Mt An 4 (3-05) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released March 24, 2005, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Quarterly Hogs and Pigs call Dan Lofthus at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory Up 1 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on March 1, 2005 was 59.9 million head. This was up 1 percent from March 1, 2004, but down 1 percent from December 1, 2004. Breeding inventory, at 5.94 million head, was down slightly from both March 1, 2004 and last quarter. Market hog inventory, at 54.0 million head, was up 1 percent from last year, but down 1 percent from last quarter. The December 2004 - February 2005 U.S. pig crop, at 25.5 million head, was up 2 percent from 2004 and up 4 percent from 2003. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.85 million head, up 1 percent from last year. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 48 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 8.94 for the December 2004 -February 2005 period, compared to 8.85 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.50 for operations with 1-99 hogs to 9.00 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.87 million sows farrowed during the March-May 2005 quarter, unchanged from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2004, but 1 percent below 2003. Intended farrowings for June-August 2005, at 2.88 million sows, are down 1 percent from the same period in both 2004 and 2003. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 39 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, up from 37 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2004 through December 2004 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review, small revisions of less than one-half of one percent were made to the September 1, 2004 total inventory and the December 1, 2004 total inventory. An adjustment slightly larger than one-half of one percent was made to the June-August 2004 pig crop. This report was approved on March 24, 2005. Secretary of Agriculture Mike Johanns Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Contents Page Quarterly U.S. Inventory by Class and Weight Group, 2003-20051 Quarterly U.S. Sows Farrowed, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, 2003-2005. . . . . . . . . . . . 2 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory by State and U.S., 2003-2005 March 1 . . . . . . . . . . 4 June 1 . . . . . . . . . . 6 September 1 . . . . . . . . 8 December 1 . . . . . . . .10 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, Pig Crop by State and U.S., 2003-2005 December-February. . .12 March-May . . . . . . . . .13 June-August . . . . . . . .14 September-November. . . . .15 Monthly U.S. Farrowings, December-November 2004-200512 Reliability Statement. . . . . .17 Index .. . . . . . . . . . . . .19 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2003-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2005 as % of Item : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 :------------- : : : : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 58,183 59,520 59,899 103 101 Kept for Breeding : 6,027 5,961 5,941 99 100 Market : 52,156 53,558 53,957 103 101 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,086 19,823 19,817 104 100 60-119 Pounds : 12,639 12,954 13,087 104 101 120-179 Pounds : 10,915 11,205 11,430 105 102 180 Pounds and Over : 9,516 9,578 9,624 101 100 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,602 60,698 Kept for Breeding : 6,026 5,937 Market : 53,576 54,760 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,433 20,292 60-119 Pounds : 12,952 13,500 120-179 Pounds : 10,828 11,256 180 Pounds and Over : 9,363 9,714 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 61,009 61,519 Kept for Breeding : 5,938 5,962 Market : 55,071 55,556 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,438 20,729 60-119 Pounds : 13,739 13,613 120-179 Pounds : 11,384 11,235 180 Pounds and Over : 9,510 9,981 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,444 60,645 Kept for Breeding : 6,009 5,969 Market : 54,434 54,675 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,778 19,650 60-119 Pounds : 13,238 