Mt An 4 (12-04) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released December 28, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Quarterly Hogs and Pigs call Dan Lofthus at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory Up Slightly U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on December 1, 2004 was 60.5 million head. This was up slightly from December 1, 2003, but down 1 percent from September 1, 2004. Breeding inventory, at 5.97 million head, was down 1 percent from December 1, 2003, but up slightly from from last quarter. Market hog inventory, at 54.5 million head, was up slightly from last year, but 2 percent below last quarter. The September-November 2004 U.S. pig crop, at 25.6 million head, was up slightly from 2003 and up 2 percent from 2002. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.85 million head, down slightly from last year. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 48 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 8.96 for the September-November period, compared to 8.93 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.50 for operations with 1-99 hogs to 9.10 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.86 million sows farrow during the December 2004-February 2005 quarter, 1 percent above the actual farrows during the same period in 2004, and 3 percent above 2003. Intended farrowings for March-May 2005, at 2.87 million sows, are down slightly from the same period in 2004, and down 1 percent from the same period in 2003. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 38 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, up from 35 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2003 through September 2004 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review, small revisions, not exceeding one-half of one percent were made to the June 2004 total inventory, March-May 2004 pig crop, December-February 2004 pig crop, September-November 2003 pig crop, June-August 2003 pig crop and the September 2003 total inventory. Adjustments of less than one-tenth of one percent were made to the remaining quarters. This report was approved on December 28, 2004. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Mark Rey Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Contents Page Quarterly U.S. Inventory by Class and Weight Group, 2002-20041 Quarterly U.S. Sows Farrowed, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, 2002-20052 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory by State and U.S., 2003-2004 December 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 March 1.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 June 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 September 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, Pig Crop by State and U.S., 2003-2005 December-November. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 December-February.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 March-May.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 June-August.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 September-November. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Monthly U.S. Farrowings, December-November 2003-2004. . . 18 Reliability Statement. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Index. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2002-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2004 as % of Item : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 :------------- : : : : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,256 58,183 59,520 100 102 Kept for Breeding : 6,230 6,027 5,961 96 99 Market : 53,026 52,156 53,558 101 103 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,560 19,086 19,823 101 104 60-119 Pounds : 12,938 12,639 12,954 100 102 120-179 Pounds : 11,148 10,915 11,205 101 103 180 Pounds and Over : 9,380 9,516 9,578 102 101 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,391 59,602 60,698 101 102 Kept for Breeding : 6,208 6,026 5,937 96 99 Market : 54,183 53,576 54,760 101 102 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,226 20,433 20,292 100 99 60-119 Pounds : 13,539 12,952 13,500 100 104 120-179 Pounds : 10,906 10,828 11,256 103 104 180 Pounds and Over : 9,512 9,363 9,714 102 104 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,753 61,009 61,379 101 101 Kept for Breeding : 6,051 5,938 5,962 99 100 Market : 54,702 55,071 55,416 101 101 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,038 20,438 20,559 103 101 60-119 Pounds : 13,632 13,739 13,643 100 99 120-179 Pounds : 11,113 11,384 11,235 101 99 180 Pounds and Over : 9,919 9,510 9,981 101 105 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,554 60,444 60,501 102 100 Kept for Breeding : 6,058 6,009 5,969 99 99 Market : 53,496 54,434 54,531 102 100 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,485 19,778 19,636 101 99 60-119 Pounds : 13,033 13,238 13,439 103 102 120-179 Pounds : 10,875 11,109 11,286 104 102 180 Pounds and Over : 10,103 10,311 10,171 101 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2002-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : 2004 as % of :2005 as Item : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 :---------------:Percent : : : : : 2002 : 2003 :of 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ ----- Percent ----- : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ 3/ : 2,835 2,769 2,836 2,855 100 102 101 Mar-May 3/ : 2,941 2,886 2,870 2,868 98 99 100 Dec-May 2/ 3/ : 5,776 5,655 5,706 5,724 99 101 100 : Jun-Aug : 2,883 2,918 2,888 100 99 Sep-Nov : 2,833 2,856 2,852 101 100 Jun-Nov : 5,716 5,773 5,740 100 99 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 24,857 24,400 25,105 101 103 Mar-May : 26,001 25,629 25,633 99 100 Dec-May 2/ : 50,858 50,029 50,737 100 101 : Jun-Aug : 25,725 25,974 26,010 101 100 Sep-Nov : 25,094 25,488 25,558 102 100 Jun-Nov : 50,820 51,462 51,568 101 100 : : ------------- Number ------------- ----- Percent ----- Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 8.77 8.81 8.85 101 100 Mar-May : 8.84 8.88 8.93 101 101 Dec-May 2/ : 8.81 8.85 8.89 101 101 : Jun-Aug : 8.92 8.90 9.01 101 101 Sep-Nov : 8.86 8.93 8.96 101 100 Jun-Nov : 8.89 8.91 8.98 101 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 2005. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2003 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.60 8.00 8.20 8.70 8.80 8.90 Mar-May : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.70 8.70 9.00 Jun-Aug : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.60 8.70 9.00 Sep-Nov : 7.40 7.80 8.30 8.60 8.70 9.10 : 2004 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.60 7.90 8.20 8.60 8.70 9.00 Mar-May : 7.70 7.90 8.30 8.70 8.90 9.00 Jun-Aug : 7.50 7.80 8.30 8.80 8.90 9.10 Sep-Nov : 7.50 7.70 8.20 8.80 8.90 9.10 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : : 2004 : : 2004 