Mt An 4 (9-04) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released September 24, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Quarterly Hogs and Pigs call Dan Lofthus at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory Up 1 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on September 1, 2004 was 61.4 million head. This was 1 percent above both September 1, 2003, and June 1, 2004. Breeding inventory, at 5.98 million head, was up 1 percent from September 1, 2003, and also up 1 percent from last quarter. Market hog inventory, at 55.4 million head, was 1 percent above last year and 2 percent above last quarter. The June-August 2004 U.S. pig crop, at 26.0 million head, was up 1 percent from both 2003 and 2002. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.89 million head, 1 percent below last year. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 49 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 9.00 for the June-August 2004 period, compared to 8.90 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.50 for operations with 1-99 hogs to 9.10 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.86 million sows farrow during the September-November 2004 quarter, 1 percent above the actual farrows during the same period in both 2003 and 2002. Intended farrowings for December 2004-February 2005, at 2.85 million sows, are up 1 percent from the same period in 2004, and up 3 percent from the same period in 2003. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 39 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, up from 35 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for September 2003 through June 2004 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review, small adjustments of less than one-half of one percent were made to September 2003 inventory components, December 2003 inventory components, September-November 2003 pig crop, and March 2004 inventory components. Adjustments of less than one percent were made to the December 2003-February 2004 pig crop and to the June 2004 inventory. This report was approved on September 24, 2004. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Rodney J. Brown Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Contents Page Quarterly U.S. Inventory by Class and Weight Group, 2002-20041 Quarterly U.S. Sows Farrowed, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, 2002-20052 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory by State and U.S., 2002-2004 March 1.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 June 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 September 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 December 1 .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, Pig Crop by State and U.S., 2002-2004 December-February.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 March-May.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 June-August.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 September-November. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Monthly U.S. Farrowings, December-November 2003-2004. . . 17 Reliability Statement. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Index. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 2002-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2004 as % of Item : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 :------------- : : : : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,256 58,183 59,525 100 102 Kept for Breeding : 6,230 6,017 5,942 95 99 Market : 53,026 52,166 53,582 101 103 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,560 19,086 19,824 101 104 60-119 Pounds : 12,938 12,649 12,975 100 103 120-179 Pounds : 11,148 10,915 11,206 101 103 180 Pounds and Over : 9,380 9,516 9,579 102 101 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,391 59,602 60,503 100 102 Kept for Breeding : 6,208 6,006 5,928 95 99 Market : 54,183 53,596 54,574 101 102 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,226 20,433 20,333 101 100 60-119 Pounds : 13,539 12,972 13,251 98 102 120-179 Pounds : 10,906 10,828 11,277 103 104 180 Pounds and Over : 9,512 9,363 9,715 102 104 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,753 60,859 61,384 101 101 Kept for Breeding : 6,051 5,918 5,983 99 101 Market : 54,702 54,941 55,400 101 101 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,038 20,368 20,540 103 101 60-119 Pounds : 