Mt An 2-1 (6-06) Cattle On Feed National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released June 23, 2006, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Cattle on Feed" call Mike Miller at (202) 720-3040, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Cattle on Feed Up 4 Percent Cattle and calves on feed for slaughter market in the United States for feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head totaled 11.2 million head on June 1, 2006. The inventory was 4 percent above June 1, 2005 and 5 percent above June 1, 2004. This is the second highest June 1 inventory since the series began in 1996. Placements in feedlots during May totaled 1.91 million, 14 percent below 2005 and 19 percent below 2004. Net placements were 1.80 million. During May, placements of cattle and calves weighing less than 600 pounds were 440,000, 600-699 pounds were 370,000, 700-799 pounds were 503,000, and 800 pounds and greater were 600,000. Marketings of fed cattle during May totaled 2.17 million, 9 percent above 2005 and 7 percent above 2004. Other disappearance totaled 115,000 during May, 20 percent above 2005 and 46 percent above 2004. Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed, Placements, Marketings, and Other Disappearance, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots, United States, June 1, 2004-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2006 as % of Item :-------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Head ------ Percent : On Feed May 1 1/ : 10,375 10,641 *11,559 111 109 Placed on Feed During May : 2,370 2,223 1,913 81 86 Fed Cattle Marketed During May : 2,026 1,997 2,170 107 109 Other Disappearance During May 2/ : 79 96 115 146 120 On Feed Jun 1 1/ : 10,640 10,771 11,187 105 104 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ Cattle and calves on feed are animals for slaughter market being fed a ration of grain or other concentrates and are expected to produce a carcass that will grade select or better. 2/ Includes death loss, movement from feedlots to pasture, and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed, Placements, Marketings, and Other Disappearance, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots, United States, May 1, 2004-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2006 as % of Item :-------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Head ------ Percent : On Feed Apr 1 1/ : 10,763 10,873 11,812 110 109 Placed on Feed During Apr : 1,600 1,660 1,629 102 98 Fed Cattle Marketed During Apr : 1,891 1,801 *1,795 95 100 Other Disappearance During Apr 2/ : 97 91 87 90 96 On Feed May 1 1/ : 10,375 10,641 *11,559 111 109 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ Cattle and calves on feed are animals for slaughter market being fed a ration of grain or other concentrates and are expected to produce a carcass that will grade select or better. 2/ Includes death loss, movement from feedlots to pasture, and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots, by Month, State, and United States 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Jun 1, 2006 : : :------------------------------------------ State : Jun 1, 2005 : May 1, 2006 : : as % of : as % of : : : Number : 2005 : May -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ ---- Percent ---- : AZ : 331 *345 341 103 99 CA : 515 530 535 104 101 CO : 970 1,060 1,030 106 97 ID : 245 245 230 94 94 IA : 435 495 470 108 95 KS : 2,280 2,530 2,400 105 95 NE : 2,050 2,320 2,120 103 91 NM : 127 132 135 106 102 OK : 325 340 345 106 101 SD : 186 200 195 105 98 TX : 2,890 2,910 2,960 102 102 WA : 137 152 141 103 93 : Oth Sts: 280 300 285 102 95 : US : 10,771 *11,559 11,187 104 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ Cattle and calves on feed are animals for slaughter market being fed a ration of grain or other concentrates and are expected to produce a carcass that will grade select or better. Cattle on Feed: Number Placed on Feed, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots, by Month, State, and United States 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : During May 2006 : During : During :------------------------------------------ State : May 2005 : Apr 2006 : : as % of : as % of : : : Number : 2005 : Apr -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ----------- ---- Percent ---- : AZ : 32 27 29 91 107 CA : 82 60 80 98 133 CO : 165 140 175 106 125 ID : 61 31 37 61 119 IA : 55 64 51 93 80 KS : 510 375 415 81 111 NE : 360 320 340 94 106 NM : 30 18 25 83 139 OK : 86 48 76 88 158 SD : 28 28 33 118 118 TX : 750 455 590 79 130 WA : 26 23 20 77 87 : Oth Sts: 38 40 42 111 105 : US : 2,223 1,629 1,913 86 117 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cattle on Feed: Number Placed on Feed by Weight Group, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots, by Month, State, and United States, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : During May :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Under 600 : 600-699 : 700-799 : 800 Plus : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : CO : 20 35 30 40 60 50 55 50 165 175 KS : 60 65 95 85 160 115 195 150 510 415 NE : 45 65 45 50 110 80 160 145 360 340 TX : 165 155 160 135 240 170 185 130 750 590 : Oth Sts : 145 120 60 60 93 88 140 125 438 393 : US : 435 440 390 370 663 503 735 600 2,223 1,913 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : During April :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under 600 : 600-699 : 700-799 : 800 Plus : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : CO : 20 40 20 25 35 35 45 40 120 140 KS : 50 60 50 65 120 115 155 135 375 375 NE : 45 60 40 45 105 85 130 130 320 320 TX : 105 120 70 95 170 135 155 105 500 455 : Oth Sts : 120 105 45 40 70 74 110 120 345 339 : US : 340 385 225 270 500 444 595 530 1,660 1,629 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cattle on Feed: Number