Mt An 4 (3-06) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released March 31, 2006, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" call Bruce Boess at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory Up 1 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on March 1, 2006 was 60.1 million head. This was up 1 percent from March 1, 2005, but down 2 percent from December 1, 2005. Breeding inventory, at 6.03 million head, was up 1 percent from last year and up slightly from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 54.1 million head, was up 1 percent from last year but down 2 percent from last quarter. The December 2005-February 2006 pig crop, at 25.7 million head, up 1 percent from 2005 and up 2 percent from 2004. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.84 million head, up slightly from both 2004 and 2005. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 47 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 9.03 for the December 2005-February 2006 period, compared to 8.94 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.50 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 9.10 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.90 million sows farrow during the March-May 2006 quarter, up 1 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period in both 2004 and 2005. Intended farrowings for June-August 2006, at 2.92 million sows, are up slightly from 2005 and up 1 percent from 2004. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 39 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, unchanged from last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2005 through December 2005 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review, small adjustments of less than one-half of one percent were made to the September 2005 and December 2005 total inventory. An adjustment of slightly larger than one-half of one percent was made to the June-August pig crop. This report was approved on March 31, 2006. Secretary of Agriculture Mike Johanns Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Carol C. House Contents Page Quarterly U.S. Inventory by Class and Weight Group, 2004-20061 Quarterly U.S. Sows Farrowed, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, 2004-2006. . . . . . . . . . . . 2 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory by State and U.S., 2004-2006 March 1 . . . . . . . . . . 4 June 1 . . . . . . . . . . 6 September 1 . . . . . . . . 8 December 1 . . . . . . . .10 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, Pig Crop by State and U.S., 2004-2006 December-February. . .12 March-May . . . . . . . . .13 June-August . . . . . . . .14 September-November. . . . .15 Monthly U.S. Farrowings, December-November 2005-200616 Reliability Statement. . . . . .17 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2004-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2006 as % of Item : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 :------------- : : : : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,520 59,699 60,104 101 101 Kept for Breeding : 5,961 5,941 6,025 101 101 Market : 53,558 53,757 54,079 101 101 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,823 19,667 19,838 100 101 60-119 Pounds : 12,954 13,087 13,114 101 100 120-179 Pounds : 11,205 11,360 11,317 101 100 180 Pounds and Over : 9,578 9,644 9,811 102 102 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,698 60,732 Kept for Breeding : 5,937 5,977 Market : 54,760 54,754 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,292 20,423 60-119 Pounds : 13,500 13,376 120-179 Pounds : 11,256 11,143 180 Pounds and Over : 9,714 9,813 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 61,519 61,846 Kept for Breeding : 5,962 5,972 Market : 55,556 55,873 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,729 20,764 60-119 Pounds : 13,613 13,876 120-179 Pounds : 11,235 11,404 180 Pounds and Over : 9,981 9,830 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,975 61,327 Kept for Breeding : 5,969 6,011 Market : 55,005 55,316 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,980 19,955 60-119 Pounds : 13,439 13,502 120-179 