Mt An 4 (6-06) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released June 30, 2006, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" call Bruce Boess at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory Up Slightly U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on June 1, 2006 was 60.9 million head. This was up slightly from June 1, 2005 and up 1 percent from March 1, 2006. Breeding inventory, at 6.06 million head, was up 1 percent from both last year and from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 54.9 million head, was up slightly from last year and up 2 percent from last quarter. The March-May 2006 pig crop, at 26.3 million head, was up 1 percent from 2005 and up 3 percent from 2004. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.90 million head, up 1 percent from both 2005 and 2004. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 48 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 9.08 for the March-May 2006 period, compared to 9.02 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.60 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 9.20 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.92 million sows farrow during the June-August 2006 quarter, up slightly from the actual farrowings in 2005, but up 1 percent from 2004. Intended farrowings for September-November 2006, at 2.92 million sows, are up one percent from both 2005 and 2004. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 38 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, down from 40 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for June 2005 through March 2006 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review, small adjustments of less than one-half of one percent were made to the December 2005 total inventory, March 2006 total inventory and to the September-November 2005 pig crop. This report was approved on June 30, 2006. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Charles F. Conner Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Carol C. House Contents Page Quarterly U.S. Inventory by Class and Weight Group, 2004-20061 Quarterly U.S. Sows Farrowed, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, 2004-2006. . . . . . . . . . . . 2 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory by State and U.S., 2004-2006 March 1 . . . . . . . . . . 5 June 1 . . . . . . . . . . 7 September 1 . . . . . . . . 9 December 1 . . . . . . . .11 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, Pig Crop by State and U.S., 2004-2006 December-February. . .13 March-May . . . . . . . . .14 June-August . . . . . . . .15 September-November. . . . .16 Monthly U.S. Farrowings, December-November 2005-200617 Reliability Statement. . . . . .18 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2004-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2006 as % of Item : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 :------------- : : : : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,520 59,699 60,046 101 101 Kept for Breeding : 5,961 5,941 6,025 101 101 Market : 53,558 53,757 54,021 101 100 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,823 19,667 19,838 100 101 60-119 Pounds : 12,954 13,087 13,076 101 100 120-179 Pounds : 11,205 11,360 11,284 101 99 180 Pounds and Over : 9,578 9,644 9,824 103 102 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,698 60,732 60,927 100 100 Kept for Breeding : 5,937 5,977 6,060 102 101 Market : 54,760 54,754 54,867 100 100 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,292 20,423 20,598 102 101 60-119 Pounds : 13,500 13,376 13,442 100 100 120-179 Pounds : 11,256 11,143 11,195 99 100 180 Pounds and Over : 9,714 9,813 9,633 99 98 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 61,519 61,846 Kept for Breeding : 5,962 5,972 Market : 55,556 55,873 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,729 20,764 60-119 Pounds : 13,613 13,876 120-179 Pounds : 11,235 11,404 180 Pounds and Over : 9,981 9,830 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,975 61,449 Kept for Breeding : 5,969 6,011 Market : 55,005 55,438 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,980 