ISSN: 1554-9089 WASDE - 474 September 11, 2009 WHEAT: The 2009/10 U.S. wheat balance sheet is nearly unchanged this month. A 20-million-bushel increase in domestic soft red winter wheat use is offset by the same size reduction in hard red winter wheat as lower prices relative to corn encourage soft red winter wheat feeding. The 2009/10 marketing-year average farm price is projected at $4.70 to $5.50 per bushel, down 20 cents on the high end of the range. Larger world supplies are expected to keep substantial downward pressure on domestic wheat prices with seasonal post-harvest gains limited by the need to keep U.S. wheat competitive in the world market. Global wheat supplies for 2009/10 are projected 3.9 million tons higher as a 0.5-million-ton decrease in world beginning stocks is more than offset by a 4.4-million-ton increase in foreign production. Wheat production is raised 2.2 million tons for EU-27 as higher reported production for France, Denmark, and a number of other countries, more than offset reductions for Germany and Poland. Production is raised 1.0 million tons for Russia on higher reported area. Production is raised 0.5 million tons each for Kazakhstan and Ukraine, and 0.3 million tons each for Belarus, Paraguay, and South Africa. Partly offsetting is a 0.5-million-ton reduction for Argentina as continued drought and unseasonable heat limited late seeding and further reduced yield prospects in the central and northern growing areas. Global wheat imports and exports for 2009/10 are projected slightly lower. Small import reductions for Malaysia, Mexico, Sri Lanka, Venezuela, and Vietnam are partly offset by increases for Algeria and Saudi Arabia. Exports are lowered 0.5 million tons for Argentina as the smaller expected crop reduces competition for U.S. wheat, especially in the Western Hemisphere. Global consumption is raised 0.9 million tons mostly reflecting a 0.5-million-ton increase in Ukraine feeding and a 0.5-million-ton increase in EU-27 food and industrial use. Other changes in projected food use are smaller and mostly offsetting. Global ending stocks for 2009/10 are projected at 186.6 million tons, up 3.0 million from last month and 64.0 million higher than the 28-year low in 2007/08. COARSE GRAINS: Higher forecast U.S. corn production this month boosts 2009/10 feed grain supplies; however, increased projections for exports and feed and residual use limit the increase in ending stocks. U.S. corn production is forecast at 13.0 billion bushels, 193 million higher than in August, with higher expected yields throughout most of the Corn Belt. The national average yield is projected at a record 161.9 bushels per acre. U.S. corn supplies for 2009/10 are projected 164 million bushels higher, as lower carryin and imports partly offset the higher production forecast. Beginning stocks are lowered 25 million bushels reflecting higher expected corn use for ethanol in 2008/09 based on record July and August production of gasoline blends with ethanol as reported by the Energy Information Agency. Imports for 2009/10 are projected 5 million bushels lower with a smaller forecast corn crop in Canada. Total U.S. corn use for 2009/10 is projected at a record 13.0 billion bushels, up 150 million bushels from last month and 980 million bushels higher than in 2008/09. Feed and residual use is raised 50 million bushels based on higher expected production. Exports are raised 100 million bushels with higher projected imports for Canada and lower production in South America. Ending stocks are projected 14 million bushels higher. The 2009/10 marketing-year average farm price is projected lower at $3.05 to $3.65 per bushel, compared with $3.10 to $3.90 per bushel last month. Sorghum supplies for 2009/10 are nearly unchanged this month with production forecast up 9 million bushels and beginning stocks projected down 10 million bushels based on a 10-million-bushel increase in 2008/09 exports. Projected 2009/10 farm prices for sorghum, barley, and oats are all lowered this month reflecting larger corn supplies and weaker corn prices. Global coarse grain supplies for 2009/10 are nearly unchanged with a 4.1-million-ton projected increase for the United States offset by declines in foreign countries. Higher foreign coarse grain beginning stocks and increased foreign barley and oats production partly offset a 7.2-million-ton reduction in foreign corn output. Corn production is lowered for China, Brazil, Argentina, Canada, Kenya, and EU-27. China production is lowered 2.5 million tons as yield prospects were reduced by extended summer dryness in western portions of the northeastern growing region. Production for Brazil and Argentina is lowered 2.0 million tons and 1.0 million tons, respectively, as area is projected lower with price incentives encouraging producers to switch to soybeans. Corn production is lowered 0.9 million tons each for Canada and Kenya, and lowered 0.3 million tons for EU- 27. Partly offsetting is a 0.4-million-ton increase in the Serbia corn crop. World coarse grain imports and exports are both projected higher for 2009/10 mostly on higher expected corn trade. Corn imports are raised 1.1 million tons for Canada and 1.0 million tons for Kenya, based on smaller expected production in each country. Corn exports are lowered 1.0 million tons for Argentina and 0.5 million tons for EU-27, but more than offsetting are a 0.3-million-ton increase for Serbia and the 2.5-million-ton increase for the United States. Global coarse grain feeding is raised 3.0 million tons mostly on higher corn feed and residual use in the United States and higher expected barley feeding in the EU-27. Global corn ending stocks are projected 2.4 million tons lower. RICE: U.S. rice production in 2009/10 is forecast at 218.6 million cwt, up 7.4 million from last month due to both an increase in area harvested and yield. Harvested area is estimated at 3.1 million acres, up 100,000 acres from the August estimate. The average yield is estimated at 7,051 pounds per acre, up 12 pounds per acre. Long-grain production is estimated at 152.8 million cwt, up 2.4 million from last month, while combined medium- and short-grain production is estimated at 65.8 million cwt, up 5.0 million from a month ago. Rice beginning stocks for 2009/10 are raised 7.8 million cwt from last month to 30.4 million based on the USDA Rice Stocks report released on August 28. With total rice imports unchanged, long-grain imports are lowered slightly, while combined medium- and short-grain imports are raised. Domestic and residual use for 2009/10 is lowered 2.5 million cwt to 129.5 million based mostly on a reduction in the 2008/09 estimate. Exports are projected at 96 million cwt, down 3 million cwt from last month, but up about 2 million from the revised 2008/09 estimate. Long-grain exports are lowered 4 million cwt to 67.0 million, and combined medium- and short-grain exports are raised 1.0 million to 29.0 million. Ending stocks for 2009/10 are projected at 44.6 million cwt, up 20.7 million from last month. The 2009/10 all rice season-average farm price is forecast at $13.65 to $14.65 per cwt, unchanged from last month and compares to a revised $16.80 per cwt for 2008/09. The long- grain season-average farm price range is projected at $12.90 to $13.90 per cwt, up 90 cents per cwt on both ends of the range compared to a revised $15.00 per cwt for 2008/09. The combined medium- and short-grain farm price range is projected at $16.25 to $17.25 per cwt, down $3.25 per cwt on both ends of the range compared to a revised $23.70 per cwt for 2008/09. Projected global 2009/10 rice supply and use estimates are changed little from a month ago. Production is projected at 433.5 million tons, nearly unchanged from last month's estimate, largely due to small declines in Pakistan, Japan, Taiwan, and North Korea, which are partially offset by increases in the United States, EU-27, Colombia, and Russia. India’s 2009/10 rice crop is projected at 84.0 million tons, unchanged from last month. Projected exports are lowered for the United States and Egypt, while imports are raised for Vietnam and Egypt, but lowered for Mexico. Global ending stocks for 2009/10 are projected at 84.9 million tons, up 0.8 million from last month, but down 4.5 million from 2008/09. OILSEEDS: U.S. oilseed ending stocks for 2009/10 are projected at 7.3 million tons, up 0.4 million from last month mostly due to increased soybean stocks. Soybean production is forecast at 3.25 billion bushels, up 46 million based on higher yields. Other oilseeds are up due to higher peanut and cottonseed production. Soybean crush is raised 20 million bushels due to higher projected soybean meal exports. Higher exports from the United States partly offset a sharp decline in projected soybean meal exports for India as a reduced soybean crop limits exportable supplies. Soybean exports are increased 15 million bushels to 1.28 billion reflecting increased supplies and lower projected prices. Soybean ending stocks are projected at 220 million bushels, up 10 million from last month. Soybean exports for 2008/09 are projected at a record 1.28 billion bushels, up 15 million from last month reflecting exceptionally strong shipments in the final weeks of the marketing year. The increase is offset with lower residual, leaving ending stocks unchanged at 110 million bushels. Other changes for 2008/09 include increased use of soybean oil for biodiesel and reduced soybean meal exports. Season- ending soybean oil stocks are projected at a record high of 3.1 billion pounds. The U.S. season-average soybean price range for 2009/10 is projected at $8.10 to $10.10 per bushel, down 30 cents on both ends of the range. The soybean meal price is projected at $250 to $310 per short ton, down $10 on both ends. The soybean oil price range is unchanged at 32 to 36 cents per pound. Global oilseed production for 2009/10 is projected at 422.8 million tons, up 0.2 million tons from last month. Foreign production is down 1.2 million tons to 326.9 million tons. Global soybean production is projected at a record 243.9 million tons, up 1.9 million as increased production forecasts for the United States and Brazil are partly offset by reductions for China, India, and Canada. Brazil soybean production is projected at 62 million tons, up 2 million from last month due to an increased area projection reflecting favorable soybean prices relative to corn. China soybean production is reduced 0.4 million tons to 15 million based on lower yields resulting from untimely dry conditions in northeastern growing areas. India soybean production is reduced 1 million tons to 9 million due to reduced harvested area and lower yields. A late start to planting resulted in lower-than-expected area sown. Lower yields are projected due to a period of dryness in late July and early August. Global rapeseed production is almost unchanged as lower production for Canada is offset by higher production for EU-27. The EU-27 crop benefitted from record yields in France. Other changes include reduced peanut and cottonseed production for India and increased sunflowerseed production for Kazakhstan. Global oilseed trade for 2009/10 is raised 0.7 million tons to 91.8 million. Increased soybean imports for China account for most of the change. Global oilseed stocks are projected higher mainly due to higher soybean stocks in China and the United States, which are only partly offset