Crop Production ISSN: 1936-3737 Released February 10, 2026, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Sugarcane Production Up 1 Percent from January Forecast Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 35.9 million tons, up 1 percent from last month and up 4 percent from last season. Producers intend to harvest 949,000 acres for sugar and seed during the 2025 crop year, up 1 percent from last month and up 3 percent from last season. Yields for sugar and seed are expected to average 37.8 tons per acre, up 0.3 ton from the last month and up 0.4 ton from last season. Record high production for sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast in Florida and Louisiana. This report was approved on February 10, 2026. Deputy Secretary of Agriculture Stephen Alexander Vaden Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Lance Honig Contents Sugarcane Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Use - States and United States: 2024 and 2025......... 4 Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2025 and 2026.. 5 Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units - United States: 2025 and 2026.... 7 Fruits and Nuts Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2025 and 2026.............................. 9 Fruits and Nuts Production in Metric Units - United States: 2025 and 2026................................ 10 January Percent of Normal Precipitation Map.............................................................. 11 January Departure from Normal Temperature Map............................................................ 11 January Weather Summary.................................................................................. 12 January Agricultural Summary............................................................................. 13 Statistical Methodology.................................................................................. 14 Reliability of February 1 Crop Production Forecasts...................................................... 14 Information Contacts..................................................................................... 15 Sugarcane Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Use - States and United States: 2024 and 2025 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Use and State : Area harvested : Yield per acre 1/ : Production 1/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2024 : 2025 : 2024 : 2025 : 2024 : 2025 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres ----- tons ----- --- 1,000 tons -- : For sugar : Florida ......................: 381.0 401.0 45.1 45.3 17,183 18,165 Louisiana 2/ .................: 498.0 505.0 31.1 31.6 15,488 15,958 : United States ................: 879.0 906.0 37.2 37.7 32,671 34,123 : For seed : Florida ......................: 15.7 18.0 53.3 47.5 837 855 Louisiana 2/ .................: 25.3 25.0 34.5 35.6 873 890 : United States ................: 41.0 43.0 41.7 40.6 1,710 1,745 : For sugar and seed : Florida ......................: 396.7 419.0 45.4 45.4 18,020 19,020 Louisiana 2/ .................: 523.3 530.0 31.3 31.8 16,361 16,848 : United States ................: 920.0 949.0 37.4 37.8 34,381 35,868 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. 2/ Estimates are carried forward from an earlier estimate. Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2025 and 2026 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2026 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area planted : Area harvested Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 2025 : 2026 : 2025 : 2026 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 acres : Grains and hay : Barley .................................: 2,299 1,761 Corn for grain 1/ ......................: 98,788 91,258 Corn for silage ........................: (NA) 6,208 Hay, all ...............................: (NA) 49,557 Alfalfa ..............................: (NA) 14,676 All other ............................: (NA) 34,881 Oats ...................................: 2,370 944 Proso millet ...........................: 442 397 Rice ...................................: 2,812 2,740 Rye ....................................: 2,229 341 Sorghum for grain 1/ ...................: 6,640 6,020 Sorghum for silage .....................: (NA) 448 Wheat, all .............................: 45,328 37,241 Winter ...............................: 33,153 32,990 25,508 Durum ................................: 2,185 2,123 Other spring .........................: 9,990 9,610 : Oilseeds : Canola .................................: 2,338.5 2,306.0 Cottonseed .............................: (X) (X) Flaxseed ...............................: 248 234 Mustard seed ...........................: 126.2 111.8 Peanuts ................................: 1,953.0 1,906.0 Rapeseed ...............................: 18.6 16.6 Safflower ..............................: 116.5 108.5 Soybeans for beans .....................: 81,215 80,437 Sunflower ..............................: 1,288.2 1,246.2 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops : Cotton, all ............................: 9,282.5 7,804.9 Upland ...............................: 9,141.0 7,666.7 American Pima ........................: 141.5 138.2 Sugarbeets .............................: 1,079.0 1,059.8 Sugarcane ..............................: (NA) 949.0 Tobacco ................................: (NA) 171.3 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Chickpeas ..............................: 536.0 520.3 Dry edible beans .......................: 1,366.0 1,334.6 Dry edible peas ........................: 1,173.0 1,063.0 Lentils ................................: 1,072.0 949.0 : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Hops ...................................: (NA) 41.7 Maple syrup ............................: (NA) (NA) Mushrooms ..............................: (NA) (NA) Peppermint oil .........................: (NA) 22.9 Potatoes ...............................: 902.0 896.8 Spearmint oil ..........................: (NA) 11.6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2025 and 2026 (continued) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2026 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Yield per acre : Production Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 2025 : 2026 : 2025 : 2026 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ------ 1,000 ------ : Grains and hay : Barley ..........................bushels: 80.0 140,849 Corn for grain ..................bushels: 186.5 17,020,549 Corn for silage ....................tons: 21.8 135,540 Hay, all ...........................tons: 2.48 123,031 Alfalfa ..........................tons: 3.42 50,213 All other ........................tons: 2.09 72,818 Oats ............................bushels: 73.8 69,626 Proso millet ....................bushels: 35.9 14,239 Rice 2/ .............................cwt: 7,544 206,707 Rye .............................bushels: 36.5 12,459 Sorghum for grain ...............bushels: 72.6 436,825 Sorghum for silage .................tons: 16.4 7,325 Wheat, all ......................bushels: 53.3 1,984,537 Winter ........................bushels: 54.9 1,401,554 Durum .........................bushels: 40.6 86,223 Other spring ..................bushels: 51.7 496,760 : Oilseeds : Canola ...........................pounds: 2,017 4,650,910 Cottonseed .........................tons: (X) 4,204.0 Flaxseed ........................bushels: 22.2 5,202 Mustard seed .....................pounds: 636 71,120 Peanuts ..........................pounds: 3,767 7,179,850 Rapeseed .........................pounds: 2,126 35,290 Safflower ........................pounds: 1,319 143,160 Soybeans for beans ..............bushels: 53.0 4,261,858 Sunflower ........................pounds: 1,863 2,321,852 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops : Cotton, all 2/ ....................bales: 856 13,918.0 Upland 2/ .......................bales: 847 13,530.0 American Pima 2/ ................bales: 1,348 388.0 Sugarbeets .........................tons: 33.2 35,140 Sugarcane ..........................tons: 37.8 35,868 Tobacco ..........................pounds: 2,093 358,570 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Chickpeas 2/ ........................cwt: 1,315 6,844 Dry edible beans 2/ .................cwt: 2,012 26,855 Dry edible peas 2/ ..................cwt: 1,738 18,480 Lentils 2/ ..........................cwt: 1,112 10,557 : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Hops .............................pounds: 1,996 83,143.4 Maple syrup .....................gallons: (NA) 5,771 Mushrooms ........................pounds: (NA) 669,930 Peppermint oil ...................pounds: 108 2,471 Potatoes ............................cwt: 460 412,860 Spearmint oil ....................pounds: 139 1,609 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Area planted for all purposes. 2/ Yield in pounds. Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units - United States: 2025 and 2026 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2026 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted : Area harvested Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 2025 : 2026 : 2025 : 2026 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : hectares : Grains and hay : Barley .........................: 930,380 712,660 Corn for grain 1/ ..............: 39,978,520 36,931,200 Corn for silage ................: (NA) 2,512,320 Hay, all 2/ ....................: (NA) 20,055,220 Alfalfa ......................: (NA) 5,939,230 All other ....................: (NA) 14,115,990 Oats ...........................: 959,120 382,030 Proso millet ...................: 178,870 160,660 Rice ...........................: 1,137,990 1,108,850 Rye ............................: 902,050 138,000 Sorghum for grain 1/ ...........: 2,687,140 2,436,230 Sorghum for silage .............: (NA) 181,300 Wheat, all 2/ ..................: 18,343,790 15,071,060 Winter .......................: 13,416,690 13,350,720 10,322,830 Durum ........................: 884,250 859,160 Other spring .................: 4,042,850 3,889,070 : Oilseeds : Canola .........................: 946,370 933,220 Cottonseed .....................: (X) (X) Flaxseed .......................: 100,360 94,700 Mustard seed ...................: 51,070 45,240 Peanuts ........................: 790,360 771,340 Rapeseed .......................: 7,530 6,720 Safflower ......................: 47,150 43,910 Soybeans for beans .............: 