20,055 60-119 Pounds : 13,439 13,524 120-179 Pounds : 11,186 11,293 180 Pounds and Over : 10,401 10,567 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2004-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : 2006 as % of Item : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 :--------------- : : : : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ Percent : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ : 2,836 2,835 2,840 100 100 Mar-May : 2,870 2,882 2,897 101 101 Dec-May 2/ : 5,706 5,716 5,737 101 100 : Jun-Aug 3/ : 2,905 2,918 2,922 101 100 Sep-Nov 3/ : 2,888 2,900 2,924 101 101 Jun-Nov 3/ : 5,793 5,818 5,846 101 100 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 25,105 25,343 25,656 102 101 Mar-May : 25,633 25,986 26,301 103 101 Dec-May 2/ : 50,737 51,330 51,956 102 101 : Jun-Aug : 26,162 26,449 Sep-Nov : 25,881 26,187 Jun-Nov : 52,043 52,635 : : ------------- Number ------------- Percent Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 8.85 8.94 9.03 102 101 Mar-May : 8.93 9.02 9.08 102 101 Dec-May 2/ : 8.89 8.98 9.06 102 101 : Jun-Aug : 9.01 9.06 Sep-Nov : 8.96 9.03 Jun-Nov : 8.98 9.05 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 2006. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2005-20061/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2005 : Dec-Feb 2/ : 7.50 7.80 8.30 8.80 8.90 9.00 Mar-May : 7.50 7.90 8.30 8.80 9.00 9.10 Jun-Aug : 7.60 7.90 8.70 8.80 9.00 9.10 Sep-Nov : 7.50 8.00 8.50 8.70 9.00 9.10 : 2006 : Dec-Feb 2/ : 7.50 8.00 8.30 8.80 9.00 9.10 Mar-May : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.80 9.00 9.20 Jun-Aug : Sep-Nov : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth. 2/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2006 : : 2006 : : 2006 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2005 : :as % of: 2005 : :as % of: 2005 : :as % of : :Number : 2005 : :Number : 2005 : :Number : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 245 185 76 330 270 82 CO : 140 150 107 670 670 100 810 820 101 IL : 430 420 98 3,570 3,630 102 4,000 4,050 101 IN : 290 310 107 2,710 2,790 103 3,000 3,100 103 IA : 1,080 1,100 102 15,020 15,200 101 16,100 16,300 101 KS : 155 165 106 1,525 1,545 101 1,680 1,710 102 MI : 100 100 100 820 860 105 920 960 104 MN : 590 580 98 5,710 5,820 102 6,300 6,400 102 MO : 330 345 105 2,520 2,355 93 2,850 2,700 95 NE : 355 355 100 2,395 2,545 106 2,750 2,900 105 NC : 1,010 1,020 101 8,690 8,480 98 9,700 9,500 98 OH : 160 160 100 1,340 1,360 101 1,500 1,520 101 OK : 360 360 100 2,020 1,970 98 2,380 2,330 98 PA : 105 100 95 995 1,000 101 1,100 1,100 100 SD : 145 155 107 1,215 1,275 105 1,360 1,430 105 TX : 95 100 105 815 830 102 910 930 102 WI : 50 50 100 380 370 97 430 420 98 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 461 470 102 3,117 3,136 101 3,579 3,606 101 : US : 5,941 6,025 101 53,757 54,021 100 59,699 60,046 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 145 140 35 15 30 15 35 15 CO : 365 350 115 90 85 80 105 150 IL : 1,360 1,280 840 870 760 800 610 680 IN : 1,000 1,020 650 710 570 560 490 500 IA : 4,330 4,670 4,230 4,150 3,490 3,440 2,970 2,940 KS : 540 520 255 285 280 335 450 405 MI : 325 315 190 200 160 175 145 170 MN : 2,230 2,240 1,390 1,370 1,250 1,310 840 900 MO : 1,190 1,085 520 490 480 460 330 320 NE : 970 1,000 600 660 470 490 355 395 NC : 3,410 3,400 2,030 1,940 1,830 1,690 1,420 1,450 OH : 550 550 310 315 300 305 180 190 OK : 960 910 330 360 260 210 470 490 PA : 290 360 290 270 230 210 185 160 SD : 430 445 295 300 270 275 220 255 TX : 295 265 190 190 160 195 170 180 WI : 145 145 90 90 80 70 65 65 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,132 1,143 727 771 655 664 604 559 : US : 19,667 19,838 13,087 13,076 11,360 11,284 9,644 9,824 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2006 : : 2006 : : 2006 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2005 : :as % of: 2005 : :as % of: 2005 : :as % of : :Number : 2005 : :Number : 2005 : :Number : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 205 190 93 290 275 95 CO : 140 150 107 640 670 105 780 820 105 IL : 430 430 100 3,670 3,720 101 4,100 