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AL : 15 18 120 150 162 108 165 180 109 AK : 0.4 0.3 75 1.1 1.4 127 1.5 1.7 113 AZ : 16 16 100 111 120 108 127 136 107 AR : 85 85 100 225 245 109 310 330 106 CA : 20 20 100 115 120 104 135 140 104 CO : 135 140 104 615 660 107 750 800 107 CT : 0.7 0.9 129 3.3 3.3 100 4.0 4.2 105 DE : 3.0 3.0 100 9.0 12.0 133 12.0 15.0 125 FL : 5.0 4.0 80 25.0 16.0 64 30.0 20.0 67 GA : 48 42 88 247 233 94 295 275 93 HI : 5.0 5.2 104 18.0 16.8 93 23.0 22.0 96 ID : 4.0 3.0 75 22.0 18.0 82 26.0 21.0 81 IL : 410 420 102 3,590 3,580 100 4,000 4,000 100 IN : 300 290 97 2,800 2,860 102 3,100 3,150 102 IA : 1,060 1,070 101 14,840 15,030 101 15,900 16,100 101 KS : 160 155 97 1,490 1,565 105 1,650 1,720 104 KY : 45 40 89 335 310 93 380 350 92 LA : 3.0 2.0 67 17.0 14.0 82 20.0 16.0 80 ME : 1.3 1.3 100 4.2 3.7 88 5.5 5.0 91 MD : 5.0 4.0 80 25.0 22.0 88 30.0 26.0 87 MA : 1.8 1.5 83 10.2 10.5 103 12.0 12.0 100 MI : 110 110 100 840 830 99 950 940 99 MN : 600 600 100 5,900 5,900 100 6,500 6,500 100 MS : 28 35 125 277 280 101 305 315 103 MO : 340 340 100 2,610 2,560 98 2,950 2,900 98 MT : 18 17 94 152 148 97 170 165 97 NE : 370 355 96 2,530 2,495 99 2,900 2,850 98 NV : 1.0 1.0 100 4.5 4.5 100 5.5 5.5 100 NH : 0.8 0.9 113 2.1 2.7 129 2.9 3.6 124 NJ : 1.0 1.0 100 11.0 10.0 91 12.0 11.0 92 NM : 0.4 0.3 75 2.1 2.2 105 2.5 2.5 100 NY : 9.0 12.0 133 64.0 72.0 113 73.0 84.0 115 NC : 1,020 1,020 100 8,980 8,780 98 10,000 9,800 98 ND : 30 29 97 120 140 117 150 169 113 OH : 160 155 97 1,360 1,295 95 1,520 1,450 95 OK : 360 360 100 2,020 2,040 101 2,380 2,400 101 OR : 6.0 5.0 83 21.0 22.0 105 27.0 27.0 100 PA : 120 115 96 990 965 97 1,110 1,080 97 RI : 0.5 0.5 100 1.5 1.5 100 2.0 2.0 100 SC : 30 30 100 270 270 100 300 300 100 SD : 145 140 97 1,135 1,190 105 1,280 1,330 104 TN : 25 23 92 190 192 101 215 215 100 TX : 105 100 95 825 880 107 930 980 105 UT : 91 92 101 569 598 105 660 690 105 VT : 0.4 0.4 100 1.4 1.6 114 1.8 2.0 111 VA : 35 30 86 345 345 100 380 375 99 WA : 4.0 4.0 100 23.0 22.0 96 27.0 26.0 96 WV : 2.0 2.0 100 8.0 8.0 100 10.0 10.0 100 WI : 55 50 91 425 380 89 480 430 90 WY : 19 20 105 105 94 90 124 114 92 : US : 6,009 5,969 99 54,434 54,531 100 60,444 60,501 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AL : 65 69 30 32 27 30 28 31 AK : 0.5 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 AZ : 32 33 27 29 26 29 26 29 AR : 120 130 30 40 30 35 45 40 CA : 35 32 25 32 28 26 27 30 CO : 340 355 70 100 70 75 135 130 CT : 1.3 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.6 DE : 4.0 5.0 2.0 2.5 1.5 2.0 1.5 2.5 FL : 13.0 8.0 7.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 GA : 114 98 56 55 42 43 35 37 HI : 8.0 7.6 5.0 4.4 3.0 3.2 2.0 1.6 ID : 7.0 5.0 6.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 IL : 1,280 1,360 860 830 770 770 680 620 IN : 990 960 670 750 580 610 560 540 IA : 4,510 4,480 4,130 4,130 3,200 3,340 3,000 3,080 KS : 510 460 285 330 280 350 415 425 KY : 110 100 90 80 70 70 65 60 LA : 6.0 5.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 ME : 2.3 2.2 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 MD : 8.0 7.0 5.0 5.0 6.0 5.0 6.0 5.0 MA : 3.3 4.0 2.8 3.1 2.4 1.8 1.7 1.6 MI : 300 320 205 195 175 160 160 155 MN : 2,210 2,250 1,420 1,420 1,250 1,250 1,020 980 MS : 34 67 81 76 81 70 81 67 MO : 1,280 1,200 530 530 460 480 340 350 MT : 50 48 37 37 35 33 30 30 NE : 960 970 650 650 490 470 430 405 NV : 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 NH : 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.5 NJ : 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 5.0 5.0 NM : 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.5 NY : 24.0 26.0 15.0 18.0 13.0 13.0 12.0 15.0 NC : 3,550 3,420 2,180 2,150 1,750 1,750 1,500 1,460 ND : 50 51 30 34 21 28 19 27 OH : 540 535 330 310 280 270 210 180 OK : 920 970 320 340 320 250 460 480 OR : 8.0 7.0 6.0 7.