Mt An 5-2 (1-03) Sheep and Goats National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released January 31, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Sheep and Goats" call Scott Hollis at 202-720-4751, office hours 7:00 a.m. to 3:30 p.m. ET. Total Sheep and Lamb Inventory Down 5 Percent All sheep and lamb inventory in the United States on January 1, 2003, totaled 6.35 million head, down 5 percent from 2002 and 9 percent below two years ago. The inventory has trended down since peaking at 56.2 million head in 1942. Breeding sheep inventory declined to 4.68 million head on January 1, 2003, down 5 percent from 4.91 million head on January 1, 2002. Ewes one year old and older, at 3.79 million head, were 5 percent below last year. Market sheep and lambs on January 1, 2003, totaled 1.67 million head, down 6 percent from January 1, 2002. Market lambs comprised 96 percent of the total. Twenty-six percent were lambs under 65 pounds, 17 percent were 65 - 84 pounds, 24 percent 85 - 105 pounds, 29 percent were over 105 pounds, and 4 percent were market sheep. The 2002 lamb crop of 4.36 million head was down 3 percent from 2001 and established a new record low. The 2002 lambing rate was 110 per 100 ewes one year old and older on January 1, 2002, unchanged from 2001. The number of operations with sheep during 2002 totaled 64,170, down 1 percent from 2001 and 3 percent from 2000. Shorn wool production in the United States during 2002 was 41.2 million pounds, down 4 percent from 2001. Sheep and lambs shorn totaled 5.45 million head, down 4 percent from 2001. The average price paid for wool sold in 2002 was $0.53 per pound for a total value of $21.8 million dollars, up 42 percent from $15.3 million dollars in 2001. All goat inventory in Texas on January 1, 2003 totaled 1.20 million head, down 4 percent from 2002 and 14 percent below two years ago. Mohair production in the three major producing states (Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas) during 2002 was 2.13 million pounds, up 8 percent from 2001. Goats and kids clipped, at 283,000 head, were down 9 percent from 2001. Average weight per clip was 7.5 pounds compared with 6.4 pounds a year earlier. Value of mohair was $3.4 million dollars, down 20 percent from 2001. Sheep and Lambs: Number by Class, United States, January 1, 2001-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2003 as % Class : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : of 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 head ---------- Percent : All Sheep and Lambs : 6,965 6,685 6,350 95 Market : 1,998 1,772 1,668 94 Breeding Sheep and Lambs : 4,967 4,913 4,682 95 Replacement Lambs - : Under One Year Old : 675 734 702 96 Ewes - One Year Old : and Older : 4,091 3,980 3,789 95 Rams - One Year Old : and Older : 201 200 192 96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Wool: Production, Price, and Value, United States, 2000-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sheep : Weight : Shorn : Price : Year : Shorn : per : Wool : per : Value : 1/ : Fleece : Production : Pound : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Pounds 1,000 Pounds Dollars 1,000 Dollars : 2000 : 6,135 7.57 46,446 0.33 15,377 2001 : 5,689 7.56 43,016 0.36 15,311 2002 : 5,453 7.55 41,150 0.53 21,792 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes shearing at commercial feeding yards. All Sheep and Lambs: Number by Class, State, and United States, January 1, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : All Sheep and Lambs : Total Breeding : Total Market State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : :2003 as %: : : : : 2002 : 2003 : of 2002 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- Percent ------------- 1,000 Head ------------ : AZ : 134.0 131.0 98 66.0 65.0 68.0 66.0 CA : 800.0 790.0 99 370.0 355.0 430.0 435.0 CO : 370.0 370.0 100 205.0 185.0 165.0 185.0 ID : 260.0 260.0 100 224.0 