by lower stocks in Argentina and India. China soybean imports for 2008/09 are raised to a record 39.8 million tons. SUGAR: Projected 2009/10 U.S. sugar supply is increased 135,000 short tons, raw value, from last month. Ending stocks are increased 55,000 tons, sugar production is decreased 250,000 tons, and imports are increased 330,000 tons. The decrease in sugar production is based on lower forecast production of U.S. sugarbeets and Florida sugarcane. The increase in 2009/10 imports comes from Mexico as a result of continued incentives to export to the U.S. market. Projected sugar use is unchanged from last month. Ending stocks are increased to 844,000 tons, which is down 35 percent from a year earlier. Projected 2009/10 Mexico sugar supply is increased 85,000 metric tons, raw value, from last month. Higher beginning stocks more than offset lower imports. Imports are lowered in line with the portion of the recently announced import quotas expected to enter the United States in 2009/10. Exports are raised 300,000 tons and ending stocks are lowered 215,000 tons. Estimated 2008/09 Mexico sugar supply is increased 175,000 tons. Beginning stocks are increased 360,000 tons to reflect Mexico=s official estimates. Imports are lowered 185,000 tons to 215,000 tons, accounting for 100,000 tons of assigned import quota and 115,000 tons of imports from U.S. refiners. Exports are lowered 70,000 tons due to reduced prospects in the remaining months of the fiscal year. LIVESTOCK, POULTRY, AND DAIRY: Total U.S. meat production for 2009 is raised as higher pork and broiler production more than offset lower beef production. Pork production is raised due to higher third-quarter slaughter at significantly higher weights due to favorable summer weather. Lower corn prices are expected to encourage increased weights through the fall. The broiler production forecast is also raised based on higher third-quarter slaughter. The beef production forecast is reduced on lower expected cow slaughter. Turkey production is unchanged. Meat production forecasts for 2010 are raised from last month. Higher feedlot placements in late 2009 and early 2010 result in higher beef production while lower prices for corn will support increased broiler meat production and slightly higher hog weights. USDA’s Quarterly Hogs and Pigs report will be released on September 25 and provide indications of the inventory and sows farrowing moving into 2010. Red meat export forecasts for 2009 and 2010 are unchanged from last month but estimates for the second quarter of 2009 are adjusted to reflect June trade data. Broiler exports for 2009 are raised reflecting higher-than-expected shipments during July. Cattle, hog, broiler, and turkey price forecasts are lowered for 2009. Weak demand continues to pressure prices. Hog prices are forecast to remain under pressure during 2010, resulting in lower price forecasts. The 2010 price forecast for cattle is lowered for the first quarter; broiler and turkey forecasts are unchanged. The milk production forecast is raised for 2009 and 2010 as milk per cow is forecast higher. Lower feed costs and plentiful supplies of alfalfa hay into 2010 are expected to support increased feeding of higher quality rations. Imports for 2009 are raised as fat-based product imports have been stronger than expected; the commercial export forecast for 2009 is raised as cheese shipments have been firm. Net removals are adjusted to reflect lower expected sales to CCC in 2009. Class III and IV price forecasts are reduced for 2009 due to weaker butter and whey prices. Cheese and nonfat dry milk (NDM) prices are unchanged. The Class III price forecast for 2010 is unchanged; the Class IV price is reduced due to lower butter and NDM prices. The all milk price is forecast at $12.05 to $12.25 per cwt for 2009 and $14.55 to $15.55 for 2010. COTTON: This month’s 2009/10 U.S. cotton forecasts show slightly higher beginning stocks, production, and exports. Beginning stocks are raised 100,000 bales based on the preliminary Census Bureau survey of stocks on July 31, 2009. Production is raised 231,000 bales from the August estimate to 13.4 million bales, with increases mainly in the Southeast. Domestic mill use is unchanged from last month. Exports are raised slightly, a result of decreased foreign competition: developments in India suggest that exportable supplies there will be lower than previously anticipated. Ending stocks are estimated at 5.6 million bales, the same as last month. The forecast range for the marketing-year average price received by producers is 49 to 59 cents per pound, also the same as last month. The world 2009/10 cotton forecasts include only minor changes compared with last month. Production is reduced slightly as lower production for India and others is partially offset by an increase for the United States. The world consumption forecast of 112.7 million bales is virtually unchanged, as slightly higher consumption for India is about offset by a reduction for China. World trade also is virtually unchanged and ending stocks are reduced 2 percent. Approved by the Secretary of Agriculture and the Chairperson of the World Agricultural Outlook Board, Gerald A. Bange, (202) 720- 6030. This report was prepared by the Interagency Commodity Estimates Committees. APPROVED BY: JAMES W. MILLER ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE WASDE-474-8 September 2009 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Grains 1/ Million Metric Tons =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade 2/ : Use : Stocks =============================================================================== : : World Total grains 3/ : 2007/08 : 2,121.61 2,463.58 275.83 2,100.32 363.26 2008/09 (Est.) : 2,227.31 2,590.57 273.84 2,143.91 446.65 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 2,184.33 2,629.33 263.17 2,180.23 449.10 September : 2,187.27 2,633.93 264.20 2,183.37 450.56 Wheat : 2007/08 : 610.99 738.67 117.47 616.09 122.58 2008/09 (Est.) : 682.25 804.84 138.82 635.84 168.99 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 659.29 828.80 123.38 645.23 183.56 September : 663.72 832.71 122.96 646.10 186.61 Coarse grains 4/ : 2007/08 : 1,077.23 1,216.41 127.21 1,056.03 160.38 2008/09 (Est.) : 1,100.20 1,260.58 106.94 1,072.24 188.34 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 1,091.58 1,278.36 110.05 1,096.86 181.50 September : 1,090.04 1,278.39 111.90 1,099.29 179.09 Rice, milled : 2007/08 : 433.39 508.50 31.15 428.20 80.30 2008/09 (Est.) : 444.85 525.15 28.08 435.83 89.32 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 433.46 522.17 29.74 438.14 84.04 September : 433.51 522.83 29.34 437.98 84.86 : : United States Total grains 3/ : 2007/08 : 412.03 469.15 107.61 307.23 54.32 2008/09 (Est.) : 400.63 462.11 81.67 314.07 66.38 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 406.02 479.49 86.30 326.92 66.27 September : 411.38 484.09 88.74 328.11 67.23 Wheat : 2007/08 : 55.82 71.30 34.36 28.61 8.32 2008/09 (Est.) : 68.03 79.81 27.64 34.01 18.15 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 59.43 80.58 25.86 34.51 20.21 September : 59.43 80.58 25.86 34.51 20.21 Coarse grains 4/ : 2007/08 : 349.86 389.48 69.89 274.53 45.06 2008/09 (Est.) : 326.09 374.24 51.02 275.97 47.25 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 339.84 390.77 57.28 288.20 45.30 September : 344.98 394.90 59.82 289.47 45.62 Rice, milled : 2007/08 : 6.34 8.37 3.35 4.08 0.94 2008/09 (Est.) : 6.52 8.07 3.01 4.08 0.97 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 6.75 8.15 3.17 4.22 0.76 September : 6.97 8.61 3.07 4.14 1.40 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Based on export estimate. See individual commodity tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. 3/ Wheat, coarse grains and milled rice. 4/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains). WASDE-474-9 September 2009 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Grains, Continued 1/ Million Metric Tons =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade 2/ : Use : Stocks =============================================================================== : : Foreign 3/ Total grains 4/ : 2007/08 : 1,709.59 1,994.42 168.22 1,793.09 308.94 2008/09 (Est.) : 1,826.68 2,128.46 192.17 1,829.85 380.28 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 1,778.32 2,149.83 176.87 1,853.31 382.83 September : 1,775.89 2,149.84 175.46 1,855.26 383.33 Wheat : 2007/08 : 555.17 667.37 83.10 587.48 114.26 2008/09 (Est.) : 614.23 725.03 111.18 601.83 150.84 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 599.86 748.22 97.52 610.72 163.35 September : 604.29 752.13 97.11 611.59 166.40 Coarse grains 5/ : 2007/08 : 727.37 826.92 57.32 781.49 115.32 2008/09 (Est.) : 774.11 886.34 55.92 796.27 141.10 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 751.74 887.58 52.77 808.66 136.20 September : 745.06 883.48 52.08 809.82 133.48 Rice, milled : 2007/08 : 427.05 500.13 27.80 424.12 79.36 2008/09 (Est.) : 438.34 517.08 25.07 431.75 88.35 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 426.71 514.03 26.57 433.92 83.27 September : 426.54 514.22 26.27 433.84 83.45 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Based on export estimate. See individual commodity tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. 3/ Total foreign is equal to world minus United States. 4/ Wheat, coarse grains and milled rice. 5/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet and mixed grains. World and U.S. Supply and Use for Cotton 1/ Million 480-lb. bales =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade 2/ : Use : Stocks =============================================================================== : : World 2007/08 : 120.51 183.79 38.34 122.76 63.07 2008/09 (Est.) : 106.67 169.74 29.60 110.66 61.47 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 105.87 167.73 31.95 112.76 57.46 September : 105.06 166.52 31.99 112.74 56.26 : United States 2007/08 : 19.21 28.70 13.65 4.59 10.04 2008/09 (Est.) : 12.82 22.86 13.28 3.60 6.20 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 13.21 19.31 10.20 3.50 5.60 September : 13.44 19.64 10.50 3.50 5.60 : Foreign 3/ 2007/08 : 101.30 155.10 24.68 118.17 53.03 2008/09 (Est.) : 93.86 146.89 16.33 107.06 55.27 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 92.67 148.42 21.75 109.26 51.86 September : 91.62 146.88 21.49 109.24 50.66 =============================================================================== 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. 2/ Based on export estimate. 