Quarterly Hogs and Pigs ISSN: 1949-1921 Released March 25, 2016, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). United States Hog Inventory Up Slightly United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on March 1, 2016 was 67.6 million head. This was up slightly from March 1, 2015, but down 1 percent from December 1, 2015. Breeding inventory, at 5.98 million head, was down slightly from last year, and down slightly from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 61.7 million head, was up slightly from last year, but down 1 percent from last quarter. The December 2015-February 2016 pig crop, at 29.6 million head, was down slightly from 2015. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.87 million head, down 1 percent from 2015. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 48 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high 10.30 for the December-February period, compared to 10.23 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 8.00 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 10.40 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. United States hog producers intend to have 2.84 million sows farrow during the March-May 2016 quarter, down 1 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2015, but up 1 percent from 2014. Intended farrowings for June-August 2016, at 2.91 million sows, are down 3 percent from 2015, and down 3 percent from 2014. The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 46 percent of the total United States hog inventory, unchanged from last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2015 through December 2015 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. The net revision made to the June 2015 all hogs and pigs inventory was 0.4 percent. The net revision made to the September 2015 all hogs and pigs inventory was 1.2 percent. The net revision made to the June-August 2015 pig crop was 2.5 percent. A revision of 0.1 percent was made to the December 2015 all hogs and pigs inventory. This report was approved on March 25, 2016. Secretary of Agriculture Designate Lanon Baccam Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson James M. Harris Contents Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter - United States: 2015 and 2016................. 4 Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter - United States: 2014-2016................................... 5 Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation - United States: 2015 and 2016........................................ 5 Quarterly Litter Rate - United States...................................................................... 6 Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation - United States: December 2015-February 2016.......................... 6 Quarterly Sows Farrowed - United States.................................................................... 7 Quarterly Pig Crop - United States......................................................................... 7 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: March 1, 2015 and 2016................... 8 Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: March 1, 2015 and 2016........................ 8 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: June 1, 2014 and 2015.................... 9 Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: June 1, 2014 and 2015......................... 9 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: September 1, 2014 and 2015............... 10 Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: September 1, 2014 and 2015.................... 10 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: December 1, 2014 and 2015................ 11 Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: December 1, 2014 and 2015..................... 11 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: December-February 2015 and 2016.. 12 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: March-May 2014-2016.............. 