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 PA : 350 280 235 275 195 225 210 185 RI : 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 SC : 65 65 70 70 60 60 75 75 SD : 385 400 250 300 280 260 220 230 TN : 77 72 43 45 36 38 34 37 TX : 245 290 195 200 200 205 185 185 UT : 245 250 123 131 123 131 78 86 VT : 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 VA : 105 115 80 90 70 75 90 65 WA : 8.0 7.0 6.0 6.0 5.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 WV : 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 WI : 165 135 95 90 85 80 80 75 WY : 39 28 23 22 22 22 21 22 : US : 19,778 19,636 13,238 13,439 11,109 11,286 10,311 10,171 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : : 2004 : : 2004 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 75 85 113 200 230 115 275 315 115 CO : 130 140 108 590 550 93 720 690 96 IL : 420 410 98 3,530 3,440 97 3,950 3,850 97 IN : 320 300 94 2,780 2,850 103 3,100 3,150 102 IA : 1,060 1,040 98 13,940 14,460 104 15,000 15,500 103 KS : 160 170 106 1,310 1,550 118 1,470 1,720 117 MI : 100 100 100 770 830 108 870 930 107 MN : 600 600 100 5,500 5,900 107 6,100 6,500 107 MO : 360 330 92 2,590 2,570 99 2,950 2,900 98 NE : 380 360 95 2,520 2,490 99 2,900 2,850 98 NC : 1,010 1,020 101 8,590 8,880 103 9,600 9,900 103 OH : 160 160 100 1,280 1,360 106 1,440 1,520 106 OK : 340 350 103 2,030 2,000 99 2,370 2,350 99 PA : 125 120 96 945 910 96 1,070 1,030 96 SD : 145 145 100 1,155 1,105 96 1,300 1,250 96 TX : 105 110 105 785 810 103 890 920 103 WI : 60 55 92 440 395 90 500 450 90 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 477 466 98 3,201 3,228 101 3,678 3,695 100 : US : 6,027 5,961 99 52,156 53,558 103 58,183 59,520 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 130 135 20 30 20 30 30 35 CO : 305 315 85 60 85 65 115 110 IL : 1,270 1,260 860 820 780 750 620 610 IN : 1,040 1,060 660 660 560 620 520 510 IA : 4,290 4,510 3,810 4,000 3,140 3,250 2,700 2,700 KS : 430 530 250 285 250 310 380 425 MI : 270 300 190 205 165 175 145 150 MN : 2,110 2,250 1,320 1,410 1,190 1,280 880 960 MO : 1,230 1,270 570 510 480 470 310 320 NE : 1,000 980 640 640 485 470 395 400 NC : 3,350 3,500 1,990 2,180 1,800 1,800 1,450 1,400 OH : 525 555 305 315 280 290 170 200 OK : 880 940 350 310 290 250 510 500 PA : 340 300 245 240 175 210 185 160 SD : 380 385 295 245 270 265 210 210 TX : 220 265 210 180 155 195 200 170 WI : 165 155 100 90 90 80 85 70 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,151 1,113 739 774 700 695 611 648 : US : 19,086 19,823 12,639 12,954 10,915 11,205 9,516 9,578 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : : 2004 : : 2004 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 75 85 113 195 250 128 270 335 124 CO : 125 140 112 605 610 101 730 750 103 IL : 420 420 100 3,630 3,530 97 4,050 3,950 98 IN : 310 290 94 2,740 2,860 104 3,050 3,150 103 IA : 1,070 1,060 99 14,730 15,040 102 15,800 16,100 102 KS : 165 165 100 1,345 1,565 116 1,510 1,730 115 MI : 100 95 95 830 815 98 930 910 98 MN : 600 600 100 5,700 6,000 105 6,300 6,600 105 MO : 340 320 94 2,560 2,630 