225.0 36.0 35.0 IL : 70.0 68.0 97 56.0 56.0 14.0 12.0 IN : 57.0 50.0 88 48.0 45.0 9.0 5.0 IA : 250.0 250.0 100 175.0 170.0 75.0 80.0 KS : 100.0 90.0 90 65.0 56.0 35.0 34.0 MI : 72.0 75.0 104 52.0 54.0 20.0 21.0 MN : 160.0 145.0 91 115.0 105.0 45.0 40.0 MO : 70.0 67.0 96 59.0 60.0 11.0 7.0 MT : 335.0 300.0 90 300.0 270.0 35.0 30.0 NE : 101.0 89.0 88 73.0 70.0 28.0 19.0 NV : 100.0 95.0 95 85.0 82.0 15.0 13.0 N ENG 1/: 47.0 47.0 100 42.0 42.0 5.0 5.0 NM : 230.0 215.0 93 185.0 175.0 45.0 40.0 NY : 60.0 65.0 108 52.0 53.0 8.0 12.0 ND : 145.0 125.0 86 105.0 90.0 40.0 35.0 OH : 140.0 150.0 107 120.0 125.0 20.0 25.0 OK : 60.0 65.0 108 45.0 51.0 15.0 14.0 OR : 285.0 235.0 82 171.0 157.0 114.0 78.0 PA : 86.0 83.0 97 73.0 71.0 13.0 12.0 SD : 400.0 380.0 95 320.0 315.0 80.0 65.0 TX : 1,130.0 1,050.0 93 890.0 850.0 240.0 200.0 UT : 365.0 320.0 88 320.0 290.0 45.0 30.0 VA : 59.0 62.0 105 47.0 48.0 12.0 14.0 WA : 56.0 51.0 91 47.0 42.0 9.0 9.0 WV : 37.0 34.0 92 31.0 29.0 6.0 5.0 WI : 80.0 80.0 100 65.0 66.0 15.0 14.0 WY : 480.0 460.0 96 390.0 360.0 90.0 100.0 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 146.0 148.0 101 117.0 120.0 29.0 28.0 : US : 6,685.0 6,350.0 95 4,913.0 4,682.0 1,772.0 1,668.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 2/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Breeding Sheep and Lambs: Number by Class, State, and United States, January 1, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :Breeding Sheep-One Year Old & Older: : Total Breeding :-----------------------------------: Replacement : Sheep and State : Ewes : Rams : Lambs : Lambs :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AZ : 57.0 56.0 3.0 3.0 6.0 6.0 66.0 65.0 CA : 310.0 295.0 15.0 10.0 45.0 50.0 370.0 355.0 CO : 170.0 155.0 6.0 6.0 29.0 24.0 205.0 185.0 ID : 184.0 184.0 5.0 5.0 35.0 36.0 224.0 225.0 IL : 44.0 42.0 4.0 3.0 8.0 11.0 56.0 56.0 IN : 39.0 34.0 2.5 2.5 6.5 8.5 48.0 45.0 IA : 142.0 135.0 7.0 7.0 26.0 28.0 175.0 170.0 KS : 53.0 47.0 3.0 2.5 9.0 6.5 65.0 56.0 MI : 40.0 41.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 11.0 52.0 54.0 MN : 95.0 85.0 5.0 5.0 15.0 15.0 115.0 105.0 MO : 46.0 48.0 3.0 3.0 10.0 9.0 59.0 60.0 MT : 232.0 213.0 8.0 8.0 60.0 49.0 300.0 270.0 NE : 58.0 56.0 3.0 3.0 12.0 11.0 73.0 70.0 NV : 69.0 65.0 2.0 2.0 14.0 15.0 85.0 82.0 N ENG 1/: 32.0 32.0 2.0 3.0 8.0 7.0 42.0 42.0 NM : 150.0 140.0 8.0 9.0 27.0 26.0 185.0 175.0 NY : 40.0 40.0 3.0 3.0 9.0 10.0 52.0 53.0 ND : 85.0 77.0 3.0 3.0 17.0 10.0 105.0 90.0 OH : 93.0 97.0 7.0 6.0 20.0 22.0 120.0 125.0 OK : 36.0 41.0 3.0 3.0 6.0 7.0 45.0 51.0 OR : 134.0 125.0 8.0 7.0 29.0 25.0 171.0 157.0 PA : 55.0 55.0 6.0 5.0 12.0 11.0 73.0 71.0 SD : 265.0 265.0 9.0 10.0 46.0 40.0 320.0 315.0 TX : 720.0 680.0 40.0 40.0 130.0 130.0 890.0 850.0 UT : 275.0 250.0 9.0 9.0 36.0 31.0 320.0 290.0 VA : 37.0 38.0 3.0 3.5 7.0 6.5 47.0 48.0 WA : 36.0 34.0 3.0 2.0 8.0 6.0 47.0 42.0 WV : 24.0 23.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 5.0 31.0 29.0 WI : 52.0 52.0 3.0 3.0 10.0 11.0 65.0 66.0 WY : 320.0 295.0 11.0 10.0 59.0 55.0 390.0 360.0 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 87.0 89.0 12.0 12.0 18.0 19.0 117.0 120.0 : US :3,980.0 3,789.0 199.5 191.5 733.5 701.5 4,913.0 4,682.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 2/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Lamb Crop: Per 100 Ewes 1+, Number and Percent of Previous Year, by State, and United States, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :Breeding Ewes 1 Year : Lambs per 100 : : & Older Jan 1 : Ewes 1+ Jan 1 : Lamb Crop 1/ State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : : :2002 as % : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : of 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- -- Percent -- --- 1,000 Head -- Percent : AZ : 55.0 57.0 73 70 40.0 40.0 100 CA : 320.0 310.0 91 92 290.0 285.0 98 CO : 165.0 170.0 115 118 190.0 200.0 105 ID : 195.0 184.0 131 130 