Quarterly Hogs and Pigs ISSN: 1949-1921 Released September 27, 2013, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). United States Hog Inventory Up Slightly United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on September 1, 2013 was 68.4 million head. This was up slightly from September 1, 2012, and up 3 percent from June 1, 2013. Breeding inventory, at 5.81 million head, was up slightly from last year, but down 1 percent from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 62.5 million head, was up slightly from last year, and up 3 percent from last quarter. The June-August 2013 pig crop, at 30.2 million head, was up 2 percent from 2012. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.92 million head, down slightly from 2012. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 50 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high 10.33 for the June-August period, compared to 10.13 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.80 for operations with 1- 99 hogs and pigs to 10.40 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. United States hog producers intend to have 2.90 million sows farrow during the September-November 2013 quarter, up slightly from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2012, but down 1 percent from 2011. Intended farrowings for December-February 2014, at 2.87 million sows, are up 1 percent from 2013, and up slightly from 2012. The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 46 percent of the total United States hog inventory, down from 47 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for September 2012 through June 2013 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review, an adjustment of one percent was made to the March 2013 total inventory. An adjustment of less than one half of one percent was made to the June 2013 total inventory. An adjustment of less than one and one half percent was made to the December-February 2013 pig crop. This report was approved on September 27, 2013. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Joseph W. Glauber Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Hubert Hamer Contents Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter - United States: 2012 and 2013.............. 4 Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter - United States: 2011-2014................................ 5 Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation - United States: 2012 and 2013..................................... 5 Quarterly Litter Rate - United States................................................................... 6 Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation - United States: June-August 2013.................................. 6 Quarterly Sows Farrowed - United States................................................................. 7 Quarterly Pig Crop - United States...................................................................... 7 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: March 1, 2012 and 2013................ 8 Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: March 1, 2012 and 2013....... 8 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: June 1, 2012 and 2013................. 9 Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: June 1, 2012 and 2013........ 9 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: September 1, 2012 and 2013............ 10 Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: September 1, 2012 and 2013... 10 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: December 1, 2011 and 2012............. 11 Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: December 1, 2011 and 2012.... 11 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: December-February 2012-2014... 12 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: March-May 2012 and 2013....... 12 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: June-August 2012 and 2013..... 13 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: September-November 2011-2013.. 13 Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - United States: December-November 2012 and 2013......................................................................... 