ISSN: 1554-9089 WASDE - 475 October 9, 2009 WHEAT: U.S. wheat ending stocks for 2009/10 are projected 121 million bushels higher this month as increased production and lower expected use more than offset a 10-million-bushel reduction in carryin. Production is raised 36 million bushels based on the Small Grains 2009 Summary report. Feed and residual use is lowered 45 million bushels on lower-than- expected disappearance during the June-August quarter as indicated by the September 1 stocks. Exports are projected 50 million bushels lower as larger supplies in major export competitors reduce prospects for U.S. wheat shipments. If realized, 2009/10 ending stocks would be a 9-year high at 864 million bushels. The 2009/10 marketing-year average farm price is projected lower at $4.55 to $5.15 per bushel compared with $4.70 to $5.50 per bushel last month. Global wheat supplies for 2009/10 are projected 2.2 million tons higher as a 4.4-million-ton increase in world production more than offsets a 2.2-million-ton reduction in beginning stocks. Foreign production is raised 3.4 million tons with increases in several major exporting countries. Production is raised 2.0 million tons for Canada as favorably dry, warm September weather extended the Prairie growing season by as much as 3 weeks boosting yields for this year’s delayed crop. Russia production is increased 1.0 million tons based on higher reported spring wheat yields, particularly in Siberia. Production is raised 0.6 million tons for EU-27 with increases reported for Poland and Hungary. Production is increased 0.5 million tons each for Algeria, Australia, and Kazakhstan. September rains were favorable for flowering and heading wheat in Australia’s western and southern growing areas where higher yields are expected to more than offset losses from sustained dryness and heat in eastern growing areas. Lower expected production in Brazil and Chile partly offsets rising output elsewhere. Brazil production is lowered 1.0 million tons as continued heavy, late-season rains reduce prospects for yields and quality. Chile production is lowered 0.5 million tons on lower reported area. A number of small, mostly offsetting, production changes are made in Sub-Saharan African countries. Global wheat trade for 2009/10 is projected higher with much of the increase reflecting higher projected imports by Brazil and exports by Canada. Brazil imports are raised 1.0 million tons. Smaller import increases are also made for Bangladesh, Chile, Saudi Arabia, and Ethiopia. Partly offsetting is a 0.4-million-ton reduction in imports for Algeria. Exports are raised 1.5 million tons for Canada. Exports also are raised 0.5 million tons each for Kazakhstan and Ukraine, and 0.4 million tons for Mexico. These increases more than offset the 1.4-million-ton reduction for the United States. Global consumption is raised 2.1 million tons with higher expected wheat feeding in China, EU-27, Brazil, and Russia; and higher food, seed, and industrial use in Canada, Algeria, and Iran more than offsetting lower feed and residual use in the United States and Ukraine. Global ending stocks are nearly unchanged at 186.7 million tons, up just 0.1 million from last month. COARSE GRAINS: U.S. feed grain supplies for 2009/10 are projected higher this month as increased corn and barley production and higher sorghum beginning stocks more than offset lower corn carryin and reduced sorghum production. September 1 corn stocks, as reported in the September 30 Grain Stocks report, reduced 2009/10 corn beginning stocks as higher corn use for ethanol, sweeteners, starch, and exports boosted June-August use. Corn production for 2009/10 is forecast 63 million bushels higher with a 2.3-bushel-per-acre yield increase more than offsetting a 700,000 acre reduction in harvested area. Total corn supplies are projected 42 million bushels higher. Total U.S. corn use for 2009/10 is increased 5 million bushels. Feed and residual use is projected 50 million bushels higher reflecting the higher forecast yield and crop. Food, seed, and industrial use is also projected higher, up 5 million bushels, on higher expected use for sweeteners with tight sugar supplies. Offsetting most of the increase in domestic use is a 50-million- bushel reduction in projected exports. Increased supplies of feed grains in Canada and larger world wheat supplies are expected to increase competition for U.S. corn exports. Corn ending stocks for 2009/10 are projected 37 million bushels higher and just below the revised estimate for the 2008/09 marketing year. The 2009/10 marketing-year average farm price projection is unchanged at $3.05 to $3.65 per bushel. Sorghum supplies for 2009/10 are projected 12 million bushels lower as reduced production more than offsets higher beginning stocks. Production is forecast 26 million bushels lower with reduced area and yields. Beginning stocks are estimated 15 million bushels higher based on the September 1 stocks. Barley supplies for 2009/10 are raised 21 million bushels based on higher estimated production from the Small Grains 2009 Summary report. With a 10-million-bushel reduction in feed and residual as indicated by the September 1 stocks, ending stocks are projected at a 5-year high, up 31 million bushels from last month. Projected 2009/10 farm prices for sorghum, barley, and oats are all unchanged this month; however, the barley and oats ranges are narrowed. Global coarse grain supplies for 2009/10 are increased 4.7 million tons, mostly reflecting higher corn beginning stocks and increased barley output. Global corn beginning stocks are raised 2.2 million tons with upward revisions to 2008/09 production for Brazil and South Africa, and higher reported stocks for Canada. Barley production is raised 4.4 million tons with higher output in Russia, Algeria, EU-27, the United States, Canada, and Australia. Global corn production for 2009/10 is lowered 1.5 million tons with reductions for China, Russia, and a number of smaller countries only partly offset by increases for the United States, EU-27, Ukraine, Canada, and several Sub- Saharan African countries. China corn production is lowered 5.0 million tons on confirmation that unusual heat and dryness during late July and early August severely hampered corn pollination in the western growing areas of the northeast. Increased harvested area for China partly offsets this month’s yield reduction. World coarse grain imports and exports are both projected lower for 2009/10 mostly reflecting reduced prospects for U.S. corn exports, down 1.3 million tons, and lower expected corn imports by Canada, down 1.5 million tons. Other mostly offsetting corn trade changes include lower imports for Chile and higher imports for Colombia. Reduced barley exports for EU-27 are partly offset by an increase for Russia. Global coarse grain feeding is raised 3.5 million tons as higher corn feed and residual use for the United States, China, Brazil, EU- 27, Mexico, Ukraine, and Colombia are only partly offset by reductions for Canada and Chile. Barley feeding is raised for Russia, Algeria, Ukraine, Australia, and Canada. Global coarse grain ending stocks are nearly unchanged from last month as a 2.9-million-ton reduction in corn stocks is more than offset by a 3.3-million-ton increase in barley stocks. Global barley ending stocks are projected at a 5-year high. RICE: U.S. rice production in 2009/10 is forecast at 220.6 million cwt, 1 percent above last month due entirely to an increase in yield. Average yield is estimated at 7,115 pounds per acre, up 64 pounds from last month. Harvested area is unchanged at 3.10 million acres. Long-grain production is forecast at 154.2 million cwt, 1 percent above last month, while combined medium- and short-grain production is forecast at 66.4 million cwt, also up 1 percent. The total rice export projection at 96 million cwt is unchanged from a month ago; however, exports of long-grain are raised 1.0 million, and combined medium- and short-grain exports are lowered by 1.0 million. Total rice ending stocks are projected at 46.6 million cwt, 5 percent above last month. The all rice season-average farm price is forecast at $13.00 to $14.00 per cwt, down 65 cents per cwt on both ends of the range. The long-grain season-average farm price range is projected at $11.75 to $12.75 per cwt, down $1.15 per cwt on each end of the range. The combined medium- and short-grain farm price range is projected at $17.50 to $18.50 per cwt, up $1.25 per cwt on each end. Large exportable supplies of long- grain rice among the major Asian exporters, particularly Thailand, Vietnam, and Pakistan, will pressure prices, while tighter global supplies of medium-grain rice will help to support prices. Projected global 2009/10 rice production is nearly unchanged from a month ago; however, there are a number of offsetting changes. Production projections are lowered for Bangladesh, Colombia, the Philippines; but raised for the United States, China, and a number of Sub-Saharan African countries. The 2009/10 Bangladesh rice crop is projected at 30.0 million tons, down 1.0 million from last month. China’s rice crop is raised 900 thousand tons to 136.0 million, the largest crop since 1999/00. Global exports are projected at 29.8 million tons, up nearly 0.5 million largely due to an increase for Vietnam. Global consumption is up slightly from a month ago with levels raised for China and a number of countries in Sub-Saharan Africa; and lowered for Bangladesh, and Indonesia. Global ending stocks for 2009/10 are projected at 85.9 million tons, up 1.0 million from last month, but down 4.8 million from 2008/09. OILSEEDS: U.S. oilseed ending stocks for 2009/10 are projected at 7.7 million tons, up 0.4 million from last month as larger supplies are only partly offset by increased exports. Total U.S. oilseed production is projected at 96.1 million tons, up 0.3 million from last month as higher soybean, sunflowerseed, and canola production more than offset lower peanut and cottonseed production. Soybean production is forecast at a record 3.250 billion bushels, up 5 million from last month based on higher yields. The soybean yield is projected at 42.4 bushels per acre, up 0.1 bushels from the previous estimate. Total soybean supplies are forecast up 32 million bushels due to increased crop production and beginning stocks. Soybean exports are raised 25 million bushels to 1.305 billion due to increased supplies, lower prices, and increased global import demand, mainly for China. Soybean ending stocks are projected at 230 million bushels, up 10 million from last month. Prices for soybeans and soybean meal are projected lower for 2009/10. The U.S. season-average soybean price range is projected at $8.00 to $10.00 per bushel, down 10 cents on both ends of the range. The soybean meal price is projected at $245 to $305 per short ton, down 5 dollars on both ends of the range. The soybean oil price range is projected at 32 to 36 cents per pound, unchanged from last month. Global oilseed production for 2009/10 is projected at 425.4 million tons, up 2.6 million from last month. Increased soybean and rapeseed production are only partly offset by lower peanut and cottonseed production. Global soybean production is projected higher with increases for the United States, Argentina, and Paraguay only partly offset by lower production for China. Argentina soybean production is raised 1.5 million tons to 52.5 million due to increased area as producers shift to soybeans from other crops including corn and sunflowerseed. China soybean production