255.0 240.0 94 IL : 48.0 44.0 135 134 65.0 59.0 91 IN : 45.0 39.0 122 121 55.0 47.0 85 IA : 144.0 142.0 153 151 220.0 215.0 98 KS : 58.0 53.0 124 117 72.0 62.0 86 MI : 40.0 40.0 125 133 50.0 53.0 106 MN : 90.0 95.0 172 153 155.0 145.0 94 MO : 47.0 46.0 117 130 55.0 60.0 109 MT : 265.0 232.0 128 136 340.0 315.0 93 NE : 77.0 58.0 112 138 86.0 80.0 93 NV : 68.0 69.0 93 90 63.0 62.0 98 N ENG 2/: 34.0 32.0 115 119 39.0 38.0 97 NM : 165.0 150.0 85 83 140.0 125.0 89 NY : 38.0 40.0 129 128 49.0 51.0 104 ND : 89.0 85.0 129 118 115.0 100.0 87 OH : 86.0 93.0 145 145 125.0 135.0 108 OK : 33.0 36.0 121 128 40.0 46.0 115 OR : 120.0 134.0 133 112 160.0 150.0 94 PA : 54.0 55.0 131 129 71.0 71.0 100 SD : 265.0 265.0 115 123 305.0 325.0 107 TX : 710.0 720.0 80 75 570.0 540.0 95 UT : 300.0 275.0 102 100 305.0 275.0 90 VA : 37.0 37.0 135 149 50.0 55.0 110 WA : 35.0 36.0 166 156 58.0 56.0 97 WV : 24.0 24.0 133 138 32.0 33.0 103 WI : 53.0 52.0 136 140 72.0 73.0 101 WY : 340.0 320.0 101 106 345.0 340.0 99 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 91.0 87.0 91 97 83.0 84.0 101 : US : 4,091.0 3,980.0 110 110 4,495.0 4,360.0 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Lamb crop is defined as lambs born in the Eastern States and lambs docked or branded in the Western States. 2/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 3/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Market Sheep and Lambs: Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, January 1, 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Market Lambs : : :-------------------------------------------------: : Total State : Under : 65 to : 85 to : Over : : Market : Market : 65 : 84 : 105 : 105 : Total : Sheep :Sheep and : Pounds : Pounds : Pounds : Pounds : : : Lambs -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AZ : 13.0 18.0 20.0 15.0 66.0 2.0 68.0 CA : 170.0 90.0 70.0 85.0 415.0 15.0 430.0 CO : 2.0 5.0 17.0 140.0 164.0 1.0 165.0 ID : 12.0 3.0 6.0 14.0 35.0 1.0 36.0 IL : 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 12.0 2.0 14.0 IN : 3.2 1.8 2.0 1.9 8.9 0.1 9.0 IA : 8.0 9.0 22.0 35.0 74.0 1.0 75.0 KS : 13.0 4.0 7.0 7.0 31.0 4.0 35.0 MI : 3.0 2.0 6.0 8.0 19.0 1.0 20.0 MN : 11.0 9.0 12.0 12.0 44.0 1.0 45.0 MO : 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.0 10.5 0.5 11.0 MT : 2.0 7.0 18.0 7.0 34.0 1.0 35.0 NE : 4.0 3.0 10.0 10.0 27.0 1.0 28.0 NV : 1.0 5.0 8.0 14.0 1.0 15.0 N ENG 1/: 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.1 3.5 1.5 5.0 NM : 9.0 14.0 13.0 6.0 42.0 3.0 45.0 NY : 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 1.0 8.0 ND : 3.5 8.5 16.0 11.0 39.0 1.0 40.0 OH : 8.0 4.0 6.0 2.0 20.0 20.0 OK : 8.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 14.0 1.0 15.0 OR : 20.0 16.0 41.0 34.0 111.0 3.0 114.0 PA : 5.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 11.0 2.0 13.0 SD : 7.0 11.0 25.0 34.0 77.0 3.0 80.0 TX : 100.0 50.0 45.0 35.0 230.0 10.0 240.0 UT : 1.0 3.0 15.0 23.0 42.0 3.0 45.0 VA : 4.0 3.5 2.5 1.5 11.5 0.5 12.0 WA : 2.0 2.5 1.0 3.0 8.5 0.5 9.0 WV : 2.5 1.0 1.5 1.0 6.0 6.0 WI : 2.0 4.0 4.0 3.5 13.5 1.5 15.0 WY : 2.0 12.0 34.0 39.0 87.0 3.0 90.0 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 11.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 23.0 6.0 29.0 : US : 435.9 299.9 415.6 549.0 1,700.4 71.6 1,772.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 2/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Market Sheep and Lambs: Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, January 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Market Lambs : : :-------------------------------------------------: : Total State : Under : 65 to : 85 to : Over : : Market : Market : 65 : 84 : 105 : 105 : Total : Sheep :Sheep and : Pounds : Pounds : Pounds : Pounds : : : Lambs -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AZ : 12.0 18.0 20.0 14.0 64.0 2.0 66.0 CA : 170.0 100.0 95.0 55.0 420.0 15.0 435.0 CO : 2.0 5.0 30.0 147.0 184.0 1.0 185.0 ID : 11.0 2.0 6.0 14.0 33.0 2.0 35.0 IL : 5.