2/ : " : 625 16,822.0 Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 1,119 397.5 Sugarbeets : Ton : 23.6 32,521 Sugarcane : " : 35.0 36,346 Tobacco : Lb : 2,264 1,099,884 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,780 73 Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,646 26,440 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 1,955 3,499 Lentils 2/ : " : 1,415 3,029 Wrinkled Seed Peas : " : 680 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) : Lb : 1,340 9,100 Ginger Root (HI) : " : 50,000 13,500 Hops : " : 1,871 67,577 Peppermint Oil : " : 77 6,926 Potatoes, All : Cwt : 382 515,964 Winter : " : 292 268 4,960 3,750 Spring : " : 290 21,921 Summer : " : 301 18,579 Fall : " : 393 470,504 Spearmint Oil : Lb : 101 2,199 Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 145 13,613 Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 7,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2001 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2000-01 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 2,365,010 2,153,360 2,104,790 Corn for Grain 2/ :32,191,070 31,036,890 29,433,910 Corn for Silage : 2,374,720 Hay, All 3/ : 24,222,320 25,807,490 Alfalfa : 9,339,030 All Other : 14,883,280 Oats : 1,811,800 1,790,750 940,500 891,940 Proso Millet : 178,060 149,740 Rice : 1,238,350 1,250,490 1,229,850 Rye : 540,260 122,220 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 3,721,120 3,791,140 3,125,420 Sorghum for Silage : 107,240 Wheat, All 3/ :25,304,860 24,402,400 21,459,900 Winter :17,542,500 16,728,270 14,173,050 Durum : 1,593,260 1,401,040 1,445,550 Other Spring : 6,169,090 6,273,100 5,841,300 : Oilseeds : Canola : 634,150 765,670 610,680 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 216,910 209,220 Mustard Seed : 18,620 17,360 Peanuts : 624,440 592,870 532,370 Rapeseed : 1,620 1,580 Safflower : 87,010 79,720 Soybeans for Beans :30,147,790 31,022,320 29,428,250 Sunflower : 1,129,890 1,105,610 1,063,930 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 6,287,470 6,318,830 5,300,430 Upland : 6,218,060 6,229,800 5,231,430 Amer-Pima : 69,400 89,030 69,000 Sugarbeets : 633,020 579,719 557,700 Sugarcane : 419,660 Tobacco : 196,570 185,210 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 2,100 1,660 Dry Edible Beans : 710,720 587,970 650,090 Dry Edible Peas : 76,080 72,440 Lentils : 87,820 86,600 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,750 Ginger Root (HI) : 110 Hops : 14,620 Peppermint Oil : 36,220 Potatoes, All 3/ : 561,430 546,980 Winter : 6,960 6,800 6,880 5,670 Spring : 31,320 30,590 Summer : 26,180 25,010 Fall : 496,960 484,490 Spearmint Oil : 8,780 Sweet Potatoes : 39,380 38,930 38,120 Taro (HI) 4/ : 190 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2001 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2000-2001 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.29 6,920,690 Corn for Grain : 8.60 253,207,960 Corn for Silage : 37.64 89,392,170 Hay, All 2/ : 5.70 138,058,100 Alfalfa : 7.80 72,889,570 All Other : 4.38 65,168,520 Oats : 2.30 2,165,560 Proso Millet : 1.11 166,010 Rice : 7.04 8,657,810 Rye : 1.79 218,930 Sorghum for Grain : 3.82 11,940,330 Sorghum for Silage : 24.22 2,597,270 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.82 60,512,120 Winter : 3.00 42,530,620 Durum : 2.07 2,988,400 Other Spring : 2.57 14,993,100 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.50 914,870 Cottonseed 3/ : 5,841,000 Flaxseed : 1.30 272,550 Mustard Seed : 0.96 16,590 Peanuts : 2.80 1,491,230 Rapeseed : 1.65 2,610 Safflower : 1.61 128,160 Soybeans for Beans : 2.56 75,377,930 Sunflower : 1.53 1,625,830 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.71 3,749,100 Upland : 0.70 3,662,560 Amer-Pima : 1.25 86,550 Sugarbeets : 52.90 29,502,550 Sugarcane : 78.57 32,972,540 Tobacco : 2.54 498,900 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 2.00 3,310 Dry Edible Beans : 1.84 1,199,300 Dry Edible Peas : 2.19 158,710 Lentils : 1.59 137,390 Wrinkled Seed Peas : 30,840 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.50 4,130 Ginger Root (HI) : 56.04 6,120 Hops : 2.10 30,650 Peppermint Oil : 0.09 3,140 Potatoes, All 2/ : 42.79 23,403,730 Winter : 32.70 30.02 224,980 170,100 Spring : 32.50 994,320 Summer : 33.70 842,730 Fall : 44.05 21,341,700 Spearmint Oil : 0.11 1,000 Sweet Potatoes : 16.20 617,480 Taro (HI) 3/ : 3,180 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2001 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Winter Agricultural Summary Numerous winter storms replenished soil moisture supplies in most of last summer's drought-stricken Great Plains and western Corn Belt. Fieldwork was delayed in parts of the southern Great Plains and interior Mississippi Delta, as soils remained nearly saturated through most of the winter. Some streams and low-lying areas in eastern Texas and parts of Arkansas, Mississippi, Oklahoma, and Tennessee were flooded by excessive February rainfall. Along the Gulf