32,866,900 32,552,050 Sunflower ......................: 521,320 504,320 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops: Cotton, all 2/ .................: 3,756,530 3,158,560 Upland .......................: 3,699,270 3,102,640 American Pima ................: 57,260 55,930 Sugarbeets .....................: 436,660 428,890 Sugarcane ......................: (NA) 384,050 Tobacco ........................: (NA) 69,320 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Chickpeas ......................: 216,910 210,560 Dry edible beans ...............: 552,810 540,100 Dry edible peas ................: 474,700 430,190 Lentils ........................: 433,830 384,050 : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Hops ...........................: (NA) 16,860 Maple syrup ....................: (NA) (NA) Mushrooms ......................: (NA) (NA) Peppermint oil .................: (NA) 9,270 Potatoes .......................: 365,030 362,930 Spearmint oil ..................: (NA) 4,690 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units - United States: 2025 and 2026 (continued) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2026 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Yield per hectare : Production Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 2025 : 2026 : 2025 : 2026 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : metric tons : Grains and hay : Barley .................................: 4.30 3,066,620 Corn for grain .........................: 11.71 432,341,860 Corn for silage ........................: 48.94 122,959,820 Hay, all 2/ ............................: 5.57 111,611,850 Alfalfa ..............................: 7.67 45,552,470 All other ............................: 4.68 66,059,380 Oats ...................................: 2.65 1,010,620 Proso millet ...........................: 2.01 322,930 Rice ...................................: 8.46 9,376,070 Rye ....................................: 2.29 316,470 Sorghum for grain ......................: 4.55 11,095,870 Sorghum for silage .....................: 36.65 6,645,130 Wheat, all 2/ ..........................: 3.58 54,010,250 Winter ...............................: 3.70 38,144,050 Durum ................................: 2.73 2,346,610 Other spring .........................: 3.48 13,519,590 : Oilseeds : Canola .................................: 2.26 2,109,620 Cottonseed .............................: (X) 3,813,800 Flaxseed ...............................: 1.40 132,140 Mustard seed ...........................: 0.71 32,260 Peanuts ................................: 4.22 3,256,730 Rapeseed ...............................: 2.38 16,010 Safflower ..............................: 1.48 64,940 Soybeans for beans .....................: 3.56 115,988,770 Sunflower ..............................: 2.09 1,053,170 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops : Cotton, all 2/ .........................: 0.96 3,030,290 Upland ...............................: 0.95 2,945,810 American Pima ........................: 1.51 84,480 Sugarbeets .............................: 74.33 31,878,470 Sugarcane ..............................: 84.73 32,538,900 Tobacco ................................: 2.35 162,640 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Chickpeas ..............................: 1.47 310,440 Dry edible beans .......................: 2.26 1,218,120 Dry edible peas ........................: 1.95 838,240 Lentils ................................: 1.25 478,860 : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Hops ...................................: 2.24 37,710 Maple syrup ............................: (NA) 28,860 Mushrooms ..............................: (NA) 303,870 Peppermint oil .........................: 0.12 1,120 Potatoes ...............................: 51.60 18,727,020 Spearmint oil ..........................: 0.16 730 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Area planted for all purposes. 2/ Total may not add due to rounding. Fruits and Nuts Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2025 and 2026 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2026 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2025-2026 season. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------- : 2025 : 2026 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Citrus 1/ : Grapefruit ......................1,000 tons: 299 311 Lemons ..........................1,000 tons: 1,107 1,078 Oranges .........................1,000 tons: 2,394 2,399 Tangerines and mandarins ........1,000 tons: 1,223 1,099 : Noncitrus : Apples, commercial ..........million pounds: 11,470.0 Apricots ..............................tons: 30,700 Avocados ..............................tons: Blueberries, Cultivated .......1,000 pounds: Blueberries, Wild (Maine) .....1,000 pounds: Cherries, Sweet .......................tons: 383,000 Cherries, Tart ..............million pounds: 138.5 Coffee (Hawaii) ...............1,000 pounds: 18,200 Cranberries .........................barrel: 8,130,000 : Dates .................................tons: Grapes ................................tons: 5,590,000 Kiwifruit (California) ................tons: Nectarines (California) ...............tons: Olives (California) ...................tons: Papayas (Hawaii) ..............1,000 pounds: Peaches ...............................tons: 682,500 Pears .................................tons: 625,000 Plums (California) ....................tons: Prunes (California) ...................tons: Raspberries, all .............1,000 pounds: Strawberries .....................1,000 cwt: : Nuts and miscellaneous : Almonds, shelled (California) .1,000 pounds: 3,000,000 Hazelnuts, in-shell (Oregon) ..........tons: Macadamias (Hawaii) ...........1,000 pounds: Pecans, in-shell ..............1,000 pounds: Pistachios (California) .......1,000 pounds: Walnuts, in-shell (California) ........tons: 710,000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production years are 2024-2025 and 2025-2026. Fruits and Nuts Production in Metric Units - United States: 2025 and 2026 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2026 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2025-2026 season. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------- : 2025 : 2026 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : metric tons : Citrus 1/ : Grapefruit ................................: 271,250 282,130 Lemons ....................................: 1,004,250 977,950 Oranges ...................................: 2,171,800 2,176,340 Tangerines and mandarins ..................: 1,109,490 997,000 : Noncitrus : Apples, commercial ........................: 5,202,700 Apricots ..................................: 27,850 Avocados ..................................: Blueberries, Cultivated ...................: Blueberries, Wild (Maine) .................: Cherries, Sweet ...........................: 347,450 Cherries, Tart ............................: 62,820 Coffee (Hawaii) ...........................: 8,260 Cranberries ...............................: 368,770 : Dates .....................................: Grapes ....................................: 5,071,160 Kiwifruit (California) ....................: Nectarines (California) ...................: Olives (California) .......................: Papayas (Hawaii) ..........................: Peaches ...................................: 619,150 Pears .....................................: 566,990 Plums (California) ........................: Prunes (California) .......................: Raspberries, all ..........................: Strawberries ..............................: : Nuts and miscellaneous : Almonds, shelled (California) .............: 1,360,780 Hazelnuts, in-shell (Oregon) ..............: Macadamias (Hawaii) .......................: Pecans, in-shell ..........................: Pistachios (California) ...................: Walnuts, in-shell (California) ............: 644,100 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production years are 2024-2025 and 2025-2026. January Weather Summary Highlights: From January 23-26, a sprawling and destructive storm system left a swath of wintry weather-snow, sleet, and freezing rain-from the southern Rockies to the Atlantic Coast. Bitterly cold weather accompanied and trailed the winter storm, largely locking the snow and ice into place for more than a week and complicating recovery efforts. Some of the most extensive damage occurred across the mid-South, where heavy ice accretion (0.50 to 1.25 inches) led to protracted power outages. At the height of the storm, more than one million customers-many across northern Louisiana, western and central Tennessee, and roughly the northwestern half of Mississippi-were left without electricity. Mid-South freezing rain was also destructive to timber and orchard crops, with a secondary area of icing reported east of the southern Appalachians. A larger area, extending from the central and southern Plains into the Ohio Valley and the middle and northern Atlantic States, received snow, or a mix of snow and sleet. Storm-total snowfall topped a foot in many locations from the lower Midwest into the Northeast. Several surges of frigid air trailed the storminess into the central and eastern United States. Even areas such as the northern Plains and upper Midwest, which avoided widespread wintry precipitation, endured extreme cold and increasing livestock stress. Many winter wheat fields from Nebraska northwestward into Montana experienced sub-zero temperatures without the benefit a protective snow cover, with some locations briefly dipping below -20 degrees F. Farther south, accumulations of snow and ice from the southern Plains into the mid-South and mid-Atlantic provided winter grains and cover crops with beneficial moisture and insulation. Deep South Texas observed a freeze on January 26, although the short duration and limited intensity of the event spared citrus and most other active crops. Similarly, Louisiana's new sugarcane crop likely escaped the cold spell without permanent freeze injury. Across Florida's peninsula, however, light, late-month freezes were a warm-up act to a major freeze event from February 1-3. More details on Florida's early-February cold wave, arguably the state's worst since January 2010, more than 16 years ago, will be summarized in next month's weather summary. The late-January cold snap resulted in monthly temperatures averaging more than 5 degrees F below normal in portions of the upper Great Lakes