14 Statistical Methodology................................................................................. 14 Reliability of September 1 Hog Estimates................................................................ 15 Information Contacts.................................................................................... 15 Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter - United States: 2012 and 2013 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : 2013 as Item : 2012 : 2013 : percent : : : of 2012 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 head ---- percent : March 1 inventory 1/ : All hogs and pigs ....................: 64,937 65,221 100 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,820 5,834 100 Market .............................: 59,117 59,387 100 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 19,235 19,196 100 50-119 pounds ......................: 16,409 16,450 100 120-179 pounds .....................: 12,780 12,911 101 180 pounds and over ................: 10,693 10,830 101 : June 1 inventory 1/ : All hogs and pigs ....................: 66,659 66,602 100 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,862 5,882 100 Market .............................: 60,797 60,720 100 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 19,871 19,676 99 50-119 pounds ......................: 18,119 18,052 100 120-179 pounds .....................: 12,203 12,314 101 180 pounds and over ................: 10,604 10,678 101 : September 1 inventory 1/ : All hogs and pigs ....................: 68,172 68,360 100 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,788 5,814 100 Market .............................: 62,384 62,546 100 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 19,900 20,085 101 50-119 pounds ......................: 17,899 18,087 101 120-179 pounds .....................: 13,090 13,284 101 180 pounds and over ................: 11,495 11,090 96 : December 1 inventory 1/ : All hogs and pigs ....................: 66,373 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,817 Market .............................: 60,556 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 19,300 50-119 pounds ......................: 16,751 120-179 pounds .....................: 12,634 180 pounds and over ................: 11,871 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter - United States: 2011-2014 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : 2013 as percent of : 2014 as Item : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 : 2014 :-----------------------------: percent : : : : : 2011 : 2012 : of 2013 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 head ------------ ------------ percent ----------- : Sows farrowing : December-February 1/ 2/ : 2,843 2,864 2,844 2,870 100 99 101 March-May ..............: 2,917 2,982 2,921 100 98 December-May 1/ 3/ .....: 5,760 5,847 5,765 100 99 : June-August ............: 2,927 2,928 2,925 100 100 September-November 4/ ..: 2,929 2,888 2,900 99 100 June-November 3/ 5/ ....: 5,857 5,817 5,825 99 100 : Pig crop : December-February 1/ ...: 27,866 28,550 28,662 103 100 March-May ..............: 29,252 30,077 30,111 103 100 December-May 1/ 3/ .....: 57,118 58,627 58,773 103 100 : June-August ............: 29,355 29,654 30,210 103 102 September-November .....: 29,365 29,320 June-November 3/ .......: 58,720 58,974 : : -------------- number ------------- ------------ percent ----------- Pigs per litter : December-February 1/ ...: 9.80 9.97 10.08 103 101 March-May ..............: 10.03 10.09 10.31 103 102 December-May 1/ ........: 9.92 10.03 10.19 103 102 : June-August ............: 10.03 10.13 10.33 103 102 September-November .....: 10.02 10.15 June-November ..........: 10.03 10.14 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Intentions for 2014. 3/ May not add due to rounding. 4/ Intentions for 2013. 5/ Actual farrowings for June-August plus intentions for September-November. Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation - United States: 2012 and 2013 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per litter on operations having 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : head : head : head : head : head : head ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : number : 2012 : December-February 2/ : 7.30 8.20 8.80 9.20 9.80 10.00 March-May ...........: 7.50 8.40 9.00 9.40 10.00 10.20 June-August .........: 7.60 8.40 9.00 9.40 10.00 10.20 September-November ..: 7.60 8.40 9.00 9.50 10.00 10.20 : 2013 : December-February 2/ : 7.50 8.30 8.90 9.40 9.90 10.10 March-May ...........: 7.70 8.60 9.20 9.70 10.20 10.40 June-August .........: 7.80 8.70 9.30 9.70 10.20 10.40 September-November ..: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth. 2/ December preceding year. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: March 1, 2012 and 2013 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2013 :2013 as: : 2013 :2013 as: : 2013 :2013 as State : 2012 : :percent: 2012 : :percent: 2012 : :percent : : :of 2012: : :of 2012: : :of 2012 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent -- 1,000 head -- percent -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 150 145 97 580 575 99 730 720 99 Illinois ........: 510 490 96 4,140 4,110 99 4,650 4,600 99 Indiana .........: 290 270 93 3,410 3,330 98 3,700 3,600 97 Iowa ............: 1,010 1,020 101 18,690 19,180 103 19,700 20,200 103 Kansas ..........: 170 170 100 1,650 1,630 99 1,820 1,800 99 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 900 950 106 1,010 1,060 105 Minnesota .......: 550 570 104 7,050 7,080 100 7,600 7,650 101 Missouri ........: 360 340 94 2,290 2,410 105 2,650 2,750 104 Nebraska ........: 390 390 100 2,710 2,610 96 3,100 3,000 97 North Carolina ..: 860 870 101 7,740 7,830 101 8,600 8,700 101 : Ohio ............: 165 165 100 1,965 1,935 98 2,130 2,100 99 Oklahoma ........: 410 410 100 1,930 1,880 97 2,340 2,290 98 Pennsylvania ....: 100 100 100 990 1,040 105 1,090 1,140 105 South Dakota ....: 175 175 100 1,115 975 87 1,290 1,150 89 Texas ...........: 90 105 117 730 605 83 820 710 87 Utah ............: 75 80 107 645 660 102 720 740 103 : Other States 1/ .: 405 424 105 2,582 2,587 100 2,987 3,011 101 : United States ...: 5,820 5,834 100 59,117 59,387 100 64,937 65,221 100 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: March 1, 2012 and 2013 [Weight groups may not add to market hogs and pigs due to rounding] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 275 280 100 95 95 80 110 120 Illinois ........: 1,380 1,310 1,260 1,220 800 790 700 790 Indiana .........: 1,100 1,010 910 1,000 700 660 700 660 Iowa ............: 4,930 5,090 5,820 5,900 4,640 4,800 3,300 3,390 Kansas ..........: 500 470 355 360 275 290 520 510 Michigan ........: 290 290 200 215 215 225 195 220 Minnesota .......: 2,360 2,420 2,180 2,110 1,570 1,550 940 1,000 Missouri ........: 1,000 1,070 530 535 370 395 390 410 Nebraska ........: 880 870 790 740 605 580 435 420 North Carolina ..: 3,030 3,020 1,810 1,900 1,560 1,600 1,340 1,310 : Ohio ............: 690 660 550 560 435 450 290 265 Oklahoma ........: 790 800 380 340 260 250 500 490 Pennsylvania ....: 250 245 340 340 200 225 200 230 South Dakota ....: 360 330 300 270 250 195 205 180 Texas ...........: 225 130 145 150 135 145 225 180 Utah ............: 270 290 125 120 130 130 120 120 : Other States 1/ .: 905 911 614 595 540 546 523 535 : United States ...: 19,235 19,196 16,409 16,450 12,780 12,911 10,693 10,830 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: June 1, 2012 and 2013 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2013 :2013 as: : 2013 :2013 as: : 2013 :2013 as State : 2012 : :percent: 2012 : :percent: 2012 : :percent : : :of 2012: : :of 2012: : :of 2012 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent -- 1,000 head -- percent -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 150 145 97 570 575 101 720 720 100 Illinois ........: 500 500 100 4,200 4,250 101 4,700 4,750 101 Indiana .........: 280 270 96 3,520 3,330 95 3,800 3,600 95 Iowa ............: 1,020 1,030 101 19,380 19,370 100 20,400 20,400 100 Kansas ..........: 170 170 100 1,620 1,710 106 1,790 1,880 105 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 910 920 101 1,020 1,030 101 Minnesota .......: 560 580 104 