Coast and Atlantic Coastal Plains, moisture reserves steadily diminished until March, when significant precipitation eased shortages. However, drought conditions persisted all winter across a large portion of Florida. Periods of sub-freezing temperatures threatened the unharvested Florida citrus crop in late December and early January. Across the northern Great Plains, below-normal snowfall limited the winter wheat crop's protection from abnormally cold weather. Also, strong winds drifted snow and left some wheat fields exposed or poorly protected. Cold weather limited growth of winter grains and forage crops in the southern Great Plains and Southeast. In California, early-winter moisture and snow pack deficits were erased by mid- and late-winter storm systems. In Texas, cold, wet, weather hampered fieldwork and hindered growth of small grains during January, especially on the Plains and eastern areas of the State. Wheat fields were dormant across the north Texas Plains during most of January, but oat fields in southern Texas began heading after mid-month. Vegetable and citrus harvests remained active in southern Texas during January, although cold, wet, weather slowed crop development and harvest progress early in the month. Grazing on winter forage crops was limited by slow growth and muddy fields. In February, fieldwork was aided by predominantly dry weather in southern Texas. Corn, cotton, and sorghum planting began in the Coastal Bend, Lower Valley, and South Texas regions. Adequate moisture and warm weather promoted germination and growth of early-planted fields. Fieldwork and planting continued in southern and coastal areas during March, but the pace was hampered by frequent rains. Fruit and nut trees began blooming in late February and by the beginning of Spring, some peach trees in southern Texas were setting fruit. Cool weather and moisture shortages hindered growth of California's winter crops during most of January, although precipitation and above-normal temperatures aided emergence and briefly accelerated growth near mid-month. Growers irrigated some crops to aid development. Most alfalfa fields were dormant in January due to cold weather and cutting ceased. New alfalfa fields were prepared, irrigated, and seeded. Winter wheat, oat, and barley fields were planted and fertilized. Growers harvested citrus fruit, pruned trees and vines, and applied dormant sprays. Some orchards were irrigated due to moisture shortages. In February, wet weather frequently delayed fieldwork, including tillage, orchard and vineyard activities, and fertilizer and pesticide applications. Precipitation provided beneficial moisture for development of dryland crops, but growth of small grains was hindered by below-normal temperatures. By the end of February, some early peach, nectarine, and plum varieties were developing bloom buds, but most of California's orchards and vineyards remained dormant due to cool weather. As Spring approached, warm weather stimulated crop growth and dry conditions aided fieldwork. Sugarbeets responded to above-normal temperatures with vigorous growth. Irrigated wheat, oat, and barley fields also benefited from the warm weather. A few wheat fields entered the heading stage. Warm, sunny weather accelerated growth and pollination in orchards and vineyards during March, with most fruit and nut trees in full bloom and early varieties setting fruit by the end of the month. Buds began swelling in vineyards and petals were falling from almond trees. In Florida, topsoil moisture was very short across much of the State, but moisture supplies were mostly adequate to sustain development of small grains and cool season forages in the Panhandle. In the peninsula, winter grazing of small grains was limited, as drought virtually halted vegetative growth. Orchard caretakers operated irrigation systems to keep trees in good condition. The northern Florida citrus-producing counties experienced freezing temperatures shortly after mid-December and another cold front brought freezing temperatures into central Florida in late December and early January. Overall, freeze damage to fruit was limited, but some new vegetative growth was lost. Vegetable producers ran irrigation equipment to prevent damage to crops. Citrus development gradually accelerated during February due to steadily rising temperatures. Trees in well-maintained groves produced new growth and bloom buds, especially after mid-February. Citrus, sugarcane, and vegetable harvests progressed with few rain delays. Much-needed rain arrived in Florida's citrus region after mid-March, but moisture shortages remained across most of the peninsula. At the beginning of Spring, the citrus bloom was in all stages. Some trees lost leaves and a portion of their bloom due to moisture shortages. Corn for grain: Growers intend to plant 76.7 million acres of corn for all purposes in 2001, down 4 percent from 2000 and down 1 percent from 1999. Expected acreage is down in