is lowered 0.5 million tons to 14.5 million due to lower harvested area as producers shifted more area to corn. Global rapeseed production is projected higher mainly on increases for Canada and EU-27. Production in Canada is projected at 10.5 million tons, up 0.5 million based on the most recent survey from Statistics Canada. EU-27 rapeseed production is projected at a record 20.6 million tons, up 0.6 million. Global peanut and cottonseed production are reduced mainly due to lower estimates for both crops for China. Other changes include lower sunflowerseed production for Argentina, higher sunflowerseed production for EU-27, and higher cottonseed production for India. Global oilseed stocks for 2009/10 are raised 4.5 million tons to 66.0 million. Soybeans account for most of the change, with increases projected for the United States, Brazil, Argentina, and China. Rapeseed stocks for Canada and EU-27 are also increased. China soybean imports are raised for 2008/09 and 2009/10 to 40.7 million and 39.5 million tons, respectively. SUGAR: Projected 2009/10 U.S. sugar supply is decreased 8,000 short tons, raw value, from last month. Imports of specialty sugar, announced in September along with the 2009/10 tariff rate quota, nearly offset lower beginning stocks. Projected Louisiana sugar production is unchanged. Despite an increase in forecast total sugarcane production in Louisiana, assumed higher use of sugarcane for seed and lower sugar recovery from sugarcane are offsetting. Estimated 2008/09 U.S. sugar supply is reduced 97,000 tons from last month, based on preliminary full-year data. Sugar production is lowered 63,000 tons, mainly due to lower beet sugar production. Imports are decreased 34,000 tons as lower imports under the tariff rate quota more than offset higher other imports. On the use side, deliveries for non-food uses are lowered 14,000 tons based on the pace through August. Projected 2009/10 Mexico sugar supply is decreased 120,000 metric tons, raw value, from last month. Production is lowered 100,000 tons in line with producer projections in Mexico. Beginning stocks are lowered 20,000 tons, as Mexico=s exports in 2008/09 were higher than expected. LIVESTOCK, POULTRY, AND DAIRY: Total U.S. meat production for 2009 is raised as higher pork production more than offsets lower beef and turkey production. Pork production is raised mainly due to higher third-quarter slaughter and significantly higher weights due to favorable summer weather. The beef production forecast is reduced on lower expected cow slaughter. The turkey production forecast is reduced on slightly lower third-quarter output. Broiler production is unchanged. Meat production forecasts for 2010 are lowered from last month as higher beef production due to larger feedlot placements in 2009 is more than offset by lower pork and turkey production. The Quarterly Hogs and Pigs report, released on September 25, indicated producers plan to farrow fewer sows during the remainder of 2009 and into 2010, which, coupled with fewer imports of hogs from Canada results in a lower production forecast. Turkey hatchery data indicates a slower expansion in production during 2010. The broiler production forecast is unchanged from last month. Red meat and poultry export forecasts for 2009 and 2010 are mostly unchanged from last month. Turkey exports are raised for 2009. Import forecasts for beef for both 2009 and 2010 are reduced reflecting lower expected beef supplies in Oceania. Pork import forecasts are raised slightly for 2009. Price forecasts for cattle, hogs, broilers, and turkeys are lowered for fourth-quarter 2009. Weak demand and large supplies of meat continue to pressure prices. Prices are expected to remain under pressure into next year and 2010 forecasts are reduced from last month. The egg price forecast is unchanged for fourth-quarter 2009 and throughout 2010. The milk production forecast is raised for 2009 and 2010 as milk per cow is forecast higher and the rate of decline in cow inventories is lowered in 2010. Import forecasts are raised as butterfat and cheese imports are stronger than expected. Stronger world dairy prices and a weak U.S. dollar are expected to increase export demand for U.S. dairy products. The commercial fat basis export forecast is raised for 2010, and on a skim-solids basis, commercial exports are raised for both 2009 and 2010. Net removals reflect adjustments in CCC and Dairy Export Incentive Program (DEIP) activities for nonfat dry milk (NDM), butter, and cheese. Firmer domestic and export demands are expected to support prices for cheese, whey, and NDM. However, butter prices are forecast lower as supplies remain large. Class III prices for 2009 and 2010 are raised from last month and Class IV prices are raised for 2009. The all milk price is forecast at $12.35 to $12.45 per cwt for 2009 and $14.70 to $15.60 for 2010. COTTON: The 2009/10 U.S. cotton forecasts include lower production and offtake compared with last month. Beginning stocks are raised marginally to reflect the U.S. Census Bureau’s final estimate of 2008/09 ending stocks. Production is lowered 3.3 percent to 13.0 million. Texas accounts for most of the decline; production in the Mississippi Delta states is reduced 85,000 bales. Domestic mill use also is lowered, reflecting the continued sluggish pace of U.S. textile exports. Exports of cotton remain unchanged at 10.5 million bales. Ending stocks are reduced 200,000 bales to 5.4 million. The forecast for the marketing-year average price received by producers is reduced 2 cents per pound at the top of the range to 49 to 57 cents. The world 2009/10 cotton forecasts mainly include small adjustments, with the most significant changes occurring in the China balance sheet. World beginning stocks are raised 1.0 million bales, reflecting higher stocks in China resulting from an upward revision in 2008/09 production. A reduction of 1.0 million bales in China’s 2009-crop production forecast more than offsets the higher beginning stocks; adverse harvest weather is reported to have affected yield prospects in the Yangtze region. Lower production estimated for China, the United States, and Uzbekistan is partially offset by increases for India and Argentina. World consumption, trade, and ending stocks are virtually unchanged. Approved by the Secretary of Agriculture and the Chairperson of the World Agricultural Outlook Board, Gerald A. Bange, (202) 720- 6030. This report was prepared by the Interagency Commodity Estimates Committees. APPROVED BY: JOSEPH W. GLAUBER ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE WASDE-475-8 October 2009 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Grains 1/ Million Metric Tons =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade 2/ : Use : Stocks =============================================================================== : : World Total grains 3/ : 2007/08 : 2,121.00 2,462.98 275.51 2,100.24 362.74 2008/09 (Est.) : 2,229.93 2,592.67 276.50 2,144.65 448.02 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 2,187.30 2,633.95 264.20 2,183.37 450.58 October : 2,194.31 2,642.32 265.09 2,190.04 452.28 Wheat : 2007/08 : 610.99 738.60 117.20 616.48 122.12 2008/09 (Est.) : 682.32 804.44 140.66 637.68 166.76 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 663.72 832.71 122.96 646.10 186.61 October : 668.12 834.88 124.80 648.15 186.73 Coarse grains 4/ : 2007/08 : 1,076.61 1,215.89 127.21 1,055.64 160.24 2008/09 (Est.) : 1,101.94 1,262.18 108.00 1,071.64 190.54 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 1,090.04 1,278.39 111.90 1,099.29 179.09 October : 1,092.53 1,283.08 110.48 1,103.43 179.65 Rice, milled : 2007/08 : 433.40 508.50 31.09 428.12 80.38 2008/09 (Est.) : 445.67 526.05 27.83 435.34 90.71 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 433.54 522.85 29.34 437.98 84.88 October : 433.65 524.36 29.81 438.46 85.90 : : United States Total grains 3/ : 2007/08 : 412.03 469.15 107.61 307.23 54.32 2008/09 (Est.) : 400.64 462.10 81.80 314.38 65.92 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 411.40 484.11 88.74 328.11 67.25 October : 413.88 486.13 86.11 327.80 72.21 Wheat : 2007/08 : 55.82 71.30 34.36 28.61 8.32 2008/09 (Est.) : 68.02 79.80 27.64 34.29 17.87 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 59.43 80.58 25.86 34.51 20.21 October : 60.42 81.28 24.49 33.29 23.51 Coarse grains 4/ : 2007/08 : 349.86 389.48 69.89 274.53 45.06 2008/09 (Est.) : 326.11 374.24 51.17 275.98 47.08 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 344.98 394.90 59.82 289.47 45.62 October : 346.40 396.15 58.55 290.38 47.22 Rice, milled : 2007/08 : 6.34 8.37 3.35 4.08 0.94 2008/09 (Est.) : 6.52 8.07 2.99 4.10 0.97 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 6.99 8.63 3.07 4.14 1.43 October : 7.06 8.70 3.07 4.14 1.49 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Based on export estimate. See individual commodity tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. 3/ Wheat, coarse grains and milled rice. 4/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains). WASDE-475-9 October 2009 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Grains, Continued 1/ Million Metric Tons =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade 2/ : Use : Stocks =============================================================================== : : Foreign 3/ Total grains 4/ : 2007/08 : 1,708.98 1,993.83 167.90 1,793.02 308.42 2008/09 (Est.) : 1,829.29 2,130.57 194.69 1,830.28 382.10 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 1,775.89 2,149.84 175.46 1,855.26 383.33 October : 1,780.43 2,156.20 178.98 1,862.24 380.07 Wheat : 2007/08 : 555.17 667.30 82.84 587.87 113.80 2008/09 (Est.) : 614.31 724.65 113.03 603.39 148.90 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 604.29 752.13 97.11 611.59 166.40 October : 607.70 753.60 100.31 614.86 163.23 Coarse grains 5/ : 2007/08 : 726.75 826.40 57.32 781.11 115.19 2008/09 (Est.) : 775.83 887.94 56.83 795.65 143.46 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 745.06 883.48 52.08 809.82 133.48 October : 746.14 886.93 51.93 813.05 132.43 Rice, milled : 2007/08 : 427.05 500.13 27.74 424.04 79.44 2008/09 (Est.) : 439.15 517.98 24.84 431.24 89.74 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 426.54 514.22 26.27 433.84 83.45 October : 426.60 515.67 26.74 434.33 84.41 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Based on export estimate. See individual commodity tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. 3/ Total foreign is equal to world minus United States. 4/ Wheat, coarse grains and milled rice. 5/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet and mixed grains. World and U.S. Supply and Use for Cotton 1/ Million 480-lb. bales =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade 2/ : Use : Stocks =============================================================================== : : World 2007/08 : 120.51 183.79 38.34 122.76 63.07 2008/09 (Est.) : 107.58 170.65 29.61 110.40 62.50 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 105.06 166.52 31.99 112.74 56.26 October : 103.78 166.28 31.95 112.64 56.13 : United States 2007/08 : 19.21 28.70 13.65 4.59 10.04 2008/09 (Est.) : 12.82 22.86 13.28 3.59 6.34 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 13.44 19.64 10.50 3.50 5.60 October : 13.00 19.34 10.50 3.40 5.40 : Foreign 3/ 2007/08 : 101.30 155.10 24.68 118.17 53.03 2008/09 (Est.) : 94.76 147.79 16.33 106.81 56.17 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 91.62 146.88 21.49 109.24 50.66 October : 90.78 146.95 21.45 109.24 50.73 =============================================================================== 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. 