Mt An 5-2 (2-02) Sheep and Goats National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released February 1, 2002, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Sheep and Goats" call Michael Barker at 202-720-3243, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET. Total Sheep and Lamb Inventory Down 4 Percent All sheep and lamb inventory in the United States on January 1, 2002, totaled 6.69 million head, down 4 percent from 2001 and 5 percent below two years ago. The inventory has trended down since peaking at 56.2 million head in 1942. Breeding sheep inventory declined to 4.91 million head on January 1, 2002, down 1 percent from 4.97 million head on January 1, 2001. Ewes one year old and older, at 3.98 million head, were 3 percent below last year. Market sheep and lambs on January 1, 2002, totaled 1.77 million head, down 11 percent from January 1, 2001. Market lambs comprised 96 percent of the total. Twenty-five percent were lambs under 65 pounds, 17 percent were 65 - 84 pounds, 23 percent 85 - 105 pounds, 31 percent were over 105 pounds, and 4 percent were market sheep. The 2001 lamb crop of 4.50 million head was down 3 percent from 2000 and established a new record low. The 2001 lambing rate was 110 per 100 ewes one year old and older on January 1, 2001, compared with 109 in 2000. The number of operations with sheep during 2001 totaled 65,120, down 1 percent from 2000 and 3 percent from 1999. Shorn wool production in the United States during 2001 was 43.0 million pounds, down 7 percent from 2000. Sheep and lambs shorn totaled 5.69 million head, down 7 percent from 2000. The average price paid for wool sold in 2001 was $0.36 per pound for a total value of $15.3 million dollars, down slightly from $15.4 million dollars in 2000. All goat inventory in Texas on January 1, 2002 totaled 1.25 million head, down 11 percent from 2001 and 4 percent below two years ago. Mohair production in the three major producing states (Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas) during 2001 was 1.97 million pounds, down 25 percent from 2000. Goats and kids clipped, at 310,000 head, were down 23 percent from 2000. Average weight per clip was 6.4 pounds compared with 6.5 pounds a year earlier. Value of mohair was $4.2 million dollars, down 60 percent from 2000. Sheep and Lambs: Number by Class, United States, January 1, 2000-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2002 as % Class : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 : of 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 head ---------- Percent : All Sheep and Lambs : 7,032 6,965 6,685 96 Market : 1,868 1,998 1,772 89 Breeding Sheep and Lambs : 5,164 4,967 4,913 99 Replacement Lambs - : Under One Year Old : 730 675 734 109 Ewes - One Year Old : and Older : 4,229 4,091 3,980 97 Rams - One Year Old : and Older : 206 201 200 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Wool: Production, Price, and Value, United States, 1999-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sheep : Weight : Shorn : Price : Year : Shorn : per : Wool : per : Value : 1/ : Fleece : Production : Pound : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Pounds 1,000 Pounds Dollars 1,000 Dollars : 1999 : 6,158 7.57 46,592 0.38 17,860 2000 : 6,135 7.57 46,446 0.33 15,377 2001 : 5,689 7.56 43,016 0.36 15,311 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes shearing at commercial feeding yards. All Sheep and Lambs: Number by Class, State, and United States, January 1, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : All Sheep and Lambs : Total Breeding : Total Market State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : :2002 as %: : : : : 2001 : 2002 : of 2001 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- Percent ------------- 1,000 Head ------------ : AZ : 132.0 134.0 102 65.0 66.0 67.0 68.0 CA : 840.0 800.0 95 375.0 370.0 465.0 430.0 CO : 420.0 370.0 88 195.0 205.0 225.0 165.0 ID : 275.0 260.0 95 236.0 224.0 39.0 36.0 IL : 75.0 70.0 93 61.0 56.0 14.0 14.0 IN : 66.0 57.0 86 59.0 48.0 7.0 9.0 IA : 270.0 250.0 93 175.0 175.0 95.0 75.0 KS : 110.0 100.0 91 71.0 65.0 39.0 35.0 MI : 71.0 72.0 101 51.0 52.0 20.0 20.0 MN : 170.0 160.0 94 110.0 115.0 60.0 45.0 MO : 73.0 70.0 96 59.0 59.0 14.0 11.0 MT : 360.0 335.0 93 330.0 300.0 30.0 35.0 NE : 114.0 101.0 89 94.0 73.0 20.0 28.0 NV : 95.0 100.0 105 83.0 85.0 12.0 15.0 N ENG 1/: 50.0 47.0 94 45.0 42.0 5.0 5.0 NM : 255.0 230.0 90 200.0 185.0 55.0 45.0 NY : 60.0 60.0 100 50.0 52.0 10.0 8.0 ND : 138.0 145.0 105 107.0 105.0 31.0 40.0 OH : 142.0 140.0 99 110.0 120.0 32.0 20.0 OK : 55.0 60.0 109 41.0 45.0 14.0 15.0 OR : 245.0 285.0 116 151.0 171.0 94.0 114.0 PA : 81.0 86.0 106 69.0 73.0 12.0 13.0 SD : 420.0 400.0 95 315.0 320.0 105.0 80.0 TX : 1,150.0 1,130.0 98 840.0 890.0 310.0 240.0 UT : 390.0 365.0 94 350.0 320.0 40.0 45.0 VA : 61.0 59.0 97 46.0 47.0 15.0 12.0 WA : 54.0 56.0 104 44.0 47.0 10.0 9.0 WV : 35.0 37.0 106 29.0 31.0 6.0 6.0 WI : 80.0 80.0 100 66.0 65.0 14.0 15.0 WY : 530.0 480.0 91 420.0 390.0 110.0 90.0 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 148.0 146.0 99 120.0 117.0 28.0 29.0 : US : 6,965.0 6,685.0 96 4,967.0 4,913.0 1,998.0 1,772.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 2/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Breeding Sheep and Lambs: Number by Class, State, and United States, January 1, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :Breeding Sheep-One Year Old & Older: : Total Breeding :-----------------------------------: Replacement : Sheep and State : Ewes : Rams : Lambs : Lambs :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AZ : 55.0 57.0 3.0 3.0 7.0 6.0 65.0 66.0 CA : 320.0 310.0 15.0 15.0 40.0 45.0 375.0 370.0 CO : 165.0 170.0 6.0 6.0 24.0 29.0 195.0 205.0 ID : 195.0 184.0 5.0 5.0 36.0 35.0 236.0 224.0 IL : 48.0 44.0 5.0 4.0 8.0 8.0 61.0 56.0 IN : 45.0 39.0 3.0 2.5 11.0 6.5 59.0 48.0 IA : 144.0 142.0 7.0 7.0 24.0 26.0 175.0 175.0 KS : 58.0 53.0 4.0 3.0 9.0 9.0 71.0 65.0 MI : 40.0 40.0 2.0 2.0 9.0 10.0 51.0 52.0 MN : 90.0 95.0 5.0 5.0 15.0 15.0 110.0 115.0 MO : 47.0 46.0 3.0 3.0 9.0 10.0 59.0 59.0 MT : 265.0 232.0 9.0 8.0 56.0 60.0 330.0 300.0 NE : 77.0 58.0 4.0 3.0 13.0 12.0 94.0 73.0 NV : 68.0 69.0 2.0 2.0 13.0 14.0 83.0 85.0 N ENG 1/: 34.0 32.0 3.0 2.0 8.0 8.0 45.0 42.0 NM : 165.0 150.0 9.0 8.0 26.0 27.0 200.0 185.0 NY : 38.0 40.0 3.0 3.0 9.0 9.0 50.0 52.0 ND : 89.0 85.0 3.5 3.0 14.5 17.0 107.0 105.0 OH : 86.0 93.0 7.0 7.0 17.0 20.0 110.0 120.0 OK : 33.0 36.0 2.0 3.0 6.0 6.0 41.0 45.0 OR : 120.0 134.0 7.0 8.0 24.0 29.0 151.0 171.0 PA : 54.0 55.0 5.0 6.0 10.0 12.0 69.0 73.0 SD : 265.0 265.0 9.0 9.0 41.0 46.0 315.0 320.0 TX : 710.0 720.0 35.0 40.0 95.0 130.0 840.0 890.0 UT : 300.0 275.0 11.0 9.0 39.0 36.0 350.0 320.0 VA : 37.0 37.0 2.5 3.0 6.5 7.0 46.0 47.0 WA : 35.0 36.0 3.0 3.0 6.0 8.0 44.0 47.0 WV : 24.0 24.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 6.0 29.0 31.0 WI : 53.0 52.0 3.0 3.0 10.0 10.0 66.0 65.0 WY : 340.0 320.0 12.0 11.0 68.0 59.0 420.0 390.0 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 91.0 87.0 12.0 12.0 17.0 18.0 120.0 117.0 : US :4,091.0 3,980.0 201.0 199.5 675.0 733.5 4,967.0 4,913.