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 11.0 1.0 12.0 IN : 1.1 0.9 1.8 0.9 4.7 0.3 5.0 IA : 9.0 7.0 20.0 41.0 77.0 3.0 80.0 KS : 14.5 3.5 6.5 6.5 31.0 3.0 34.0 MI : 3.0 3.0 5.5 8.5 20.0 1.0 21.0 MN : 9.0 8.0 11.0 11.0 39.0 1.0 40.0 MO : 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.5 6.5 0.5 7.0 MT : 2.0 6.0 17.0 4.0 29.0 1.0 30.0 NE : 3.0 2.0 4.0 9.0 18.0 1.0 19.0 NV : 1.0 2.0 9.0 12.0 1.0 13.0 N ENG 1/: 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.3 3.5 1.5 5.0 NM : 10.0 12.0 12.0 3.0 37.0 3.0 40.0 NY : 6.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 11.0 1.0 12.0 ND : 2.5 5.5 13.0 13.0 34.0 1.0 35.0 OH : 10.0 7.0 5.0 2.0 24.0 1.0 25.0 OK : 6.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 13.0 1.0 14.0 OR : 12.0 14.0 29.0 21.0 76.0 2.0 78.0 PA : 5.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 10.0 2.0 12.0 SD : 4.0 7.0 17.0 33.0 61.0 4.0 65.0 TX : 105.0 40.0 30.0 15.0 190.0 10.0 200.0 UT : 0.2 0.3 7.5 21.0 29.0 1.0 30.0 VA : 4.5 3.5 3.5 1.5 13.0 1.0 14.0 WA : 1.0 2.5 2.0 3.0 8.5 0.5 9.0 WV : 2.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 4.0 1.0 5.0 WI : 2.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 13.0 1.0 14.0 WY : 2.0 17.0 43.0 36.0 98.0 2.0 100.0 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 12.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 21.0 7.0 28.0 : US : 429.3 285.7 398.5 481.7 1,595.2 72.8 1,668.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 2/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Sheep and Lambs: Number of Operations by State and United States, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Operations with Sheep State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : AZ : 270 270 CA : 2,900 2,800 CO : 2,000 1,900 ID : 1,000 1,000 IL : 2,300 2,200 IN : 2,100 2,000 IA : 4,700 4,600 KS : 1,500 1,400 MI : 1,800 1,900 MN : 2,400 2,300 MO : 1,700 1,600 MT : 1,800 1,700 NE : 1,600 1,500 NV : 300 300 N ENG 1/: 2,000 2,000 NM : 850 800 NY : 1,500 1,500 ND : 1,100 1,000 OH : 3,600 3,500 OK : 1,400 1,500 OR : 3,000 3,100 PA : 2,500 2,600 SD : 2,300 2,300 TX : 6,800 6,800 UT : 1,500 1,400 VA : 1,400 1,500 WA : 1,200 1,200 WV : 1,000 1,100 WI : 2,200 2,300 WY : 900 800 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 5,500 5,300 : US : 65,120 64,170 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 2/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Breeding Sheep: Survey Percent by Size Group, United States, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1-99 Head : 100-499 Head : 500-4999 Head : 5000+ Head Item :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : Operations : 91.1 91.8 7.3 6.7 1.5 1.4 0.1 0.1 : Inventory : 30.1 29.9 23.5 23.8 32.4 33.1 14.0 13.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Percents reflect distributions from annual survey. Wool: Number of Sheep and Lambs Shorn, Weight per Fleece, and Production by State, and United States, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sheep Shorn : Weight per Fleece : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- --- Pounds --- 1,000 Pounds : AZ : 120.0 118.0 6.2 6.0 740 710 CA : 510.0 520.0 7.4 7.0 3,750 3,650 CO : 430.0 460.0 7.2 6.7 3,080 3,070 ID : 230.0 217.0 9.3 9.7 2,140 2,115 IL : 70.0 65.0 6.6 6.6 460 430 IN : 44.0 42.0 6.6 6.7 290 280 IA : 245.0 220.0 5.8 5.9 1,420 1,300 KS : 81.0 73.0 7.1 7.2 575 525 MI : 77.0 76.0 6.2 6.1 480 460 MN : 165.0 150.0 6.6 6.8 1,085 1,020 MO : 56.0 59.0 7.0 6.7 390 395 MT : 318.0 279.0 9.4 9.6 2,978 2,691 NE : 85.0 80.0 7.3 7.6 620 610 NV : 71.0 65.0 8.7 9.1 620 590 N ENG 1/ : 40.0 40.0 7.4 7.1 295 283 NM : 235.0 215.0 8.0 8.1 1,880 1,750 NY : 47.0 47.0 6.8 6.9 320 325 ND : 101.0 99.0 8.9 8.3 900 825 OH : 140.0 155.0 6.9 7.1 960 1,100 OK : 52.0 55.0 6.0 6.4 310 350 OR : 240.0 200.0 6.3 6.3 1,510 1,250 PA : 64.0 63.0 6.9 6.8 