2/ Based on export estimate. 3/ Total Foreign is equal to world minus United States. See global cotton tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. WASDE-475-10 October 2009 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Oilseeds 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade : Use 2/ : Stocks =============================================================================== : : World Oilseeds : 2007/08 : 391.59 465.10 92.59 338.33 62.32 2008/09 (Est.) : 394.49 456.81 93.95 337.47 54.95 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 422.75 475.88 91.82 347.67 61.50 October : 425.35 480.30 92.66 348.21 65.98 Oilmeals : 2007/08 : 230.94 238.86 71.19 229.68 7.21 2008/09 (Est.) : 228.17 235.38 68.83 228.05 6.02 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 236.72 243.46 71.67 235.52 6.57 October : 237.08 243.10 71.24 235.76 5.83 Vegetable Oils : 2007/08 : 127.80 138.40 53.53 125.40 9.97 2008/09 (Est.) : 131.81 141.78 54.88 129.41 10.78 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 136.73 147.50 55.81 135.85 9.67 October : 136.92 147.70 56.84 134.68 10.36 : : United States Oilseeds : 2007/08 : 82.45 100.74 33.05 53.50 6.91 2008/09 (Est.) : 89.20 97.46 35.71 49.36 5.62 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 95.86 101.95 35.98 50.18 7.34 October : 96.11 102.93 36.61 50.27 7.72 Oilmeals : 2007/08 : 40.90 43.27 8.71 34.22 0.33 2008/09 (Est.) : 37.88 40.10 8.03 31.74 0.33 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 38.94 41.51 9.01 32.16 0.33 October : 39.01 41.57 9.01 32.22 0.33 Vegetable Oils : 2007/08 : 10.53 15.38 1.68 12.23 1.46 2008/09 (Est.) : 9.67 14.26 1.46 11.10 1.70 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 9.84 15.06 1.84 11.67 1.55 October : 9.90 14.97 1.84 11.67 1.46 : : Foreign 3/ Oilseeds : 2007/08 : 309.14 364.36 59.55 284.83 55.42 2008/09 (Est.) : 305.29 359.36 58.23 288.11 49.33 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 326.89 373.93 55.84 297.49 54.16 October : 329.24 377.37 56.05 297.94 58.26 Oilmeals : 2007/08 : 190.03 195.59 62.48 195.45 6.88 2008/09 (Est.) : 190.30 195.28 60.81 196.31 5.69 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 197.78 201.95 62.66 203.35 6.23 October : 198.07 201.53 62.23 203.54 5.49 Vegetable Oils : 2007/08 : 117.27 123.03 51.85 113.16 8.51 2008/09 (Est.) : 122.14 127.52 53.42 118.31 9.08 2009/10 (Proj.) : September : 126.89 132.44 53.97 124.18 8.12 October : 127.03 132.74 55.00 123.01 8.91 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years with Brazil and Argentina on an Oct.-Sept. year. 2/ Crush only for oilseeds. 3/ Total foreign is equal to world minus United States. WASDE-475-11 October 2009 U.S. Wheat Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :============================== : : Est. : September October =============================================================================== Area : Million acres Planted : 60.5 63.2 59.8 59.1 Harvested : 51.0 55.7 50.4 50.1 Yield per harvested : Bushels acre : 40.2 44.9 43.3 44.4 : Million bushels Beginning stocks : 456 306 667 657 Production : 2,051 2,499 2,184 2,220 Imports : 113 127 110 110 Supply, total : 2,620 2,932 2,961 2,987 Food : 948 925 955 955 Seed : 88 75 78 78 Feed and residual : 16 260 235 190 Domestic, total : 1,051 1,260 1,268 1,223 Exports : 1,263 1,015 950 900 Use, total : 2,314 2,275 2,218 2,123 Ending stocks : 306 657 743 864 CCC inventory : 0 0 0 0 Free stocks : 306 657 743 864 Outstanding loans : 1 27 30 30 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 6.48 6.78 4.70- 5.50 4.55- 5.15 =============================================================================== U.S. Wheat by Class: Supply and Use =============================================================================== Year beginning : Hard : Hard : Soft : : : June 1 : Winter : Spring : Red : White : Durum : Total =============================================================================== 2008/09 (estimated) : Million bushels Beginning stocks : 138 68 55 37 8 306 Production : 1,035 512 614 255 84 2,499 Supply, total 3/ : 1,174 625 702 300 130 2,932 Domestic use : 472 273 332 100 81 1,260 Exports : 447 210 199 136 24 1,015 Use, total : 919 483 531 236 105 2,275 Ending stocks, total : 254 142 171 64 25 657 : 2009/10 (projected) : Beginning stocks : 254 142 171 64 25 657 Production : 919 551 404 237 110 2,220 Supply, total 3/ : 1,174 733 592 313 175 2,987 Domestic use : 475 265 300 101 82 1,223 Exports : 345 215 130 170 40 900 Use, total : 820 480 430 271 122 2,123 Ending stocks, total : October : 354 253 162 42 53 864 September : 304 191 143 53 51 743 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning June 1. 2/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. 3/ Includes imports. WASDE-475-12 October 2009 U.S. Feed Grain and Corn Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :============================== : : Est. : September October =============================================================================== FEED GRAINS : Area : Million acres Planted : 109.0 101.8 100.8 99.9 Harvested : 98.3 91.1 90.5 89.5 Yield per harvested : Metric tons acre : 3.56 3.58 3.81 3.87 : Million metric tons Beginning stocks : 36.2 45.1 47.2 47.1 Production : 349.7 325.9 344.8 346.2 Imports : 3.3 3.0 2.5 2.5 Supply, total : 389.1 373.9 394.6 395.8 Feed and residual : 157.1 142.1 143.0 143.8 Food, seed & industrial : 117.1 133.6 146.1 146.3 Domestic, total : 274.2 275.7 289.2 290.1 Exports : 69.9 51.2 59.8 58.5 Use, total : 344.1 326.9 349.0 348.6 Ending stocks, total : 45.1 47.1 45.6 47.2 CCC inventory : 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Free stocks : 45.1 47.1 45.6 47.2 Outstanding loans : 2.7 4.4 5.8 5.8 : CORN : Area : Million acres Planted : 93.5 86.0 87.0 86.4 Harvested : 86.5 78.6 80.0 79.3 Yield per harvested : Bushels acre : 150.7 153.9 161.9 164.2 : Million bushels Beginning stocks : 1,304 1,624 1,695 1,674 Production : 13,038 12,101 12,954 13,018 Imports : 20 14 10 10 Supply, total : 14,362 13,739 14,660 14,702 Feed and residual : 5,913 5,231 5,350 5,400 Food, seed & industrial : 4,387 4,976 5,475 5,480 Ethanol for fuel 2/ : 3,049 3,700 4,200 4,200 Domestic, total : 10,300 10,207 10,825 10,880 Exports : 2,437 1,858 2,200 2,150 Use, total : 12,737 12,065 13,025 13,030 Ending stocks, total : 1,624 1,674 1,635 1,672 CCC inventory : 0 0 0 0 Free stocks : 1,624 1,674 1,635 1,672 Outstanding loans : 106 171 225 225 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 3/ : 4.20 4.06 3.05- 3.65 3.05- 3.65 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for corn and sorghum; June 1 for barley and oats. 2/ For a further breakout of FSI corn uses including ethanol, see the ERS Feed Outlook table 5, or Feed Grains Database at "www.ers.usda.gov/db/feedgrains." 3/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. WASDE-475-13 October 2009 U.S. Sorghum, Barley and Oats Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :============================== : : Est. : September October =============================================================================== : Million bushels SORGHUM : Area planted (mil. acres) : 7.7 8.3 6.9 6.6 Area harv. (mil. acres) : 6.8 7.3 5.9 5.7 Yield (bushels/acre) : 73.2 65.0 65.5 64.0 Beginning stocks : 32 53 40 55 Production : 497 472 390 364 Imports : 0 0 0 0 Supply, total : 530 525 430 418 Feed and residual : 165 232 150 140 Food, seed & industrial : 35 95 90 90 Total domestic : 200 327 240 230 Exports : 277 143 140 140 Use, total : 477 470 380 370 Ending stocks, total : 53 55 50 48 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 4.08 3.20 2.60- 3.20 2.60- 3.20 : BARLEY : Area planted (mil. acres) : 4.0 4.2 3.6 3.6 Area harv. (mil. acres) : 3.5 3.8 3.1 3.1 Yield (bushels/acre) : 60.0 63.6 65.8 72.8 Beginning stocks : 69 68 89 89 Production : 210 240 207 227 Imports : 29 29 30 30 Supply, total : 308 337 325 346 Feed and residual : 30 67 60 50 Food, seed & industrial : 169 169 170 170 Total domestic : 199 236 230 220 Exports : 41 13 15 15 Use, total : 240 249 245 235 Ending stocks, total : 68 89 80 111 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 4.02 5.37 3.60- 4.30 3.70- 4.20 : OATS : Area planted (mil. acres) : 3.8 3.2 3.2 3.4 Area harv. (mil. acres) : 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 Yield (bushels/acre) : 60.1 63.7 64.5 67.6 Beginning stocks : 51 67 84 84 Production : 90 89 92 93 Imports : 123 115 95 95 Supply, total : 264 270 271 272 Feed and residual : 120 109 120 120 Food, seed & industrial : 74 74 75 75 Total domestic : 195 183 195 195 Exports : 3 3 3 3 Use, total : 198 186 198 198 Ending stocks, total : 67 84 73 74 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 2.63 3.15 1.80- 2.20 1.85- 2.15 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for sorghum, June 1 for barley and oats. 2/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. WASDE-475-14 October 2009 U.S. Rice Supply and Use 1/ (Rough Equivalent of Rough and Milled Rice) =============================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :============================== : : Est. : September October =============================================================================== TOTAL : Area : Million acres Planted : 2.76 3.00 3.13 3.13 Harvested : 2.75 2.98 3.10 3.10 Yield per harvested : Pounds acre : 7,219 6,846 7,051 7,115 : : Million hundredweight Beginning stocks 2/ : 39.3 29.4 30.4 30.4 Production : 198.4 203.7 218.6 220.6 Imports : 23.9 19.2 21.0 21.0 Supply, total : 261.6 252.4 270.1 272.1 Domestic & residual 3/ : 127.4 128.4 129.5 129.5 Exports, total 4/ : 104.7 93.6 96.0 96.0 Rough : 37.7 31.1 33.0 33.0 Milled (rough equiv.) : 67.1 62.5 63.0 63.0 Use, total : 232.2 222.0 225.5 225.5 Ending stocks : 29.4 30.4 44.6 46.6 Avg. milling yield (%) 5/ : 70.5 70.5 70.5 70.5 Avg. farm price ($/cwt) 6/ : 12.80 16.80 13.65-14.65 13.00-14.00 : LONG GRAIN : Harvested acres (mil.) : 2.05 2.35 Yield (pounds/acre) : 6,980 6,522 Beginning stocks : 28.5 19.0 20.1 20.1 Production : 143.2 153.3 152.8 154.2 Supply, total 7/ : 189.4 188.2 190.4 191.8 Domestic & Residual 3/ : 91.3 103.0 99.5 99.5 Exports 8/ : 79.1 65.1 67.0 68.0 Use, total : 170.4 168.1 166.5 167.5 Ending stocks : 19.0 20.1 23.9 24.3 Avg. farm price ($/cwt) 6/ : 12.40 15.00 12.90-13.90 11.75-12.75 : MEDIUM & SHORT GRAIN : Harvested acres (mil.) : 0.70 0.63 Yield (pounds/acre) : 7,924 8,063 Beginning stocks : 10.0 9.1 8.0 8.0 Production : 55.2 50.5 65.8 66.4 Supply, total 7/ : 70.8 61.9 77.3 77.9 Domestic & Residual 3/ : 36.1 25.3 30.0 30.0 Exports 8/ : 25.7 28.5 29.0 28.0 Use, total : 61.8 53.9 59.0 58.0 Ending stocks : 9.1 8.0 18.3 19.9 Avg. farm price ($/cwt) 6/ : 14.60 23.70 16.25-17.25 17.50-18.50 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. 2/ Includes the following quantities of broken kernel rice (type undetermined) not included in estimates of beginning stocks by type (in mil. cwt): 2007/08-0.8; 2008/09-1.3; 2009/10-2.4. 3/ Residual includes unreported use, processing losses, and estimating errors. Use by type may not add to total rice use because of the difference in brokens between beginning and ending stocks. 4/ Includes rough rice and milled rice exports. Milled rice exports are converted to an equivalent rough basis. 5/ Expressed as a percent, i.e., the total quantity of whole kernel and broken rice produced divided by the quantity of rough rice milled. 6/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. 7/ Includes imports. 