7,340 7,370 100 7,900 7,950 101 Missouri ........: 365 350 96 2,435 2,400 99 2,800 2,750 98 Nebraska ........: 385 400 104 2,765 2,700 98 3,150 3,100 98 North Carolina ..: 870 870 100 8,030 8,330 104 8,900 9,200 103 : Ohio ............: 170 160 94 1,990 2,010 101 2,160 2,170 100 Oklahoma ........: 410 410 100 1,880 1,850 98 2,290 2,260 99 Pennsylvania ....: 100 100 100 1,010 1,050 104 1,110 1,150 104 South Dakota ....: 180 180 100 1,130 980 87 1,310 1,160 89 Texas ...........: 100 100 100 780 540 69 880 640 73 Utah ............: 80 75 94 630 665 106 710 740 104 : Other States 1/ .: 412 432 105 2,607 2,670 102 3,019 3,102 103 : United States ...: 5,862 5,882 100 60,797 60,720 100 66,659 66,602 100 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: June 1, 2012 and 2013 [Weight groups may not add to market hogs and pigs due to rounding] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 290 285 95 95 80 80 105 115 Illinois ........: 1,340 1,330 1,290 1,430 770 740 800 750 Indiana .........: 1,100 1,010 1,090 1,090 680 630 650 600 Iowa ............: 5,140 5,140 6,370 6,240 4,630 4,700 3,240 3,290 Kansas ..........: 500 480 400 405 250 260 470 565 Michigan ........: 280 290 220 240 205 180 205 210 Minnesota .......: 2,520 2,580 2,410 2,410 1,380 1,410 1,030 970 Missouri ........: 1,055 1,080 625 580 390 340 365 400 Nebraska ........: 900 900 870 810 555 560 440 430 North Carolina ..: 3,210 3,160 2,080 2,220 1,480 1,600 1,260 1,350 : Ohio ............: 690 645 605 605 410 480 285 280 Oklahoma ........: 800 800 390 370 210 210 480 470 Pennsylvania ....: 250 260 385 365 175 205 200 220 South Dakota ....: 385 340 335 285 215 180 195 175 Texas ...........: 200 95 180 145 150 100 250 200 Utah ............: 290 285 120 130 110 125 110 125 : Other States 1/ .: 921 996 654 632 513 514 519 528 : United States ...: 19,871 19,676 18,119 18,052 12,203 12,314 10,604 10,678 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: September 1, 2012 and 2013 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : :2013 as: : :2013 as: : :2013 as State : 2012 : 2013 :percent: 2012 : 2013 :percent: 2012 : 2013 :percent : : :of 2012: : :of 2012: : :of 2012 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent -- 1,000 head -- percent -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 150 145 97 590 565 96 740 710 96 Illinois ........: 490 500 102 4,210 4,250 101 4,700 4,750 101 Indiana .........: 280 270 96 3,520 3,580 102 3,800 3,850 101 Iowa ............: 1,000 1,000 100 19,800 20,200 102 20,800 21,200 102 Kansas ..........: 170 170 100 1,730 1,670 97 1,900 1,840 97 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 930 960 103 1,040 1,070 103 Minnesota .......: 560 550 98 7,590 7,400 97 8,150 7,950 98 Missouri ........: 360 350 97 2,540 2,750 108 2,900 3,100 107 Nebraska ........: 380 400 105 2,820 2,750 98 3,200 3,150 98 North Carolina ..: 870 880 101 8,530 8,620 101 9,400 9,500 101 : Ohio ............: 165 165 100 1,975 1,975 100 2,140 2,140 100 Oklahoma ........: 410 420 102 1,920 1,810 94 2,330 2,230 96 Pennsylvania ....: 95 100 105 1,025 1,070 104 1,120 1,170 104 South Dakota ....: 175 170 97 1,125 1,000 89 1,300 1,170 90 Texas ...........: 90 85 94 770 525 68 860 610 71 Utah ............: 80 80 100 660 670 102 740 750 101 : Other States 1/ .: 403 419 104 2,649 2,751 104 3,052 3,170 104 : United States ...: 5,788 5,814 100 62,384 62,546 100 68,172 68,360 100 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: September 1, 2012 and 2013 [Weight groups may not add to market hogs and pigs due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 290 285 90 90 90 80 120 110 Illinois ........: 1,380 1,330 1,260 1,370 750 740 820 810 Indiana .........: 1,070 1,100 1,080 1,090 660 680 710 710 Iowa ............: 5,100 5,300 6,330 6,490 4,800 5,000 3,570 3,410 Kansas ..........: 520 485 390 360 310 290 510 535 Michigan ........: 300 305 220 230 215 200 195 225 Minnesota .......: 2,530 2,550 2,310 2,280 1,600 1,580 1,150 990 Missouri ........: 1,085 1,230 625 650 390 420 440 450 Nebraska ........: 910 900 820 810 600 600 490 440 North Carolina ..: 3,190 3,160 2,190 2,240 1,700 1,800 1,450 1,420 : Ohio ............: 660 