Mt An 4 (9-05) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released September 30, 2005, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Quarterly Hogs and Pigs call Bruce Boess at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory Up Slightly U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on September 1, 2005 was 61.5 million head. This was up slightly from September 1, 2004, and up 1 percent from June 1, 2005. Breeding inventory, at 5.97 million head, was up less than 1 percent from last year but down less than 1 percent from last quarter. Market hog inventory, at 55.6 million head, was virtually unchanged from last year but up 2 percent from last quarter. The June - August 2005 U.S. pig crop, at 26.3 million head, was up slightly from 2004 and up 1 percent from 2003. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.90 million head, down slightly from last year. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 49 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 9.07 for the June-August 2005 period, compared to 9.01 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.60 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 9.10 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows farrow during the September-November 2005 quarter, unchanged from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2004, but up 1 percent from 2003. Intended farrowings for December 2005-February 2006, at 2.88 million sows, are up 1 percent from both 2005 and 2004. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 39 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, unchanged from last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for September 2004 through June 2005 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review, an adjustment of less than one-half of one percent was made to the March 2005 and June 2005 total inventory. An adjustment of slightly larger than one-half of one percent was made to the December 2004-February 2005 pig crop. This report was approved on September 30, 2005. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Charles F. Conner Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Contents Page Quarterly U.S. Inventory by Class and Weight Group, 2003-20051 Quarterly U.S. Sows Farrowed, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, 2003-2005. . . . . . . . . . . . 2 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory by State and U.S., 2003-2005 March 1 . . . . . . . . . . 5 June 1 . . . . . . . . . . 7 September 1 . . . . . . . . 9 December 1 . . . . . . . .11 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, Pig Crop by State and U.S., 2003-2005 December-February. . .13 March-May . . . . . . . . .14 June-August . . . . . . . .15 September-November. . . . .16 Monthly U.S. Farrowings, December-November 2004-200517 Reliability Statement. . . . . .18 Index .. . . . . . . . . . . . .20 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2003-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2005 as % of Item : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 :------------- : : : : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 58,183 59,520 59,699 103 100 Kept for Breeding : 6,027 5,961 5,941 99 100 Market : 52,156 53,558 53,757 103 100 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,086 19,823 19,667 103 99 60-119 Pounds : 12,639 12,954 13,087 104 101 120-179 Pounds : 10,915 11,205 11,360 104 101 180 Pounds and Over : 9,516 9,578 9,644 101 101 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,602 60,698 60,632 102 100 Kept for Breeding : 6,026 5,937 5,977 99 101 Market : 53,576 54,760 54,654 102 100 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,433 20,292 20,223 99 100 60-119 Pounds : 12,952 13,500 13,356 103 99 120-179 Pounds : 10,828 11,256 11,263 104 100 180 Pounds and Over : 9,363 9,714 9,813 105 101 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 61,009 61,519 61,536 101 100 Kept for Breeding : 5,938 5,962 5,972 101 100 Market : 55,071 55,556 55,563 101 100 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,438 20,729 20,634 101 