almost all areas of the United States. Plantings are down throughout the Corn Belt due mostly to the high cost of inputs and low price prospects. Farmers intentions shifted away from corn in Texas and Louisiana as planting was hampered by frequent rains during the spring. Dry soils and lack of water reserves in the Southeast reduced intended corn plantings. The only region where farmers intend to plant more corn is in the Northeast where cool wet weather last spring prevented many corn acres from being planted. Numerous winter storms replenished soil moisture supplies in most of last summer's drought-stricken Great Plains and western Corn Belt. Fieldwork was delayed in parts of the southern Great Plains and interior Mississippi Delta, as soils remained nearly saturated through most of the winter. Farmers intend to plant 24 percent of their acreage with varieties developed using biotechnology, down 1 percentage point from 2000. If these intentions are realized, 16 percent of the acreage will be planted with varieties containing bacillus thuringiensis (Bt), down from 18 percent in 2000. Seven percent of the acreage will be planted with herbicide resistant varieties developed using biotechnology if intentions are realized, up 1 point from 2000. Stacked gene varieties, those containing both insect and herbicide resistance from biotechnology, will be planted on 1 percent of the acreage, equal to the percent of all planted acres in 2000. Sorghum: The 2001 sorghum acreage planted for all purposes is estimated at 9.37 million acres. This is up 2 percent from 2000 and represents the first increase since 1996. Sorghum acreage is expected to increase in 11 States and decrease in 6 States. Most Plains States reported increases, with Kansas and Nebraska reporting acreage up 100,000 acres and 50,000 acres, respectively. Texas expects a reduction of 100,000 acres. Oats: Acres seeded and to be seeded by U.S. farmers for the 2001 crop year is expected to total 4.43 million acres, down 52,000 acres from last year's final planted acres. Growers expect to harvest 2.2 million acres for grain, 120,000 acres less than the final 2000 harvested acreage. If intentions are realized, planted and harvested acres would be the lowest on record, breaking the previous record lows set last year. Lower acreage intentions in the Corn Belt, Northeast, and the Carolinas will more than offset acreage increases in the western States. In Nebraska and Texas, acres harvested for grain are expected to rebound from last year's drought reduced levels. Winter Wheat: Planted area for the 2001 crop is 41.3 million acres, down 5 percent from 2000. This is the lowest acres seeded to winter wheat since 1971. Of the total, about 29.1 million acres are Hard Red Winter, 8.8 million acres Soft Red Winter, and 3.4 million acres White Winter. Durum Wheat: Area seeded to Durum wheat is expected to total 3.46 million acres, down 12 percent from 2000. Poor growing and harvest conditions during the last several seasons have contributed to the sharp decline in North Dakota. Seeding in the San Joaquin and Imperial Valleys of California progressed rapidly during January and February. Most of the San Joaquin Valley acreage was planted prior to January. Planting began in the Imperial Valley in late November and continued into March. Other Spring Wheat: Growers intend to plant 15.5 million acres this year, up 2 percent from 2000. Of the total, about 14.6 million acres are Hard Red Spring wheat. The largest acreage increases are expected in Idaho, Minnesota, North Dakota, and Washington. Growers in Montana, Oregon, and South Dakota intend to plant fewer acres than a year ago. Barley: Growers intend to seed 5.32 million acres in 2001, down 9 percent from the 5.84 million acres seeded in 2000. North Dakota, with 1.60 million acres, is down 16 percent from last year and Montana is down 4 percent from a year ago. Of the 27 barley producing States only 5 plan to increase acreage. Soybeans: Soybean producers intend to plant 76.7 million acres in 2001, up 3 percent from last year. If realized, this will be the largest planted area for soybeans on record. Of the 31 soybean producing States, producers in 22 States intend to plant more acres this year, while producers in 8 States intend to plant fewer acres than in 2000. Oklahoma is expecting no change from the previous year. Of the eight major producing States, the largest intended increases in planted acres for 2001 are in Minnesota and Iowa, both up 300,000 acres from 2000. Growers in Indiana, Illinois, Missouri, Nebraska, and Ohio also intend to plant more acres in 2001, while Arkansas growers expect to plant fewer acres. Growers across the South and Atlantic states show a decline in planted acres for 2001. Producers intend to plant 63 percent of the soybean acreage to herbicide resistant varieties in 2001. Rice: Growers intend to plant 3.09 million acres, 1 percent above last year. Of the 6 rice producing States, 4 intend to