12 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: June-August 2014-2016............ 13 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: September-November 2014 and 2015........................................................................... 13 Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - United States: December-November 2015 and 2016..... 14 Statistical Methodology.................................................................................... 14 Reliability of March 1 Hog Estimates....................................................................... 15 Information Contacts....................................................................................... 15 Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter - United States: 2015 and 2016 [May not add due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : 2016 as Item : 2015 : 2016 : percent : : : of 2015 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 head ---- percent : March 1 inventory : All hogs and pigs ....................: 67,399 67,644 100 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,982 5,980 100 Market .............................: 61,418 61,664 100 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 19,454 19,382 100 50-119 pounds ......................: 17,129 17,263 101 120-179 pounds .....................: 13,580 13,744 101 180 pounds and over ................: 11,255 11,274 100 : June 1 inventory : All hogs and pigs ....................: 67,165 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,926 Market .............................: 61,240 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 19,365 50-119 pounds ......................: 17,461 120-179 pounds .....................: 12,985 180 pounds and over ................: 11,429 : September 1 inventory : All hogs and pigs ....................: 69,185 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,986 Market .............................: 63,200 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 20,741 50-119 pounds ......................: 18,496 120-179 pounds .....................: 12,855 180 pounds and over ................: 11,108 : December 1 inventory : All hogs and pigs ....................: 68,389 Kept for breeding ..................: 6,002 Market .............................: 62,387 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 19,508 50-119 pounds ......................: 17,282 120-179 pounds .....................: 13,340 180 pounds and over ................: 12,256 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter - United States: 2014-2016 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2016 as percent of Item : 2014 : 2015 : 2016 :------------------- : : : : 2014 : 2015 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 head ------------ -- percent -- Sows farrowing : December-February ....: 2,763 2,895 2,873 104 99 March-May 1/ .........: 2,810 2,854 2,839 101 99 December-May 2/ 3/ ...: 5,573 5,749 5,712 102 99 : June-August 1/ .......: 2,991 3,017 2,912 97 97 September-November ...: 2,994 2,875 June-November 3/ .....: 5,985 5,892 : Pig crop : December-February ....: 26,326 29,627 29,582 112 100 March-May ............: 27,495 29,593 December-May 3/ ......: 53,821 59,219 : June-August ..........: 30,402 31,343 September-November ...: 30,633 30,271 June-November 3/ .....: 61,035 61,614 : : -------------- number ------------- -- percent -- : Pigs per litter : December-February ....: 9.53 10.23 10.30 108 101 March-May ............: 9.78 10.37 December-May .........: 9.66 10.30 : June-August ..........: 10.16 10.39 September-November ...: 10.23 10.53 June-November ........: 10.20 10.46 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intentions for 2016. 2/ Actual farrowings for December 2015-February 2016 plus intentions for March-May 2016. 3/ May not add due to rounding. Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation - United States: 2015 and 2016 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per litter on operations having 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : head : head : head : head : head : head ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : number : 2015 : December-February ...: 7.90 8.60 9.00 9.40 10.00 10.30 March-May ...........: 8.00 8.70 9.10 9.50 10.10 10.40 June-August .........: 8.00 8.70 9.10 9.50 10.10 10.40 September-November ..: 8.20 8.90 9.30 9.70 10.30 10.60 : 2016 : December-February ...: 8.00 8.70 9.10 9.50 10.10 10.40 March-May ...........: June-August .........: September-November ..: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: March 1, 2015 and 2016 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : :2016 as: : :2016 as: : :2016 as : 2015 : 2016 :percent: 2015 : 2016 :percent: 2015 : 2016 :percent : : :of 2015: : :of 2015: : :of 2015 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent -- 1,000 head -- percent -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 140 150 107 570 540 95 710 690 97 Illinois ........: 490 500 102 4,260 4,600 108 4,750 5,100 107 Indiana .........: 280 260 93 3,470 3,440 99 3,750 3,700 99 Iowa ............: 1,030 980 95 19,770 19,220 97 20,800 20,200 97 Kansas ..........: 175 175 100 1,685 1,755 104 1,860 1,930 104 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 1,030 1,050 102 1,140 1,160 102 Minnesota .......: 570 560 98 7,430 7,390 99 8,000 7,950 99 Missouri ........: 400 385 96 2,500 2,565 103 2,900 2,950 102 Nebraska ........: 420 420 100 2,730 2,930 107 3,150 3,350 106 North Carolina ..: 890 880 99 7,710 7,820 101 8,600 8,700 101 : Ohio ............: 180 185 103 2,150 2,415 112 2,330 2,600 112 Oklahoma ........: 440 480 109 1,750 1,650 94 2,190 2,130 97 Pennsylvania ....: 100 110 110 1,040 1,020 98 1,140 1,130 99 South Dakota ....: 165 190 115 1,145 1,210 106 1,310 1,400 107 Texas ...........: 100 110 110 820 740 90 920 850 92 Utah ............: 75 75 100 595 585 98 670 660 99 : Other States 1/ .: 417 410 98 2,763 2,734 99 3,179 3,144 99 : United States ...: 5,982 5,980 100 61,418 61,664 100 67,399 67,644 100 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: March 1, 2015 and 2016 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2015 : 2016 : 2015 : 2016 : 2015 : 2016 : 2015 : 2016 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 280 250 100 100 90 90 100 100 Illinois ........: 1,330 1,450 1,260 1,370 890 920 780 860 Indiana .........: 990 990 970 980 710 730 800 740 Iowa ............: 5,030 4,720 6,410 6,100 4,940 4,820 3,390 3,580 Kansas ..........: 445 480 415 475 335 370 490 430 Michigan ........: 295 280 235 270 260 260 240 240 Minnesota .......: 2,600 2,500 2,050 2,280 1,550 1,530 1,230 1,080 Missouri ........: 1,250 1,200 505 535 380 420 365 410 Nebraska ........: 870 930 780 800 615 660 465 540 North Carolina ..: 2,800 3,080 1,810 1,730 1,640 1,710 1,460 1,300 : Ohio ............: 660 730 630 690 510 585 350 410 Oklahoma ........: 740 670 370 345 270 310 370 325 Pennsylvania ....: 265 265 340 320 240 270 195 165 South Dakota ....: 375 420 305 330 250 240 215 220 Texas ...........: 230 180 215 205 200 150 175 205 Utah ............: 265 255 105 110 120 120 105 100 : Other States 1/ .: 1,029 982 629 623 580 559 525 569 : United States ...: 19,454 19,382 17,129 17,263 13,580 13,744 11,255 11,274 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: June 1, 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : :2015 as: : :2015 as: : :2015 as : 2014 : 2015 :percent: 2014 : 2015 :percent: 2014 : 2015 :percent : : :of 2014: : :of 2014: : :of 2014 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent -- 1,000 head -- percent -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 160 145 91 530 555 105 690 700 101 Illinois ........: 490 490 100 3,810 4,160 109 4,300 4,650 108 Indiana .........: 270 270 100 3,230 3,380 105 3,500 3,650 104 Iowa ............: 1,000 1,000 100 18,100 20,000 110 19,100 21,000 110 Kansas ..........: 170 180 106 1,470 1,690 115 1,640 1,870 114 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 880 990 113 990 1,100 111 Minnesota .......: 570 550 96 7,080 7,600 107 7,650 8,150 107 Missouri ........: 380 395 104 