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 2/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Lamb Crop: Per 100 Ewes 1+, Number and Percent of Previous Year, by State, and United States, 2000-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :Breeding Ewes 1 Year : Lambs per 100 : : & Older Jan 1 : Ewes 1+ Jan 1 : Lamb Crop 1/ State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : : :2001 as % : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : of 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- -- Percent -- --- 1,000 Head -- Percent : AZ : 58.0 55.0 69 73 40.0 40.0 100 CA : 320.0 320.0 97 91 310.0 290.0 94 CO : 175.0 165.0 114 115 200.0 190.0 95 ID : 205.0 195.0 124 131 255.0 255.0 100 IL : 50.0 48.0 138 135 69.0 65.0 94 IN : 38.0 45.0 166 122 63.0 55.0 87 IA : 139.0 144.0 151 153 210.0 220.0 105 KS : 52.0 58.0 138 124 72.0 72.0 100 MI : 38.0 40.0 121 125 46.0 50.0 109 MN : 85.0 90.0 171 172 145.0 155.0 107 MO : 52.0 47.0 125 117 65.0 55.0 85 MT : 274.0 265.0 133 128 365.0 340.0 93 NE : 72.0 77.0 142 112 102.0 86.0 84 NV : 58.0 68.0 112 93 65.0 63.0 97 N ENG 2/: 34.0 34.0 124 115 42.0 39.0 93 NM : 190.0 165.0 82 85 155.0 140.0 90 NY : 38.0 38.0 121 129 46.0 49.0 107 ND : 86.0 89.0 128 129 110.0 115.0 105 OH : 81.0 86.0 142 145 115.0 125.0 109 OK : 33.0 33.0 112 121 37.0 40.0 108 OR : 121.0 120.0 124 133 150.0 160.0 107 PA : 54.0 54.0 130 131 70.0 71.0 101 SD : 270.0 265.0 119 115 320.0 305.0 95 TX : 790.0 710.0 72 80 570.0 570.0 100 UT : 310.0 300.0 106 102 330.0 305.0 92 VA : 39.0 37.0 126 135 49.0 50.0 102 WA : 34.0 35.0 162 166 55.0 58.0 105 WV : 26.0 24.0 131 133 34.0 32.0 94 WI : 52.0 53.0 138 136 72.0 72.0 100 WY : 365.0 340.0 103 101 375.0 345.0 92 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 90.0 91.0 94 91 85.0 83.0 98 : US : 4,229.0 4,091.0 109 110 4,622.0 4,495.0 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Lamb crop is defined as lambs born in the Eastern States and lambs docked or branded in the Western States. 2/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 3/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Market Sheep and Lambs: Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, January 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Market Lambs : : :-------------------------------------------------: : Total State : Under : 65 to : 85 to : Over : : Market : Market : 65 : 84 : 105 : 105 : Total : Sheep :Sheep and : Pounds : Pounds : Pounds : Pounds : : : Lambs -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AZ : 12.0 16.0 20.0 17.0 65.0 2.0 67.0 CA : 195.0 100.0 80.0 75.0 450.0 15.0 465.0 CO : 3.0 7.0 37.0 175.0 222.0 3.0 225.0 ID : 5.0 3.0 11.0 19.0 38.0 1.0 39.0 IL : 4.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 13.0 1.0 14.0 IN : 3.0 1.7 1.0 0.8 6.5 0.5 7.0 IA : 13.0 10.0 30.0 39.0 92.0 3.0 95.0 KS : 16.0 6.0 10.0 4.0 36.0 3.0 39.0 MI : 2.0 3.0 6.0 8.0 19.0 1.0 20.0 MN : 15.0 12.0 16.0 16.0 59.0 1.0 60.0 MO : 3.0 4.0 2.5 4.0 13.5 0.5 14.0 MT : 2.0 5.0 16.0 5.0 28.0 2.0 30.0 NE : 4.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 19.0 1.0 20.0 NV : 1.0 3.0 7.0 11.0 1.0 12.0 N ENG 1/: 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 4.0 1.0 5.0 NM : 11.0 16.0 16.0 9.0 52.0 3.0 55.0 NY : 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 1.0 10.0 ND : 3.0 8.0 10.5 8.5 30.0 1.0 31.0 OH : 12.0 8.0 8.0 3.0 31.0 1.0 32.0 OK : 6.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 13.0 1.0 14.0 OR : 14.0 12.0 34.0 31.0 91.0 3.0 94.0 PA : 5.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 10.0 2.0 12.0 SD : 7.0 31.0 33.0 33.0 104.0 1.0 105.0 TX : 100.0 70.0 65.0 65.0 300.0 10.0 310.0 UT : 3.0 2.0 14.0 16.0 35.0 5.0 40.0 VA : 6.0 3.5 3.5 1.5 14.5 0.5 15.0 WA : 3.0 1.5 3.0 2.0 9.5 0.5 10.0 WV : 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 6.0 WI : 2.5 3.5 4.5 3.0 13.5 0.5 14.0 WY : 2.0 15.0 47.0 43.0 107.0 3.0 110.0 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 10.5 4.0 2.5 3.0 20.0 8.0 28.0 : US : 470.6 359.4 487.3 604.2 1,921.5 76.5 1,998.