100 60-119 Pounds : 13,739 13,613 13,716 100 101 120-179 Pounds : 11,384 11,235 11,384 100 101 180 Pounds and Over : 9,510 9,981 9,830 103 98 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,444 60,975 Kept for Breeding : 6,009 5,969 Market : 54,434 55,005 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,778 19,980 60-119 Pounds : 13,238 13,439 120-179 Pounds : 11,109 11,186 180 Pounds and Over : 10,311 10,401 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2003-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : 2005 as % of : 2006 Item : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 :---------------:as % of : : : : : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ ----- Percent ----- : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ 3/ : 2,769 2,836 2,835 2,875 102 100 101 Mar-May : 2,886 2,870 2,870 99 100 Dec-May 2/ : 5,655 5,706 5,705 101 100 : Jun-Aug : 2,918 2,905 2,898 99 100 Sep-Nov 4/ : 2,856 2,888 2,888 101 100 Jun-Nov 5/ : 5,773 5,793 5,786 100 100 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 24,400 25,105 25,346 104 101 Mar-May : 25,629 25,633 25,884 101 101 Dec-May 2/ : 50,029 50,737 51,230 102 101 : Jun-Aug : 25,974 26,162 26,273 101 100 Sep-Nov : 25,488 25,881 Jun-Nov : 51,462 52,043 : : ------------- Number ------------- ----- Percent ----- Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 8.81 8.85 8.94 101 101 Mar-May : 8.88 8.93 9.02 102 101 Dec-May 2/ : 8.85 8.89 8.98 102 101 : Jun-Aug : 8.90 9.01 9.07 102 101 Sep-Nov : 8.93 8.96 Jun-Nov : 8.91 8.98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 2006. 4/ Intentions for 2005. 5/ Actual farrowings for June-August plus intentions for September-November. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2004-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2004 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.60 7.90 8.20 8.60 8.70 9.00 Mar-May : 7.70 7.90 8.30 8.70 8.90 9.00 Jun-Aug : 7.50 7.80 8.30 8.80 8.90 9.10 Sep-Nov : 7.50 7.70 8.20 8.80 8.90 9.10 : 2005 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.50 7.80 8.30 8.80 8.90 9.00 Mar-May : 7.50 7.90 8.30 8.80 9.00 9.10 Jun-Aug : 7.60 7.90 8.70 8.80 9.00 9.10 Sep-Nov : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2005 : : 2005 : : 2005 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2004 : :as % of: 2004 : :as % of: 2004 : :as % of : :Number : 2004 : :Number : 2004 : :Number : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 230 245 107 315 330 105 CO : 140 140 100 550 670 122 690 810 117 IL : 410 430 105 3,440 3,570 104 3,850 4,000 104 IN : 300 290 97 2,850 2,710 95 3,150 3,000 95 IA : 1,040 1,080 104 14,460 15,020 104 15,500 16,100 104 KS : 170 155 91 1,550 1,525 98 1,720 1,680 98 MI : 100 100 100 830 820 99 930 920 99 MN : 600 590 98 5,900 5,710 97 6,500 6,300 97 MO : 330 330 100 2,570 2,520 98 2,900 2,850 98 NE : 360 355 99 2,490 2,395 96 2,850 2,750 96 NC : 1,020 1,010 99 8,880 8,690 98 9,900 9,700 98 OH : 160 160 100 1,360 1,340 99 1,520 1,500 99 OK : 350 360 103 2,000 2,020 101 2,350 2,380 101 PA : 120 105 88 910 995 109 1,030 1,100 107 SD : 145 145 100 1,105 1,215 110 1,250 1,360 109 TX : 110 95 86 810 815 101 920 910 99 WI : 55 50 91 395 380 96 450 430 96 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 466 461 99 3,228 3,117 97 3,695 3,579 97 : US : 5,961 5,941 100 53,558 53,757 100 59,520 59,699 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 135 145 30 35 30 30 35 35 CO : 315 365 60 115 65 85 110 105 IL : 1,260 1,360 820 840 750 760 610 610 IN : 1,060 1,000 660 650 620 570 510 490 IA : 4,510 4,330 4,000 4,230 3,250 3,490 2,700 2,970 KS : 530 540 285 255 310 280 425 450 MI : 300 325 205 190 175 160 150 145 MN : 2,250 2,230 1,410 1,390 1,280 1,250 960 840 MO : 1,270 1,190 510 520 470 480 320 330 NE : 980 970 640 600 470 470 400 355 NC : 3,500 3,410 2,180 2,030 1,800 1,830 1,400 1,420 OH : 555 550 315 310 290 300 200 180 OK : 940 960 310 330 250 260 500 470 PA : 300 290 240 290 210 230 160 185 SD : 385 430 245 295 265 270 210 220 TX : 265 295 180 190 195 160 170 170 WI : 155 145 90 90 80 80 70 65 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,113 