8/ Exports by type of rice are estimated. WASDE-475-15 October 2009 U.S. Soybeans and Products Supply and Use (Domestic Measure) 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :=============================== : : Est. : September October =============================================================================== SOYBEANS: : Million acres Area : Planted : 64.7 75.7 77.7 77.5 Harvested : 64.1 74.7 76.8 76.6 : : Bushels Yield per harvested : acre : 41.7 39.7 42.3 42.4 : : Million bushels : Beginning stocks : 574 205 110 138 Production : 2,677 2,967 3,245 3,250 Imports : 10 15 10 10 Supply, total : 3,261 3,187 3,366 3,398 Crushings : 1,803 1,662 1,690 1,690 Exports : 1,159 1,280 1,280 1,305 Seed : 93 95 94 94 Residual : 0 11 81 79 Use, total : 3,056 3,049 3,145 3,169 Ending stocks : 205 138 220 230 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 10.10 9.97 8.10-10.10 8.00 -10.00 : : : Million pounds SOYBEAN OIL: : Beginning stocks : 3,085 2,485 3,100 2,875 Production : 20,580 18,800 3/ 19,180 19,180 Imports : 65 90 75 75 Supply, total : 23,730 21,375 22,355 22,130 Domestic : 18,335 16,300 16,500 16,500 For methyl ester : 3,245 1,850 2,100 2,100 Exports : 2,911 2,200 3,250 3,250 Use, total : 21,246 18,500 19,750 19,750 Ending stocks : 2,485 2,875 2,605 2,380 Average price (c/lb) 2/ : 52.03 32.16 32.00- 32.00- : 36.00 36.00 : : Thousand short tons SOYBEAN MEAL: : Beginning stocks : 343 294 300 300 Production : 42,284 39,206 3/ 40,235 40,235 Imports : 141 100 165 165 Supply, total : 42,768 39,600 40,700 40,700 Domestic : 33,232 30,700 30,800 30,800 Exports : 9,242 8,600 9,600 9,600 Use, total : 42,474 39,300 40,400 40,400 Ending stocks : 294 300 300 300 Average price ($/s.t.) 2/ : 335.94 331.17 250.00- 245.00- : 310.00 305.00 =============================================================================== Note: Reliability calculations at end of report. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for soybeans; October 1 for soybean oil and meal. 2/ Prices: Soybeans, marketing year weighted average price received by farmers; for Oil, simple average of crude soybean oil, Decatur; for Meal, simple average of 48 percent, Decatur. 3/ Based on October-year crush of 1,655 million bushels. WASDE-475-16 October 2009 U.S. Sugar Supply and Use 1/ ====================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :======================= : : Est. : September October ====================================================================== : 1,000 short tons, raw value : Beginning stocks : 1,799 1,660 1,307 1,224 Production 2/ : 8,152 7,508 8,025 8,025 Beet sugar : 4,721 4,184 4,700 4,700 Cane sugar : 3,431 3,324 3,325 3,325 Florida : 1,645 1,577 1,700 1,700 Hawaii : 182 195 160 160 Louisiana : 1,446 1,400 1,300 1,300 Texas : 158 152 165 165 Imports : 2,620 3,082 2,087 2,162 TRQ 3/ : 1,354 1,375 1,182 1,257 Other program 4/ : 565 310 400 400 Other 5/ : 701 1,397 505 505 Mexico : 694 1,395 495 495 Total supply : 12,571 12,250 11,419 11,411 : Exports : 203 130 200 200 Deliveries : 10,773 10,896 10,375 10,375 Food : 10,571 10,735 10,140 10,140 Other 6/ : 202 161 235 235 Miscellaneous 7/ : -65 0 0 0 Total use : 10,911 11,026 10,575 10,575 Ending stocks : 1,660 1,224 844 836 : Stocks to use ratio : 15.2 11.1 8.0 7.9 ====================================================================== 1/ Fiscal years beginning Oct 1. Includes Puerto Rico. Historical data are from FSA, "Sweetener Market Data" except imports (U.S. Customs Service, Census Bureau). 2/ Production projections for 2009/10 are based on Crop Production and trend recovery rates. 3/ For 2009/10, includes shortfall of 200,000 tons. 4/ Includes sugar under the re-export and polyhydric alcohol programs. 5/ Does not include Mexico TRQ imports. For 2007/08, other high-tier (0) and other (0). For 2008/09, other high-tier (2) and other (0). For 2009/10, other high-tier (10) and other (0). 6/ Transfers to sugar-containing products for reexport, and for nonedible alcohol and feed. 7/ Includes SMD miscellaneous uses and the difference between SMD imports and WASDE imports. Mexico Sugar Supply and Use and High Fructose Corn Syrup Imports 1/ ========================================================================== : Supply : Use : Fiscal :====================================================: Ending year : Beginning : Production: Imports : Domestic: Exports: stocks : stocks : : : 2/ : : ========================================================================== 1,000 metric tons, raw value Sugar 2008/09 est. Sep 1,975 5,260 215 5,540 1,245 665 Oct 1,975 5,260 215 5,540 1,265 645 2009/10 proj. Sep 665 5,500 710 5,540 450 885 Oct 645 5,400 710 5,540 450 765` ========================================================================== 1/ U.S. HFCS exports to Mexico (metric tons, dry-weight basis): Oct-Sep 2007/08 = 427,705; Oct-Jul 2007/08 = 346,853; Oct-Jul 2008/09 = 224,814. Footnote source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2/Includes domestic consumption and Mexico's products export program (IMMEX). WASDE-475-17 October 2009 U. S. Cotton Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :=============================== : : Est. : September October =============================================================================== : Million acres Area : Planted : 10.83 9.47 9.14 9.14 Harvested : 10.49 7.57 7.73 7.73 : : Pounds Yield per harvested : acre : 879 813 835 807 : : Million 480 pound bales : Beginning stocks 2/ : 9.48 10.04 6.20 6.34 Production : 19.21 12.82 13.44 13.00 Imports : 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 Supply, total : 28.70 22.86 19.64 19.34 Domestic use : 4.59 3.59 3.50 3.40 Exports : 13.65 13.28 10.50 10.50 Use, total : 18.24 16.86 14.00 13.90 Unaccounted 3/ : 0.41 -0.34 0.04 0.04 Ending stocks : 10.04 6.34 5.60 5.40 : Avg. farm price 4/ : 59.3 47.8 49.0-59.0 49.0-57.0 =============================================================================== Note: Reliability calculations at end of report. 1/ Upland and extra-long staple; marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add due to rounding. 2/ Based on Bureau of Census data. 3/ Reflects the difference between the previous season's supply less total use and ending stocks based on Bureau of Census data. 4/ Cents per pound for upland cotton. =============================================================================== WASDE-475-18 October 2009 World Wheat Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 : World 3/ : 127.61 610.99 113.39 96.14 616.48 117.20 122.12 United States : 12.41 55.82 3.07 0.43 28.61 34.36 8.32 Total foreign : 115.19 555.17 110.33 95.71 587.87 82.84 113.80 Major exporters 4/ : 26.44 172.32 7.47 58.18 134.65 47.07 24.50 Argentina : 1.07 18.00 0.02 0.08 5.13 11.19 2.77 Australia : 4.43 13.84 0.12 3.50 6.20 7.49 4.70 Canada : 6.87 20.05 0.39 2.17 6.79 16.12 4.41 EU-27 5/ : 14.08 120.43 6.94 52.44 116.54 12.27 12.64 Major importers 6/ : 62.16 175.24 59.10 10.61 225.82 8.72 61.97 Brazil : 0.98 3.83 6.71 0.10 10.30 0.77 0.45 China : 38.45 109.30 0.05 8.00 106.00 2.84 38.96 Select. Mideast 7/ : 6.73 20.37 9.32 1.15 29.20 0.56 6.65 N. Africa 8/ : 9.75 13.95 21.73 0.10 35.89 0.26 9.28 Pakistan : 1.99 23.30 1.49 0.40 22.40 2.20 2.18 Southeast Asia 9/ : 2.61 0.00 10.96 0.46 10.52 0.50 2.55 Selected other : India : 4.50 75.81 1.96 0.20 76.42 0.05 5.80 FSU-12 : 9.26 92.54 6.02 23.53 75.00 22.21 10.61 Russia : 2.23 49.40 0.44 15.05 37.70 12.55 1.82 Kazakhstan : 1.65 16.45 0.04 2.70 7.50 8.18 2.46 Ukraine : 1.38 13.90 0.33 3.00 12.30 1.24 2.07 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) : World 3/ : 122.12 682.32 136.16 112.78 637.68 140.66 166.76 United States : 8.32 68.02 3.46 7.07 34.29 27.64 17.87 Total foreign : 113.80 614.31 132.71 105.71 603.39 113.03 148.90 Major exporters 4/ : 24.50 209.78 8.27 68.04 147.41 63.90 31.25 Argentina : 2.77 8.40 0.03 0.08 5.08 5.70 0.41 Australia : 4.70 21.50 0.13 3.75 6.80 14.00 5.52 Canada : 4.41 28.61 0.38 3.21 8.03 18.81 6.56 EU-27 5/ : 12.64 151.27 7.74 61.00 127.50 25.39 18.76 Major importers 6/ : 61.97 172.78 73.85 9.07 228.36 6.26 73.98 Brazil : 0.45 6.00 6.00 0.20 10.70 0.40 1.35 China : 38.96 112.50 0.48 5.00 102.50 0.72 48.72 Select. Mideast 7/ : 6.65 13.31 20.36 1.55 31.60 0.71 8.01 N. Africa 8/ : 9.28 14.59 23.47 0.10 37.20 0.23 9.90 Pakistan : 2.18 21.50 3.09 0.40 22.80 2.10 1.87 Southeast Asia 9/ : 2.55 0.00 11.96 1.42 11.66 0.42 2.43 Selected other : India : 5.80 78.60 0.01 0.10 70.77 0.10 13.54 FSU-12 : 10.61 115.59 6.54 24.88 76.57 37.66 18.51 Russia : 1.82 63.70 0.20 16.20 38.90 18.39 8.43 Kazakhstan : 2.46 12.55 0.12 2.70 7.53 5.70 1.90 Ukraine : 2.07 25.90 0.07 2.90 11.90 13.04 3.11 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and the EU-27. 5/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 6/ Brazil, China, Japan, Mexico, N. Africa, Pakistan, selected Middle East, and Southeast Asia. 7/ Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, United Arab Emirates, and Oman. 8/ Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia. 9/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-475-19 October 2009 World Wheat Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 3/ : September : 168.99 663.72 117.66 109.70 646.10 122.96 186.61 October : 166.76 668.12 119.71 110.70 648.15 124.80 186.73 United States : September : 18.15 59.43 2.99 6.40 34.51 25.86 20.21 October : 17.87 60.42 2.99 5.17 33.29 24.49 23.51 Total foreign : September : 150.84 604.29 114.67 103.31 611.59 97.11 166.40 October : 148.90 607.70 116.72 105.53 614.86 100.31 163.23 Major exporters 4/ : September : 31.69 191.99 6.88 65.58 146.23 55.00 29.32 October : 31.25 195.08 6.98 66.28 147.33 56.50 29.48 Argentina Sep : 0.41 8.00 0.01 0.08 5.18 2.50 0.73 Oct : 0.41 8.00 0.01 0.08 5.18 2.50 0.74 Australia Sep : 5.51 23.00 0.08 4.00 7.05 15.50 6.04 Oct : 5.52 23.50 0.08 4.00 7.05 15.50 6.55 Canada Sep : 6.56 22.50 0.30 2.50 7.00 17.00 5.36 Oct : 6.56 24.50 0.40 2.20 7.10 18.50 5.86 EU-27 5/ Sep : 19.21 138.49 6.50 59.00 127.00 20.00 17.20 Oct : 18.76 139.08 6.50 60.00 128.00 20.00 16.35 Major importers 6/ : September : 74.85 183.19 64.15 7.83 227.70 5.35 89.14 October : 73.98 182.69 65.05 9.33 229.90 5.75 86.07 Brazil Sep : 1.35 5.50 5.50 0.20 10.90 0.40 1.05 Oct : 1.35 4.50 6.50 0.70 11.40 0.40 0.55 China Sep : 48.72 114.50 0.30 4.00 101.00 1.50 61.02 Oct : 48.72 114.50 0.30 5.00 102.00 1.50 60.02 Sel. Mideast 7/Sep : 8.15 15.03 17.75 1.32 30.62 0.66 9.65 Oct : 8.01 15.03 18.05 1.32 31.02 0.66 9.41 N. Africa 8/ Sep : 10.11 19.03 18.95 0.10 37.88 0.24 9.98 Oct : 9.90 19.53 18.55 0.10 38.18 0.24 9.57 Pakistan Sep : 1.88 24.00 1.00 0.40 23.30 1.00 2.58 Oct : 1.87 24.00 1.00 0.40 23.30 1.00 2.57 SE Asia 9/ Sep : 2.78 0.00 12.05 1.41 11.81 0.33 2.70 Oct : 2.43 0.00 12.05 1.41 11.81 0.33 2.35 Selected other : India Sep : 13.44 80.58 0.00 0.10 76.88 0.20 16.94 Oct : 13.54 80.58 0.00 0.10 76.88 0.20 17.04 FSU-12 Sep : 18.55 105.01 4.98 26.03 78.28 31.44 18.82 Oct : 18.51 106.42 5.05 26.03 78.28 32.44 19.27 Russia Sep : 8.43 56.50 0.20 17.00 39.70 16.50 8.93 Oct : 8.43 57.50 0.20 17.50 40.20 16.50 9.43 Kazakhstan Sep : 1.90 14.50 0.05 2.70 7.55 6.50 2.40 Oct : 1.90 15.00 0.05 2.70 7.55 7.00 2.40 Ukraine Sep : 3.14 20.00 0.10 3.30 12.60 8.00 2.64 Oct : 3.11 20.00 0.10 2.80 12.10 8.50 2.61 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and the EU-27. 