plant more rice acres in 2001. Arkansas and California farmers intend to plant fewer acres. Long grain acreage intentions, representing 77 percent of the total, are up 8 percent from last year. Short grain acreage increased 3 percent, while the intended area planted to medium grain varieties is down 18 percent from a year ago. Sunflower: Growers are expected to plant a total of 2.73 million acres in 2001, down 2 percent from last year. Acres intended for oil type varieties, at 2.11 million acres, are down 5 percent from 2000, while non-oil varieties estimated at 623,000 acres are up 9 percent from last year. North Dakota growers intend to plant 1.20 million acres in 2001, down 10 percent from 2000. Growers in South Dakota also intend to plant fewer acres. Acreage increases are expected in Colorado, Kansas, Minnesota, Nebraska, and Texas. Canola: Producers intend to plant 1.89 million acres in 2001, an increase of 21 percent from 2000. Producers in North Dakota and Minnesota intend to plant 1.6 million and 135,000 acres, respectively. Sweet Potatoes: U. S. growers intend to plant 96,200 acres of sweet potatoes this year, down 1 percent from last year but 3 percent more than 1999. Reductions in Alabama, California, New Jersey, and Texas more than offset increases in Mississippi and South Carolina. Acreage is expected to be unchanged in Georgia, Louisiana, North Carolina, and Virginia. California acreage is off 5 percent from last year and 8 percent below two years ago. Growers have prepared slip hotbeds for transplanting in April and May. Acreage in Texas is expected to be 27 percent below 2000 and 29 percent less than 2 years ago. Field work is lagging where soils are wet because of recent rains. Acreage in Alabama is expected to be 12 percent below both 2000 and 1999. Growers in north Alabama are maintaining the same planting expectations as last year, while south Alabama's producers are cutting back acreage because of extremely dry conditions last year. Planting expectations in Mississippi are up 10 percent from last year. Louisiana and Georgia planting levels remain unchanged from a year ago. Planted acreage will likely be about the same as last year along the Atlantic Coast. New Jersey planting intentions are down 17 percent but unchanged from two years ago. South Carolina growers plan a 25 percent acreage increase. North Carolina and Virginia growers expect to see their 2001 acreage go unchanged from a year ago. Many farmers have planted their seed beds. The remainder are preparing their seed beds for April transplanting. Peanuts: Producers intend to plant 1.47 million acres of peanuts in 2001, down 5 percent from last year. Of the nine producing States four intend to plant fewer acres in 2001, four will show no change, and one intends to increase peanut acreage. Southeast growers (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) intend to plant 782,000 acres, down 2 percent from a year ago. In the Virginia - North Carolina region, producers intend to plant 199,000 acres, unchanged from last year. Growers in the Southwest (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) intend to plant 484,000 acres, 11 percent below 2000. Dry Beans: Area planted to dry beans for the 2001 crop year is expected to total 1.45 million acres, down 17 percent from last year and 28 percent below 1999. This is the lowest U.S. acreage since 1983, when 1.18 million acres were planted. Only three of the seventeen dry bean producing States, Montana, New York, and Utah intend to plant more acres of dry beans in 2001. Producers in North Dakota intend to plant 500,000 acres, down 18 percent from 2000 and 21 percent below 1999. If realized, this would be the lowest acreage for North Dakota since 1992 when 440,000 acres were planted. Low prices and the concern of expected increased Canada production have impacted many North Dakota producers with their planting decisions this March. Michigan growers are expected to plant 200,000 acres, 30 percent below last year and down 43 percent from 1999. Low prices and high carryover stocks are the main reasons for Michigan's record low planted acres. Expected planted acreage in Nebraska, at 140,000, is down 15 percent from 2000 and 33 percent below two years ago. If realized, this would be the lowest acreage for Nebraska since 1979 when planted acres were the same at 140,000. Growers in Minnesota are expected to plant 120,000 acres in 2001, 27 percent below last year and 41 percent below two years ago. If realized, this would be the lowest acreage for Minnesota since 1993 when 110,000 acres were planted. California growers are expected to plant a record low 100,000 acres, 13 percent below last year and down 26 percent from 1999. Growers in California are cutting back on dry bean acres due to uncertain water availability and low prices. Planted acreage in Colorado, at 90,000, is down 25 percent from 2000 and 42 percent below two years ago. If realized, this would be the lowest acreage