2,070 2,505 121 2,450 2,900 118 Nebraska ........: 390 410 105 2,610 2,790 107 3,000 3,200 107 North Carolina ..: 860 880 102 6,740 7,120 106 7,600 8,000 105 : Ohio ............: 165 185 112 1,805 2,195 122 1,970 2,380 121 Oklahoma ........: 430 440 102 1,460 1,790 123 1,890 2,230 118 Pennsylvania ....: 100 105 105 1,010 1,065 105 1,110 1,170 105 South Dakota ....: 175 170 97 1,035 1,150 111 1,210 1,320 109 Texas ...........: 100 105 105 570 775 136 670 880 131 Utah ............: 75 75 100 645 645 100 720 720 100 : Other States 1/ .: 410 416 102 2,668 2,830 106 3,078 3,245 105 : United States ...: 5,855 5,926 101 55,713 61,240 110 61,568 67,165 109 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: June 1, 2014 and 2015 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 275 270 105 125 70 80 80 80 Illinois ........: 1,220 1,250 1,160 1,240 770 890 660 780 Indiana .........: 890 940 980 1,000 580 670 780 770 Iowa ............: 4,890 5,070 5,640 6,410 4,470 4,820 3,100 3,700 Kansas ..........: 410 430 360 505 260 345 440 410 Michigan ........: 270 275 210 255 200 240 200 220 Minnesota .......: 2,580 2,570 2,150 2,300 1,290 1,540 1,060 1,190 Missouri ........: 1,005 1,245 405 485 315 370 345 405 Nebraska ........: 840 860 770 765 510 630 490 535 North Carolina ..: 2,750 2,830 1,590 1,650 1,230 1,320 1,170 1,320 : Ohio ............: 530 630 570 660 440 535 265 370 Oklahoma ........: 620 740 350 380 180 290 310 380 Pennsylvania ....: 275 290 340 345 190 230 205 200 South Dakota ....: 345 405 265 320 205 220 220 205 Texas ...........: 130 230 145 205 140 145 155 195 Utah ............: 270 280 130 130 115 115 130 120 : Other States 1/ .: 954 1,050 631 686 526 545 556 549 : United States ...: 18,254 19,365 15,801 17,461 11,491 12,985 10,166 11,429 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: September 1, 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : :2015 as: : :2015 as: : :2015 as : 2014 : 2015 :percent: 2014 : 2015 :percent: 2014 : 2015 :percent : : :of 2014: : :of 2014: : :of 2014 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent -- 1,000 head -- percent -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 155 145 94 555 615 111 710 760 107 Illinois ........: 510 500 98 4,140 4,300 104 4,650 4,800 103 Indiana .........: 280 280 100 3,320 3,570 108 3,600 3,850 107 Iowa ............: 1,030 1,000 97 19,770 20,500 104 20,800 21,500 103 Kansas ..........: 170 180 106 1,660 1,780 107 1,830 1,960 107 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 920 1,000 109 1,030 1,110 108 Minnesota .......: 550 560 102 7,200 7,390 103 7,750 7,950 103 Missouri ........: 390 400 103 2,460 2,700 110 2,850 3,100 109 Nebraska ........: 390 410 105 2,710 2,840 105 3,100 3,250 105 North Carolina ..: 870 880 101 7,530 7,920 105 8,400 8,800 105 : Ohio ............: 170 185 109 1,910 2,235 117 2,080 2,420 116 Oklahoma ........: 430 470 109 1,620 1,770 109 2,050 2,240 109 Pennsylvania ....: 100 100 100 1,060 1,090 103 1,160 1,190 103 South Dakota ....: 175 170 97 1,095 1,170 107 1,270 1,340 106 Texas ...........: 100 105 105 670 765 114 770 870 113 Utah ............: 75 75 100 645 675 105 720 750 104 : Other States 1/ .: 415 416 100 2,794 2,880 103 3,209 3,295 103 : United States ...: 5,920 5,986 101 60,059 63,200 105 65,979 69,185 105 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: September 1, 2014 and 2015 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 310 310 105 120 85 80 55 105 Illinois ........: 1,270 1,370 1,280 1,330 830 810 760 790 Indiana .........: 1,040 1,040 960 1,050 620 720 700 760 Iowa ............: 5,510 5,440 6,470 6,700 4,470 4,880 3,320 3,480 Kansas ..........: 485 490 500 505 315 305 360 480 Michigan ........: 290 305 225 250 205 215 200 230 Minnesota .......: 2,610 2,600 2,190 2,250 1,400 1,390 1,000 1,150 Missouri ........: 1,270 1,295 470 590 360 400 360 415 Nebraska ........: 940 910 800 810 505 590 465 530 North Carolina ..: 3,110 3,260 1,820 2,000 1,430 1,410 1,170 1,250 : Ohio ............: 560 660 600 700 460 505 290 370 Oklahoma ........: 