Quarterly Hogs and Pigs ISSN: 1949-1921 Released March 28, 2014, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). United States Hog Inventory Down 3 Percent United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on March 1, 2014 was 62.9 million head. This was down 3 percent from March 1, 2013, and down 5 percent from December 1, 2013. Breeding inventory, at 5.85 million head, was up slightly from last year, and up 2 percent from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 57.0 million head, was down 4 percent from last year, and down 5 percent from last quarter. The December 2013-February 2014 pig crop, at 27.3 million head, was down 3 percent from 2013. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.87 million head, up 3 percent from 2013. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 50 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 9.53 for the December-February period, compared to 10.08 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.70 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 9.60 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. United States hog producers intend to have 2.88 million sows farrow during the March-May 2014 quarter, up 2 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2013, but down 2 percent from 2012. Intended farrowings for June-August 2014, at 2.96 million sows, are up 2 percent from 2013, and up 1 percent from 2012. The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 48 percent of the total United States hog inventory, up from 47 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2013 through December 2013 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review, an adjustment of less than one half of one percent was made to the September 2013 total inventory. An adjustment of less than one half of one percent was made to the December 2013 total inventory. An adjustment of less than one percent was made to the June-August 2013 pig crop. This report was approved on March 28, 2014. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Joseph W. Glauber Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson James M. Harris Contents Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter - United States: 2013 and 2014................. 4 Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter - United States: 2012-2014................................... 5 Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation - United States: 2013 and 2014........................................ 5 Quarterly Litter Rate - United States...................................................................... 6 Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation - United States: December 2013-February 2014.......................... 6 Quarterly Sows Farrowed - United States.................................................................... 7 Quarterly Pig Crop - United States......................................................................... 7 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: March 1, 2013 and 2014................... 8 Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: March 1, 2013 and 2014.......... 8 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: June 1, 2012 and 2013.................... 9 Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: June 1, 2012 and 2013........... 9 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: September 1, 2012 and 2013............... 10 Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: September 1, 2012 and 2013...... 10 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: December 1, 2012 and 2013................ 11 Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: December 1, 2012 and 2013....... 11 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: December-February 2013 and 2014.. 12 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: March-May 2012-2014.............. 12 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: June-August 2012-2014............ 13 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: September-November 2012 and 2013........................................................................... 