13,632 13,729 13,644 100 99 120-179 Pounds : 11,113 11,334 11,236 101 99 180 Pounds and Over : 9,919 9,510 9,982 101 105 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 59,554 60,449 Kept for Breeding : 6,058 5,990 Market : 53,496 54,458 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,485 19,779 60-119 Pounds : 13,033 13,259 120-179 Pounds : 10,875 11,110 180 Pounds and Over : 10,103 10,312 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States, 2002-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : 2004 as % of : 2005 Item : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 :---------------:as % of : : : : : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ ----- Percent ----- : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ 3/ : 2,835 2,769 2,827 2,855 100 102 101 Mar-May : 2,941 2,885 2,857 97 99 Dec-May 2/ : 5,776 5,655 5,684 98 101 : Jun-Aug : 2,883 2,906 2,888 100 99 Sep-Nov 4/ : 2,833 2,841 2,865 101 101 Jun-Nov 5/ : 5,716 5,746 5,753 101 100 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 24,857 24,399 25,021 101 103 Mar-May : 26,001 25,627 25,520 98 100 Dec-May 2/ : 50,858 50,027 50,540 99 101 : Jun-Aug : 25,725 25,869 26,005 101 101 Sep-Nov : 25,094 25,355 Jun-Nov : 50,820 51,223 : : ------------- Number ------------- ----- Percent ----- Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 8.77 8.81 8.85 101 100 Mar-May : 8.84 8.88 8.93 101 101 Dec-May 2/ : 8.81 8.85 8.89 101 101 : Jun-Aug : 8.92 8.90 9.00 101 101 Sep-Nov : 8.86 8.93 Jun-Nov : 8.89 8.91 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 2005. 4/ Intentions for 2004. 5/ Actual farrowings for June-August plus intentions for September-November. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2003 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.60 8.00 8.20 8.70 8.80 8.90 Mar-May : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.70 8.70 9.00 Jun-Aug : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.60 8.70 9.00 Sep-Nov : 7.40 7.80 8.30 8.60 8.70 9.10 : 2004 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.60 7.90 8.20 8.60 8.70 9.00 Mar-May : 7.70 7.90 8.30 8.70 8.90 9.00 Jun-Aug : 7.50 7.80 8.30 8.80 8.90 9.10 Sep-Nov : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : : 2004 : : 2004 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 75 85 113 200 230 115 275 315 115 CO : 130 140 108 590 550 93 720 690 96 IL : 420 410 98 3,530 3,440 97 3,950 3,850 97 IN : 320 300 94 2,780 2,850 103 3,100 3,150 102 IA : 1,060 1,040 98 13,940 14,460 104 15,000 15,500 103 KS : 160 170 106 1,310 1,550 118 1,470 1,720 117 MI : 100 100 100 770 830 108 870 930 107 MN : 600 600 100 5,500 5,900 107 6,100 6,500 107 MO : 360 330 92 2,590 2,570 99 2,950 2,900 98 NE : 380 360 95 2,520 2,490 99 2,900 2,850 98 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,600 8,900 103 9,600 9,900 103 OH : 160 160 100 1,280 1,360 106 1,440 1,520 106 OK : 340 350 103 2,030 2,000 99 2,370 2,350 99 PA : 125 120 96 945 910 96 1,070 1,030 96 SD : 145 145 100 1,155 1,105 96 1,300 1,250 96 TX : 105 110 105 785 810 103 890 920 103 WI : 60 55 92 440 395 90 500 450 90 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 477 467 98 3,201 3,232 101 3,678 3,700 101 : US : 6,017 5,942 99 52,166 53,582 103 58,183 59,525 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 130 135 20 30 20 30 30 35 CO : 305 315 85 60 85 65 115 110 IL : 1,270 1,260 860 820 780 750 620 610 IN : 1,040 1,060 660 660 560 620 520 510 IA : 4,290 4,510 3,810 4,000 3,140 3,250 2,700 2,700 KS : 430 530 250 285 250 310 380 425 MI : 270 300 190 205 165 175 145 150 MN : 2,110 2,250 1,320 1,410 1,190 1,280 880 960 MO : 1,230 1,270 570 510 480 470 310 320 NE : 1,000 980 640 640 485 470 395 400 NC : 3,350 3,500 2,000 2,200 1,800 1,800 1,450 1,400 OH : 525 555 305 315 280 290 170 200 OK : 880 940 350 310 290 250 510 500 PA : 340 300 245 240 175 210 185 160 SD : 380 385 295 245 270 265 210 210 TX : 220 265 210 180 155 195 200 170 WI : 165 155 100 90 90 80 85 70 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,151 1,114 739 775 700 696 611 649 : US : 19,086 19,824 12,649 12,975 10,915 11,206 9,516 9,579 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : : 2004 : : 2004 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 75 85 113 195 250 128 270 335 124 CO : 125 140 112 605 610 101 730 750 103 IL : 420 420 100 3,630 3,530 97 4,050 3,950 98 IN : 310 290 94 2,740 2,810 103 3,050 3,100 102 IA : 1,070 1,060 99 14,730 14,940 101 15,800 16,000 101 KS : 165 165 100 1,345 1,565 116 1,510 1,730 115 MI : 100 95 95 830 815 98 930 910 98 MN : 600 600 100 5,700 6,000 105 6,300 6,600 105 MO : 340 320 94 2,560 2,580 101 2,900 2,900 100 NE : 380 360 95 2,570 2,490 97 2,950 2,850 97 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,800 9,200 105 9,800 10,200 104 OH : 160 155 97 1,300 1,315 101 1,460 1,470 101 OK : 360 350 97 1,940 2,100 108 2,300 2,450 107 PA : 120 110 92 940 900 96 1,060 1,010 95 SD : 145 145 100 1,185 1,085 92 1,330 1,230 92 TX : 110 110 100 800 780 98 910 890 98 WI : 60 50 83 420 390 93 480 440 92 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 466 473 102 3,306 3,214 97 3,772 3,688 98 : US : 6,006 5,928 99 53,596 54,574 102 59,602 60,503 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 120 145 25 40 25 30 25 35 CO : 315 335 90 95 85 80 115 100 IL : 1,330 1,350 890 850 780 750 630 580 IN : 990 1,020 650 630 570 600 530 560 IA : 4,890 4,540 3,950 4,200 3,190 3,350 2,700 2,850 KS : 445 540 285 320 255 275 360 430 MI : 310 310 210 190 165 170 145 145 MN : 2,300 2,360 1,390 1,420 1,180 1,280 830 940 MO : 1,250 1,280 530 520 470 480 310 300 NE : 1,020 980 680 660 495 460 375 390 NC : 3,750 3,750 2,100 2,150 1,650 1,800 1,300 1,500 OH : 535 535 315 310 275 290 175 180 OK : 860 980 280 330 280 310 520 480 PA : 350 310 220 230 190 190 180 170 SD : 380 370 305 290 280 250 220 175 TX : 275 255 150 165 135 185 240 175 WI : 170 150 90 85 85 80 75 75 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,143 1,123 812 766 718 697 633 630 : US : 20,433 20,333 12,972 13,251 10,828 11,277 9,363 9,715 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : : 2004 : : 2004 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of: 2003 : :as % of : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 : :Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 80 80 100 200 240 120 280 320 114 CO : 130 140 108 640 570 89 770 710 92 IL : 420 410 98 3,530 3,590 102 3,950 4,000 101 IN : 300 300 100 2,750 2,950 107 3,050 3,250 107 IA : 1,030 1,060 103 15,070 15,240 101 16,100 16,300 101 KS : 165 160 97 1,505 1,630 108 1,670 1,790 107 MI : 100 100 100 820 840 102 920 940 102 MN : 600 590 98 5,900 6,010 102 6,500 6,600 102 MO : 330 330 100 2,570 2,570 100 2,900 2,900 100 NE : 375 360 96 2,675 2,490 93 3,050 2,850 93 NC : 1,000 1,050 105 9,200 9,250 101 10,200 10,300 101 OH : 155 160 103 1,325 1,340 101 1,480 1,500 101 OK : 360 360 100 2,070 2,100 101 2,430 2,460 101 PA : 120 105 88 1,010 955 95 1,130 1,060 94 SD : 135 140 104 1,155 1,070 93 1,290 1,210 94 TX : 95 110 116 825 920 112 920 1,030 112 WI : 60 50 83 440 390 89 500 440 88 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 463 478 103 3,256 3,245 100 3,719 3,724 100 : US : 5,918 5,983 101 54,941 55,400 101 60,859 61,384 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 110 140 35 35 30 35 25 30 CO : 335 310 95 85 90 75 120 100 IL : 1,310 1,380 870 840 770 770 580 600 IN : 1,030 1,080 690 710 550 600 480 560 IA : 4,760 4,640 4,100 4,200 3,400 3,350 2,810 3,050 KS : 500 550 350 340 235 285 420 455 MI : 300 310 210 210 165 170 145 150 MN : 2,300 2,420 1,510 1,440 1,260 1,240 830 910 MO : 1,220 1,260 550 510 480 450 320 350 NE : 1,060 970 700 660 510 470 405 390 NC : 3,650 3,650 2,350 2,350 1,850 1,850 1,350 1,400 OH : 545 560 345 330 280 270 155 180 OK : 950 1,000 300 370 290 250 530 480 PA : 360 290 240 245 200 195 210 225 SD : 380 370 310 280 275 240 190 180 TX : 290 340 160 185 150 210 225 185 WI : 175 150 100 90 85 80 80 70 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,093 1,120 814 764 714 696 635 667 : US : 20,368 20,540 13,729 13,644 11,334 11,236 9,510 9,982 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : : 2003 : : 2003 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of: 2002 : :as % of : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 80 85 106 225 225 100 305 310 102 CO : 160 135 84 630 615 98 790 750 95 IL : 430 410 95 3,720 3,590 97 4,150 4,000 96 IN : 330 300 91 2,920 2,800 96 3,250 3,100 95 IA : 1,100 1,060 96 14,400 14,840 103 15,500 15,900 103 KS : 160 160 100 1,370 1,490 109 1,530 1,650 108 MI : 100 110 110 770 840 109 870 950 109 MN : 580 600 103 5,520 5,900 107 6,100 6,500 107 MO : 360 340 94 2,590 2,610 101 2,950 2,950 100 NE : 365 370 101 2,635 2,530 96 3,000 2,900 97 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,700 9,000 103 9,700 10,000 