Mt An 4 (9-09) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released September 25, 2009, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Quarterly Hogs and Pigs" call Nick Streff at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory down 2 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on September 1, 2009 was 66.6 million head. This was down 2 percent from September 1, 2008 but up 1 percent from June 1, 2009. Breeding inventory, at 5.87 million head, was down 3 percent from last year and down 2 percent from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 60.8 million head, was down 2 percent from last year but up 1 percent from last quarter. The June-August 2009 pig crop, at 28.8 million head, was down 2 percent from 2008 and down 1 percent from 2007. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.97 million head, down 4 percent from 2008 and down 5 percent from 2007. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 50 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high 9.70 for the June- August 2009 period, compared to 9.51 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.40 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 9.80 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.94 million sows farrow during the September-November 2009 quarter, down 3 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2008, and down 8 percent from 2007. Intended farrowings for December 2009-February 2010, at 2.93 million sows, are down 3 percent from 2009 and down 5 percent from 2008. The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 46 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, up from 43 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for September 2008 through June 2009 were reviewed using slaughter, death loss and current import and export data. Based on this review, adjustments of less than one percent were made to the March 2009 and June 2009 total inventory. An adjustment of less than two percent was made to the December 2008-February 2009 pig crop. Special Note The market hogs and pigs weight groups will be changing beginning with the December 2009 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs release. The market weight group under 60 pounds will be changed to under 50 pounds, and the market weight group 60- 119 pounds will be changed to 50-119 pounds. The 120-179 pounds and 180 pounds and over weight groups will remain the same. These changes align NASS market hogs and pigs weight groups more closely with international trade data. Statistics Canada is making similar changes to the Canadian market hogs and pigs categories. This will allow for a more uniform analysis of the U.S. and Canadian hog inventories. Estimates will be published in the December 2009 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs release for the new weight groups dating back to March of 2008 at the U.S. and State level using slaughter data and current import and export data. These estimates will allow for historical analysis of the new weight groups and will provide a point of reference for proceeding quarters. This report was approved on September 25, 2009. Acting Secretary of Agriculture James W. Miller Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Carol C. House Contents Page Quarterly U.S. Inventory by Class and Weight Group, 2008-2009.................1 Quarterly U.S. Sows Farrowed, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, 2007-2010........2 Quarterly U.S. Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation, 2008-2009................2 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory by State and U.S., 2007-2009 March 1...............................................................5 June 1................................................................7 September 1...........................................................9 December 1...........................................................11 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, Pig Crop by State and U.S., 2007-2010 December-February....................................................13 March-May............................................................14 June-August..........................................................15 September-November...................................................16 Monthly U.S. Farrowings, December-November 2008-2009.........................17 Reliability Statement........................................................18 Information Contacts.........................................................19 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2008-2009 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : : : 2009 Item : 2008 : 2009 : as a % : : : 2008 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ------ 1,000 Head ------ Percent : March 1 Inventory 1/ : All Hogs and Pigs : 67,218 65,819 98 Kept for Breeding : 6,200 5,991 97 Market : 61,018 59,828 98 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 22,137 21,848 99 60-119 Pounds : 14,490 14,386 99 120-179 Pounds : 13,193 12,732 97 180 Pounds and Over : 11,199 10,862 97 : June 1 Inventory 1/ : All Hogs and Pigs : 67,400 66,259 98 Kept for Breeding : 6,131 5,967 97 Market : 61,269 60,292 98 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 22,197 21,673 98 60-119 Pounds : 15,321 15,168 99 120-179 Pounds : 12,892 12,604 98 180 Pounds and Over : 10,860 10,847 100 : September 1 Inventory 1/: All Hogs and Pigs : 68,196 66,626 98 Kept for Breeding : 6,061 5,874 97 Market : 62,135 60,752 98 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 22,683 21,837 96 60-119 Pounds : 15,397 15,078 98 120-179 Pounds : 12,855 12,674 99 180 Pounds and Over : 11,201 11,163 100 : December 1 Inventory 1/ : All Hogs and Pigs : 67,148 Kept for Breeding : 6,061 Market : 61,087 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 21,727 60-119 Pounds : 15,096 120-179 Pounds : 12,731 180 Pounds and Over : 11,533 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2007-2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : 2009 as % of : 2010 Item : 2007 : 2008 : 2009 : 2010 :---------------:as % of : : : : : 2007 : 2008 : 2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ ----- Percent ---- : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 1/ 2/ : 2,905 3,071 3,024 2,930 104 98 97 Mar-May : 3,030 3,052 2,971 98 97 Dec-May 1/ 3/ : 5,935 6,123 5,995 101 98 : Jun-Aug : 3,133 3,075 2,966 95 96 Sep-Nov 4/ : 3,180 3,028 2,935 92 97 Jun-Nov 3/ 5/ : 6,312 6,103 5,901 93 97 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 1/ : 26,395 28,387 28,673 109 101 Mar-May : 27,870 28,630 28,547 102 100 Dec-May 1/ 3/ : 54,266 57,017 57,220 105 100 : Jun-Aug : 29,095 29,240 28,772 99 98 Sep-Nov : 29,513 28,770 Jun-Nov 3/ : 58,608 58,010 : : ------------- Number ------------- ----- Percent ---- Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 1/ : 9.09 9.24 9.48 104 103 Mar-May : 9.20 9.38 9.61 104 102 Dec-May 1/ : 9.14 9.31 9.55 104 102 : Jun-Aug : 9.29 9.51 9.70 104 102 Sep-Nov : 9.28 9.50 Jun-Nov : 9.28 9.51 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Intentions for 2010. 3/ May not add due to rounding. 4/ Intentions for 2009. 5/ Actual farrowings for June-August plus intentions for September-November. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2008 : Dec-Feb 2/ : 7.50 8.20 8.40 8.80 9.20 9.30 Mar-May : 7.70 8.20 8.40 9.00 9.40 9.40 Jun-Aug : 7.80 8.30 8.40 9.00 9.50 9.60 Sep-Nov : 7.50 8.20 8.30 9.00 9.40 9.60 : 2009 : Dec-Feb 2/ : 7.30 8.10 8.40 9.00 9.40 9.50 Mar-May : 7.40 8.10 8.50 9.10 9.60 9.70 Jun-Aug : 7.40 8.20 8.60 9.10 9.60 9.80 Sep-Nov : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth. 2/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2009 : : 2009 : : 2009 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2008 : :as % of: 2008 : :as % of: 2008 : :as % of : :Number : 2008 : :Number : 2008 : :Number : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 90 85 94 210 190 90 300 275 92 CO : 155 150 97 625 590 94 780 740 95 IL : 490 480 98 3,960 3,820 96 4,450 4,300 97 IN : 310 270 87 3,340 3,280 98 3,650 3,550 97 IA : 1,080 1,040 96 18,020 18,460 