620 605 610 445 460 265 285 Oklahoma ........: 810 790 380 345 260 195 470 480 Pennsylvania ....: 240 255 375 355 200 235 210 225 South Dakota ....: 390 355 300 285 225 195 210 165 Texas ...........: 230 125 170 115 150 120 220 165 Utah ............: 290 285 130 130 125 130 115 125 : Other States 1/ .: 905 1,010 624 637 570 559 550 545 : United States ...: 19,900 20,085 17,899 18,087 13,090 13,284 11,495 11,090 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: December 1, 2011 and 2012 [May not add due to rounding] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2012 :2012 as: : 2012 :2012 as: : 2012 : 2012 as State : 2011 : :percent: 2011 : :percent: 2011 : : percent : : :of 2011: : :of 2011: : : of 2011 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 head -- percent --- 1,000 head -- percent --- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 150 145 97 570 575 101 720 720 100 Illinois ........: 480 490 102 4,170 4,110 99 4,650 4,600 99 Indiana .........: 300 280 93 3,500 3,520 101 3,800 3,800 100 Iowa ............: 1,010 1,030 102 18,990 19,570 103 20,000 20,600 103 Kansas ..........: 170 170 100 1,720 1,730 101 1,890 1,900 101 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 940 980 104 1,050 1,090 104 Minnesota .......: 560 560 100 7,240 7,090 98 7,800 7,650 98 Missouri ........: 355 350 99 2,395 2,400 100 2,750 2,750 100 Nebraska ........: 385 380 99 2,765 2,620 95 3,150 3,000 95 North Carolina ..: 850 860 101 8,050 8,140 101 8,900 9,000 101 : Ohio ............: 170 165 97 2,030 1,885 93 2,200 2,050 93 Oklahoma ........: 410 420 102 1,890 1,900 101 2,300 2,320 101 Pennsylvania ....: 100 100 100 1,030 1,040 101 1,130 1,140 101 South Dakota ....: 170 165 97 1,230 1,035 84 1,400 1,200 86 Texas ...........: 90 85 94 730 735 101 820 820 100 Utah ............: 80 80 100 680 660 97 760 740 97 : Other States 1/ .: 413 427 103 2,628 2,566 98 3,041 2,993 98 : United States ...: 5,803 5,817 100 60,558 60,556 100 66,361 66,373 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: December 1, 2011 and 2012 [Weight groups may not add to market hogs and pigs due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 : 2012 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 265 270 105 85 65 85 135 135 Illinois ........: 1,290 1,290 1,330 1,200 750 750 800 870 Indiana .........: 1,160 1,040 990 1,010 630 710 720 760 Iowa ............: 5,100 5,120 5,750 6,030 4,540 4,750 3,600 3,670 Kansas ..........: 510 500 350 410 290 290 570 530 Michigan ........: 300 300 200 210 220 230 220 240 Minnesota .......: 2,450 2,430 2,180 2,150 1,440 1,430 1,170 1,080 Missouri ........: 1,000 1,045 540 560 415 370 440 425 Nebraska ........: 900 870 800 720 595 550 470 480 North Carolina ..: 3,050 3,020 1,870 1,960 1,560 1,615 1,570 1,545 : Ohio ............: 710 645 575 555 445 415 300 270 Oklahoma ........: 780 800 360 350 240 240 510 510 Pennsylvania ....: 245 250 350 355 210 205 225 230 South Dakota ....: 385 350 330 290 265 190 250 205 Texas ...........: 200 180 160 155 145 160 225 240 Utah ............: 280 275 130 130 130 125 140 130 : Other States 1/ .: 899 915 623 581 533 519 573 551 : United States ...: 19,524 19,300 16,643 16,751 12,473 12,634 11,918 11,871 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: December-February 2012-2014 [December preceding year. May not add due to rounding] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : 2014 2/ : 2014 as : : : : 2013 : 2013 as State : : : : : : : : : : 2012 : 2013 : : percent : : : 2012 : : percent : : : : of 2013 : 2012 : 2013 : : : of 2012 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------- 1,000 head -------- percent ----- number ---- --- 1,000 head --- percent : Colorado ...........: 70 70 72 103 9.95 9.60 697 672 96 Illinois ...........: 255 250 265 106 9.90 10.10 2,525 2,525 100 Indiana ............: 145 140 135 96 9.50 9.55 1,378 1,337 97 Iowa ...............: 475 475 475 100 10.30 10.35 4,893 4,916 100 Kansas .............: 83 80 85 106 9.30 9.80 772 784 102 Michigan ...........: 50 54 49 91 9.90 10.25 495 554 112 Minnesota ..........: 290 285 285 100 10.00 10.55 2,900 3,007 104 Missouri ...........: 185 180 190 106 10.40 