13,439 120-179 Pounds : 11,109 11,186 180 Pounds and Over : 10,311 10,401 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2003-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : 2005 as % of Item : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 :--------------- : : : : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ Percent : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ : 2,769 2,836 2,851 103 101 Mar-May 3/ : 2,886 2,870 2,870 99 100 Dec-May 2/ 4/ : 5,655 5,706 5,721 101 100 : Jun-Aug 3/ : 2,918 2,905 2,880 99 99 Sep-Nov : 2,856 2,852 Jun-Nov : 5,773 5,757 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 24,400 25,105 25,489 104 102 Mar-May : 25,629 25,633 Dec-May 2/ : 50,029 50,737 : Jun-Aug : 25,974 26,162 Sep-Nov : 25,488 25,558 Jun-Nov : 51,462 51,720 : : ------------- Number ------------- Percent Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 8.81 8.85 8.94 101 101 Mar-May : 8.88 8.93 Dec-May 2/ : 8.85 8.89 : Jun-Aug : 8.90 9.01 Sep-Nov : 8.93 8.96 Jun-Nov : 8.91 8.98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 2005. 4/ Actual farrowings for December 2004-February 2005 plus intentions for March-May 2005. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2004-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2004 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.60 7.90 8.20 8.60 8.70 9.00 Mar-May : 7.70 7.90 8.30 8.70 8.90 9.00 Jun-Aug : 7.50 7.80 8.30 8.80 8.90 9.10 Sep-Nov : 7.50 7.70 8.20 8.80 8.90 9.10 : 2005 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.50 7.80 8.30 8.80 8.90 9.00 Mar-May : Jun-Aug : Sep-Nov : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2005 : : 2005 : : 2005 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2004 : :as % of: 2004 : :as % of: 2004 : :as % of : :Number : 2004 : :Number : 2004 : :Number : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 230 245 107 315 330 105 CO : 140 140 100 550 670 122 690 810 117 IL : 410 430 105 3,440 3,570 104 3,850 4,000 104 IN : 300 290 97 2,850 2,710 95 3,150 3,000 95 IA : 1,040 1,080 104 14,460 15,120 105 15,500 16,200 105 KS : 170 155 91 1,550 1,545 100 1,720 1,700 99 MI : 100 100 100 830 820 99 930 920 99 MN : 600 590 98 5,900 5,710 97 6,500 6,300 97 MO : 330 330 100 2,570 2,520 98 2,900 2,850 98 NE : 360 355 99 2,490 2,395 96 2,850 2,750 96 NC : 1,020 1,010 99 8,880 8,690 98 9,900 9,700 98 OH : 160 160 100 1,360 1,360 100 1,520 1,520 100 OK : 350 360 103 2,000 2,060 103 2,350 2,420 103 PA : 120 105 88 910 995 109 1,030 1,100 107 SD : 145 145 100 1,105 1,215 110 1,250 1,360 109 TX : 110 95 86 810 825 102 920 920 100 WI : 55 50 91 395 390 99 450 440 98 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 466 461 99 3,228 3,117 97 3,695 3,579 97 : US : 5,961 5,941 100 53,558 53,957 101 59,520 59,899 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 135 145 30 35 30 30 35 35 CO : 315 365 60 115 65 85 110 105 IL : 1,260 1,360 820 830 750 770 610 610 IN : 1,060 1,000 660 650 620 570 510 490 IA : 4,510 4,430 4,000 4,230 3,250 3,490 2,700 2,970 KS : 530 550 285 260 310 285 425 450 MI : 300 325 205 190 175 160 150 145 MN : 2,250 2,230 1,410 1,370 1,280 1,270 960 840 MO : 1,270 1,190 510 520 470 480 320 330 NE : 980 970 640 600 470 470 400 355 NC : 3,500 3,410 2,180 2,030 1,800 1,850 1,400 1,400 OH : 555 570 315 300 290 310 200 180 OK : 940 980 310 350 250 260 500 470 PA : 300 290 240 290 210 230 160 185 SD : 385 430 245 295 265 270 210 220 TX : 265 295 180 200 195 160 170 170 WI : 155 145 90 95 80 85 70 65 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,113 1,132 774 727 695 655 648 604 : US : 19,823 19,817 12,954 13,087 11,205 11,430 9,578 9,624 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : : 2004 : : 2004 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 75 85 113 195 250 128 270 335 124 CO : 125 140 112 605 610 101 730 750 103 IL : 420 420 100 3,630 3,530 97 4,050 3,950 98 IN : 310 290 94 2,740 2,860 104 3,050 3,150 103 IA : 1,070 1,060 99 14,730 15,040 102 15,800 16,100 102 KS : 165 165 100 1,345 1,565 116 1,510 1,730 115 MI : 100 95 95 830 815 98 930 910 98 MN : 600 600 100 5,700 6,000 105 6,300 6,600 105 MO : 340 320 94 2,560 2,630 103 2,900 2,950 102 NE : 380 360 95 2,570 