4,150 101 IN : 300 320 107 2,800 2,880 103 3,100 3,200 103 IA : 1,070 1,080 101 15,130 15,220 101 16,200 16,300 101 KS : 155 160 103 1,535 1,640 107 1,690 1,800 107 MI : 100 100 100 810 860 106 910 960 105 MN : 600 590 98 6,000 6,110 102 6,600 6,700 102 MO : 340 350 103 2,510 2,350 94 2,850 2,700 95 NE : 355 365 103 2,445 2,535 104 2,800 2,900 104 NC : 1,020 1,020 100 8,880 8,580 97 9,900 9,600 97 OH : 160 165 103 1,420 1,415 100 1,580 1,580 100 OK : 360 360 100 2,020 1,980 98 2,380 2,340 98 PA : 100 100 100 970 970 100 1,070 1,070 100 SD : 145 160 110 1,255 1,280 102 1,400 1,440 103 TX : 100 105 105 830 845 102 930 950 102 WI : 50 55 110 380 365 96 430 420 98 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 467 465 99 3,254 3,257 100 3,722 3,722 100 : US : 5,977 6,060 101 54,754 54,867 100 60,732 60,927 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 140 140 20 15 20 15 25 20 CO : 355 350 110 85 60 90 115 145 IL : 1,340 1,350 900 910 770 820 660 640 IN : 1,040 1,080 700 760 550 550 510 490 IA : 4,600 4,760 4,130 4,160 3,500 3,410 2,900 2,890 KS : 550 575 305 345 280 295 400 425 MI : 310 325 200 195 155 170 145 170 MN : 2,410 2,430 1,440 1,500 1,220 1,290 930 890 MO : 1,230 1,135 480 490 450 420 350 305 NE : 960 1,000 640 670 490 490 355 375 NC : 3,560 3,540 2,140 1,960 1,720 1,690 1,460 1,390 OH : 580 580 340 350 300 300 200 185 OK : 960 920 330 320 230 260 500 480 PA : 285 320 290 280 225 205 170 165 SD : 465 465 320 305 250 260 220 250 TX : 325 265 150 215 160 200 195 165 WI : 150 145 90 95 70 70 70 55 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,163 1,218 791 787 693 660 608 593 : US : 20,423 20,598 13,376 13,442 11,143 11,195 9,813 9,633 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2005 : : 2005 : : 2005 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2004 : :as % of: 2004 : :as % of: 2004 : :as % of : :Number : 2004 : :Number : 2004 : :Number : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 80 85 106 240 200 83 320 285 89 CO : 140 145 104 580 715 123 720 860 119 IL : 410 420 102 3,590 3,630 101 4,000 4,050 101 IN : 300 300 100 2,950 2,800 95 3,250 3,100 95 IA : 1,060 1,080 102 15,340 15,520 101 16,400 16,600 101 KS : 160 155 97 1,630 1,565 96 1,790 1,720 96 MI : 100 100 100 840 830 99 940 930 99 MN : 590 600 102 6,010 6,200 103 6,600 6,800 103 MO : 330 340 103 2,570 2,510 98 2,900 2,850 98 NE : 360 350 97 2,490 2,450 98 2,850 2,800 98 NC : 1,030 1,020 99 9,270 9,080 98 10,300 10,100 98 OH : 160 160 100 1,350 1,400 104 1,510 1,560 103 OK : 360 360 100 2,100 2,060 98 2,460 2,420 98 PA : 105 95 90 955 985 103 1,060 1,080 102 SD : 140 140 100 1,080 1,240 115 1,220 1,380 113 TX : 110 100 91 920 890 97 1,030 990 96 WI : 50 50 100 390 370 95 440 420 95 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 477 472 99 3,251 3,428 105 3,729 3,901 105 : US : 5,962 5,972 100 55,556 55,873 101 61,519 61,846 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 140 145 35 20 35 15 30 20 CO : 320 400 85 110 75 85 100 120 IL : 1,380 1,380 840 890 770 800 600 560 IN : 1,080 1,050 710 720 600 550 560 480 IA : 4,740 4,780 4,200 4,400 3,350 3,450 3,050 2,890 KS : 550 535 340 355 285 265 455 410 MI : 320 320 200 195 170 165 150 150 MN : 2,420 2,450 1,440 1,500 1,240 1,320 910 930 MO : 1,270 1,180 500 520 450 470 350 340 NE : 970 980 660 660 470 460 390 350 NC : 3,670 3,650 2,350 2,130 1,850 1,780 1,400 1,520 OH : 570 580 330 335 270 290 180 195 OK : 1,000 930 370 300 250 270 480 560 PA : 290 300 245 270 195 220 225 195 SD : 390 440 270 315 240 255 180 230 TX : 340 290 185 210 210 195 185 195 WI : 150 145 90 90 80 70 70 65 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,129 1,209 763 856 695 744 666 620 : US : 20,729 20,764 13,613 13,876 11,235 11,404 9,981 9,830 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2005 : : 2005 : : 2005 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2004 : :as % of: 2004 : :as % of: 2004 : :as % of : :Number : 2004 : :Number : 2004 : :Number : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 245 185 76 330 270 82 CO : 140 145 104 660 705 107 800 850 106 IL : 420 430 102 3,680 3,570 97 4,100 4,000 98 IN : 290 310 107 