States and from the Ohio Valley into the lower Great Lakes region. Below-normal January temperatures covered a broader area encompassing much of the eastern half of the United States, despite relatively mild weather during the first 3 weeks of the New Year. Conversely, monthly temperatures averaged more than 5 degrees F above normal across the northern and central Rockies and adjacent High Plains. In fact, warmer-than-normal January weather broadly encompassed the West and the northern High Plains, although pesky fog and low clouds plagued California's Central Valley and parts of the Northwest during the mid- to late-month period. A dramatic Western pattern shift occurred around January 10, signaling the end of a month-long spell of stormy weather. Thereafter, a stretch of mild, dry weather extended to 3 weeks by the end of January, leading to growing concerns regarding mostly abysmal Western snowpack and future runoff potential. (Most earlier storms were not particularly efficient at building snowpack, except in the northern Rockies, as a greater-than-average percentage of the precipitation had fallen as rain, rather than snow.) According to the California Department of Water Resources, the average water equivalency of the Sierra Nevada snowpack reached 10 inches (more than 90 percent of normal for the date) by January 6, but also ended the month at 10 inches (less than 60 percent of normal). A similar scenario elsewhere in the West left end-of-January snowpack broadly less than 50 percent of normal from southern Washington and Oregon into the Southwest, including much of Nevada, Arizona, New Mexico, southern Colorado, western and southern Utah, and the northern tier of California. According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, drought coverage across the Lower 48 States remained nearly steady, ranging from 42 to 45 percent, during the 5-week period ending February 3. National drought coverage has been greater than 40 percent each week since mid-September 2025, with a weak La Niņa likely contributing to cold-season dryness in various parts of the country. The Deep South, from southern Texas to Florida, was notably dry in January, with negative impacts on pastures and non-irrigated winter crops. As previously noted, drier-than-normal January weather also affected the West, aside from western Washington and an area in the Southwest-from southeastern Arizona into parts of New Mexico-impacted by the late-month winter storm. Improving drought conditions were observed during January in several regions, including the Great Lakes and Northeastern States, although some of the moisture remained on the landscape in the form of snow and ice. End-of-January reporting from USDA/NASS indicated that most wheat continued to overwinter well. From Nebraska northwestward, however, there was a perceived deterioration in crop condition due to drought and the lack of an insulating snow cover. Among major reporting states, Nebraska led at the end of January with 37 percent of its winter wheat rated in very poor to poor condition, up from 18 percent a month earlier. During the same period, the percentage of Montana's wheat rated very poor to poor increased from 18 to 22 percent. In contrast, crop conditions in top-producer Kansas were nearly steady, with 61 percent of the winter wheat rated good to excellent (and 10 percent very poor to poor) on January 31, versus 60 and 9 percent, respectively, at the end of December. In the lower Midwest, end-of-January numbers showed 61 to 67 percent of the winter wheat rated good to excellent in Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, and Missouri. January Agricultural Summary Much of the central and western United States experienced above-normal temperatures. Parts of the northern Rockies recorded monthly temperatures 6°F or more above normal. In contrast, most of the eastern United States recorded below-normal monthly temperatures, with portions of the Ohio Valley recording up to 9°F below normal, stressing winter wheat. Portions of the Southeast experienced extreme cold, potentially causing damage to strawberries, blueberries, and citrus. Meanwhile, most of the country experienced unusual dryness, with monthly precipitation amounts as low as 5 to 50 percent of normal in parts of the northern Rockies and northern Plains. In contrast, portions of Kansas, Iowa, and Wisconsin received at least twice the normal amount of precipitation. Some localized areas in the Southwest and Delta also recorded above-normal precipitation. Statistical Methodology Survey procedures: The sugarcane inquiry survey for the February 1 forecast was conducted in Florida. The survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and internet. This is a census of all know sugarcane mills in Florida. Estimating procedures: State level mill reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB) uses the survey data to prepare the published February 1 forecast. Revision policy: The February 1 production forecasts will not be revised. A new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of- season estimates are made after harvest. End-of season estimates for sugarcane are published in the March Crop Production report. Revisions if needed will be published in the Annual Crop Production report. The estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including administrative data from Farm Service Agency and Risk Management Agency as well as processor mill records. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the February 1 production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the February 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the February 1 sugarcane production forecast is 3.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current sugarcane production forecast will not be above or below the final estimates by more than 3.0 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 5.1 percent. Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for sugarcane showing the differences between the February 1 forecast and the final estimate. Changes between the February 1 forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 1 million tons, ranging from less than 1 million tons to 3 million tons. The February 1 forecast for sugarcane has been below the final estimate 5 times and above 15 times. This does not imply that the February 1 sugarcane forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Reliability of February 1 Crop Production Forecasts [Based on data for the past twenty years] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : : : Difference between forecast : : : and final estimate : : :---------------------------------------- : :90 percent : Production : Years Crop : Root mean :confidence :---------------------------------------- :square error: interval : : : : Below : Above : : :Average:Smallest:Largest: final : final ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ---- percent --- ---- millions ---- number : Sugarcane ...............tons: 3.0 5.1 1 (Z) 3 5 15 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Z) Less than half of the unit shown. USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@usda.gov Anthony Prillaman, Acting Chief, Crops Branch............................................................ (202) 720-2127 Chris Hawthorn, Head, Field Crops Section (202) 720-2127 Fleming Gibson, Head, Fruits, Vegetables, and Special Crops Section (202) 236-2428 Joshua Bates - Asparagus, Hemp, Maple Syrup, Soybeans (202) 690-3234 Natasha Bruton - Cotton System Consumption and Stocks, Grain Crushings, Fats and Oils, Flour Milling Products, Broccoli, Cauliflower, Plums, Prunes (202) 690-1042 Noemi Guindin - Crop Progress and Condition, Kiwifruit (202) 720-2127 Michelle Harder - Hay, Kale, Peanuts, Raspberries................................................... (202) 690-8533 Deonne Holiday - Almonds, Carrots, Coffee, Cranberries, Garlic, Onions Proso Millet, Rye, Tobacco..................................................................... (202) 720-4288 Bret Holliman - Apricots, Barley, Chickpeas, Nectarines, Peaches, Snap Beans, Tomatoes (202) 720-7235 James Johanson - Dry Edible Beans, Lettuce, Macadamias, Wheat (202) 720-8068 Greg Lemmons - Beets, Corn, Flaxseed, Pears, Rice, Sweet Corn (202) 720-9526 Krishna Rizal - Artichokes, Celery, Grapefruit, Lemons, Mandarins and tangerines, Mint, Mushrooms, Olives, Oranges, Pistachios................................................... (202) 720-5412 Chris Singh - Apples, Cucumbers, Hazelnuts, Potatoes, Pumpkins, Squash, Sugarbeets, Sugarcane, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Becky Sommer - Cabbage, Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum, Walnuts, Strawberries (202) 720-5944 Travis Thorson - Blueberries, Canola, Mustard Seed, Rapeseed, Safflower, Spinach, Sunflower............................................................................. (202) 720-7369 Antonio Torres - Cantaloupes, Dry Edible Peas, Grapes, Green Peas, Honeydews, Lentils, Oats, Sweet Cherries, Tart Cherries, Watermelons........................... (202) 720-2157 Chris Wallace - Avocados, Bell Peppers, Chile Peppers, Dates, Floriculture, Hops, Papayas, Pecans.......................................................................... (202) 720-4215 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: www.nass.usda.gov. 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Persons with disabilities who require alternative means of communication for program information (e.g., Braille, large print, audiotape, American Sign Language, etc.) should contact the responsible Agency or USDA's TARGET Center at (202) 720-2600 (voice and TTY) or contact USDA through the Federal Relay Service at (800) 877-8339. Additionally, program information may be made available in languages other than English. To file a program discrimination complaint, complete the USDA Program Discrimination Complaint Form, AD-3027, found online at How to File a Program Discrimination Complaint and at any USDA office or write a letter addressed to USDA and provide in the letter all of the information requested in the form. To request a copy of the complaint form, call (866) 632-9992. Submit your completed form or letter to USDA by: (1) mail: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Civil Rights, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C. 20250-9410; (2) fax: (202) 690- 7442; or (3) email: program.intake@usda.gov. USDA is an equal opportunity provider, employer, and lender.