Quarterly Hogs and Pigs ISSN: 1949-1921 Released September 25, 2015, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). United States Hog Inventory Up 4 Percent United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on September 1, 2015 was 68.4 million head. This was up 4 percent from September 1, 2014, and up 2 percent from June 1, 2015. This is the highest inventory of all hogs and pigs since quarterly United States estimates began in 1988. Breeding inventory, at 5.99 million head, was up 1 percent from last year, and up 1 percent from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 62.4 million head, was up 4 percent from last year, and up 2 percent from last quarter. This is the highest market hog inventory since quarterly United States estimates began in 1988. The June-August 2015 pig crop, at 30.6 million head, was up 1 percent from 2014. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.94 million head, down 2 percent from 2014. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 50 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high 10.39 for the June-August period, compared to 10.16 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 8.00 for operations with 1- 99 hogs and pigs to 10.40 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. United States hog producers intend to have 2.92 million sows farrow during the September-November 2015 quarter, down 2 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2014, but up 5 percent from 2013. Intended farrowings for December-February 2016, at 2.87 million sows, are down 1 percent from 2015, but up 4 percent from 2014. The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 47 percent of the total United States hog inventory, up from 46 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for September 2014 through June 2015 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. The net revision made to the December 2014 all hogs and pigs inventory was 2.6 percent. The net revision made to the March 2015 all hogs and pigs inventory was 2.2 percent. A revision of 3.0 percent was made to the December-February 2015 pig crop. This report was approved on September 25, 2015. Secretary of Agriculture Designate Robert Johansson Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson James M. Harris Contents Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter - United States: 2014 and 2015.............. 4 Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter - United States: 2013-2016................................ 5 Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation - United States: 2014 and 2015..................................... 5 Quarterly Litter Rate - United States................................................................... 6 Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation - United States: June-August 2015.................................. 6 Quarterly Sows Farrowed - United States................................................................. 7 Quarterly Pig Crop - United States...................................................................... 7 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: March 1, 2014 and 2015................ 8 Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: March 1, 2014 and 2015..................... 8 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: June 1, 2014 and 2015................. 9 Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: June 1, 2014 and 2015...................... 9 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: September 1, 2014 and 2015............ 10 Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: September 1, 2014 and 2015................. 10 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: December 1, 2013 and 2014............. 11 Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: December 1, 2013 and 2014.................. 11 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: December-February 2014-2016... 12 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: March-May 2014 and 2015....... 