Pounds : 11,186 11,291 180 Pounds and Over : 10,401 10,569 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2004-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : 2006 as % of Item : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 :--------------- : : : : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ Percent : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ : 2,836 2,835 2,840 100 100 Mar-May 3/ : 2,870 2,882 2,896 101 101 Dec-May 2/ 4/ : 5,706 5,716 5,736 101 100 : Jun-Aug 3/ : 2,905 2,918 2,923 101 100 Sep-Nov : 2,888 2,888 Jun-Nov : 5,793 5,806 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 25,105 25,343 25,654 102 101 Mar-May : 25,633 25,986 Dec-May 2/ : 50,737 51,330 : Jun-Aug : 26,162 26,449 Sep-Nov : 25,881 26,080 Jun-Nov : 52,043 52,528 : : ------------- Number ------------- Percent Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 8.85 8.94 9.03 102 101 Mar-May : 8.93 9.02 Dec-May 2/ : 8.89 8.98 : Jun-Aug : 9.01 9.06 Sep-Nov : 8.96 9.03 Jun-Nov : 8.98 9.05 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 2006. 4/ Actual farrowings for December 2005-February 2006 plus intentions for March-May 2006. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2005 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.50 7.80 8.30 8.80 8.90 9.00 Mar-May : 7.50 7.90 8.30 8.80 9.00 9.10 Jun-Aug : 7.60 7.90 8.70 8.80 9.00 9.10 Sep-Nov : 7.50 8.00 8.50 8.70 9.00 9.10 : 2006 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.50 8.00 8.30 8.80 9.00 9.10 Mar-May : Jun-Aug : Sep-Nov : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2006 : : 2006 : : 2006 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2005 : :as % of: 2005 : :as % of: 2005 : :as % of : :Number : 2005 : :Number : 2005 : :Number : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 245 185 76 330 270 82 CO : 140 150 107 670 670 100 810 820 101 IL : 430 420 98 3,570 3,630 102 4,000 4,050 101 IN : 290 310 107 2,710 2,790 103 3,000 3,100 103 IA : 1,080 1,100 102 15,020 15,200 101 16,100 16,300 101 KS : 155 165 106 1,525 1,555 102 1,680 1,720 102 MI : 100 100 100 820 860 105 920 960 104 MN : 590 580 98 5,710 5,820 102 6,300 6,400 102 MO : 330 345 105 2,520 2,355 93 2,850 2,700 95 NE : 355 355 100 2,395 2,545 106 2,750 2,900 105 NC : 1,010 1,020 101 8,690 8,480 98 9,700 9,500 98 OH : 160 160 100 1,340 1,370 102 1,500 1,530 102 OK : 360 360 100 2,020 1,970 98 2,380 2,330 98 PA : 105 100 95 995 1,010 102 1,100 1,110 101 SD : 145 155 107 1,215 1,285 106 1,360 1,440 106 TX : 95 100 105 815 830 102 910 930 102 WI : 50 50 100 380 370 97 430 420 98 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 461 470 102 3,117 3,154 101 3,579 3,624 101 : US : 5,941 6,025 101 53,757 54,079 101 59,699 60,104 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 145 140 35 15 30 15 35 15 CO : 365 350 115 90 85 80 105 150 IL : 1,360 1,280 840 870 760 800 610 680 IN : 1,000 1,020 650 710 570 560 490 500 IA : 4,330 4,670 4,230 4,150 3,490 3,440 2,970 2,940 KS : 540 520 255 285 280 345 450 405 MI : 325 315 190 200 160 175 145 170 MN : 2,230 2,240 1,390 1,370 1,250 1,310 840 900 MO : 1,190 1,085 520 490 480 460 330 320 NE : 970 1,000 600 660 470 490 355 395 NC : 3,410 3,400 2,030 1,940 1,830 1,690 1,420 1,450 OH : 550 550 310 320 300 310 180 190 OK : 960 910 330 360 260 220 470 480 PA : 290 360 290 280 230 210 185 160 SD : 430 445 295 310 270 280 220 250 TX : 295 265 190 190 160 195 170 180 WI : 145 145 90 90 80 70 65 65 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,132 1,143 727 784 655 667 604 561 : US : 19,667 19,838 13,087 13,114 11,360 11,317 9,644 9,811 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2005 : : 2005 : : 2005 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2004 : :as % of: 2004 : :as % of: 2004 : :as % of : :Number : 2004 : :Number : 2004 : :Number : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 250 205 82 335 290 87 CO : 140 140 100 610 640 105 750 780 104 IL : 420 430 102 3,530 3,670 104 3,950 4,100 104 IN : 290 300 103 2,860 2,800 98 3,150 3,100 98 IA : 1,060 1,070 101 15,040 15,130 101 16,100 16,200 101 KS : 165 155 94 1,565 1,535 98 1,730 1,690 98 MI : 95 100 105 815 810 99 910 910 