3/ Total Foreign is equal to world minus United States. See global cotton tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. WASDE-474-10 September 2009 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Oilseeds 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade : Use 2/ : Stocks =============================================================================== : : World Oilseeds : 2007/08 : 391.59 465.10 92.59 338.33 62.32 2008/09 (Est.) : 394.35 456.67 93.43 338.27 53.13 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 422.56 476.28 91.11 348.82 61.32 September : 422.75 475.88 91.82 347.67 61.50 Oilmeals : 2007/08 : 230.94 238.86 71.19 229.67 7.21 2008/09 (Est.) : 229.16 236.37 69.21 228.31 6.74 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 237.07 243.73 71.59 236.10 6.44 September : 236.72 243.46 71.67 235.52 6.57 Vegetable Oils : 2007/08 : 127.85 138.10 52.09 125.85 10.04 2008/09 (Est.) : 132.17 142.21 53.44 130.09 10.77 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 137.05 147.41 55.98 135.69 9.51 September : 136.73 147.50 55.81 135.85 9.67 : : United States Oilseeds : 2007/08 : 82.45 100.74 33.05 53.50 6.91 2008/09 (Est.) : 88.98 97.24 35.71 49.30 4.80 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 94.47 100.43 35.47 49.64 6.99 September : 95.86 101.95 35.98 50.18 7.34 Oilmeals : 2007/08 : 40.90 43.27 8.71 34.22 0.33 2008/09 (Est.) : 38.13 40.41 8.22 31.85 0.33 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 38.52 41.10 8.42 32.34 0.33 September : 38.94 41.51 9.01 32.16 0.33 Vegetable Oils : 2007/08 : 10.53 15.38 1.68 12.23 1.46 2008/09 (Est.) : 9.73 14.35 1.46 11.07 1.82 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 9.74 14.98 1.84 11.67 1.47 September : 9.84 15.06 1.84 11.67 1.55 : : Foreign 3/ Oilseeds : 2007/08 : 309.14 364.36 59.55 284.83 55.41 2008/09 (Est.) : 305.37 359.43 57.71 288.96 48.33 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 328.08 375.86 55.64 299.19 54.34 September : 326.89 373.93 55.84 297.49 54.16 Oilmeals : 2007/08 : 190.03 195.59 62.48 195.45 6.88 2008/09 (Est.) : 191.02 195.96 60.99 196.46 6.41 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 198.55 202.64 63.17 203.76 6.10 September : 197.78 201.95 62.66 203.35 6.23 Vegetable Oils : 2007/08 : 117.33 122.72 50.41 113.62 8.57 2008/09 (Est.) : 122.44 127.86 51.98 119.02 8.95 2009/10 (Proj.) : August : 127.31 132.43 54.13 124.02 8.04 September : 126.89 132.44 53.97 124.18 8.12 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years with Brazil and Argentina on an Oct.-Sept. year. 2/ Crush only for oilseeds. 3/ Total foreign is equal to world minus United States. WASDE-474-11 September 2009 U.S. Wheat Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :============================== : : Est. : August September =============================================================================== Area : Million acres Planted : 60.5 63.1 59.8 59.8 Harvested : 51.0 55.7 50.4 50.4 Yield per harvested : Bushels acre : 40.2 44.9 43.3 43.3 : Million bushels Beginning stocks : 456 306 667 667 Production : 2,051 2,500 2,184 2,184 Imports : 113 127 110 110 Supply, total : 2,620 2,932 2,961 2,961 Food : 948 925 955 955 Seed : 88 79 78 78 Feed and residual : 16 246 235 235 Domestic, total : 1,051 1,250 1,268 1,268 Exports : 1,263 1,015 950 950 Use, total : 2,314 2,265 2,218 2,218 Ending stocks : 306 667 743 743 CCC inventory : 0 0 0 Free stocks : 306 667 743 Outstanding loans : 1 27 30 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 6.48 6.78 4.70- 5.70 4.70- 5.50 =============================================================================== U.S. Wheat by Class: Supply and Use =============================================================================== Year beginning : Hard : Hard : Soft : : : June 1 : Winter : Spring : Red : White : Durum : Total =============================================================================== 2008/09 (estimated) : Million bushels Beginning stocks : 138 68 55 37 8 306 Production : 1,035 512 614 254 85 2,500 Supply, total 3/ : 1,174 625 702 300 131 2,932 Domestic use : 468 270 329 100 82 1,250 Exports : 447 210 199 136 24 1,015 Use, total : 915 480 528 236 106 2,265 Ending stocks, total : 259 145 174 64 25 667 : 2009/10 (projected) : Beginning stocks : 259 145 174 64 25 667 Production : 915 511 412 248 98 2,184 Supply, total 3/ : 1,174 696 603 324 163 2,961 Domestic use : 490 265 320 111 82 1,268 Exports : 380 240 140 160 30 950 Use, total : 870 505 460 271 112 2,218 Ending stocks, total : September : 304 191 143 53 51 743 August : 284 191 163 53 51 743 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning June 1. 2/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. 3/ Includes imports. WASDE-474-12 September 2009 U.S. Feed Grain and Corn Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :============================== : : Est. : August September =============================================================================== FEED GRAINS : Area : Million acres Planted : 109.0 101.7 100.8 100.8 Harvested : 98.3 91.1 90.5 90.5 Yield per harvested : Metric tons acre : 3.56 3.58 3.75 3.81 : Million metric tons Beginning stocks : 36.2 45.1 48.1 47.2 Production : 349.7 325.9 339.6 344.8 Imports : 3.3 3.0 2.7 2.5 Supply, total : 389.1 373.9 390.4 394.6 Feed and residual : 157.1 142.5 141.7 143.0 Food, seed & industrial : 117.1 133.2 146.1 146.1 Domestic, total : 274.2 275.7 287.9 289.2 Exports : 69.9 51.0 57.3 59.8 Use, total : 344.1 326.7 345.2 349.0 Ending stocks, total : 45.1 47.2 45.3 45.6 CCC inventory : 0.0 0.0 0.0 Free stocks : 45.1 47.2 45.6 Outstanding loans : 2.7 4.4 5.8 : CORN : Area : Million acres Planted : 93.5 86.0 87.0 87.0 Harvested : 86.5 78.6 80.0 80.0 Yield per harvested : Bushels acre : 150.7 153.9 159.5 161.9 : Million bushels Beginning stocks : 1,304 1,624 1,720 1,695 Production : 13,038 12,101 12,761 12,954 Imports : 20 15 15 10 Supply, total : 14,362 13,740 14,496 14,660 Feed and residual : 5,913 5,250 5,300 5,350 Food, seed & industrial : 4,387 4,945 5,475 5,475 Ethanol for fuel 2/ : 3,049 3,675 4,200 4,200 Domestic, total : 10,300 10,195 10,775 10,825 Exports : 2,437 1,850 2,100 2,200 Use, total : 12,737 12,045 12,875 13,025 Ending stocks, total : 1,624 1,695 1,621 1,635 CCC inventory : 0 0 0 Free stocks : 1,624 1,695 1,635 Outstanding loans : 106 171 225 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 3/ : 4.20 4.08 3.10- 3.90 3.05- 3.65 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for corn and sorghum; June 1 for barley and oats. 2/ For a further breakout of FSI corn uses including ethanol, see the ERS Feed Outlook table 5, or Feed Grains Database at "www.ers.usda.gov/db/feedgrains." 3/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. WASDE-474-13 September 2009 U.S. Sorghum, Barley and Oats Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :============================== : : Est. : August September =============================================================================== : Million bushels SORGHUM : Area planted (mil. acres) : 7.7 8.3 6.9 6.9 Area harv. (mil. acres) : 6.8 7.3 5.9 5.9 Yield (bushels/acre) : 73.2 65.0 64.0 65.5 Beginning stocks : 32 53 50 40 Production : 497 472 381 390 Imports : 0 0 0 0 Supply, total : 530 525 431 430 Feed and residual : 165 230 150 150 Food, seed & industrial : 35 110 90 90 Total domestic : 200 340 240 240 Exports : 277 145 140 140 Use, total : 477 485 380 380 Ending stocks, total : 53 40 51 50 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 4.08 3.23 2.70- 3.30 2.60- 3.20 : BARLEY : Area planted (mil. acres) : 4.0 4.2 3.6 3.6 Area harv. (mil. acres) : 3.5 3.8 3.1 3.1 Yield (bushels/acre) : 60.0 63.6 65.8 65.8 Beginning stocks : 69 68 89 89 Production : 210 239 207 207 Imports : 29 29 30 30 Supply, total : 308 337 325 325 Feed and residual : 30 66 60 60 Food, seed & industrial : 169 169 170 170 Total domestic : 199 235 230 230 Exports : 41 13 15 15 Use, total : 240 248 245 245 Ending stocks, total : 68 89 80 80 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 4.02 5.37 3.70- 4.40 3.60- 4.30 : OATS : Area planted (mil. acres) : 3.8 3.2 3.2 3.2 Area harv. (mil. acres) : 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 Yield (bushels/acre) : 60.1 63.5 64.5 64.5 Beginning stocks : 51 67 84 84 Production : 90 89 92 92 Imports : 123 115 95 95 Supply, total : 264 270 271 271 Feed and residual : 120 108 120 120 Food, seed & industrial : 74 74 75 75 Total domestic : 195 182 195 195 Exports : 3 3 3 3 Use, total : 198 186 198 198 Ending stocks, total : 67 84 73 73 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 2.63 3.15 1.90- 2.50 1.80- 2.20 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for sorghum, June 1 for barley and oats. 2/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. WASDE-474-14 September 2009 U.S. Rice Supply and Use 1/ (Rough Equivalent of Rough and Milled Rice) =============================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :============================== : : Est. : August September =============================================================================== TOTAL : Area : Million acres Planted : 2.76 3.00 3.02 3.12 Harvested : 2.75 2.98 3.00 3.10 Yield per harvested : Pounds acre : 7,219 6,846 7,039 7,051 : : Million hundredweight Beginning stocks 2/ : 39.3 29.4 22.7 30.4 Production : 198.4 203.7 211.2 218.6 Imports : 23.9 19.2 21.0 21.0 Supply, total : 261.6 252.4 254.9 270.1 Domestic & residual 3/ : 127.4 127.8 132.0 129.5 Exports, total 4/ : 104.7 94.1 99.0 96.0 Rough : 37.7 31.9 35.0 33.0 Milled (rough equiv.) : 67.1 62.3 64.0 63.0 Use, total : 232.2 222.0 231.0 225.5 Ending stocks : 29.4 30.4 23.9 44.6 Avg. milling yield (%) 5/ : 70.5 70.5 70.5 70.5 Avg. farm price ($/cwt) 6/ : 12.80 16.80 13.65-14.65 13.65-14.65 : LONG GRAIN : Harvested acres (mil.) : 2.05 2.35 Yield (pounds/acre) : 6,980 6,522 Beginning stocks : 28.5 19.0 16.8 20.1 Production : 143.2 153.3 150.4 152.8 Supply, total 7/ : 189.4 188.2 185.1 190.4 Domestic & Residual 3/ : 91.3 102.5 100.0 99.5 Exports 8/ : 79.1 65.6 71.0 67.0 Use, total : 170.4 168.1 171.0 166.5 Ending stocks : 19.0 20.1 14.1 23.9 Avg. farm price ($/cwt) 6/ : 12.40 15.00 12.00-13.00 12.90-13.90 : MEDIUM & SHORT GRAIN : Harvested acres (mil.) : 0.70 0.63 Yield (pounds/acre) : 7,924 8,063 Beginning stocks : 10.0 9.1 4.6 8.0 Production : 55.2 50.5 60.8 65.8 Supply, total 7/ : 70.8 61.9 68.4 77.3 Domestic & Residual 3/ : 36.1 25.3 32.0 30.0 Exports 8/ : 25.7 28.5 28.0 29.0 Use, total : 61.8 53.9 60.0 59.0 Ending stocks : 9.1 8.0 8.4 18.3 Avg. farm price ($/cwt) 6/ : 14.60 23.70 19.50-20.50 16.25-17.25 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. 2/ Includes the following quantities of broken kernel rice (type undetermined) not included in estimates of beginning stocks by type (in mil. cwt): 2007/08-0.8; 2008/09-1.3; 2009/10-2.4. 3/ Residual includes unreported use, processing losses, and estimating errors. Use by type may not add to total rice use because of the difference in brokens between beginning and ending stocks. 4/ Includes rough rice and milled rice exports. Milled rice exports are converted to an equivalent rough basis. 5/ Expressed as a percent, i.e., the total quantity of whole kernel and broken rice produced divided by the quantity of rough rice milled. 6/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. 7/ Includes imports. 8/ Exports by type of rice are estimated. WASDE-474-15 September 2009 U.S. Soybeans and Products Supply and Use (Domestic Measure) 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :=============================== : : Est. : August September =============================================================================== SOYBEANS: : Million acres Area : Planted : 64.7 75.7 77.7 77.7 Harvested : 64.1 74.6 76.8 76.8 : : Bushels Yield per harvested : acre : 41.7 39.6 41.7 42.3 : : Million bushels : Beginning stocks : 574 205 110 110 Production : 2,677 2,959 3,199 3,245 Imports : 10 15 10 10 Supply, total : 3,261 3,179 3,320 3,366 Crushings : 1,803 1,660 1,670 1,690 Exports : 1,159 1,280 1,265 1,280 Seed : 93 96 94 94 Residual : 0 33 80 81 Use, total : 3,056 3,069 3,109 3,145 Ending stocks : 205 110 210 220 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 10.10 10.00 8.40-10.40 8.10 -10.10 : : : Million pounds SOYBEAN OIL: : Beginning stocks : 3,085 2,485 3,140 3,100 Production : 20,580 18,915 3/ 18,955 19,180 Imports : 65 100 75 75 Supply, total : 23,730 21,500 22,170 22,355 Domestic : 18,335 16,200 16,500 16,500 For methyl ester : 3,245 1,850 2,000 2,100 Exports : 2,911 2,200 3,250 3,250 Use, total : 21,246 18,400 19,750 19,750 Ending stocks : 2,485 3,100 2,420 2,605 Average price (c/lb) 2/ : 52.03 32.25 32.00- 32.00- : 36.00 36.00 : : Thousand short tons SOYBEAN MEAL: : Beginning stocks : 343 294 300 300 Production : 42,284 39,456 3/ 39,785 40,235 Imports : 141 100 165 165 Supply, total : 42,768 39,850 40,250 40,700 Domestic : 33,232 30,750 31,000 30,800 Exports : 9,242 8,800 8,950 9,600 Use, total : 42,474 39,550 39,950 40,400 Ending stocks : 294 300 300 300 Average price ($/s.t.) 2/ : 335.94 330.00 260.00- 250.00- : 320.00 310.00 =============================================================================== Note: Reliability calculations at end of report. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for soybeans; October 1 for soybean oil and meal. 2/ Prices: Soybeans, marketing year weighted average price received by farmers; for Oil, simple average of crude soybean oil, Decatur; for Meal, simple average of 48 percent, Decatur. 3/ Based on October-year crush of 1,665 million bushels. WASDE-474-16 September 2009 U.S. Sugar Supply and Use 1/ ====================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :======================= : : Est. : August September ====================================================================== : 1,000 short tons, raw value : Beginning stocks : 1,799 1,660 1,252 1,307 Production 2/ : 8,152 7,571 8,275 8,025 Beet sugar : 4,721 4,250 4,850 4,700 Cane sugar : 3,431 3,321 3,425 3,325 Florida : 1,645 1,569 1,800 1,700 Hawaii : 182 200 160 160 Louisiana : 1,446 1,400 1,300 1,300 Texas : 158 152 165 165 Imports : 2,620 3,116 1,757 2,087 TRQ 3/ : 1,354 1,431 1,182 1,182 Other program 4/ : 565 300 400 400 Other 5/ : 701 1,385 175 505 Mexico : 694 1,375 165 495 Total supply : 12,571 12,347 11,284 11,419 : Exports : 203 130 200 200 Deliveries : 10,773 10,910 10,375 10,375 Food : 10,571 10,735 10,140 10,140 Other 6/ : 202 175 235 235 Miscellaneous 7/ : -65 0 0 0 Total use : 10,911 11,040 10,575 10,575 Ending stocks : 1,660 1,307 709 844 : Stocks to use ratio : 15.2 11.8 6.7 8.0 ====================================================================== 1/ Fiscal years beginning Oct 1. Includes Puerto Rico. Historical data are from FSA, "Sweetener Market Data" except imports (U.S. Customs Service, Census Bureau). 2/ Production projections for 2009/10 are based on Crop Production and trend recovery rates. 3/ For 2009/10, includes only U.S. commitments under current trade agreements, minus shortfall of 200,000 tons. The Secretary will establish the actual level of the TRQ at a later date. 4/ Includes sugar under the re-export and polyhydric alcohol programs. 5/ Does not include Mexico TRQ imports. For 2007/08, other high-tier (0) and other (0). For 2008/09, other high-tier (10) and other (0). For 2009/10, other high-tier (10) and other (0). 6/ Transfers to sugar-containing products for reexport, and for nonedible alcohol and feed. 7/ Includes SMD miscellaneous uses and the difference between SMD imports and WASDE imports. Mexico Sugar Supply and Use and High Fructose Corn Syrup Imports 1/ ========================================================================== : Supply : Use : Fiscal :====================================================: Ending year : Beginning : Production: Imports : Domestic: Exports: stocks : stocks : : : 2/ : : ========================================================================== 1,000 metric tons, raw value Sugar 2008/09 est. Aug 1,615 5,260 400 5,540 1,315 420 Sep 1,975 5,260 215 5,540 1,245 665 2009/10 proj. Aug 420 5,500 870 5,540 150 1,100 Sep 665 5,500 710 5,540 450 885` ========================================================================== 1/ U.S. HFCS exports to Mexico (metric tons, dry-weight basis): Oct-Sep 2007/08 = 427,705; Oct-Jul 2007/08 = 346,853; Oct-Jul 2008/09 = 224,814. Footnote source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2/Includes domestic consumption and Mexico's products export program (IMMEX). WASDE-474-17 September 2009 U. S. Cotton Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2009/10 Projections Item : 2007/08 : 2008/09 :=============================== : : Est. : August September =============================================================================== : Million acres Area : Planted : 10.83 9.47 9.05 9.14 Harvested : 10.49 7.57 7.77 7.73 : : Pounds Yield per harvested : acre : 879 813 816 835 : : Million 480 pound bales : Beginning stocks 2/ : 9.48 10.04 6.10 6.20 Production : 19.21 12.82 13.21 13.44 Imports : 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 Supply, total : 28.70 22.86 19.31 19.64 Domestic use : 4.59 3.60 3.50 3.50 Exports : 13.65 13.28 10.20 10.50 Use, total : 18.24 16.88 13.70 14.00 Unaccounted 3/ : 0.41 -0.22 0.01 0.04 Ending stocks : 10.04 6.20 5.60 5.60 : Avg. farm price 4/ : 59.3 48.7 49.0-59.0 49.0-59.0 =============================================================================== Note: Reliability calculations at end of report. 1/ Upland and extra-long staple; marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add due to rounding. 2/ Based on Bureau of Census data. 3/ Reflects the difference between the previous season's supply less total use and ending stocks based on Bureau of Census data. 4/ Cents per pound for upland cotton. =============================================================================== WASDE-474-18 September 2009 World Wheat Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 : World 3/ : 127.68 610.99 113.64 96.12 616.09 117.47 122.58 United States : 12.41 55.82 3.07 0.43 28.61 34.36 8.32 Total foreign : 115.27 555.17 110.58 95.68 587.48 83.10 114.26 Major exporters 4/ : 26.43 172.32 7.47 58.16 134.24 47.33 24.65 Argentina : 1.07 18.00 0.02 0.08 5.13 11.20 2.76 Australia : 4.43 13.84 0.11 3.50 6.20 7.49 4.69 Canada : 6.87 20.05 0.39 2.14 6.37 16.38 4.56 EU-27 5/ : 14.08 120.43 6.94 52.44 116.54 12.27 12.64 Major importers 6/ : 62.18 175.24 59.40 10.61 225.86 8.72 62.24 Brazil : 0.98 3.83 6.71 0.10 10.30 0.77 0.45 China : 38.45 109.30 0.05 8.00 106.00 2.84 38.96 Select. Mideast 7/ : 6.69 20.37 9.37 1.15 29.24 0.56 6.62 N. Africa 8/ : 9.75 13.95 21.74 0.10 35.89 0.26 9.28 Pakistan : 1.99 23.30 1.49 0.40 22.40 2.20 2.18 Southeast Asia 9/ : 2.66 0.00 11.20 0.46 10.53 0.50 2.85 Selected other : India : 4.50 75.81 1.89 0.20 76.35 0.05 5.80 FSU-12 : 9.26 92.54 6.02 23.53 75.00 22.21 10.61 Russia : 2.23 49.40 0.44 15.05 37.70 12.55 1.82 Kazakhstan : 1.65 16.45 0.04 2.70 7.50 8.18 2.46 Ukraine : 1.38 13.90 0.33 3.00 12.30 1.24 2.07 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) : World 3/ : 122.58 682.25 136.00 113.24 635.84 138.82 168.99 United States : 8.32 68.03 3.46 6.70 34.01 27.64 18.15 Total foreign : 114.26 614.23 132.54 106.54 601.83 111.18 150.84 Major exporters 4/ : 24.65 209.78 7.80 68.86 147.84 62.70 31.69 Argentina : 2.76 8.40 0.03 0.08 5.08 5.70 0.41 Australia : 4.69 21.50 0.13 3.75 6.80 14.00 5.51 Canada : 4.56 28.61 0.35 4.03 8.47 18.50 6.56 EU-27 5/ : 12.64 151.27 7.30 61.00 127.50 24.50 19.21 Major importers 6/ : 62.24 172.78 73.62 9.07 227.94 5.85 74.85 Brazil : 0.45 6.00 6.00 0.20 10.70 0.40 1.35 China : 38.96 112.50 0.48 5.00 102.50 0.72 48.72 Select. Mideast 7/ : 6.62 13.31 20.13 1.55 31.20 0.71 8.15 N. Africa 8/ : 9.28 14.59 23.45 0.10 36.98 0.23 10.11 Pakistan : 2.18 21.50 3.10 0.40 22.80 2.10 1.88 Southeast Asia 9/ : 2.85 0.00 11.96 1.42 11.67 0.36 2.78 Selected other : India : 5.80 78.60 0.01 0.10 70.77 0.20 13.44 FSU-12 : 10.61 115.59 6.59 24.88 76.57 37.67 18.55 Russia : 1.82 63.70 0.20 16.20 38.90 18.39 8.43 Kazakhstan : 2.46 12.55 0.12 2.70 7.53 5.70 1.90 Ukraine : 2.07 25.90 0.10 2.90 11.90 13.04 3.14 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and the EU-27. 5/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 6/ Brazil, China, Japan, Mexico, N. Africa, Pakistan, selected Middle East, and Southeast Asia. 7/ Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, United Arab Emirates, and Oman. 8/ Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia. 9/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-474-19 September 2009 World Wheat Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 3/ : August : 169.50 659.29 117.91 109.23 645.23 123.38 183.56 September : 168.99 663.72 117.66 109.70 646.10 122.96 186.61 United States : August : 18.15 59.43 2.99 6.40 34.51 25.86 20.21 September : 18.15 59.43 2.99 6.40 34.51 25.86 20.21 Total foreign : August : 151.35 599.86 114.92 102.83 610.72 97.52 163.35 September : 150.84 604.29 114.67 103.31 611.59 97.11 166.40 Major exporters 4/ : August : 32.27 190.29 6.88 65.58 145.73 55.50 28.22 September : 31.69 191.99 6.88 65.58 146.23 55.00 29.32 Argentina Aug : 0.61 8.50 0.01 0.08 5.18 3.00 0.93 Sep : 0.41 8.00 0.01 0.08 5.18 2.50 0.73 Australia Aug : 5.51 23.00 0.08 4.00 7.05 15.50 6.04 Sep : 5.51 23.00 0.08 4.00 7.05 15.50 6.04 Canada Aug : 7.07 22.50 0.30 2.50 7.00 17.00 5.87 Sep : 6.56 22.50 0.30 2.50 7.00 17.00 5.36 EU-27 5/ Aug : 19.08 136.29 6.50 59.00 126.50 20.00 15.38 Sep : 19.21 138.49 6.50 59.00 127.00 20.00 17.20 Major importers 6/ : August : 75.09 183.39 64.00 7.85 227.40 5.35 89.73 September : 74.85 183.19 64.15 7.83 227.70 5.35 89.14 Brazil Aug : 1.35 5.70 5.50 0.20 10.90 0.40 1.25 Sep : 1.35 5.50 5.50 0.20 10.90 0.40 1.05 China Aug : 48.72 114.50 0.30 4.00 101.00 1.50 61.02 Sep : 48.72 114.50 0.30 4.00 101.00 1.50 61.02 Sel. Mideast 7/Aug : 8.40 15.03 17.55 1.32 30.52 0.66 9.79 Sep : 8.15 15.03 17.75 1.32 30.62 0.66 9.65 N. Africa 8/ Aug : 9.82 19.03 18.65 0.10 37.48 0.24 9.78 Sep : 10.11 19.03 18.95 0.10 37.88 0.24 9.98 Pakistan Aug : 2.18 24.00 1.00 0.40 23.30 1.00 2.88 Sep : 1.88 24.00 1.00 0.40 23.30 1.00 2.58 SE Asia 9/ Aug : 2.72 0.00 12.30 1.43 12.01 0.33 2.69 Sep : 2.78 0.00 12.05 1.41 11.81 0.33 2.70 Selected other : India Aug : 13.44 80.58 0.00 0.10 76.88 0.20 16.94 Sep : 13.44 80.58 0.00 0.10 76.88 0.20 16.94 FSU-12 Aug : 18.35 102.74 5.08 25.53 77.80 31.44 16.93 Sep : 18.55 105.01 4.98 26.03 78.28 31.44 18.82 Russia Aug : 8.43 55.50 0.20 17.00 39.70 16.50 7.93 Sep : 8.43 56.50 0.20 17.00 39.70 16.50 8.93 Kazakhstan Aug : 1.51 14.00 0.05 2.70 7.55 6.50 1.51 Sep : 1.90 14.50 0.05 2.70 7.55 6.50 2.40 Ukraine Aug : 3.22 19.50 0.10 2.80 12.10 8.00 2.72 Sep : 3.14 20.00 0.10 3.30 12.60 8.00 2.64 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and the EU-27. 