ISSN: 1554-9089 WASDE - 473 August 12, 2009 WHEAT: U.S. wheat ending stocks for 2009/10 are projected 36 million bushels higher this month as higher forecast production more than offsets an increase in projected use and lower imports. Wheat production is forecast 71 million bushels higher with increases in all classes of wheat except soft red winter. The largest increases are for hard red spring wheat and durum reflecting sharply higher expected yields in the Northern Plains. Feed and residual use is raised 5 million bushels with the larger crop. Exports are projected 25 million bushels higher with reduced production prospects in Canada and Argentina, which are major competitors in the western hemisphere wheat market. The 2009/10 marketing-year average farm price is projected at $4.70 to $5.70 per bushel, down 10 cents on both ends of the range. Small revisions are also made this month to 2007/08 and 2008/09 imports, exports, and food use based on the latest trade and mill grind data from the U.S. Bureau of Census. Global wheat supplies for 2009/10 are projected 5.0 million tons higher with higher beginning stocks and increased prospects for global production. World wheat production is raised 2.8 million tons for 2009/10 with major increases for India, United States, EU-27, China, and Ukraine partly offset by reductions for Russia, Argentina, Canada, and Kazakhstan. India production is raised 3.0 million tons to a record 80.6 million based on the latest revision to the official government estimate. EU-27 production is raised 1.6 million tons mostly on higher reported yields for Germany, but also on better-than-expected yields for France and rising prospects for harvested area and yields for Poland. Partly offsetting are cuts for Spain, Romania, Bulgaria, and Austria where persistent dryness reduced yields. China production is raised 1.0 million tons reflecting the first official indications for the harvested summer crops. Ukraine production is raised 1.0 million tons on higher winter wheat area and harvest reports. Production forecasts for 2009/10 are lowered for several major wheat exporting countries. Production for Russia is lowered 4.5 million tons as dryness and extended heat during July sharply reduced yields in the Southern and Volga Districts. Kazakhstan production is lowered 0.5 million tons as western growing areas suffered under weather conditions similar to those in Russia. Argentina production is lowered 1.0 million tons as continued dryness in the central and western growing areas limited plantings. Production is also lowered 1.0 million tons for Canada as July rains came too late in some areas of Alberta and Saskatchewan and crop development remains delayed raising the potential for late season frost damage. Global wheat imports and exports for 2009/10 are projected slightly lower. Small import reductions are projected for Afghanistan, Brazil, Egypt, Japan, and Azerbaijan. Partly offsetting is an increase for Sudan. Larger country changes are forecast for exports, but they are mostly offsetting, leaving global exports down just 0.6 million tons. Exports are lowered 2.0 million tons for Russia, 1.8 million tons for India, 1.0 million tons for Argentina, and 0.5 million for Kazakhstan. Exports are raised 2.0 million tons each for EU-27 and Ukraine and combine with higher expected U.S. exports to limit the decline in global trade. Global consumption is raised 2.7 million tons as a 4.4-million-ton increase in India food use is only partly offset by reductions in food use by Ukraine and Canada, and lower wheat feeding in EU-27 and Canada. Global ending stocks for 2009/10 are projected 2.3 million tons higher boosted in part by the rise in 2008/09 carryout. COARSE GRAINS: U.S. feed grain supplies for 2009/10 are projected higher this month with sharply higher forecast corn production more than offsetting a reduction in carryin as 2008/09 corn exports are raised 50 million bushels. Corn production for 2009/10 is projected at 12.8 billion bushels, up 471 million as higher forecast yields more than offset a small reduction in harvested area as updated from the June 30 Acreage report. U.S. corn supplies are projected at a record 14.5 billion bushels, up 134 million from the previous record in 2007/08. Corn use for 2009/10 is projected higher with rising supplies and lower expected prices. Despite reduced prospects for livestock production, feed and residual use is raised 100 million bushels with the higher yield and production expected to add to residual loss. Food, seed, and industrial use is raised 100 million bushels with higher expected use for ethanol supported by favorable ethanol producer returns and strong incentives for ethanol blending. Exports are projected 150 million bushels higher reflecting reduced foreign production prospects and stronger expected import demand from Mexico and Taiwan. Ending stocks are projected up 71 million bushels with higher expected use partly offsetting the increase in production. The 2009/10 marketing-year average farm price is projected at $3.10 to $3.90 per bushel, down 25 cents on both ends of the range. The marketing-year average reflects higher prices for corn sold for forward delivery over the past several months ahead of the sharp downturn in futures and cash market prices since early June. Other feed grain changes include slightly higher 2009/10 production forecasts for sorghum, barley, and oats, as well as minor revisions to 2007/08 and 2008/09 imports and exports based on the latest data from the U.S. Bureau of Census. Oats imports are projected 15 million bushels lower with reduced crop prospects in Canada. As a result, projected feed and residual use for oats is lowered 10 million bushels. Global coarse grain supplies for 2009/10 are projected 8.3 million tons higher this month. Rising production prospects for U.S. corn, Ukraine barley, India sorghum, and EU-27 rye and mixed grains are partly offset by reductions in expected coarse grain output elsewhere. Corn production prospects are reduced for Mexico, Russia, South Africa, Ukraine, and EU-27. Barley production is lowered for Turkey, Canada, and EU-27. World coarse grain imports and exports are both projected higher for 2009/10 mostly reflecting higher expected corn exports, up 2.6 million tons this month. Corn imports are raised 1.5 million tons for Mexico and 0.3 million tons for Taiwan. The 3.8-million-ton increase for U.S. corn exports is partly offset by a 0.5-million-ton reduction each for South Africa and Ukraine, and a 0.2-million-ton reduction for Russia. Barley exports are raised 0.4 million tons with a 1.5-million-ton increase for Ukraine, partly offset by smaller reductions for Australia, Canada, EU-27, and Kazakhstan. Oats exports are cut 0.2 million tons with a reduction in Canada. Global coarse grain feeding is raised 1.7 million tons as increased U.S. corn feed and residual use and higher barley feeding in Australia is partly offset by reduced corn feeding in Russia and reduced barley and oats feeding in Canada. Global coarse grain ending stocks are projected higher, mostly reflecting a 2.3-million-ton increase in corn stocks. RICE: USDA's first survey-based forecast of the 2009/10 U.S. rice crop is 211.2 million cwt, up slightly from last month's projection, and up 7.4 million from 2008/09. Average yield is forecast at 7,039 pounds per acre, up 6 pounds per acre from last month, and an increase of 193 pounds per acre from last year. Area harvested at 3.0 million acres is unchanged from a month ago. Long-grain production is forecast at 150.4 million cwt, down 0.6 million from last month, while combined medium- and short-grain production is forecast at 60.8 million cwt, up 0.8 million from a month ago. All rice 2009/10 domestic and residual use and exports are unchanged from last month. However, combined medium- and short-grain exports are raised 2.0 million cwt to 28.0 million, while long-grain exports are lowered the same amount to 71.0 million. The rough rice export projection is raised 1.0 million cwt to 35 million, while exports of milled and brown rice (on a rough-equivalent basis) are lowered 1.0 million cwt to 64 million. Ending stocks are projected at 23.9 million cwt, 1.2 million above last month and 5 percent above a year earlier. The season-average farm price range for all rice in 2009/10 is raised $0.40 per cwt on each end to $13.65 to $14.65 per cwt, compared to a revised $16.25 per cwt for 2008/09. The higher U.S. price forecast is due to a larger share of U.S. marketings of higher-priced medium-grain rice and an expected firming of global prices due to tighter world supplies. The long-grain season-average farm price range for 2009/10 is projected at $12.00 to $13.00 per cwt compared to a revised $14.90 per cwt in 2008/09. The combined medium- and short-grain farm price range is projected at $19.50 to $20.50 per cwt, compared to a revised $21.30 per cwt in 2008/09. Projected global 2009/10 production, consumption, and ending stocks are lowered from a month ago, while trade is nearly unchanged. World 2009/10 rice production is projected at 433.5 million tons, 15.5 million tons below last month, 11.4 million below the record 2008/09 estimate, and nearly the same as 2007/08. This month's lower crop forecast is primarily due to the effects of a below-normal monsoon on India. India’s 2009/10 crop is projected at 84.0 million tons, 15.5 million or 16 percent below last month, 15 percent below 2008/09, and the lowest crop since 2004/05. Other notable revisions in 2009/10 production included an increase for Cambodia which is nearly offset by a decrease for Brazil. World consumption is lowered 5.3 million tons mostly due to decreases for India, Thailand, Burma, and Cambodia. Global 2009/10 ending stocks are projected at 84.0 million tons, down 10.5 million from last month, and down 4.7 million from revised 2008/09. OILSEEDS: U.S. oilseed production for 2009/10 is projected at 94.5 million tons, down 1.8 million from last month as lower soybean and cottonseed production are only partly offset by higher peanut production. Soybean yields are forecast at 41.7 bushels per acre, 0.9 bushels below last month=s trend yield projection, but 2.1 bushels above last year=s yield. The first survey-based forecast of U.S. soybean production is 3.2 billion bushels, 61 million below the July projection, but 240 million bushels above last year=s crop. Soybean stocks are projected at 210 million bushels, down 40 million from July as reduced supplies are only partly offset by reduced crush and exports. Soybean crush is reduced 10 million bushels to 1.67 billion due to lower soybean meal exports. Soybean exports are reduced 10 million bushels to 1.265 billion. Lower U.S. soybean and soybean meal exports are offset by increased shipments from Argentina. Soybean and product prices are all increased this month. The U.S. season-average soybean price for 2009/10 is projected at $8.40 to $10.40, up 10 cents on both ends of the range. Soybean meal prices are projected at $260 to $320 per short ton, up $5.00 on both ends of the range. Soybean oil prices are projected at 32 to 36 cents per pound, up one cent on both ends of the range. Global oilseed production for 2009/10 is projected at 422.6 million tons, down 0.9 million tons from last month, but still record high. Soybean production for China is reduced 0.2 million tons to 15.4 million due to lower yield resulting from excessive moisture in the northeast. Offsetting increases are projected for soybean production in EU-27 and Ukraine. EU-27 rapeseed production is projected at a record 19.5 million tons, up 1.2 million due