12 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: June-August 2014 and 2015..... 13 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: September-November 2013-2015.. 13 Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - United States: December-November 2014 and 2015.. 14 Statistical Methodology................................................................................. 14 Reliability of September 1 Hog Estimates................................................................ 15 Information Contacts.................................................................................... 15 Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter - United States: 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : 2015 as Item : 2014 : 2015 : percent : : : of 2014 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 head ---- percent : March 1 inventory : All hogs and pigs ....................: 61,494 67,399 110 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,851 5,982 102 Market .............................: 55,643 61,418 110 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 17,336 19,454 112 50-119 pounds ......................: 15,487 17,129 111 120-179 pounds .....................: 12,538 13,580 108 180 pounds and over ................: 10,281 11,255 109 : June 1 inventory : All hogs and pigs ....................: 61,568 66,900 109 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,855 5,926 101 Market .............................: 55,713 60,975 109 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 18,254 19,455 107 50-119 pounds ......................: 15,801 17,181 109 120-179 pounds .....................: 11,491 12,910 112 180 pounds and over ................: 10,166 11,429 112 : September 1 inventory : All hogs and pigs ....................: 65,979 68,395 104 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,920 5,986 101 Market .............................: 60,059 62,410 104 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 20,390 20,291 100 50-119 pounds ......................: 17,458 17,986 103 120-179 pounds .....................: 12,112 13,080 108 180 pounds and over ................: 10,098 11,053 109 : December 1 inventory : All hogs and pigs ....................: 67,776 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,939 Market .............................: 61,838 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 19,801 50-119 pounds ......................: 17,366 120-179 pounds .....................: 13,000 180 pounds and over ................: 11,671 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter - United States: 2013-2016 [May not add due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : : : 2016 as : 2013 : 2014 : 2015 : 2016 : 2015 as percent of : percent : : : : :---------------------------: Item : : : : : 2013 : 2014 : of 2015 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head 1,000 head 1,000 head 1,000 head percent percent percent Sows farrowing : December-February 1/ 2/ : 2,788 2,763 2,895 2,875 104 105 99 March-May ..............: 2,806 2,810 2,850 102 101 December-May 1/ ........: 5,595 5,573 5,745 103 103 : June-August ............: 2,890 2,991 2,944 102 98 September-November 3/ ..: 2,780 2,994 2,920 105 98 June-November 4/ .......: 5,670 5,985 5,864 103 98 : Pig crop : December-February 1/ ...: 28,099 26,326 29,630 105 113 March-May ..............: 28,921 27,495 29,563 102 108 December-May 1/ ........: 57,020 53,821 59,193 104 110 : June-August ............: 29,862 30,402 30,585 102 101 September-November .....: 28,253 30,633 June-November ..........: 58,115 61,035 : : number number number number percent percent percent : Pigs per litter : December-February 1/ ...: 10.08 9.53 10.23 101 107 March-May ..............: 10.31 9.78 10.37 101 106 December-May 1/ ........: 10.19 9.66 10.30 101 107 : June-August ............: 10.33 10.16 10.39 101 102 September-November .....: 10.16 10.23 June-November ..........: 10.25 10.20 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Intentions for 2016. 3/ Intentions for 2015. 4/ Actual farrowings for June-August plus intentions for September-November. Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation - United States: 2014 and 2015 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per litter on operations having 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : head : head : head : head : head : head ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : number : 2014 : December-February ...: 7.70 8.30 8.50 8.90 9.50 9.60 March-May ...........: 7.80 8.50 8.80 9.20 9.70 9.80 June-August .........: 8.00 8.70 9.10 9.50 10.00 10.20 September-November ..: 8.10 8.80 9.20 9.60 10.10 10.30 : 2015 : December-February ...: 7.90 8.60 9.00 9.40 10.00 10.30 March-May ...........: 8.00 8.70 9.10 9.50 10.10 10.40 June-August .........: 8.00 8.70 9.10 9.50 10.10 10.40 September-November ..: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: March 1, 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2015 :2015 as: : 2015 :2015 as: : 2015 :2015 as State : 2014 : :percent: 2014 : :percent: 2014 : :percent : : :of 2014: : :of 2014: : :of 2014 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent -- 1,000 head -- percent -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 160 140 88 520 570 110 680 710 104 Illinois ........: 500 490 98 3,750 4,260 114 4,250 4,750 112 Indiana .........: 270 280 104 3,080 3,470 113 3,350 3,750 112 Iowa ............: 1,010 1,030 102 18,490 19,770 107 19,500 20,800 107 Kansas ..........: 170 175 103 1,460 1,685 115 1,630 1,860 114 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 890 1,030 116 1,000 1,140 114 Minnesota .......: 550 570 104 6,950 7,430 107 7,500 8,000 107 Missouri ........: 355 400 113 1,995 2,500 125 2,350 2,900 123 Nebraska ........: 400 420 105 2,600 2,730 105 3,000 3,150 105 North Carolina ..: 870 890 102 6,930 7,710 111 7,800 8,600 110 : Ohio ............: 170 180 106 1,830 2,150 117 2,000 2,330 117 Oklahoma ........: 430 440 102 1,520 1,750 115 1,950 2,190 112 Pennsylvania ....: 95 100 105 1,015 1,040 102 1,110 1,140 103 South Dakota ....: 170 165 97 1,020 1,145 112 1,190 1,310 110 Texas ...........: 100 100 100 430 820 191 530 920 174 Utah ............: 75 75 100 635 595 94 710 670 94 : Other States 1/ .: 416 417 100 2,528 2,763 109 2,944 3,179 108 : United States ...: 5,851 5,982 102 55,643 61,418 110 61,494 67,399 110 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: March 1, 2014 and 2015 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 270 280 95 100 75 90 80 100 Illinois ........: 1,070 1,330 1,100 1,260 810 890 770 780 Indiana .........: 890 990 880 970 620 710 690 800 Iowa ............: 4,570 5,030 5,780 6,410 4,850 4,940 3,290 3,390 Kansas ..........: 390 445 345 415 275 335 450 490 Michigan ........: 275 295 190 235 225 260 200 240 Minnesota .......: 2,490 2,600 2,000 2,050 1,480 1,550 980 1,230 Missouri ........: 920 1,250 385 505 320 380 370 365 Nebraska ........: 820 870 730 780 545 615 505 465 North Carolina ..: 2,630 2,800 1,650 1,810 1,540 1,640 1,110 1,460 : Ohio ............: 580 660 555 630 465 510 230 350 Oklahoma ........: 580 740 335 370 225 270 380 370 Pennsylvania ....: 250 265 345 340 190 240 230 195 South Dakota ....: 330 375 280 305 210 250 200 215 Texas ...........: 80 230 105 215 75 200 170 175 Utah ............: 290 265 130 105 110 120 105 105 : Other States 1/ .: 901 1,029 582 629 523 580 521 525 : United States ...: 17,336 19,454 15,487 17,129 12,538 13,580 10,281 11,255 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: June 1, 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2015 :2015 as: : 2015 :2015 as: : 2015 :2015 as State : 2014 : :percent: 2014 : :percent: 2014 : :percent : : :of 2014: : :of 2014: : :of 2014 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent -- 1,000 head -- percent -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 160 145 91 530 555 105 690 700 101 Illinois ........: 490 490 100 3,810 4,110 108 4,300 4,600 107 Indiana .........: 270 270 100 3,230 3,330 103 3,500 3,600 103 Iowa ............: 1,000 1,000 100 18,100 20,000 110 19,100 21,000 110 Kansas ..........: 170 180 106 1,470 1,670 114 1,640 1,850 113 