102 19,100 19,500 102 KS : 170 165 97 1,710 1,655 97 1,880 1,820 97 MI : 100 110 110 880 930 106 980 1,040 106 MN : 590 580 98 6,910 6,820 99 7,500 7,400 99 MO : 380 365 96 2,720 2,585 95 3,100 2,950 95 NE : 370 385 104 2,930 2,815 96 3,300 3,200 97 NC : 1,010 980 97 9,090 8,420 93 10,100 9,400 93 OH : 165 170 103 1,685 1,810 107 1,850 1,980 107 OK : 400 400 100 1,950 1,940 99 2,350 2,340 100 PA : 100 90 90 1,050 1,020 97 1,150 1,110 97 SD : 160 150 94 1,310 1,160 89 1,470 1,310 89 TX : 105 95 90 985 995 101 1,090 1,090 100 WI : 45 45 100 365 325 89 410 370 90 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 480 431 90 3,278 3,013 92 3,758 3,444 92 : US 2/ : 6,200 5,991 97 61,018 59,828 98 67,218 65,819 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 2/ May not add due to rounding. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 160 145 15 15 10 15 25 15 CO : 320 320 85 75 80 70 140 125 IL : 1,440 1,490 900 960 900 770 720 600 IN : 1,200 1,260 840 820 680 620 620 580 IA : 5,450 5,340 4,680 5,060 4,440 4,690 3,450 3,370 KS : 575 575 370 265 295 290 470 525 MI : 315 350 220 230 170 160 175 190 MN : 2,690 2,710 1,650 1,680 1,460 1,390 1,110 1,040 MO : 1,245 1,250 520 470 530 465 425 400 NE : 1,080 1,060 760 720 660 610 430 425 NC : 3,580 3,400 2,100 1,840 1,890 1,710 1,520 1,470 OH : 635 715 410 435 390 390 250 270 OK : 960 890 300 340 220 210 470 500 PA : 320 350 300 275 230 200 200 195 SD : 480 450 285 250 280 245 265 215 TX : 330 310 200 200 210 200 245 285 WI : 150 145 85 70 60 55 70 55 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 1,207 1,088 770 681 688 642 614 602 : US 2/ : 22,137 21,848 14,490 14,386 13,193 12,732 11,199 10,862 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 2/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2009 : : 2009 : : 2009 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2008 : :as % of: 2008 : :as % of: 2008 : :as % of : :Number : 2008 : :Number : 2008 : :Number : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 95 85 89 215 200 93 310 285 92 CO : 150 150 100 610 590 97 760 740 97 IL : 460 480 104 3,890 3,820 98 4,350 4,300 99 IN : 290 270 93 3,360 3,280 98 3,650 3,550 97 IA : 1,080 1,020 94 18,320 18,580 101 19,400 19,600 101 KS : 170 170 100 1,610 1,620 101 1,780 1,790 101 MI : 100 110 110 930 940 101 1,030 1,050 102 MN : 580 580 100 6,920 6,920 100 7,500 7,500 100 MO : 380 345 91 2,720 2,655 98 3,100 3,000 97 NE : 380 390 103 3,020 2,860 95 3,400 3,250 96 NC : 1,020 990 97 9,080 8,610 95 10,100 9,600 95 OH : 165 170 103 1,725 1,830 106 1,890 2,000 106 OK : 400 400 100 1,960 1,890 96 2,360 2,290 97 PA : 95 90 95 1,085 1,050 97 1,180 1,140 97 SD : 150 155 103 1,280 1,125 88 1,430 1,280 90 TX : 105 95 90 965 915 95 1,070 1,010 94 WI : 45 45 100 345 315 91 390 360 92 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 466 422 91 3,234 3,092 96 3,700 3,514 95 : US 2/ : 6,131 5,967 97 61,269 60,292 98 67,400 66,259 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 2/ May not add due to rounding. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 160 155 20 15 15 15 20 15 CO : 310 315 115 90 70 70 115 115 IL : 1,400 1,360 990 1,030 850 790 650 640 IN : 1,180 1,220 900 870 670 630 610 560 IA : 5,430 5,380 5,060 5,250 4,450 4,530 3,380 3,420 KS : 540 520 330 325 260 285 480 490 MI : 325 360 230 240 185 160 190 180 MN : 2,660 2,660 1,760 1,850 1,470 1,380 1,030 1,030 MO : 1,295 1,295 545 490 475 455 405 415 NE : 1,120 1,060 810 750 650 630 440 420 NC : 3,700 3,420 2,150 1,920 1,760 1,740 1,470 1,530 OH : 630 715 435 450 400 395 260 270 OK : 990 860 300 310 220 210 450 510 PA : 320 350 320 310 235 205 210 185 SD : 480 425 305 260 255 225 240 215 TX : 315 295 225 215 205 205 220 200 WI : 130 130 90 75 60 60 65 50 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 1,212 1,153 736 718 662 619 625 602 : US 2/ : 22,197 21,673 15,321 15,168 12,892 12,604 10,860 10,847 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 2/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2009 : : 2009 : : 2009 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2008 : :as % of: 2008 : :as % of: 2008 : :as % of : :Number : 2008 : :Number : 2008 : :Number : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 95 80 84 220 185 84 315 265 84 CO : 150 150 100 600 580 97 750 730 97 IL : 470 470 100 3,930 3,780 96 4,400 4,250 97 IN : 280 280 100 3,320 3,320 100 3,600 3,600 100 IA : 1,070 1,010 94 18,730 18,590 99 19,800 19,600 99 KS : 170 160 94 1,640 1,600 98 1,810 1,760 97 MI : 100 110 110 950 940 99 1,050 1,050 100 MN : 570 560 98 7,030 6,740 96 7,600 7,300 96 MO : 375 350 93 2,775 2,700 97 3,150 3,050 97 NE : 375 380 101 2,925 2,970 102 3,300 3,350 102 NC : 1,000 980 98 9,300 9,020 97 10,300 10,000 97 OH : 165 160 97 1,755 1,880 107 1,920 2,040 106 OK : 400 410 103 2,060 1,950 95 2,460 2,360 96 PA : 85 90 106 1,035 1,020 99 1,120 1,110 99 SD : 150 150 100 1,210 1,130 93 1,360 1,280 94 TX : 105 70 67 1,015 940 93 1,120 1,010 90 WI : 45 45 100 335 295 88 380 340 89 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 456 419 92 3,305 3,112 94 3,761 3,531 94 : US 2/ : 6,061 5,874 97 62,135 60,752 98 68,196 66,626 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 2/ May not add due to rounding. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 170 140 20 15 15 15 15 15 CO : 310 315 105 90 70 55 115 120 IL : 1,420 1,400 1,010 970 840 770 660 640 IN : 1,200 1,260 890 850 620 600 610 610 IA : 5,620 5,330 5,170 5,250 4,460 4,600 3,480 3,410 KS : 570 555 300 280 275 290 495 475 MI : 355 365 240 220 185 160 170 195 MN : 2,820 2,660 1,820 1,770 1,400 1,280 990 1,030 MO : 1,350 1,265 565 520 495 470 365 445 NE : 1,090 1,100 780 770 610 650 445 450 NC : 3,700 3,520 2,050 2,070 1,860 1,790 1,690 1,640 OH : 655 745 455 460 400 410 245 265 OK : 980 910 320 300 240 250 520 490 PA : 320 320 305 275 215 205 195 220 SD : 455 410 285 260 240 230 230 230 TX : 325 295 250 205 205 200 235 240 WI : 125 125 90 65 55 50 65 55 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 1,218 1,122 742 708 670 649 676 633 : US 2/ : 22,683 21,837 15,397 15,078 12,855 12,674 11,201 11,163 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 2/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2007-2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2008 : : 2008 : : 2008 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2007 : :as % of: 2007 : :as % of: 2007 : :as % of : :Number : 2007 : :Number : 2007 : :Number : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 85 90 106 205 190 93 290 280 97 CO : 160 150 94 700 580 83 860 730 85 IL : 480 490 102 3,870 3,860 100 4,350 4,350 100 IN : 320 280 88 3,380 3,270 97 3,700 3,550 96 IA : 1,080 1,070 99 18,320 18,830 103 19,400 19,900 103 KS : 180 165 92 1,700 1,575 93 1,880 1,740 93 MI : 100 110 110 930 920 99 1,030 1,030 100 MN : 600 580 97 7,100 6,920 97 7,700 7,500 97 MO : 375 370 99 2,775 2,780 100 3,150 3,150 100 NE : 365 380 104 2,985 2,970 99 3,350 3,350 100 NC : 1,020 980 96 9,180 8,720 95 10,200 9,700 95 OH : 160 170 106 1,670 1,770 106 1,830 1,940 106 OK : 400 400 100 1,950 2,000 103 2,350 2,400 102 PA : 105 90 86 1,065 1,030 97 1,170 1,120 96 SD : 165 155 94 1,295 1,125 87 1,460 1,280 88 TX : 105 100 95 1,055 1,020 97 1,160 1,120 97 WI : 50 40 80 390 320 82 440 360 82 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 483 441 91 3,374 3,207 95 3,857 3,648 95 : US 2/ : 6,233 6,061 97 61,944 61,087 99 68,177 67,148 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 2/ May not add due to rounding. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2007-2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 150 145 20 15 15 15 20 15 CO : 360 315 90 70 90 70 160 125 IL : 1,420 1,420 980 990 800 800 670 650 IN : 1,260 1,220 850 830 680 610 590 610 IA : 5,810 5,290 4,880 5,320 4,060 4,500 3,570 3,720 KS : 580 530 365 305 295 245 460 495 MI : 315 320 235 240 200 175 180 185 MN : 2,750 2,710 1,730 1,760 1,450 1,360 1,170 1,090 MO : 1,300 1,340 570 560 485 490 420 390 NE : 1,140 1,130 805 760 590 630 450 450 NC : 3,430 3,380 2,220 1,930 1,890 1,770 1,640 1,640 OH : 650 670 405 445 360 400 255 255 OK : 910 930 300 320 220 260 520 490 PA : 345 320 300 300 