720 805 390 430 220 260 290 275 Pennsylvania ....: 265 285 370 380 225 225 200 200 South Dakota ....: 380 435 305 315 200 205 210 215 Texas ...........: 210 190 190 215 140 180 130 180 Utah ............: 300 280 130 140 115 130 100 125 : Other States 1/ .: 1,120 1,066 653 711 532 550 488 553 : United States ...: 20,390 20,741 17,458 18,496 12,112 12,855 10,098 11,108 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: December 1, 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : :2015 as: : :2015 as: : : 2015 as : 2014 : 2015 :percent: 2014 : 2015 :percent: 2014 : 2015 : percent : : :of 2014: : :of 2014: : : of 2014 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 head -- percent --- 1,000 head -- percent --- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 150 145 97 550 555 101 700 700 100 Illinois ........: 500 490 98 4,200 4,560 109 4,700 5,050 107 Indiana .........: 290 270 93 3,410 3,480 102 3,700 3,750 101 Iowa ............: 1,010 1,030 102 20,290 19,770 97 21,300 20,800 98 Kansas ..........: 180 175 97 1,660 1,765 106 1,840 1,940 105 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 1,060 1,010 95 1,170 1,120 96 Minnesota .......: 560 560 100 7,540 7,440 99 8,100 8,000 99 Missouri ........: 400 395 99 2,450 2,605 106 2,850 3,000 105 Nebraska ........: 400 420 105 2,800 2,880 103 3,200 3,300 103 North Carolina ..: 880 870 99 7,920 7,930 100 8,800 8,800 100 : Ohio ............: 170 190 112 2,060 2,300 112 2,230 2,490 112 Oklahoma ........: 440 470 107 1,680 1,630 97 2,120 2,100 99 Pennsylvania ....: 100 100 100 1,040 1,060 102 1,140 1,160 102 South Dakota ....: 160 175 109 1,110 1,185 107 1,270 1,360 107 Texas ...........: 100 105 105 710 755 106 810 860 106 Utah ............: 75 75 100 535 595 111 610 670 110 : Other States 1/ .: 414 422 102 2,823 2,867 102 3,236 3,289 102 : United States ...: 5,939 6,002 101 61,838 62,387 101 67,776 68,389 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: December 1, 2014 and 2015 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 265 240 125 120 80 90 80 105 Illinois ........: 1,360 1,390 1,180 1,330 800 910 860 930 Indiana .........: 1,040 1,000 950 920 660 730 760 830 Iowa ............: 5,310 5,100 6,500 6,300 4,740 4,660 3,740 3,710 Kansas ..........: 445 430 415 405 340 410 460 520 Michigan ........: 310 275 245 250 250 240 255 245 Minnesota .......: 2,650 2,560 2,200 2,200 1,520 1,470 1,170 1,210 Missouri ........: 1,170 1,240 470 525 380 400 430 440 Nebraska ........: 950 950 840 750 535 580 475 600 North Carolina ..: 3,010 2,950 1,830 1,880 1,580 1,590 1,500 1,510 : Ohio ............: 590 610 600 620 530 620 340 450 Oklahoma ........: 660 690 420 345 290 260 310 335 Pennsylvania ....: 265 255 340 335 225 270 210 200 South Dakota ....: 380 405 285 320 220 215 225 245 Texas ...........: 175 205 170 205 150 165 215 180 Utah ............: 220 235 110 115 110 125 95 120 : Other States 1/ .: 1,001 973 686 662 590 605 546 626 : United States ...: 19,801 19,508 17,366 17,282 13,000 13,340 11,671 12,256 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: December-February 2015 and 2016 [December preceding year. May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : :2016 as : : : : :2016 as : 2015 : 2016 :percent : 2015 : 2016 : 2015 : 2016 :percent : : :of 2015 : : : : :of 2015 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent --- number --- 1,000 head percent : Colorado ........: 69 74 107 9.80 9.75 676 722 107 Illinois ........: 245 245 100 10.20 10.35 2,499 2,536 101 Indiana .........: 140 135 96 10.10 10.20 1,414 1,377 97 Iowa ............: 510 490 96 10.70 10.70 5,457 5,243 96 Kansas ..........: 88 89 101 10.00 10.20 880 908 103 Michigan ........: 52 50 96 10.50 10.60 546 530 97 Minnesota .......: 285 270 95 11.00 11.10 3,135 2,997 96 Missouri ........: 205 190 93 9.80 9.65 2,009 1,834 91 Nebraska ........: 170 170 100 11.00 11.30 1,870 1,921 103 North Carolina ..: 445 455 102 9.50 9.90 4,228 4,505 107 : Ohio ............: 88 90 102 10.45 10.10 920 909 99 Oklahoma ........: 195 195 100 10.15 10.30 1,979 