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 880 990 113 990 1,100 111 Minnesota .......: 570 550 96 7,080 7,500 106 7,650 8,050 105 Missouri ........: 380 395 104 2,070 2,505 121 2,450 2,900 118 Nebraska ........: 390 410 105 2,610 2,790 107 3,000 3,200 107 North Carolina ..: 860 880 102 6,740 7,120 106 7,600 8,000 105 : Ohio ............: 165 185 112 1,805 2,185 121 1,970 2,370 120 Oklahoma ........: 430 440 102 1,460 1,790 123 1,890 2,230 118 Pennsylvania ....: 100 105 105 1,010 1,055 104 1,110 1,160 105 South Dakota ....: 175 170 97 1,035 1,150 111 1,210 1,320 109 Texas ...........: 100 105 105 570 765 134 670 870 130 Utah ............: 75 75 100 645 635 98 720 710 99 : Other States 1/ .: 410 416 102 2,668 2,825 106 3,078 3,240 105 : United States ...: 5,855 5,926 101 55,713 60,975 109 61,568 66,900 109 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: June 1, 2014 and 2015 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 275 280 105 120 70 75 80 80 Illinois ........: 1,220 1,270 1,160 1,210 770 850 660 780 Indiana .........: 890 940 980 950 580 670 780 770 Iowa ............: 4,890 5,100 5,640 6,380 4,470 4,820 3,100 3,700 Kansas ..........: 410 430 360 495 260 335 440 410 Michigan ........: 270 275 210 255 200 240 200 220 Minnesota .......: 2,580 2,570 2,150 2,200 1,290 1,540 1,060 1,190 Missouri ........: 1,005 1,255 405 475 315 370 345 405 Nebraska ........: 840 860 770 765 510 630 490 535 North Carolina ..: 2,750 2,830 1,590 1,650 1,230 1,320 1,170 1,320 : Ohio ............: 530 640 570 650 440 525 265 370 Oklahoma ........: 620 740 350 380 180 290 310 380 Pennsylvania ....: 275 290 340 335 190 230 205 200 South Dakota ....: 345 405 265 320 205 220 220 205 Texas ...........: 130 240 145 195 140 135 155 195 Utah ............: 270 280 130 120 115 115 130 120 : Other States 1/ .: 954 1,050 631 681 526 545 556 549 : United States ...: 18,254 19,455 15,801 17,181 11,491 12,910 10,166 11,429 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: September 1, 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : :2015 as: : :2015 as: : :2015 as State : 2014 : 2015 :percent: 2014 : 2015 :percent: 2014 : 2015 :percent : : :of 2014: : :of 2014: : :of 2014 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent -- 1,000 head -- percent -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 155 145 94 555 595 107 710 740 104 Illinois ........: 510 500 98 4,140 4,250 103 4,650 4,750 102 Indiana .........: 280 280 100 3,320 3,470 105 3,600 3,750 104 Iowa ............: 1,030 1,000 97 19,770 20,200 102 20,800 21,200 102 Kansas ..........: 170 180 106 1,660 1,760 106 1,830 1,940 106 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 920 990 108 1,030 1,100 107 Minnesota .......: 550 560 102 7,200 7,390 103 7,750 7,950 103 Missouri ........: 390 400 103 2,460 2,650 108 2,850 3,050 107 Nebraska ........: 390 410 105 2,710 2,790 103 3,100 3,200 103 North Carolina ..: 870 880 101 7,530 7,820 104 8,400 8,700 104 : Ohio ............: 170 185 109 1,910 2,215 116 2,080 2,400 115 Oklahoma ........: 430 470 109 1,620 1,760 109 2,050 2,230 109 Pennsylvania ....: 100 100 100 1,060 1,070 101 1,160 1,170 101 South Dakota ....: 175 170 97 1,095 1,160 106 1,270 1,330 105 Texas ...........: 100 105 105 670 755 113 770 860 112 Utah ............: 75 75 100 645 655 102 720 730 101 : Other States 1/ .: 415 416 100 2,794 2,880 103 3,209 3,295 103 : United States ...: 5,920 5,986 101 60,059 62,410 104 65,979 68,395 104 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: September 1, 2014 and 2015 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 310 300 105 110 85 85 55 100 Illinois ........: 1,270 1,320 1,280 1,280 830 860 760 790 Indiana .........: 1,040 1,010 960 1,000 620 720 700 740 Iowa ............: 5,510 5,310 6,470 6,530 4,470 4,910 3,320 3,450 Kansas ..........: 485 480 500 495 315 305 360 480 Michigan ........: 290 295 225 240 205 225 200 230 Minnesota .......: 2,610 2,550 2,190 2,200 1,400 1,490 1,000 1,150 Missouri ........: 1,270 1,275 470 560 360 400 360 415 Nebraska ........: 940 880 800 790 505 590 465 530 North Carolina ..: 3,110 3,200 1,820 1,960 