to better-than-expected yields reported during harvest, especially in Germany and Poland. Other changes include higher sunflowerseed production in EU-27, lower peanut production for India, and a small reduction in cottonseed production for Brazil. U.S. changes for 2008/09 include increased soybean crush and exports and an offsetting reduction in residual, leaving projected ending stocks unchanged at 110 million bushels. Crush is raised 5 million bushels to 1.66 billion reflecting a small increase in domestic soybean meal disappearance. Soybean exports are increased 5 million bushels to a record 1.265 billion. SUGAR: Projected 2009/10 U.S. sugar supply is increased 350,000 short tons, raw value, from last month. Sugar production is increased 200,000 tons and beginning stocks are increased 150,000 tons while imports are decreased 50,000 tons. The increase in sugar production is based on higher- than-expected forecast production of U.S. sugarbeets and Florida sugarcane, which more than offsets lower Louisiana sugarcane. The reduction in 2009/10 imports is due to prospects for sharply higher world market prices increasing shortfall in filling the tariff rate quota. Estimated 2008/09 U.S. sugar supply is increased 250,000 tons, based on larger early harvest of 2009-crop sugarbeets and continued strong imports from Mexico. Sugar use is increased 100,000 tons to reflect the refined portion of the increase in imports from Mexico. LIVESTOCK, POULTRY, AND DAIRY: Total U.S. red meat and poultry production for 2009 is reduced as lower beef and poultry output more than offset higher pork production. The July 1 Cattle report, which was released on July 24 indicated lower cow numbers, a smaller calf crop, fewer cattle on feed, and fewer cattle outside feedlots than last year, all implying smaller feedlot placements through the balance of 2009 and into 2010. This also implies lower feedlot marketings and cattle slaughter and hence lower beef production than forecast last month. Partly offsetting the lower beef production is higher forecast pork production due to larger expected slaughter and higher carcass weights in the third quarter of 2009. Poultry production is forecast slightly lower as fractionally higher second quarter broiler production is more than offset by weaker turkey production. Egg production for 2009 is reduced slightly. Changes in the meat production forecast for 2010 reflect tighter supplies of fed cattle due to smaller cattle feedlot placements and lower cow slaughter. There are no changes to forecast pork and poultry production for 2010 as lower feed prices provide some support to producers. Egg production forecasts are unchanged from last month. Export forecasts for 2009 and 2010 are reduced largely because of lower expected beef shipments. Weak economic growth in 2009 and tighter beef supplies for both 2009 and 2010 are expected to result in lower exports. Broiler exports are raised slightly but turkey export forecasts are reduced. Pork forecasts are unchanged. Price forecasts for cattle, hogs, and broilers are lowered for 2009. Weak demand is pressuring prices. Egg prices are forecast slightly higher. Prices for hogs and broilers are lowered for 2010, but cattle prices are raised as tighter fed cattle supplies support prices. Egg and turkey price forecasts are unchanged for 2010. The milk production forecast is raised for 2009 and 2010 as the reduction in cow numbers is slower than expected and growth in output per cow is higher. Fat and skim-solids basis imports are raised as cheese imports have been stronger than expected; the commercial export forecast for 2009 is adjusted as higher exports in the first half are offset by lower second half exports. Exports for 2010 are lowered as higher domestic prices and larger exportable supplies in competitor countries limit export opportunities into 2010. CCC removals are adjusted to reflect changes in support prices for cheese and nonfat dry milk (NDM). Cheese and NDM price forecasts are raised for 2009 as higher support prices and increased net removals support domestic prices. Forecast cheese and NDM prices for 2010 are lowered as higher forecast production and weaker commercial exports increase domestic supplies. Butter and whey price forecasts are unchanged from last month. Both Class III and Class IV prices are forecast higher for 2009 reflecting higher forecast prices for cheese (Class III) and NDM (Class IV). Class price forecasts for 2010 are reduced as cheese and NDM prices are lowered. The all milk price is forecast at $12.10 to $12.30 per cwt for 2009 and $14.65 to $15.65 for 2010. COTTON: The U.S. 2009/10 cotton forecasts are virtually unchanged from last month, with slightly larger beginning stocks offsetting marginally lower production. Production is lowered 43,000 bales, based on the National Agricultural Statistics Service’s first crop survey of the season. Harvested acres are estimated at 7.8 million, reflecting abandonment of 14 percent, and the yield per harvested acre is estimated at 816 pounds. Domestic mill use, exports, and ending stocks are unchanged from last month. The forecast range for the marketing-year average price received by producers is narrowed 1 cent on each end to 49 to 59 cents per pound. The 2009/10 world cotton forecasts are also virtually unchanged from last month. Production is forecast at 105.9 million bales, reflecting an increase for China, offset by reductions for Greece, Brazil, and Australia. World trade is raised marginally, due mainly to increases in imports by Turkey and Vietnam. World ending stocks of 57.5 million bales are lowered by less than 1 percent. Approved by the Secretary of Agriculture and the Chairperson of the World Agricultural Outlook Board, Gerald A. Bange, (202) 720- 6030. This report was prepared by the Interagency Commodity Estimates Committees. APPROVED BY: RAJIV J. SHAH ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE WASDE-473-8 August 2009 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Grains 1/ Million Metric Tons =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade 2/ : Use : Stocks =============================================================================== : : World Total grains 3/ : 2007/08 : 2,121.85 2,463.10 275.84 2,100.56 362.54 2008/09 (Est.) : 2,227.35 2,589.89 272.50 2,144.90 444.99 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 2,188.84 2,631.78 261.57 2,177.01 454.77 August : 2,184.33 2,629.33 263.17 2,180.23 449.10 Wheat : 2007/08 : 610.95 737.93 117.47 616.12 121.81 2008/09 (Est.) : 682.40 804.21 137.40 634.71 169.50 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 656.48 823.84 124.00 642.56 181.28 August : 659.29 828.80 123.38 645.23 183.56 Coarse grains 4/ : 2007/08 : 1,077.50 1,216.67 127.22 1,056.19 160.48 2008/09 (Est.) : 1,100.10 1,260.58 107.38 1,073.80 186.78 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 1,083.37 1,270.02 107.34 1,091.04 178.98 August : 1,091.58 1,278.36 110.05 1,096.86 181.50 Rice, milled : 2007/08 : 433.39 508.50 31.15 428.25 80.25 2008/09 (Est.) : 444.85 525.10 27.72 436.39 88.71 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 448.98 537.92 30.23 443.42 94.51 August : 433.46 522.17 29.74 438.14 84.04 : : United States Total grains 3/ : 2007/08 : 412.03 469.15 107.61 307.23 54.32 2008/09 (Est.) : 400.63 462.10 81.51 313.58 67.02 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 392.01 467.12 81.81 321.89 63.42 August : 406.02 479.49 86.30 326.92 66.27 Wheat : 2007/08 : 55.82 71.30 34.36 28.61 8.32 2008/09 (Est.) : 68.03 79.81 27.64 34.01 18.15 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 57.49 78.77 25.17 34.37 19.23 August : 59.43 80.58 25.86 34.51 20.21 Coarse grains 4/ : 2007/08 : 349.86 389.48 69.89 274.53 45.06 2008/09 (Est.) : 326.09 374.24 50.77 275.33 48.14 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 327.77 380.24 53.47 283.30 43.47 August : 339.84 390.77 57.28 288.20 45.30 Rice, milled : 2007/08 : 6.34 8.37 3.35 4.08 0.94 2008/09 (Est.) : 6.52 8.06 3.10 4.23 0.73 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 6.75 8.11 3.17 4.22 0.73 August : 6.75 8.15 3.17 4.22 0.76 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Based on export estimate. See individual commodity tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. 3/ Wheat, coarse grains and milled rice. 4/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains). WASDE-473-9 August 2009 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Grains, Continued 1/ Million Metric Tons =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade 2/ : Use : Stocks =============================================================================== : : Foreign 3/ Total grains 4/ : 2007/08 : 1,709.82 1,993.94 168.23 1,793.33 308.21 2008/09 (Est.) : 1,826.72 2,127.79 191.00 1,831.32 377.98 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 1,796.83 2,164.66 179.76 1,855.12 391.35 August : 1,778.32 2,149.83 176.87 1,853.31 382.83 Wheat : 2007/08 : 555.13 666.63 83.11 587.51 113.49 2008/09 (Est.) : 614.37 724.40 109.76 600.69 151.35 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 599.00 745.07 98.82 608.19 162.05 August : 599.86 748.22 97.52 610.72 163.35 Coarse grains 5/ : 2007/08 : 727.64 827.18 57.33 781.66 115.42 2008/09 (Est.) : 774.01 886.34 56.62 798.47 138.64 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 755.60 889.78 53.87 807.74 135.51 August : 751.74 887.58 52.77 808.66 136.20 Rice, milled : 2007/08 : 427.05 500.13 27.80 424.17 79.31 2008/09 (Est.) : 438.34 517.04 24.62 432.16 87.99 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 442.24 529.82 27.07 439.20 93.78 August : 426.71 514.03 26.57 433.92 83.27 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Based on export estimate. See individual commodity tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. 3/ Total foreign is equal to world minus United States. 4/ Wheat, coarse grains and milled rice. 5/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet and mixed grains. World and U.S. Supply and Use for Cotton 1/ Million 480-lb. bales =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade 2/ : Use : Stocks =============================================================================== : : World 2007/08 : 120.51 183.79 38.34 122.43 63.25 2008/09 (Est.) : 106.90 170.16 29.40 110.60 61.85 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 105.95 167.90 31.66 112.62 57.81 August : 105.87 167.73 31.95 112.76 57.46 : United States 2007/08 : 19.21 28.70 13.65 4.59 10.04 2008/09 (Est.) : 12.82 22.86 13.20 3.60 6.10 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 13.25 19.26 10.20 3.50 5.60 August : 13.21 19.31 10.20 3.50 5.60 : Foreign 3/ 2007/08 : 101.30 155.10 24.68 117.84 53.21 2008/09 (Est.) : 94.09 147.30 16.20 107.00 55.75 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 92.70 148.64 21.46 109.12 52.21 August : 92.67 148.42 21.75 109.26 51.86 =============================================================================== 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. 2/ Based on export estimate. 