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 2/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Market Sheep and Lambs: Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, January 1, 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Market Lambs : : :-------------------------------------------------: : Total State : Under : 65 to : 85 to : Over : : Market : Market : 65 : 84 : 105 : 105 : Total : Sheep :Sheep and : Pounds : Pounds : Pounds : Pounds : : : Lambs -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AZ : 13.0 18.0 20.0 15.0 66.0 2.0 68.0 CA : 170.0 90.0 70.0 85.0 415.0 15.0 430.0 CO : 2.0 5.0 17.0 140.0 164.0 1.0 165.0 ID : 12.0 3.0 6.0 14.0 35.0 1.0 36.0 IL : 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 12.0 2.0 14.0 IN : 3.2 1.8 2.0 1.9 8.9 0.1 9.0 IA : 8.0 9.0 22.0 35.0 74.0 1.0 75.0 KS : 13.0 4.0 7.0 7.0 31.0 4.0 35.0 MI : 3.0 2.0 6.0 8.0 19.0 1.0 20.0 MN : 11.0 9.0 12.0 12.0 44.0 1.0 45.0 MO : 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.0 10.5 0.5 11.0 MT : 2.0 7.0 18.0 7.0 34.0 1.0 35.0 NE : 4.0 3.0 10.0 10.0 27.0 1.0 28.0 NV : 1.0 5.0 8.0 14.0 1.0 15.0 N ENG 1/: 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.1 3.5 1.5 5.0 NM : 9.0 14.0 13.0 6.0 42.0 3.0 45.0 NY : 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 1.0 8.0 ND : 3.5 8.5 16.0 11.0 39.0 1.0 40.0 OH : 8.0 4.0 6.0 2.0 20.0 20.0 OK : 8.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 14.0 1.0 15.0 OR : 20.0 16.0 41.0 34.0 111.0 3.0 114.0 PA : 5.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 11.0 2.0 13.0 SD : 7.0 11.0 25.0 34.0 77.0 3.0 80.0 TX : 100.0 50.0 45.0 35.0 230.0 10.0 240.0 UT : 1.0 3.0 15.0 23.0 42.0 3.0 45.0 VA : 4.0 3.5 2.5 1.5 11.5 0.5 12.0 WA : 2.0 2.5 1.0 3.0 8.5 0.5 9.0 WV : 2.5 1.0 1.5 1.0 6.0 6.0 WI : 2.0 4.0 4.0 3.5 13.5 1.5 15.0 WY : 2.0 12.0 34.0 39.0 87.0 3.0 90.0 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 11.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 23.0 6.0 29.0 : US : 435.9 299.9 415.6 549.0 1,700.4 71.6 1,772.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 2/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Sheep and Lambs: Number of Operations by State and United States, 2000-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Operations with Sheep State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : AZ : 300 270 CA : 3,000 2,900 CO : 1,900 2,000 ID : 1,000 1,000 IL : 2,400 2,300 IN : 2,200 2,100 IA : 4,700 4,700 KS : 1,500 1,500 MI : 1,800 1,800 MN : 2,600 2,400 MO : 1,800 1,700 MT : 2,000 1,800 NE : 1,700 1,600 NV : 300 300 N ENG 1/: 2,100 2,000 NM : 900 850 NY : 1,500 1,500 ND : 1,100 1,100 OH : 3,600 3,600 OK : 1,500 1,400 OR : 3,000 3,000 PA : 2,500 2,500 SD : 2,300 2,300 TX : 6,800 6,800 UT : 1,500 1,500 VA : 1,300 1,400 WA : 1,200 1,200 WV : 1,000 1,000 WI : 2,200 2,200 WY : 900 900 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 5,500 5,500 : US : 66,100 65,120 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 2/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Breeding Sheep: Survey Percent by Size Group, United States, 2001-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1-99 Head : 100-499 Head : 500-4999 Head : 5000+ Head Item :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : Operations : 90.8 91.1 7.5 7.3 1.6 1.5 0.1 0.1 : Inventory : 28.8 30.1 23.8 23.5 33.7 32.4 13.7 14.