100 MN : 600 600 100 6,000 6,000 100 6,600 6,600 100 MO : 320 340 106 2,630 2,510 95 2,950 2,850 97 NE : 360 355 99 2,490 2,445 98 2,850 2,800 98 NC : 1,010 1,020 101 9,190 8,880 97 10,200 9,900 97 OH : 155 160 103 1,315 1,420 108 1,470 1,580 107 OK : 350 360 103 2,100 2,020 96 2,450 2,380 97 PA : 110 100 91 900 970 108 1,010 1,070 106 SD : 145 145 100 1,085 1,255 116 1,230 1,400 114 TX : 110 100 91 780 830 106 890 930 104 WI : 50 50 100 390 380 97 440 430 98 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 472 467 99 3,210 3,254 101 3,683 3,722 101 : US : 5,937 5,977 101 54,760 54,754 100 60,698 60,732 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 145 140 40 20 30 20 35 25 CO : 335 355 95 110 80 60 100 115 IL : 1,330 1,340 870 900 750 770 580 660 IN : 1,040 1,040 660 700 600 550 560 510 IA : 4,540 4,600 4,300 4,130 3,350 3,500 2,850 2,900 KS : 530 550 330 305 275 280 430 400 MI : 300 310 200 200 170 155 145 145 MN : 2,380 2,410 1,420 1,440 1,260 1,220 940 930 MO : 1,300 1,230 550 480 480 450 300 350 NE : 980 960 660 640 460 490 390 355 NC : 3,690 3,560 2,200 2,140 1,800 1,720 1,500 1,460 OH : 535 580 310 340 290 300 180 200 OK : 980 960 330 330 310 230 480 500 PA : 310 285 230 290 190 225 170 170 SD : 370 465 290 320 250 250 175 220 TX : 255 325 165 150 185 160 175 195 WI : 150 150 85 90 80 70 75 70 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,122 1,163 765 791 696 693 629 608 : US : 20,292 20,423 13,500 13,376 11,256 11,143 9,714 9,813 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2005 : : 2005 : : 2005 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2004 : :as % of: 2004 : :as % of: 2004 : :as % of : :Number : 2004 : :Number : 2004 : :Number : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 80 85 106 240 200 83 320 285 89 CO : 140 145 104 580 715 123 720 860 119 IL : 410 420 102 3,590 3,630 101 4,000 4,050 101 IN : 300 300 100 2,950 2,800 95 3,250 3,100 95 IA : 1,060 1,080 102 15,340 15,520 101 16,400 16,600 101 KS : 160 155 97 1,630 1,565 96 1,790 1,720 96 MI : 100 100 100 840 830 99 940 930 99 MN : 590 600 102 6,010 6,200 103 6,600 6,800 103 MO : 330 340 103 2,570 2,510 98 2,900 2,850 98 NE : 360 350 97 2,490 2,450 98 2,850 2,800 98 NC : 1,030 1,020 99 9,270 9,080 98 10,300 10,100 98 OH : 160 160 100 1,350 1,400 104 1,510 1,560 103 OK : 360 360 100 2,100 2,060 98 2,460 2,420 98 PA : 105 95 90 955 985 103 1,060 1,080 102 SD : 140 140 100 1,080 1,240 115 1,220 1,380 113 TX : 110 100 91 920 890 97 1,030 990 96 WI : 50 50 100 390 370 95 440 420 95 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 477 472 99 3,251 3,428 105 3,729 3,901 105 : US : 5,962 5,972 100 55,556 55,873 101 61,519 61,846 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 140 145 35 20 35 15 30 20 CO : 320 400 85 110 75 85 100 120 IL : 1,380 1,380 840 890 770 800 600 560 IN : 1,080 1,050 710 720 600 550 560 480 IA : 4,740 4,780 4,200 4,400 3,350 3,450 3,050 2,890 KS : 550 535 340 355 285 265 455 410 MI : 320 320 200 195 170 165 150 150 MN : 2,420 2,450 1,440 1,500 1,240 1,320 910 930 MO : 1,270 1,180 500 520 450 470 350 340 NE : 970 980 660 660 470 460 390 350 NC : 3,670 3,650 2,350 2,130 1,850 1,780 1,400 1,520 OH : 570 580 330 335 270 290 180 195 OK : 1,000 930 370 300 250 270 480 560 PA : 290 300 245 270 195 220 225 195 SD : 390 440 270 315 240 255 180 230 TX : 340 290 185 210 210 195 185 195 WI : 150 145 90 90 80 70 70 65 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,129 1,209 763 856 695 744 666 620 : US : 20,729 20,764 13,613 13,876 11,235 11,404 9,981 9,830 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2005 : : 2005 : : 2005 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2004 : :as % of: 2004 : :as % of: 2004 : :as % of : :Number : 2004 : :Number : 2004 : :Number : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 245 185 76 330 270 82 CO : 140 145 104 660 705 107 800 850 106 IL : 420 430 102 3,680 3,570 97 4,100 4,000 98 IN : 290 310 107 2,910 2,940 101 3,200 3,250 102 IA : 1,070 1,070 100 15,230 15,430 101 16,300 16,500 101 KS : 155 160 103 1,555 1,620 104 1,710 1,780 104 MI : 110 100 91 840 860 102 950 960 101 MN : 600 590 98 5,900 6,010 102 6,500 6,600 102 MO : 340 345 101 2,560 2,355 92 2,900 2,700 93 NE : 355 350 99 2,495 2,500 100 2,850 2,850 100 NC : 1,020 1,010 99 8,880 8,790 99 9,900 9,800 99 OH : 155 165 106 1,295 1,385 107 1,450 1,550 107 OK : 360 360 100 2,030 2,010 99 2,390 2,370 99 PA : 115 100 87 965 1,000 104 1,080 1,100 102 SD : 140 165 118 1,200 1,315 110 1,340 1,480 110 TX : 100 100 100 890 830 93 990 930 94 WI : 50 55 110 380 375 99 430 430 100 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 464 471 101 3,290 3,436 104 3,755 3,907 104 : US : 5,969 6,011 101 55,005 55,316 101 60,975 61,327 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 130 130 40 20 35 15 40 20 CO : 355 390 100 95 75 85 130 135 IL : 1,410 1,300 830 860 770 740 670 670 IN : 1,010 1,060 750 730 600 560 550 590 IA : 4,580 4,530 4,130 4,160 3,340 3,520 3,180 3,220 KS : 460 570 330 310 340 310 425 430 MI : 330 315 195 205 160 175 155 165 MN : 2,250 2,320 1,420 1,460 1,250 1,200 980 1,030 MO : 1,200 1,105 530 480 480 450 350 320 NE : 970 980 650 660 470 470 405 390 NC : 3,520 3,450 2,150 2,130 1,700 1,720 1,510 1,490 OH : 535 540 310 330 270 295 180 220 OK : 970 920 340 320 230 240 490 530 PA : 280 310 275 280 215 215 195 195 SD : 410 440 300 325 260 290 230 260 TX : 300 270 200 195 205 180 185 185 WI : 135 150 90 85 80 75 75 65 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,135 1,175 799 857 706 751 651 654 : US : 19,980 19,955 13,439 13,502 11,186 11,291 10,401 10,569 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2005-2006 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2006 : per Litter : : 2006 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2005 : :as % of : : : 2005 : :as % of : : Number : 2005 : 2005 : 2006 : : Number : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 43 41 95 9.55 9.50 411 390 95 CO : 75 79 105 8.55 8.80 641 695 108 IL : 210 195 93 8.90 9.00 1,869 1,755 94 IN : 130 130 100 8.80 8.95 1,144 1,164 102 IA : 440 455 103 8.90 9.00 3,916 4,095 105 KS : 80 84 105 8.70 8.85 696 743 107 MI : 44 48 109 9.00 9.30 396 446 113 MN : 275 270 98 9.10 9.10 2,503 2,457 98 MO : 170 165 97 9.05 9.10 1,539 1,502 98 NE : 175 175 100 9.00 9.15 1,575 1,601 102 NC : 540 540 100 8.85 9.10 4,779 4,914 103 OH : 77 75 97 9.00 9.10 693 683 99 OK : 190 190 100 8.80 8.60 1,672 1,634 98 PA : 47 47 100 9.50 9.90 447 465 104 SD : 72 76 106 9.40 9.40 677 714 105 TX : 43 41 95 9.20 8.60 396 353 89 WI : 24 26 108 8.75 8.55 210 222 106 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 200 203 102 8.91 8.97 1,779 1,821 102 : US : 2,835 2,840 100 8.94 9.03 25,343 25,654 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1 or had been sold. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2004-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2006 3/ : per Litter : : 2005 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2004 : 2005 : :as % of: : : 2004 : :as % of : : :Number : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : :Number : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 41 42 41 98 9.70 9.70 398 407 102 CO : 72 77 83 108 8.10 8.80 583 678 116 IL : 215 210 210 100 8.90 8.95 1,914 1,880 98 IN : 135 135 135 100 8.90 8.85 1,202 1,195 99 IA : 430 440 460 105 8.75 9.05 3,763 3,982 106 KS : 84 83 87 105 8.80 8.80 739 730 99 MI : 44 45 48 107 9.10 9.00 400 405 101 MN : 290 290 275 95 8.95 9.15 2,596 2,654 102 MO : 170 170 170 100 9.00 9.10 1,530 1,547 101 NE : 175 175 175 100 8.90 9.05 1,558 1,584 102 NC : 550 550 540 98 9.10 8.90 5,005 4,895 98 OH : 73 77 79 103 8.90 9.00 650 693 107 OK : 190 190 185 97 8.80 8.90 1,672 1,691 101 PA : 50 47 48 102 8.75 9.10 438 428 98 SD : 70 75 83 111 9.40 9.30 658 698 106 TX : 47 45 44 98 8.60 9.40 404 423 105 WI : 26 25 25 100 8.75 8.75 228 219 96 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 208 206 208 101 9.12 9.13 1,895 1,877 99 : US : 2,870 2,882 2,896 101 8.93 9.02 25,633 25,986 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1 or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2004-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2006 3/ : per Litter : : 2005 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2004 : 2005 : :as % of: : : 2004 : :as % of : : :Number : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : :Number : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 43 44 40 91 9.40 9.60 404 422 104 CO : 70 81 84 104 8.40 8.80 588 713 121 IL : 210 205 205 100 8.90 8.90 1,869 1,825 98 IN : 140 140 145 104 9.00 8.90 1,260 1,246 99 IA : 440 460 470 102 8.90 9.00 3,916 4,140 106 KS : 87 83 85 102 8.80 8.80 766 730 95 MI : 48 48 48 100 9.20 9.25 442 444 100 MN : 285 280 270 96 9.05 9.30 2,579 2,604 101 MO : 170 170 170 100 9.00 9.05 1,530 1,539 101 NE : 175 175 175 100 8.90 9.05 1,558 1,584 102 NC : 560 560 550 98 9.15 9.10 5,124 5,096 99 OH : 75 78 80 103 8.90 9.10 668 710 106 OK : 195 200 190 95 9.00 8.90 1,755 1,780 101 PA : 46 47 48 102 9.20 9.40 423 442 104 SD : 68 71 80 113 9.30 9.40 632 667 106 TX : 56 45 48 107 9.05 9.10 507 410 81 WI : 24 25 24 96 8.85 8.70 212 218 103 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 213 206 211 102 9.06 9.12 1,929 1,879 97 : US : 2,905 2,918 2,923 100 9.01 9.06 26,162 26,449 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1 or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2005 : per Litter : : 2005 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2004 : :as % of : : : 2004 : :as % of : : Number : 2004 : 2004 : 2005 : : Number : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 42 41 98 9.50 9.70 399 398 100 CO : 73 78 107 8.45 8.80 617 686 111 IL : 210 200 95 8.85 8.85 1,859 1,770 95 IN : 135 135 100 8.85 9.00 1,195 1,215 102 IA : 460 455 99 8.90 9.00 4,094 4,095 100 KS : 83 84 101 8.80 8.70 730 731 100 MI : 46 47 102 9.20 9.20 423 432 102 MN : 285 280 98 9.10 9.25 2,594 2,590 100 MO : 170 175 103 8.95 8.95 1,522 1,566 103 NE : 170 175 103 9.00 9.05 1,530 1,584 104 NC : 550 550 100 9.00 9.00 4,950 4,950 100 OH : 77 80 104 9.00 9.10 693 728 105 OK : 190 185 97 8.90 8.90 1,691 1,647 97 PA : 49 47 96 9.50 9.80 466 461 99 SD : 71 80 113 9.20 9.30 653 744 114 TX : 46 43 93 8.95 8.90 412 383 93 WI : 25 27 108 8.80 8.65 220 234 106 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 206 206 100 8.91 9.04 1,833 1,866 102 : US : 2,888 2,888 100 8.96 9.03 25,881 26,080 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1 or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2005-2006 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head -- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 938 937 8.89 8.97 8,338 8,409 Jan : 951 953 8.94 9.07 8,500 8,647 Feb : 946 950 8.99 9.05 8,505 8,598 Mar : 967 8.99 8,693 Apr : 962 9.00 8,656 May : 953 9.06 8,637 Jun : 968 9.07 8,779 Jul : 978 9.04 8,845 Aug : 972 9.08 8,825 Sep : 982 9.04 8,873 Oct : 966 9.05 8,740 Nov : 940 9.01 8,467 : Total : 11,523 9.01 103,858 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Reliability of December 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 9,900 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of December data were collected from about 8,100 operations, 82 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of March 1. Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year census of agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 60.1 million head by more than 1.1 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.9 percent. Reliability of March 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.1 1.9 1,142 545 76 1,386 4 16 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 1.6 2.8 718 301 0 926 3 16 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : Quarter : 1.8 3.1 90 37 0 158 7 13 : Following : Quarter : 2.1 3.6 105 46 2 146 9 11 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Information Contacts Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch(202) 720-3570 William Weaver, Head, Livestock Section (202) 720-3570 Bruce Boess - Hogs and Pigs(202) 720-3106 Shawn Clark - Dairy Products(202) 690-3236 Scott Hollis - Sheep, Lambs, Wool, Goats and Mohair(202) 720-4751 Mike Miller - Cattle(202) 720-3040 Katy Paulsen - Livestock Slaughter(515) 284-4340 Ann Summa - Milk and Milk Cows(202) 720-3278 Charmaine Wilson - Dairy Products Prices(202) 690-2168 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.nass.usda.gov. 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