3/ Total Foreign is equal to world minus United States. See global cotton tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. WASDE-473-10 August 2009 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Oilseeds 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade : Use 2/ : Stocks =============================================================================== : : World Oilseeds : 2007/08 : 391.63 465.14 92.63 338.33 62.27 2008/09 (Est.) : 394.35 456.62 91.22 338.31 53.73 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 423.42 477.67 91.01 349.36 62.73 August : 422.56 476.28 91.11 348.82 61.32 Oilmeals : 2007/08 : 230.93 238.86 71.19 229.67 7.21 2008/09 (Est.) : 229.13 236.34 69.08 228.74 6.66 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 237.42 243.95 71.38 236.13 6.72 August : 237.07 243.73 71.59 236.10 6.44 Vegetable Oils : 2007/08 : 127.85 138.10 52.09 125.77 10.11 2008/09 (Est.) : 132.29 142.41 53.59 130.49 10.36 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 137.07 147.22 55.84 135.85 9.51 August : 137.05 147.41 55.98 135.69 9.51 : : United States Oilseeds : 2007/08 : 82.45 100.74 33.05 53.50 6.91 2008/09 (Est.) : 88.98 97.23 35.31 49.31 4.67 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 96.30 102.13 35.74 50.13 7.99 August : 94.47 100.43 35.47 49.64 6.99 Oilmeals : 2007/08 : 40.90 43.27 8.71 34.22 0.33 2008/09 (Est.) : 38.23 40.59 8.31 31.94 0.33 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 38.77 41.34 8.66 32.35 0.33 August : 38.52 41.10 8.42 32.34 0.33 Vegetable Oils : 2007/08 : 10.52 15.37 1.68 12.23 1.46 2008/09 (Est.) : 9.74 14.42 1.46 11.12 1.84 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 9.82 15.20 1.84 11.87 1.49 August : 9.74 14.98 1.84 11.67 1.47 : : Foreign 3/ Oilseeds : 2007/08 : 309.18 364.40 59.58 284.83 55.36 2008/09 (Est.) : 305.37 359.38 55.92 289.00 49.06 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 327.12 375.55 55.27 299.23 54.75 August : 328.08 375.86 55.64 299.19 54.34 Oilmeals : 2007/08 : 190.03 195.59 62.48 195.45 6.88 2008/09 (Est.) : 190.90 195.75 60.77 196.79 6.33 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 198.66 202.61 62.72 203.78 6.38 August : 198.55 202.64 63.17 203.76 6.10 Vegetable Oils : 2007/08 : 117.33 122.72 50.41 113.54 8.65 2008/09 (Est.) : 122.55 127.99 52.13 119.37 8.52 2009/10 (Proj.) : July : 127.24 132.02 54.00 123.99 8.02 August : 127.31 132.43 54.13 124.02 8.04 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years with Brazil and Argentina on an Oct.-Sept. year. 2/ Crush only for oilseeds. 3/ Total foreign is equal to world minus United States. WASDE-473-11 August 2009 U.S. Wheat Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :============================== : : Est. : July August =============================================================================== Area : Million acres Planted : 60.5 63.1 59.8 59.8 Harvested : 51.0 55.7 50.4 50.4 Yield per harvested : Bushels acre : 40.2 44.9 41.9 43.3 : Million bushels Beginning stocks : 456 306 667 667 Production : 2,051 2,500 2,112 2,184 Imports : 113 127 115 110 Supply, total : 2,620 2,932 2,894 2,961 Food : 948 925 955 955 Seed : 88 79 78 78 Feed and residual : 16 246 230 235 Domestic, total : 1,051 1,250 1,263 1,268 Exports : 1,263 1,015 925 950 Use, total : 2,314 2,265 2,188 2,218 Ending stocks : 306 667 706 743 CCC inventory : 0 0 Free stocks : 306 667 Outstanding loans : 1 27 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 6.48 6.78 4.80- 5.80 4.70- 5.70 =============================================================================== U.S. Wheat by Class: Supply and Use =============================================================================== Year beginning : Hard : Hard : Soft : : : June 1 : Winter : Spring : Red : White : Durum : Total =============================================================================== 2008/09 (estimated) : Million bushels Beginning stocks : 138 68 55 37 8 306 Production : 1,035 512 614 254 85 2,500 Supply, total 3/ : 1,174 625 702 300 131 2,932 Domestic use : 468 270 329 100 82 1,250 Exports : 447 210 199 136 24 1,015 Use, total : 915 480 528 236 106 2,265 Ending stocks, total : 259 145 174 64 25 667 : 2009/10 (projected) : Beginning stocks : 259 145 174 64 25 667 Production : 915 511 412 248 98 2,184 Supply, total 3/ : 1,174 696 603 324 163 2,961 Domestic use : 510 265 300 111 82 1,268 Exports : 380 240 140 160 30 950 Use, total : 890 505 440 271 112 2,218 Ending stocks, total : August : 284 191 163 53 51 743 July : 278 165 170 60 34 706 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning June 1. 2/ Marketing-year weighted average price receive by farmers. 3/ Includes imports. WASDE-473-12 August 2009 U.S. Feed Grain and Corn Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :============================== : : Est. : July August =============================================================================== FEED GRAINS : Area : Million acres Planted : 109.0 101.7 100.8 * 100.8 Harvested : 98.3 91.1 90.6 * 90.5 Yield per harvested : Metric tons acre : 3.56 3.58 3.61 3.75 : Million metric tons Beginning stocks : 36.2 45.1 49.4 48.1 Production : 349.7 325.9 327.6 339.6 Imports : 3.3 3.0 2.9 2.7 Supply, total : 389.1 373.9 379.9 390.4 Feed and residual : 157.1 142.5 139.4 141.7 Food, seed & industrial : 117.1 132.5 143.6 146.1 Domestic, total : 274.2 275.0 283.0 287.9 Exports : 69.9 50.8 53.5 57.3 Use, total : 344.1 325.8 336.5 345.2 Ending stocks, total : 45.1 48.1 43.5 45.3 CCC inventory : 0.0 0.0 Free stocks : 45.1 48.1 Outstanding loans : 2.7 3.9 : CORN : Area : Million acres Planted : 93.5 86.0 87.0 * 87.0 Harvested : 86.5 78.6 80.1 * 80.0 Yield per harvested : Bushels acre : 150.7 153.9 153.4 * 159.5 : Million bushels Beginning stocks : 1,304 1,624 1,770 1,720 Production : 13,038 12,101 12,290 12,761 Imports : 20 15 15 15 Supply, total : 14,362 13,740 14,075 14,496 Feed and residual : 5,913 5,250 5,200 5,300 Food, seed & industrial : 4,387 4,920 5,375 5,475 Ethanol for fuel 2/ : 3,049 3,650 4,100 4,200 Domestic, total : 10,300 10,170 10,575 10,775 Exports : 2,437 1,850 1,950 2,100 Use, total : 12,737 12,020 12,525 12,875 Ending stocks, total : 1,624 1,720 1,550 1,621 CCC inventory : 0 0 Free stocks : 1,624 1,720 Outstanding loans : 106 150 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 3/ : 4.20 4.00- 4.10 3.35- 4.15 3.10- 3.90 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for corn and sorghum; June 1 for barley and oats. 2/ For a further breakout of FSI corn uses including ethanol, see the ERS Feed Outlook table 5, or Feed Grains Database at "www.ers.usda.gov/db/feedgrains." 3/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. * For July: Area planted and harvested of corn as reported in June 30, 2009, "Acreage" report. Projected corn yield based on the simple linear trend of the national average yield for 1990-2008 adjusted for 2009 planting progress. WASDE-473-13 August 2009 U.S. Sorghum, Barley and Oats Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :============================== : : Est. : July August =============================================================================== : Million bushels SORGHUM : Area planted (mil. acres) : 7.7 8.3 7.0 * 7.0 Area harv. (mil. acres) : 6.8 7.3 6.0 * 5.9 Yield (bushels/acre) : 73.2 65.0 63.7 * 64.0 Beginning stocks : 32 53 50 50 Production : 497 472 380 381 Imports : 0 0 0 0 Supply, total : 530 525 430 431 Feed and residual : 165 230 150 150 Food, seed & industrial : 35 110 90 90 Total domestic : 200 340 240 240 Exports : 277 135 140 140 Use, total : 477 475 380 380 Ending stocks, total : 53 50 50 51 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 4.08 3.15- 3.25 2.85- 3.55 2.70- 3.30 : BARLEY : Area planted (mil. acres) : 4.0 4.2 3.6 * 3.6 Area harv. (mil. acres) : 3.5 3.8 3.1 * 3.1 Yield (bushels/acre) : 60.0 63.6 64.7 * 65.8 Beginning stocks : 69 68 89 89 Production : 210 239 203 207 Imports : 29 29 30 30 Supply, total : 308 337 322 325 Feed and residual : 30 66 60 60 Food, seed & industrial : 169 169 170 170 Total domestic : 199 235 230 230 Exports : 41 13 15 15 Use, total : 240 248 245 245 Ending stocks, total : 68 89 77 80 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 4.02 5.37 3.65- 4.35 3.70- 4.40 : OATS : Area planted (mil. acres) : 3.8 3.2 3.2 * 3.2 Area harv. (mil. acres) : 1.5 1.4 1.4 * 1.4 Yield (bushels/acre) : 60.1 63.5 64.0 * 64.5 Beginning stocks : 51 67 84 84 Production : 90 89 91 92 Imports : 123 115 110 95 Supply, total : 264 270 285 271 Feed and residual : 120 108 130 120 Food, seed & industrial : 74 74 75 75 Total domestic : 195 182 205 195 Exports : 3 3 3 3 Use, total : 198 186 208 198 Ending stocks, total : 67 84 77 73 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 2.63 3.15 1.95- 2.75 1.90- 2.50 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for sorghum, June 1 for barley and oats. 2/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. * For July-- Sorghum: Area planted and area harvested as reported in the June 30, 2009, "Acreage" report. Yield-- For sorghum projected yield is derived from the 1999-2008 average yield, excluding 2002, 2003, and 2007, adjusted for rounding in production. Barley and oats area planted, area harvested, yield, and production as reported in the July 10, 2009, "Crop Production" report. WASDE-473-14 August 2009 U.S. Rice Supply and Use 1/ (Rough Equivalent of Rough and Milled Rice) =============================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :============================== : : Est. : July August =============================================================================== TOTAL : Area : Million acres Planted : 2.76 3.00 3.02 * 3.02 Harvested : 2.75 2.98 3.00 * 3.00 Yield per harvested : Pounds acre : 7,219 6,846 7,033 * 7,039 : : Million hundredweight Beginning stocks 2/ : 39.3 29.4 21.7 22.7 Production : 198.4 203.7 211.0 211.2 Imports : 23.9 19.0 21.0 21.0 Supply, total : 261.6 252.2 253.7 254.9 Domestic & residual 3/ : 127.4 132.5 132.0 132.0 Exports, total 4/ : 104.7 97.0 99.0 99.0 Rough : 37.7 34.0 34.0 35.0 Milled (rough equiv.) : 67.1 63.0 65.0 64.0 Use, total : 232.2 229.5 231.0 231.0 Ending stocks : 29.4 22.7 22.7 23.9 Avg. milling yield (%) 5/ : 70.5 70.5 70.5 70.5 Avg. farm price ($/cwt) 6/ : 12.80 16.25 13.25-14.25 13.65-14.65 : LONG GRAIN : Harvested acres (mil.) : 2.05 2.35 Yield (pounds/acre) : 6,980 6,522 Beginning stocks : 28.5 19.0 15.8 16.8 Production : 143.2 153.3 151.0 150.4 Supply, total 7/ : 189.4 188.8 184.8 185.1 Domestic & Residual 3/ : 91.3 103.5 100.0 100.0 Exports 8/ : 79.1 68.5 73.0 71.0 Use, total : 170.4 172.0 173.0 171.0 Ending stocks : 19.0 16.8 11.8 14.1 Avg. farm price ($/cwt) 6/ : 12.40 14.90 12.00-13.00 12.00-13.00 : MEDIUM & SHORT GRAIN : Harvested acres (mil.) : 0.70 0.63 Yield (pounds/acre) : 7,924 8,063 Beginning stocks : 10.0 9.1 4.6 4.6 Production : 55.2 50.5 60.0 60.8 Supply, total 7/ : 70.8 62.1 67.6 68.4 Domestic & Residual 3/ : 36.1 29.0 32.0 32.0 Exports 8/ : 25.7 28.5 26.0 28.0 Use, total : 61.8 57.5 58.0 60.0 Ending stocks : 9.1 4.6 9.6 8.4 Avg. farm price ($/cwt) 6/ : 14.60 21.30 19.50-20.50 19.50-20.50 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. 2/ Includes the following quantities of broken kernel rice (type undetermined) not included in estimates of beginning stocks by type (in mil. cwt): 2007/08-0.8; 2008/09-1.3; 2009/10-1.3. 3/ Residual includes unreported use, processing losses, and estimating errors. Use by type may not add to total rice use because of the difference in brokens between beginning and ending stocks. 4/ Includes rough rice and milled rice exports. Milled rice exports are converted to an equivalent rough basis. 5/ Expressed as a percent, i.e., the total quantity of whole kernel and broken rice produced divided by the quantity of rough rice milled. 6/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. 7/ Includes imports. 