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Percents reflect distributions from annual survey. Wool: Number of Sheep and Lambs Shorn, Weight per Fleece, and Production by State, and United States, 2000-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sheep Shorn : Weight per Fleece : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- --- Pounds --- 1,000 Pounds : AZ : 125.0 120.0 6.1 6.2 760 740 CA : 530.0 510.0 7.5 7.4 4,000 3,750 CO : 450.0 430.0 7.4 7.2 3,310 3,080 ID : 228.0 230.0 9.6 9.3 2,190 2,140 IL : 75.0 70.0 6.9 6.6 520 460 IN : 56.0 44.0 6.9 6.6 385 290 IA : 255.0 245.0 5.6 5.8 1,420 1,420 KS : 99.0 81.0 6.6 7.1 655 575 MI : 72.0 77.0 6.4 6.2 460 480 MN : 155.0 165.0 6.7 6.6 1,035 1,085 MO : 63.0 56.0 6.8 7.0 430 390 MT : 347.0 318.0 9.6 9.4 3,315 2,978 NE : 95.0 85.0 7.2 7.3 685 620 NV : 72.0 71.0 9.1 8.7 655 620 N ENG 1/ : 44.0 40.0 7.2 7.4 318 295 NM : 255.0 235.0 8.3 8.0 2,120 1,880 NY : 46.0 47.0 6.6 6.8 304 320 ND : 111.0 101.0 8.2 8.9 915 900 OH : 132.0 140.0 7.0 6.9 920 960 OK : 45.0 52.0 6.1 6.0 275 310 OR : 220.0 240.0 6.5 6.3 1,440 1,510 PA : 66.0 64.0 6.5 6.9 430 440 SD : 335.0 360.0 8.4 8.2 2,800 2,965 TX : 1,130.0 870.0 6.6 6.9 7,506 6,003 UT : 320.0 295.0 9.6 9.5 3,060 2,800 VA : 42.0 43.0 6.4 6.5 270 280 WA : 44.0 48.0 8.0 8.2 351 395 WV : 29.0 30.0 5.9 6.0 172 180 WI : 64.0 70.0 7.4 7.1 475 500 WY : 520.0 440.0 8.8 9.0 4,560 3,950 : Oth Sts 2/ : 110.0 112.0 6.5 6.3 710 700 : US : 6,135.0 5,689.0 7.6 7.6 46,446 43,016 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 2/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Wool: Price and Value by State and United States, 2000-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Price per Pound : Value 1/ State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Dollars ----- ---- 1,000 Dollars --- : AZ : 0.36 0.30 274 222 CA : 0.29 0.35 1,160 1,313 CO : 0.31 0.33 1,026 1,016 ID : 0.23 0.22 504 471 IL : 0.08 0.09 42 41 IN : 0.14 0.15 54 44 IA : 0.10 0.12 142 170 KS : 0.17 0.20 111 115 MI : 0.14 0.12 64 58 MN : 0.11 0.11 114 119 MO : 0.10 0.09 43 35 MT : 0.37 0.45 1,227 1,340 NE : 0.18 0.20 123 124 NV : 0.28 0.44 183 273 N ENG 2/ : 0.36 0.40 114 118 NM : 0.65 0.70 1,378 1,316 NY : 0.13 0.17 40 54 ND : 0.25 0.30 229 270 OH : 0.15 0.14 138 134 OK : 0.20 0.20 55 62 OR : 0.28 0.27 403 408 PA : 0.28 0.25 120 110 SD : 0.28 0.31 784 919 TX : 0.49 0.52 3,678 3,122 UT : 0.22 0.29 673 812 VA : 0.24 0.20 65 56 WA : 0.40 0.45 140 178 WV : 0.23 0.21 40 38 WI : 0.13 0.10 62 50 WY : 0.47 0.51 2,143 2,015 : Oth Sts 3/ : 0.35 0.44 248 308 : US : 0.33 0.36 15,377 15,311 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production multiplied by marketing year average price. U.S. value is summation of State values. 2/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 3/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Goats: Inventory, Selected States, and Total, January 1, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Angora : All Goats State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AZ : 34 32 NM : 25 20 TX : 300 250 1,400 1,250 : Total : 359 302 1,400 1,250 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Mohair: Production, Price, and Value by Selected States and 3-State Total, 2000-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Average : : : : Goats : Clip : : Price : : Clipped : per : Production : per : Value 1/ State : : Goat : : Pound : :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Pounds 1,000 Pounds Dollars 1,000 Dollars : AZ : 32 30 4.5 4.8 144 144 1.80 1.50 259 216 NM : 25 20 5.5 5.5 138 110 1.90 1.90 262 209 TX : 345 260 6.8 6.6 2,346 1,716 4.30 2.20 10,088 3,775 : 3 Sts : 402 310 6.5 6.4 2,628 1,970 4.04 2.13 10,609 4,200 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production multiplied by