10.35 1,924 1,863 97 Nebraska ...........: 175 165 165 100 10.40 10.50 1,820 1,733 95 North Carolina .....: 440 450 455 101 9.90 9.50 4,356 4,275 98 : Ohio ...............: 88 87 88 101 9.70 10.10 854 879 103 Oklahoma ...........: 190 190 190 100 9.75 10.20 1,853 1,938 105 Pennsylvania .......: 49 45 47 104 9.80 10.30 480 464 97 South Dakota .......: 88 88 87 99 10.20 10.60 898 933 104 Texas ..............: 42 38 44 116 8.60 8.60 361 327 91 Utah ...............: 41 43 41 95 9.90 9.90 406 426 105 : Other States 3/ ....: 198 204 197 97 9.78 9.94 1,938 2,029 105 : United States ......: 2,864 2,844 2,870 101 9.97 10.08 28,550 28,662 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 2/ Intentions. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: March-May 2012 and 2013 [May not add due to rounding] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :-----------------------------:-------------------:----------------------------- : : 2013 : 2013 as : : : : 2013 : 2013 as State : : : : : : : : : 2012 : : percent : : : 2012 : : percent : : : of 2012 : 2012 : 2013 : : : of 2012 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent ---- number --- -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 72 71 99 9.95 9.50 716 675 94 Illinois ........: 255 255 100 10.10 10.30 2,576 2,627 102 Indiana .........: 150 135 90 9.75 9.85 1,463 1,330 91 Iowa ............: 495 495 100 10.40 10.50 5,148 5,198 101 Kansas ..........: 88 82 93 9.45 9.95 832 816 98 Michigan ........: 51 53 104 10.10 10.20 515 541 105 Minnesota .......: 305 300 98 10.25 10.70 3,126 3,210 103 Missouri ........: 190 190 100 10.30 10.50 1,957 1,995 102 Nebraska ........: 180 170 94 10.55 10.75 1,899 1,828 96 North Carolina ..: 470 470 100 9.90 10.05 4,653 4,724 102 : Ohio ............: 93 83 89 9.85 10.30 916 855 93 Oklahoma ........: 195 190 97 9.80 10.30 1,911 1,957 102 Pennsylvania ....: 50 46 92 9.90 10.20 495 469 95 South Dakota ....: 95 91 96 10.40 10.90 988 992 100 Texas ...........: 49 39 80 8.70 8.90 426 347 81 Utah ............: 42 42 100 10.25 10.30 431 433 100 : Other States 2/ .: 202 209 103 10.01 10.11 2,025 2,114 104 : United States ...: 2,982 2,921 98 10.09 10.31 30,077 30,111 100 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: June-August 2012 and 2013 [May not add due to rounding] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2013 :2013 as : : : : 2013 :2013 as State : : : : : : : : : 2012 : :percent : : : 2012 : :percent : : :of 2012 : 2012 : 2013 : : :of 2012 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent --- number --- 1,000 head percent : Colorado ...........: 66 72 109 9.50 9.50 627 684 109 Illinois ...........: 250 260 104 10.10 10.20 2,525 2,652 105 Indiana ............: 150 135 90 9.70 10.10 1,455 1,364 94 Iowa ...............: 495 485 98 10.45 10.60 5,173 5,141 99 Kansas .............: 86 83 97 9.80 10.05 843 834 99 Michigan ...........: 52 53 102 10.10 10.10 525 535 102 Minnesota ..........: 310 295 95 10.35 10.80 3,209 3,186 99 Missouri ...........: 185 195 105 10.60 10.40 1,961 2,028 103 Nebraska ...........: 170 165 97 10.50 10.85 1,785 1,790 100 North Carolina .....: 455 470 103 9.90 10.10 4,505 4,747 105 : Ohio ...............: 90 91 101 9.95 10.40 896 946 106 Oklahoma ...........: 190 190 100 9.95 10.30 1,891 1,957 103 Pennsylvania .......: 49 49 100 10.10 10.20 495 500 101 South Dakota .......: 95 86 91 10.10 10.90 960 937 98 Texas ..............: 46 43 93 8.50 8.30 391 357 91 Utah ...............: 42 43 102 10.20 10.00 428 430 100 : Other States 2/ ....: 197 210 106 10.06 10.12 1,985 2,122 107 : United States ......: 2,928 2,925 100 10.13 10.33 29,654 30,210 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: September-November 2011-2013 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :---------------------------------------:-------------------:----------------------------- : : : 2013 2/ : 2013 as : : : : 2012 : 2012 as State : : : : : : : : : : 2011 : 2012 : : percent : : : 2011 : : percent : : : : of 2012 : 2011 : 2012 : : : of 2011 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- 1,000 head ------ percent ---- number --- -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 