1,132 774 727 695 655 648 604 : US : 19,823 19,667 12,954 13,087 11,205 11,360 9,578 9,644 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2005 : : 2005 : : 2005 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2004 : :as % of: 2004 : :as % of: 2004 : :as % of : :Number : 2004 : :Number : 2004 : :Number : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 250 205 82 335 290 87 CO : 140 140 100 610 630 103 750 770 103 IL : 420 430 102 3,530 3,670 104 3,950 4,100 104 IN : 290 300 103 2,860 2,800 98 3,150 3,100 98 IA : 1,060 1,070 101 15,040 15,130 101 16,100 16,200 101 KS : 165 155 94 1,565 1,535 98 1,730 1,690 98 MI : 95 100 105 815 800 98 910 900 99 MN : 600 600 100 6,000 6,000 100 6,600 6,600 100 MO : 320 340 106 2,630 2,510 95 2,950 2,850 97 NE : 360 355 99 2,490 2,395 96 2,850 2,750 96 NC : 1,010 1,020 101 9,190 8,880 97 10,200 9,900 97 OH : 155 160 103 1,315 1,420 108 1,470 1,580 107 OK : 350 360 103 2,100 2,020 96 2,450 2,380 97 PA : 110 100 91 900 970 108 1,010 1,070 106 SD : 145 145 100 1,085 1,245 115 1,230 1,390 113 TX : 110 100 91 780 820 105 890 920 103 WI : 50 50 100 390 370 95 440 420 95 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 472 467 99 3,210 3,254 101 3,683 3,722 101 : US : 5,937 5,977 101 54,760 54,654 100 60,698 60,632 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 145 140 40 20 30 20 35 25 CO : 335 345 95 110 80 60 100 115 IL : 1,330 1,340 870 900 750 770 580 660 IN : 1,040 1,020 660 700 600 570 560 510 IA : 4,540 4,550 4,300 4,130 3,350 3,550 2,850 2,900 KS : 530 550 330 305 275 280 430 400 MI : 300 300 200 200 170 155 145 145 MN : 2,380 2,380 1,420 1,440 1,260 1,250 940 930 MO : 1,300 1,210 550 490 480 460 300 350 NE : 980 960 660 610 460 470 390 355 NC : 3,690 3,540 2,200 2,140 1,800 1,740 1,500 1,460 OH : 535 580 310 340 290 300 180 200 OK : 980 960 330 330 310 230 480 500 PA : 310 280 230 290 190 230 170 170 SD : 370 455 290 320 250 250 175 220 TX : 255 310 165 150 185 165 175 195 WI : 150 140 85 90 80 70 75 70 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,122 1,163 765 791 696 693 629 608 : US : 20,292 20,223 13,500 13,356 11,256 11,263 9,714 9,813 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2005 : : 2005 : : 2005 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2004 : :as % of: 2004 : :as % of: 2004 : :as % of : :Number : 2004 : :Number : 2004 : :Number : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 80 85 106 240 200 83 320 285 89 CO : 140 145 104 580 695 120 720 840 117 IL : 410 420 102 3,590 3,630 101 4,000 4,050 101 IN : 300 300 100 2,950 2,750 93 3,250 3,050 94 IA : 1,060 1,080 102 15,340 15,420 101 16,400 16,500 101 KS : 160 155 97 1,630 1,555 95 1,790 1,710 96 MI : 100 100 100 840 810 96 940 910 97 MN : 590 600 102 6,010 6,200 103 6,600 6,800 103 MO : 330 340 103 2,570 2,510 98 2,900 2,850 98 NE : 360 350 97 2,490 2,400 96 2,850 2,750 96 NC : 1,030 1,020 99 9,270 9,080 98 10,300 10,100 98 OH : 160 160 100 1,350 1,380 102 1,510 1,540 102 OK : 360 360 100 2,100 2,040 97 2,460 2,400 98 PA : 105 95 90 955 985 103 1,060 1,080 102 SD : 140 140 100 1,080 1,230 114 1,220 1,370 112 TX : 110 100 91 920 880 96 1,030 980 95 WI : 50 50 100 390 370 95 440 420 95 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 477 472 99 3,251 3,428 105 3,729 3,901 105 : US : 5,962 5,972 100 55,556 55,563 100 61,519 61,536 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 140 145 35 20 35 15 30 20 CO : 320 390 85 100 75 85 100 120 IL : 1,380 1,380 840 890 770 800 600 560 IN : 1,080 1,000 710 720 600 550 560 480 IA : 4,740 4,760 4,200 4,320 3,350 3,450 3,050 2,890 KS : 550 535 340 345 285 265 455 410 MI : 320 310 200 190 170 160 150 150 MN : 2,420 2,450 1,440 1,500 1,240 1,320 910 930 MO : 1,270 1,180 500 520 450 470 350 340 NE : 970 980 660 620 470 450 390 350 NC : 3,670 3,650 2,350 2,130 1,850 1,780 1,400 1,520 OH : 570 570 330 330 270 285 180 195 OK : 1,000 920 370 290 250 270 480 560 PA : 290 300 245 270 195 220 225 195 SD : 390 430 270 315 240 255 180 230 TX : 340 280 185 210 210 195 185 195 WI : 150 145 90 90 80 70 70 65 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,129 1,209 763 856 695 744 666 620 : US : 20,729 20,634 13,613 13,716 11,235 11,384 9,981 9,830 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : : 2004 : : 2004 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 225 245 109 310 330 106 CO : 135 140 104 615 660 107 750 800 107 IL : 410 420 102 3,590 3,680 103 4,000 4,100 103 IN : 300 290 97 2,800 2,910 104 3,100 3,200 103 IA : 1,060 1,070 101 14,840 15,230 103 15,900 16,300 103 KS : 160 155 97 1,490 1,555 104 1,650 1,710 104 MI : 110 110 100 840 840 100 950 950 100 MN : 600 600 100 5,900 5,900 100 6,500 6,500 100 MO : 340 340 100 2,610 2,560 98 2,950 2,900 98 NE : 370 355 96 2,530 2,495 99 2,900 2,850 98 NC : 1,020 1,020 100 8,980 8,880 99 10,000 9,900 99 OH : 160 155 97 1,360 1,295 95 1,520 1,450 95 OK : 360 360 100 2,020 2,030 100 2,380 2,390 100 PA : 120 115 96 990 965 97 1,110 1,080 97 SD : 145 140 97 1,135 1,200 106 1,280 1,340 105 TX : 105 100 95 825 890 108 930 990 106 WI : 55 50 91 425 380 89 480 430 90 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 474 464 98 3,259 3,290 101 3,734 3,755 101 : US : 6,009 5,969 99 54,434 55,005 101 60,444 60,975 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 120 130 30 40 30 35 45 40 CO : 340 355 70 100 70 75 135 130 IL : 1,280 1,410 860 830 770 770 680 670 IN : 990 1,010 670 750 580 600 560 550 IA : 4,510 4,580 4,130 4,130 3,200 3,340 3,000 3,180 KS : 510 460 285 330 280 340 415 425 MI : 300 330 205 195 175 160 160 155 MN : 2,210 2,250 1,420 1,420 1,250 1,250 1,020 980 MO : 1,280 1,200 530 530 460 480 340 350 NE : 960 970 650 650 490 470 430 405 NC : 3,550 3,520 2,180 2,150 1,750 1,700 1,500 1,510 OH : 540 535 330 310 280 270 210 180 OK : 920 970 320 340 320 230 460 490 PA : 350 280 235 275 195 215 210 195 SD : 385 410 250 300 280 260 220 230 TX : 245 300 195 200 200 205 185 185 WI : 165 135 95 90 85 80 80 75 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,123 1,135 783 799 694 706 661 651 : US : 19,778 19,980 13,238 13,439 11,109 11,186 10,311 10,401 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2004-2006 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2006 4/ : Per Litter : : 2005 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2004 : 2005 : :as % of: : : 2004 : :as % of : : :Number : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : :Number : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 38 43 43 100 9.60 9.55 365 411 113 CO : 73 75 80 107 8.30 8.55 606 641 106 IL : 205 210 205 98 8.85 8.90 1,814 1,869 103 IN : 145 130 140 108 8.85 8.80 1,283 1,144 89 IA : 410 440 460 105 8.70 8.90 3,567 3,916 110 KS : 84 80 85 106 8.70 8.70 731 696 95 MI : 45 44 47 107 8.90 9.00 401 396 99 MN : 285 275 280 102 9.05 9.10 2,579 2,503 97 MO : 170 170 165 97 9.00 9.05 1,530 1,539 101 NE : 175 175 175 100 8.90 9.00 1,558 1,575 101 NC : 550 540 540 100 8.95 8.85 4,923 4,779 97 OH : 74 77 78 101 8.80 9.00 651 693 106 OK : 185 190 190 100 8.60 8.80 1,591 1,672 105 PA : 53 47 47 100 8.50 9.50 451 447 99 SD : 70 72 69 96 9.20 9.40 644 677 105 TX : 46 43 44 102 8.40 9.20 386 396 103 WI : 24 24 24 100 8.80 8.75 211 210 100 : Oth : Sts 5/ : 204 200 203 102 8.90 8.92 1,814 1,782 98 : US : 2,836 2,835 2,875 101 8.85 8.94 25,105 25,346 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ May not add due to rounding. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 4/ Intentions. 5/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2005 : per Litter : : 2005 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2004 : :as % of : : : 2004 : :as % of : : Number : 2004 : 2004 : 2005 : : Number : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 41 42 102 9.70 9.70 398 407 102 CO : 72 76 106 8.10 8.80 583 669 115 IL : 215 210 98 8.90 8.95 1,914 1,880 98 IN : 135 135 100 8.90 8.85 1,202 1,195 99 IA : 430 440 102 8.75 9.05 3,763 3,982 106 KS : 84 83 99 8.80 8.80 739 730 99 MI : 44 44 100 9.10 9.00 400 396 99 MN : 290 285 98 8.95 9.15 2,596 2,608 100 MO : 170 170 100 9.00 9.10 1,530 1,547 101 NE : 175 175 100 8.90 9.05 1,558 1,584 102 NC : 550 550 100 9.10 8.90 5,005 4,895 98 OH : 73 77 105 8.90 9.00 650 693 107 OK : 190 190 100 8.80 8.90 1,672 1,691 101 PA : 50 47 94 8.75 9.10 438 428 98 SD : 70 74 106 9.40 9.30 658 688 105 TX : 47 44 94 8.60 9.40 404 414 102 WI : 26 24 92 8.75 8.75 228 210 92 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 208 204 98 9.12 9.16 1,895 1,867 99 : US : 2,870 2,870 100 8.93 9.02 25,633 25,884 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2005 : per Litter : : 2005 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2004 : :as % of : : : 2004 : :as % of : : Number : 2004 : 2004 : 2005 : : Number : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 43 43 100 9.40 9.60 404 413 102 CO : 70 80 114 8.40 8.80 588 704 120 IL : 210 205 98 8.90 8.90 1,869 1,825 98 IN : 140 140 100 9.00 8.90 1,260 1,246 99 IA : 440 450 102 8.90 9.00 3,916 4,050 103 KS : 87 83 95 8.80 8.80 766 730 95 MI : 48 46 96 9.20 9.25 442 426 96 MN : 285 280 98 9.05 9.30 2,579 2,604 101 MO : 170 170 100 9.00 9.05 1,530 1,539 101 NE : 175 175 100 8.90 9.05 1,558 1,584 102 NC : 560 560 100 9.15 9.10 5,124 5,096 99 OH : 75 77 103 8.90 9.10 668 701 105 OK : 195 200 103 9.00 8.90 1,755 1,780 101 PA : 46 47 102 9.20 9.40 423 442 104 SD : 68 68 100 9.30 9.40 632 639 101 TX : 56 44 79 9.05 9.10 507 400 79 WI : 24 25 104 8.85 8.70 212 218 103 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 213 205 96 9.06 9.14 1,929 1,876 97 : US : 2,905 2,898 100 9.01 9.07 26,162 26,273 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2003-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2005 3/ : per Litter : : 2004 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2003 : 2004 : :as % of: : : 2003 : :as % of : : :Number : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : :Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 35 42 44 105 9.50 9.50 333 399 120 CO : 70 73 81 111 8.40 8.45 588 617 105 IL : 205 210 205 98 8.85 8.85 1,814 1,859 102 IN : 145 135 135 100 8.85 8.85 1,283 1,195 93 IA : 440 460 460 100 8.80 8.90 3,872 4,094 106 KS : 81 83 84 101 8.70 8.80 705 730 104 MI : 51 46 49 107 8.80 9.20 449 423 94 MN : 280 285 280 98 9.00 9.10 2,520 2,594 103 MO : 175 170 170 100 9.10 8.95 1,593 1,522 96 NE : 185 170 175 103 9.00 9.00 1,665 1,530 92 NC : 540 550 540 98 9.10 9.00 4,914 4,950 101 OH : 74 77 80 104 8.80 9.00 651 693 106 OK : 185 190 190 100 8.70 8.90 1,610 1,691 105 PA : 51 49 46 94 9.50 9.50 485 466 96 SD : 70 71 72 101 9.10 9.20 637 653 103 TX : 33 46 46 100 8.20 8.95 271 412 152 WI : 26 25 24 96 8.70 8.80 226 220 97 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 210 206 207 100 8.93 8.91 1,872 1,833 98 : US : 2,856 2,888 2,888 100 8.93 8.96 25,488 25,881 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2004-2005 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head -- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 935 938 8.84 8.89 8,265 8,339 Jan : 954 951 8.86 8.94 8,448 8,501 Feb : 947 946 8.86 8.99 8,392 8,506 Mar : 958 959 8.89 9.01 8,515 8,641 Apr : 957 958 8.93 9.01 8,550 8,631 May : 955 953 8.97 9.04 8,568 8,612 Jun : 978 964 8.99 9.06 8,792 8,734 Jul : 970 973 9.00 9.04 8,730 8,800 Aug : 957 961 9.03 9.09 8,640 8,739 Sep : 981 8.94 8,771 Oct : 961 8.96 8,611 Nov : 946 8.98 8,499 : Total : 11,498 8.94 102,780 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Reliability of September 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 10,600 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of September data were collected from about 8,700 operations, 82 percent of the total sample. The data collected was received by mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of September 1. Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year census of agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.2 percent. This means that chances are 9 out of 10 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 61.5 million head by more than 1.2 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 2.1 percent. Reliability of September 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.2 2.0 1,210 600 76 1,386 6 14 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 1.6 2.8 715 315 0 926 5 14 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : Quarter : 1.8 3.2 91 40 0 158 9 11 : Following : Quarter : 2.1 3.6 100 45 2 146 10 10 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Index Page Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February13 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August15 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May14 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November16 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 111 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 17 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 15 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 19 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States. 1 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 112 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 18 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 16 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 110 Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November17 Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States2 Reliability of Hogs and Pigs Estimates18 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.usda.gov/nass/. Select "Today's Reports" or Publications and then Reports Calendar or Publications and then Search, by Title or Subject. E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. Starting with the NASS Home Page at www.usda.gov/nass/, click on Publications, then click on the Subscribe by E-mail button which takes you to the page describing e-mail delivery of reports. Finally, click on Go to the Subscription Page and follow the instructions. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - PRINTED REPORTS OR DATA PRODUCTS CALL OUR TOLL-FREE ORDER DESK: 800-999-6779 (U.S. and Canada) Other areas, please call 703-605-6220 FAX: 703-605-6900 (Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order acceptable for payment.) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ASSISTANCE For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or services, contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and activities on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, and where applicable, sex, marital status, familial status, parental status, religion, sexual orientation, genetic information, political beliefs, reprisal, or because all or part of an individual's income is derived from any public assistance program. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (Braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact USDA's TARGET Center at (202) 720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write to USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, 1400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, or call (800) 795-3272 (voice) or (202) 720-6382 (TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. USDA Data Users' Meeting October 17, 2005 Embassy Suites at O'Hare Chicago, Illinois (847) 678-4000 The USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service will be organizing an open forum for data users. The purpose will be to provide updates on pending changes in the various statistical and information programs and seek comments and input from data users. Other USDA agencies to be represented will include the Agricultural Marketing Service, the Economic Research Service, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and World Agricultural Outlook Board. The Foreign Trade Division from the Census Bureau will also be included in the meeting. For registration details or additional information for the Data Users' Meeting, see the NASS homepage at www.usda.gov/nass/ or contact Lynda Ford (NASS) at (202) 720-3896 or at lynda_ford@nass.usda.gov. This Data Users' Meeting precedes an Industry Outlook meeting that will be held at the same location on October 18, 2005. The Outlook meeting brings together analysts from various commodity sectors to discuss the outlook situation. For more information about the outlook meeting and to register contact Jim Robb (Livestock and Marketing Information Center) at (720) 544-2941 or at robb@lmic.info.