220 215 200 195 SD : 465 435 285 225 295 240 250 225 TX : 315 320 230 200 230 205 280 295 WI : 150 120 100 85 70 55 70 60 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 1,195 1,132 808 741 708 691 664 643 : US 2/ : 22,545 21,727 15,173 15,096 12,658 12,731 11,569 11,533 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 2/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2008-2010 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing 1/ : : Pig Crop 1/ 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2010 3/ : Per Litter 1/ : : 2009 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2008 : 2009 : :as % of: : : 2008 : :as % of : : :Number : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : :Number : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 44 44 32 73 9.60 9.85 422 433 103 CO : 84 75 74 99 9.05 8.60 760 645 85 IL : 240 255 245 96 9.25 9.50 2,220 2,423 109 IN : 150 140 145 104 9.00 9.30 1,350 1,302 96 IA : 510 505 480 95 9.20 9.60 4,692 4,848 103 KS : 86 81 81 100 9.10 9.10 783 737 94 MI : 52 53 56 106 9.45 9.70 491 514 105 MN : 285 285 285 100 9.25 9.75 2,636 2,779 105 MO : 190 190 185 97 9.20 9.35 1,748 1,777 102 NE : 190 185 180 97 9.50 9.75 1,805 1,804 100 NC : 550 530 520 98 9.20 9.55 5,060 5,062 100 OH : 89 88 84 95 9.15 9.40 814 827 102 OK : 180 190 190 100 9.35 8.90 1,683 1,691 100 PA : 43 40 41 103 9.50 9.75 409 390 95 SD : 88 83 78 94 9.60 9.85 845 818 97 TX : 54 46 33 72 9.00 9.65 486 444 91 WI : 26 24 23 96 8.95 8.80 233 211 91 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 210 210 198 94 9.29 9.37 1,950 1,968 101 : US 5/ : 3,071 3,024 2,930 97 9.24 9.48 28,387 28,673 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 5/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 1/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2009 : per Litter : : 2009 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2008 : :as % of : : : 2008 : :as % of : : Number : 2008 : 2008 : 2009 : : Number : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 45 46 102 9.80 9.25 441 426 97 CO : 81 72 89 8.85 9.00 717 648 90 IL : 230 245 107 9.35 9.50 2,151 2,328 108 IN : 145 135 93 9.10 9.40 1,320 1,269 96 IA : 520 485 93 9.35 9.65 4,862 4,680 96 KS : 80 80 100 9.10 9.40 728 752 103 MI : 53 53 100 9.70 9.65 514 511 99 MN : 285 280 98 9.50 9.95 2,708 2,786 103 MO : 190 185 97 9.40 9.80 1,786 1,813 102 NE : 185 185 100 9.60 9.90 1,776 1,832 103 NC : 550 530 96 9.35 9.70 5,143 5,141 100 OH : 89 86 97 9.40 9.50 837 817 98 OK : 185 180 97 9.45 9.00 1,748 1,620 93 PA : 41 42 102 9.45 9.75 387 410 106 SD : 85 86 101 9.70 10.10 825 869 105 TX : 51 47 92 8.60 9.70 439 456 104 WI : 26 23 88 9.10 9.10 237 209 88 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 211 211 100 9.54 9.41 2,011 1,980 98 : US 3/ : 3,052 2,971 97 9.38 9.61 28,630 28,547 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been so 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 3/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 1/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2009 : per Litter : : 2009 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2008 : :as % of : : : 2008 : :as % of : : Number : 2008 : 2008 : 2009 : : Number : 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 50 44 88 9.70 9.85 485 433 89 CO : 76 72 95 8.90 9.50 676 684 101 IL : 240 245 102 9.45 9.50 2,268 2,328 103 IN : 145 140 97 9.25 9.50 1,341 1,330 99 IA : 510 475 93 9.40 9.75 4,794 4,631 97 KS : 81 80 99 9.15 9.30 741 744 100 MI : 53 57 108 9.25 9.60 490 547 112 MN : 285 275 96 9.80 10.00 2,793 2,750 98 MO : 195 185 95 9.70 10.00 1,892 1,850 98 NE : 185 185 100 9.70 10.05 1,795 1,859 104 NC : 560 530 95 9.65 9.70 5,404 5,141 95 OH : 89 86 97 9.50 9.60 846 826 98 OK : 195 190 97 9.35 9.50 1,823 1,805 99 PA : 38 43 113 9.60 10.00 365 430 118 SD : 82 83 101 9.80 10.00 804 830 103 TX : 52 46 88 8.55 9.00 445 414 93 WI : 24 23 96 9.10 9.15 218 210 96 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 215 207 96 9.58 9.49 2,060 1,960 95 : US 3/ : 3,075 2,966 96 9.51 9.70 29,240 28,772 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had sold. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 3/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2007-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 1/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2009 2/ : Per Litter : : 2008 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2007 : 2008 : :as % of: : : 2007 : :as % of : : :Number : 2008 : 2007 : 2008 : :Number : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 44 46 32 70 9.80 9.80 431 451 105 CO : 83 71 73 103 9.05 8.80 751 625 83 IL : 245 255 245 96 9.25 9.40 2,266 2,397 106 IN : 155 140 140 100 9.00 9.20 1,395 1,288 92 IA : 540 510 480 94 9.30 9.50 5,022 4,845 96 KS : 89 76 81 107 9.15 9.40 814 714 88 MI : 53 53 56 106 9.45 9.65 501 511 102 MN : 295 285 285 100 9.30 9.85 2,744 2,807 102 MO : 195 200 185 93 9.30 9.65 1,814 1,930 106 NE : 195 185 180 97 9.55 9.80 1,862 1,813 97 NC : 570 520 530 102 9.20 9.55 5,244 4,966 95 OH : 86 89 84 94 9.45 9.00 813 801 99 OK : 190 185 185 100 9.20 9.20 1,748 1,702 97 PA : 51 40 42 105 9.10 9.35 464 374 81 SD : 90 84 78 93 9.55 9.80 860 823 96 TX : 58 50 35 70 9.35 9.55 542 478 88 WI : 26 23 22 96 8.90 8.95 231 206 89 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 215 216 202 94 9.37 9.44 2,011 2,039 101 : US 4/ : 3,180 3,028 2,935 97 9.28 9.50 29,513 28,770 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, o had been sold. 2/ Intentions. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States. 4/ May not add due to rounding. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2008-2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing 1/ : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop 1/ Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 : 2008 : 2009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 2/ : 1,017 1,001 9.22 9.50 9,381 9,512 Jan : 1,028 1,018 9.24 9.45 9,501 9,619 Feb : 1,026 1,005 9.26 9.49 9,505 9,542 Mar : 1,049 997 9.35 9.56 9,811 9,530 Apr : 998 986 9.38 9.61 9,370 9,474 May : 1,004 988 9.41 9.66 9,449 9,543 Jun : 1,046 998 9.48 9.71 9,917 9,693 Jul : 1,020 988 9.52 9.70 9,712 9,589 Aug : 1,009 980 9.53 9.69 9,611 9,490 Sep : 1,047 9.50 9,950 Oct : 1,005 9.48 9,528 Nov : 976 9.52 9,292 : Total : 12,225 9.41 115,027 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. Reliability of September 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 9,200 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of September 2009, data were collected from about 7,700 operations, 84 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of September 1, 2009. Estimation Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.6 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 66.6 million head by more than 1.6 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 2.7 percent. Reliability of September 1 Hog Estimates -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.6 2.7 1,799 692 67 3,067 4 16 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 2.0 3.4 978 375 0 1,644 4 15 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : Quarter : 2.4 4.1 120 46 3 216 3 17 : Following : Quarter : 2.7 4.6 135 56 3 220 5 15 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch..............................(202) 720-3570 Livestock Section Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section..............................(202) 690-2424 Jim Collom - Dairy Products................................(202) 690-3236 Joe Gaynor - Dairy Products Prices.........................(202) 690-2168 Jason Hardegree - Cattle, Cattle on Feed...................(202) 720-3040 Sherry Bertramsen - Livestock Slaughter....................(515) 284-4340 Everett Olbert - Sheep and Goats...........................(202) 720-4751 Mike Miller - Milk Production and Milk Cows................(202) 720-3278 Nick Streff - Hogs and Pigs................................(202) 720-3106 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge. For free access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.nass.usda.gov. 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