8/ Exports by type of rice are estimated. * For July: Area planted and area harvested as reported in June 30, 2009, "Acreage" report. Projected yield is derived from the trend yields by rice class for the period, 1990-2008. The combined medium- and short-grain yield trend is adjusted slightly lower because of a larger share of lower yielding medium grain rice in the South. The yield is adjusted for late planting and slow development of the crop in the Delta caused by heavy rains in May. WASDE-473-15 August 2009 U.S. Soybeans and Products Supply and Use (Domestic Measure) 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :=============================== : : Est. : July August =============================================================================== SOYBEANS: : Million acres Area : Planted : 64.7 75.7 77.5* 77.7 Harvested : 64.1 74.6 76.5* 76.8 : : Bushels Yield per harvested : acre : 41.7 39.6 42.6* 41.7 : : Million bushels : Beginning stocks : 574 205 110 110 Production : 2,677 2,959 3,260 3,199 Imports : 10 15 10 10 Supply, total : 3,261 3,179 3,380 3,320 Crushings : 1,803 1,660 1,680 1,670 Exports : 1,159 1,265 1,275 1,265 Seed : 93 96 94 94 Residual : 0 48 81 80 Use, total : 3,056 3,069 3,130 3,109 Ending stocks : 205 110 250 210 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 10.10 10.00 8.30-10.30 8.40 -10.40 : : : Million pounds SOYBEAN OIL: : Beginning stocks : 3,085 2,485 3,085 3,140 Production : 20,571 18,955 3/ 19,070 18,955 Imports : 65 100 75 75 Supply, total : 23,721 21,540 22,230 22,170 Domestic : 18,326 16,200 16,500 16,500 For methyl ester : 3,245 1,700 2,000 2,000 Exports : 2,911 2,200 3,250 3,250 Use, total : 21,237 18,400 19,750 19,750 Ending stocks : 2,485 3,140 2,480 2,420 Average price (c/lb) 2/ : 52.03 32.50 31.00- 32.00- : 35.00 36.00 : : Thousand short tons SOYBEAN MEAL: : Beginning stocks : 343 294 300 300 Production : 42,282 39,566 3/ 39,935 39,785 Imports : 141 140 165 165 Supply, total : 42,766 40,000 40,400 40,250 Domestic : 33,230 30,800 30,900 31,000 Exports : 9,242 8,900 9,200 8,950 Use, total : 42,472 39,700 40,100 39,950 Ending stocks : 294 300 300 300 Average price ($/s.t.) 2/ : 335.94 325.00 255.00- 260.00- : 315.00 320.00 =============================================================================== Note: Reliability calculations at end of report. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for soybeans; October 1 for soybean oil and meal. 2/ Prices: soybeans, marketing year weighted average price received by farmers; soybean oil, simple average of crude soybean oil, Decatur; soybean meal, simple average of 48 percent, Decatur. 3/ Based on October year crush of 1,670 million bushels. *Planted and harvested acres from the June 30 Acreage report; projected yield based on 1989-2007 trend analysis. WASDE-473-16 August 2009 U.S. Sugar Supply and Use 1/ ====================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :======================= : : Est. : July August ====================================================================== : 1,000 short tons, raw value : Beginning stocks : 1,799 1,660 1,102 1,252 Production 2/ : 8,152 7,571 8,025 8,275 Beet sugar : 4,721 4,250 4,650 4,850 Cane sugar : 3,431 3,321 3,375 3,425 Florida : 1,645 1,569 1,650 1,800 Hawaii : 182 200 160 160 Louisiana : 1,446 1,400 1,400 1,300 Texas : 158 152 165 165 Imports : 2,620 3,191 1,807 1,757 TRQ 3/ : 1,354 1,431 1,232 1,182 Other program 4/ : 565 300 400 400 Other 5/ : 701 1,460 175 175 Mexico : 694 1,450 165 165 Total supply : 12,571 12,422 10,934 11,284 : Exports : 203 130 200 200 Deliveries : 10,773 11,040 10,375 10,375 Food : 10,571 10,865 10,140 10,140 Other 6/ : 202 175 235 235 Miscellaneous 7/ : -65 0 0 0 Total use : 10,911 11,170 10,575 10,575 Ending stocks : 1,660 1,252 359 709 : Stocks to use ratio : 15.2 11.2 3.4 6.7 ====================================================================== 1/ Fiscal years beginning Oct 1. Includes Puerto Rico. Historical data are from FSA, "Sweetener Market Data" except imports (U.S. Customs Service, Census Bureau). 2/ Production projections for 2009/10 are based on Crop Production and trend recovery rates. 3/ For 2009/10, includes only U.S. commitments under current trade agreements, minus shortfall of 200,000 tons. The Secretary will establish the actual level of the TRQ at a later date. 4/ Includes sugar under the re-export and polyhydric alcohol programs. 5/ Does not include Mexico TRQ imports. For 2007/08, other high-tier (0) and other (0). For 2008/09, other high-tier (10) and other (0). For 2009/10, other high-tier (10) and other (0). 6/ Transfers to sugar- containing prod75ts for reexport, and for nonedible alcohol and feed. 7/ Includes SMD miscellaneous uses and the difference between SMD imports and WASDE imports. Mexico Sugar Supply and Use and High Fructose Corn Syrup Imports 1/ ========================================================================== : Supply : Use : Fiscal :====================================================: Ending year : Beginning : Production: Imports : Domestic: Exports: stocks : stocks : : : 2/ : : ========================================================================== 1,000 metric tons, raw value Sugar 2008/09 est. Jul 1,615 5,260 400 5,675 1,180 420 Aug 1,615 5,260 400 5,540 1,315 420 2009/10 proj. Jul 420 5,500 870 5,540 150 1,100 Aug 420 5,500 870 5,540 150 1,100` ========================================================================== 1/ U.S. HFCS exports to Mexico (metric tons, dry-weight basis): Oct-Sep 2007/08 = 427,705; Oct-May 2007/08 = 264,711; Oct-May 2008/09 = 171,083. Footnote source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2/Includes domestic consumption and Mexico's products export program (IMMEX). WASDE-473-17 August 2009 U. S. Cotton Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :=============================== : : Est. : July August =============================================================================== : Million acres Area : Planted : 10.83 9.47 9.05 * 9.05 Harvested : 10.49 7.57 7.90 * 7.77 : : Pounds Yield per harvested : acre : 879 813 805 * 816 : : Million 480 pound bales : Beginning stocks 2/ : 9.48 10.04 6.00 6.10 Production : 19.21 12.82 13.25 13.21 Imports : 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 Supply, total : 28.70 22.86 19.26 19.31 Domestic use : 4.59 3.60 3.50 3.50 Exports : 13.65 13.20 10.20 10.20 Use, total : 18.24 16.80 13.70 13.70 Unaccounted 3/ : 0.41 -0.04 -0.04 0.01 Ending stocks : 10.04 6.10 5.60 5.60 : Avg. farm price 4/ : 59.3 49.0 48.0-60.0 49.0-59.0 =============================================================================== Note: Reliability calculations at end of report. 1/ Upland and extra-long staple; marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add due to rounding. 2/ Based on Bureau of Census data. 3/ Reflects the difference between the previous season's supply less total use and ending stocks based on Bureau of Census data. 4/ Cents per pound for upland cotton. *For July, planted area reported in June 30 "Acreage." Projected harvested area based on 2004-2008 U.S. average abandonment, weighted by region, further adjusted to reflect existing conditions. July projected yield per harvested acre based on 2004-2008 average yield, weighted by region. WASDE-473-18 August 2009 World Wheat Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 : World 3/ : 126.98 610.95 113.64 96.12 616.12 117.47 121.81 United States : 12.41 55.82 3.07 0.43 28.61 34.36 8.32 Total foreign : 114.57 555.13 110.58 95.68 587.51 83.11 113.49 Major exporters 4/ : 26.43 172.13 7.47 58.16 134.24 47.33 24.46 Argentina : 1.07 18.00 0.02 0.08 5.13 11.20 2.76 Australia : 4.43 13.84 0.11 3.50 6.20 7.49 4.69 Canada : 6.87 20.05 0.39 2.14 6.37 16.38 4.56 EU-27 5/ : 14.08 120.24 6.94 52.44 116.54 12.27 12.45 Major importers 6/ : 62.18 175.24 59.40 10.61 225.86 8.71 62.25 Brazil : 0.98 3.83 6.71 0.10 10.30 0.77 0.45 China : 38.45 109.30 0.05 8.00 106.00 2.84 38.96 Select. Mideast 7/ : 6.69 20.37 9.37 1.15 29.24 0.56 6.62 N. Africa 8/ : 9.75 13.95 21.74 0.10 35.89 0.25 9.29 Pakistan : 1.99 23.30 1.49 0.40 22.40 2.20 2.18 Southeast Asia 9/ : 2.66 0.00 11.20 0.46 10.53 0.50 2.85 Selected other : India : 4.50 75.81 1.89 0.20 76.35 0.05 5.80 FSU-12 : 8.56 92.69 6.02 23.53 75.00 22.21 10.06 Russia : 2.23 49.40 0.44 15.05 37.70 12.55 1.82 Kazakhstan : 0.95 16.60 0.04 2.70 7.50 8.18 1.91 Ukraine : 1.38 13.90 0.33 3.00 12.30 1.24 2.07 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) : World 3/ : 121.81 682.40 135.32 113.11 634.71 137.40 169.50 United States : 8.32 68.03 3.46 6.70 34.01 27.64 18.15 Total foreign : 113.49 614.37 131.86 106.42 600.69 109.76 151.35 Major exporters 4/ : 24.46 210.15 7.50 68.73 147.83 62.00 32.27 Argentina : 2.76 8.40 0.03 0.08 5.08 5.50 0.61 Australia : 4.69 21.50 0.13 3.75 6.80 14.00 5.51 Canada : 4.56 28.61 0.35 3.90 8.45 18.00 7.07 EU-27 5/ : 12.45 151.64 7.00 61.00 127.50 24.50 19.08 Major importers 6/ : 62.25 172.78 73.26 9.07 227.64 5.55 75.09 Brazil : 0.45 6.00 6.00 0.20 10.70 0.40 1.35 China : 38.96 112.50 0.48 5.00 102.50 0.72 48.72 Select. Mideast 7/ : 6.62 13.31 20.08 1.50 30.90 0.71 8.40 N. Africa 8/ : 9.29 14.59 23.05 0.10 36.88 0.24 9.82 Pakistan : 2.18 21.50 3.10 0.40 22.80 1.80 2.18 Southeast Asia 9/ : 2.85 0.00 12.00 1.47 11.77 0.36 2.72 Selected other : India : 5.80 78.60 0.01 0.10 70.77 0.20 13.44 FSU-12 : 10.06 115.54 6.73 24.88 76.65 37.33 18.35 Russia : 1.82 63.70 0.20 16.20 38.90 18.39 8.43 Kazakhstan : 1.91 12.50 0.13 2.70 7.53 5.50 1.51 Ukraine : 2.07 25.90 0.10 2.90 11.90 12.95 3.22 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and the EU-27. 5/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 6/ Brazil, China, Japan, Mexico, N. Africa, Pakistan, selected Middle East, and Southeast Asia. 7/ Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, United Arab Emirates, and Oman. 8/ Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia. 9/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-473-19 August 2009 World Wheat Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 3/ : July : 167.35 656.48 118.80 110.94 642.56 124.00 181.28 August : 169.50 659.29 117.91 109.23 645.23 123.38 183.56 United States : July : 18.15 57.49 3.13 6.26 34.37 25.17 19.23 August : 18.15 59.43 2.99 6.40 34.51 25.86 20.21 Total foreign : July : 149.20 599.00 115.67 104.68 608.19 98.82 162.05 August : 151.35 599.86 114.92 102.83 610.72 97.52 163.35 Major exporters 4/ : July : 31.97 190.65 6.88 67.48 148.03 54.50 26.97 August : 32.27 190.29 6.88 65.58 145.73 55.50 28.22 Argentina Jul : 0.59 9.50 0.01 0.08 5.18 4.00 0.91 Aug : 0.61 8.50 0.01 0.08 5.18 3.00 0.93 Australia Jul : 5.46 23.00 0.08 4.00 7.05 15.50 5.99 Aug : 5.51 23.00 0.08 4.00 7.05 15.50 6.04 Canada Jul : 6.83 23.50 0.30 3.40 8.30 17.00 5.33 Aug : 7.07 22.50 0.30 2.50 7.00 17.00 5.87 EU-27 5/ Jul : 19.08 134.65 6.50 60.00 127.50 18.00 14.74 Aug : 19.08 136.29 6.50 59.00 126.50 20.00 15.38 Major importers 6/ : July : 74.31 181.89 64.55 7.85 227.35 5.35 88.05 August : 75.09 183.39 64.00 7.85 227.40 5.35 89.73 Brazil Jul : 1.40 5.50 5.70 0.20 10.90 0.40 1.30 Aug : 1.35 5.70 5.50 0.20 10.90 0.40 1.25 China Jul : 48.56 113.50 0.30 4.00 101.00 1.50 59.86 Aug : 48.72 114.50 0.30 4.00 101.00 1.50 61.02 Sel. Mideast 7/Jul : 8.40 15.03 17.55 1.32 30.52 0.66 9.79 Aug : 8.40 15.03 17.55 1.32 30.52 0.66 9.79 N. Africa 8/ Jul : 9.32 19.03 18.80 0.10 37.43 0.24 9.48 Aug : 9.82 19.03 18.65 0.10 37.48 0.24 9.78 Pakistan Jul : 1.68 24.00 1.00 0.40 23.30 1.00 2.38 Aug : 2.18 24.00 1.00 0.40 23.30 1.00 2.88 SE Asia 9/ Jul : 2.73 0.00 12.30 1.43 12.01 0.33 2.69 Aug : 2.72 0.00 12.30 1.43 12.01 0.33 2.69 Selected other : India Jul : 13.91 77.60 0.00 0.10 72.50 2.00 17.01 Aug : 13.44 80.58 0.00 0.10 76.88 0.20 16.94 FSU-12 Jul : 17.01 106.40 5.40 25.48 78.45 31.94 18.42 Aug : 18.35 102.74 5.08 25.53 77.80 31.44 16.93 Russia Jul : 8.47 60.00 0.30 17.00 40.00 18.50 10.27 Aug : 8.43 55.50 0.20 17.00 39.70 16.50 7.93 Kazakhstan Jul : 2.01 14.50 0.05 2.70 7.50 7.00 2.06 Aug : 1.51 14.00 0.05 2.70 7.55 6.50 1.51 Ukraine Jul : 1.17 18.50 0.10 2.80 12.60 6.00 1.17 Aug : 3.22 19.50 0.10 2.80 12.10 8.00 2.72 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and the EU-27. 