103 2,900 2,950 102 NE : 380 360 95 2,570 2,490 97 2,950 2,850 97 NC : 1,020 1,010 99 8,780 9,190 105 9,800 10,200 104 OH : 160 155 97 1,300 1,315 101 1,460 1,470 101 OK : 360 350 97 1,940 2,100 108 2,300 2,450 107 PA : 120 110 92 940 900 96 1,060 1,010 95 SD : 145 145 100 1,185 1,085 92 1,330 1,230 92 TX : 110 110 100 800 780 98 910 890 98 WI : 60 50 83 420 390 93 480 440 92 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 466 472 101 3,306 3,210 97 3,772 3,683 98 : US : 6,026 5,937 99 53,576 54,760 102 59,602 60,698 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 120 145 25 40 25 30 25 35 CO : 315 335 90 95 85 80 115 100 IL : 1,330 1,330 890 870 780 750 630 580 IN : 990 1,040 650 660 570 600 530 560 IA : 4,890 4,540 3,950 4,300 3,190 3,350 2,700 2,850 KS : 445 530 285 330 255 275 360 430 MI : 310 300 210 200 165 170 145 145 MN : 2,300 2,380 1,390 1,420 1,180 1,260 830 940 MO : 1,250 1,300 530 550 470 480 310 300 NE : 1,020 980 680 660 495 460 375 390 NC : 3,750 3,690 2,080 2,200 1,650 1,800 1,300 1,500 OH : 535 535 315 310 275 290 175 180 OK : 860 980 280 330 280 310 520 480 PA : 350 310 220 230 190 190 180 170 SD : 380 370 305 290 280 250 220 175 TX : 275 255 150 165 135 185 240 175 WI : 170 150 90 85 85 80 75 75 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,143 1,122 812 765 718 696 633 629 : US : 20,433 20,292 12,952 13,500 10,828 11,256 9,363 9,714 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : : 2004 : : 2004 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 80 80 100 200 240 120 280 320 114 CO : 130 140 108 640 570 89 770 710 92 IL : 420 410 98 3,530 3,590 102 3,950 4,000 101 IN : 300 300 100 2,800 2,950 105 3,100 3,250 105 IA : 1,030 1,060 103 15,170 15,240 100 16,200 16,300 101 KS : 165 160 97 1,505 1,630 108 1,670 1,790 107 MI : 100 100 100 820 840 102 920 940 102 MN : 600 590 98 5,900 6,010 102 6,500 6,600 102 MO : 330 330 100 2,570 2,570 100 2,900 2,900 100 NE : 375 360 96 2,675 2,490 93 3,050 2,850 93 NC : 1,020 1,030 101 9,180 9,270 101 10,200 10,300 101 OH : 155 160 103 1,325 1,340 101 1,480 1,500 101 OK : 360 360 100 2,070 2,100 101 2,430 2,460 101 PA : 120 105 88 1,010 955 95 1,130 1,060 94 SD : 135 140 104 1,155 1,070 93 1,290 1,210 94 TX : 95 110 116 825 920 112 920 1,030 112 WI : 60 50 83 440 390 89 500 440 88 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 463 477 103 3,256 3,241 100 3,719 3,719 100 : US : 5,938 5,962 100 55,071 55,416 101 61,009 61,379 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 110 140 35 35 30 35 25 30 CO : 335 310 95 85 90 75 120 100 IL : 1,310 1,380 870 840 770 770 580 600 IN : 1,060 1,080 690 710 570 600 480 560 IA : 4,800 4,640 4,130 4,200 3,430 3,350 2,810 3,050 KS : 500 550 350 340 235 285 420 455 MI : 300 310 210 210 165 170 145 150 MN : 2,300 2,420 1,510 1,440 1,260 1,240 830 910 MO : 1,220 1,260 550 510 480 450 320 350 NE : 1,060 970 700 660 510 470 405 390 NC : 3,650 3,670 2,330 2,350 1,850 1,850 1,350 1,400 OH : 545 560 345 330 280 270 155 180 OK : 950 1,000 300 370 290 250 530 480 PA : 360 290 240 245 200 195 210 225 SD : 380 370 310 280 275 240 190 180 TX : 290 340 160 185 150 210 225 185 WI : 175 150 100 90 85 80 80 70 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,093 1,119 814 763 714 695 635 666 : US : 20,438 20,559 13,739 13,643 11,384 11,235 9,510 9,981 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Annual Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-November 2003-2004 