5/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 6/ Brazil, China, Japan, Mexico, N. Africa, Pakistan, selected Middle East, and Southeast Asia. 7/ Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, United Arab Emirates, and Oman. 8/ Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia. 9/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-475-20 October 2009 World Coarse Grain Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 : World 3/ : 139.27 1076.61 126.57 655.31 1055.64 127.21 160.24 United States : 36.17 349.86 3.45 157.23 274.53 69.89 45.06 Total foreign : 103.10 726.75 123.12 498.08 781.11 57.32 115.19 Major exporters 4/ : 8.94 80.04 3.56 35.18 50.14 30.14 12.25 Argentina : 2.10 26.97 0.13 7.24 9.90 16.93 2.37 Australia : 1.56 11.55 0.03 5.17 6.47 4.44 2.22 Canada : 3.50 27.82 3.27 18.43 24.02 6.57 4.01 Major importers 5/ : 36.03 216.91 97.78 237.15 310.61 5.41 34.71 EU-27 6/ : 15.14 135.89 20.30 118.90 154.05 4.63 12.64 Japan : 1.76 0.20 19.21 14.53 19.44 0.00 1.72 Mexico : 3.39 30.78 10.98 23.66 40.43 0.11 4.61 N. Afr & Mideast 7/: 8.54 24.94 19.61 39.05 46.00 0.02 7.07 Saudi Arabia : 2.63 0.33 9.36 9.43 9.67 0.00 2.65 Southeast Asia 8/ : 2.57 24.37 4.31 20.00 27.41 0.65 3.19 South Korea : 1.32 0.35 9.36 7.10 8.94 0.00 2.08 Selected other : Brazil : 3.77 61.34 0.97 38.18 45.28 7.94 12.87 China : 38.03 159.10 1.16 105.82 157.01 0.85 40.43 FSU-12 : 5.05 53.91 1.00 34.69 50.29 5.26 4.41 Russia : 1.70 29.33 0.52 18.73 28.88 1.22 1.45 Ukraine : 2.12 14.59 0.03 8.96 12.01 3.14 1.58 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) : World 3/ : 160.24 1101.94 106.60 641.91 1071.64 108.00 190.54 United States : 45.06 326.11 3.07 142.18 275.98 51.17 47.08 Total foreign : 115.19 775.83 103.53 499.73 795.65 56.83 143.46 Major exporters 4/ : 12.25 67.98 2.14 31.46 47.28 20.30 14.79 Argentina : 2.37 16.43 0.13 5.71 8.37 9.11 1.45 Australia : 2.22 11.12 0.00 4.57 5.92 4.78 2.64 Canada : 4.01 27.17 1.86 16.64 22.81 3.88 6.36 Major importers 5/ : 34.71 243.46 78.98 231.52 308.75 6.54 41.85 EU-27 6/ : 12.64 161.58 3.19 112.60 150.80 5.56 21.04 Japan : 1.72 0.22 19.69 14.87 19.79 0.00 1.84 Mexico : 4.61 32.28 10.15 25.44 42.41 0.10 4.53 N. Afr & Mideast 7/: 7.07 24.19 21.43 38.47 45.53 0.16 7.01 Saudi Arabia : 2.65 0.34 9.30 9.53 9.78 0.00 2.51 Southeast Asia 8/ : 3.19 24.43 3.63 20.06 27.86 0.72 2.66 South Korea : 2.08 0.36 7.07 6.15 7.93 0.00 1.58 Selected other : Brazil : 12.87 53.55 1.21 39.18 47.40 7.53 12.69 China : 40.43 173.20 1.59 110.84 160.83 0.31 54.07 FSU-12 : 4.41 78.14 0.61 39.69 56.30 17.20 9.67 Russia : 1.45 40.70 0.20 21.85 32.75 4.82 4.78 Ukraine : 1.58 26.22 0.03 9.60 12.87 11.91 3.06 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. Coarse grains include corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains). 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and South Africa. 5/ The EU-27, Mexico, Japan, selected North Africa and Middle East, South Korea, Southeast Asia, and Taiwan. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia, and Turkey. 8/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-475-21 October 2009 World Coarse Grain Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 3/ : September : 188.34 1090.04 108.28 651.83 1099.29 111.90 179.09 October : 190.54 1092.53 107.18 655.29 1103.43 110.48 179.65 United States : September : 47.25 344.98 2.67 143.08 289.47 59.82 45.62 October : 47.08 346.40 2.67 143.87 290.38 58.55 47.22 Total foreign : September : 141.10 745.06 105.61 508.75 809.82 52.08 133.48 October : 143.46 746.14 104.51 511.42 813.05 51.93 132.43 Major exporters 4/ : September : 13.44 63.80 3.80 33.41 49.48 19.47 12.09 October : 14.79 64.34 2.23 31.64 47.74 19.72 13.90 Argentina Sep : 1.80 19.47 0.03 6.76 9.47 9.91 1.92 Oct : 1.45 19.47 0.03 6.16 8.87 9.91 2.17 Australia Sep : 2.63 11.56 0.00 5.57 6.94 4.41 2.84 Oct : 2.64 11.56 0.00 5.22 6.59 4.66 2.95 Canada Sep : 5.56 21.80 3.57 16.33 22.69 3.63 4.61 Oct : 6.36 22.31 2.07 15.51 21.87 3.63 5.24 Major importers 5/ : September : 41.98 233.83 79.59 232.65 311.34 5.94 38.12 October : 41.85 236.36 79.86 234.75 313.38 5.44 39.26 EU-27 6/ Sep : 21.04 149.31 2.93 112.45 151.15 4.81 17.32 Oct : 21.04 151.08 2.93 113.33 151.93 4.31 18.82 Japan Sep : 1.84 0.19 19.29 14.51 19.43 0.00 1.89 Oct : 1.84 0.19 19.44 14.66 19.58 0.00 1.89 Mexico Sep : 4.53 29.88 11.65 25.08 42.30 0.05 3.71 Oct : 4.53 29.88 11.85 25.83 43.05 0.05 3.16 N Afr/M.East 7/Sep : 7.14 28.60 19.83 40.08 47.46 0.20 7.91 Oct : 7.01 29.36 19.73 40.39 47.80 0.20 8.10 Saudi Arabia Sep : 2.51 0.34 9.30 9.43 9.68 0.00 2.47 Oct : 2.51 0.34 9.30 9.43 9.68 0.00 2.47 S.-east Asia 8/Sep : 2.66 25.06 4.33 20.46 28.56 0.89 2.60 Oct : 2.66 25.06 4.33 20.46 28.56 0.89 2.60 South Korea Sep : 1.58 0.35 7.57 6.05 7.93 0.00 1.57 Oct : 1.58 0.35 7.57 6.05 7.93 0.00 1.57 Selected other : Brazil Sep : 11.67 54.51 0.75 40.18 47.75 9.10 10.08 Oct : 12.69 54.51 0.75 40.68 48.28 9.10 10.58 China Sep : 54.20 167.00 1.59 115.67 166.47 0.62 55.70 Oct : 54.07 162.00 1.59 116.68 167.88 0.57 49.21 FSU-12 Sep : 9.57 63.47 0.41 38.19 54.40 12.10 6.96 Oct : 9.67 65.47 0.56 39.25 55.56 12.15 7.99 Russia Sep : 4.73 30.40 0.20 20.75 31.05 2.30 1.98 Oct : 4.78 32.10 0.30 21.25 31.65 2.35 3.18 Ukraine Sep : 3.06 22.45 0.02 9.70 13.10 9.02 3.41 Oct : 3.06 22.95 0.02 10.45 13.85 9.02 3.16 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. Coarse grains include corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains). 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and South Africa. 5/ The EU-27, Mexico, Japan, selected North Africa and Middle East, South Korea, Southeast Asia, and Taiwan. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia, and Turkey. 8/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-475-22 October 2009 World Corn Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 : World 3/ : 109.12 791.87 98.35 496.38 770.72 98.61 130.27 United States : 33.11 331.18 0.51 150.21 261.63 61.91 41.26 Total foreign : 76.01 460.69 97.84 346.17 509.09 36.70 89.02 Major exporters 4/ : 3.32 35.16 0.15 9.40 16.20 16.96 5.48 Argentina : 1.66 22.00 0.12 5.10 7.00 14.80 1.99 South Africa : 1.66 13.16 0.03 4.30 9.20 2.16 3.49 Major importers 5/ : 17.09 101.77 62.46 118.90 163.38 1.32 16.61 Egypt : 0.92 6.17 4.15 8.30 10.40 0.00 0.85 EU-27 6/ : 7.38 47.55 14.02 51.00 63.90 0.59 4.46 Japan : 1.15 0.00 16.61 12.00 16.60 0.00 1.16 Mexico : 3.08 23.60 9.56 16.20 32.00 0.11 4.13 Southeast Asia 7/ : 2.56 24.32 4.28 19.95 27.35 0.62 3.19 South Korea : 1.32 0.08 9.31 7.05 8.63 0.00 2.08 Selected other : Brazil : 3.59 58.60 0.68 36.00 42.50 7.79 12.58 Canada : 1.34 11.65 3.18 10.18 13.77 0.94 1.46 China : 36.60 152.30 0.04 105.00 149.00 0.55 39.39 FSU-12 : 1.77 13.79 0.62 11.16 12.90 2.13 1.14 Ukraine : 1.07 7.40 0.02 5.00 5.75 2.07 0.67 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) : World 3/ : 130.27 791.28 78.24 477.06 774.72 79.49 146.84 United States : 41.26 307.39 0.36 132.88 259.28 47.20 42.52 Total foreign : 89.02 483.90 77.89 344.18 515.44 32.30 104.32 Major exporters 4/ : 5.48 25.35 0.15 8.70 15.70 10.00 5.28 Argentina : 1.99 12.60 0.13 4.20 6.10 7.50 1.11 South Africa : 3.49 12.75 0.03 4.50 9.60 2.50 4.17 Major importers 5/ : 16.61 118.41 45.60 113.45 160.20 2.55 17.87 Egypt : 0.85 6.22 4.20 8.10 10.30 0.00 0.96 EU-27 6/ : 4.46 62.69 2.50 46.50 61.00 1.75 6.90 Japan : 1.16 0.00 16.50 11.80 16.40 0.00 1.27 Mexico : 4.13 25.00 7.40 16.60 32.60 0.10 3.83 Southeast Asia 7/ : 3.19 24.37 3.60 20.00 27.80 0.70 2.66 South Korea : 2.08 0.09 7.00 6.10 7.60 0.00 1.58 Selected other : Brazil : 12.58 51.00 0.80 37.00 44.50 7.50 12.38 Canada : 1.46 10.59 1.80 7.52 11.62 0.38 1.86 China : 39.39 165.90 0.05 110.00 152.00 0.25 53.09 FSU-12 : 1.14 21.32 0.32 12.47 14.36 6.88 1.54 Ukraine : 0.67 11.40 0.03 4.90 5.65 5.50 0.94 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina and South Africa. 5/ Egypt, the EU-27, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Southeast Asia. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-475-23 October 2009 World Corn Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 3/ : September : 144.69 794.06 83.40 485.99 799.62 85.72 139.12 October : 146.84 792.54 81.92 488.91 803.14 84.40 136.25 United States : September : 43.07 329.06 0.25 135.90 274.97 55.88 41.53 October : 42.52 330.67 0.25 137.17 276.36 54.61 42.47 Total foreign : September : 101.62 465.00 83.15 350.10 524.65 29.84 97.60 October : 104.32 461.87 81.67 351.75 526.77 29.79 93.77 Major exporters 4/ : September : 4.60 24.50 0.13 8.70 15.70 9.50 4.03 October : 5.28 24.50 0.05 8.70 15.70 9.50 4.63 Argentina Sep : 1.31 14.00 0.03 4.00 5.90 8.00 1.44 Oct : 1.11 14.00 0.03 4.00 5.90 8.00 1.24 South Africa Sep : 3.29 10.50 0.10 4.70 9.80 1.50 2.59 Oct : 4.17 10.50 0.03 4.70 9.80 1.50 3.39 Major importers 5/ : September : 17.87 109.84 48.40 111.45 159.20 2.41 14.50 October : 17.87 110.54 48.40 112.45 160.20 2.41 14.20 Egypt Sep : 0.96 6.30 4.20 8.30 10.60 0.00 0.86 Oct : 0.96 6.30 4.20 8.30 10.60 0.00 0.86 EU-27 6/ Sep : 6.90 55.87 2.50 44.50 59.30 1.50 4.47 Oct : 6.90 56.57 2.50 45.00 59.80 1.50 4.67 Japan Sep : 1.27 0.00 16.30 11.70 16.30 0.00 1.27 Oct : 1.27 0.00 16.30 11.70 16.30 0.00 1.27 Mexico Sep : 3.83 22.50 9.00 16.00 32.20 0.05 3.08 Oct : 3.83 22.50 9.00 16.50 32.70 0.05 2.58 S.-east Asia 7/Sep : 2.66 25.00 4.30 20.40 28.50 0.86 2.60 Oct : 2.66 25.00 4.30 20.40 28.50 0.86 2.60 South Korea Sep : 1.58 0.09 7.50 6.00 7.60 0.00 1.57 Oct : 1.58 0.09 7.50 6.00 7.60 0.00 1.57 Selected other : Brazil Sep : 11.38 52.00 0.50 38.00 45.00 9.00 9.88 Oct : 12.38 52.00 0.50 38.50 45.50 9.00 10.38 Canada Sep : 1.06 9.40 3.50 8.40 12.70 0.30 0.96 Oct : 1.86 9.70 2.00 7.50 11.80 0.30 1.46 China Sep : 53.09 160.00 0.05 115.00 158.00 0.50 54.64 Oct : 53.09 155.00 0.05 116.00 159.00 0.50 48.64 FSU-12 Sep : 1.49 16.82 0.19 11.46 13.24 3.38 1.88 Oct : 1.54 16.77 0.34 11.86 13.64 3.23 1.78 Ukraine Sep : 0.94 8.50 0.01 4.40 5.15 3.00 1.30 Oct : 0.94 9.00 0.01 4.90 5.65 3.00 1.30 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina and South Africa. 5/ Egypt, the EU-27, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Southeast Asia. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-475-24 October 2009 World Rice Supply and Use (Milled Basis) 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total 2/: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 World 3/ : 75.10 433.40 29.20 428.12 31.09 80.38 United States : 1.27 6.34 0.76 4.08 3.35 0.94 Total foreign : 73.83 427.05 28.44 424.04 27.74 79.44 Major exporters 4/ : 16.03 146.06 0.31 121.92 22.31 18.18 India : 11.43 96.69 0.00 90.47 4.65 13.00 Pakistan : 0.70 5.70 0.00 2.45 3.00 0.95 Thailand : 2.51 19.30 0.01 9.60 10.01 2.21 Vietnam : 1.39 24.38 0.30 19.40 4.65 2.02 Major importers 5/ : 13.70 63.27 11.39 73.21 0.72 14.43 Brazil : 1.16 8.20 0.42 8.25 0.55 0.97 EU-27 6/ : 1.14 1.82 1.57 3.25 0.15 1.13 Indonesia : 4.61 37.00 0.35 36.35 0.00 5.61 Nigeria : 0.47 3.00 1.80 4.50 0.00 0.77 Philippines : 4.87 10.48 2.57 13.50 0.00 4.42 Sel. Mideast 7/ : 1.34 2.38 3.44 5.70 0.02 1.43 Selected other : Burma : 0.60 10.73 0.05 10.25 0.54 0.59 C. Amer & Carib 8/ : 0.48 1.30 1.56 2.96 0.00 0.38 China : 35.92 129.85 0.30 127.45 0.97 37.64 Egypt : 0.37 4.39 0.02 3.34 0.75 0.69 Japan : 2.41 7.93 0.60 8.18 0.20 2.56 Mexico : 0.14 0.18 0.58 0.70 0.01 0.19 South Korea : 0.70 4.41 0.25 4.67 0.00 0.69 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) World 3/ : 80.38 445.67 27.03 435.34 27.83 90.71 United States : 0.94 6.52 0.61 4.10 2.99 0.97 Total foreign : 79.44 439.15 26.42 431.24 24.84 89.74 Major exporters 4/ : 18.18 149.28 0.80 125.99 19.20 23.06 India : 13.00 99.15 0.00 93.15 2.00 17.00 Pakistan : 0.95 6.30 0.00 3.40 3.00 0.85 Thailand : 2.21 19.40 0.30 10.29 8.50 3.12 Vietnam : 2.02 24.43 0.50 19.15 5.70 2.10 Major importers 5/ : 14.43 64.64 11.46 74.91 0.62 15.00 Brazil : 0.97 8.60 0.47 8.66 0.45 0.93 EU-27 6/ : 1.13 1.68 1.35 3.00 0.14 1.02 Indonesia : 5.61 38.30 0.25 37.09 0.01 7.06 Nigeria : 0.77 3.20 1.60 5.00 0.00 0.57 Philippines : 4.42 10.75 2.60 13.65 0.00 4.12 Sel. Mideast 7/ : 1.43 1.67 4.06 5.93 0.02 1.21 Selected other : Burma : 0.59 10.15 0.03 9.55 1.00 0.22 C. Amer & Carib 8/ : 0.38 1.41 1.27 2.76 0.00 0.30 China : 37.64 134.33 0.33 129.30 0.80 42.20 Egypt : 0.69 4.39 0.02 4.00 0.30 0.79 Japan : 2.56 8.03 0.70 8.37 0.20 2.72 Mexico : 0.19 0.18 0.50 0.74 0.01 0.12 South Korea : 0.69 4.84 0.28 5.01 0.00 0.81 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. Total domestic includes both domestic use and unreported disappearance. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in some countries. 4/ India, Pakistan, Thailand, and Vietnam. 5/ Brazil, Indonesia, Hong Kong, Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Philippines, selected Middle East, and the EU-27. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Selected Middle East includes Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. 8/ Central American and Caribbean countries. WASDE-475-25 October 2009 World Rice Supply and Use (Milled Basis) 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total 2/: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 3/ : September : 89.32 433.54 27.10 437.98 29.34 84.88 October : 90.71 433.65 27.45 438.46 29.81 85.90 United States : September : 0.97 6.99 0.67 4.14 3.07 1.43 October : 0.97 7.06 0.67 4.14 3.07 1.49 Total foreign : September : 88.35 426.54 26.43 433.84 26.27 83.45 October : 89.74 426.60 26.78 434.33 26.74 84.41 Major exporters 4/ : September : 22.34 133.79 0.51 120.95 19.80 15.89 October : 23.06 133.79 0.51 120.95 20.30 16.12 India Sep : 17.00 84.00 0.00 89.50 1.50 10.00 Oct : 17.00 84.00 0.00 89.50 1.50 10.00 Pakistan Sep : 0.85 6.00 0.00 2.70 3.30 0.85 Oct : 0.85 6.00 0.00 2.70 3.30 0.85 Thailand Sep : 3.12 20.00 0.01 9.60 10.00 3.52 Oct : 3.12 20.00 0.01 9.60 10.00 3.52 Vietnam Sep : 1.37 23.80 0.50 19.15 5.00 1.52 Oct : 2.10 23.80 0.50 19.15 5.50 1.74 Major importers 5/ : September : 14.27 65.22 11.47 76.37 0.60 13.98 October : 15.00 65.04 11.62 76.18 0.64 14.84 Brazil Sep : 0.93 8.84 0.60 8.84 0.45 1.08 Oct : 0.93 8.84 0.60 8.84 0.45 1.08 EU-27 6/ Sep : 1.05 1.94 1.25 2.99 0.10 1.15 Oct : 1.02 1.93 1.40 3.10 0.14 1.12 Indonesia Sep : 6.60 37.60 0.30 37.69 0.00 6.81 Oct : 7.06 37.60 0.30 37.40 0.00 7.56 Nigeria Sep : 0.57 3.40 1.60 5.10 0.00 0.47 Oct : 0.57 3.40 1.60 5.10 0.00 0.47 Philippines Sep : 3.82 10.87 2.40 14.01 0.00 3.09 Oct : 4.12 10.71 2.40 14.01 0.00 3.23 Sel. Mideast 7/Sep : 1.21 2.07 4.17 6.09 0.05 1.30 Oct : 1.21 2.07 4.17 6.09 0.05 1.30 Selected other : Burma Sep : 0.22 10.73 0.00 9.75 1.00 0.20 Oct : 0.22 10.73 0.00 9.75 1.00 0.20 C. Am & Car. 8/Sep : 0.30 1.50 1.50 2.97 0.00 0.33 Oct : 0.30 1.46 1.53 2.97 0.00 0.32 China Sep : 42.20 135.10 0.35 131.85 1.30 44.50 Oct : 42.20 136.00 0.35 132.50 1.30 44.75 Egypt Sep : 0.74 4.37 0.01 3.99 0.60 0.54 Oct : 0.79 4.37 0.01 4.00 0.50 0.68 Japan Sep : 2.72 7.62 0.70 8.20 0.20 2.64 Oct : 2.72 7.62 0.70 8.20 0.20 2.64 Mexico Sep : 0.09 0.24 0.60 0.78 0.01 0.15 Oct : 0.12 0.19 0.60 0.78 0.01 0.12 South Korea Sep : 0.81 4.50 0.30 4.75 0.00 0.86 Oct : 0.81 4.50 0.30 4.75 0.00 0.86 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. Total domestic includes both domestic use and unreported disappearance. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in some countries. 4/ India, Pakistan, Thailand, and Vietnam. 5/ Brazil, Indonesia, Hong Kong, Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Philippines, selected Middle East, the EU-27. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Selected Middle East includes Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. 8/ Central American and Caribbean countries. WASDE-475-26 October 2009 World Cotton Supply and Use 1/ (Million 480-pound bales) ================================================================================ : Supply : Use : : Region :=========================:================: Loss : Ending :Beginning:Produc-:Imports:Domestic:Exports: 2/ : stocks : stocks : tion : : : : : ================================================================================ : : 2007/08 : World : 63.29 120.51 38.31 122.76 38.34 -2.06 63.07 United States : 9.48 19.21 0.01 4.59 13.65 0.41 10.04 Total foreign : 53.81 101.30 38.30 118.17 24.68 -2.47 53.03 Major exporters 4/ : 20.14 47.07 1.56 28.18 20.97 -0.16 19.78 Central Asia 5/ : 2.27 8.20 0.04 1.61 6.30 0.00 2.60 Afr. Fr. Zone 6/ : 1.13 2.46 3/ 0.19 2.58 0.00 0.82 S. Hemis. 7/ : 7.96 9.72 0.53 6.00 4.09 -0.18 8.30 Australia : 1.18 0.64 3/ 0.05 1.22 -0.05 0.60 Brazil : 5.41 7.36 0.16 4.60 2.23 -0.15 6.25 India : 7.66 24.60 0.60 18.60 7.03 0.00 7.23 Major importers 8/ : 31.65 51.46 34.12 85.52 2.66 -2.31 31.37 Mexico : 1.03 0.62 1.53 2.00 0.22 0.03 0.93 China : 20.54 37.00 11.53 51.50 0.06 -2.50 20.00 EU-27 9/ : 0.83 1.74 1.58 1.81 1.62 0.05 0.67 Turkey : 1.95 3.10 3.27 6.00 0.37 0.00 1.95 Pakistan : 4.88 8.90 3.91 12.00 0.27 0.03 5.39 Indonesia : 0.35 0.03 2.30 2.23 0.02 0.05 0.39 Thailand : 0.35 0.02 1.93 1.95 0.00 0.03 0.32 Bangladesh : 0.51 0.04 2.80 2.75 0.00 0.01 0.58 Vietnam : 0.22 0.03 1.16 1.15 0.00 0.00 0.25 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) : World : 63.07 107.58 29.27 110.40 29.61 -2.59 62.50 United States : 10.04 12.82 3/ 3.59 13.28 -0.34 6.34 Total foreign : 53.03 94.76 29.27 106.81 16.33 -2.25 56.17 Major exporters 4/ : 19.78 42.34 1.37 26.91 13.38 -0.19 23.39 Central Asia 5/ : 2.60 7.12 0.01 1.60 3.93 0.00 4.19 Afr. Fr. Zone 6/ : 0.82 2.41 3/ 0.19 2.17 0.00 0.87 S. Hemis. 7/ : 8.30 8.70 0.31 5.52 4.60 -0.20 7.40 Australia : 0.60 1.50 3/ 0.05 1.20 -0.07 0.93 Brazil : 6.25 5.50 0.05 4.20 2.74 -0.15 5.01 India : 7.23 22.50 0.63 17.90 2.30 0.00 10.16 Major importers 8/ : 31.37 49.54 25.49 75.60 1.93 -2.06 30.93 Mexico : 0.93 0.58 1.32 1.85 0.18 0.03 0.77 China : 20.00 36.70 7.00 45.00 0.08 -2.25 20.87 EU-27 9/ : 0.67 1.24 0.97 1.15 1.01 0.05 0.67 Turkey : 1.95 1.93 2.89 5.00 0.14 0.00 1.63 Pakistan : 5.39 9.00 2.20 11.50 0.43 0.03 4.64 Indonesia : 0.39 0.03 2.00 2.00 0.02 0.05 0.35 Thailand : 0.32 0.02 1.60 1.60 0.00 0.03 0.30 Bangladesh : 0.58 0.04 2.95 2.90 0.00 0.01 0.66 Vietnam : 0.25 0.01 1.14 1.15 0.00 0.00 0.25 ================================================================================ 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add exactly and trade may not balance due to rounding and other factors. 2/ Generally reflects cotton lost or destroyed in the marketing channel; for Australia, Brazil, China, and the United States, reflects the difference between implicit stocks based on supply less total use and indicated ending stocks. 3/ Less than 5,000 bales. 4/ Includes Egypt and Syria in addition to the countries and regions listed. 5/ Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan. 6/ Benin, Burkino Faso, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Cote d'Ivoire, Mali, Niger, Senegal, and Togo. 7/ Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Paraguay, South Africa, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe. 8/ In addition to the countries and regions listed, includes Hong Kong, Japan, Russia, South Korea, and Taiwan. 9/ Includes intra-EU trade. WASDE-475-27 October 2009 World Cotton Supply and Use 1/ (Million 480-pound bales) ================================================================================ : Supply : Use : : Region :=========================:================: Loss : Ending :Beginning:Produc-:Imports:Domestic:Exports: 2/ : stocks : stocks : tion : : : : : ================================================================================ : : 2009/10 (Projected) World : September : 61.47 105.06 32.02 112.74 31.99 -2.45 56.26 October : 62.50 103.78 31.97 112.64 31.95 -2.46 56.13 United States : September : 6.20 13.44 0.01 3.50 10.50 0.04 5.60 October : 6.34 13.00 0.01 3.40 10.50 0.04 5.40 Total foreign : September : 55.27 91.62 32.01 109.24 21.49 -2.50 50.66 October : 56.17 90.78 31.97 109.24 21.45 -2.50 50.73 Major exporters 4/ : September : 23.42 42.94 1.26 27.42 18.66 -0.19 21.73 October : 23.39 43.12 1.21 27.42 18.62 -0.19 21.87 Central Asia 5/Sep : 4.20 6.35 0.01 1.50 5.92 0.00 3.14 Oct : 4.19 6.10 0.01 1.50 5.77 0.00 3.03 Afr. Fr. Zn. 6/Sep : 0.87 2.34 3/ 0.19 2.21 0.00 0.82 Oct : 0.87 2.34 3/ 0.19 2.21 0.00 0.82 S. Hemis 7/ Sep : 7.41 8.85 0.42 5.51 4.16 -0.20 7.22 Oct : 7.40 9.03 0.37 5.51 4.17 -0.20 7.32 Australia Sep : 0.94 1.80 3/ 0.04 1.60 -0.07 1.17 Oct : 0.93 1.80 3/ 0.04 1.60 -0.07 1.16 Brazil Sep : 5.01 5.40 0.10 4.20 1.80 -0.15 4.66 Oct : 5.01 5.40 0.10 4.20 1.80 -0.15 4.66 India Sep : 10.16 24.00 0.40 18.50 6.10 0.00 9.96 Oct : 10.16 24.25 0.40 18.50 6.20 0.00 10.11 Major importers 8/ : September : 30.01 45.87 28.27 77.57 1.74 -2.31 27.15 October : 30.93 44.90 28.27 77.57 1.75 -2.31 27.09 Mexico Sep : 0.77 0.40 1.60 1.90 0.10 0.03 0.75 Oct : 0.77 0.42 1.60 1.90 0.10 0.03 0.76 China Sep : 19.97 33.50 8.00 46.25 0.08 -2.50 17.64 Oct : 20.87 32.50 8.00 46.25 0.08 -2.50 17.54 EU-27 9/ Sep : 0.66 0.97 0.95 1.05 0.93 0.05 0.56 Oct : 0.67 0.99 0.95 1.05 0.94 0.05 0.56 Turkey Sep : 1.63 1.70 3.30 5.10 0.10 0.00 1.43 Oct : 1.63 1.70 3.30 5.10 0.10 0.00 1.43 Pakistan Sep : 4.64 9.20 3.00 12.00 0.40 0.03 4.41 Oct : 4.64 9.20 3.00 12.00 0.40 0.03 4.41 Indonesia Sep : 0.35 0.03 2.08 2.05 0.02 0.05 0.33 Oct : 0.35 0.03 2.08 2.05 0.02 0.05 0.33 Thailand Sep : 0.30 0.01 1.73 1.70 0.00 0.03 0.31 Oct : 0.30 0.01 1.73 1.70 0.00 0.03 0.31 Bangladesh Sep : 0.66 0.04 3.05 3.05 0.00 0.01 0.70 Oct : 0.66 0.04 3.05 3.05 0.00 0.01 0.70 Vietnam Sep : 0.25 0.01 1.20 1.20 0.00 0.00 0.26 Oct : 0.25 0.01 1.20 1.20 0.00 0.00 0.26 ================================================================================ 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add exactly and trade may not balance due to rounding and other factors. 2/ Generally reflects cotton lost or destroyed in the marketing channel; for Australia, Brazil, and the United States, reflects the difference between implicit stocks based on supply less total use and indicated ending stocks. 3/ Less than 5,000 bales. 4/ Includes Egypt and Syria in addition to the countries and regions listed. 5/ Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan. 6/ Benin, Burkino Faso, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Cote d'Ivoire, Mali, Niger, Senegal, and Togo. 7/ Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Paraguay, South Africa, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe. 8/ In addition to the countries and regions listed, includes Hong Kong, Japan, Russia, South Korea, and Taiwan. 