103 OH : 155 160 103 1,285 1,360 106 1,440 1,520 106 OK : 330 360 109 1,910 2,020 106 2,240 2,380 106 PA : 130 120 92 1,000 990 99 1,130 1,110 98 SD : 140 145 104 1,190 1,135 95 1,330 1,280 96 TX : 105 105 100 825 825 100 930 930 100 WI : 60 55 92 460 425 92 520 480 92 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 473 475 100 3,346 3,263 98 3,819 3,739 98 : US : 6,058 5,990 99 53,496 54,458 102 59,554 60,449 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 115 120 40 30 35 30 35 45 CO : 350 340 90 70 80 70 110 135 IL : 1,320 1,280 920 860 800 770 680 680 IN : 1,040 990 710 670 620 580 550 560 IA : 4,350 4,510 3,900 4,130 3,200 3,200 2,950 3,000 KS : 440 510 320 285 290 280 320 415 MI : 285 300 180 205 155 175 150 160 MN : 2,110 2,210 1,350 1,420 1,130 1,250 930 1,020 MO : 1,190 1,280 530 530 480 460 390 340 NE : 1,040 960 690 650 500 490 405 430 NC : 3,450 3,550 2,050 2,200 1,700 1,750 1,500 1,500 OH : 525 540 310 330 275 280 175 210 OK : 910 920 260 320 160 320 580 460 PA : 355 350 250 235 200 195 195 210 SD : 370 385 310 250 280 280 230 220 TX : 240 245 240 195 180 200 165 185 WI : 165 165 110 95 95 85 90 80 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,230 1,124 773 784 695 695 648 662 : US : 19,485 19,779 13,033 13,259 10,875 11,110 10,103 10,312 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 2003-2005 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2005 4/ : Per Litter : : 2004 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2003 : 2004 : :as % of: : : 2003 : :as % of : : :Number : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : :Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 41 38 43 113 9.70 9.60 398 365 92 CO : 75 73 70 96 8.35 8.30 626 606 97 IL : 200 205 205 100 8.85 8.85 1,770 1,814 102 IN : 150 145 140 97 8.85 8.85 1,328 1,283 97 IA : 410 400 450 113 8.50 8.70 3,485 3,480 100 KS : 76 84 82 98 8.50 8.70 646 731 113 MI : 43 45 46 102 8.80 8.90 378 401 106 MN : 265 285 280 98 8.80 9.05 2,332 2,579 111 MO : 170 170 160 94 8.85 9.00 1,505 1,530 102 NE : 180 175 170 97 8.75 8.90 1,575 1,558 99 NC : 530 550 550 100 9.00 8.95 4,770 4,923 103 OH : 73 74 74 100 8.90 8.80 650 651 100 OK : 170 185 180 97 8.80 8.60 1,496 1,591 106 PA : 49 53 50 94 9.30 8.50 456 451 99 SD : 64 70 71 101 9.05 9.20 579 644 111 TX : 43 46 51 111 8.75 8.40 376 386 103 WI : 29 24 22 92 8.60 8.80 249 211 85 : Oth : Sts 5/ : 201 205 211 103 8.84 8.86 1,780 1,817 102 : US : 2,769 2,827 2,855 101 8.81 8.85 24,399 25,021 103 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ May not add due to rounding. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 4/ Intentions. 5/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2004 : per Litter : : 2004 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2003 : :as % of : : : 2003 : :as % of : : Number : 2003 : 2003 : 2004 : : Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 36 41 114 9.70 9.70 349 398 114 CO : 67 59 88 8.50 8.00 570 472 83 IL : 215 215 100 8.90 8.90 1,914 1,914 100 IN : 145 135 93 8.95 8.90 1,298 1,202 93 IA : 470 430 91 8.70 8.75 4,089 3,763 92 KS : 83 84 101 8.50 8.80 706 739 105 MI : 46 44 96 9.00 9.10 414 400 97 MN : 280 290 104 8.95 8.95 2,506 2,596 104 MO : 170 170 100 8.70 9.00 1,479 1,530 103 NE : 185 175 95 8.90 8.90 1,647 1,558 95 NC : 540 550 102 9.00 9.10 4,860 5,005 103 OH : 73 73 100 9.00 8.90 657 650 99 OK : 175 190 109 8.90 8.80 1,558 1,672 107 PA : 49 50 102 9.30 8.75 456 438 96 SD : 68 70 103 9.10 9.40 619 658 106 TX : 49 47 96 9.00 8.60 441 404 92 WI : 28 26 93 8.75 8.75 245 228 93 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 206 208 101 8.82 9.10 1,819 1,893 104 : US : 2,885 2,857 99 8.88 8.93 25,627 25,520 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2004 : per Litter : : 2004 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 2003 : :as % of : : : 2003 : :as % of : : Number : 2003 : 2003 : 2004 : : Number : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 37 43 116 9.60 9.40 355 404 114 CO : 68 70 103 8.70 8.40 592 588 99 IL : 215 205 95 8.85 8.90 1,903 1,825 96 IN : 150 140 93 8.95 9.00 1,343 1,260 94 IA : 450 430 96 8.70 8.90 3,915 3,827 98 KS : 80 87 109 8.75 8.80 700 766 109 MI : 47 47 100 9.00 9.20 423 432 102 MN : 275 285 104 8.90 9.05 2,448 2,579 105 MO : 170 170 100 8.95 9.00 1,522 1,530 101 NE : 185 175 95 8.80 8.90 1,628 1,558 96 NC : 560 560 100 9.00 9.15 5,040 5,124 102 OH : 76 74 97 8.90 8.90 676 659 97 OK : 185 195 105 9.00 9.00 1,665 1,755 105 PA : 51 46 90 9.40 9.20 479 423 88 SD : 70 68 97 9.30 9.30 651 632 97 TX : 49 56 114 8.70 9.05 426 507 119 WI : 29 24 83 8.60 8.85 249 212 85 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 209 213 102 8.88 9.03 1,854 1,924 104 : US : 2,906 2,888 99 8.90 9.00 25,869 26,005 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 2002-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2004 3/ : per Litter : : 2003 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 2002 : 2003 : :as % of: : : 2002 : :as % of : : :Number : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : :Number : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 44 35 43 123 9.80 9.50 431 333 77 CO : 75 70 70 100 8.60 8.40 645 588 91 IL : 210 205 205 100 8.85 8.85 1,859 1,814 98 IN : 145 145 140 97 8.75 8.85 1,269 1,283 101 IA : 440 430 450 105 8.50 8.80 3,740 3,784 101 KS : 79 81 83 102 8.70 8.70 687 705 103 MI : 42 51 47 92 9.10 8.80 382 449 118 MN : 275 280 280 100 8.90 9.00 2,448 2,520 103 MO : 170 175 160 91 8.95 9.10 1,522 1,593 105 NE : 180 180 170 94 9.05 9.00 1,629 1,620 99 NC : 530 540 550 102 9.00 9.10 4,770 4,914 103 OH : 73 74 74 100 8.85 8.80 646 651 101 OK : 165 185 185 100 9.10 8.70 1,502 1,610 107 PA : 53 51 48 94 9.00 9.50 477 485 102 SD : 61 70 70 100 9.00 9.10 549 637 116 TX : 46 33 52 158 8.85 8.20 407 271 67 WI : 28 26 22 85 8.70 8.70 244 226 93 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 217 210 216 103 8.71 8.93 1,887 1,872 99 : US : 2,833 2,841 2,865 101 8.86 8.93 25,094 25,355 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November 2003-2004 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head -- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 907 931 8.75 8.84 7,940 8,231 Jan : 930 956 8.82 8.83 8,202 8,442 Feb : 932 940 8.86 8.88 8,257 8,348 Mar : 946 953 8.85 8.92 8,372 8,505 Apr : 966 953 8.88 8.94 8,581 8,518 May : 973 951 8.91 8.93 8,674 8,497 Jun : 961 968 8.91 8.99 8,567 8,703 Jul : 974 966 8.90 9.00 8,670 8,691 Aug : 971 954 8.89 9.03 8,632 8,611 Sep : 962 8.91 8,571 Oct : 949 8.93 8,478 Nov : 930 8.93 8,305 : Total : 11,401 8.88 101,250 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. Reliability of September 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 11,700 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. Data were collected from about 9,650 operations, 83 percent of the total sample, during the first-half of September by mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of September 1. Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each State office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 61.4 million head by more than 1.1 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.9 percent. Reliability of September 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.1 1.9 1,166 572 38 1,236 7 13 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 1.6 2.8 728 301 1 926 9 11 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : Quarter : 1.8 3.0 86 36 5 158 10 10 : Following : Quarter : 2.0 3.5 100 45 2 146 11 9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Index Page Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, United States2 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February. . . . 13 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August. . . . . . . 15 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May. . . . . . . . 14 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November . . . 16 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1 . . . . . . . 11 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1 . . . . . . . . . .7 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1. . . . . . . . . .5 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1. . . . . . . .9 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1 . . . . . . . . 12 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1 . . . . . . . . . . .8 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1. . . . . . . . . . .6 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1. . . . . . . . 10 Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November. . . . . . . . . . . 17 Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States . . . .2 Reliability of Hogs and Pigs Estimates . . . . . . . . . . 18 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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