1,430 1,410 1,170 1,250 : Ohio ............: 560 650 600 680 460 515 290 370 Oklahoma ........: 720 795 390 410 220 280 290 275 Pennsylvania ....: 265 275 370 370 225 225 200 200 South Dakota ....: 380 415 305 315 200 215 210 215 Texas ...........: 210 190 190 205 140 180 130 180 Utah ............: 300 280 130 130 115 120 100 125 : Other States 1/ .: 1,120 1,066 653 711 532 550 488 553 : United States ...: 20,390 20,291 17,458 17,986 12,112 13,080 10,098 11,053 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: December 1, 2013 and 2014 [May not add due to rounding] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2014 :2014 as: : 2014 :2014 as: : 2014 : 2014 as State : 2013 : :percent: 2013 : :percent: 2013 : : percent : : :of 2013: : :of 2013: : : of 2013 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 head -- percent --- 1,000 head -- percent --- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 150 150 100 540 550 102 690 700 101 Illinois ........: 500 500 100 4,050 4,200 104 4,550 4,700 103 Indiana .........: 280 290 104 3,370 3,410 101 3,650 3,700 101 Iowa ............: 970 1,010 104 19,230 20,290 106 20,200 21,300 105 Kansas ..........: 170 180 106 1,580 1,660 105 1,750 1,840 105 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 950 1,060 112 1,060 1,170 110 Minnesota .......: 550 560 102 7,250 7,540 104 7,800 8,100 104 Missouri ........: 345 400 116 2,405 2,450 102 2,750 2,850 104 Nebraska ........: 390 400 103 2,660 2,800 105 3,050 3,200 105 North Carolina ..: 870 880 101 7,630 7,920 104 8,500 8,800 104 : Ohio ............: 170 170 100 2,030 2,060 101 2,200 2,230 101 Oklahoma ........: 420 440 105 1,560 1,680 108 1,980 2,120 107 Pennsylvania ....: 100 100 100 980 1,040 106 1,080 1,140 106 South Dakota ....: 165 160 97 1,035 1,110 107 1,200 1,270 106 Texas ...........: 80 100 125 510 710 139 590 810 137 Utah ............: 75 75 100 625 535 86 700 610 87 : Other States 1/ .: 412 414 101 2,613 2,823 108 3,025 3,236 107 : United States ...: 5,757 5,939 103 59,018 61,838 105 64,775 67,776 105 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: December 1, 2013 and 2014 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 260 265 95 125 75 80 110 80 Illinois ........: 1,250 1,360 1,210 1,180 730 800 860 860 Indiana .........: 1,010 1,040 900 950 650 660 810 760 Iowa ............: 4,840 5,310 5,940 6,500 4,850 4,740 3,600 3,740 Kansas ..........: 420 445 345 415 310 340 505 460 Michigan ........: 305 310 210 245 200 250 235 255 Minnesota .......: 2,650 2,650 1,980 2,200 1,390 1,520 1,230 1,170 Missouri ........: 1,150 1,170 450 470 325 380 480 430 Nebraska ........: 830 950 750 840 560 535 520 475 North Carolina ..: 2,600 3,010 1,800 1,830 1,630 1,580 1,600 1,500 : Ohio ............: 640 590 600 600 440 530 350 340 Oklahoma ........: 560 660 380 420 265 290 355 310 Pennsylvania ....: 265 265 310 340 190 225 215 210 South Dakota ....: 355 380 280 285 185 220 215 225 Texas ...........: 90 175 105 170 130 150 185 215 Utah ............: 265 220 115 110 120 110 125 95 : Other States 1/ .: 899 1,001 610 686 526 590 577 546 : United States ...: 18,389 19,801 16,080 17,366 12,576 13,000 11,972 11,671 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: December-February 2014-2016 [December preceding year. May not add due to rounding] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : : : : : State : : : : 2016 as : : : : : 2015 as : 2014 : 2015 : 2016 2/ : percent : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : percent : : : : of 2015 : : : : : of 2014 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------- 1,000 head -------- percent ----- number ---- --- 1,000 head --- percent : Colorado ...........: 71 69 71 103 8.80 9.80 625 676 108 Illinois ...........: 245 245 260 106 10.00 10.20 2,450 2,499 102 Indiana ............: 120 140 140 100 9.20 10.10 1,104 1,414 128 Iowa ...............: 480 510 485 95 9.90 10.70 4,752 5,457 115 Kansas .............: 80 88 87 99 9.15 10.00 732 880 120 Michigan ...........: 49 52 48 92 9.20 10.50 451 546 121 Minnesota ..........: 275 285 280 98 10.50 11.00 2,888 3,135 109 Missouri ...........: 180 205 195 95 9.10 9.80 1,638 2,009 123 Nebraska ...........: 165 170 170 100 10.55 11.00 1,741 1,870 107 North Carolina .....: 435 445 445 100 8.40 9.50 3,654 4,228 116 : Ohio ...............: 90 88 87 99 8.00 10.45 720 920 128 Oklahoma ...........: 180 195 190 97 9.15 10.15 1,647 1,979 120 Pennsylvania .......: 44 46 47 102 10.40 10.20 458 469 102 South Dakota .......: 82 85 89 105 10.65 10.80 873 918 105 Texas ..............: 41 43 46 107 8.60 9.05 353 389 110 Utah ...............: 40 35 39 111 10.00 8.70 400 305 76 : Other States 3/ ....: 186 194 196 101 9.89 9.98 1,840 1,936 105 : United States ......: 2,763 2,895 2,875 99 9.53 10.23 26,326 29,630 113 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 2/ Intentions. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: March-May 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2015 : 2015 as : : : : 2015 : 2015 as State : : : : : : : : : 2014 : : percent : : : 2014 : : percent : : : of 2014 : 2014 : 2015 : : : of 2014 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent ---- number --- -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 73 70 96 9.30 10.00 679 700 103 Illinois ........: 250 230 92 9.90 10.50 2,475 2,415 98 Indiana .........: 125 130 104 9.25 10.50 1,156 1,365 118 Iowa ............: 470 495 105 10.60 10.60 4,982 5,247 105 Kansas ..........: 82 83 101 9.25 9.95 759 826 109 Michigan ........: 52 50 96 8.90 10.70 463 535 116 Minnesota .......: 290 275 95 10.60 11.05 3,074 3,039 99 Missouri ........: 185 200 108 8.90 10.40 1,647 2,080 126 Nebraska ........: 170 170 100 10.50 11.20 1,785 1,904 107 North Carolina ..: 440 445 101 8.70 9.30 3,828 4,139 108 : Ohio ............: 80 88 110 9.50 10.60 760 933 123 Oklahoma ........: 185 195 105 9.60 10.35 1,776 2,018 114 Pennsylvania ....: 48 49 102 10.30 10.30 494 505 102 South Dakota ....: 90 86 96 10.70 10.95 963 942 98 Texas ...........: 43 50 116 9.40 9.50 404 475 118 Utah ............: 41 41 100 10.50 9.80 431 402 93 : Other States 2/ .: 186 193 104 9.78 10.56 1,819 2,038 112 : United States ...: 2,810 2,850 101 9.78 10.37 27,495 29,563 108 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: June-August 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2015 :2015 as : : : : 2015 :2015 as State : : : : : : : : : 2014 : :percent : : : 2014 : :percent : : :of 2014 : 2014 : 2015 : : :of 2014 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent --- number --- 1,000 head percent : Colorado ...........: 73 70 96 9.45 10.10 690 707 102 Illinois ...........: 260 250 96 10.20 10.15 2,652 2,538 96 Indiana ............: 145 140 97 9.80 10.60 1,421 1,484 104 Iowa ...............: 530 500 94 10.70 10.80 5,671 5,400 95 Kansas .............: 85 88 104 9.90 10.30 842 906 108 Michigan ...........: 51 50 98 10.10 11.00 515 550 107 Minnesota ..........: 290 295 102 10.85 11.15 3,147 3,289 105 Missouri ...........: 205 205 100 9.80 9.85 2,009 2,019 100 Nebraska ...........: 175 170 97 10.90 11.10 1,908 1,887 99 North Carolina .....: 470 465 99 9.50 9.70 4,465 4,511 101 : Ohio ...............: 86 90 105 10.00 10.50 860 945 110 Oklahoma ...........: 200 195 98 9.70 10.40 1,940 2,028 105 Pennsylvania .......: 49 48 98 10.10 10.40 495 499 101 South Dakota .......: 89 90 101 10.65 10.85 948 977 103 Texas ..............: 44 47 107 9.90 9.00 436 423 97 Utah ...............: 42 42 100 10.40 9.60 437 403 92 : Other States 2/ ....: 197 199 101 9.97 10.14 1,966 2,019 103 : United States ......: 2,991 2,944 98 10.16 10.39 30,402 30,585 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: September-November 2013-2015 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : 2015 2/ : 2015 as : : : : 2014 : 2014 as State : : : : : : : : : : 2013 : 2014 : : percent : : : 2013 : : percent : : : : of 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : : : of 2013 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- 1,000 head ------ percent ---- number --- -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 72 71 71 100 9.40 9.70 677 689 102 Illinois ........: 235 255 260 102 10.20 10.25 2,397 2,614 109 Indiana .........: 