2,490 97 2,950 2,850 97 NC : 1,020 1,010 99 8,780 9,190 105 9,800 10,200 104 OH : 160 155 97 1,300 1,315 101 1,460 1,470 101 OK : 360 350 97 1,940 2,100 108 2,300 2,450 107 PA : 120 110 92 940 900 96 1,060 1,010 95 SD : 145 145 100 1,185 1,085 92 1,330 1,230 92 TX : 110 110 100 800 780 98 910 890 98 WI : 60 50 83 420 390 93 480 440 92 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 466 472 101 3,306 3,210 97 3,772 3,683 98 : US : 6,026 5,937 99 53,576 54,760 102 59,602 60,698 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 120 145 25 40 25 30 25 35 CO : 315 335 90 95 85 80 115 100 IL : 1,330 1,330 890 870 780 750 630 580 IN : 990 1,040 650 660 570 600 530 560 IA : 4,890 4,540 3,950 4,300 3,190 3,350 2,700 2,850 KS : 445 530 285 330 255 275 360 430 MI : 310 300 210 200 165 170 145 145 MN : 2,300 2,380 1,390 1,420 1,180 1,260 830 940 MO : 1,250 1,300 530 550 470 480 310 300 NE : 1,020 980 680 660 495 460 375 390 NC : 3,750 3,690 2,080 2,200 1,650 1,800 1,300 1,500 OH : 535 535 315 310 275 290 175 180 OK : 860 980 280 330 280 310 520 480 PA : 350 310 220 230 190 190 180 170 SD : 380 370 305 290 280 250 220 175 TX : 275 255 150 165 135 185 240 175 WI : 170 150 90 85 85 80 75 75 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,143 1,122 812 765 718 696 633 629 : US : 20,433 20,292 12,952 13,500 10,828 11,256 9,363 9,714 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : : 2004 : : 2004 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 80 80 100 200 240 120 280 320 114 CO : 130 140 108 640 580 91 770 720 94 IL : 420 410 98 3,530 3,590 102 3,950 4,000 101 IN : 300 300 100 2,800 2,950 105 3,100 3,250 105 IA : 1,030 1,060 103 15,170 15,340 101 16,200 16,400 101 KS : 165 160 97 1,505 1,630 108 1,670 1,790 107 MI : 100 100 100 820 840 102 920 940 102 MN : 600 590 98 5,900 6,010 102 6,500 6,600 102 MO : 330 330 100 2,570 2,570 100 2,900 2,900 100 NE : 375 360 96 2,675 2,490 93 3,050 2,850 93 NC : 1,020 1,030 101 9,180 9,270 101 10,200 10,300 101 OH : 155 160 103 1,325 1,350 102 1,480 1,510 102 OK : 360 360 100 2,070 2,100 101 2,430 2,460 101 PA : 120 105 88 1,010 955 95 1,130 1,060 94 SD : 135 140 104 1,155 1,080 94 1,290 1,220 95 TX : 95 110 116 825 920 112 920 1,030 112 WI : 60 50 83 440 390 89 500 440 88 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 463 477 103 3,256 3,251 100 3,719 3,729 100 : US : 5,938 5,962 100 55,071 55,556 101 61,009 61,519 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 110 140 35 35 30 35 25 30 CO : 335 320 95 85 90 75 120 100 IL : 1,310 1,380 870 840 770 770 580 600 IN : 1,060 1,080 690 710 570 600 480 560 IA : 4,800 4,740 4,130 4,200 3,430 3,350 2,810 3,050 KS : 500 550 350 340 235 285 420 455 MI : 300 320 210 200 165 170 145 150 MN : 2,300 2,420 1,510 1,440 1,260 1,240 830 910 MO : 1,220 1,270 550 500 480 450 320 350 NE : 1,060 970 700 660 510 470 405 390 NC : 3,650 3,670 2,330 2,350 1,850 1,850 1,350 1,400 OH : 545 570 345 330 280 270 155 180 OK : 950 1,000 300 370 290 250 530 480 PA : 360 290 240 245 200 195 210 225 SD : 380 390 310 270 275 240 190 180 TX : 290 340 160 185 150 210 225 185 WI : 175 150 100 90 85 80 80 70 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,093 1,129 814 763 714 695 635 666 : US : 20,438 20,729 13,739 13,613 11,384 11,235 9,510 9,981 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : : 2004 : : 2004 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 85 100 225 245 109 310 330 106 CO : 135 140 104 615 660 107 750 800 107 IL : 410 420 102 3,590 3,630 101 4,000 4,050 101 IN : 300 290 97 2,800 2,860 102 3,100 3,150 102 IA : 1,060 1,070 101 14,840 15,130 102 15,900 16,200 102 KS : 160 155 97 1,490 1,555 104 1,650 1,710 104 MI : 110 110 100 840 830 99 950 940 99 MN : 600 600 100 5,900 5,900 100 6,500 6,500 100 MO : 340 340 100 2,610 2,560 98 2,950 2,900 98 NE : 370 355 96 2,530 2,495 99 2,900 2,850 98 NC : 1,020 1,020 100 8,980 8,780 98 10,000 9,800 98 OH : 160 155 97 1,360 1,295 95 1,520 1,450 95 OK : 360 360 100 2,020 2,030 100 2,380 2,390 100 PA : 120 115 96 990 965 97 1,110 1,080 97 SD : 145 140 97 1,135 1,190 105 1,280 1,330 104 TX : 105 100 95 825 880 107 930 980 105 WI : 55 50 91 425 380 89 480 430 90 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 