5/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 6/ Brazil, China, Japan, Mexico, N. Africa, Pakistan, selected Middle East, and Southeast Asia. 7/ Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, United Arab Emirates, and Oman. 8/ Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia. 9/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-473-20 August 2009 World Coarse Grain Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 : World 3/ : 139.17 1077.50 126.47 654.79 1056.19 127.22 160.48 United States : 36.17 349.86 3.45 157.23 274.53 69.89 45.06 Total foreign : 102.99 727.64 123.02 497.56 781.66 57.33 115.42 Major exporters 4/ : 8.94 80.04 3.55 35.17 50.15 30.14 12.23 Argentina : 2.10 26.97 0.13 7.24 9.90 16.93 2.37 Australia : 1.56 11.55 0.01 5.17 6.47 4.44 2.20 Canada : 3.50 27.82 3.27 18.42 24.01 6.57 4.02 Major importers 5/ : 36.03 217.19 97.78 236.55 310.45 5.41 35.13 EU-27 6/ : 15.13 136.16 20.30 118.30 153.90 4.63 13.06 Japan : 1.76 0.20 19.21 14.53 19.44 0.00 1.72 Mexico : 3.39 30.78 10.98 23.66 40.43 0.11 4.61 N. Afr & Mideast 7/: 8.54 24.94 19.61 39.05 46.00 0.02 7.07 Saudi Arabia : 2.63 0.33 9.36 9.43 9.67 0.00 2.65 Southeast Asia 8/ : 2.57 24.37 4.31 20.00 27.41 0.65 3.19 South Korea : 1.32 0.35 9.36 7.10 8.94 0.00 2.08 Selected other : Brazil : 3.76 61.34 0.94 38.25 45.35 7.94 12.75 China : 38.03 159.10 1.16 105.82 157.11 0.85 40.33 FSU-12 : 5.05 53.91 1.00 34.69 50.29 5.26 4.41 Russia : 1.70 29.33 0.52 18.73 28.88 1.22 1.45 Ukraine : 2.12 14.59 0.03 8.96 12.01 3.14 1.58 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) : World 3/ : 160.48 1100.10 106.42 646.18 1073.80 107.38 186.78 United States : 45.06 326.09 3.09 142.57 275.33 50.77 48.14 Total foreign : 115.42 774.01 103.33 503.61 798.47 56.62 138.64 Major exporters 4/ : 12.23 67.66 2.26 34.85 50.36 19.10 12.69 Argentina : 2.37 16.83 0.13 6.41 9.07 8.26 2.00 Australia : 2.20 11.12 0.00 4.92 6.27 4.43 2.63 Canada : 4.02 27.19 1.90 18.77 24.63 3.88 4.60 Major importers 5/ : 35.13 242.96 79.31 231.69 309.46 6.65 41.30 EU-27 6/ : 13.06 161.08 3.18 112.50 151.30 5.81 20.21 Japan : 1.72 0.22 19.64 14.82 19.74 0.00 1.84 Mexico : 4.61 32.28 10.15 25.44 42.41 0.10 4.53 N. Afr & Mideast 7/: 7.07 24.19 21.64 38.59 45.60 0.02 7.28 Saudi Arabia : 2.65 0.34 9.30 9.53 9.78 0.00 2.51 Southeast Asia 8/ : 3.19 24.43 3.63 20.06 27.86 0.72 2.66 South Korea : 2.08 0.36 7.07 6.15 7.93 0.00 1.58 Selected other : Brazil : 12.75 52.55 1.11 39.19 47.32 8.61 10.48 China : 40.33 173.20 1.29 110.82 160.27 0.35 54.20 FSU-12 : 4.41 78.14 0.56 39.49 56.10 17.26 9.75 Russia : 1.45 40.70 0.20 21.85 32.75 4.77 4.83 Ukraine : 1.58 26.22 0.03 9.60 12.87 11.84 3.13 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. Coarse grains include corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains). 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and South Africa. 5/ The EU-27, Mexico, Japan, selected North Africa and Middle East, South Korea, Southeast Asia, and Taiwan. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia, and Turkey. 8/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-473-21 August 2009 World Coarse Grain Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 3/ : July : 186.65 1083.37 104.69 647.09 1091.04 107.34 178.98 August : 186.78 1091.58 106.21 648.78 1096.86 110.05 181.50 United States : July : 49.41 327.77 3.06 139.46 283.30 53.47 43.47 August : 48.14 339.84 2.80 141.81 288.20 57.28 45.30 Total foreign : July : 137.24 755.60 101.64 507.63 807.74 53.87 135.51 August : 138.64 751.74 103.41 506.96 808.66 52.77 136.20 Major exporters 4/ : July : 14.00 67.56 2.73 34.14 50.26 21.87 12.16 August : 12.69 65.33 2.70 33.49 49.56 20.37 10.80 Argentina Jul : 1.96 20.47 0.03 7.06 9.77 10.71 1.98 Aug : 2.00 20.47 0.03 7.06 9.77 10.71 2.02 Australia Jul : 2.69 11.46 0.00 4.97 6.34 4.91 2.90 Aug : 2.63 11.56 0.00 5.57 6.94 4.41 2.84 Canada Jul : 5.90 23.66 2.47 17.36 23.52 4.23 4.29 Aug : 4.60 22.33 2.47 16.11 22.47 3.73 3.21 Major importers 5/ : July : 40.42 235.98 77.74 230.20 309.39 6.55 38.20 August : 41.30 233.94 79.54 231.00 310.19 6.30 38.29 EU-27 6/ Jul : 20.13 148.96 3.08 110.60 149.80 5.51 16.87 Aug : 20.21 149.17 3.08 110.90 150.10 5.31 17.05 Japan Jul : 1.84 0.19 19.29 14.51 19.43 0.00 1.89 Aug : 1.84 0.19 19.29 14.51 19.43 0.00 1.89 Mexico Jul : 4.53 31.63 9.95 24.98 42.20 0.05 3.86 Aug : 4.53 30.13 11.45 24.98 42.20 0.05 3.86 N Afr/M.East 7/Jul : 6.48 29.35 19.83 39.88 47.26 0.11 8.29 Aug : 7.28 28.60 19.83 40.08 47.46 0.06 8.19 Saudi Arabia Jul : 2.51 0.34 9.30 9.43 9.68 0.00 2.47 Aug : 2.51 0.34 9.30 9.43 9.68 0.00 2.47 S.-east Asia 8/Jul : 2.66 25.06 4.33 20.46 28.56 0.89 2.60 Aug : 2.66 25.06 4.33 20.46 28.56 0.89 2.60 South Korea Jul : 1.58 0.35 7.57 6.05 7.93 0.00 1.57 Aug : 1.58 0.35 7.57 6.05 7.93 0.00 1.57 Selected other : Brazil Jul : 9.18 56.51 0.75 40.08 48.15 9.10 9.19 Aug : 10.48 56.51 0.75 40.08 47.65 9.10 10.99 China Jul : 54.20 169.20 1.29 115.57 165.97 0.62 58.10 Aug : 54.20 169.50 1.59 115.67 166.47 0.62 58.20 FSU-12 Jul : 8.94 63.97 0.41 38.87 55.34 11.20 6.79 Aug : 9.75 63.52 0.41 37.83 54.04 11.85 7.79 Russia Jul : 4.88 32.90 0.20 21.95 32.55 2.35 3.08 Aug : 4.83 31.40 0.20 20.75 31.05 2.10 3.28 Ukraine Jul : 2.28 20.85 0.02 9.35 12.75 8.02 2.38 Aug : 3.13 21.95 0.02 9.50 12.90 9.02 3.18 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. Coarse grains include corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains). 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and South Africa. 5/ The EU-27, Mexico, Japan, selected North Africa and Middle East, South Korea, Southeast Asia, and Taiwan. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia, and Turkey. 8/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-473-22 August 2009 World Corn Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 : World 3/ : 109.04 791.88 98.32 496.00 770.12 98.61 130.80 United States : 33.11 331.18 0.51 150.21 261.63 61.91 41.26 Total foreign : 75.92 460.70 97.81 345.79 508.48 36.70 89.54 Major exporters 4/ : 3.32 35.16 0.15 9.40 16.20 16.96 5.48 Argentina : 1.66 22.00 0.12 5.10 7.00 14.80 1.99 South Africa : 1.66 13.16 0.03 4.30 9.20 2.16 3.49 Major importers 5/ : 17.09 101.77 62.46 118.50 162.88 1.32 17.11 Egypt : 0.92 6.17 4.15 8.30 10.40 0.00 0.85 EU-27 6/ : 7.38 47.55 14.02 50.60 63.40 0.59 4.96 Japan : 1.15 0.00 16.61 12.00 16.60 0.00 1.16 Mexico : 3.08 23.60 9.56 16.20 32.00 0.11 4.13 Southeast Asia 7/ : 2.56 24.32 4.28 19.95 27.35 0.62 3.19 South Korea : 1.32 0.08 9.31 7.05 8.63 0.00 2.08 Selected other : Brazil : 3.59 58.60 0.68 36.00 42.50 7.79 12.58 Canada : 1.34 11.65 3.18 10.18 13.77 0.94 1.46 China : 36.60 152.30 0.04 105.00 149.00 0.55 39.39 FSU-12 : 1.77 13.79 0.62 11.16 12.90 2.13 1.14 Ukraine : 1.07 7.40 0.02 5.00 5.75 2.07 0.67 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) : World 3/ : 130.80 789.56 78.27 480.67 776.28 79.47 144.08 United States : 41.26 307.39 0.38 133.36 258.33 46.99 43.70 Total foreign : 89.54 482.17 77.89 347.31 517.95 32.48 100.38 Major exporters 4/ : 5.48 25.00 0.23 9.50 16.50 9.50 4.70 Argentina : 1.99 13.00 0.13 4.80 6.70 7.00 1.41 South Africa : 3.49 12.00 0.10 4.70 9.80 2.50 3.29 Major importers 5/ : 17.11 118.14 45.80 114.35 161.10 2.80 17.15 Egypt : 0.85 6.22 4.20 8.10 10.30 0.00 0.96 EU-27 6/ : 4.96 62.42 2.50 47.20 61.70 2.00 6.18 Japan : 1.16 0.00 16.50 11.80 16.40 0.00 1.27 Mexico : 4.13 25.00 7.40 16.60 32.60 0.10 3.83 Southeast Asia 7/ : 3.19 24.37 3.60 20.00 27.80 0.70 2.66 South Korea : 2.08 0.09 7.00 6.10 7.60 0.00 1.58 Selected other : Brazil : 12.58 50.00 0.80 37.00 44.50 8.50 10.38 Canada : 1.46 10.60 1.80 8.50 12.30 0.30 1.26 China : 39.39 165.90 0.05 110.00 152.00 0.25 53.09 FSU-12 : 1.14 21.32 0.32 12.47 14.36 6.83 1.59 Ukraine : 0.67 11.40 0.03 4.90 5.65 5.50 0.94 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina and South Africa. 5/ Egypt, the EU-27, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Southeast Asia. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-473-23 August 2009 World Corn Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 3/ : July : 143.82 789.83 79.93 483.28 794.48 81.76 139.17 August : 144.08 796.33 81.43 484.82 798.93 84.32 141.49 United States : July : 44.97 312.18 0.38 132.09 268.62 49.53 39.38 August : 43.70 324.14 0.38 134.63 273.70 53.34 41.19 Total foreign : July : 98.85 477.65 79.55 351.20 525.87 32.23 99.79 August : 100.38 472.19 81.05 350.20 525.23 30.98 100.30 Major exporters 4/ : July : 4.69 26.50 0.13 8.70 15.90 11.00 4.41 August : 4.70 25.50 0.13 8.70 15.70 10.50 4.13 Argentina Jul : 1.41 15.00 0.03 4.00 5.90 9.00 1.54 Aug : 1.41 15.00 0.03 4.00 5.90 9.00 1.54 South Africa Jul : 3.28 11.50 0.10 4.70 10.00 2.00 2.88 Aug : 3.29 10.50 0.10 4.70 9.80 1.50 2.59 Major importers 5/ : July : 16.75 111.88 46.60 110.95 158.70 2.91 13.62 August : 17.15 110.13 48.40 111.25 159.00 2.91 13.77 Egypt Jul : 0.56 6.30 4.20 8.30 10.60 0.00 0.46 Aug : 0.96 6.30 4.20 8.30 10.60 0.00 0.86 EU-27 6/ Jul : 6.18 56.41 2.50 44.30 59.10 2.00 3.99 Aug : 6.18 56.16 2.50 44.30 59.10 2.00 3.74 Japan Jul : 1.27 0.00 16.30 11.70 16.30 0.00 1.27 Aug : 1.27 0.00 16.30 11.70 16.30 0.00 1.27 Mexico Jul : 3.83 24.00 7.50 16.00 32.20 0.05 3.08 Aug : 3.83 22.50 9.00 16.00 32.20 0.05 3.08 S.-east Asia 7/Jul : 2.66 25.00 4.30 20.40 28.50 0.86 2.60 Aug : 2.66 25.00 4.30 20.40 28.50 0.86 2.60 South Korea Jul : 1.58 0.09 7.50 6.00 7.60 0.00 1.57 Aug : 1.58 0.09 7.50 6.00 7.60 0.00 1.57 Selected other : Brazil Jul : 9.08 54.00 0.50 38.00 45.50 9.00 9.08 Aug : 10.38 54.00 0.50 38.00 45.00 9.00 10.88 Canada Jul : 1.66 10.30 2.40 8.10 12.40 0.40 1.56 Aug : 1.26 10.30 2.40 8.10 12.40 0.40 1.16 China Jul : 53.09 162.50 0.05 115.00 158.00 0.50 57.14 Aug : 53.09 162.50 0.05 115.00 158.00 0.50 57.14 FSU-12 Jul : 1.49 19.32 0.19 13.16 15.04 4.13 1.83 Aug : 1.59 16.82 0.19 11.76 13.54 3.38 1.68 Ukraine Jul : 0.84 9.50 0.01 5.00 5.75 3.50 1.10 Aug : 0.94 8.50 0.01 4.70 5.45 3.00 1.00 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina and South Africa. 5/ Egypt, the EU-27, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Southeast Asia. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-473-24 August 2009 World Rice Supply and Use (Milled Basis) 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total 2/: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 World 3/ : 75.10 433.39 29.22 428.25 31.15 80.25 United States : 1.27 6.34 0.76 4.08 3.35 0.94 Total foreign : 73.84 427.05 28.46 424.17 27.80 79.31 Major exporters 4/ : 16.03 146.06 0.31 121.92 22.31 18.18 India : 11.43 96.69 0.00 90.47 4.65 13.00 Pakistan : 0.70 5.70 0.00 2.45 3.00 0.95 Thailand : 2.51 19.30 0.01 9.60 10.01 2.21 Vietnam : 1.39 24.38 0.30 19.40 4.65 2.02 Major importers 5/ : 13.70 63.27 11.39 73.20 0.72 14.44 Brazil : 1.16 8.20 0.42 8.25 0.55 0.97 EU-27 6/ : 1.14 1.82 1.57 3.24 0.15 1.14 Indonesia : 4.61 37.00 0.35 36.35 0.00 5.61 Nigeria : 0.47 3.00 1.80 4.50 0.00 0.77 Philippines : 4.87 10.48 2.57 13.50 0.00 4.42 Sel. Mideast 7/ : 1.34 2.38 3.44 5.70 0.02 1.43 Selected other : Burma : 0.60 10.73 0.05 10.25 0.54 0.59 C. Amer & Carib 8/ : 0.48 1.30 1.56 2.96 0.00 0.38 China : 35.92 129.85 0.30 127.45 0.97 37.64 Egypt : 0.37 4.39 0.02 3.39 0.75 0.64 Japan : 2.41 7.93 0.60 8.18 0.20 2.56 Mexico : 0.15 0.18 0.58 0.76 0.01 0.14 South Korea : 0.70 4.41 0.25 4.67 0.00 0.69 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) World 3/ : 80.25 444.85 26.56 436.39 27.72 88.71 United States : 0.94 6.52 0.60 4.23 3.10 0.73 Total foreign : 79.31 438.34 25.95 432.16 24.62 87.99 Major exporters 4/ : 18.18 148.56 0.70 126.49 19.00 21.94 India : 13.00 99.15 0.00 93.65 1.50 17.00 Pakistan : 0.95 6.30 0.00 3.40 3.00 0.85 Thailand : 2.21 19.40 0.30 10.29 8.50 3.12 Vietnam : 2.02 23.71 0.40 19.15 6.00 0.97 Major importers 5/ : 14.44 64.64 10.96 75.17 0.60 14.27 Brazil : 0.97 8.60 0.47 8.66 0.45 0.93 EU-27 6/ : 1.14 1.68 1.05 2.71 0.12 1.05 Indonesia : 5.61 38.30 0.35 37.65 0.01 6.60 Nigeria : 0.77 3.20 1.60 5.00 0.00 0.57 Philippines : 4.42 10.75 2.30 13.65 0.00 3.82 Sel. Mideast 7/ : 1.43 1.67 4.06 5.93 0.02 1.21 Selected other : Burma : 0.59 10.15 0.03 9.55 1.00 0.22 C. Amer & Carib 8/ : 0.38 1.41 1.26 2.75 0.00 0.30 China : 37.64 134.33 0.33 129.30 0.80 42.20 Egypt : 0.64 4.39 0.02 4.00 0.30 0.74 Japan : 2.56 8.03 0.70 8.37 0.20 2.72 Mexico : 0.14 0.19 0.57 0.76 0.01 0.13 South Korea : 0.69 4.84 0.28 5.01 0.00 0.81 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. Total domestic includes both domestic use and unreported disappearance. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in some countries. 4/ India, Pakistan, Thailand, and Vietnam. 5/ Brazil, Indonesia, Hong Kong, Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Philippines, selected Middle East, and the EU-27. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Selected Middle East includes Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. 8/ Central American and Caribbean countries. WASDE-473-25 August 2009 World Rice Supply and Use (Milled Basis) 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total 2/: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 3/ : July : 88.94 448.98 26.94 443.42 30.23 94.51 August : 88.71 433.46 27.06 438.14 29.74 84.04 United States : July : 0.69 6.75 0.67 4.22 3.17 0.73 August : 0.73 6.75 0.67 4.22 3.17 0.76 Total foreign : July : 88.25 442.24 26.28 439.20 27.07 93.78 August : 87.99 426.71 26.39 433.92 26.57 83.27 Major exporters 4/ : July : 22.40 149.49 0.41 125.75 20.80 25.75 August : 21.94 133.99 0.41 120.95 19.80 15.59 India Jul : 17.00 99.50 0.00 93.50 4.00 19.00 Aug : 17.00 84.00 0.00 89.50 1.50 10.00 Pakistan Jul : 0.85 6.20 0.00 2.70 3.30 1.05 Aug : 0.85 6.20 0.00 2.70 3.30 1.05 Thailand Jul : 3.12 20.00 0.01 10.40 8.50 4.22 Aug : 3.12 20.00 0.01 9.60 10.00 3.52 Vietnam Jul : 1.43 23.80 0.40 19.15 5.00 1.48 Aug : 0.97 23.80 0.40 19.15 5.00 1.02 Major importers 5/ : July : 14.06 65.22 11.45 75.84 0.60 14.27 August : 14.27 65.02 11.47 76.17 0.60 13.98 Brazil Jul : 1.12 9.00 0.60 8.80 0.45 1.47 Aug : 0.93 8.84 0.60 8.84 0.45 1.08 EU-27 6/ Jul : 1.05 1.91 1.25 2.96 0.10 1.15 Aug : 1.05 1.91 1.25 2.96 0.10 1.15 Indonesia Jul : 6.60 37.60 0.30 37.69 0.00 6.81 Aug : 6.60 37.60 0.30 37.69 0.00 6.81 Nigeria Jul : 0.47 3.40 1.60 5.10 0.00 0.37 Aug : 0.57 3.40 1.60 5.10 0.00 0.47 Philippines Jul : 3.52 10.71 2.40 13.55 0.00 3.09 Aug : 3.82 10.71 2.40 13.85 0.00 3.09 Sel. Mideast 7/Jul : 1.21 2.10 4.15 6.10 0.05 1.30 Aug : 1.21 2.07 4.17 6.09 0.05 1.30 Selected other : Burma Jul : 0.22 10.73 0.00 9.95 0.80 0.20 Aug : 0.22 10.73 0.00 9.75 1.00 0.20 C. Am & Car. 8/Jul : 0.30 1.49 1.50 2.97 0.00 0.33 Aug : 0.30 1.50 1.50 2.97 0.00 0.33 China Jul : 42.20 135.10 0.35 131.85 1.30 44.50 Aug : 42.20 135.10 0.35 131.85 1.30 44.50 Egypt Jul : 0.74 4.37 0.00 3.68 0.90 0.54 Aug : 0.74 4.37 0.00 3.68 0.90 0.54 Japan Jul : 2.72 7.71 0.70 8.20 0.20 2.73 Aug : 2.72 7.71 0.70 8.20 0.20 2.73 Mexico Jul : 0.13 0.24 0.68 0.86 0.01 0.18 Aug : 0.13 0.24 0.68 0.86 0.01 0.18 South Korea Jul : 0.81 4.50 0.30 4.75 0.00 0.86 Aug : 0.81 4.50 0.30 4.75 0.00 0.86 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. Total domestic includes both domestic use and unreported disappearance. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in some countries. 4/ India, Pakistan, Thailand, and Vietnam. 5/ Brazil, Indonesia, Hong Kong, Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Philippines, selected Middle East, the EU-27. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Selected Middle East includes Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. 8/ Central American and Caribbean countries. WASDE-473-26 August 2009 World Cotton Supply and Use 1/ (Million 480-pound bales) ================================================================================ : Supply : Use : : Region :=========================:================: Loss : Ending :Beginning:Produc-:Imports:Domestic:Exports: 2/ : stocks : stocks : tion : : : : : ================================================================================ : : 2007/08 : World : 63.29 120.51 38.16 122.43 38.34 -2.06 63.25 United States : 9.48 19.21 0.01 4.59 13.65 0.41 10.04 Total foreign : 53.81 101.30 38.15 117.84 24.68 -2.47 53.21 Major exporters 4/ : 20.14 47.07 1.41 27.87 20.97 -0.16 19.94 Central Asia 5/ : 2.27 8.20 0.04 1.60 6.30 0.00 2.61 Afr. Fr. Zone 6/ : 1.13 2.46 3/ 0.19 2.58 0.00 0.82 S. Hemis. 7/ : 7.96 9.72 0.53 6.00 4.09 -0.18 8.30 Australia : 1.18 0.64 3/ 0.05 1.22 -0.05 0.60 Brazil : 5.41 7.36 0.16 4.60 2.23 -0.15 6.25 India : 7.66 24.60 0.45 18.30 7.03 0.00 7.38 Major importers 8/ : 31.65 51.46 34.12 85.51 2.66 -2.31 31.37 Mexico : 1.03 0.62 1.53 2.00 0.22 0.03 0.93 China : 20.54 37.00 11.53 51.50 0.06 -2.50 20.00 EU-27 9/ : 0.83 1.74 1.58 1.80 1.62 0.05 0.67 Turkey : 1.95 3.10 3.27 6.00 0.37 0.00 1.95 Pakistan : 4.88 8.90 3.91 12.00 0.27 0.03 5.39 Indonesia : 0.35 0.03 2.30 2.23 0.02 0.05 0.39 Thailand : 0.35 0.02 1.93 1.95 0.00 0.03 0.32 Bangladesh : 0.51 0.04 2.80 2.75 0.00 0.01 0.58 Vietnam : 0.22 0.03 1.16 1.15 0.00 0.00 0.25 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) : World : 63.25 106.90 29.16 110.60 29.40 -2.54 61.85 United States : 10.04 12.82 3/ 3.60 13.20 -0.04 6.10 Total foreign : 53.21 94.09 29.16 107.00 16.20 -2.50 55.75 Major exporters 4/ : 19.94 42.40 1.32 26.77 13.23 -0.19 23.84 Central Asia 5/ : 2.61 7.12 0.01 1.60 3.92 0.00 4.22 Afr. Fr. Zone 6/ : 0.82 2.47 3/ 0.19 2.22 0.00 0.88 S. Hemis. 7/ : 8.30 8.70 0.33 5.52 4.54 -0.20 7.47 Australia : 0.60 1.50 3/ 0.05 1.20 -0.07 0.93 Brazil : 6.25 5.50 0.05 4.20 2.73 -0.15 5.02 India : 7.38 22.50 0.55 17.75 2.20 0.00 10.48 Major importers 8/ : 31.37 48.81 25.41 75.94 1.95 -2.31 30.01 Mexico : 0.93 0.58 1.32 1.85 0.18 0.03 0.77 China : 20.00 35.80 7.00 45.25 0.08 -2.50 19.97 EU-27 9/ : 0.67 1.24 0.98 1.16 1.01 0.05 0.66 Turkey : 1.95 2.10 2.80 5.10 0.14 0.00 1.61 Pakistan : 5.39 9.00 2.20 11.50 0.43 0.03 4.64 Indonesia : 0.39 0.03 2.00 2.00 0.02 0.05 0.35 Thailand : 0.32 0.02 1.60 1.60 0.00 0.03 0.30 Bangladesh : 0.58 0.04 2.95 2.90 0.00 0.01 0.66 Vietnam : 0.25 0.01 1.14 1.15 0.00 0.00 0.25 ================================================================================ 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add exactly and trade may not balance due to rounding and other factors. 2/ Generally reflects cotton lost or destroyed in the marketing channel; for Australia, Brazil, China, and the United States, reflects the difference between implicit stocks based on supply less total use and indicated ending stocks. 3/ Less than 5,000 bales. 4/ Includes Egypt and Syria in addition to the countries and regions listed. 5/ Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan. 6/ Benin, Burkino Faso, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Cote d'Ivoire, Mali, Niger, Senegal, and Togo. 7/ Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Paraguay, South Africa, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe. 8/ In addition to the countries and regions listed, includes Hong Kong, Japan, Russia, South Korea, and Taiwan. 9/ Includes intra-EU trade. WASDE-473-27 August 2009 World Cotton Supply and Use 1/ (Million 480-pound bales) ================================================================================ : Supply : Use : : Region :=========================:================: Loss : Ending :Beginning:Produc-:Imports:Domestic:Exports: 2/ : stocks : stocks : tion : : : : : ================================================================================ : : 2009/10 (Projected) World : July : 61.95 105.95 31.65 112.62 31.66 -2.54 57.81 August : 61.85 105.87 31.95 112.76 31.95 -2.49 57.46 United States : July : 6.00 13.25 0.01 3.50 10.20 -0.04 5.60 August : 6.10 13.21 0.01 3.50 10.20 0.01 5.60 Total foreign : July : 55.95 92.70 31.65 109.12 21.46 -2.50 52.21 August : 55.75 92.67 31.95 109.26 21.75 -2.50 51.86 Major exporters 4/ : July : 24.09 44.35 1.25 27.24 18.75 -0.19 23.89 August : 23.84 43.99 1.25 27.22 19.02 -0.19 23.03 Central Asia 5/Jul : 4.15 6.46 0.03 1.50 5.96 0.00 3.17 Aug : 4.22 6.40 0.03 1.50 5.97 0.00 3.19 Afr. Fr. Zn. 6/Jul : 0.89 2.39 3/ 0.19 2.25 0.00 0.85 Aug : 0.88 2.34 3/ 0.19 2.21 0.00 0.83 S. Hemis 7/ Jul : 7.58 9.08 0.40 5.53 4.17 -0.20 7.57 Aug : 7.47 8.85 0.40 5.51 4.17 -0.20 7.24 Australia Jul : 1.03 1.90 3/ 0.04 1.60 -0.07 1.37 Aug : 0.93 1.80 3/ 0.04 1.60 -0.07 1.17 Brazil Jul : 5.00 5.50 0.10 4.20 1.80 -0.15 4.75 Aug : 5.02 5.40 0.10 4.20 1.80 -0.15 4.67 India Jul : 10.68 25.00 0.40 18.30 6.10 0.00 11.68 Aug : 10.48 25.00 0.40 18.30 6.40 0.00 11.18 Major importers 8/ : July : 29.91 45.52 27.96 77.65 1.60 -2.31 26.45 August : 30.01 45.87 28.27 77.81 1.64 -2.31 27.00 Mexico Jul : 0.78 0.40 1.60 1.90 0.10 0.03 0.76 Aug : 0.77 0.40 1.60 1.90 0.10 0.03 0.75 China Jul : 19.87 33.00 8.00 46.50 0.08 -2.50 16.80 Aug : 19.97 33.50 8.00 46.50 0.08 -2.50 17.40 EU-27 9/ Jul : 0.68 1.12 1.00 1.15 0.98 0.05 0.62 Aug : 0.66 0.97 0.97 1.06 0.93 0.05 0.56 Turkey Jul : 1.62 1.70 3.10 4.90 0.10 0.00 1.42 Aug : 1.61 1.70 3.30 5.10 0.10 0.00 1.41 Pakistan Jul : 4.61 9.20 3.00 12.00 0.30 0.03 4.49 Aug : 4.64 9.20 3.00 12.00 0.30 0.03 4.51 Indonesia Jul : 0.35 0.03 2.08 2.05 0.02 0.05 0.33 Aug : 0.35 0.03 2.08 2.05 0.02 0.05 0.33 Thailand Jul : 0.30 0.01 1.78 1.75 0.00 0.03 0.31 Aug : 0.30 0.01 1.73 1.70 0.00 0.03 0.31 Bangladesh Jul : 0.66 0.04 3.05 3.05 0.00 0.01 0.70 Aug : 0.66 0.04 3.05 3.05 0.00 0.01 0.70 Vietnam Jul : 0.25 0.01 1.10 1.10 0.00 0.00 0.26 Aug : 0.25 0.01 1.20 1.20 0.00 0.00 0.26 ================================================================================ 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add exactly and trade may not balance due to rounding and other factors. 2/ Generally reflects cotton lost or destroyed in the marketing channel; for Australia, Brazil, and the United States, reflects the difference between implicit stocks based on supply less total use and indicated ending stocks. 3/ Less than 5,000 bales. 4/ Includes Egypt and Syria in addition to the countries and regions listed. 5/ Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan. 6/ Benin, Burkino Faso, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Cote d'Ivoire, Mali, Niger, Senegal, and Togo. 7/ Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Paraguay, South Africa, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe. 8/ In addition to the countries and regions listed, includes Hong Kong, Japan, Russia, South Korea, and Taiwan. 