for Colorado since 1921 when 52,000 acres were planted. Area planted in Idaho is expected to be 90,000 acres, unchanged from last year but down 14 percent from 1999. These seven states, North Dakota, Michigan, Nebraska, Minnesota, California, Colorado, and Idaho account for 85 percent of total planted acres. Planted acres in Montana, New York, and Utah are expected to increase 23 percent, 20 percent, and 19 percent, respectively, from 2000. Acres planted in South Dakota and Texas are expected to be the same as last year, whereas acres planted in Kansas, Oregon, Washington, Wisconsin, and Wyoming are expected to be down from 2000. Hay: Producers expect to harvest 63.8 million acres of hay in 2001, up 7 percent from the 59.9 million acres harvested in 2000. Increases are intended in 26 States across the nation. The greatest increase in acreage is planned in the Great Plains States where 2000 acreage was down due to dry conditions. Producers in Texas and Montana intend to increase harvested hay acreage by 1.78 million acres and 500,000 acres, respectively. Sixteen States report no expected changes in acreage. Cotton: Area planted to all cotton for 2001 is expected to total 15.6 million acres, up less than 1 percent from last year. If intentions are realized this would be the largest acreage since 1995 and the second largest since 1962. Upland cotton acreage is expected to total 15.4 million acres, 29,000 acres above 2000. Growers intend to plant 220,000 acres of American-Pima cotton, up 28 percent from last year. Low cotton prices and high energy costs have limited any significant increase in planting intentions. Producers in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia) intend to plant 3.69 million acres of upland cotton. This is an increase of 4 percent from 1999. North Carolina intends to increase acreage 13 percent over last year, surpassing one million cotton acres for the first time since 1937. Alabama and South Carolina are also showing increases from 2000, while Florida and Virginia are intending to plant slightly less cotton than last year. Georgia producers intend to plant the same amount of cotton as in 2000. Upland growers in the Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee) intend to plant 4.35 million acres, a 10 percent increase from 2000. Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Tennessee intend to increase cotton acreage in 2001, while producers in Missouri intend to hold cotton acreage at the same level as the previous year. Producers in Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and New Mexico intend to plant 6.42 million acres of upland cotton, a 6 percent decrease from 2000. High irrigation and fertilizer costs, coupled with low cotton prices have caused uncertainty among producers when deciding this years planting intentions. Upland planted acreage in California and Arizona is estimated at 940,000 acres, 11 percent below last year. California producers intend to plant 660,000 acres, a 15 percent decrease from 2000. Questionable water supplies, high energy costs, and low upland cotton prices have reduced expectations for this year. American-Pima acreage intentions are reported at 220,000 acres, an increase of 48,500 acres from last year. Arizona, California, and New Mexico all intend to increase the amount of acreage planted to American-Pima. Texas producers intend to plant the same amount of American-Pima cotton as in 2000. Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco area for harvest in 2001 is forecast at 457,670 acres, down 6 percent from the 2000 crop. If realized, this will be the lowest All-Tobacco acreage level since 1874. Expected acres for harvest were down for Flue-cured, Fire-cured, Light Air-cured, Dark Air-cured and Cigar Filler. Cigar Wrapper and Cigar Binder are up from last season. Flue-cured tobacco, at 245,500 acres, is 2 percent below a year ago. Flue-cured acreage, which accounts for 54 percent of this year's total tobacco acreage, is expected to hit its lowest level in recorded history. Acreage in North Carolina, the leading State, is unchanged from last year. Light Air-cured tobacco types are down 10 percent from last year. Burley tobacco, at 182,500 acres, is down 8 percent from a year ago. Acreage in Kentucky, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia is expected to decrease from a year ago. Indiana, Ohio, and West Virginia remained unchanged from the 2000 season. Missouri expects an increase in acres from last year. Southern Maryland type tobacco acres are estimated at 3,500 acres, down 60 percent from last year. Maryland and Pennsylvania growers expect to decrease their harvested acreage by 57 and 67 percent, respectively. Southern Maryland type acres decreased due to a combination of low prices and the Maryland tobacco buyout program. Fire-cured tobacco, at 14,100 acres, is 19 percent below the 2000 acreage. Expected acres harvested for Kentucky and Tennessee, the leading States, are down 22 and 20 