474 464 98 3,259 3,290 101 3,734 3,755 101 : US : 6,009 5,969 99 54,434 54,675 100 60,444 60,645 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 120 130 30 40 30 35 45 40 CO : 340 355 70 100 70 75 135 130 IL : 1,280 1,360 860 830 770 770 680 670 IN : 990 960 670 750 580 600 560 550 IA : 4,510 4,480 4,130 4,130 3,200 3,340 3,000 3,180 KS : 510 460 285 330 280 340 415 425 MI : 300 320 205 195 175 160 160 155 MN : 2,210 2,250 1,420 1,420 1,250 1,250 1,020 980 MO : 1,280 1,200 530 530 460 480 340 350 NE : 960 970 650 650 490 470 430 405 NC : 3,550 3,420 2,180 2,150 1,750 1,700 1,500 1,510 OH : 540 535 330 310 280 270 210 180 OK : 920 970 320 340 320 230 460 490 PA : 350 280 235 275 195 215 210 195 SD : 385 400 250 300 280 260 220 230 TX : 245 290 195 200 200 205 185 185 WI : 165 135 95 90 85 80 80 75 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,123 1,135 783 799 694 706 661 651 : US : 19,778 19,650 13,238 13,439 11,109 11,186 10,311 10,401 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2004-2005 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2005 : per Litter : : 2005 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2004 : :as % of : : : 2004 : :as % of : : Number : 2004 : 2004 : 2005 : : Number : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 38 43 113 9.60 9.55 365 411 113 CO : 73 76 104 8.30 8.55 606 650 107 IL : 205 210 102 8.85 8.90 1,814 1,869 103 IN : 145 135 93 8.85 8.80 1,283 1,188 93 IA : 410 445 109 8.70 8.90 3,567 3,961 111 KS : 84 81 96 8.70 8.70 731 705 96 MI : 45 44 98 8.90 9.00 401 396 99 MN : 285 275 96 9.05 9.10 2,579 2,503 97 MO : 170 170 100 9.00 9.05 1,530 1,539 101 NE : 175 175 100 8.90 9.00 1,558 1,575 101 NC : 550 540 98 8.95 8.85 4,923 4,779 97 OH : 74 78 105 8.80 9.00 651 702 108 OK : 185 190 103 8.60 8.80 1,591 1,672 105 PA : 53 48 91 8.50 9.50 451 456 101 SD : 70 72 103 9.20 9.40 644 677 105 TX : 46 44 96 8.40 9.20 386 405 105 WI : 24 25 104 8.80 8.75 211 219 104 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 204 200 98 8.90 8.92 1,814 1,782 98 : US : 2,836 2,851 101 8.85 8.94 25,105 25,489 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1 or had been sold. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2003-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2005 3/ : per Litter : : 2004 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2003 : 2004 : :as % of: : : 2003 : :as % of : : :Number : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : :Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 36 41 45 110 9.70 9.70 349 398 114 CO : 67 72 78 108 8.50 8.10 570 583 102 IL : 215 215 210 98 8.90 8.90 1,914 1,914 100 IN : 145 135 135 100 8.95 8.90 1,298 1,202 93 IA : 470 430 450 105 8.70 8.75 4,089 3,763 92 KS : 83 84 85 101 8.50 8.80 706 739 105 MI : 46 44 46 105 9.00 9.10 414 400 97 MN : 280 290 280 97 8.95 8.95 2,506 2,596 104 MO : 170 170 165 97 8.70 9.00 1,479 1,530 103 NE : 185 175 175 100 8.90 8.90 1,647 1,558 95 NC : 540 550 540 98 9.00 9.10 4,860 5,005 103 OH : 73 73 79 108 9.00 8.90 657 650 99 OK : 175 190 190 100 8.90 8.80 1,558 1,672 107 PA : 49 50 47 94 9.30 8.75 456 438 96 SD : 68 70 73 104 9.10 9.40 619 658 106 TX : 49 47 44 94 9.00 8.60 441 404 92 WI : 28 26 23 88 8.75 8.75 245 228 93 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 207 208 205 99 8.81 9.12 1,821 1,895 104 : US : 2,886 2,870 2,870 100 8.88 8.93 25,629 25,633 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1 or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2003-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2005 3/ : per Litter : : 2004 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2003 : 2004 : :as % of: : : 2003 : :as % of : : :Number : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : :Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 37 43 43 100 9.60 9.40 355 404 114 CO : 70 70 78 111 8.70 8.40 609 588 97 IL : 215 210 210 100 8.85 8.90 1,903 1,869 98 IN : 150 140 140 100 8.95 9.00 1,343 1,260 94 IA : 460 440 440 100 8.70 8.90 4,002 3,916 98 KS : 80 87 85 98 8.75 8.80 700 766 109 MI : 47 48 46 96 9.00 9.20 423 442 104 MN : 275 285 280 98 8.90 9.05 2,448 2,579 105 MO : 170 170 170 100 8.95 9.00 1,522 1,530 101 NE : 185 175 