5/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 6/ Brazil, China, Japan, Mexico, N. Africa, Pakistan, selected Middle East, and Southeast Asia. 7/ Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, United Arab Emirates, and Oman. 8/ Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia. 9/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-474-20 September 2009 World Coarse Grain Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 : World 3/ : 139.18 1077.23 126.52 655.03 1056.03 127.21 160.38 United States : 36.17 349.86 3.45 157.23 274.53 69.89 45.06 Total foreign : 103.00 727.37 123.07 497.80 781.49 57.32 115.32 Major exporters 4/ : 8.94 80.04 3.55 35.18 50.15 30.14 12.23 Argentina : 2.10 26.97 0.13 7.24 9.90 16.93 2.37 Australia : 1.56 11.55 0.01 5.17 6.47 4.44 2.20 Canada : 3.50 27.82 3.27 18.43 24.02 6.57 4.01 Major importers 5/ : 36.03 216.91 97.78 236.85 310.40 5.41 34.91 EU-27 6/ : 15.13 135.89 20.30 118.60 153.85 4.63 12.84 Japan : 1.76 0.20 19.21 14.53 19.44 0.00 1.72 Mexico : 3.39 30.78 10.98 23.66 40.43 0.11 4.61 N. Afr & Mideast 7/: 8.54 24.94 19.61 39.05 46.00 0.02 7.07 Saudi Arabia : 2.63 0.33 9.36 9.43 9.67 0.00 2.65 Southeast Asia 8/ : 2.57 24.37 4.31 20.00 27.41 0.65 3.19 South Korea : 1.32 0.35 9.36 7.10 8.94 0.00 2.08 Selected other : Brazil : 3.77 61.34 0.97 38.18 45.28 7.94 12.87 China : 38.03 159.10 1.16 105.82 157.11 0.85 40.33 FSU-12 : 5.05 53.91 1.00 34.69 50.29 5.26 4.41 Russia : 1.70 29.33 0.52 18.73 28.88 1.22 1.45 Ukraine : 2.12 14.59 0.03 8.96 12.01 3.14 1.58 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) : World 3/ : 160.38 1100.20 107.05 645.05 1072.24 106.94 188.34 United States : 45.06 326.09 3.09 142.57 275.97 51.02 47.25 Total foreign : 115.32 774.11 103.96 502.48 796.27 55.92 141.10 Major exporters 4/ : 12.23 67.26 2.26 33.44 49.00 19.30 13.44 Argentina : 2.37 16.43 0.13 6.01 8.67 8.46 1.80 Australia : 2.20 11.12 0.00 4.92 6.27 4.43 2.63 Canada : 4.01 27.19 1.90 17.76 23.67 3.88 5.56 Major importers 5/ : 34.91 243.46 79.46 232.03 309.31 6.54 41.98 EU-27 6/ : 12.84 161.58 3.18 112.70 151.00 5.56 21.04 Japan : 1.72 0.22 19.64 14.82 19.74 0.00 1.84 Mexico : 4.61 32.28 10.15 25.44 42.41 0.10 4.53 N. Afr & Mideast 7/: 7.07 24.19 21.79 38.74 45.75 0.16 7.14 Saudi Arabia : 2.65 0.34 9.30 9.53 9.78 0.00 2.51 Southeast Asia 8/ : 3.19 24.43 3.63 20.06 27.86 0.72 2.66 South Korea : 2.08 0.36 7.07 6.15 7.93 0.00 1.58 Selected other : Brazil : 12.87 52.55 1.11 39.18 47.33 7.53 11.67 China : 40.33 173.20 1.49 110.82 160.47 0.35 54.20 FSU-12 : 4.41 78.14 0.56 39.69 56.30 17.25 9.57 Russia : 1.45 40.70 0.20 21.85 32.75 4.87 4.73 Ukraine : 1.58 26.22 0.03 9.60 12.87 11.91 3.06 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. Coarse grains include corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains). 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and South Africa. 5/ The EU-27, Mexico, Japan, selected North Africa and Middle East, South Korea, Southeast Asia, and Taiwan. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia, and Turkey. 8/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-474-21 September 2009 World Coarse Grain Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 3/ : August : 186.78 1091.58 106.21 648.78 1096.86 110.05 181.50 September : 188.34 1090.04 108.28 651.83 1099.29 111.90 179.09 United States : August : 48.14 339.84 2.80 141.81 288.20 57.28 45.30 September : 47.25 344.98 2.67 143.08 289.47 59.82 45.62 Total foreign : August : 138.64 751.74 103.41 506.96 808.66 52.77 136.20 September : 141.10 745.06 105.61 508.75 809.82 52.08 133.48 Major exporters 4/ : August : 12.69 65.33 2.70 33.49 49.56 20.37 10.80 September : 13.44 63.80 3.80 33.41 49.48 19.47 12.09 Argentina Aug : 2.00 20.47 0.03 7.06 9.77 10.71 2.02 Sep : 1.80 19.47 0.03 6.76 9.47 9.91 1.92 Australia Aug : 2.63 11.56 0.00 5.57 6.94 4.41 2.84 Sep : 2.63 11.56 0.00 5.57 6.94 4.41 2.84 Canada Aug : 4.60 22.33 2.47 16.11 22.47 3.73 3.21 Sep : 5.56 21.80 3.57 16.33 22.69 3.63 4.61 Major importers 5/ : August : 41.30 233.94 79.54 231.00 310.19 6.30 38.29 September : 41.98 233.83 79.59 232.65 311.34 5.94 38.12 EU-27 6/ Aug : 20.21 149.17 3.08 110.90 150.10 5.31 17.05 Sep : 21.04 149.31 2.93 112.45 151.15 4.81 17.32 Japan Aug : 1.84 0.19 19.29 14.51 19.43 0.00 1.89 Sep : 1.84 0.19 19.29 14.51 19.43 0.00 1.89 Mexico Aug : 4.53 30.13 11.45 24.98 42.20 0.05 3.86 Sep : 4.53 29.88 11.65 25.08 42.30 0.05 3.71 N Afr/M.East 7/Aug : 7.28 28.60 19.83 40.08 47.46 0.06 8.19 Sep : 7.14 28.60 19.83 40.08 47.46 0.20 7.91 Saudi Arabia Aug : 2.51 0.34 9.30 9.43 9.68 0.00 2.47 Sep : 2.51 0.34 9.30 9.43 9.68 0.00 2.47 S.-east Asia 8/Aug : 2.66 25.06 4.33 20.46 28.56 0.89 2.60 Sep : 2.66 25.06 4.33 20.46 28.56 0.89 2.60 South Korea Aug : 1.58 0.35 7.57 6.05 7.93 0.00 1.57 Sep : 1.58 0.35 7.57 6.05 7.93 0.00 1.57 Selected other : Brazil Aug : 10.48 56.51 0.75 40.08 47.65 9.10 10.99 Sep : 11.67 54.51 0.75 40.18 47.75 9.10 10.08 China Aug : 54.20 169.50 1.59 115.67 166.47 0.62 58.20 Sep : 54.20 167.00 1.59 115.67 166.47 0.62 55.70 FSU-12 Aug : 9.75 63.52 0.41 37.83 54.04 11.85 7.79 Sep : 9.57 63.47 0.41 38.19 54.40 12.10 6.96 Russia Aug : 4.83 31.40 0.20 20.75 31.05 2.10 3.28 Sep : 4.73 30.40 0.20 20.75 31.05 2.30 1.98 Ukraine Aug : 3.13 21.95 0.02 9.50 12.90 9.02 3.18 Sep : 3.06 22.45 0.02 9.70 13.10 9.02 3.41 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. Coarse grains include corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains). 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and South Africa. 5/ The EU-27, Mexico, Japan, selected North Africa and Middle East, South Korea, Southeast Asia, and Taiwan. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia, and Turkey. 8/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-474-22 September 2009 World Corn Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 : World 3/ : 109.04 791.88 98.33 496.40 770.60 98.61 130.31 United States : 33.11 331.18 0.51 150.21 261.63 61.91 41.26 Total foreign : 75.92 460.70 97.82 346.19 508.97 36.70 89.06 Major exporters 4/ : 3.32 35.16 0.15 9.40 16.20 16.96 5.48 Argentina : 1.66 22.00 0.12 5.10 7.00 14.80 1.99 South Africa : 1.66 13.16 0.03 4.30 9.20 2.16 3.49 Major importers 5/ : 17.09 101.77 62.46 118.90 163.38 1.32 16.61 Egypt : 0.92 6.17 4.15 8.30 10.40 0.00 0.85 EU-27 6/ : 7.38 47.55 14.02 51.00 63.90 0.59 4.46 Japan : 1.15 0.00 16.61 12.00 16.60 0.00 1.16 Mexico : 3.08 23.60 9.56 16.20 32.00 0.11 4.13 Southeast Asia 7/ : 2.56 24.32 4.28 19.95 27.35 0.62 3.19 South Korea : 1.32 0.08 9.31 7.05 8.63 0.00 2.08 Selected other : Brazil : 3.59 58.60 0.68 36.00 42.50 7.79 12.58 Canada : 1.34 11.65 3.18 10.18 13.77 0.94 1.46 China : 36.60 152.30 0.04 105.00 149.00 0.55 39.39 FSU-12 : 1.77 13.79 0.62 11.16 12.90 2.13 1.14 Ukraine : 1.07 7.40 0.02 5.00 5.75 2.07 0.67 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) : World 3/ : 130.31 789.43 78.72 479.77 775.06 78.76 144.69 United States : 41.26 307.39 0.38 133.36 258.96 46.99 43.07 Total foreign : 89.06 482.04 78.34 346.41 516.09 31.77 101.62 Major exporters 4/ : 5.48 24.60 0.23 9.20 16.20 9.50 4.60 Argentina : 1.99 12.60 0.13 4.50 6.40 7.00 1.31 South Africa : 3.49 12.00 0.10 4.70 9.80 2.50 3.29 Major importers 5/ : 16.61 118.41 45.80 113.65 160.40 2.55 17.87 Egypt : 0.85 6.22 4.20 8.10 10.30 0.00 0.96 EU-27 6/ : 4.46 62.69 2.50 46.50 61.00 1.75 6.90 Japan : 1.16 0.00 16.50 11.80 16.40 0.00 1.27 Mexico : 4.13 25.00 7.40 16.60 32.60 0.10 3.83 Southeast Asia 7/ : 3.19 24.37 3.60 20.00 27.80 0.70 2.66 South Korea : 2.08 0.09 7.00 6.10 7.60 0.00 1.58 Selected other : Brazil : 12.58 50.00 0.80 37.00 44.50 7.50 11.38 Canada : 1.46 10.60 1.80 8.70 12.50 0.30 1.06 China : 39.39 165.90 0.05 110.00 152.00 0.25 53.09 FSU-12 : 1.14 21.32 0.32 12.47 14.36 6.93 1.49 Ukraine : 0.67 11.40 0.03 4.90 5.65 5.50 0.94 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina and South Africa. 5/ Egypt, the EU-27, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Southeast Asia. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-474-23 September 2009 World Corn Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 3/ : August : 144.08 796.33 81.43 484.82 798.93 84.32 141.49 September : 144.69 794.06 83.40 485.99 799.62 85.72 139.12 United States : August : 43.70 324.14 0.38 134.63 273.70 53.34 41.19 September : 43.07 329.06 0.25 135.90 274.97 55.88 41.53 Total foreign : August : 100.38 472.19 81.05 350.20 525.23 30.98 100.30 September : 101.62 465.00 83.15 350.10 524.65 29.84 97.60 Major exporters 4/ : August : 4.70 25.50 0.13 8.70 15.70 10.50 4.13 September : 4.60 24.50 0.13 8.70 15.70 9.50 4.03 Argentina Aug : 1.41 15.00 0.03 4.00 5.90 9.00 1.54 Sep : 1.31 14.00 0.03 4.00 5.90 8.00 1.44 South Africa Aug : 3.29 10.50 0.10 4.70 9.80 1.50 2.59 Sep : 3.29 10.50 0.10 4.70 9.80 1.50 2.59 Major importers 5/ : August : 17.15 110.13 48.40 111.25 159.00 2.91 13.77 September : 17.87 109.84 48.40 111.45 159.20 2.41 14.50 Egypt Aug : 0.96 6.30 4.20 8.30 10.60 0.00 0.86 Sep : 0.96 6.30 4.20 8.30 10.60 0.00 0.86 EU-27 6/ Aug : 6.18 56.16 2.50 44.30 59.10 2.00 3.74 Sep : 6.90 55.87 2.50 44.50 59.30 1.50 4.47 Japan Aug : 1.27 0.00 16.30 11.70 16.30 0.00 1.27 Sep : 1.27 0.00 16.30 11.70 16.30 0.00 1.27 Mexico Aug : 3.83 22.50 9.00 16.00 32.20 0.05 3.08 Sep : 3.83 22.50 9.00 16.00 32.20 0.05 3.08 S.-east Asia 7/Aug : 2.66 25.00 4.30 20.40 28.50 0.86 2.60 Sep : 2.66 25.00 4.30 20.40 28.50 0.86 2.60 South Korea Aug : 1.58 0.09 7.50 6.00 7.60 0.00 1.57 Sep : 1.58 0.09 7.50 6.00 7.60 0.00 1.57 Selected other : Brazil Aug : 10.38 54.00 0.50 38.00 45.00 9.00 10.88 Sep : 11.38 52.00 0.50 38.00 45.00 9.00 9.88 Canada Aug : 1.26 10.30 2.40 8.10 12.40 0.40 1.16 Sep : 1.06 9.40 3.50 8.40 12.70 0.30 0.96 China Aug : 53.09 162.50 0.05 115.00 158.00 0.50 57.14 Sep : 53.09 160.00 0.05 115.00 158.00 0.50 54.64 FSU-12 Aug : 1.59 16.82 0.19 11.76 13.54 3.38 1.68 Sep : 1.49 16.82 0.19 11.46 13.24 3.38 1.88 Ukraine Aug : 0.94 8.50 0.01 4.70 5.45 3.00 1.00 Sep : 0.94 8.50 0.01 4.40 5.15 3.00 1.30 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina and South Africa. 5/ Egypt, the EU-27, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Southeast Asia. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-474-24 September 2009 World Rice Supply and Use (Milled Basis) 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total 2/: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 World 3/ : 75.10 433.39 29.22 428.20 31.15 80.30 United States : 1.27 6.34 0.76 4.08 3.35 0.94 Total foreign : 73.84 427.05 28.46 424.12 27.80 79.36 Major exporters 4/ : 16.03 146.06 0.31 121.92 22.31 18.18 India : 11.43 96.69 0.00 90.47 4.65 13.00 Pakistan : 0.70 5.70 0.00 2.45 3.00 0.95 Thailand : 2.51 19.30 0.01 9.60 10.01 2.21 Vietnam : 1.39 24.38 0.30 19.40 4.65 2.02 Major importers 5/ : 13.70 63.27 11.39 73.20 0.72 14.44 Brazil : 1.16 8.20 0.42 8.25 0.55 0.97 EU-27 6/ : 1.14 1.82 1.57 3.24 0.15 1.14 Indonesia : 4.61 37.00 0.35 36.35 0.00 5.61 Nigeria : 0.47 3.00 1.80 4.50 0.00 0.77 Philippines : 4.87 10.48 2.57 13.50 0.00 4.42 Sel. Mideast 7/ : 1.34 2.38 3.44 5.70 0.02 1.43 Selected other : Burma : 0.60 10.73 0.05 10.25 0.54 0.59 C. Amer & Carib 8/ : 0.48 1.30 1.56 2.96 0.00 0.38 China : 35.92 129.85 0.30 127.45 0.97 37.64 Egypt : 0.37 4.39 0.02 3.34 0.75 0.69 Japan : 2.41 7.93 0.60 8.18 0.20 2.56 Mexico : 0.15 0.18 0.58 0.76 0.01 0.14 South Korea : 0.70 4.41 0.25 4.67 0.00 0.69 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) World 3/ : 80.30 444.85 26.74 435.83 28.08 89.32 United States : 0.94 6.52 0.61 4.08 3.01 0.97 Total foreign : 79.36 438.34 26.13 431.75 25.07 88.35 Major exporters 4/ : 18.18 148.56 0.80 125.99 19.20 22.34 India : 13.00 99.15 0.00 93.15 2.00 17.00 Pakistan : 0.95 6.30 0.00 3.40 3.00 0.85 Thailand : 2.21 19.40 0.30 10.29 8.50 3.12 Vietnam : 2.02 23.71 0.50 19.15 5.70 1.37 Major importers 5/ : 14.44 64.64 11.11 75.32 0.60 14.27 Brazil : 0.97 8.60 0.47 8.66 0.45 0.93 EU-27 6/ : 1.14 1.68 1.20 2.86 0.12 1.05 Indonesia : 5.61 38.30 0.35 37.65 0.01 6.60 Nigeria : 0.77 3.20 1.60 5.00 0.00 0.57 Philippines : 4.42 10.75 2.30 13.65 0.00 3.82 Sel. Mideast 7/ : 1.43 1.67 4.06 5.93 0.02 1.21 Selected other : Burma : 0.59 10.15 0.03 9.55 1.00 0.22 C. Amer & Carib 8/ : 0.38 1.41 1.26 2.75 0.00 0.30 China : 37.64 134.33 0.33 129.30 0.80 42.20 Egypt : 0.69 4.39 0.02 3.80 0.55 0.74 Japan : 2.56 8.03 0.70 8.37 0.20 2.72 Mexico : 0.14 0.19 0.50 0.73 0.01 0.09 South Korea : 0.69 4.84 0.28 5.01 0.00 0.81 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. Total domestic includes both domestic use and unreported disappearance. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in some countries. 4/ India, Pakistan, Thailand, and Vietnam. 5/ Brazil, Indonesia, Hong Kong, Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Philippines, selected Middle East, and the EU-27. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Selected Middle East includes Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. 8/ Central American and Caribbean countries. WASDE-474-25 September 2009 World Rice Supply and Use (Milled Basis) 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total 2/: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 3/ : August : 88.71 433.46 27.06 438.14 29.74 84.04 September : 89.32 433.51 27.10 437.98 29.34 84.86 United States : August : 0.73 6.75 0.67 4.22 3.17 0.76 September : 0.97 6.97 0.67 4.14 3.07 1.40 Total foreign : August : 87.99 426.71 26.39 433.92 26.57 83.27 September : 88.35 426.54 26.43 433.84 26.27 83.45 Major exporters 4/ : August : 21.94 133.99 0.41 120.95 19.80 15.59 September : 22.34 133.79 0.51 120.95 19.80 15.89 India Aug : 17.00 84.00 0.00 89.50 1.50 10.00 Sep : 17.00 84.00 0.00 89.50 1.50 10.00 Pakistan Aug : 0.85 6.20 0.00 2.70 3.30 1.05 Sep : 0.85 6.00 0.00 2.70 3.30 0.85 Thailand Aug : 3.12 20.00 0.01 9.60 10.00 3.52 Sep : 3.12 20.00 0.01 9.60 10.00 3.52 Vietnam Aug : 0.97 23.80 0.40 19.15 5.00 1.02 Sep : 1.37 23.80 0.50 19.15 5.00 1.52 Major importers 5/ : August : 14.27 65.02 11.47 76.17 0.60 13.98 September : 14.27 65.22 11.47 76.37 0.60 13.98 Brazil Aug : 0.93 8.84 0.60 8.84 0.45 1.08 Sep : 0.93 8.84 0.60 8.84 0.45 1.08 EU-27 6/ Aug : 1.05 1.91 1.25 2.96 0.10 1.15 Sep : 1.05 1.94 1.25 2.99 0.10 1.15 Indonesia Aug : 6.60 37.60 0.30 37.69 0.00 6.81 Sep : 6.60 37.60 0.30 37.69 0.00 6.81 Nigeria Aug : 0.57 3.40 1.60 5.10 0.00 0.47 Sep : 0.57 3.40 1.60 5.10 0.00 0.47 Philippines Aug : 3.82 10.71 2.40 13.85 0.00 3.09 Sep : 3.82 10.87 2.40 14.01 0.00 3.09 Sel. Mideast 7/Aug : 1.21 2.07 4.17 6.09 0.05 1.30 Sep : 1.21 2.07 4.17 6.09 0.05 1.30 Selected other : Burma Aug : 0.22 10.73 0.00 9.75 1.00 0.20 Sep : 0.22 10.73 0.00 9.75 1.00 0.20 C. Am & Car. 8/Aug : 0.30 1.50 1.50 2.97 0.00 0.33 Sep : 0.30 1.50 1.50 2.97 0.00 0.33 China Aug : 42.20 135.10 0.35 131.85 1.30 44.50 Sep : 42.20 135.10 0.35 131.85 1.30 44.50 Egypt Aug : 0.74 4.37 0.00 3.68 0.90 0.54 Sep : 0.74 4.37 0.01 3.99 0.60 0.54 Japan Aug : 2.72 7.71 0.70 8.20 0.20 2.73 Sep : 2.72 7.62 0.70 8.20 0.20 2.64 Mexico Aug : 0.13 0.24 0.68 0.86 0.01 0.18 Sep : 0.09 0.24 0.60 0.78 0.01 0.15 South Korea Aug : 0.81 4.50 0.30 4.75 0.00 0.86 Sep : 0.81 4.50 0.30 4.75 0.00 0.86 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. Total domestic includes both domestic use and unreported disappearance. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in some countries. 4/ India, Pakistan, Thailand, and Vietnam. 5/ Brazil, Indonesia, Hong Kong, Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Philippines, selected Middle East, the EU-27. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Selected Middle East includes Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. 8/ Central American and Caribbean countries. WASDE-474-26 September 2009 World Cotton Supply and Use 1/ (Million 480-pound bales) ================================================================================ : Supply : Use : : Region :=========================:================: Loss : Ending :Beginning:Produc-:Imports:Domestic:Exports: 2/ : stocks : stocks : tion : : : : : ================================================================================ : : 2007/08 : World : 63.29 120.51 38.31 122.76 38.34 -2.06 63.07 United States : 9.48 19.21 0.01 4.59 13.65 0.41 10.04 Total foreign : 53.81 101.30 38.30 118.17 24.68 -2.47 53.03 Major exporters 4/ : 20.14 47.07 1.56 28.18 20.97 -0.16 19.78 Central Asia 5/ : 2.27 8.20 0.04 1.61 6.30 0.00 2.60 Afr. Fr. Zone 6/ : 1.13 2.46 3/ 0.19 2.58 0.00 0.82 S. Hemis. 7/ : 7.96 9.72 0.53 6.00 4.09 -0.18 8.30 Australia : 1.18 0.64 3/ 0.05 1.22 -0.05 0.60 Brazil : 5.41 7.36 0.16 4.60 2.23 -0.15 6.25 India : 7.66 24.60 0.60 18.60 7.03 0.00 7.23 Major importers 8/ : 31.65 51.46 34.12 85.52 2.66 -2.31 31.37 Mexico : 1.03 0.62 1.53 2.00 0.22 0.03 0.93 China : 20.54 37.00 11.53 51.50 0.06 -2.50 20.00 EU-27 9/ : 0.83 1.74 1.58 1.81 1.62 0.05 0.67 Turkey : 1.95 3.10 3.27 6.00 0.37 0.00 1.95 Pakistan : 4.88 8.90 3.91 12.00 0.27 0.03 5.39 Indonesia : 0.35 0.03 2.30 2.23 0.02 0.05 0.39 Thailand : 0.35 0.02 1.93 1.95 0.00 0.03 0.32 Bangladesh : 0.51 0.04 2.80 2.75 0.00 0.01 0.58 Vietnam : 0.22 0.03 1.16 1.15 0.00 0.00 0.25 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) : World : 63.07 106.67 29.27 110.66 29.60 -2.71 61.47 United States : 10.04 12.82 3/ 3.60 13.28 -0.22 6.20 Total foreign : 53.03 93.86 29.27 107.06 16.33 -2.50 55.27 Major exporters 4/ : 19.78 42.34 1.38 26.91 13.36 -0.19 23.42 Central Asia 5/ : 2.60 7.12 0.01 1.60 3.92 0.00 4.20 Afr. Fr. Zone 6/ : 0.82 2.41 3/ 0.19 2.17 0.00 0.87 S. Hemis. 7/ : 8.30 8.70 0.32 5.52 4.59 -0.20 7.41 Australia : 0.60 1.50 3/ 0.05 1.19 -0.07 0.94 Brazil : 6.25 5.50 0.05 4.20 2.74 -0.15 5.01 India : 7.23 22.50 0.63 17.90 2.30 0.00 10.16 Major importers 8/ : 31.37 48.64 25.49 75.85 1.95 -2.31 30.01 Mexico : 0.93 0.58 1.32 1.85 0.18 0.03 0.77 China : 20.00 35.80 7.00 45.25 0.08 -2.50 19.97 EU-27 9/ : 0.67 1.24 0.97 1.15 1.01 0.05 0.66 Turkey : 1.95 1.93 2.89 5.00 0.14 0.00 1.63 Pakistan : 5.39 9.00 2.20 11.50 0.43 0.03 4.64 Indonesia : 0.39 0.03 2.00 2.00 0.02 0.05 0.35 Thailand : 0.32 0.02 1.60 1.60 0.00 0.03 0.30 Bangladesh : 0.58 0.04 2.95 2.90 0.00 0.01 0.66 Vietnam : 0.25 0.01 1.14 1.15 0.00 0.00 0.25 ================================================================================ 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add exactly and trade may not balance due to rounding and other factors. 2/ Generally reflects cotton lost or destroyed in the marketing channel; for Australia, Brazil, China, and the United States, reflects the difference between implicit stocks based on supply less total use and indicated ending stocks. 3/ Less than 5,000 bales. 4/ Includes Egypt and Syria in addition to the countries and regions listed. 5/ Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan. 6/ Benin, Burkino Faso, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Cote d'Ivoire, Mali, Niger, Senegal, and Togo. 7/ Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Paraguay, South Africa, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe. 8/ In addition to the countries and regions listed, includes Hong Kong, Japan, Russia, South Korea, and Taiwan. 9/ Includes intra-EU trade. WASDE-474-27 September 2009 World Cotton Supply and Use 1/ (Million 480-pound bales) ================================================================================ : Supply : Use : : Region :=========================:================: Loss : Ending :Beginning:Produc-:Imports:Domestic:Exports: 2/ : stocks : stocks : tion : : : : : ================================================================================ : : 2009/10 (Projected) World : August : 61.85 105.87 31.95 112.76 31.95 -2.49 57.46 September : 61.47 105.06 32.02 112.74 31.99 -2.45 56.26 United States : August : 6.10 13.21 0.01 3.50 10.20 0.01 5.60 September : 6.20 13.44 0.01 3.50 10.50 0.04 5.60 Total foreign : August : 55.75 92.67 31.95 109.26 21.75 -2.50 51.86 September : 55.27 91.62 32.01 109.24 21.49 -2.50 50.66 Major exporters 4/ : August : 23.84 43.99 1.25 27.22 19.02 -0.19 23.03 September : 23.42 42.94 1.26 27.42 18.66 -0.19 21.73 Central Asia 5/Aug : 4.22 6.40 0.03 1.50 5.97 0.00 3.19 Sep : 4.20 6.35 0.01 1.50 5.92 0.00 3.14 Afr. Fr. Zn. 6/Aug : 0.88 2.34 3/ 0.19 2.21 0.00 0.83 Sep : 0.87 2.34 3/ 0.19 2.21 0.00 0.82 S. Hemis 7/ Aug : 7.47 8.85 0.40 5.51 4.17 -0.20 7.24 Sep : 7.41 8.85 0.42 5.51 4.16 -0.20 7.22 Australia Aug : 0.93 1.80 3/ 0.04 1.60 -0.07 1.17 Sep : 0.94 1.80 3/ 0.04 1.60 -0.07 1.17 Brazil Aug : 5.02 5.40 0.10 4.20 1.80 -0.15 4.67 Sep : 5.01 5.40 0.10 4.20 1.80 -0.15 4.66 India Aug : 10.48 25.00 0.40 18.30 6.40 0.00 11.18 Sep : 10.16 24.00 0.40 18.50 6.10 0.00 9.96 Major importers 8/ : August : 30.01 45.87 28.27 77.81 1.64 -2.31 27.00 September : 30.01 45.87 28.27 77.57 1.74 -2.31 27.15 Mexico Aug : 0.77 0.40 1.60 1.90 0.10 0.03 0.75 Sep : 0.77 0.40 1.60 1.90 0.10 0.03 0.75 China Aug : 19.97 33.50 8.00 46.50 0.08 -2.50 17.40 Sep : 19.97 33.50 8.00 46.25 0.08 -2.50 17.64 EU-27 9/ Aug : 0.66 0.97 0.97 1.06 0.93 0.05 0.56 Sep : 0.66 0.97 0.95 1.05 0.93 0.05 0.56 Turkey Aug : 1.61 1.70 3.30 5.10 0.10 0.00 1.41 Sep : 1.63 1.70 3.30 5.10 0.10 0.00 1.43 Pakistan Aug : 4.64 9.20 3.00 12.00 0.30 0.03 4.51 Sep : 4.64 9.20 3.00 12.00 0.40 0.03 4.41 Indonesia Aug : 0.35 0.03 2.08 2.05 0.02 0.05 0.33 Sep : 0.35 0.03 2.08 2.05 0.02 0.05 0.33 Thailand Aug : 0.30 0.01 1.73 1.70 0.00 0.03 0.31 Sep : 0.30 0.01 1.73 1.70 0.00 0.03 0.31 Bangladesh Aug : 0.66 0.04 3.05 3.05 0.00 0.01 0.70 Sep : 0.66 0.04 3.05 3.05 0.00 0.01 0.70 Vietnam Aug : 0.25 0.01 1.20 1.20 0.00 0.00 0.26 Sep : 0.25 0.01 1.20 1.20 0.00 0.00 0.26 ================================================================================ 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add exactly and trade may not balance due to rounding and other factors. 2/ Generally reflects cotton lost or destroyed in the marketing channel; for Australia, Brazil, and the United States, reflects the difference between implicit stocks based on supply less total use and indicated ending stocks. 3/ Less than 5,000 bales. 4/ Includes Egypt and Syria in addition to the countries and regions listed. 5/ Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan. 6/ Benin, Burkino Faso, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Cote d'Ivoire, Mali, Niger, Senegal, and Togo. 7/ Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Paraguay, South Africa, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe. 8/ In addition to the countries and regions listed, includes Hong Kong, Japan, Russia, South Korea, and Taiwan. 