Turkeys Raised ISSN: 1949-1972 Released September 27, 2024, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Turkeys Raised down 6 Percent from 2023 Turkeys Raised in the United States during 2024 is forecasted at 205 million, down 6 percent from the number raised during 2023. The top six states account for 67 percent of the turkeys produced in the United States during 2024. The largest turkey producing state is Minnesota, at 33.5 million turkeys, down 13 percent from the previous year. North Carolina produced 27.5 million turkeys, down 5 percent from a year ago. Arkansas produced 25.0 million turkeys, down 7 percent from last year. Indiana produced 20.0 million turkeys, unchanged from last year. Missouri produced 15.5 million turkeys, down 9 percent from last year. Virginia is down 1 percent from the previous year at 15.4 million turkeys. Turkeys Raised - States and United States: 2023 and 2024 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Turkeys raised : 2024 as State :-------------------------------: percent : 2023 : 2024 : of 2023 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 head ----- percent : Arkansas .....................: 27,000 25,000 93 California ...................: 6,200 6,200 100 Indiana ......................: 20,000 20,000 100 Iowa .........................: 11,500 11,200 97 Michigan .....................: 5,200 4,600 88 Minnesota ....................: 38,500 33,500 87 Missouri .....................: 17,000 15,500 91 North Carolina ...............: 29,000 27,500 95 Ohio .........................: 6,500 6,500 100 Pennsylvania .................: 8,000 7,800 98 : South Dakota .................: 3,300 2,800 85 Virginia .....................: 15,500 15,400 99 West Virginia ................: 4,000 4,000 100 : Other States 1/ ..............: 26,300 25,000 95 : United States ................: 218,000 205,000 94 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes State estimates not shown and States withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: Data for turkeys raised estimates are collected from all known operations raising 1,000 or more turkeys annually. NASS regional offices maintain a list of all known turkey grow-out operations. Approximately 296 turkey grow-out operations are contacted in September and February. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting, mail, and telephone. Estimating Procedures: Turkeys raised preliminary estimates include young turkeys intended for meat production and breeder turkeys reaching maturity during the marketing year. These estimates exclude turkeys lost to disease or those destroyed. Placement of turkey poults from the monthly Turkey Hatchery Survey and indications from the September Turkeys Raised Survey provide the basis for the preliminary estimates published in September. Final estimates, published in April, use indications from the February Turkeys Raised Survey in addition to updated hatchery data. Other indications for the final estimates are obtained from monthly slaughter totals and check-off data provided by state turkey or poultry associations. Revision Policy: Estimates from the previous year are subject to revision when final raised estimates are made in April. Revisions are primarily based on updated hatchery and slaughter data. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Turkeys raised estimates are based on a census of all known turkey grow-out operations, and therefore have no sampling error. However, estimates are subject to errors such as omissions, duplication, mistakes in reporting or recording, and processing of the data. While these errors cannot be measured directly, they are minimized through strict quality controls in the data collection process, and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" for number of turkeys raised is shown in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for number of turkeys raised over the past 10 years is 1.8 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 205 million turkeys by more than 1.8 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 3.4 percent. Reliability of September Turkeys Raised Estimates [Based on data for the past ten years] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Root mean : 90 percent : Difference between first and latest estimate : square error : confidence : : : : : : : level :---------------------------------------------------------- Item : : : : : : Years : : : : : :------------------------- : : : Average : Smallest : Largest : Below : Above : : : : : : latest : latest ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : percent percent ----------- 1,000 ---------- --- number --- : Turkeys raised ...............: 1.8 3.4 3,110 1,000 11,000 5 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@usda.gov Travis Averill, Chief, Livestock Branch ............................... (202) 692-0069 Greg Lemmons, Acting Head, Poultry and Specialty Commodities Section... (202) 720-9526 Holly Brenize - Poultry Slaughter................................... (202) 720-0585 Liana Cuffman - Catfish and Trout, Mink, Census of Aquaculture ..... (202) 720-8784 Fatema Haque - Turkey Hatchery, Turkeys Raised ..................... (202) 720-3244 Derron Martin - Chicken Hatchery, Egg Products...................... (202) 690-3237 Seth Riggins - Honey, Honey Bee Colonies ........................... (202) 690-4870 Shulonda Shaw - Cold Storage, Capacity of Refrigerated Warehouses .. (202) 720-3240 Autumn Stone - Layers, Eggs ........................................ (202) 690-3676 Takiyah Walker - Broiler Hatchery................................... 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