2,910 2,940 101 3,200 3,250 102 IA : 1,070 1,070 100 15,230 15,530 102 16,300 16,600 102 KS : 155 160 103 1,555 1,630 105 1,710 1,790 105 MI : 110 100 91 840 860 102 950 960 101 MN : 600 590 98 5,900 6,010 102 6,500 6,600 102 MO : 340 345 101 2,560 2,355 92 2,900 2,700 93 NE : 355 350 99 2,495 2,500 100 2,850 2,850 100 NC : 1,020 1,010 99 8,880 8,790 99 9,900 9,800 99 OH : 155 165 106 1,295 1,395 108 1,450 1,560 108 OK : 360 360 100 2,030 2,010 99 2,390 2,370 99 PA : 115 100 87 965 1,000 104 1,080 1,100 102 SD : 140 165 118 1,200 1,325 110 1,340 1,490 111 TX : 100 100 100 890 830 93 990 930 94 WI : 50 55 110 380 375 99 430 430 100 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 464 471 101 3,290 3,428 104 3,755 3,899 104 : US : 5,969 6,011 101 55,005 55,438 101 60,975 61,449 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 130 130 40 20 35 15 40 20 CO : 355 390 100 95 75 85 130 135 IL : 1,410 1,300 830 860 770 740 670 670 IN : 1,010 1,060 750 730 600 560 550 590 IA : 4,580 4,610 4,130 4,180 3,340 3,520 3,180 3,220 KS : 460 570 330 315 340 315 425 430 MI : 330 315 195 205 160 175 155 165 MN : 2,250 2,320 1,420 1,460 1,250 1,200 980 1,030 MO : 1,200 1,105 530 480 480 450 350 320 NE : 970 980 650 660 470 470 405 390 NC : 3,520 3,450 2,150 2,130 1,700 1,720 1,510 1,490 OH : 535 550 310 330 270 295 180 220 OK : 970 920 340 320 230 240 490 530 PA : 280 310 275 280 215 215 195 195 SD : 410 450 300 325 260 290 230 260 TX : 300 270 200 195 205 180 185 185 WI : 135 150 90 85 80 75 75 65 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,135 1,175 799 854 706 748 651 652 : US : 19,980 20,055 13,439 13,524 11,186 11,293 10,401 10,567 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2005-2006 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2006 : per Litter : : 2006 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2005 : :as % of : : : 2005 : :as % of : : Number : 2005 : 2005 : 2006 : : Number : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 43 41 95 9.55 9.50 411 390 95 CO : 75 79 105 8.55 8.80 641 695 108 IL : 210 195 93 8.90 9.00 1,869 1,755 94 IN : 130 130 100 8.80 8.95 1,144 1,164 102 IA : 440 455 103 8.90 9.00 3,916 4,095 105 KS : 80 84 105 8.70 8.85 696 743 107 MI : 44 48 109 9.00 9.30 396 446 113 MN : 275 270 98 9.10 9.10 2,503 2,457 98 MO : 170 165 97 9.05 9.00 1,539 1,485 96 NE : 175 175 100 9.00 9.15 1,575 1,601 102 NC : 540 540 100 8.85 9.10 4,779 4,914 103 OH : 77 75 97 9.00 9.10 693 683 99 OK : 190 190 100 8.80 8.70 1,672 1,653 99 PA : 47 47 100 9.50 9.90 447 465 104 SD : 72 76 106 9.40 9.40 677 714 105 TX : 43 41 95 9.20 8.60 396 353 89 WI : 24 26 108 8.75 8.55 210 222 106 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 200 203 102 8.91 8.97 1,779 1,821 102 : US : 2,835 2,840 100 8.94 9.03 25,343 25,656 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2006 : per Litter : : 2006 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2005 : :as % of : : : 2005 : :as % of : : Number : 2005 : 2005 : 2006 : : Number : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 42 41 98 9.70 9.60 407 394 97 CO : 77 81 105 8.80 8.90 678 721 106 IL : 210 205 98 8.95 9.05 1,880 1,855 99 IN : 135 135 100 8.85 8.90 1,195 1,202 101 IA : 440 455 103 9.05 8.95 3,982 4,072 102 KS : 83 81 98 8.80 9.10 730 737 101 MI : 45 46 102 9.00 9.20 405 423 104 MN : 290 280 97 9.15 9.30 2,654 2,604 98 MO : 170 170 100 9.10 9.10 1,547 1,547 100 NE : 175 180 103 9.05 9.15 1,584 1,647 104 NC : 550 550 100 8.90 9.10 4,895 5,005 102 OH : 77 79 103 9.00 9.00 693 711 103 OK : 190 185 97 8.90 8.90 1,691 1,647 97 PA : 47 46 98 9.10 9.10 428 419 98 SD : 75 82 109 9.30 9.35 698 767 110 TX : 45 44 98 9.40 9.25 423 407 96 WI : 25 27 108 8.75 8.70 219 235 107 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 206 210 102 9.13 9.09 1,877 1,908 102 : US : 2,882 2,897 101 9.02 9.08 25,986 26,301 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2004-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2006 3/ : per Litter : : 2005 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2004 : 2005 : :as % of: : : 2004 : :as % of : : :Number : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : :Number : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 43 44 41 93 9.40 9.60 404 422 104 CO : 70 81 85 105 8.40 8.80 588 713 121 IL : 210 205 215 105 8.90 8.90 1,869 1,825 98 IN : 140 140 145 104 9.00 8.90 1,260 1,246 99 IA : 440 460 450 98 8.90 9.00 3,916 4,140 106 KS : 87 83 83 100 8.80 8.80 766 730 95 MI : 48 48 48 100 9.20 9.25 442 444 100 MN : 285 280 280 100 9.05 9.30 2,579 2,604 101 MO : 170 170 165 97 9.00 9.05 1,530 1,539 101 NE : 175 175 180 103 8.90 9.05 1,558 1,584 102 NC : 560 560 550 98 9.15 9.10 5,124 5,096 99 OH : 75 78 80 103 8.90 9.10 668 710 106 OK : 195 200 180 90 9.00 8.90 1,755 1,780 101 PA : 46 47 48 102 9.20 9.40 423 442 104 SD : 68 71 84 118 9.30 9.40 632 667 106 TX : 56 45 48 107 9.05 9.10 507 410 81 WI : 24 25 26 104 8.85 8.70 212 218 103 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 213 206 214 104 9.06 9.12 1,929 1,879 97 : US : 2,905 2,918 2,922 100 9.01 9.06 26,162 26,449 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2004-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2006 3/ : per Litter : : 2005 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2004 : 2005 : :as % of: : : 2004 : :as % of : : :Number : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : :Number : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 42 42 40 95 9.50 9.70 399 407 102 CO : 73 81 85 105 8.45 8.80 617 713 116 IL : 210 200 215 108 8.85 8.85 1,859 1,770 95 IN : 135 135 150 111 8.85 9.00 1,195 1,215 102 IA : 460 455 450 99 8.90 9.00 4,094 4,095 100 KS : 83 84 83 99 8.80 8.70 730 731 100 MI : 46 47 49 104 9.20 9.20 423 432 102 MN : 285 280 280 100 9.10 9.25 2,594 2,590 100 MO : 170 175 165 94 8.95 8.95 1,522 1,566 103 NE : 170 175 180 103 9.00 9.05 1,530 1,584 104 NC : 550 550 550 100 9.00 9.00 4,950 4,950 100 OH : 77 81 80 99 9.00 9.10 693 737 106 OK : 190 190 185 97 8.90 8.90 1,691 1,691 100 PA : 49 47 47 100 9.50 9.80 466 461 99 SD : 71 81 82 101 9.20 9.30 653 753 115 TX : 46 44 44 100 8.95 8.90 412 392 95 WI : 25 27 26 96 8.80 8.65 220 234 106 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 206 206 213 103 8.91 9.04 1,833 1,866 102 : US : 2,888 2,900 2,924 101 8.96 9.03 25,881 26,187 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2005-2006 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head -- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 938 937 8.89 8.98 8,338 8,411 Jan : 951 953 8.94 9.07 8,500 8,647 Feb : 946 950 8.99 9.05 8,505 8,598 Mar : 967 973 8.99 9.03 8,693 8,782 Apr : 962 956 9.00 9.09 8,656 8,691 May : 953 968 9.06 9.12 8,637 8,828 Jun : 968 9.07 8,779 Jul : 978 9.04 8,845 Aug : 972 9.08 8,825 Sep : 982 9.04 8,874 Oct : 970 9.05 8,777 Nov : 948 9.00 8,536 : Total : 11,535 9.01 103,965 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Reliability of June 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 10,000 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of June data were collected from about 8,000 operations, 81 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of June 1. Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year census of agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 60.9 million head by more than 1.0 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.7 percent. Reliability of June 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.0 1.7 1,036 494 58 1,386 4 16 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 1.3 2.3 605 260 2 824 2 18 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : Quarter : 1.3 2.2 64 32 7 91 7 13 : Following : Quarter : 1.7 3.0 88 41 2 126 9 11 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch(202) 720-3570 William Weaver, Head, Livestock Section (202) 720-3570 Bruce Boess - Hogs and Pigs(202) 720-3106 Shawn Clark - Dairy Products(202) 690-3236 Scott Hollis - Sheep & Lambs, Goats(202) 720-4751 Mike Miller - Cattle, Cattle on Feed(202) 720-3040 Katy Paulsen - Livestock Slaughter(515) 284-4340 Ann Summa - Milk Production and Milk Cows(202) 720-3278 Charmaine Wilson - Dairy Products Prices(202) 690-2168 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.nass.usda.gov. 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