440 430 SD : 360.0 375.0 8.2 8.3 2,965 3,105 TX : 870.0 790.0 6.9 7.0 6,003 5,530 UT : 295.0 280.0 9.5 9.5 2,800 2,650 VA : 43.0 40.0 6.5 6.4 280 255 WA : 48.0 44.0 8.2 8.1 395 357 WV : 30.0 28.0 6.0 6.2 180 174 WI : 70.0 67.0 7.1 7.2 500 480 WY : 440.0 420.0 9.0 8.9 3,950 3,750 : Oth Sts 2/ : 112.0 111.0 6.3 6.2 700 690 : US : 5,689.0 5,453.0 7.6 7.5 43,016 41,150 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 2/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Wool: Price and Value by State and United States, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Price per Pound : Value 1/ State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Dollars ----- ---- 1,000 Dollars --- : AZ : 0.30 0.32 222 227 CA : 0.35 0.45 1,313 1,643 CO : 0.33 0.57 1,016 1,750 ID : 0.22 0.67 471 1,417 IL : 0.09 0.23 41 99 IN : 0.15 0.16 44 45 IA : 0.12 0.18 170 234 KS : 0.20 0.30 115 158 MI : 0.12 0.14 58 64 MN : 0.11 0.20 119 204 MO : 0.09 0.14 35 55 MT : 0.45 0.76 1,340 2,045 NE : 0.20 0.30 124 183 NV : 0.44 0.85 273 502 N ENG 2/ : 0.40 0.40 118 113 NM : 0.70 0.80 1,316 1,400 NY : 0.17 0.20 54 65 ND : 0.30 0.60 270 495 OH : 0.14 0.15 134 165 OK : 0.20 0.25 62 88 OR : 0.27 0.38 408 475 PA : 0.25 0.25 110 108 SD : 0.31 0.45 919 1,397 TX : 0.52 0.68 3,122 3,760 UT : 0.29 0.60 812 1,590 VA : 0.20 0.26 56 66 WA : 0.45 0.47 178 168 WV : 0.21 0.22 38 38 WI : 0.10 0.15 50 72 WY : 0.51 0.73 2,015 2,738 : Oth Sts 3/ : 0.44 0.62 308 428 : US : 0.36 0.53 15,311 21,792 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production multiplied by marketing year average price. U.S. value is summation of State values. 2/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 3/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Goats: Inventory, Selected States, and Total, January 1, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Angora : All Goats State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AZ : 32 30 NM : 20 15 TX : 250 260 1,250 1,200 : 3 Sts : 302 305 1,250 1,200 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Mohair: Production, Price, and Value by Selected States and 3-State Total, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Average : : : : Goats : Clip : : Price : : Clipped : per : Production : per : Value 1/ State : : Goat : : Pound : :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Pounds 1,000 Pounds Dollars 1,000 Dollars : AZ : 30 28 4.8 5.0 144 140 1.50 1.40 216 196 NM : 20 15 5.5 6.0 110 90 1.90 1.40 209 126 TX : 260 240 6.6 7.9 1,716 1,896 2.20 1.60 3,775 3,034 : 3 Sts : 310 283 6.4 7.5 1,970 2,126 2.13 1.58 4,200 3,356 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production multiplied by marketing year average price for individual States. Three-State value is summation of State values. Reliability of January 1 Sheep and Goat Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all sheep and goat producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. About 14,000 operators were contacted during the first half of January by mail, telephone and face-to-face personal interview and 84 percent of the reports were usable. Regardless of when operators responded, they were asked to report inventories as of January 1. Estimation Procedures: These sheep and goat estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness and with estimates from past years. A projected balance sheet for calendar year 2002 was also used. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds estimates of births and imports, and subtracts estimates of slaughter, exports and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared with the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve the current estimate. Previous year estimates are subject to revision when current estimates are made. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture's five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising sheep and goats are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors, such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected sheep items in the table below. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between the first and latest estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for sheep and lamb inventory estimates over the past 10 years is 1.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 6.35 million head by more than 1.1 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 2.0 percent. The "Root Mean Square Error" for sheep shorn over the past 10 years is 0.6 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 5.5 million head by more than 0.6 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.0 percent. Also shown in the table is a 10-year record showing the range between the first inventory estimate and the latest estimate. Using estimates for All Sheep and Lambs as an example, changes between the first inventory estimate and the latest estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 60,000 head, ranging from 0 to 209,000 head. The initial inventory estimate of All Sheep and Lambs has been below the latest estimate 8 times and above the latest estimate 1 times in the last 10 years. For Sheep and Lambs Shorn, changes between the first inventory estimate and the latest estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 32,000 head, ranging from 0 to 72,000 head. The initial inventory estimate of Sheep and Lambs Shorn has been below the latest estimate 5 times and above 4 times in the last 10 years. Reliability of U.S. January 1 Sheep and Lamb Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 90% : Difference Between : : : Confidence : First and Final : Number of : Root : Level : Estimates 1/ : Years Item : Mean :--------------------------------------------------------- : Square : : : : : : First : First : Error :Percent: (000) :Average:Smallest:Largest: Above : Below : : : Head : : : : Final : Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent --------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Sheep & : Lambs : 1.1 2.0 127.0 60 0 209 1 8 : Breeding : Sheep : 0.7 1.3 60.9 29 0 78 2 7 : Lamb : Crop : 1.0 1.8 78.5 34 0 112 2 6 : Sheep : Shorn : 0.6 1.0 54.5 32 0 72 4 5 : : Percent -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- Number : Wool : Prod : 0.4 0.8 329.2 183 0 510 5 4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on data for the past 10 years. Index Page All Sheep and Lambs: Number by Class, United States, January 1.. . . . . . .2 Number by Class, State, and United States, January 1. .4 Number of Operations by State and United States . . . .9 Breeding Sheep: Survey Percent by Size Group, United States, January 1.10 Breeding Sheep and Lambs: Number by Class, State, and United States, January 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 Goats: Inventory, Selected States and Total, January 1 . . 13 Lamb Crop: Per 100 Ewes 1+, Number and Percent of Previous Year, by State, and United States, January 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Market Sheep and Lambs: Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, January 1, 2002 . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Market Sheep and Lambs: Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, January 1, 2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Mohair: Production, Price, and Value by Selected States, and 3-State Total. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Reliability of U.S. January 1 Sheep and Lamb Estimates (RMSE)14 Wool: Number of Sheep and Lambs Shorn, Weight per Fleece, and Production by State, and United States . . . . . . . . 11 Wool: Price and Value by State and United States. . . . . 12 Wool: Production, Price and Value, United States. . . . . .3 The next "Sheep and Goats" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on July 18, 2003. 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