9/ Includes intra-EU trade. WASDE-475-28 October 2009 World Soybean Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Domestic : : : stocks : tion :Imports: Crush : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 World 2/ : 62.89 221.13 78.16 201.93 229.75 79.52 52.91 United States : 15.62 72.86 0.27 49.08 51.63 31.54 5.58 Total foreign : 47.27 148.27 77.89 152.85 178.13 47.98 47.33 Major exporters 3/ : 40.98 114.10 3.12 68.12 72.78 44.60 40.81 Argentina : 22.61 46.20 2.95 34.61 36.16 13.84 21.76 Brazil : 18.19 61.00 0.15 32.11 35.07 25.36 18.90 Major importers 4/ : 4.42 16.02 64.01 62.88 78.36 0.53 5.57 China : 2.70 14.00 37.82 39.52 49.82 0.45 4.25 EU-27 : 1.12 0.72 15.12 14.87 16.11 0.04 0.81 Japan : 0.26 0.23 4.01 2.89 4.22 0.01 0.27 Mexico : 0.04 0.08 3.61 3.68 3.71 0.00 0.02 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) World 2/ : 52.91 210.64 75.24 191.98 219.80 76.93 42.05 United States : 5.58 80.75 0.41 45.23 48.14 34.84 3.76 Total foreign : 47.33 129.89 74.83 146.75 171.66 42.09 38.29 Major exporters 3/ : 40.81 92.90 1.35 64.62 69.07 38.27 27.72 Argentina : 21.76 32.00 1.29 31.73 33.09 5.89 16.08 Brazil : 18.90 57.00 0.05 31.40 34.37 29.99 11.60 Major importers 4/ : 5.57 17.52 63.48 61.27 76.65 0.48 9.43 China : 4.25 15.50 40.70 41.04 51.34 0.42 8.69 EU-27 : 0.81 0.65 13.00 12.70 13.93 0.03 0.51 Japan : 0.27 0.23 3.45 2.54 3.85 0.00 0.10 Mexico : 0.02 0.16 3.10 3.22 3.25 0.00 0.03 : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 2/ : September : 40.22 243.94 75.04 201.01 231.63 77.04 50.53 October : 42.05 246.07 76.14 201.02 231.62 77.85 54.79 United States : September : 3.00 88.32 0.27 45.99 50.77 34.84 6.00 October : 3.76 88.45 0.27 45.99 50.72 35.52 6.25 Total foreign : September : 37.22 155.61 74.77 155.02 180.87 42.21 44.53 October : 38.29 157.61 75.87 155.03 180.90 42.34 48.54 Major exporters 3/ : September : 27.11 118.75 0.67 68.65 73.44 38.12 34.96 October : 27.72 121.20 0.67 68.15 72.94 38.25 38.39 Argentina Sep : 15.24 51.00 0.50 35.50 37.13 9.70 19.91 Oct : 16.08 52.50 0.50 35.00 36.63 9.70 22.75 Brazil Sep : 11.83 62.00 0.15 31.60 34.64 24.45 14.90 Oct : 11.60 62.00 0.15 31.60 34.64 23.65 15.47 Major importers 4/ : September : 8.98 17.27 62.37 63.81 79.49 0.56 8.58 October : 9.43 16.77 63.37 64.21 79.89 0.56 9.13 China Sep : 8.24 15.00 38.50 43.40 53.65 0.50 7.59 Oct : 8.69 14.50 39.50 43.80 54.05 0.50 8.14 EU-27 Sep : 0.51 0.95 12.40 12.10 13.24 0.03 0.59 Oct : 0.51 0.95 12.40 12.10 13.24 0.03 0.59 Japan Sep : 0.10 0.23 3.95 2.75 4.11 0.00 0.17 Oct : 0.10 0.23 3.95 2.75 4.11 0.00 0.17 Mexico Sep : 0.03 0.12 3.54 3.62 3.65 0.00 0.03 Oct : 0.03 0.12 3.54 3.62 3.65 0.00 0.03 =============================================================================== 1/ Data based on local marketing years except Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay. 4/ Japan, China, and EU, Mexico, and Southeast Asia (includes Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand). WASDE-475-29 October 2009 World Soybean Meal Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total : : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 World 2/ : 6.52 158.52 54.32 157.47 55.78 6.11 United States : 0.31 38.36 0.13 30.15 8.38 0.27 Total foreign : 6.21 120.16 54.19 127.32 47.39 5.85 Major exporters 3/ : 3.82 58.48 0.19 14.94 43.74 3.81 Argentina : 1.48 27.07 0.00 0.62 26.82 1.11 Brazil : 1.91 24.89 0.18 12.26 12.14 2.59 India : 0.43 6.52 0.00 2.06 4.79 0.11 Major importers 4/ : 1.19 44.59 31.05 74.48 1.10 1.24 EU-27 : 0.86 11.72 24.07 35.17 0.41 1.07 China : 0.00 31.28 0.20 30.85 0.63 0.00 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) World 2/ : 6.11 150.94 51.63 151.87 52.37 4.44 United States : 0.27 35.57 0.09 27.85 7.80 0.27 Total foreign : 5.85 115.37 51.54 124.02 44.56 4.17 Major exporters 3/ : 3.81 55.13 0.11 15.56 40.50 2.99 Argentina : 1.11 24.81 0.00 0.63 24.35 0.94 Brazil : 2.59 24.33 0.11 12.44 13.00 1.58 India : 0.11 5.99 0.00 2.48 3.15 0.46 Major importers 4/ : 1.24 43.96 29.05 72.25 1.46 0.54 EU-27 : 1.07 10.01 21.80 32.08 0.40 0.39 China : 0.00 32.48 0.20 31.67 1.01 0.00 : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 2/ : September : 5.15 158.40 54.56 157.73 55.27 5.11 October : 4.44 158.41 54.01 157.62 54.86 4.37 United States : September : 0.27 36.50 0.15 27.94 8.71 0.27 October : 0.27 36.50 0.15 27.94 8.71 0.27 Total foreign : September : 4.88 121.90 54.41 129.79 46.56 4.84 October : 4.17 121.91 53.86 129.68 46.16 4.10 Major exporters 3/ : September : 3.77 58.64 0.16 15.92 43.01 3.63 October : 2.99 58.24 0.16 15.92 42.62 2.84 Argentina Sep : 1.13 27.77 0.00 0.68 27.11 1.12 Oct : 0.94 27.37 0.00 0.68 26.72 0.92 Brazil Sep : 2.18 24.49 0.15 12.60 12.00 2.22 Oct : 1.58 24.49 0.15 12.60 12.00 1.63 India Sep : 0.46 6.38 0.00 2.65 3.90 0.30 Oct : 0.46 6.38 0.00 2.65 3.90 0.30 Major importers 4/ : September : 0.54 45.49 31.00 75.42 1.05 0.56 October : 0.54 45.81 30.50 75.23 1.05 0.56 EU-27 Sep : 0.39 9.53 23.30 32.54 0.32 0.36 Oct : 0.39 9.53 22.80 32.04 0.32 0.36 China Sep : 0.00 34.35 0.20 33.87 0.68 0.00 Oct : 0.00 34.66 0.20 34.18 0.68 0.00 =============================================================================== 1/ Data based on local marketing years except for Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil, and India. 4/ Eastern Europe, China, EU, and Southeast Asia (includes Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand). WASDE-475-30 October 2009 World Soybean Oil Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total : : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 World 2/ : 3.34 37.55 10.40 37.60 10.87 2.82 United States : 1.40 9.34 0.03 8.32 1.32 1.13 Total foreign : 1.94 28.22 10.37 29.29 9.55 1.69 Major exporters 3/ : 0.94 15.45 1.11 8.28 8.51 0.71 Argentina : 0.38 6.63 0.00 1.00 5.79 0.22 Brazil : 0.35 6.16 0.07 3.91 2.39 0.28 EU-27 : 0.21 2.67 1.04 3.38 0.33 0.21 Major importers 4/ : 0.46 8.51 3.52 12.05 0.11 0.32 China : 0.25 7.05 2.73 9.69 0.10 0.23 India : 0.21 1.46 0.73 2.30 0.01 0.09 Pakistan : 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.00 0.01 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) World 2/ : 2.82 35.63 8.93 35.78 9.12 2.48 United States : 1.13 8.53 0.04 7.39 1.00 1.30 Total foreign : 1.69 27.10 8.89 28.38 8.12 1.18 Major exporters 3/ : 0.71 14.40 0.83 8.35 7.10 0.47 Argentina : 0.22 6.09 0.00 1.27 4.79 0.25 Brazil : 0.28 6.02 0.01 4.24 1.97 0.10 EU-27 : 0.21 2.29 0.82 2.85 0.35 0.12 Major importers 4/ : 0.32 8.65 3.34 11.86 0.09 0.36 China : 0.23 7.31 2.30 9.49 0.09 0.27 India : 0.09 1.34 1.00 2.33 0.01 0.09 Pakistan : 0.01 0.00 0.04 0.05 0.00 0.00 : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 2/ : September : 2.57 37.35 9.40 37.29 9.66 2.36 October : 2.48 37.33 9.18 37.20 9.59 2.21 United States : September : 1.41 8.70 0.03 7.49 1.47 1.18 October : 1.30 8.70 0.03 7.49 1.47 1.08 Total foreign : September : 1.16 28.65 9.37 29.81 8.19 1.18 October : 1.18 28.63 9.15 29.71 8.11 1.13 Major exporters 3/ : September : 0.50 15.06 0.85 8.66 7.25 0.50 October : 0.47 14.96 0.83 8.63 7.17 0.46 Argentina Sep : 0.15 6.82 0.00 1.43 5.38 0.16 Oct : 0.25 6.72 0.00 1.43 5.30 0.24 Brazil Sep : 0.23 6.06 0.05 4.41 1.70 0.23 Oct : 0.10 6.06 0.05 4.41 1.70 0.10 EU-27 Sep : 0.13 2.18 0.80 2.82 0.17 0.12 Oct : 0.12 2.18 0.78 2.79 0.17 0.12 Major importers 4/ : September : 0.35 9.17 3.31 12.35 0.11 0.36 October : 0.36 9.24 3.32 12.48 0.11 0.33 China Sep : 0.26 7.74 2.40 10.04 0.10 0.25 Oct : 0.27 7.81 2.40 10.16 0.10 0.22 India Sep : 0.09 1.43 0.89 2.29 0.01 0.11 Oct : 0.09 1.43 0.89 2.29 0.01 0.11 Pakistan Sep : 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 Oct : 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 =============================================================================== 1/ Data based on local marketing years except for Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil and EU. 4/ India, China and Pakistan. WASDE-475-31 October 2009 U.S. Quarterly Animal Product Production 1/ =============================================================================== Year : : : Red : : : Total: Red : : : and : : : meat : : :poultry: meat & : : : quarter : Beef : Pork : 2/ :Broiler:Turkey: 3/ : poultry: Egg : Milk : =============================================================================== : Million pounds Mil doz Bil lbs 2008 : IV : 6382 6098 12561 8865 1582 10576 23137 1907 46.7 Annual : 26561 23347 50225 36906 6246 43712 93937 7509 190.0 : 2009 : I : 6248 5811 12136 8574 1385 10077 22213 1857 47.4 II : 6602 5488 12165 8937 1420 10487 22652 1867 48.9 III* : 6685 5700 12459 9150 1430 10715 23174 1875 46.7 IV* : 6270 6010 12356 8950 1500 10580 22936 1905 46.0 Annual : Sep Proj : 25820 22939 49061 35611 5745 41864 90925 7514 188.4 Oct Proj : 25805 23009 49116 35611 5735 41859 90975 7504 188.9 : 2010 : I* : 6060 5685 11820 8700 1395 10220 22040 1865 46.7 II* : 6570 5340 11982 9050 1440 10610 22592 1880 48.2 III* : 6550 5440 12063 9250 1460 10835 22898 1895 46.3 Annual : Sep Proj : 25340 22550 48185 36150 5905 42535 90720 7605 186.7 Oct Proj : 25400 22435 48130 36150 5825 42475 90605 7585 187.2 =============================================================================== * Projection. 1/ Commercial production for red meats; federally inspected for poultry meats. 2/ Beef, pork, veal and lamb & mutton. 3/ Broilers, turkeys and mature chicken. U.S. Quarterly Prices for Animal Products 1/ =============================================================================== Year : Choice : Barrows : : : : : and : steers :and gilts : Broilers : Turkeys : Eggs : Milk : quarter : 2/ : 3/ : 4/ : 5/ : 6/ : 7/ : =============================================================================== : Dol./cwt Dol./cwt Cents/lb. Cents/lb. Cents/doz. Dol./cwt 2008 : IV : 88.22 41.92 79.4 87.3 122.6 16.80 Annual : 92.27 47.84 79.7 87.5 128.3 18.29 : 2009 : I : 80.98 42.11 79.7 73.8 109.7 12.23 II : 84.53 42.74 81.9 79.1 89.7 11.60 III* : 82.78 38.90 76.8 81.4 94.8 12.00 IV* : 83-87 34-36 73-75 81-85 96-100 13.65-14.05 Annual : Sep Proj : 83-84 39-40 79-80 80-81 97-99 12.05-12.25 Oct Proj : 83.32 39.69 78.1 79.3 98.1 12.35-12.45 : 2010 : I* : 83-89 39-41 75-81 71-77 101-109 13.70-14.40 II* : 87-95 43-47 77-83 77-83 97-105 14.10-15.10 III* : 89-97 47-51 79-85 82-88 96-104 14.95-15.95 Annual : Sep Proj : 88-95 43-47 79-86 79-86 99-107 14.55-15.55 Oct Proj : 87-94 43-46 77-83 77-83 99-107 14.70-15.60 =============================================================================== *Projection. 1/ Simple average of months. 2/ Nebraska, Direct, 1100-1300 lbs. 3/ National Base, Live equiv 51-52% lean. 4/ Wholesale, 12-city average. 5/ 8-12 lbs, hens Eastern Region. 6/ Grade A large, New York, volume buyers. 7/ Prices received by farmers for all milk. WASDE-475-32 October 2009 U.S. Meats Supply and Use =============================================================================== : Supply : Use :----------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : : : Disappearance : : Pro- : : : : :-------------- : Beg- : duc- : : : : End- : : Per Item :inning: tion : Im- : Total : Ex- : ing : :capita :stocks: 1/ :ports: supply: ports:stocks:Total : 2/ 3/ =============================================================================== : Million pounds 4/ BEEF : 2008 : 630 26663 2538 29831 1887 642 27302 62.8 2009 Proj. Sep : 642 25922 2815 29379 1730 590 27059 61.6 Oct : 642 25907 2765 29314 1730 590 26994 61.5 2010 Proj. Sep : 590 25442 2975 29007 1845 460 26702 60.2 Oct : 590 25502 2875 28967 1845 460 26662 60.1 : PORK : 2008 : 519 23367 832 24717 4667 635 19415 49.5 2009 Proj. Sep : 635 22959 801 24395 4160 685 19550 49.4 Oct : 635 23029 821 24485 4160 650 19675 49.7 2010 Proj. Sep : 685 22570 840 24095 4450 675 18970 47.4 Oct : 650 22455 860 23965 4450 650 18865 47.1 : TOTAL RED MEAT 5/ : 2008 : 1169 50361 3553 55083 6566 1307 47210 113.6 2009 Proj. Sep : 1307 49196 3797 54300 5906 1300 47094 112.4 Oct : 1307 49251 3767 54325 5906 1265 47154 112.5 2010 Proj. Sep : 1300 48320 4004 53624 6311 1158 46155 109.0 Oct : 1265 48265 3924 53454 6311 1133 46010 108.6 : BROILERS : 2008 : 719 36511 79 37309 6961 745 29603 83.5 2009 Proj. Sep : 745 35230 80 36055 6608 660 28787 80.5 Oct : 745 35230 80 36055 6608 660 28787 80.5 2010 Proj. Sep : 660 35763 80 36503 6300 655 29548 81.7 Oct : 660 35763 80 36503 6300 655 29548 81.7 : TURKEYS : 2008 : 261 6165 8 6434 676 396 5361 17.6 2009 Proj. Sep : 396 5670 13 6079 509 375 5195 16.9 Oct : 396 5660 13 6069 519 375 5176 16.8 2010 Proj. Sep : 375 5828 12 6215 545 340 5330 17.2 Oct : 375 5749 12 6136 545 340 5251 16.9 : TOTAL POULTRY 6/ : 2008 : 982 43235 92 44309 7785 1144 35379 102.5 2009 Proj. Sep : 1144 41407 100 42651 7233 1039 34380 98.7 Oct : 1144 41402 100 42647 7243 1039 34365 98.6 2010 Proj. Sep : 1039 42070 100 43209 6985 999 35225 100.0 Oct : 1039 42011 100 43150 6985 999 35166 99.8 : RED MEAT & POULTRY : 2008 : 2151 93596 3646 99392 14352 2451 82589 216.1 2009 Proj. Sep : 2451 90603 3897 96951 13138 2339 81474 211.0 Oct : 2451 90653 3867 96971 13148 2304 81519 211.1 2010 Proj. Sep : 2339 90390 4104 96833 13296 2157 81380 209.0 Oct : 2304 90276 4024 96604 13296 2132 81176 208.5 =============================================================================== 1/ Total including farm production for red meats and, for poultry, federally inspected plus non-federally inspected, less condemnations. 