13 Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - United States: December-November 2013 and 2014............................................................................ 14 Statistical Methodology.................................................................................... 14 Reliability of March 1 Hog Estimates....................................................................... 15 Information Contacts....................................................................................... 15 Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter - United States: 2013 and 2014 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : 2014 as Item : 2013 : 2014 : percent : : : of 2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 head ---- percent : March 1 inventory 1/ : All hogs and pigs ....................: 65,072 62,899 97 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,836 5,851 100 Market .............................: 59,236 57,048 96 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 18,852 18,101 96 50-119 pounds ......................: 16,251 15,717 97 120-179 pounds .....................: 13,169 12,793 97 180 pounds and over ................: 10,965 10,436 95 : June 1 inventory 1/ : All hogs and pigs ....................: 65,088 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,884 Market .............................: 59,204 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 19,135 50-119 pounds ......................: 17,078 120-179 pounds .....................: 12,314 180 pounds and over ................: 10,678 : September 1 inventory 1/ : All hogs and pigs ....................: 66,906 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,816 Market .............................: 61,090 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 19,824 50-119 pounds ......................: 17,958 120-179 pounds .....................: 12,584 180 pounds and over ................: 10,725 : December 1 inventory 1/ : All hogs and pigs ....................: 66,025 Kept for breeding ..................: 5,757 Market .............................: 60,268 : Market hogs and pigs by weight groups : Under 50 pounds ....................: 19,049 50-119 pounds ......................: 16,670 120-179 pounds .....................: 12,576 180 pounds and over ................: 11,972 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter - United States: 2012-2014 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2014 as percent of Item : 2012 : 2013 : 2014 :------------------- : : : : 2012 : 2013 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 head ------------ -- percent -- Sows farrowing : December-February 1/ .: 2,813 2,788 2,867 102 103 March-May 2/ .........: 2,952 2,816 2,884 98 102 December-May 1/ 3/ 4/ : 5,766 5,605 5,751 100 103 : June-August 2/ .......: 2,928 2,902 2,960 101 102 September-November ...: 2,888 2,882 June-November 4/ .....: 5,817 5,784 : Pig crop : December-February 1/ .: 28,038 28,099 27,316 97 97 March-May ............: 29,780 29,026 December-May 1/ 4/ ...: 57,818 57,125 : June-August ..........: 29,654 29,987 September-November ...: 29,319 29,298 June-November 4/ .....: 58,973 59,285 : : -------------- number ------------- percent : Pigs per litter : December-February 1/ .: 9.97 10.08 9.53 96 95 March-May ............: 10.09 10.31 December-May 1/ ......: 10.03 10.19 : June-August ..........: 10.13 10.33 September-November ...: 10.15 10.16 June-November ........: 10.14 10.25 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Intentions for 2014. 3/ Actual farrowings for December 2013-February 2014 plus intentions for March-May 2014. 4/ May not add due to rounding. Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation - United States: 2013 and 2014 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per litter on operations having 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : head : head : head : head : head : head ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : number : 2013 : December-February 2/ : 7.50 8.30 8.90 9.40 9.90 10.10 March-May ...........: 7.70 8.60 9.20 9.70 10.20 10.40 June-August .........: 7.80 8.70 9.30 9.70 10.20 10.40 September-November ..: 8.00 8.80 9.10 9.50 10.10 10.20 : 2014 : December-February 2/ : 7.70 8.30 8.50 8.90 9.50 9.60 March-May ...........: June-August .........: September-November ..: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth. 2/ December preceding year. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: March 1, 2013 and 2014 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2014 :2014 as: : 2014 :2014 as: : 2014 :2014 as State : 2013 : :percent: 2013 : :percent: 2013 : :percent : : :of 2013: : :of 2013: : :of 2013 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent -- 1,000 head -- percent -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 145 160 110 575 520 90 720 680 94 Illinois ........: 490 500 102 4,110 3,850 94 4,600 4,350 95 Indiana .........: 270 270 100 3,280 3,180 97 3,550 3,450 97 Iowa ............: 1,020 1,010 99 19,080 18,790 98 20,100 19,800 99 Kansas ..........: 170 170 100 1,630 1,500 92 1,800 1,670 93 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 950 910 96 1,060 1,020 96 Minnesota .......: 570 550 96 7,080 7,250 102 7,650 7,800 102 Missouri ........: 340 355 104 2,410 2,095 87 2,750 2,450 89 Nebraska ........: 390 400 103 2,610 2,650 102 3,000 3,050 102 North Carolina ..: 870 870 100 7,830 7,130 91 8,700 8,000 92 : Ohio ............: 165 170 103 1,935 1,850 96 2,100 2,020 96 Oklahoma ........: 410 430 105 1,880 1,560 83 2,290 1,990 87 Pennsylvania ....: 100 95 95 1,040 1,045 100 1,140 1,140 100 South Dakota ....: 175 170 97 975 1,030 106 1,150 1,200 104 Texas ...........: 105 100 95 605 460 76 710 560 79 Utah ............: 80 75 94 660 635 96 740 710 96 : Other States 1/ .: 426 416 98 2,586 2,593 100 3,012 3,009 100 : United States ...: 5,836 5,851 100 59,236 57,048 96 65,072 62,899 97 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: March 1, 2013 and 2014 [Weight groups may not add to market hogs and pigs due to rounding] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 275 270 95 95 80 75 125 80 Illinois ........: 1,290 1,170 1,220 1,100 810 810 790 770 Indiana .........: 960 970 970 900 660 620 690 690 Iowa ............: 4,990 4,720 5,800 5,830 4,900 4,950 3,390 3,290 Kansas ..........: 460 410 360 345 300 295 510 450 Michigan ........: 290 285 215 200 225 225 220 200 Minnesota .......: 2,370 2,660 2,060 2,030 1,600 1,480 1,050 1,080 Missouri ........: 1,050 970 535 435 415 320 410 370 Nebraska ........: 860 850 740 750 580 545 430 505 North Carolina ..: 3,000 2,700 1,880 1,680 1,620 1,600 1,330 1,150 : Ohio ............: 650 600 560 555 460 465 265 230 Oklahoma ........: 790 590 340 335 260 255 490 380 Pennsylvania ....: 235 260 340 355 225 200 240 230 South Dakota ....: 325 330 270 280 200 220 180 200 Texas ...........: 125 90 150 105 150 95 180 170 Utah ............: 285 280 120 130 130 115 125 110 : Other States 1/ .: 897 946 596 592 554 523 540 531 : United States ...: 18,852 18,101 16,251 15,717 13,169 12,793 10,965 10,436 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: June 1, 2012 and 2013 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2013 :2013 as: : 2013 :2013 as: : 2013 :2013 as State : 2012 : :percent: 2012 : :percent: 2012 : :percent : : :of 2012: : :of 2012: : :of 2012 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent -- 1,000 head -- percent -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 150 145 97 560 565 101 710 710 100 Illinois ........: 500 500 100 4,200 4,150 99 4,700 4,650 99 Indiana .........: 280 270 96 3,520 3,230 92 3,800 3,500 92 Iowa ............: 1,020 1,030 101 19,380 18,970 98 20,400 20,000 98 Kansas ..........: 170 170 100 1,620 1,690 104 1,790 1,860 104 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 910 890 98 1,020 1,000 98 Minnesota .......: 560 580 104 7,340 7,220 98 7,900 7,800 99 Missouri ........: 365 350 96 2,435 2,250 92 2,800 2,600 93 Nebraska ........: 385 400 104 2,765 2,600 94 3,150 3,000 95 North Carolina ..: 870 870 100 8,030 8,030 100 