9/ Includes intra-EU trade. WASDE-473-28 August 2009 World Soybean Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Domestic : : : stocks : tion :Imports: Crush : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 World 2/ : 62.89 221.18 78.16 201.93 229.75 79.55 52.92 United States : 15.62 72.86 0.27 49.08 51.63 31.54 5.58 Total foreign : 47.27 148.32 77.89 152.85 178.12 48.01 47.34 Major exporters 3/ : 40.98 114.10 3.11 68.12 72.78 44.60 40.81 Argentina : 22.61 46.20 2.95 34.61 36.16 13.84 21.76 Brazil : 18.19 61.00 0.15 32.11 35.07 25.36 18.90 Major importers 4/ : 4.42 16.02 64.01 62.88 78.36 0.53 5.57 China : 2.70 14.00 37.82 39.52 49.82 0.45 4.25 EU-27 : 1.12 0.72 15.12 14.87 16.11 0.04 0.81 Japan : 0.26 0.23 4.01 2.89 4.22 0.01 0.27 Mexico : 0.04 0.08 3.61 3.68 3.71 0.00 0.02 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) World 2/ : 52.92 210.62 73.39 192.80 221.62 74.31 41.00 United States : 5.58 80.54 0.41 45.18 49.09 34.43 3.00 Total foreign : 47.34 130.09 72.98 147.62 172.53 39.88 38.00 Major exporters 3/ : 40.81 92.80 1.67 66.10 70.55 36.07 28.66 Argentina : 21.76 32.00 1.60 32.80 34.16 5.97 15.24 Brazil : 18.90 57.00 0.05 31.80 34.77 27.80 13.38 Major importers 4/ : 5.57 18.02 61.68 61.07 76.45 0.56 8.25 China : 4.25 16.00 39.10 41.04 51.34 0.50 7.51 EU-27 : 0.81 0.65 12.80 12.50 13.73 0.03 0.51 Japan : 0.27 0.23 3.45 2.54 3.85 0.00 0.10 Mexico : 0.02 0.16 3.10 3.22 3.25 0.00 0.03 : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 2/ : July : 41.04 243.73 74.84 201.29 231.92 75.86 51.83 August : 41.00 242.07 74.54 200.72 231.34 75.96 50.32 United States : July : 2.98 88.72 0.27 45.72 50.49 34.70 6.79 August : 3.00 87.07 0.27 45.45 50.19 34.43 5.72 Total foreign : July : 38.05 155.01 74.57 155.57 181.44 41.16 45.04 August : 38.00 155.01 74.27 155.27 181.15 41.53 44.60 Major exporters 3/ : July : 28.96 116.75 0.67 68.25 73.04 37.37 35.96 August : 28.66 116.75 0.67 68.25 73.04 37.67 35.36 Argentina Jul : 15.24 51.00 0.50 35.10 36.73 9.40 20.61 Aug : 15.24 51.00 0.50 35.10 36.73 9.70 20.31 Brazil Jul : 13.68 60.00 0.15 31.60 34.64 24.00 15.20 Aug : 13.38 60.00 0.15 31.60 34.64 24.00 14.90 Major importers 4/ : July : 8.25 17.77 62.43 64.16 79.78 0.56 8.11 August : 8.25 17.72 61.93 63.66 79.29 0.56 8.05 China Jul : 7.51 15.60 38.10 43.25 53.45 0.50 7.26 Aug : 7.51 15.40 38.10 43.25 53.45 0.50 7.06 EU-27 Jul : 0.51 0.80 12.90 12.60 13.73 0.03 0.45 Aug : 0.51 0.95 12.40 12.10 13.24 0.03 0.59 Japan Jul : 0.10 0.23 3.95 2.75 4.11 0.00 0.17 Aug : 0.10 0.23 3.95 2.75 4.11 0.00 0.17 Mexico Jul : 0.03 0.16 3.49 3.62 3.65 0.00 0.03 Aug : 0.03 0.16 3.49 3.62 3.65 0.00 0.03 =============================================================================== 1/ Data based on local marketing years except Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay. 4/ Japan, China, EU, Mexico, and Southeast Asia (includes Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand). WASDE-473-29 August 2009 World Soybean Meal Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total : : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 World 2/ : 6.52 158.52 54.32 157.46 55.78 6.11 United States : 0.31 38.36 0.13 30.15 8.38 0.27 Total foreign : 6.21 120.16 54.19 127.32 47.39 5.85 Major exporters 3/ : 3.82 58.48 0.18 14.93 43.74 3.81 Argentina : 1.48 27.07 0.00 0.62 26.82 1.11 Brazil : 1.91 24.89 0.17 12.25 12.14 2.59 India : 0.43 6.52 0.00 2.06 4.79 0.11 Major importers 4/ : 1.19 44.59 31.05 74.48 1.10 1.24 EU-27 : 0.86 11.72 24.07 35.17 0.41 1.07 China : 0.00 31.28 0.20 30.85 0.63 0.00 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) World 2/ : 6.11 151.86 52.36 152.27 52.96 5.10 United States : 0.27 35.89 0.13 27.94 8.07 0.27 Total foreign : 5.85 115.97 52.23 124.33 44.89 4.83 Major exporters 3/ : 3.81 56.20 0.16 15.56 40.87 3.74 Argentina : 1.11 25.65 0.00 0.63 25.00 1.13 Brazil : 2.59 24.65 0.16 12.44 12.77 2.18 India : 0.11 5.90 0.00 2.48 3.10 0.43 Major importers 4/ : 1.24 43.80 29.73 72.83 1.40 0.54 EU-27 : 1.07 9.85 22.45 32.57 0.40 0.39 China : 0.00 32.48 0.23 31.76 0.95 0.00 : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 2/ : July : 4.99 158.58 54.51 157.80 55.05 5.23 August : 5.10 158.21 54.57 157.81 55.07 5.00 United States : July : 0.27 36.23 0.15 28.03 8.35 0.27 August : 0.27 36.09 0.15 28.12 8.12 0.27 Total foreign : July : 4.72 122.36 54.36 129.76 46.71 4.96 August : 4.83 122.12 54.42 129.68 46.95 4.73 Major exporters 3/ : July : 3.61 58.89 0.16 15.69 43.21 3.77 August : 3.74 58.89 0.16 15.79 43.45 3.55 Argentina Jul : 1.13 27.45 0.00 0.68 26.56 1.36 Aug : 1.13 27.45 0.00 0.68 26.80 1.12 Brazil Jul : 2.18 24.49 0.15 12.74 11.85 2.23 Aug : 2.18 24.49 0.15 12.74 11.85 2.23 India Jul : 0.30 6.94 0.00 2.27 4.80 0.18 Aug : 0.43 6.94 0.00 2.37 4.80 0.20 Major importers 4/ : July : 0.54 45.77 30.80 75.55 1.00 0.56 August : 0.54 45.37 31.00 75.35 1.00 0.56 EU-27 Jul : 0.39 9.93 23.10 32.74 0.32 0.36 Aug : 0.39 9.53 23.30 32.54 0.32 0.36 China Jul : 0.00 34.23 0.20 33.80 0.63 0.00 Aug : 0.00 34.23 0.20 33.80 0.63 0.00 =============================================================================== 1/ Data based on local marketing years except for Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil, and India. 4/ Eastern Europe, China, EU, and Southeast Asia (includes Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand). WASDE-473-30 August 2009 World Soybean Oil Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total : : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 World 2/ : 3.34 37.55 10.48 37.63 10.86 2.88 United States : 1.40 9.33 0.03 8.31 1.32 1.13 Total foreign : 1.94 28.22 10.45 29.32 9.54 1.75 Major exporters 3/ : 0.94 15.45 1.11 8.20 8.51 0.79 Argentina : 0.38 6.63 0.00 1.00 5.79 0.22 Brazil : 0.35 6.16 0.07 3.83 2.39 0.36 EU-27 : 0.21 2.67 1.04 3.38 0.33 0.21 Major importers 4/ : 0.46 8.51 3.52 12.05 0.11 0.32 China : 0.25 7.05 2.73 9.69 0.10 0.23 India : 0.21 1.46 0.73 2.30 0.01 0.09 Pakistan : 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.00 0.01 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) World 2/ : 2.88 35.89 9.16 35.89 9.38 2.65 United States : 1.13 8.60 0.05 7.35 1.00 1.42 Total foreign : 1.75 27.29 9.12 28.54 8.39 1.23 Major exporters 3/ : 0.79 14.65 0.95 8.38 7.34 0.66 Argentina : 0.22 6.29 0.00 1.22 5.10 0.20 Brazil : 0.36 6.10 0.05 4.27 1.91 0.33 EU-27 : 0.21 2.25 0.90 2.90 0.33 0.13 Major importers 4/ : 0.32 8.65 3.23 11.84 0.11 0.26 China : 0.23 7.31 2.21 9.49 0.10 0.17 India : 0.09 1.34 1.00 2.33 0.01 0.09 Pakistan : 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 2/ : July : 2.57 37.38 9.54 37.28 9.77 2.44 August : 2.65 37.28 9.54 37.26 9.79 2.42 United States : July : 1.40 8.65 0.03 7.48 1.47 1.13 August : 1.42 8.60 0.03 7.48 1.47 1.10 Total foreign : July : 1.17 28.73 9.50 29.79 8.29 1.31 August : 1.23 28.68 9.50 29.77 8.32 1.32 Major exporters 3/ : July : 0.64 15.06 0.85 8.53 7.38 0.64 August : 0.66 14.97 0.85 8.47 7.38 0.63 Argentina Jul : 0.20 6.74 0.00 1.35 5.36 0.22 Aug : 0.20 6.74 0.00 1.35 5.36 0.22 Brazil Jul : 0.33 6.06 0.05 4.30 1.85 0.29 Aug : 0.33 6.06 0.05 4.30 1.85 0.29 EU-27 Jul : 0.11 2.27 0.80 2.88 0.17 0.13 Aug : 0.13 2.18 0.80 2.82 0.17 0.12 Major importers 4/ : July : 0.22 9.26 3.27 12.27 0.12 0.36 August : 0.26 9.26 3.27 12.31 0.11 0.37 China Jul : 0.12 7.71 2.40 9.97 0.11 0.14 Aug : 0.17 7.71 2.40 10.01 0.10 0.16 India Jul : 0.10 1.55 0.85 2.28 0.01 0.22 Aug : 0.09 1.55 0.85 2.28 0.01 0.21 Pakistan Jul : 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 Aug : 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 =============================================================================== 1/ Data based on local marketing years except for Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil and EU. 4/ India, China and Pakistan. WASDE-473-31 August 2009 U.S. Quarterly Animal Product Production 1/ =============================================================================== Year : : : Red : : : Total: Red : : : and : : : meat : : :poultry: meat & : : : quarter : Beef : Pork : 2/ :Broiler:Turkey: 3/ : poultry: Egg : Milk : =============================================================================== : Million pounds Mil doz Bil lbs 2008 : III : 6908 5632 12618 9457 1568 11173 23791 1875 46.9 IV : 6382 6098 12561 8865 1582 10576 23137 1907 46.7 Annual : 26561 23347 50225 36906 6246 43712 93937 7509 190.0 : 2009 : I : 6248 5811 12136 8574 1385 10077 22213 1857 47.4 II : 6602 5488 12165 8936 1420 10486 22651 1867 48.8 III* : 6710 5525 12310 9050 1440 10615 22925 1875 46.4 IV* : 6315 6000 12392 8950 1500 10575 22967 1915 45.6 Annual : Jul Proj : 26298 22781 49380 35504 5790 41787 91167 7532 187.6 Aug Proj : 25875 22824 49003 35510 5745 41753 90756 7514 188.2 : 2010 : I* : 6000 5670 11746 8650 1415 10185 21931 1870 46.5 II* : 6435 5400 11908 9000 1460 10575 22483 1885 48.1 Annual : Jul Proj : 25950 22535 48783 36025 5905 42410 91193 7605 186.4 Aug Proj : 25140 22535 47970 36025 5905 42410 90380 7605 186.5 =============================================================================== * Projection. 1/ Commercial production for red meats; federally inspected for poultry meats. 2/ Beef, pork, veal and lamb & mutton. 3/ Broilers, turkeys and mature chicken. U.S. Quarterly Prices for Animal Products 1/ =============================================================================== Year : Choice : Barrows : : : : : and : steers :and gilts : Broilers : Turkeys : Eggs : Milk : quarter : 2/ : 3/ : 4/ : 5/ : 6/ : 7/ : =============================================================================== : Dol./cwt Dol./cwt Cents/lb. Cents/lb. Cents/doz. Dol./cwt 2008 : III : 98.45 57.27 80.6 96.5 114.5 18.63 IV : 88.22 41.92 79.4 87.3 122.6 16.80 Annual : 92.27 47.84 79.7 87.5 128.3 18.29 : 2009 : I : 80.98 42.11 79.7 73.8 109.7 12.23 II : 84.53 42.74 81.9 79.1 89.7 11.60 III* : 83-85 40-42 79-81 84-86 93-95 11.80-12.10 IV* : 86-92 36-38 78-82 82-88 95-101 12.75-13.35 Annual : Jul Proj : 84-87 42-43 80-83 80-82 96-99 11.85-12.15 Aug Proj : 84-86 40-41 79-81 80-82 97-99 12.10-12.30 : 2010 : I* : 84-92 41-45 78-84 71-77 101-109 13.55-14.45 II* : 88-96 45-49 80-86 77-83 97-105 14.10-15.10 Annual : Jul Proj : 87-94 46-50 80-87 79-86 99-107 14.85-15.85 Aug Proj : 88-96 44-48 79-86 79-86 99-107 14.65-15.65 =============================================================================== *Projection. 1/ Simple average of months. 2/ Nebraska, Direct, 1100-1300 lbs. 3/ National Base, Live equiv 51-52% lean. 4/ Wholesale, 12-city average. 5/ 8-12 lbs, hens Eastern Region. 6/ Grade A large, New York, volume buyers. 7/ Prices received by farmers for all milk. WASDE-473-32 August 2009 U.S. Meats Supply and Use =============================================================================== : Supply : Use :----------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : : : Disappearance : : Pro- : : : : :-------------- : Beg- : duc- : : : : End- : : Per Item :inning: tion : Im- : Total : Ex- : ing : :capita :stocks: 1/ :ports: supply: ports:stocks:Total : 2/ 3/ =============================================================================== : Million pounds 4/ BEEF : 2008 : 630 26663 2538 29831 1887 642 27302 62.8 2009 Proj. Jul : 642 26400 2859 29901 1744 605 27552 62.8 Aug : 642 25977 2834 29453 1719 590 27144 61.8 2010 Proj. Jul : 605 26052 2975 29632 1905 475 27252 61.4 Aug : 590 25242 2975 28807 1845 460 26502 59.7 : PORK : 2008 : 519 23367 832 24718 4667 635 19416 49.5 2009 Proj. Jul : 635 22801 800 24236 4183 595 19458 49.1 Aug : 635 22844 800 24279 4183 675 19421 49.0 2010 Proj. Jul : 595 22555 840 23990 4450 595 18945 47.3 Aug : 675 22555 840 24070 4450 675 18945 47.3 : TOTAL RED MEAT 5/ : 2008 : 1169 50361 3554 55084 6566 1307 47210 113.6 2009 Proj. Jul : 1307 49515 3836 54658 5941 1223 47494 113.3 Aug : 1307 49138 3811 54256 5916 1290 47050 112.2 2010 Proj. Jul : 1223 48918 3995 54136 6371 1093 46672 110.1 Aug : 1290 48105 4004 53399 6311 1158 45930 108.5 : BROILERS : 2008 : 719 36511 79 37309 6961 745 29603 83.5 2009 Proj. Jul : 745 35124 79 35948 6428 610 28910 80.8 Aug : 745 35130 79 35954 6478 660 28816 80.5 2010 Proj. Jul : 610 35640 80 36330 6300 655 29375 81.3 Aug : 660 35640 80 36380 6300 655 29425 81.4 : TURKEYS : 2008 : 261 6165 8 6434 676 396 5361 17.6 2009 Proj. Jul : 396 5714 12 6122 507 385 5231 17.0 Aug : 396 5670 12 6078 487 375 5216 17.0 2010 Proj. Jul : 385 5828 12 6225 545 340 5340 17.2 Aug : 375 5828 12 6215 545 340 5330 17.2 : TOTAL POULTRY 6/ : 2008 : 982 43235 92 44309 7785 1144 35379 102.5 2009 Proj. Jul : 1144 41331 99 42574 7061 999 34514 99.0 Aug : 1144 41297 99 42541 7081 1039 34421 98.8 2010 Proj. Jul : 999 41947 100 43046 6985 999 35062 99.6 Aug : 1039 41947 100 43086 6985 999 35102 99.7 : RED MEAT & POULTRY : 2008 : 2151 93596 3646 99393 14352 2451 82590 216.1 2009 Proj. Jul : 2451 90845 3935 97232 13001 2222 82008 212.3 Aug : 2451 90435 3910 96796 12996 2329 81471 211.0 2010 Proj. Jul : 2222 90864 4095 97181 13356 2092 81733 209.7 Aug : 2329 90051 4104 96484 13296 2157 81031 208.1 =============================================================================== 1/ Total including farm production for red meats and, for poultry, federally inspected plus non-federally inspected, less condemnations. 