percent, respectively. Virginia acreage is unchanged from last year. Dark Air-cured tobacco types, at 5,020 acres, are 10 percent below last year's harvested acres. One Sucker type tobacco is down 10 percent and Green River type tobacco is 12 percent lower. Sun-cured is expected to be the same as last year. All Cigar types, at 7,050 acres, is up 26 percent from last year. Acreage of Pennsylvania Seedleaf, at 1,900 acres, is down 21 percent. Connecticut and Massachusetts Broadleaf tobacco, at 2,300 acres, is up more than twice last year's disease affected crop. Connecticut and Massachusetts Shade-grown tobacco, at 1,400 acres, is up 4 percent from last year. Wisconsin Binder tobacco, at 1,450 acres, is up 51 percent. Sugarbeets: Area planted to sugarbeets for the 2001 crop year is expected to total 1.43 million acres, 8 percent below the 2000 planted acres. If intentions are realized, acreage will decrease in most of the sugarbeet producing States, especially in California, where acreage will be less than half of last year's level due to plant closures. Acreage is expected to increase slightly in Washington and remain unchanged in North Dakota. Reliability of Acreage Data in this Report Survey Procedures: The acreage estimates in this report are based primarily on surveys conducted the first 2 weeks of March. The March Agricultural Survey is a probability survey that includes about 69,000 operators selected from a list of producers that ensures all operations in the U.S. have a chance to be selected. These operators were contacted by mail, telephone, or personal interviews to obtain information on crop acreage planned for the 2001 crop year. Three basic survey indications are calculated from the March Agricultural Survey. One is called the direct expansion of the reported survey data. The reported acreage for each farm in the sample is multiplied times its chance of being included in the survey. The largest farms are selected with certainty, so their data are multiplied by 1.0. The smallest farms are selected with rates of 1 out of approximately 100. Their data are therefore multiplied by approximately 100.0. The second is a ratio of acreage reported by operators on the March survey to acreage reported by the same operators in 2000 surveys. This provides a measure of change between 2000 and 2001. The direct expansion for the March survey is divided by the direct expansion from the 2000 survey to obtain an additional measure of change. This third estimate utilizes data from all operators reporting on either survey. Estimating Procedures: National, Regional, State, and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). Survey data are compiled to the National level and are reviewed at this level independently of each State's review. Acreage estimates were based on survey estimates and the historical relationship of official estimates to survey estimates. Revision Policy: Acreage estimates in the "Prospective Plantings" report will not be revised. These estimates are intended to reflect grower intentions as of the survey period. New acreage estimates will be made based on surveys conducted in June when crop acreage have been established or planting intentions are firm. These new estimates will be published in the "Acreage" release scheduled for June 29, 2001. Winter wheat is an exception. Since winter wheat acreage were seeded prior to the March survey, and changes in estimates in this report are considered revisions. The estimate of the harvested acreage of winter wheat will be published on May 10, 2001, along with the first production forecast of the crop year. The winter wheat planted and harvested acreage is subject to revisions in the "Acreage" report. Reliability: The survey used to make acreage estimates is subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. Both types of errors for major crops generally are between 1.0 and 3.0 percent. Sampling errors represent the variability between estimates that would result if many different samples were surveyed at the same time. Sampling errors cannot be applied directly to the acreage published in this report to determine confidence intervals since the official estimates represent a composite of information from more than a single source. Non-sampling errors cannot be measured directly. They may occur due to incorrect reporting and/or recording, data omissions or duplications, and errors in processing. To minimize non-sampling errors, vigorous quality controls are used in the data collection process and all data are carefully reviewed for consistency and reasonableness. A method of evaluating the reliability of acreage estimates in this report is the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performances shown below for selected crops. This is computed by expressing the deviations between the planted acreage estimates and the final estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared percentage deviations for the 1981-2000 20-year period; the square root of this average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error". Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current estimates relative to the final estimates assuming that factors affecting this year's estimate are not different than those influencing the past 20 years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the corn planted estimate is 2.2 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current acreage estimate of 76.7 million acres will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 2.2 percent or approximately 1.69 million acres. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that difference will not exceed 3.8 percent or approximately 2.91 million acres. Also, shown in the table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the difference between the "Prospective Plantings" planted acres estimates and the final estimates. Using corn again as an example, changes between the intentions estimates and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 1.29 million acres ranging from 120,000 acres to 3.84 million acres. The prospective plantings estimates have been below the final estimate 7 times and above 13 times. This does not imply that the planted estimate this year is likely to understate or overstate the final estimate. Reliability of Prospective Plantings Planted Acreage Estimates -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : 20-Year Record of : : : Differences Between Forecast : : : and Final Estimate : : :------------------------------------ : Root Mean : : Thousand Acres : Number of Crop : Square Error : 90 : Quantity : Years : Percent : Percent :------------------------------------ : :Confidence : : : :Below:Above : : Interval :Average:Smallest:Largest:Final:Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Thousands ----- Number : Corn : 2.2 3.8 1,288 120 3,844 7 13 Sorghum : 7.8 13.4 741 76 2,471 11 9 Oats : 6.9 12.0 677 59 2,429 5 15 Barley : 5.2 9.0 400 80 1,369 7 13 Spring Wheat : 7.6 13.1 958 12 2,543 11 9 Soybeans : 2.8 4.8 1,361 0 5,046 13 6 Upland Cotton : 5.6 9.7 437 6 1,354 9 11 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Mark Harris, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127 Rhonda Brandt - Corn, Proso Millet (202) 720-9526 Herman Ellison - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Jay V. Johnson - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Roy Karkosh - Hay, Sorghum, Barley (202) 690-3234 Mark E. Miller - Oats, Sugar Crops, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621 Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127 Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Dave DeWalt - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Debbie Flippin - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202) 720-3250 Steve Gunn - Apples, Cherries, Cranberries, Prunes, Plums (202) 720-4288 Jeffrey Kissel - Noncitrus Fruits, Mint, Dry Beans & Peas, Mushrooms (202) 690-0270 Steve Gunn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-4288 Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940 Dave Ranek - Nuts, Floriculture, Nursery(202) 720-4215 Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2157 The next "Prospective Plantings" report will be released in March 2002. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA's TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 14th and Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice or TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: http://www.usda.gov/nass/. Select "Today's Reports" or Publications and then Reports by Calendar or Publications and then Search, by Title or Subject. E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION There are two options for subscribing via e-mail. All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. 1) Starting with the NASS Home Page at http://www.usda.gov/nass/, click on Publications, then click on the Subscribe by E-mail button which takes you to the page describing e-mail delivery of reports. Finally, click on Go to the Subscription Page and follow the instructions. 2) If you do NOT have Internet access, send an e-mail message to: usda-reports@usda.mannlib.cornell.edu. In the body of the message type the word: list. AUTOFAX ACCESS NASSFax service is available for some reports from your fax machine. Please call 202-720-2000, using the handset attached to your fax. Respond to the voice prompts. Document 0411 is a list of available reports. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - PRINTED REPORTS OR DATA PRODUCTS CALL OUR TOLL-FREE ORDER DESK: 800-999-6779 (U.S. and Canada) Other areas, please call 703-834-0125 FAX: 703-834-0110 (Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order acceptable for payment.) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ASSISTANCE For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or services, contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov.