Mt An 4 (9-06) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released September 29, 2006, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" call Bruce Boess at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory Up 1 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on September 1, 2006 was 62.7 million head. This was up 1 percent from September 1, 2005 and up 2 percent from June 1, 2006. Breeding inventory, at 6.08 million head, was up 2 percent from last year and up slightly from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 56.6 million head, was up 1 percent from last year and up 2 percent from last quarter. The June-August 2006 pig crop, at 26.7 million head, was up 1 percent from 2005 and up 2 percent from 2004. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.92 million head, up slightly from 2005 and up 1 percent from 2004. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 48 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 9.14 for the June-August 2006 period, compared to 9.06 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.70 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 9.20 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.92 million sows farrow during the September-November 2006 quarter, up 1 percent from the actual farrowings in both 2005 and 2004. Intended farrowings for December 2006-February 2007, at 2.90 million sows, are up 2 percent from both 2006 and 2005. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 39 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, unchanged from last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for September 2005 through June 2006 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review, a small adjustment of less than one-half of one percent was made to the March 2006 inventory along with an adjustment of slightly larger than one-half of one percent to the June 2006 total inventory. This report was approved on September 29, 2006. Secretary of Agriculture Mike Johanns Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Carol C. House Contents Page Quarterly U.S. Inventory by Class and Weight Group, 2004-20061 Quarterly U.S. Sows Farrowed, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, 2004-2007. . . . . . . . . . . . 2 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory by State and U.S., 2004-2006 March 1 . . . . . . . . . . 5 June 1 . . . . . . . . . . 7 September 1 . . . . . . . . 9 December 1 . . . . . . . .11 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, Pig Crop by State and U.S., 2004-2007 December-February. . .13 March-May . . . . . . . . .14 June-August . . . . . . . .15 September-November. . . . .16 Monthly U.S. Farrowings, December-November 2005-200617 Reliability Statement. . . . . .18 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2004-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2006 as % of Item : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 :------------- : : : : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,520 59,699 60,176 101 101 Kept for Breeding : 5,961 5,941 6,025 101 101 Market : 53,558 53,757 54,151 101 101 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,823 19,667 19,988 101 102 60-119 Pounds : 12,954 13,087 13,006 100 99 120-179 Pounds : 11,205 11,360 11,334 101 100 180 Pounds and Over : 9,578 9,644 9,824 103 102 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,698 60,732 61,417 101 101 Kept for Breeding : 5,937 5,977 6,060 102 101 Market : 54,760 54,754 55,357 101 101 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,292 20,423 20,608 102 101 60-119 Pounds : 13,500 13,376 13,642 101 102 120-179 Pounds : 11,256 11,143 11,465 102 103 180 Pounds and Over : 9,714 9,813 9,643 99 98 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 61,519 61,846 62,704 102 101 Kept for Breeding : 5,962 5,972 6,079 102 102 Market : 55,556 55,873 56,625 102 101 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,729 20,764 20,998 101 101 60-119 Pounds : 13,613 13,876 13,991 103 101 120-179 Pounds : 11,235 11,404 11,555 103 101 180 Pounds and Over : 9,981 9,830 10,082 101 103 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,975 61,449 Kept for Breeding : 5,969 6,011 Market : 55,005 55,438 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,980 20,055 60-119 Pounds : 13,439 13,524 120-179 Pounds : 11,186 11,293 180 Pounds and Over : 10,401 10,567 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2004-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : 2006 as % of : 2007 Item : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 :---------------:as % of : : : : : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ ----- Percent ----- : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ 3/ : 2,836 2,835 2,840 2,902 100 100 102 Mar-May : 2,870 2,882 2,897 101 101 Dec-May 2/ : 5,706 5,716 5,737 101 100 : Jun-Aug : 2,905 2,918 2,924 101 100 Sep-Nov 4/ : 2,888 2,900 2,925 101 101 Jun-Nov 5/ : 5,793 5,818 5,849 101 101 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 25,105 25,343 25,658 102 101 Mar-May : 25,633 25,986 26,301 103 101 Dec-May 2/ : 50,737 51,330 51,958 102 101 : Jun-Aug : 26,162 26,449 26,727 102 101 Sep-Nov : 25,881 26,187 Jun-Nov : 52,043 52,635 : : ------------- Number ------------- ----- Percent ----- Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 8.85 8.94 9.03 102 101 Mar-May : 8.93 9.02 9.08 102 101 Dec-May 2/ : 8.89 8.98 9.06 102 101 : Jun-Aug : 9.01 9.06 9.14 101 101 Sep-Nov : 8.96 9.03 Jun-Nov : 8.98 9.05 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 2007. 4/ Intentions for 2006. 5/ Actual farrowings for June-August plus intentions for September-November. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2005-20061/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2005 : Dec-Feb 2/ : 7.50 7.80 8.30 8.80 8.90 9.00 Mar-May : 7.50 7.90 8.30 8.80 9.00 9.10 Jun-Aug : 7.60 7.90 8.70 8.80 9.00 9.10 Sep-Nov : 7.50 8.00 8.50 8.70 9.00 9.10 : 2006 : Dec-Feb 2/ : 7.50 8.00 8.30 8.80 9.00 9.10 Mar-May : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.80 9.00 9.20 Jun-Aug : 7.70 8.00 8.40 8.80 9.10 9.20 Sep-Nov : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth. 2/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2006 : : 2006 : : 2006 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2005 : :as % of: 2005 : :as % of: 2005 : :as % of : :Number : 2005 : :Number : 2005 : :Number : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 245 185 76 330 270 82 CO : 140 150 107 670 680 101 810 830 102 IL : 430 420 98 3,570 3,680 103 4,000 4,100 103 IN : 290 310 107 2,710 2,790 103 3,000 3,100 103 IA : 1,080 1,100 102 15,020 15,200 101 16,100 16,300 101 KS : 155 165 106 1,525 1,565 103 1,680 1,730 103 MI : 100 100 100 820 860 105 920 960 104 MN : 590 580 98 5,710 5,820 102 6,300 6,400 102 MO : 330 345 105 2,520 2,355 93 2,850 2,700 95 NE : 355 355 100 2,395 2,545 106 2,750 2,900 105 NC : 1,010 1,020 101 8,690 8,480 98 9,700 9,500 98 OH : 160 160 100 1,340 1,380 103 1,500 1,540 103 OK : 360 360 100 2,020 1,970 98 2,380 2,330 98 PA : 105 100 95 995 1,010 102 1,100 1,110 101 SD : 145 155 107 1,215 1,285 106 1,360 1,440 106 TX : 95 100 105 815 830 102 910 930 102 WI : 50 50 100 380 370 97 430 420 98 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 461 470 102 3,117 3,146 101 3,579 3,616 101 : US : 5,941 6,025 101 53,757 54,151 101 59,699 60,176 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 145 140 35 15 30 15 35 15 CO : 365 360 115 90 85 80 105 150 IL : 1,360 1,310 840 870 760 820 610 680 IN : 1,000 1,030 650 700 570 560 490 500 IA : 4,330 4,680 4,230 4,140 3,490 3,440 2,970 2,940 KS : 540 530 255 285 280 345 450 405 MI : 325 315 190 200 160 175 145 170 MN : 2,230 2,280 1,390 1,330 1,250 1,310 840 900 MO : 1,190 1,085 520 490 480 460 330 320 NE : 970 1,000 600 660 470 490 355 395 NC : 3,410 3,400 2,030 1,940 1,830 1,690 1,420 1,450 OH : 550 570 310 315 300 305 180 190 OK : 960 910 330 350 260 220 470 490 PA : 290 370 290 270 230 210 185 160 SD : 430 455 295 300 270 275 220 255 TX : 295 265 190 190 160 195 170 180 WI : 145 145 90 90 80 70 65 65 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,132 1,143 727 771 655 674 604 559 : US : 19,667 19,988 13,087 13,006 11,360 11,334 9,644 9,824 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2006 : : 2006 : : 2006 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2005 : :as % of: 2005 : :as % of: 2005 : :as % of : :Number : 2005 : :Number : 2005 : :Number : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 205 195 95 290 280 97 CO : 140 150 107 640 690 108 780 840 108 IL : 430 430 100 3,670 3,770 103 4,100 4,200 102 IN : 300 320 107 2,800 2,880 103 3,100 3,200 103 IA : 1,070 1,080 101 15,130 15,420 102 16,200 16,500 102 KS : 155 160 103 1,535 1,670 109 1,690 1,830 108 MI : 100 100 100 810 870 107 910 970 107 MN : 600 590 98 6,000 6,110 102 6,600 6,700 102 MO : 340 350 103 2,510 2,350 94 2,850 2,700 95 NE : 355 365 103 2,445 2,585 106 2,800 2,950 105 NC : 1,020 1,020 100 8,880 8,580 97 9,900 9,600 97 OH : 160 165 103 1,420 1,445 102 1,580 1,610 102 OK : 360 360 100 2,020 2,000 99 2,380 2,360 99 PA : 100 100 100 970 990 102 1,070 1,090 102 SD : 145 160 110 1,255 1,300 104 1,400 1,460 104 TX : 100 105 105 830 855 103 930 960 103 WI : 50 55 110 380 375 99 430 430 100 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 467 465 99 3,254 3,272 101 3,722 3,737 100 : US : 5,977 6,060 101 54,754 55,357 101 60,732 61,417 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 140 140 20 20 20 15 25 20 CO : 355 360 110 85 60 95 115 150 IL : 1,340 1,350 900 940 770 840 660 640 IN : 1,040 1,080 700 760 550 550 510 490 IA : 4,600 4,760 4,130 4,240 3,500 3,530 2,900 2,890 KS : 550 575 305 360 280 310 400 425 MI : 310 325 200 195 155 175 145 175 MN : 2,410 2,430 1,440 1,500 1,220 1,290 930 890 MO : 1,230 1,135 480 490 450 420 350 305 NE : 960 1,000 640 680 490 530 355 375 NC : 3,560 3,540 2,140 1,960 1,720 1,690 1,460 1,390 OH : 580 580 340 360 300 320 200 185 OK : 960 920 330 330 230 270 500 480 PA : 285 320 290 290 225 215 170 165 SD : 465 465 320 310 250 275 220 250 TX : 325 265 150 220 160 205 195 165 WI : 150 145 90 105 70 70 70 55 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,163 1,218 791 797 693 665 608 593 : US : 20,423 20,608 13,376 13,642 11,143 11,465 9,813 9,643 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2006 : : 2006 : : 2006 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2005 : :as % of: 2005 : :as % of: 2005 : :as % of : :Number : 2005 : :Number : 2005 : :Number : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 200 195 98 285 280 98 CO : 145 155 107 715 695 97 860 850 99 IL : 420 440 105 3,630 3,910 108 4,050 4,350 107 IN : 300 330 110 2,800 3,020 108 3,100 3,350 108 IA : 1,080 1,080 100 15,520 15,820 102 16,600 16,900 102 KS : 155 165 106 1,565 1,745 112 1,720 1,910 111 MI : 100 100 100 830 870 105 930 970 104 MN : 600 590 98 6,200 6,310 102 6,800 6,900 101 MO : 340 355 104 2,510 2,395 95 2,850 2,750 96 NE : 350 350 100 2,450 2,550 104 2,800 2,900 104 NC : 1,020 1,010 99 9,080 8,690 96 10,100 9,700 96 OH : 160 170 106 1,400 1,490 106 1,560 1,660 106 OK : 360 360 100 2,060 2,030 99 2,420 2,390 99 PA : 95 105 111 985 1,045 106 1,080 1,150 106 SD : 140 155 111 1,240 1,325 107 1,380 1,480 107 TX : 100 100 100 890 880 99 990 980 99 WI : 50 55 110 370 375 101 420 430 102 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 472 474 100 3,428 3,280 96 3,901 3,754 96 : US : 5,972 6,079 102 55,873 56,625 101 61,846 62,704 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 145 145 20 15 15 15 20 20 CO : 400 385 110 85 85 85 120 140 IL : 1,380 1,370 890 980 800 850 560 710 IN : 1,050 1,120 720 770 550 590 480 540 IA : 4,780 4,850 4,400 4,470 3,450 3,520 2,890 2,980 KS : 535 600 355 380 265 300 410 465 MI : 320 305 195 215 165 180 150 170 MN : 2,450 2,490 1,500 1,560 1,320 1,300 930 960 MO : 1,180 1,115 520 480 470 470 340 330 NE : 980 990 660 660 460 510 350 390 NC : 3,650 3,560 2,130 2,010 1,780 1,710 1,520 1,410 OH : 580 610 335 360 290 320 195 200 OK : 930 960 300 320 270 260 560 490 PA : 300 340 270 290 220 230 195 185 SD : 440 485 315 315 255 275 230 250 TX : 290 320 210 195 195 180 195 185 WI : 145 150 90 85 70 75 65 65 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,209 1,203 856 801 744 685 620 592 : US : 20,764 20,998 13,876 13,991 11,404 11,555 9,830 10,082 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2005 : : 2005 : : 2005 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2004 : :as % of: 2004 : :as % of: 2004 : :as % of : :Number : 2004 : :Number : 2004 : :Number : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 245 185 76 330 270 82 CO : 140 145 104 660 705 107 800 850 106 IL : 420 430 102 3,680 3,570 97 4,100 4,000 98 IN : 290 310 107 2,910 2,940 101 3,200 3,250 102 IA : 1,070 1,070 100 15,230 15,530 102 16,300 16,600 102 KS : 155 160 103 1,555 1,630 105 1,710 1,790 105 MI : 110 100 91 840 860 102 950 960 101 MN : 600 590 98 5,900 6,010 102 6,500 6,600 102 MO : 340 345 101 2,560 2,355 92 2,900 2,700 93 NE : 355 350 99 2,495 2,500 100 2,850 2,850 100 NC : 1,020 1,010 99 8,880 8,790 99 9,900 9,800 99 OH : 155 165 106 1,295 1,395 108 1,450 1,560 108 OK : 360 360 100 2,030 2,010 99 2,390 2,370 99 PA : 115 100 87 965 1,000 104 1,080 1,100 102 SD : 140 165 118 1,200 1,325 110 1,340 1,490 111 TX : 100 100 100 890 830 93 990 930 94 WI : 50 55 110 380 375 99 430 430 100 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 464 471 101 3,290 3,428 104 3,755 3,899 104 : US : 5,969 6,011 101 55,005 55,438 101 60,975 61,449 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 130 130 40 20 35 15 40 20 CO : 355 390 100 95 75 85 130 135 IL : 1,410 1,300 830 860 770 740 670 670 IN : 1,010 1,060 750 730 600 560 550 590 IA : 4,580 4,610 4,130 4,180 3,340 3,520 3,180 3,220 KS : 460 570 330 315 340 315 425 430 MI : 330 315 195 205 160 175 155 165 MN : 2,250 2,320 1,420 1,460 1,250 1,200 980 1,030 MO : 1,200 1,105 530 480 480 450 350 320 NE : 970 980 650 660 470 470 405 390 NC : 3,520 3,450 2,150 2,130 1,700 1,720 1,510 1,490 OH : 535 550 310 330 270 295 180 220 OK : 970 920 340 320 230 240 490 530 PA : 280 310 275 280 215 215 195 195 SD : 410 450 300 325 260 290 230 260 TX : 300 270 200 195 205 180 185 185 WI : 135 150 90 85 80 75 75 65 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,135 1,175 799 854 706 748 651 652 : US : 19,980 20,055 13,439 13,524 11,186 11,293 10,401 10,567 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2005-2007 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2007 4/ : Per Litter : : 2006 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2005 : 2006 : :as % of: : : 2005 : :as % of : : :Number : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : :Number : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 43 41 39 95 9.55 9.50 411 390 95 CO : 75 81 81 100 8.55 8.80 641 713 111 IL : 210 195 210 108 8.90 9.00 1,869 1,755 94 IN : 130 130 150 115 8.80 8.95 1,144 1,164 102 IA : 440 455 450 99 8.90 9.00 3,916 4,095 105 KS : 80 84 88 105 8.70 8.85 696 743 107 MI : 44 48 50 104 9.00 9.30 396 446 113 MN : 275 270 275 102 9.10 9.10 2,503 2,457 98 MO : 170 165 165 100 9.05 9.00 1,539 1,485 96 NE : 175 175 170 97 9.00 9.15 1,575 1,601 102 NC : 540 540 540 100 8.85 9.10 4,779 4,914 103 OH : 77 76 83 109 9.00 9.10 693 692 100 OK : 190 185 180 97 8.80 8.70 1,672 1,610 96 PA : 47 47 51 109 9.50 9.90 447 465 104 SD : 72 77 79 103 9.40 9.40 677 724 107 TX : 43 42 48 114 9.20 8.60 396 361 91 WI : 24 26 26 100 8.75 8.55 210 222 106 : Oth : Sts 5/ : 200 203 217 107 8.91 8.97 1,779 1,821 102 : US : 2,835 2,840 2,902 102 8.94 9.03 25,343 25,658 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ May not add due to rounding. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 4/ Intentions. 5/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2006 : per Litter : : 2006 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2005 : :as % of : : : 2005 : :as % of : : Number : 2005 : 2005 : 2006 : : Number : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 42 41 98 9.70 9.60 407 394 97 CO : 77 81 105 8.80 8.90 678 721 106 IL : 210 205 98 8.95 9.05 1,880 1,855 99 IN : 135 135 100 8.85 8.90 1,195 1,202 101 IA : 440 455 103 9.05 8.95 3,982 4,072 102 KS : 83 81 98 8.80 9.10 730 737 101 MI : 45 46 102 9.00 9.20 405 423 104 MN : 290 280 97 9.15 9.30 2,654 2,604 98 MO : 170 170 100 9.10 9.10 1,547 1,547 100 NE : 175 180 103 9.05 9.15 1,584 1,647 104 NC : 550 550 100 8.90 9.10 4,895 5,005 102 OH : 77 79 103 9.00 9.00 693 711 103 OK : 190 185 97 8.90 8.90 1,691 1,647 97 PA : 47 46 98 9.10 9.10 428 419 98 SD : 75 82 109 9.30 9.35 698 767 110 TX : 45 44 98 9.40 9.25 423 407 96 WI : 25 27 108 8.75 8.70 219 235 107 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 206 210 102 9.13 9.09 1,877 1,908 102 : US : 2,882 2,897 101 9.02 9.08 25,986 26,301 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2006 : per Litter : : 2006 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2005 : :as % of : : : 2005 : :as % of : : Number : 2005 : 2005 : 2006 : : Number : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 44 41 93 9.60 9.70 422 398 94 CO : 81 83 102 8.80 9.00 713 747 105 IL : 205 205 100 8.90 9.05 1,825 1,855 102 IN : 140 140 100 8.90 8.95 1,246 1,253 101 IA : 460 455 99 9.00 9.10 4,140 4,141 100 KS : 83 85 102 8.80 8.80 730 748 102 MI : 48 47 98 9.25 9.20 444 432 97 MN : 280 280 100 9.30 9.30 2,604 2,604 100 MO : 170 170 100 9.05 9.10 1,539 1,547 101 NE : 175 175 100 9.05 9.15 1,584 1,601 101 NC : 560 560 100 9.10 9.15 5,096 5,124 101 OH : 78 85 109 9.10 9.20 710 782 110 OK : 200 190 95 8.90 9.00 1,780 1,710 96 PA : 47 46 98 9.40 8.80 442 405 92 SD : 71 80 113 9.40 9.40 667 752 113 TX : 45 50 111 9.10 9.65 410 483 118 WI : 25 26 104 8.70 8.85 218 230 106 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 206 206 100 9.12 9.30 1,879 1,915 102 : US : 2,918 2,924 100 9.06 9.14 26,449 26,727 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2004-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2006 3/ : per Litter : : 2005 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2004 : 2005 : :as % of: : : 2004 : :as % of : : :Number : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : :Number : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 42 42 41 98 9.50 9.70 399 407 102 CO : 73 81 83 102 8.45 8.80 617 713 116 IL : 210 200 215 108 8.85 8.85 1,859 1,770 95 IN : 135 135 145 107 8.85 9.00 1,195 1,215 102 IA : 460 455 460 101 8.90 9.00 4,094 4,095 100 KS : 83 84 88 105 8.80 8.70 730 731 100 MI : 46 47 49 104 9.20 9.20 423 432 102 MN : 285 280 275 98 9.10 9.25 2,594 2,590 100 MO : 170 175 170 97 8.95 8.95 1,522 1,566 103 NE : 170 175 175 100 9.00 9.05 1,530 1,584 104 NC : 550 550 540 98 9.00 9.00 4,950 4,950 100 OH : 77 81 82 101 9.00 9.10 693 737 106 OK : 190 190 185 97 8.90 8.90 1,691 1,691 100 PA : 49 47 50 106 9.50 9.80 466 461 99 SD : 71 81 81 100 9.20 9.30 653 753 115 TX : 46 44 48 109 8.95 8.90 412 392 95 WI : 25 27 26 96 8.80 8.65 220 234 106 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 206 206 212 103 8.91 9.04 1,833 1,866 102 : US : 2,888 2,900 2,925 101 8.96 9.03 25,881 26,187 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2005-2006 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head -- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 938 937 8.89 8.98 8,338 8,412 Jan : 951 953 8.94 9.07 8,500 8,648 Feb : 946 950 8.99 9.05 8,505 8,598 Mar : 967 973 8.99 9.03 8,693 8,782 Apr : 962 956 9.00 9.09 8,656 8,691 May : 953 968 9.06 9.12 8,637 8,828 Jun : 968 974 9.07 9.13 8,779 8,888 Jul : 978 970 9.04 9.13 8,845 8,859 Aug : 972 980 9.08 9.16 8,825 8,980 Sep : 982 9.04 8,874 Oct : 970 9.05 8,777 Nov : 948 9.00 8,536 : Total : 11,535 9.01 103,965 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Reliability of September 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 10,000 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of September data were collected from about 8,000 operations, 80 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of September 1. Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year census of agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 62.7 million head by more than 1.0 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.7 percent. Reliability of September 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.0 1.7 1,066 492 72 1,386 2 18 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 1.3 2.3 615 258 0 824 1 18 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : Quarter : 1.3 2.2 64 30 1 91 6 14 : Following : Quarter : 1.7 2.9 84 39 2 126 8 12 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch(202) 720-3570 Livestock Section William Weaver, Head, Livestock Section (202) 720-3570 Bruce Boess - Hogs and Pigs(202) 720-3106 Shawn Clark - Dairy Products(202) 690-3236 Jason Hardegree - Milk Production and Milk Cows(202) 720-3278 Scott Hollis - Sheep & Lambs, Goats(202) 720-4751 Mike Miller - Cattle, Cattle on Feed(202) 720-3040 Katy Paulsen - Livestock Slaughter(515) 284-4340 Charmaine Wilson - Dairy Products Prices(202) 690-2168 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.nass.usda.gov. 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The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and activities on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, and where applicable, sex, marital status, familial status, parental status, religion, sexual orientation, genetic information, political beliefs, reprisal, or because all or part of an individual's income is derived from any public assistance program. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (Braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact USDA's TARGET Center at (202) 720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write to USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, 1400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, or call (800) 795-3272 (voice) or (202) 720-6382 (TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. USDA Data Users' Meeting October 16, 2006 Doubletree Chicago O'Hare Airport - Rosemont Chicago, Illinois (847) 292-9100 The USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service will be organizing an open forum for data users. The purpose will be to provide updates on pending changes in the various statistical and information programs and seek comments and input from data users. Other USDA agencies to be represented will include the Agricultural Marketing Service, the Economic Research Service, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and World Agricultural Outlook Board. The Foreign Trade Division from the Census Bureau will also be included in the meeting. For registration details or additional information for the Data Users' Meeting, see the NASS homepage at www.nass.usda.gov/forum/ or contact Amy Jenkins (NASS) at (202) 690-8141 or at amy_jenkins@nass.usda.gov. This Data Users' Meeting precedes an Industry Outlook meeting that will be held at the same location on October 17, 2006. The Outlook meeting brings together analysts from various commodity sectors to discuss the outlook situation. For more information about the outlook meeting and to register contact Jim Robb (Livestock and Marketing Information Center) at (720) 544-2941 or at robb@lmic.info.