130 150 140 93 10.05 10.20 1,307 1,530 117 Iowa ............: 455 510 490 96 10.60 10.70 4,823 5,457 113 Kansas ..........: 80 87 87 100 9.25 10.30 740 896 121 Michigan ........: 49 53 50 94 10.15 10.20 497 541 109 Minnesota .......: 290 305 290 95 10.80 10.95 3,132 3,340 107 Missouri ........: 180 210 205 98 10.30 9.50 1,854 1,995 108 Nebraska ........: 165 180 175 97 10.75 11.00 1,774 1,980 112 North Carolina ..: 445 460 450 98 9.50 10.00 4,228 4,600 109 : Ohio ............: 85 92 85 92 10.40 10.35 884 952 108 Oklahoma ........: 185 195 190 97 9.95 10.20 1,841 1,989 108 Pennsylvania ....: 47 48 47 98 10.30 10.30 484 494 102 South Dakota ....: 82 86 90 105 10.75 10.85 882 933 106 Texas ...........: 38 50 48 96 8.55 8.40 325 420 129 Utah ............: 40 39 39 100 10.10 6.70 404 261 65 : Other States 3/ .: 202 203 203 100 9.90 9.59 2,004 1,942 97 : United States ...: 2,780 2,994 2,920 98 10.16 10.23 28,253 30,633 108 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 2/ Intentions. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - United States: December-November 2014 and 2015 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing 1/ : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 head -- ----- number ---- --- 1,000 head --- : December .......: 921 962 9.60 10.32 8,846 9,926 January ........: 924 974 9.47 10.16 8,753 9,895 February .......: 918 960 9.51 10.22 8,727 9,809 March ..........: 953 965 9.59 10.38 9,139 10,021 April ..........: 922 943 9.78 10.40 9,025 9,807 May ............: 935 942 9.98 10.33 9,331 9,735 June ...........: 999 993 10.08 10.35 10,078 10,275 July ...........: 992 974 10.20 10.39 10,122 10,112 August .........: 1,000 978 10.20 10.43 10,202 10,198 September ......: 1,024 10.20 10,451 October ........: 994 10.26 10,203 November .......: 975 10.24 9,979 : Total ..........: 11,558 9.94 114,856 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 8,100 United States producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large operations were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of September 2015, data were collected from about 6,150 operations, 76 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face- to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of September 1, 2015. Estimating Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.4 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 68.4 million head by more than 1.4 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 2.4 percent. Reliability of September 1 Hog Estimates [Based on data for the previous twenty quarters] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Root mean : 90 percent : Difference between first and latest estimate : square error : confidence : : : : : : : level :------------------------------------------------------------- Item : : : : : : Years : : : : : :------------------------------- : : : Average :Smallest : Largest : Below latest : Above latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : percent percent --------- 1,000 -------- ----- number ----- : All hogs and pigs ............: 1.4 2.4 749 0 1,726 11 9 : Pig crop .....................: 2.3 4.0 538 0 1,260 11 9 : Expected farrowings : : Next quarter ...............: 2.7 4.7 65 0 167 10 10 : Following quarter ..........: 2.9 5.0 69 15 197 9 11 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov. Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch ........... (202) 720-3570 Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section ........... (202) 690-2424 Sherry Bertramsen - Livestock Slaughter ...... (202) 720-3240 Doug Bounds - Hogs and Pigs .................. (202) 720-3106 Donnie Fike - Dairy Products ................. (202) 690-3236 Michael Klamm - Cattle, Cattle on Feed ....... (202) 720-3040 Mike Miller - Milk Production and Milk Cows .. (202) 720-3278 Vacant - Sheep and Goats ..................... (202) 720-3570 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: http://www.nass.usda.gov Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e- mail subscription. 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