2/ Pounds, retail-weight basis. 3/ Population source: Dept. of Commerce, Census Bureau. 4/ Carcass weight for red meats and certified ready-to-cook weight for poultry. 5/ Beef, pork, veal, lamb and mutton. 6/ Broilers, turkeys and mature chicken. WASDE-475-33 October 2009 U.S. Egg Supply and Use =============================================================================== : : : 2009 Projected : 2010 Projected : : :-----------------:----------------- Commodity : 2007 : 2008 : Sep : Oct : Sep : Oct =============================================================================== EGGS : Million dozen Supply : Beginning stocks : 12.5 11.1 17.2 17.2 17.0 17.0 Production : 7587.0 7509.0 7514.0 7504.0 7605.0 7585.0 Imports : 13.6 14.6 12.9 12.9 16.0 16.0 Total supply : 7613.1 7534.7 7544.1 7534.1 7638.0 7618.0 : Use : Exports : 250.3 206.3 203.2 220.2 200.0 200.0 Hatching use : 1016.3 994.9 965.0 953.0 1002.0 982.0 Ending stocks : 11.1 17.2 17.0 17.0 16.0 16.0 Disappearance : Total : 6335.4 6316.3 6358.9 6343.9 6420.0 6420.0 Per capita (number) : 252.0 248.9 248.3 247.7 248.1 248.1 =============================================================================== U.S. Milk Supply and Use =============================================================================== : : : 2009 Projected : 2010 Projected Commodity : : :-----------------:----------------- : 2007 : 2008 : Sep : Oct : Sep : Oct =============================================================================== : Billion pounds Milk : Production : 185.7 190.0 188.4 188.9 186.7 187.2 Farm use : 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 : Fat Basis Supply : Beg. commercial stocks : 9.5 10.4 10.0 10.0 10.1 10.4 Marketings : 184.5 188.8 187.2 187.8 185.5 186.1 Imports : 4.6 3.9 4.2 4.5 4.1 4.2 Total cml. supply : 198.6 203.1 201.5 202.3 199.7 200.7 : Fat Basis Use : Commercial Exports : 5.7 8.7 4.0 4.0 3.8 4.3 Ending commercial stks : 10.4 10.0 10.1 10.4 8.7 8.7 CCC net removals 1/ : 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.0 0.3 Commercial use 2/ : 182.6 184.3 187.0 187.3 187.1 187.4 : Skim-solids Basis Supply : Beg. commercial stocks : 9.1 9.9 10.9 10.9 10.6 10.7 Marketings : 184.5 188.8 187.2 187.8 185.5 186.1 Imports : 4.4 3.7 3.8 4.1 3.9 4.0 Total cml. supply : 198.0 202.5 201.9 202.7 200.1 200.8 : Skim-solids Basis Use : Commercial Exports : 24.5 26.6 20.3 21.5 21.2 23.6 Ending commercial stks : 9.9 10.9 10.6 10.7 9.4 9.0 CCC net removals 1/ : 0.0 1.3 4.6 2.9 -0.4 -0.7 Commercial use 2/ : 163.6 163.7 166.4 167.6 169.8 168.9 : : Million pounds CCC product net removals 1/: Butter : 0 0 8 27 5 14 Cheese : 0 0 17 3 -10 3 Nonfat dry milk : 0 111 379 248 -22 -60 Dry whole milk : 0 0 0 0 0 0 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Includes products exported under the Dairy Export Incentive Program. 2/ Domestic commercial use only. WASDE-475-34 October 2009 U.S. Dairy Prices =========================================================================== : : : 2009 Projected : 2010 Projected : : :-----------------:----------------- Commodity : 2007 : 2008 : Sep : Oct : Sep : Oct =========================================================================== : Dollars per pound : Product Prices 1/ : Cheese : 1.7380 1.8954 1.235- 1.265- 1.510- 1.515- : 1.255 1.275 1.610 1.605 : Butter : 1.3441 1.4356 1.165- 1.165- 1.420- 1.400- : 1.205 1.195 1.550 1.520 : Nonfat dry milk : 1.7083 1.2256 0.850- 0.875- 0.935- 0.955- : 0.870 0.895 1.005 1.025 : Dry whey : 0.6004 0.2504 0.235- 0.245- 0.280- 0.300- : 0.255 0.255 0.310 0.330 : : Dollars per cwt Milk Prices 2/ : Class III : 18.04 17.44 10.65- 11.00- 13.75- 13.85- : 10.85 11.10 14.75 14.75 : Class IV : 18.36 14.65 10.10- 10.35- 11.95- 12.00- : 10.40 10.55 13.05 13.00 : All milk 3/ : 19.13 18.29 12.05- 12.35- 14.55- 14.70- : 12.25 12.45 15.55 15.60 : =========================================================================== 1/ Simple average of monthly prices calculated by AMS from NASS weekly average dairy product prices for class price computations. Details may be found at http://www.ams.usda.gov/dyfmos/mib/fedordprc_dscrp.htm. 2/ Annual Class III and Class IV prices are the simple averages of monthly minimum Federal order milk prices paid by regulated plants for milk used in the respective classes. All milk price is the simple average of monthly prices received by farmers for milk at average test. 3/ Does not reflect any deductions from producers as authorized by legislation. WASDE-475-35 October 2009 Note: Tables on pages 35-37 present a 28-year record of the differences between the October projection and the final estimate. Using world wheat production as an example, changes between the October projection and the final estimate have averaged 7.5 million tons (1.4%) ranging from -26.7 to 9.5 million tons. The October projection has been below the estimate 19 times and above 9 times. Reliability of October Projections =============================================================================== :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2008/09 1/ Commodity and :============================================================= region : Avg. : Avg. : Difference : Below final : Above final =============================================================================== WHEAT :Percent Million metric tons Number of years Production : World : 1.4 7.5 -26.7 9.5 19 9 U.S. : 0.3 0.2 -1.2 0.5 11 12 Foreign : 1.6 7.5 -26.8 9.6 19 9 Exports : World : 4.2 4.9 -15.6 3.0 20 7 U.S. : 7.2 2.4 -10.0 5.2 12 16 Foreign : 5.3 4.5 -15.2 3.5 22 6 Domestic use : World : 1.2 6.4 -22.7 19.7 17 11 U.S. : 5.1 1.6 -3.3 3.6 9 19 Foreign : 1.2 6.4 -20.3 18.3 18 10 Ending stocks : World : 7.0 9.4 -32.5 13.5 21 7 U.S. : 9.9 2.2 -4.9 6.8 14 14 Foreign : 7.3 8.1 -29.3 7.5 21 7 : COARSE GRAINS 2/ : Production : World : 1.5 13.1 -33.7 9.1 22 6 U.S. : 2.0 4.7 -14.5 17.9 17 11 Foreign : 1.8 11.4 -27.7 7.5 23 5 Exports : World : 5.3 5.6 -12.0 13.7 19 9 U.S. : 12.8 6.8 -14.9 15.5 13 15 Foreign : 11.2 5.9 -15.9 8.9 17 11 Domestic use : World : 1.2 10.8 -24.7 24.9 17 11 U.S. : 3.0 5.8 -13.4 17.0 15 13 Foreign : 1.3 8.8 -19.8 20.9 18 10 Ending stocks : World : 10.3 15.0 -41.2 14.9 22 6 U.S. : 18.1 9.1 -29.1 16.3 15 13 Foreign : 13.2 11.8 -29.0 7.2 24 4 : RICE, milled : Production : World : 2.0 7.0 -20.9 3.0 23 4 U.S. : 2.8 0.2 -0.4 0.5 16 12 Foreign : 2.0 6.9 -21.0 3.1 23 5 Exports : World : 7.6 1.5 -6.2 1.1 20 8 U.S. : 7.5 0.2 -0.8 0.6 15 11 Foreign : 8.8 1.5 -6.2 1.2 21 7 Domestic use : World : 1.4 4.6 -20.3 2.5 23 5 U.S. : 5.2 0.1 -0.4 0.4 14 13 Foreign : 1.4 4.6 -20.7 2.7 23 5 Ending stocks : World : 10.0 5.0 -16.3 3.2 22 6 U.S. : 17.3 0.2 -0.7 0.8 14 13 Foreign : 10.6 5.1 -15.9 3.0 22 6 =============================================================================== 1/ Footnotes at end of table. CONTINUED WASDE-475-36 October 2009 Reliability of October Projections (Continued) =============================================================================== :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2008/09 1/ Commodity and :============================================================= region : Avg. : Avg. : Difference : Below final : Above final =============================================================================== SOYBEANS :Percent Million metric tons Number of years Production : World : 3.4 5.3 -12.2 28.7 14 14 U.S. : 2.4 1.4 -3.2 3.1 11 17 Foreign : 6.1 5.4 -11.5 28.1 14 14 Exports : World : 6.0 2.6 -9.6 11.0 17 11 U.S. : 9.4 2.2 -6.3 5.8 18 10 Foreign : 15.5 2.4 -8.7 11.4 13 15 Domestic use : World : 2.8 4.1 -7.1 13.8 16 12 U.S. : 3.3 1.4 -3.8 3.7 19 9 Foreign : 3.7 3.7 -6.5 11.0 17 11 Ending stocks : World : 14.7 3.9 -11.4 15.0 17 11 U.S. : 30.2 2.1 -5.1 4.5 6 22 Foreign : 17.7 3.5 -11.6 12.0 17 11 : COTTON : Million 480-pound bales Production : World : 3.1 2.9 -10.6 9.9 17 10 U.S. : 3.9 0.6 -1.7 1.2 19 9 Foreign : 3.6 2.7 -10.4 10.2 15 12 Exports : World : 5.7 1.7 -5.1 6.5 15 13 U.S. : 13.9 1.1 -2.4 3.1 16 12 Foreign : 7.2 1.4 -3.2 6.8 13 15 Mill use : World : 2.7 2.6 -6.7 11.7 14 14 U.S. : 5.4 0.4 -0.9 1.2 15 12 Foreign : 2.8 2.5 -6.6 10.9 14 14 Ending stocks : World : 11.1 4.3 -11.0 12.4 17 10 U.S. : 24.6 1.2 -4.3 2.3 9 18 Foreign : 11.5 3.9 -11.5 11.7 21 7 =============================================================================== 1/ Final estimate for 1981/82-2007/08 is defined as the first November estimate following the marketing year, and for 2008/09 last month's estimate. 2/ Includes corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain. WASDE-475-37 October 2009 Reliability of United States October Projections 1/ =============================================================================== :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2008/09 2/ Commodity and :============================================================= region : Avg. : Avg. : Difference : Below final : Above final =============================================================================== CORN :Percent Million bushels Number of years Production : 2.2 184 -541 618 16 12 Exports : 13.4 244 -575 533 12 16 Domestic use : 3.5 229 -558 530 18 10 Ending stocks : 20.6 333 -1187 629 15 13 : SORGHUM : Production : 3.4 20 -59 71 16 12 Exports : 15.3 36 -115 97 17 11 Domestic use : 8.5 35 -114 78 12 15 Ending stocks : 31.0 34 -142 110 10 17 : BARLEY : Production : 1.0 4 -12 24 8 12 Exports : 28.9 14 -37 38 13 12 Domestic use : 5.8 20 -47 70 11 16 Ending stocks : 11.8 16 -38 56 17 11 : OATS : Production : 0.7 2 -18 16 6 9 Exports : 56.3 1 -4 8 8 9 Domestic use : 3.2 11 -39 36 12 15 Ending stocks : 14.4 16 -46 47 19 9 : : Thousand short tons SOYBEAN MEAL : Production : 2.9 969 -2696 2379 18 10 Exports : 9.9 677 -1950 1200 14 13 Domestic use : 3.0 771 -1250 2650 15 13 Ending stocks : 24.5 58 -179 198 11 15 : : Million pounds SOYBEAN OIL : Production : 3.0 470 -1473 1150 19 9 Exports : 22.7 375 -1525 964 15 13 Domestic use : 2.8 402 -985 1928 19 9 Ending stocks : 23.3 406 -1327 750 12 16 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ANIMAL PROD. 3/ : Million pounds Beef : 3.6 869 -827 2461 18 8 Pork : 2.4 448 -1240 1592 15 11 Broilers : 1.9 421 -1337 913 17 9 Turkeys : 2.4 108 -444 341 16 10 : : Million dozen Eggs : 1.4 87 -136 188 17 9 : : Billion pounds Milk : 1.2 1.9 -6.4 6.8 14 12 =============================================================================== 1/ See pages 35 and 36 for record of reliability for U.S. wheat, rice, soybeans, and cotton. 2/ Final estimate for 1981/82-2007/08 is defined as the first November estimate following the marketing year, and for 2008/09 last month's estimate. 3/ Calendar years 1983 thru 2008 for meats, eggs, and milk. Final for animal products is defined as latest annual production estimate published by NASS. ----- End of File -----