8,900 8,900 100 : Ohio ............: 170 160 94 1,980 1,970 99 2,150 2,130 99 Oklahoma ........: 410 410 100 1,880 1,830 97 2,290 2,240 98 Pennsylvania ....: 100 100 100 1,010 1,020 101 1,110 1,120 101 South Dakota ....: 180 180 100 1,120 960 86 1,300 1,140 88 Texas ...........: 100 100 100 770 520 68 870 620 71 Utah ............: 80 75 94 620 655 106 700 730 104 : Other States 1/ .: 412 434 105 2,607 2,654 102 3,019 3,088 102 : United States ...: 5,862 5,884 100 60,747 59,204 97 66,609 65,088 98 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: June 1, 2012 and 2013 [Weight groups may not add to market hogs and pigs due to rounding] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 280 285 95 85 80 80 105 115 Illinois ........: 1,320 1,330 1,290 1,330 790 740 800 750 Indiana .........: 1,080 1,010 1,090 990 680 630 670 600 Iowa ............: 5,140 4,890 6,370 6,090 4,630 4,700 3,240 3,290 Kansas ..........: 500 480 390 385 260 260 470 565 Michigan ........: 280 280 210 220 205 180 215 210 Minnesota .......: 2,500 2,540 2,410 2,300 1,380 1,410 1,050 970 Missouri ........: 1,045 1,030 615 480 390 340 385 400 Nebraska ........: 880 850 870 760 555 560 460 430 North Carolina ..: 3,200 3,060 2,080 2,020 1,480 1,600 1,270 1,350 : Ohio ............: 690 625 585 585 420 480 285 280 Oklahoma ........: 800 800 390 350 210 210 480 470 Pennsylvania ....: 250 250 385 345 175 205 200 220 South Dakota ....: 385 335 315 270 225 180 195 175 Texas ...........: 200 95 170 125 150 100 250 200 Utah ............: 285 280 115 125 110 125 110 125 : Other States 1/ .: 921 995 654 618 513 514 519 528 : United States ...: 19,756 19,135 18,034 17,078 12,253 12,314 10,704 10,678 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: September 1, 2012 and 2013 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : :2013 as: : :2013 as: : :2013 as State : 2012 : 2013 :percent: 2012 : 2013 :percent: 2012 : 2013 :percent : : :of 2012: : :of 2012: : :of 2012 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent -- 1,000 head -- percent -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 150 145 97 590 555 94 740 700 95 Illinois ........: 490 500 102 4,210 4,100 97 4,700 4,600 98 Indiana .........: 280 270 96 3,520 3,430 97 3,800 3,700 97 Iowa ............: 1,000 1,000 100 19,800 19,900 101 20,800 20,900 100 Kansas ..........: 170 170 100 1,730 1,650 95 1,900 1,820 96 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 930 940 101 1,040 1,050 101 Minnesota .......: 560 550 98 7,590 7,150 94 8,150 7,700 94 Missouri ........: 360 350 97 2,540 2,650 104 2,900 3,000 103 Nebraska ........: 380 400 105 2,820 2,650 94 3,200 3,050 95 North Carolina ..: 870 880 101 8,530 8,420 99 9,400 9,300 99 : Ohio ............: 165 165 100 1,975 1,925 97 2,140 2,090 98 Oklahoma ........: 410 420 102 1,920 1,790 93 2,330 2,210 95 Pennsylvania ....: 95 100 105 1,025 1,040 101 1,120 1,140 102 South Dakota ....: 175 170 97 1,125 980 87 1,300 1,150 88 Texas ...........: 90 85 94 770 505 66 860 590 69 Utah ............: 80 80 100 660 660 100 740 740 100 : Other States 1/ .: 403 421 104 2,649 2,745 104 3,052 3,166 104 : United States ...: 5,788 5,816 100 62,384 61,090 98 68,172 66,906 98 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: September 1, 2012 and 2013 [Weight groups may not add to market hogs and pigs due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 290 285 90 90 90 70 120 110 Illinois ........: 1,380 1,330 1,260 1,290 750 700 820 780 Indiana .........: 1,070 1,080 1,080 1,040 660 640 710 670 Iowa ............: 5,100 5,300 6,330 6,490 4,800 4,830 3,570 3,280 Kansas ..........: 520 485 390 360 310 270 510 535 Michigan ........: 300 295 220 230 215 190 195 225 Minnesota .......: 2,530 2,450 2,310 2,280 1,600 1,450 1,150 970 Missouri ........: 1,085 1,180 625 650 390 390 440 430 Nebraska ........: 910 850 820 810 600 570 490 420 North Carolina ..: 3,190 3,140 2,190 2,240 1,700 1,670 1,450 1,370 : Ohio ............: 660 620 605 610 445 430 265 265 Oklahoma ........: 810 790 380 345 260 175 470 480 Pennsylvania ....: 240 245 375 355 200 220 210 220 South Dakota ....: 