9/ Includes intra-EU trade. WASDE-474-28 September 2009 World Soybean Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Domestic : : : stocks : tion :Imports: Crush : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 World 2/ : 62.89 221.13 78.16 201.93 229.75 79.52 52.91 United States : 15.62 72.86 0.27 49.08 51.63 31.54 5.58 Total foreign : 47.27 148.27 77.89 152.85 178.12 47.98 47.33 Major exporters 3/ : 40.98 114.10 3.11 68.12 72.78 44.60 40.81 Argentina : 22.61 46.20 2.95 34.61 36.16 13.84 21.76 Brazil : 18.19 61.00 0.15 32.11 35.07 25.36 18.90 Major importers 4/ : 4.42 16.02 64.01 62.88 78.36 0.53 5.57 China : 2.70 14.00 37.82 39.52 49.82 0.45 4.25 EU-27 : 1.12 0.72 15.12 14.87 16.11 0.04 0.81 Japan : 0.26 0.23 4.01 2.89 4.22 0.01 0.27 Mexico : 0.04 0.08 3.61 3.68 3.71 0.00 0.02 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) World 2/ : 52.91 210.72 74.35 193.01 221.43 76.32 40.22 United States : 5.58 80.54 0.41 45.18 48.68 34.84 3.00 Total foreign : 47.33 130.19 73.95 147.83 172.75 41.49 37.22 Major exporters 3/ : 40.81 92.80 1.67 66.10 70.55 37.62 27.11 Argentina : 21.76 32.00 1.60 32.80 34.16 5.97 15.24 Brazil : 18.90 57.00 0.05 31.80 34.77 29.35 11.83 Major importers 4/ : 5.57 18.02 62.38 61.07 76.45 0.53 8.98 China : 4.25 16.00 39.80 41.04 51.34 0.47 8.24 EU-27 : 0.81 0.65 12.80 12.50 13.73 0.03 0.51 Japan : 0.27 0.23 3.45 2.54 3.85 0.00 0.10 Mexico : 0.02 0.16 3.10 3.22 3.25 0.00 0.03 : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 2/ : August : 41.00 242.07 74.54 200.72 231.34 75.96 50.32 September : 40.22 243.94 75.04 201.01 231.63 77.04 50.53 United States : August : 3.00 87.07 0.27 45.45 50.19 34.43 5.72 September : 3.00 88.32 0.27 45.99 50.77 34.84 6.00 Total foreign : August : 38.00 155.01 74.27 155.27 181.15 41.53 44.60 September : 37.22 155.61 74.77 155.02 180.87 42.21 44.53 Major exporters 3/ : August : 28.66 116.75 0.67 68.25 73.04 37.67 35.36 September : 27.11 118.75 0.67 68.65 73.44 38.12 34.96 Argentina Aug : 15.24 51.00 0.50 35.10 36.73 9.70 20.31 Sep : 15.24 51.00 0.50 35.50 37.13 9.70 19.91 Brazil Aug : 13.38 60.00 0.15 31.60 34.64 24.00 14.90 Sep : 11.83 62.00 0.15 31.60 34.64 24.45 14.90 Major importers 4/ : August : 8.25 17.72 61.93 63.66 79.29 0.56 8.05 September : 8.98 17.27 62.37 63.81 79.49 0.56 8.58 China Aug : 7.51 15.40 38.10 43.25 53.45 0.50 7.06 Sep : 8.24 15.00 38.50 43.40 53.65 0.50 7.59 EU-27 Aug : 0.51 0.95 12.40 12.10 13.24 0.03 0.59 Sep : 0.51 0.95 12.40 12.10 13.24 0.03 0.59 Japan Aug : 0.10 0.23 3.95 2.75 4.11 0.00 0.17 Sep : 0.10 0.23 3.95 2.75 4.11 0.00 0.17 Mexico Aug : 0.03 0.16 3.49 3.62 3.65 0.00 0.03 Sep : 0.03 0.12 3.54 3.62 3.65 0.00 0.03 =============================================================================== 1/ Data based on local marketing years except Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay. 4/ Japan, China, and EU, Mexico, and Southeast Asia (includes Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand). WASDE-474-29 September 2009 World Soybean Meal Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total : : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 World 2/ : 6.52 158.52 54.32 157.46 55.78 6.11 United States : 0.31 38.36 0.13 30.15 8.38 0.27 Total foreign : 6.21 120.16 54.19 127.32 47.39 5.85 Major exporters 3/ : 3.82 58.48 0.18 14.93 43.74 3.81 Argentina : 1.48 27.07 0.00 0.62 26.82 1.11 Brazil : 1.91 24.89 0.17 12.25 12.14 2.59 India : 0.43 6.52 0.00 2.06 4.79 0.11 Major importers 4/ : 1.19 44.59 31.05 74.48 1.10 1.24 EU-27 : 0.86 11.72 24.07 35.17 0.41 1.07 China : 0.00 31.28 0.20 30.85 0.63 0.00 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) World 2/ : 6.11 152.01 52.01 151.99 52.99 5.15 United States : 0.27 35.79 0.09 27.90 7.98 0.27 Total foreign : 5.85 116.22 51.92 124.09 45.01 4.88 Major exporters 3/ : 3.81 56.28 0.16 15.56 40.92 3.77 Argentina : 1.11 25.65 0.00 0.63 25.00 1.13 Brazil : 2.59 24.65 0.16 12.44 12.77 2.18 India : 0.11 5.99 0.00 2.48 3.15 0.46 Major importers 4/ : 1.24 43.80 29.43 72.46 1.47 0.54 EU-27 : 1.07 9.85 22.15 32.27 0.40 0.39 China : 0.00 32.48 0.23 31.69 1.02 0.00 : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 2/ : August : 5.10 158.21 54.57 157.81 55.07 5.00 September : 5.15 158.40 54.56 157.73 55.27 5.11 United States : August : 0.27 36.09 0.15 28.12 8.12 0.27 September : 0.27 36.50 0.15 27.94 8.71 0.27 Total foreign : August : 4.83 122.12 54.42 129.68 46.95 4.73 September : 4.88 121.90 54.41 129.79 46.56 4.84 Major exporters 3/ : August : 3.74 58.89 0.16 15.79 43.45 3.55 September : 3.77 58.64 0.16 15.92 43.01 3.63 Argentina Aug : 1.13 27.45 0.00 0.68 26.80 1.12 Sep : 1.13 27.77 0.00 0.68 27.11 1.12 Brazil Aug : 2.18 24.49 0.15 12.74 11.85 2.23 Sep : 2.18 24.49 0.15 12.60 12.00 2.22 India Aug : 0.43 6.94 0.00 2.37 4.80 0.20 Sep : 0.46 6.38 0.00 2.65 3.90 0.30 Major importers 4/ : August : 0.54 45.37 31.00 75.35 1.00 0.56 September : 0.54 45.49 31.00 75.42 1.05 0.56 EU-27 Aug : 0.39 9.53 23.30 32.54 0.32 0.36 Sep : 0.39 9.53 23.30 32.54 0.32 0.36 China Aug : 0.00 34.23 0.20 33.80 0.63 0.00 Sep : 0.00 34.35 0.20 33.87 0.68 0.00 =============================================================================== 1/ Data based on local marketing years except for Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil, and India. 4/ Eastern Europe, China, EU, and Southeast Asia (includes Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand). WASDE-474-30 September 2009 World Soybean Oil Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total : : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 World 2/ : 3.34 37.55 10.48 37.71 10.86 2.81 United States : 1.40 9.34 0.03 8.32 1.32 1.13 Total foreign : 1.94 28.22 10.45 29.39 9.54 1.68 Major exporters 3/ : 0.94 15.45 1.11 8.28 8.51 0.71 Argentina : 0.38 6.63 0.00 1.00 5.79 0.22 Brazil : 0.35 6.16 0.07 3.91 2.39 0.28 EU-27 : 0.21 2.67 1.04 3.38 0.33 0.21 Major importers 4/ : 0.46 8.51 3.52 12.05 0.11 0.32 China : 0.25 7.05 2.73 9.69 0.10 0.23 India : 0.21 1.46 0.73 2.30 0.01 0.09 Pakistan : 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.00 0.01 : : 2008/09 (Estimated) World 2/ : 2.81 35.90 9.15 35.93 9.34 2.57 United States : 1.13 8.58 0.05 7.35 1.00 1.41 Total foreign : 1.68 27.32 9.10 28.59 8.35 1.16 Major exporters 3/ : 0.71 14.65 0.95 8.46 7.34 0.50 Argentina : 0.22 6.29 0.00 1.27 5.10 0.15 Brazil : 0.28 6.10 0.05 4.30 1.91 0.23 EU-27 : 0.21 2.25 0.90 2.90 0.33 0.13 Major importers 4/ : 0.32 8.65 3.32 11.84 0.11 0.35 China : 0.23 7.31 2.30 9.49 0.10 0.26 India : 0.09 1.34 1.00 2.33 0.01 0.09 Pakistan : 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 : : 2009/10 (Projected) World 2/ : August : 2.65 37.28 9.54 37.26 9.79 2.42 September : 2.57 37.35 9.40 37.29 9.66 2.36 United States : August : 1.42 8.60 0.03 7.48 1.47 1.10 September : 1.41 8.70 0.03 7.49 1.47 1.18 Total foreign : August : 1.23 28.68 9.50 29.77 8.32 1.32 September : 1.16 28.65 9.37 29.81 8.19 1.18 Major exporters 3/ : August : 0.66 14.97 0.85 8.47 7.38 0.63 September : 0.50 15.06 0.85 8.66 7.25 0.50 Argentina Aug : 0.20 6.74 0.00 1.35 5.36 0.22 Sep : 0.15 6.82 0.00 1.43 5.38 0.16 Brazil Aug : 0.33 6.06 0.05 4.30 1.85 0.29 Sep : 0.23 6.06 0.05 4.41 1.70 0.23 EU-27 Aug : 0.13 2.18 0.80 2.82 0.17 0.12 Sep : 0.13 2.18 0.80 2.82 0.17 0.12 Major importers 4/ : August : 0.26 9.26 3.27 12.31 0.11 0.37 September : 0.35 9.17 3.31 12.35 0.11 0.36 China Aug : 0.17 7.71 2.40 10.01 0.10 0.16 Sep : 0.26 7.74 2.40 10.04 0.10 0.25 India Aug : 0.09 1.55 0.85 2.28 0.01 0.21 Sep : 0.09 1.43 0.89 2.29 0.01 0.11 Pakistan Aug : 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 Sep : 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 =============================================================================== 1/ Data based on local marketing years except for Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil and EU. 4/ India, China and Pakistan. WASDE-474-31 September 2009 U.S. Quarterly Animal Product Production 1/ =============================================================================== Year : : : Red : : : Total: Red : : : and : : : meat : : :poultry: meat & : : : quarter : Beef : Pork : 2/ :Broiler:Turkey: 3/ : poultry: Egg : Milk : =============================================================================== : Million pounds Mil doz Bil lbs 2008 : III : 6908 5632 12618 9457 1568 11173 23791 1875 46.9 IV : 6382 6098 12561 8865 1582 10576 23137 1907 46.7 Annual : 26561 23347 50225 36906 6246 43712 93937 7509 190.0 : 2009 : I : 6248 5811 12136 8574 1385 10077 22213 1857 47.4 II : 6602 5488 12165 8937 1420 10487 22652 1867 48.9 III* : 6645 5635 12354 9150 1440 10720 23074 1875 46.5 IV* : 6325 6005 12406 8950 1500 10580 22986 1915 45.7 Annual : Aug Proj : 25875 22824 49003 35510 5745 41753 90756 7514 188.2 Sep Proj : 25820 22939 49061 35611 5745 41864 90925 7514 188.4 : 2010 : I* : 6040 5685 11800 8700 1415 10235 22035 1870 46.6 II* : 6530 5400 12002 9050 1460 10625 22627 1885 48.1 Annual : Aug Proj : 25140 22535 47970 36025 5905 42410 90380 7605 186.5 Sep Proj : 25340 22550 48185 36150 5905 42535 90720 7605 186.7 =============================================================================== * Projection. 1/ Commercial production for red meats; federally inspected for poultry meats. 2/ Beef, pork, veal and lamb & mutton. 3/ Broilers, turkeys and mature chicken. U.S. Quarterly Prices for Animal Products 1/ =============================================================================== Year : Choice : Barrows : : : : : and : steers :and gilts : Broilers : Turkeys : Eggs : Milk : quarter : 2/ : 3/ : 4/ : 5/ : 6/ : 7/ : =============================================================================== : Dol./cwt Dol./cwt Cents/lb. Cents/lb. Cents/doz. Dol./cwt 2008 : III : 98.45 57.27 80.6 96.5 114.5 18.63 IV : 88.22 41.92 79.4 87.3 122.6 16.80 Annual : 92.27 47.84 79.7 87.5 128.3 18.29 : 2009 : I : 80.98 42.11 79.7 73.8 109.7 12.23 II : 84.53 42.74 81.9 79.1 89.7 11.60 III* : 82-83 38-39 77-78 83-84 95-96 11.70-11.90 IV* : 85-89 35-37 76-80 83-87 96-100 12.65-13.15 Annual : Aug Proj : 84-86 40-41 79-81 80-82 97-99 12.10-12.30 Sep Proj : 83-84 39-40 79-80 80-81 97-99 12.05-12.25 : 2010 : I* : 84-90 40-44 78-84 71-77 101-109 13.50-14.30 II* : 88-96 44-48 80-86 77-83 97-105 14.00-15.00 Annual : Aug Proj : 88-96 44-48 79-86 79-86 99-107 14.65-15.65 Sep Proj : 88-95 43-47 79-86 79-86 99-107 14.55-15.55 =============================================================================== *Projection. 1/ Simple average of months. 2/ Nebraska, Direct, 1100-1300 lbs. 3/ National Base, Live equiv 51-52% lean. 4/ Wholesale, 12-city average. 5/ 8-12 lbs, hens Eastern Region. 6/ Grade A large, New York, volume buyers. 7/ Prices received by farmers for all milk. WASDE-474-32 September 2009 U.S. Meats Supply and Use =============================================================================== : Supply : Use :----------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : : : Disappearance : : Pro- : : : : :-------------- : Beg- : duc- : : : : End- : : Per Item :inning: tion : Im- : Total : Ex- : ing : :capita :stocks: 1/ :ports: supply: ports:stocks:Total : 2/ 3/ =============================================================================== : Million pounds 4/ BEEF : 2008 : 630 26663 2538 29831 1887 642 27302 62.8 2009 Proj. Aug : 642 25977 2834 29453 1719 590 27144 61.8 Sep : 642 25922 2815 29379 1730 590 27059 61.6 2010 Proj. Aug : 590 25242 2975 28807 1845 460 26502 59.7 Sep : 590 25442 2975 29007 1845 460 26702 60.2 : PORK : 2008 : 519 23367 832 24717 4667 635 19415 49.5 2009 Proj. Aug : 635 22844 800 24279 4183 675 19421 49.0 Sep : 635 22959 801 24395 4160 685 19550 49.4 2010 Proj. Aug : 675 22555 840 24070 4450 675 18945 47.3 Sep : 685 22570 840 24095 4450 675 18970 47.4 : TOTAL RED MEAT 5/ : 2008 : 1169 50361 3553 55083 6566 1307 47210 113.6 2009 Proj. Aug : 1307 49138 3811 54256 5916 1290 47050 112.2 Sep : 1307 49196 3797 54300 5906 1300 47094 112.4 2010 Proj. Aug : 1290 48105 4004 53399 6311 1158 45930 108.5 Sep : 1300 48320 4004 53624 6311 1158 46155 109.0 : BROILERS : 2008 : 719 36511 79 37309 6961 745 29603 83.5 2009 Proj. Aug : 745 35130 79 35954 6478 660 28816 80.5 Sep : 745 35230 80 36055 6608 660 28787 80.5 2010 Proj. Aug : 660 35640 80 36380 6300 655 29425 81.4 Sep : 660 35763 80 36503 6300 655 29548 81.7 : TURKEYS : 2008 : 261 6165 8 6434 676 396 5361 17.6 2009 Proj. Aug : 396 5670 12 6078 487 375 5216 17.0 Sep : 396 5670 13 6079 509 375 5195 16.9 2010 Proj. Aug : 375 5828 12 6215 545 340 5330 17.2 Sep : 375 5828 12 6215 545 340 5330 17.2 : TOTAL POULTRY 6/ : 2008 : 982 43235 92 44309 7785 1144 35379 102.5 2009 Proj. Aug : 1144 41297 99 42541 7081 1039 34421 98.8 Sep : 1144 41407 100 42651 7233 1039 34380 98.7 2010 Proj. Aug : 1039 41947 100 43086 6985 999 35102 99.7 Sep : 1039 42070 100 43209 6985 999 35225 100.0 : RED MEAT & POULTRY : 2008 : 2151 93596 3646 99392 14352 2451 82589 216.1 2009 Proj. Aug : 2451 90435 3910 96796 12996 2329 81471 211.0 Sep : 2451 90603 3897 96951 13138 2339 81474 211.0 2010 Proj. Aug : 2329 90051 4104 96484 13296 2157 81031 208.1 Sep : 2339 90390 4104 96833 13296 2157 81380 209.0 =============================================================================== 1/ Total including farm production for red meats and, for poultry, federally inspected plus non-federally inspected, less condemnations. 