2/ Pounds, retail-weight basis. 3/ Population source: Dept. of Commerce, Census Bureau. 4/ Carcass weight for red meats and certified ready-to-cook weight for poultry. 5/ Beef, pork, veal, lamb and mutton. 6/ Broilers, turkeys and mature chicken. WASDE-473-33 August 2009 U.S. Egg Supply and Use =============================================================================== : : : 2009 Projected : 2010 Projected : : :-----------------:----------------- Commodity : 2007 : 2008 : Jul : Aug : Jul : Aug =============================================================================== EGGS : Million dozen Supply : Beginning stocks : 12.5 11.1 17.2 17.2 17.0 17.0 Production : 7587.0 7509.0 7532.0 7514.0 7605.0 7605.0 Imports : 13.6 14.6 12.9 12.9 16.0 16.0 Total supply : 7613.1 7534.7 7562.1 7544.1 7638.0 7638.0 : Use : Exports : 250.3 206.3 188.1 193.1 200.0 200.0 Hatching use : 1016.3 994.9 966.5 965.0 1002.0 1002.0 Ending stocks : 11.1 17.2 17.0 17.0 16.0 16.0 Disappearance : Total : 6335.4 6316.3 6390.5 6369.0 6420.0 6420.0 Per capita (number) : 252.0 248.9 249.5 248.7 248.1 248.1 =============================================================================== U.S. Milk Supply and Use =============================================================================== : : : 2009 Projected : 2010 Projected Commodity : : :-----------------:----------------- : 2007 : 2008 : Jul : Aug : Jul : Aug =============================================================================== : Billion pounds Milk : Production : 185.7 190.0 187.6 188.2 186.4 186.5 Farm use : 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 : Fat Basis Supply : Beg. commercial stocks : 9.5 10.4 10.0 10.0 9.8 10.0 Marketings : 184.5 188.8 186.4 187.0 185.2 185.3 Imports : 4.6 3.9 3.7 4.0 3.8 4.1 Total cml. supply : 198.6 203.1 200.2 201.1 198.7 199.4 : Fat Basis Use : Commercial Exports : 5.7 8.7 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.8 Ending commercial stks : 10.4 10.0 9.8 10.0 8.7 8.7 CCC net removals 1/ : 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 Commercial use 2/ : 182.6 184.3 186.3 186.8 186.1 186.9 : Skim-solids Basis Supply : Beg. commercial stocks : 9.1 9.9 10.9 10.9 10.4 10.6 Marketings : 184.5 188.8 186.4 187.0 185.2 185.3 Imports : 4.4 3.7 3.4 3.8 3.7 3.9 Total cml. supply : 198.0 202.5 200.7 201.7 199.3 199.9 : Skim-solids Basis Use : Commercial Exports : 24.5 26.6 19.9 20.0 23.1 21.2 Ending commercial stks : 9.9 10.9 10.4 10.6 9.3 9.4 CCC net removals 1/ : 0.0 1.3 3.9 5.3 0.7 -0.5 Commercial use 2/ : 163.6 163.7 166.6 165.8 166.2 169.8 : : Million pounds CCC product net removals 1/: Butter : 0 0 8 8 5 5 Cheese : 0 0 2 22 1 -15 Nonfat dry milk : 0 111 334 439 55 -32 Dry whole milk : 0 0 0 0 0 0 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Includes products exported under the Dairy Export Incentive Program. 2/ Domestic commercial use only. WASDE-473-34 August 2009 U.S. Dairy Prices =========================================================================== : : : 2009 Projected : 2010 Projected : : :-----------------:----------------- Commodity : 2007 : 2008 : Jul : Aug : Jul : Aug =========================================================================== : Dollars per pound : Product Prices 1/ : Cheese : 1.7380 1.8954 1.210- 1.235- 1.530- 1.510- : 1.240 1.255 1.630 1.610 : Butter : 1.3441 1.4356 1.175- 1.180- 1.435- 1.435- : 1.235 1.220 1.565 1.565 : Nonfat dry milk : 1.7083 1.2256 0.825- 0.850- 0.990- 0.945- : 0.855 0.870 1.060 1.015 : Dry whey : 0.6004 0.2504 0.240- 0.240- 0.280- 0.280- : 0.260 0.260 0.310 0.310 : : Dollars per cwt Milk Prices 2/ : Class III : 18.04 17.44 10.45- 10.70- 13.90- 13.75- : 10.75 10.90 14.90 14.75 : Class IV : 18.36 14.65 9.95- 10.15- 12.45- 12.10- : 10.35 10.45 13.55 13.20 : All milk 3/ : 19.13 18.29 11.85- 12.10- 14.85- 14.65- : 12.15 12.30 15.85 15.65 : =========================================================================== 1/ Simple average of monthly prices calculated by AMS from NASS weekly average dairy product prices for class price computations. Details may be found at http://www.ams.usda.gov/dyfmos/mib/fedordprc_dscrp.htm. 2/ Annual Class III and Class IV prices are the simple averages of monthly minimum Federal order milk prices paid by regulated plants for milk used in the respective classes. All milk price is the simple average of monthly prices received by farmers for milk at average test. 3/ Does not reflect any deductions from producers as authorized by legislation. WASDE-473-35 August 2009 Note: Tables on pages 35-37 present a 28-year record of the differences between the August projection and the final estimate. Using world wheat production as an example, changes between the August projection and the final estimate have averaged 10.9 million tons (2.0%) ranging from -32.1 to 19.5 million tons. The August projection has been below the estimate 17 times and above 11 times. Reliability of August Projections =============================================================================== :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2008/09 1/ Commodity and :============================================================= region : Avg. : Avg. : Difference : Below final : Above final =============================================================================== WHEAT :Percent Million metric tons Number of years Production : World : 2.0 10.9 -32.1 19.5 17 11 U.S. : 1.9 1.2 -3.4 4.2 11 17 Foreign : 2.2 10.5 -31.1 17.8 17 11 Exports : World : 4.6 5.3 -15.1 10.2 19 9 U.S. : 8.4 2.7 -10.0 7.8 14 13 Foreign : 5.6 4.8 -14.7 7.2 18 10 Domestic use : World : 1.5 8.3 -23.4 15.4 15 13 U.S. : 5.8 1.8 -3.7 3.6 11 17 Foreign : 1.5 7.6 -21.1 14.5 17 11 Ending stocks : World : 8.1 10.9 -31.2 23.7 20 8 U.S. : 13.9 3.0 -11.1 12.6 15 13 Foreign : 8.9 9.6 -28.7 11.2 20 8 : COARSE GRAINS 2/ : Production : World : 2.0 17.5 -51.0 32.7 21 7 U.S. : 4.6 10.3 -22.1 31.4 19 9 Foreign : 2.0 12.7 -28.8 20.0 18 10 Exports : World : 5.8 6.2 -14.7 17.4 18 10 U.S. : 13.8 7.4 -19.7 14.9 12 16 Foreign : 13.1 6.8 -18.1 14.2 17 11 Domestic use : World : 1.4 12.3 -29.4 24.3 14 14 U.S. : 3.7 7.2 -15.9 17.0 18 10 Foreign : 1.5 9.8 -20.2 23.3 17 11 Ending stocks : World : 14.0 19.6 -53.5 30.5 22 6 U.S. : 23.9 11.6 -43.5 22.1 15 13 Foreign : 14.1 12.4 -28.7 17.2 23 5 : RICE, milled : Production : World : 1.9 6.8 -24.4 4.1 19 9 U.S. : 4.5 0.2 -0.6 0.5 16 12 Foreign : 1.9 6.8 -24.7 4.2 20 8 Exports : World : 7.7 1.6 -6.8 0.9 19 9 U.S. : 8.3 0.2 -1.0 0.9 15 11 Foreign : 8.8 1.5 -6.7 0.8 19 9 Domestic use : World : 1.3 4.4 -23.5 3.5 21 7 U.S. : 6.5 0.2 -0.4 0.5 13 15 Foreign : 1.3 4.4 -24.0 3.7 20 8 Ending stocks : World : 10.6 5.0 -14.5 7.9 22 6 U.S. : 22.6 0.3 -0.6 1.0 16 11 Foreign : 11.2 5.0 -15.5 7.5 22 6 =============================================================================== 1/ Footnotes at end of table. CONTINUED WASDE-473-36 August 2009 Reliability of August Projections (Continued) =============================================================================== :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2008/09 1/ Commodity and :============================================================= region : Avg. : Avg. : Difference : Below final : Above final =============================================================================== SOYBEANS :Percent Million metric tons Number of years Production : World : 3.7 5.8 -18.3 26.7 16 12 U.S. : 5.3 3.4 -7.4 11.1 14 14 Foreign : 6.9 5.8 -11.2 26.4 14 14 Exports : World : 6.0 2.5 -9.1 9.1 17 11 U.S. : 10.7 2.5 -7.1 5.5 15 12 Foreign : 17.3 2.5 -9.4 9.0 13 15 Domestic use : World : 3.3 4.8 -8.8 15.9 17 11 U.S. : 4.4 1.8 -3.9 4.6 18 10 Foreign : 4.1 4.1 -7.4 11.3 17 11 Ending stocks : World : 12.7 3.3 -14.7 8.2 15 13 U.S. : 38.0 2.7 -7.3 6.9 9 19 Foreign : 17.4 3.4 -14.3 7.8 17 11 : COTTON : Million 480-pound bales Production : World : 3.6 3.3 -13.2 10.5 16 12 U.S. : 6.6 1.1 -3.1 3.9 17 10 Foreign : 3.8 2.8 -10.7 10.2 15 12 Exports : World : 6.9 2.0 -7.1 10.2 12 16 U.S. : 16.5 1.2 -3.0 3.2 15 13 Foreign : 8.2 1.5 -4.1 8.5 13 15 Mill use : World : 3.0 2.7 -7.5 14.2 12 16 U.S. : 7.1 0.5 -1.2 1.3 15 11 Foreign : 3.1 2.6 -7.1 13.4 13 15 Ending stocks : World : 13.4 5.3 -12.5 14.2 20 8 U.S. : 32.0 1.6 -5.1 3.1 12 16 Foreign : 13.2 4.5 -13.0 12.3 22 6 =============================================================================== 1/ Final estimate for 1981/82-2007/08 is defined as the first November estimate following the marketing year, and for 2008/09 last month's estimate. 2/ Includes corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain. WASDE-473-37 August 2009 Reliability of United States August Projections 1/ =============================================================================== :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2008/09 2/ Commodity and :============================================================= region : Avg. : Avg. : Difference : Below final : Above final =============================================================================== CORN :Percent Million bushels Number of years Production : 4.9 383 -889 1079 18 10 Exports : 14.4 263 -750 546 11 17 Domestic use : 4.3 288 -553 575 18 10 Ending stocks : 27.5 420 -1674 740 15 13 : SORGHUM : Production : 6.7 39 -82 108 15 13 Exports : 16.0 37 -115 97 14 14 Domestic use : 11.2 42 -114 81 13 15 Ending stocks : 37.9 45 -201 133 10 18 : BARLEY : Production : 4.9 18 -63 67 10 18 Exports : 31.3 16 -82 38 14 12 Domestic use : 8.3 27 -47 82 12 15 Ending stocks : 15.7 24 -61 94 12 16 : OATS : Production : 7.7 16 -26 57 5 23 Exports : 60.5 1 -5 8 8 10 Domestic use : 4.5 14 -39 35 9 19 Ending stocks : 15.6 17 -40 37 12 16 : : Thousand short tons SOYBEAN MEAL : Production : 4.1 1326 -2858 3669 18 10 Exports : 13.1 869 -2050 1800 15 13 Domestic use : 3.4 850 -1550 3800 16 12 Ending stocks : 27.7 65 -204 428 10 14 : : Million pounds SOYBEAN OIL : Production : 4.1 629 -1583 1790 16 12 Exports : 24.4 400 -1575 1219 12 15 Domestic use : 3.3 460 -1085 2200 18 10 Ending stocks : 31.2 515 -1472 1078 13 15 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ANIMAL PROD. 3/ : Million pounds Beef : 3.7 918 -802 2536 18 8 Pork : 2.3 405 -1315 1372 15 11 Broilers : 2.0 499 -1337 1338 16 10 Turkeys : 2.5 115 -444 371 18 8 : : Million dozen Eggs : 1.4 88 -176 188 17 8 : : Billion pounds Milk : 1.4 2.1 -7.0 6.8 14 12 =============================================================================== 1/ See pages 35 and 36 for record of reliability for U.S. wheat, rice, soybeans, and cotton. 2/ Final estimate for 1981/82-2007/08 is defined as the first November estimate following the marketing year, and for 2008/09 last month's estimate. 3/ Calendar years 1983 thru 2008 for meats, eggs, and milk. Final for animal products is defined as latest annual production estimate published by NASS. ----- End of File -----