Marketed, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots, by Month, State, and United States 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : During May 2006 : During : During :------------------------------------------ State : May 2005 : Apr 2006 : : as % of : as % of : : : Number : 2005 : Apr -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ----------- ---- Percent ---- : AZ : 29 *24 27 93 113 CA : 62 60 70 113 117 CO : 150 140 185 123 132 ID : 54 34 47 87 138 IA : 73 66 74 101 112 KS : 465 410 520 112 127 NE : 480 390 520 108 133 NM : 16 24 21 131 88 OK : 64 66 70 109 106 SD : 38 35 34 89 97 TX : 480 470 520 108 111 WA : 34 22 30 88 136 : Oth Sts: 52 54 52 100 96 : US : 1,997 *1,795 2,170 109 121 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. Cattle on Feed: Other Disappearance, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots, by Month, State, and United States 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : During May 2006 : During : During :------------------------------------------ State : May 2005 : Apr 2006 : : as % of : as % of : : : Number : 2005 : Apr -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- 1,000 Head ---------- ---- Percent ---- : AZ : 2 9 6 300 67 CA : 5 5 5 100 100 CO : 15 10 20 133 200 ID : 2 2 5 250 250 IA : 2 3 2 100 67 KS : 25 25 25 100 100 NE : 20 10 20 100 200 NM : 1 1 1 100 100 OK : 2 2 1 50 50 SD : 4 3 4 100 133 TX : 10 15 20 200 133 WA : 2 1 1 50 100 : Oth Sts: 6 1 5 83 500 : US : 96 87 115 120 132 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes death loss, movement from feedlots to pasture, and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. Terms and Definitions of Cattle on Feed Estimates Cattle on feed are animals being fed a ration of grain, silage, hay and/or protein supplement for slaughter market that are expected to produce a carcass that will grade select or better. It excludes cattle being "backgrounded only" for later sale as feeders or later placement in another feedlot. Placements are cattle put into a feedlot, fed a ration which will produce a carcass that will grade select or better, and are intended for the slaughter market. Marketings are cattle shipped out of feedlots to a slaughter market. Other disappearance includes death loss, movement from feedlots to pasture, and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. Reliability of Cattle on Feed Estimates Survey Procedures: During January and July all known feedlots in the U.S. with capacity of 1,000 or more head are surveyed to provide data for cattle on feed estimates. During the other months, all known feedlots from 17 States are surveyed. The 17 States account for 98 percent of the cattle on feed in feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head. Estimating Procedures: These cattle on feed estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each State office. Regional and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from the previous month when setting the current estimates. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve month to month relationships. Estimates for the previous month are subject to revision in all States each month when current estimates are made. In February, all monthly estimates for the previous year, and the number of feedlots and annual marketings from two years ago are reviewed and subject to revisions. The reviews are primarily based on slaughter data, state check-off or brand data, and any other data that may have been received after the original estimate was made. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date and estimates become final. Reliability: Since all 1000+ capacity cattle on feed operators in every State are not included in the monthly survey, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and latest estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for cattle on feed inventory estimates over the past 10 years is .2 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 11.2 million head by more than .2 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed .4 percent. The following table also shows a 10 year record of the range of differences between first and latest estimates for selected items. Using estimates of number on feed as an example, changes between the first estimate and the latest estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 15,000 head, ranging from 0 to 50,000 head. During this period the initial estimate has been below the final estimate 9 times, and above the final estimate 0 times. This does not imply that the initial estimate is likely to understate or overstate final inventory. Reliability of U.S. June 1 Cattle on Feed Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 90% : Difference Between : : : Confidence : First and Final : Number of : Root : Level : Estimates 1/ : Years Item : Mean :--------------------------------------------------------- : Square : : : : : : First : First : Error :Percent: (000) :Average:Smallest:Largest: Above : Below : : : Head : : : : Final : Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent -------- 1,000 Head -------- Number : Number on : Feed : 0.2 0.4 40.5 15 0 50 0 9 : Placements : 0.8 1.5 27.9 11 0 40 1 8 : Marketings : 0.6 1.1 23.0 7 0 33 3 4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on data for the past 10 years. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Dan Kerestes, Chief Livestock Branch(202) 720-3570 William Weaver, Head, Livestock Section (202) 720-3570 Bruce Boess - Hogs and Pigs(202) 720-3106 Shawn Clark - Dairy Products(202) 690-3236 Scott Hollis - Sheep & Lambs, Goats(202) 720-4751 Mike Miller - Cattle, Cattle on Feed(202) 720-3040 Katy Paulsen - Livestock Slaughter(515) 284-4340 Ann Summa - Milk Production and Milk Cows(202) 720-3278 Charmaine Wilson - Dairy Products Prices(202) 690-2168 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.nass.usda.gov. 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