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2004 : per Litter : : 2004 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2003 : :as % of : : : 2003 : :as % of : : Number : 2003 : 2003 : 2004 : : Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- -- 1,000 Head -- Percent : AL : 25.0 29.0 116 8.80 8.83 220.0 256.0 116 AK : 0.32 0.38 119 9.28 8.39 2.97 3.19 107 AZ : 30.0 32.0 107 8.33 9.34 250.0 299.0 120 AR : 149 164 110 9.63 9.55 1,435 1,566 109 CA : 34.0 39.0 115 9.44 9.03 321.0 352.0 110 CO : 282 287 102 8.49 8.31 2,393 2,385 100 CT : 0.80 0.80 100 8.10 7.60 6.48 6.08 94 DE : 6.00 6.00 100 8.67 9.17 52.00 55.00 106 FL : 10.00 8.00 80 7.00 7.50 70.00 60.00 86 GA : 96.0 91.0 95 8.81 8.75 846.0 796.0 94 HI : 4.30 4.30 100 7.21 7.21 31.00 31.00 100 ID : 5.90 3.80 64 8.31 8.95 49.00 34.00 69 IL : 835 830 99 8.86 8.88 7,401 7,367 100 IN : 590 555 94 8.90 8.90 5,252 4,940 94 IA : 1,780 1,720 97 8.68 8.82 15,448 15,162 98 KS : 320 337 105 8.62 8.78 2,757 2,958 107 KY : 75.0 85.0 113 8.59 8.96 644.0 762.0 118 LA : 4.60 4.20 91 7.39 7.14 34.00 30.00 88 ME : 1.80 1.50 83 7.00 7.10 12.60 10.65 85 MD : 8.00 8.00 100 8.00 8.00 64.00 64.00 100 MA : 2.70 1.90 70 7.96 7.80 21.48 14.82 69 MI : 187 180 96 8.90 9.10 1,664 1,638 98 MN : 1,100 1,140 104 8.91 9.04 9,806 10,302 105 MS : 60.0 61.5 103 8.60 8.78 516.0 540.0 105 MO : 685 680 99 8.90 8.99 6,099 6,112 100 MT : 37.0 32.5 88 9.14 9.54 338.0 310.0 92 NE : 735 695 95 8.86 8.93 6,515 6,204 95 NV : 0.68 0.76 112 7.66 7.83 5.21 5.95 114 NH : 0.80 0.80 100 6.50 6.60 5.20 5.28 102 NJ : 0.80 1.10 138 7.00 7.00 5.60 7.70 138 NM : 0.40 0.40 100 7.50 7.50 3.00 3.00 100 NY : 14.00 16.80 120 9.14 9.88 128.00 166.00 130 NC : 2,170 2,200 101 9.02 9.05 19,584 19,912 102 ND : 48.0 48.0 100 8.94 9.19 429.0 441.0 103 OH : 296 298 101 8.90 8.90 2,634 2,653 101 OK : 715 760 106 8.85 8.83 6,329 6,709 106 OR : 6.40 6.40 100 8.44 7.50 54.00 48.00 89 PA : 200 198 99 9.38 8.98 1,876 1,778 95 RI : 0.50 0.50 100 7.00 7.50 3.50 3.75 107 SC : 53.0 52.0 98 9.00 9.46 477.0 492.0 103 SD : 272 278 102 9.14 9.27 2,486 2,578 104 TN : 51.0 43.0 84 8.41 8.28 429.0 356.0 83 TX : 174 194 111 8.70 8.76 1,514 1,700 112 UT : 136.0 142.0 104 9.35 9.30 1,272.0 1,320.0 104 VT : 0.50 0.50 100 7.50 7.70 3.75 3.85 103 VA : 61.0 59.0 97 9.38 9.42 572.0 556.0 97 WA : 4.50 4.80 107 8.44 8.75 38.00 42.00 111 WV : 2.50 2.30 92 7.40 7.91 18.50 18.20 98 WI : 112 99 88 8.65 8.80 969 871 90 WY : 45.0 43.0 96 9.02 8.79 406.0 378.0 93 : US : 11,429 11,445 100 8.88 8.94 101,490 102,305 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2003-2005 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2005 4/ : Per Litter : : 2004 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2003 : 2004 : :as % of: : : 2003 : :as % of : : :Number : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : :Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 41 38 44 116 9.70 9.60 398 365 92 CO : 75 73 73 100 8.35 8.30 626 606 97 IL : 200 205 205 100 8.85 8.85 1,770 1,814 102 IN : 150 145 135 93 8.85 8.85 1,328 1,283 97 IA : 410 410 440 107 8.50 8.70 3,485 3,567 102 KS : 76 84 84 100 8.50 8.70 646 731 113 MI : 43 45 48 107 8.80 8.90 378 401 106 MN : 265 285 285 100 8.80 9.05 2,332 2,579 111 MO : 170 170 170 100 8.85 9.00 1,505 1,530 102 NE : 180 175 170 97 8.75 8.90 1,575 1,558 99 NC : 530 550 540 98 9.00 8.95 4,770 4,923 103 OH : 73 74 76 103 8.90 8.80 650 651 100 OK : 170 185 190 103 8.80 8.60 1,496 1,591 106 PA : 49 53 51 96 9.30 8.50 456 451 99 SD : 64 70 69 99 9.05 9.20 579 644 111 TX : 43 46 46 100 8.75 8.40 376 386 103 WI : 29 24 23 96 8.60 8.80 249 211 85 : Oth : Sts 5/ : 201 204 206 101 8.84 8.90 1,781 1,814 102 : US : 2,769 2,836 2,855 101 8.81 8.85 24,400 25,105 103 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ May not add due to rounding. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 4/ Intentions. 5/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2003-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2005 3/ : per Litter : : 2004 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2003 : 2004 : :as % of: : : 2003 : :as % of : : :Number : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : :Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 36 41 44 107 9.70 9.70 349 398 114 CO : 67 72 78 108 8.50 8.10 570 583 102 IL : 215 215 205 95 8.90 8.90 1,914 1,914 100 IN : 145 135 135 100 8.95 8.90 1,298 1,202 93 IA : 470 430 440 102 8.70 8.75 4,089 3,763 92 KS : 83 84 85 101 8.50 8.80 706 739 105 MI : 46 44 51 116 9.00 9.10 414 400 97 MN : 280 290 285 98 8.95 8.95 2,506 2,596 104 MO : 170 170 170 100 8.70 9.00 1,479 1,530 103 NE : 185 175 170 97 8.90 8.90 1,647 1,558 95 NC : 540 550 540 98 9.00 9.10 4,860 5,005 103 OH : 73 73 75 103 9.00 8.90 657 650 99 OK : 175 190 190 100 8.90 8.80 1,558 1,672 107 PA : 49 50 53 106 9.30 8.75 456 438 96 SD : 68 70 73 104 9.10 9.40 619 658 106 TX : 49 47 47 100 9.00 8.60 441 404 92 WI : 28 26 23 88 8.75 8.75 245 228 93 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 207 208 204 98 8.81 9.12 1,821 1,895 104 : US : 2,886 2,870 2,868 100 8.88 8.93 25,629 25,633 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1 or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2004 : per Litter : : 2004 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2003 : :as % of : : : 2003 : :as % of : : Number : 2003 : 2003 : 2004 : : Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 37 43 116 9.60 9.40 355 404 114 CO : 70 70 100 8.70 8.40 609 588 97 IL : 215 205 95 8.85 8.90 1,903 1,825 96 IN : 150 140 93 8.95 9.00 1,343 1,260 94 IA : 460 430 93 8.70 8.90 4,002 3,827 96 KS : 80 87 109 8.75 8.80 700 766 109 MI : 47 47 100 9.00 9.20 423 432 102 MN : 275 285 104 8.90 9.05 2,448 2,579 105 MO : 170 170 100 8.95 9.00 1,522 1,530 101 NE : 185 175 95 8.80 8.90 1,628 1,558 96 NC : 560 560 100 9.00 9.15 5,040 5,124 102 OH : 76 74 97 8.90 8.90 676 659 97 OK : 185 195 105 9.00 9.00 1,665 1,755 105 PA : 51 46 90 9.40 9.20 479 423 88 SD : 70 68 97 9.30 9.30 651 632 97 TX : 49 56 114 8.70 9.05 426 507 119 WI : 29 24 83 8.60 8.85 249 212 85 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 209 213 102 8.88 9.06 1,855 1,929 104 : US : 2,918 2,888 99 8.90 9.01 25,974 26,010 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2004 : per Litter : : 2004 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2003 : :as % of : : : 2003 : :as % of : : Number : 2003 : 2003 : 2004 : : Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 35 42 120 9.50 9.50 333 399 120 CO : 70 72 103 8.40 8.45 588 608 103 IL : 205 205 100 8.85 8.85 1,814 1,814 100 IN : 145 135 93 8.85 8.85 1,283 1,195 93 IA : 440 450 102 8.80 8.90 3,872 4,005 103 KS : 81 82 101 8.70 8.80 705 722 102 MI : 51 44 86 8.80 9.20 449 405 90 MN : 280 280 100 9.00 9.10 2,520 2,548 101 MO : 175 170 97 9.10 8.95 1,593 1,522 96 NE : 185 170 92 9.00 9.00 1,665 1,530 92 NC : 540 540 100 9.10 9.00 4,914 4,860 99 OH : 74 77 104 8.80 9.00 651 693 106 OK : 185 190 103 8.70 8.90 1,610 1,691 