390 355 300 285 225 185 210 155 Texas ...........: 230 125 170 115 150 110 220 155 Utah ............: 290 285 130 130 125 125 115 120 : Other States 1/ .: 905 1,009 624 638 570 559 550 540 : United States ...: 19,900 19,824 17,899 17,958 13,090 12,584 11,495 10,725 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory - States and United States: December 1, 2012 and 2013 [May not add due to rounding] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2013 :2013 as: : 2013 :2013 as: : 2013 : 2013 as State : 2012 : :percent: 2012 : :percent: 2012 : : percent : : :of 2012: : :of 2012: : : of 2012 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 head -- percent --- 1,000 head -- percent --- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 145 150 103 575 540 94 720 690 96 Illinois ........: 490 500 102 4,110 4,150 101 4,600 4,650 101 Indiana .........: 280 280 100 3,520 3,470 99 3,800 3,750 99 Iowa ............: 1,030 970 94 19,570 19,530 100 20,600 20,500 100 Kansas ..........: 170 170 100 1,730 1,600 92 1,900 1,770 93 Michigan ........: 110 110 100 980 960 98 1,090 1,070 98 Minnesota .......: 560 550 98 7,090 7,450 105 7,650 8,000 105 Missouri ........: 350 345 99 2,400 2,505 104 2,750 2,850 104 Nebraska ........: 380 390 103 2,620 2,710 103 3,000 3,100 103 North Carolina ..: 860 870 101 8,140 7,830 96 9,000 8,700 97 : Ohio ............: 165 170 103 1,885 2,070 110 2,050 2,240 109 Oklahoma ........: 420 420 100 1,900 1,590 84 2,320 2,010 87 Pennsylvania ....: 100 100 100 1,040 1,010 97 1,140 1,110 97 South Dakota ....: 165 165 100 1,035 1,045 101 1,200 1,210 101 Texas ...........: 85 80 94 735 530 72 820 610 74 Utah ............: 80 75 94 660 635 96 740 710 96 : Other States 1/ .: 429 412 96 2,565 2,643 103 2,994 3,055 102 : United States ...: 5,819 5,757 99 60,555 60,268 100 66,374 66,025 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group - States and United States: December 1, 2012 and 2013 [Weight groups may not add to market hogs and pigs due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 50-119 : 120-179 : 180 pounds : 50 pounds : pounds : pounds : and over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Colorado ........: 270 260 85 95 85 75 135 110 Illinois ........: 1,290 1,320 1,200 1,240 750 730 870 860 Indiana .........: 1,040 1,090 1,010 920 710 650 760 810 Iowa ............: 5,120 4,950 6,030 6,130 4,750 4,850 3,670 3,600 Kansas ..........: 500 430 410 355 290 310 530 505 Michigan ........: 300 315 210 210 230 200 240 235 Minnesota .......: 2,430 2,750 2,150 2,080 1,430 1,390 1,080 1,230 Missouri ........: 1,045 1,200 560 500 370 325 425 480 Nebraska ........: 870 880 720 750 550 560 480 520 North Carolina ..: 3,020 2,700 1,960 1,900 1,615 1,630 1,545 1,600 : Ohio ............: 645 680 555 600 415 440 270 350 Oklahoma ........: 800 560 350 410 240 265 510 355 Pennsylvania ....: 250 275 355 330 205 190 230 215 South Dakota ....: 350 355 290 290 190 185 205 215 Texas ...........: 180 100 155 115 160 130 240 185 Utah ............: 275 270 130 120 125 120 130 125 : Other States 1/ .: 914 914 582 625 519 526 551 577 : United States ...: 19,299 19,049 16,752 16,670 12,634 12,576 11,871 11,972 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: December-February 2013 and 2014 [December preceding year. May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :--------------------------:-----------------:-------------------------- : : 2014 :2014 as : : : : 2014 :2014 as State : : : : : : : : : 2013 : :percent : : : 2013 : :percent : : :of 2013 : 2013 : 2014 : : :of 2013 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent --- number --- 1,000 head percent : Colorado ........: 70 74 106 9.60 8.80 672 651 97 Illinois ........: 245 255 104 10.10 10.00 2,475 2,550 103 Indiana .........: 135 130 96 9.55 9.20 1,289 1,196 93 Iowa ............: 465 495 106 10.35 9.90 4,813 4,901 102 Kansas ..........: 79 84 106 9.80 9.15 774 769 99 Michigan ........: 53 53 100 10.25 9.20 543 488 90 Minnesota .......: 275 290 105 10.55 10.50 2,901 3,045 105 Missouri ........: 180 185 103 10.35 9.10 1,863 1,684 90 Nebraska ........: 165 170 103 10.50 10.55 1,733 1,794 104 North Carolina ..: 440 440 100 9.50 8.40 4,180 3,696 88 : Ohio ............: 86 95 110 10.10 8.00 869 760 87 Oklahoma ........: 185 185 100 10.20 9.15 1,887 1,693 90 Pennsylvania ....: 44 46 105 10.30 10.40 453 478 106 South Dakota ....: 86 85 99 10.60 10.65 912 905 99 Texas ...........: 37 44 119 8.60 8.60 318 378 119 Utah ............: 43 41 95 9.90 10.00 426 410 96 : Other States 2/ .: 200 195 97 9.93 9.84 1,991 1,918 96 : United States ...: 2,788 2,867 103 10.08 9.53 28,099 27,316 97 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: March-May 2012-2014 [May not add due to rounding] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : : : : : State : : : : 2014 as : : : : : 2013 as : 2012 : 2013 : 2014 2/ : percent : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 : percent : : : : of 2013 : : : : : of 2012 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------- 1,000 head -------- percent ----- number ---- --- 1,000 head --- percent : Colorado ...........: 70 69 78 113 9.95 9.50 697 656 94 Illinois ...........: 250 250 255 102 10.10 10.30 2,525 2,575 102 Indiana ............: 145 125 130 104 9.75 9.85 1,414 1,231 87 Iowa ...............: 495 475 500 105 10.40 10.50 5,148 4,988 97 Kansas .............: 87 79 86 109 9.45 9.95 822 786 96 Michigan ...........: 50 50 48 96 10.10 10.20 505 510 101 Minnesota ..........: 305 290 285 98 10.25 10.70 3,126 3,103 99 Missouri ...........: 185 180 185 103 10.30 10.50 1,906 1,890 99 Nebraska ...........: 180 160 175 109 10.55 10.75 1,899 1,720 91 North Carolina .....: 470 460 450 98 9.90 10.05 4,653 4,623 99 : Ohio ...............: 91 80 90 113 9.85 10.30 896 824 92 Oklahoma ...........: 190 185 190 103 9.80 10.30 1,862 1,906 102 Pennsylvania .......: 50 44 46 105 9.90 10.20 495 449 91 South Dakota .......: 94 88 85 97 10.40 10.90 978 959 98 Texas ..............: 47 38 49 129 8.70 8.90 409 338 83 Utah ...............: 41 41 38 93 10.25 10.30 420 422 100 : Other States 3/ ....: 202 202 194 96 10.01 10.11 2,025 2,046 101 : United States ......: 2,952 2,816 2,884 102 10.09 10.31 29,780 29,026 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 2/ Intentions 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: June-August 2012-2014 [May not add due to rounding] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : 2014 2/ : 2014 as : : : : 2013 : 2013 as State : : : : : : : : : : 2012 : 2013 : : percent : : : 2012 : : percent : : : : of 2013 : 2012 : 2013 : : : of 2012 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- 1,000 head ------ percent ---- number --- -- 1,000 head -- percent : Colorado ........: 66 70 79 113 9.50 9.50 627 665 106 Illinois ........: 250 255 265 104 10.10 10.20 2,525 2,601 103 Indiana .........: 150 125 140 112 9.70 10.10 1,455 1,263 87 Iowa ............: 495 485 510 105 10.45 10.60 5,173 5,141 99 Kansas ..........: 86 81 89 110 9.80 10.05 843 814 97 Michigan ........: 52 52 50 96 10.10 10.10 525 525 100 Minnesota .......: 310 295 290 98 10.35 10.80 3,209 3,186 99 Missouri ........: 185 195 185 95 10.60 10.40 1,961 2,028 103 Nebraska ........: 170 165 175 106 10.50 10.85 1,785 1,790 100 North Carolina ..: 455 470 450 96 9.90 10.10 4,505 4,747 105 : Ohio ............: 90 90 93 103 9.95 10.40 896 936 104 Oklahoma ........: 190 190 205 108 9.95 10.30 1,891 1,957 103 Pennsylvania ....: 49 48 47 98 10.10 10.20 495 490 99 South Dakota ....: 95 86 88 102 10.10 10.90 960 937 98 Texas ...........: 46 42 58 138 8.50 8.30 391 349 89 Utah ............: 42 43 40 93 10.20 10.00 428 430 100 : Other States 3/ .: 197 210 196 93 10.06 10.14 1,985 2,128 107 : United States ...: 2,928 2,902 2,960 102 10.13 10.33 29,654 29,987 101 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 2/ Intentions. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - States and United States: September-November 2012 and 2013 [May not add due to rounding] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : 2013 as : : : : : 2013 as State : 2012 : 2013 : percent : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 : percent : : : of 2012 : : : : : of 2012 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 head -- percent ----- number ---- --- 1,000 head --- percent : Colorado ...........: 68 72 106 9.95 9.40 677 677 100 Illinois ...........: 245 245 100 10.00 10.20 2,450 2,499 102 Indiana ............: 140 140 100 9.95 10.05 1,393 1,407 101 Iowa ...............: 505 480 95 10.30 10.60 5,202 5,088 98 Kansas .............: 80 82 103 9.80 9.25 784 759 97 Michigan ...........: 53 52 98 10.20 10.15 541 528 98 Minnesota ..........: 295 300 102 10.40 10.80 3,068 3,240 106 Missouri ...........: 185 185 100 10.35 10.30 1,915 1,906 100 Nebraska ...........: 170 170 100 10.50 10.75 1,785 1,828 102 North Carolina .....: 450 455 101 10.10 9.50 4,545 4,323 95 : Ohio ...............: 91 90 99 10.00 10.40 910 936 103 Oklahoma ...........: 185 190 103 10.15 9.95 1,878 1,891 101 Pennsylvania .......: 50 49 98 10.10 10.30 505 505 100 South Dakota .......: 90 85 94 10.40 10.75 936 914 98 Texas ..............: 41 41 100 8.60 8.55 353 351 99 Utah ...............: 41 41 100 10.40 10.10 426 414 97 : Other States 2/ ....: 199 205 103 9.80 9.90 1,951 2,032 104 : United States ......: 2,888 2,882 100 10.15 10.16 29,319 29,298 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop - United States: December-November 2013 and 2014 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows farrowing 1/ : Pigs per litter : Pig crop 1/ Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 head -- ---- number ---- --- 1,000 head --- : December 2/ ....: 926 956 10.01 9.60 9,265 9,180 January ........: 931 961 10.07 9.47 9,376 9,099 February .......: 932 950 10.15 9.51 9,458 9,037 March ..........: 953 10.24 9,765 April ..........: 929 10.30 9,563 May ............: 935 10.38 9,699 June ...........: 971 10.31 10,010 July ...........: 963 10.30 9,923 August .........: 968 10.38 10,054 September ......: 978 10.28 10,049 October ........: 960 10.17 9,767 November .......: 944 10.04 9,482 : Total ..........: 11,389 10.22 116,410 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 7,800 United States producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large operations were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of March 2014, data were collected from about 6,100 operations, 78 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face- to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of March 1, 2014. Estimating Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 62.9 million head by more than 1.1 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.9 percent. Reliability of March 1 Hog Estimates [Based on data for the previous twenty quarters] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Root mean : 90 percent : Difference between first and latest estimate : square error : confidence : : : : : : : level :------------------------------------------------------------- Item : : : : : : Years : : : : : :------------------------------- : : : Average :Smallest : Largest : Below latest : Above latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : percent percent --------- 1,000 -------- ----- number ----- : All hogs and pigs ............: 1.1 1.9 581 26 1,559 13 7 : Pig crop .....................: 1.6 2.8 388 0 1,085 10 10 : Expected farrowings : : Next quarter ...............: 2.3 3.9 52 0 167 12 8 : Following quarter ..........: 2.0 3.5 49 6 117 11 9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch ........... (202) 720-3570 Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section ........... (202) 690-2424 Travis Averill - Cattle, Cattle on Feed ...... (202) 720-3040 Doug Bounds - Hogs and Pigs .................. (202) 720-3106 Alissa Cowell-Mytar - Sheep and Goats......... (202) 720-4751 Donnie Fike - Dairy Products ................. (202) 690-3236 Tiffany Hora - Livestock Slaughter ........... (515) 284-4340 Mike Miller - Milk Production and Milk Cows .. (202) 720-3278 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: http://www.nass.usda.gov Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e- mail subscription. 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