2/ Pounds, retail-weight basis. 3/ Population source: Dept. of Commerce, Census Bureau. 4/ Carcass weight for red meats and certified ready-to-cook weight for poultry. 5/ Beef, pork, veal, lamb and mutton. 6/ Broilers, turkeys and mature chicken. WASDE-474-33 September 2009 U.S. Egg Supply and Use =============================================================================== : : : 2009 Projected : 2010 Projected : : :-----------------:----------------- Commodity : 2007 : 2008 : Aug : Sep : Aug : Sep =============================================================================== EGGS : Million dozen Supply : Beginning stocks : 12.5 11.1 17.2 17.2 17.0 17.0 Production : 7587.0 7509.0 7514.0 7514.0 7605.0 7605.0 Imports : 13.6 14.6 12.9 12.9 16.0 16.0 Total supply : 7613.1 7534.7 7544.1 7544.1 7638.0 7638.0 : Use : Exports : 250.3 206.3 193.1 203.2 200.0 200.0 Hatching use : 1016.3 994.9 965.0 965.0 1002.0 1002.0 Ending stocks : 11.1 17.2 17.0 17.0 16.0 16.0 Disappearance : Total : 6335.4 6316.3 6369.0 6358.9 6420.0 6420.0 Per capita (number) : 252.0 248.9 248.7 248.3 248.1 248.1 =============================================================================== U.S. Milk Supply and Use =============================================================================== : : : 2009 Projected : 2010 Projected Commodity : : :-----------------:----------------- : 2007 : 2008 : Aug : Sep : Aug : Sep =============================================================================== : Billion pounds Milk : Production : 185.7 190.0 188.2 188.4 186.5 186.7 Farm use : 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 : Fat Basis Supply : Beg. commercial stocks : 9.5 10.4 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.1 Marketings : 184.5 188.8 187.0 187.2 185.3 185.5 Imports : 4.6 3.9 4.0 4.2 4.1 4.1 Total cml. supply : 198.6 203.1 201.1 201.5 199.4 199.7 : Fat Basis Use : Commercial Exports : 5.7 8.7 3.8 4.0 3.8 3.8 Ending commercial stks : 10.4 10.0 10.0 10.1 8.7 8.7 CCC net removals 1/ : 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 Commercial use 2/ : 182.6 184.3 186.8 187.0 186.9 187.1 : Skim-solids Basis Supply : Beg. commercial stocks : 9.1 9.9 10.9 10.9 10.6 10.6 Marketings : 184.5 188.8 187.0 187.2 185.3 185.5 Imports : 4.4 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.9 Total cml. supply : 198.0 202.5 201.7 201.9 199.9 200.1 : Skim-solids Basis Use : Commercial Exports : 24.5 26.6 20.0 20.3 21.2 21.2 Ending commercial stks : 9.9 10.9 10.6 10.6 9.4 9.4 CCC net removals 1/ : 0.0 1.3 5.3 4.6 -0.5 -0.4 Commercial use 2/ : 163.6 163.7 165.8 166.4 169.8 169.8 : : Million pounds CCC product net removals 1/: Butter : 0 0 8 8 5 5 Cheese : 0 0 22 17 -15 -10 Nonfat dry milk : 0 111 439 379 -32 -22 Dry whole milk : 0 0 0 0 0 0 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Includes products exported under the Dairy Export Incentive Program. 2/ Domestic commercial use only. WASDE-474-34 September 2009 U.S. Dairy Prices =========================================================================== : : : 2009 Projected : 2010 Projected : : :-----------------:----------------- Commodity : 2007 : 2008 : Aug : Sep : Aug : Sep =========================================================================== : Dollars per pound : Product Prices 1/ : Cheese : 1.7380 1.8954 1.235- 1.235- 1.510- 1.510- : 1.255 1.255 1.610 1.610 : Butter : 1.3441 1.4356 1.180- 1.165- 1.435- 1.420- : 1.220 1.205 1.565 1.550 : Nonfat dry milk : 1.7083 1.2256 0.850- 0.850- 0.945- 0.935- : 0.870 0.870 1.015 1.005 : Dry whey : 0.6004 0.2504 0.240- 0.235- 0.280- 0.280- : 0.260 0.255 0.310 0.310 : : Dollars per cwt Milk Prices 2/ : Class III : 18.04 17.44 10.70- 10.65- 13.75- 13.75- : 10.90 10.85 14.75 14.75 : Class IV : 18.36 14.65 10.15- 10.10- 12.10- 11.95- : 10.45 10.40 13.20 13.05 : All milk 3/ : 19.13 18.29 12.10- 12.05- 14.65- 14.55- : 12.30 12.25 15.65 15.55 : =========================================================================== 1/ Simple average of monthly prices calculated by AMS from NASS weekly average dairy product prices for class price computations. Details may be found at http://www.ams.usda.gov/dyfmos/mib/fedordprc_dscrp.htm. 2/ Annual Class III and Class IV prices are the simple averages of monthly minimum Federal order milk prices paid by regulated plants for milk used in the respective classes. All milk price is the simple average of monthly prices received by farmers for milk at average test. 3/ Does not reflect any deductions from producers as authorized by legislation. WASDE-474-35 September 2009 Note: Tables on pages 35-37 present a 28-year record of the differences between the September projection and the final estimate. Using world wheat production as an example, changes between the September projection and the final estimate have averaged 9.2 million tons (1.7%) ranging from -30.7 to 13.1 million tons. The September projection has been below the estimate 17 times and above 11 times. Reliability of September Projections =============================================================================== :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2008/09 1/ Commodity and :============================================================= region : Avg. : Avg. : Difference : Below final : Above final =============================================================================== WHEAT :Percent Million metric tons Number of years Production : World : 1.7 9.2 -30.7 13.1 17 11 U.S. : 1.4 0.9 -1.4 2.5 11 17 Foreign : 1.9 9.1 -30.9 12.0 18 10 Exports : World : 4.6 5.3 -14.5 6.2 20 8 U.S. : 8.4 2.7 -10.0 7.2 13 15 Foreign : 5.5 4.6 -14.1 4.0 19 9 Domestic use : World : 1.4 7.6 -23.4 20.2 17 11 U.S. : 5.6 1.7 -3.7 3.6 11 17 Foreign : 1.4 7.2 -21.0 19.0 20 8 Ending stocks : World : 7.4 10.0 -29.6 14.3 21 7 U.S. : 13.5 2.9 -9.1 12.4 14 14 Foreign : 8.1 9.0 -27.1 7.4 20 8 : COARSE GRAINS 2/ : Production : World : 1.8 15.7 -50.6 24.9 22 6 U.S. : 3.5 8.5 -21.5 26.0 19 9 Foreign : 2.0 12.4 -29.6 13.9 20 8 Exports : World : 5.4 5.7 -11.5 16.5 19 9 U.S. : 13.3 7.1 -19.0 14.5 12 16 Foreign : 11.8 6.1 -15.3 12.7 17 11 Domestic use : World : 1.2 10.5 -29.1 20.8 14 14 U.S. : 3.4 6.6 -15.8 13.2 18 10 Foreign : 1.4 9.0 -20.2 22.0 18 10 Ending stocks : World : 11.8 17.2 -43.2 24.6 22 6 U.S. : 18.4 9.2 -32.2 13.5 13 15 Foreign : 13.6 11.9 -25.8 15.2 24 4 : RICE, milled : Production : World : 1.9 6.9 -24.1 3.4 23 5 U.S. : 3.9 0.2 -0.5 0.5 16 11 Foreign : 2.0 6.9 -24.4 3.6 23 5 Exports : World : 7.7 1.5 -6.7 0.8 19 9 U.S. : 8.1 0.2 -0.9 0.9 14 12 Foreign : 8.5 1.5 -6.7 0.8 19 9 Domestic use : World : 1.3 4.6 -22.7 3.0 22 6 U.S. : 5.3 0.2 -0.4 0.4 13 14 Foreign : 1.4 4.6 -23.1 3.2 22 6 Ending stocks : World : 10.8 5.0 -14.9 5.2 23 5 U.S. : 17.8 0.2 -0.9 0.7 16 12 Foreign : 11.5 5.1 -14.6 6.1 23 5 =============================================================================== 1/ Footnotes at end of table. CONTINUED WASDE-474-36 September 2009 Reliability of September Projections (Continued) =============================================================================== :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2008/09 1/ Commodity and :============================================================= region : Avg. : Avg. : Difference : Below final : Above final =============================================================================== SOYBEANS :Percent Million metric tons Number of years Production : World : 3.7 5.6 -14.2 27.4 17 11 U.S. : 4.6 3.0 -8.3 5.1 16 12 Foreign : 6.6 5.7 -11.6 29.1 14 14 Exports : World : 6.0 2.5 -9.4 9.5 18 10 U.S. : 10.2 2.4 -7.2 5.5 16 12 Foreign : 15.7 2.4 -9.4 10.5 11 17 Domestic use : World : 3.2 4.6 -9.3 15.1 17 11 U.S. : 3.9 1.6 -3.8 4.0 18 10 Foreign : 4.1 4.3 -8.6 11.2 18 10 Ending stocks : World : 14.9 3.9 -12.2 10.2 17 11 U.S. : 28.6 2.1 -6.6 4.8 9 19 Foreign : 18.3 3.6 -12.0 9.6 18 9 : COTTON : Million 480-pound bales Production : World : 3.4 3.1 -12.6 9.5 18 10 U.S. : 5.3 0.9 -2.3 2.4 16 11 Foreign : 3.7 2.8 -11.2 9.8 18 10 Exports : World : 6.4 1.9 -6.7 9.1 15 13 U.S. : 15.1 1.1 -2.7 3.2 15 13 Foreign : 8.0 1.5 -3.9 7.8 13 15 Mill use : World : 2.8 2.6 -7.2 13.1 12 16 U.S. : 6.3 0.5 -1.1 1.3 14 12 Foreign : 2.9 2.5 -7.1 12.3 13 14 Ending stocks : World : 12.6 5.0 -12.7 12.5 20 8 U.S. : 28.5 1.4 -5.1 2.5 13 15 Foreign : 12.5 4.3 -13.2 10.9 20 8 =============================================================================== 1/ Final estimate for 1981/82-2007/08 is defined as the first November estimate following the marketing year, and for 2008/09 last month's estimate. 2/ Includes corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain. WASDE-474-37 September 2009 Reliability of United States September Projections 1/ =============================================================================== :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2008/09 2/ Commodity and :============================================================= region : Avg. : Avg. : Difference : Below final : Above final =============================================================================== CORN :Percent Million bushels Number of years Production : 3.8 318 -846 885 19 9 Exports : 13.9 256 -725 521 11 17 Domestic use : 3.8 258 -553 475 18 10 Ending stocks : 21.2 341 -1321 490 13 15 : SORGHUM : Production : 4.7 28 -69 81 13 14 Exports : 15.5 36 -115 97 16 12 Domestic use : 9.5 37 -114 78 14 14 Ending stocks : 35.3 40 -155 112 9 19 : BARLEY : Production : 3.6 12 -29 36 11 17 Exports : 30.5 16 -82 38 13 12 Domestic use : 8.0 26 -47 72 12 14 Ending stocks : 13.6 21 -61 70 13 15 : OATS : Production : 7.1 13 -19 44 4 23 Exports : 61.6 1 -5 8 9 10 Domestic use : 4.4 14 -39 30 9 19 Ending stocks : 14.4 16 -40 47 14 14 : : Thousand short tons SOYBEAN MEAL : Production : 3.6 1180 -2846 2869 17 11 Exports : 11.5 781 -2350 1900 14 14 Domestic use : 3.2 807 -1550 3200 17 11 Ending stocks : 27.5 65 -179 368 11 13 : : Million pounds SOYBEAN OIL : Production : 3.6 556 -1473 1395 15 13 Exports : 25.4 417 -1675 1219 14 14 Domestic use : 3.1 447 -985 2150 18 10 Ending stocks : 27.0 465 -1357 1143 14 14 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ANIMAL PROD. 3/ : Million pounds Beef : 3.6 907 -727 2486 18 8 Pork : 2.3 403 -1315 1272 15 11 Broilers : 1.9 480 -1337 1063 17 9 Turkeys : 2.4 113 -444 371 18 8 : : Million dozen Eggs : 1.4 87 -136 188 17 8 : : Billion pounds Milk : 1.3 2.1 -7.2 6.8 16 10 =============================================================================== 1/ See pages 35 and 36 for record of reliability for U.S. wheat, rice, soybeans, and cotton. 2/ Final estimate for 1981/82-2007/08 is defined as the first November estimate following the marketing year, and for 2008/09 last month's estimate. 3/ Calendar years 1983 thru 2008 for meats, eggs, and milk. Final for animal products is defined as latest annual production estimate published by NASS. ----- End of File -----