105 PA : 51 49 96 9.50 9.50 485 466 96 SD : 70 70 100 9.10 9.20 637 644 101 TX : 33 45 136 8.20 8.95 271 403 149 WI : 26 25 96 8.70 8.80 226 220 97 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 210 206 98 8.93 8.91 1,872 1,833 98 : US : 2,856 2,852 100 8.93 8.96 25,488 25,558 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1 or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2003-2004 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- ---- Number ---- ---- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 907 935 8.76 8.84 7,941 8,265 Jan : 930 954 8.82 8.86 8,202 8,448 Feb : 932 947 8.86 8.86 8,257 8,392 Mar : 946 958 8.85 8.89 8,373 8,515 Apr : 966 957 8.88 8.93 8,581 8,550 May : 974 955 8.91 8.97 8,674 8,568 Jun : 968 968 8.90 8.99 8,616 8,704 Jul : 979 966 8.90 9.00 8,708 8,692 Aug : 971 954 8.91 9.03 8,650 8,614 Sep : 967 958 8.91 8.97 8,616 8,589 Oct : 954 951 8.93 8.96 8,519 8,524 Nov : 935 943 8.93 8.96 8,352 8,445 : Total : 11,429 11,445 8.88 8.94 101,490 102,305 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Reliability of December 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 13,500 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. Data were collected from about 11,000 operations, 82 percent of the total sample, during the first-half of December by mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of December 1. Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each State office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.2 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 60.5 million head by more than 1.2 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 2.0 percent. Reliability of December 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.2 2.0 1,210 587 0 1,386 7 12 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 1.6 2.8 716 321 0 926 7 13 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : Quarter : 1.8 3.2 91 39 6 158 9 11 : Following : Quarter : 2.0 3.5 100 45 2 146 11 9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Index Page Annual Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, December-November . . . . 13 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, December-February . . . . 14 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, June-August . . . . . . . 16 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, March-May . . . . . . . . 15 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, September-November. . . . 17 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States2 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1. . . . . . . . .5 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1. . . . . . . . . . .9 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1 . . . . . . . . . .7 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1 . . . . . . . 11 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1. . . . . . . . . .6 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1. . . . . . . . . . . 10 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1 . . . . . . . . . . .8 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1 . . . . . . . . 12 Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November. . . . . . . . . . . 18 Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States. . . .2 Reliability of Hogs and Pigs Estimates . . . . . . . . . . 19 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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