71 68 72 106 9.60 9.95 682 677 99 Illinois ........: 255 245 255 104 9.90 10.00 2,525 2,450 97 Indiana .........: 150 140 135 96 9.45 9.95 1,418 1,393 98 Iowa ............: 490 505 480 95 10.40 10.30 5,096 5,202 102 Kansas ..........: 87 80 86 108 9.00 9.80 783 784 100 Michigan ........: 52 53 49 92 10.00 10.20 520 541 104 Minnesota .......: 295 295 290 98 10.30 10.40 3,039 3,068 101 Missouri ........: 185 185 195 105 10.55 10.35 1,952 1,915 98 Nebraska ........: 180 170 170 100 10.40 10.50 1,872 1,785 95 North Carolina ..: 450 450 460 102 9.90 10.10 4,455 4,545 102 : Ohio ............: 92 91 89 98 9.80 10.00 902 910 101 Oklahoma ........: 190 185 190 103 9.70 10.15 1,843 1,878 102 Pennsylvania ....: 51 50 48 96 9.90 10.10 505 505 100 South Dakota ....: 90 90 88 98 10.40 10.40 936 936 100 Texas ...........: 41 41 44 107 8.60 8.60 353 353 100 Utah ............: 42 41 41 100 10.10 10.40 424 426 100 : Other States 3/ .: 208 199 208 105 9.88 9.80 2,060 1,952 95 : United States ...: 2,929 2,888 2,900 100 10.02 10.15 29,365 29,320 100 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 2/ Intentions. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - United States: December-November 2012 and 2013 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing 1/ : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 head -- ----- number ---- --- 1,000 head --- : December 2/ ....: 951 943 9.97 10.01 9,473 9,442 January ........: 961 951 9.95 10.07 9,562 9,572 February .......: 952 950 9.99 10.15 9,516 9,648 March ..........: 1,006 987 10.04 10.24 10,100 10,105 April ..........: 983 964 10.10 10.30 9,929 9,928 May ............: 993 971 10.12 10.38 10,048 10,078 June ...........: 983 977 10.14 10.31 9,965 10,080 July ...........: 970 971 10.11 10.30 9,809 10,000 August .........: 976 976 10.12 10.38 9,881 10,130 September ......: 985 10.13 9,977 October ........: 961 10.17 9,769 November .......: 942 10.16 9,573 : Total ..........: 11,663 10.08 117,601 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 7,500 United States producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large operations were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of September 2013, data were collected from about 5,900 operations, 78 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face- to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of September 1, 2013. Estimating Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 0.8 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 68.4 million head by more than 0.8 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.4 percent. Reliability of September 1 Hog Estimates [Based on data for the previous twenty quarters] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Root mean : 90 percent : Difference between first and latest estimate : square error : confidence : : : : : : : level :------------------------------------------------------------- Item : : : : : : Years : : : : : :------------------------------- : : : Average :Smallest : Largest : Below latest : Above latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : percent percent -------- 1,000 -------- ----- number ----- : All hogs and pigs ............: 0.8 1.4 467 25 980 14 6 : Pig crop .....................: 1.2 2.1 303 0 636 11 8 : Expected farrowings : : Next quarter ...............: 1.8 3.0 41 0 111 12 8 : Following quarter ..........: 1.7 2.9 41 4 107 11 9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch ........... (202) 720-3570 Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section ........... (202) 690-2424 Travis Averill - Cattle, Cattle on Feed ...... (202) 720-3040 Doug Bounds - Hogs and Pigs .................. (202) 720-3106 Alissa Cowell-Mytar - Sheep and Goats ........ (202) 720-4751 Donnie Fike - Dairy Products ................. (202) 690-3236 Tiffany Hora - Livestock Slaughter ........... (515) 284-4340 Mike Miller - Milk Production and Milk Cows .. (202) 720-3278 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: http://www.nass.usda.gov Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e- mail subscription. 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