2,009 102 Pennsylvania ....: 46 48 104 10.20 10.20 469 490 104 South Dakota ....: 85 95 112 10.80 10.75 918 1,021 111 Texas ...........: 43 45 105 9.05 8.00 389 360 93 Utah ............: 35 38 109 8.70 8.70 305 331 109 : Other States 2/ .: 194 194 100 9.96 9.76 1,933 1,889 98 : United States ...: 2,895 2,873 99 10.23 10.30 29,627 29,582 100 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: March-May 2014-2016 [May not add due to rounding] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2016 as : : : : : 2015 as : 2014 : 2015 : 2016 2/ : percent : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : percent : : : : of 2015 : : : : : of 2014 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------- 1,000 head -------- percent ----- number ---- --- 1,000 head --- percent : Colorado ...........: 73 70 72 103 9.30 10.00 679 700 103 Illinois ...........: 250 230 240 104 9.90 10.50 2,475 2,415 98 Indiana ............: 125 130 130 100 9.25 10.50 1,156 1,365 118 Iowa ...............: 470 495 490 99 10.60 10.60 4,982 5,247 105 Kansas .............: 82 84 88 105 9.25 9.95 759 836 110 Michigan ...........: 52 50 49 98 8.90 10.70 463 535 116 Minnesota ..........: 290 275 275 100 10.60 11.05 3,074 3,039 99 Missouri ...........: 185 200 185 93 8.90 10.40 1,647 2,080 126 Nebraska ...........: 170 170 180 106 10.50 11.20 1,785 1,904 107 North Carolina .....: 440 445 440 99 8.70 9.30 3,828 4,139 108 : Ohio ...............: 80 89 83 93 9.50 10.60 760 943 124 Oklahoma ...........: 185 195 185 95 9.60 10.35 1,776 2,018 114 Pennsylvania .......: 48 49 49 100 10.30 10.30 494 505 102 South Dakota .......: 90 86 96 112 10.70 10.95 963 942 98 Texas ..............: 43 50 44 88 9.40 9.50 404 475 118 Utah ...............: 41 41 39 95 10.50 9.80 431 402 93 : Other States 3/ ....: 186 195 194 100 9.78 10.52 1,819 2,048 113 : United States ......: 2,810 2,854 2,839 99 9.78 10.37 27,495 29,593 108 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 2/ Intentions 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: June-August 2014-2016 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2016 as : : : : : 2015 as : 2014 : 2015 : 2016 2/ : percent : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : percent : : : : of 2015 : : : : : of 2014 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- 1,000 head ------ percent ---- number --- -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 73 71 72 101 9.45 10.10 690 717 104 Illinois ........: 260 260 245 94 10.20 10.15 2,652 2,639 100 Indiana .........: 145 145 130 90 9.80 10.60 1,421 1,537 108 Iowa ............: 530 510 490 96 10.70 10.80 5,671 5,508 97 Kansas ..........: 85 90 91 101 9.90 10.30 842 927 110 Michigan ........: 51 52 52 100 10.10 11.00 515 572 111 Minnesota .......: 290 305 290 95 10.85 11.15 3,147 3,401 108 Missouri ........: 205 215 205 95 9.80 9.85 2,009 2,118 105 Nebraska ........: 175 180 180 100 10.90 11.10 1,908 1,998 105 North Carolina ..: 470 470 445 95 9.50 9.70 4,465 4,559 102 : Ohio ............: 86 92 90 98 10.00 10.50 860 966 112 Oklahoma ........: 200 195 190 97 9.70 10.40 1,940 2,028 105 Pennsylvania ....: 49 49 50 102 10.10 10.40 495 510 103 South Dakota ....: 89 91 96 105 10.65 10.85 948 987 104 Texas ...........: 44 49 48 98 9.90 9.00 436 441 101 Utah ............: 42 43 36 84 10.40 9.60 437 413 95 : Other States 3/ .: 197 200 202 101 9.97 10.12 1,966 2,022 103 : United States ...: 2,991 3,017 2,912 97 10.16 10.39 30,402 31,343 103 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 2/ Intentions. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: September-November 2014 and 2015 [May not add due to rounding] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : 2015 as : : : : : 2015 as State : 2014 : 2015 : percent : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : percent : : : of 2014 : : : : : of 2014 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 head -- percent ----- number ---- --- 1,000 head --- percent : Colorado ...........: 71 68 96 9.70 9.95 689 677 98 Illinois ...........: 255 230 90 10.25 10.35 2,614 2,381 91 Indiana ............: 150 135 90 10.20 10.40 1,530 1,404 92 Iowa ...............: 510 510 100 10.70 11.00 5,457 5,610 103 Kansas .............: 87 84 97 10.30 10.40 896 874 98 Michigan ...........: 53 50 94 10.20 10.70 541 535 99 Minnesota ..........: 305 280 92 10.95 11.10 3,340 3,108 93 Missouri ...........: 210 190 90 9.50 10.40 1,995 1,976 99 Nebraska ...........: 180 175 97 11.00 11.15 1,980 1,951 99 North Carolina .....: 460 450 98 10.00 10.15 4,600 4,568 99 : Ohio ...............: 92 90 98 10.35 10.50 952 945 99 Oklahoma ...........: 195 195 100 10.20 10.40 1,989 2,028 102 Pennsylvania .......: 48 45 94 10.30 10.40 494 468 95 South Dakota .......: 86 89 103 10.85 10.85 933 966 104 Texas ..............: 50 45 90 8.40 9.40 420 423 101 Utah ...............: 39 38 97 6.70 9.50 261 361 138 : Other States 2/ ....: 203 201 99 9.59 9.92 1,942 1,996 103 : United States ......: 2,994 2,875 96 10.23 10.53 30,633 30,271 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - United States: December-November 2015 and 2016 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing 1/ : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2015 : 2016 : 2015 : 2016 : 2015 : 2016 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 head -- ----- number ---- --- 1,000 head --- : December .......: 962 957 10.32 10.35 9,923 9,907 January ........: 974 975 10.16 10.29 9,895 10,034 February .......: 960 940 10.22 10.25 9,809 9,641 March ..........: 966 10.38 10,031 April ..........: 944 10.40 9,817 May ............: 943 10.33 9,745 June ...........: 1,017 10.35 10,528 July ...........: 997 10.39 10,359 August .........: 1,003 10.42 10,456 September ......: 991 10.44 10,351 October ........: 957 10.59 10,135 November .......: 927 10.55 9,786 : Total ..........: 11,641 10.38 120,834 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 8,150 United States producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large operations were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of March 2016, data were collected from about 5,900 operations, 72 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face- to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of March 1, 2016. Estimating Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.4 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 67.6 million head by more than 1.4 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 2.4 percent. Reliability of March 1 Hog Estimates [Based on data for the previous twenty quarters] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Root mean : 90 percent : Difference between first and latest estimate : square error : confidence : : : : : : : level :------------------------------------------------------------- Item : : : : : : Years : : : : : :------------------------------- : : : Average :Smallest : Largest : Below latest : Above latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : percent percent --------- 1,000 -------- ----- number ----- : All hogs and pigs ............: 1.4 2.4 737 90 1,726 11 9 : Pig crop .....................: 2.3 4.0 542 0 1,260 12 8 : Expected farrowings : : Next quarter ...............: 2.8 4.8 69 10 167 11 9 : Following quarter ..........: 3.0 5.2 74 11 197 10 10 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov. Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch ........... (202) 720-3570 Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section ........... (202) 690-2424 Sherry Bertramsen - Livestock Slaughter ...... (202) 720-3240 Doug Bounds - Hogs and Pigs .................. (202) 720-3106 David Colwell - Sheep and Goats .............. (202) 720-8784 Donnie Fike - Dairy Products ................. (202) 690-3236 Michael Klamm - Cattle, Cattle on Feed ....... (202) 720-3040 Mike Miller - Milk Production and Milk Cows .. (202) 720-3278 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: http://www.nass.usda.gov Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e- mail subscription. 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