175 100 8.80 8.90 1,628 1,558 96 NC : 560 560 550 98 9.00 9.15 5,040 5,124 102 OH : 76 75 79 105 8.90 8.90 676 668 99 OK : 185 195 190 97 9.00 9.00 1,665 1,755 105 PA : 51 46 48 104 9.40 9.20 479 423 88 SD : 70 68 73 107 9.30 9.30 651 632 97 TX : 49 56 47 84 8.70 9.05 426 507 119 WI : 29 24 24 100 8.60 8.85 249 212 85 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 209 213 202 95 8.88 9.06 1,855 1,929 104 : US : 2,918 2,905 2,880 99 8.90 9.01 25,974 26,162 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1 or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2004 : per Litter : : 2004 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2003 : :as % of : : : 2003 : :as % of : : Number : 2003 : 2003 : 2004 : : Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 35 42 120 9.50 9.50 333 399 120 CO : 70 72 103 8.40 8.45 588 608 103 IL : 205 205 100 8.85 8.85 1,814 1,814 100 IN : 145 135 93 8.85 8.85 1,283 1,195 93 IA : 440 450 102 8.80 8.90 3,872 4,005 103 KS : 81 82 101 8.70 8.80 705 722 102 MI : 51 44 86 8.80 9.20 449 405 90 MN : 280 280 100 9.00 9.10 2,520 2,548 101 MO : 175 170 97 9.10 8.95 1,593 1,522 96 NE : 185 170 92 9.00 9.00 1,665 1,530 92 NC : 540 540 100 9.10 9.00 4,914 4,860 99 OH : 74 77 104 8.80 9.00 651 693 106 OK : 185 190 103 8.70 8.90 1,610 1,691 105 PA : 51 49 96 9.50 9.50 485 466 96 SD : 70 70 100 9.10 9.20 637 644 101 TX : 33 45 136 8.20 8.95 271 403 149 WI : 26 25 96 8.70 8.80 226 220 97 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 210 206 98 8.93 8.91 1,872 1,833 98 : US : 2,856 2,852 100 8.93 8.96 25,488 25,558 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1 or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2004-2005 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head -- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 935 946 8.84 8.89 8,265 8,410 Jan : 954 959 8.86 8.94 8,448 8,573 Feb : 947 946 8.86 8.99 8,392 8,506 Mar : 958 8.89 8,515 Apr : 957 8.93 8,550 May : 955 8.97 8,568 Jun : 978 8.99 8,792 Jul : 970 9.00 8,730 Aug : 957 9.03 8,640 Sep : 958 8.97 8,589 Oct : 951 8.96 8,524 Nov : 943 8.96 8,445 : Total : 11,462 8.94 102,457 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Reliability of March 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 10,600 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. Data were collected from about 8,600 operations, 81 percent of the total sample, during the first-half of March by mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of March 1. Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each State office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.2 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 59.9 million head by more than 1.2 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 2.0 percent. Reliability of March 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.2 2.0 1,198 598 76 1,386 6 14 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 1.6 2.8 714 318 0 926 6 13 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : Quarter : 1.8 3.2 92 40 7 158 9 11 : Following : Quarter : 2.1 3.6 104 45 2 146 10 10 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Index Page Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February12 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August14 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May13 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November15 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 110 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 16 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 14 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 18 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States. 1 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 111 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 17 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 15 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 19 Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November16 Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States2 Reliability of Hogs and Pigs Estimates17 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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