marketing year average price for individual States. Three-State value is summation of State values. Reliability of January 1 Sheep and Goat Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all sheep and goat producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. About 13,500 operators were contacted during the first half of January by mail, telephone and face-to-face personal interview. Regardless of when operators responded, they were asked to report inventories as of January 1. Estimation Procedures: These sheep and goat estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness and with estimates from past years. A projected balance sheet for calendar year 2001 was also used. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds estimates of births and imports, and subtracts estimates of slaughter, exports and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared with the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve the current estimate. Previous year estimates are subject to revision when current estimates are made. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture's five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising sheep and goats are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors, such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected sheep items in the table below. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between the first and latest estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for sheep and lamb inventory estimates over the past 10 years is 1.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 6.7 million head by more than 1.1 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 2.0 percent. The "Root Mean Square Error" for sheep shorn over the past 10 years is 0.6 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 5.7 million head by more than 0.6 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.1 percent. Also shown in the table is a 10-year record showing the range between the first inventory estimate and the latest estimate. Using estimates for All Sheep and Lambs as an example, changes between the first inventory estimate and the latest estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 65,000 head, ranging from 6,000 to 209,000 head. The initial inventory estimate of All Sheep and Lambs has been below the latest estimate 8 times and above the latest estimate 2 times in the last 10 years. For Sheep and Lambs Shorn, changes between the first inventory estimate and the latest estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 41,000 head, ranging from 2,000 to 92,000 head. The initial inventory estimate of Sheep and Lambs Shorn has been below the latest estimate 6 times and above 4 times in the last 10 years. Reliability of U.S. February 1 Sheep and Lamb Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 90% : Difference Between : : : Confidence : First and Final : Number of : Root : Level : Estimates 1/ : Years Item : Mean :--------------------------------------------------------- : Square : : : : : : First : First : Error :Percent: (000) :Average:Smallest:Largest: Above : Below : : : Head : : : : Final : Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent --------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Sheep & : Lambs : 1.1 2.0 133.7 65 6 209 2 8 : Breeding : Sheep : 0.8 1.4 68.8 37 1 78 3 7 : Lamb : Crop : 1.0 1.8 80.9 29 0 112 3 6 : Sheep : Shorn : 0.6 1.1 62.6 41 2 92 4 6 : : Percent -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- Number : Wool : Prod : 0.5 0.9 387.1 251 18 674 5 5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on data for the past 10 years. Index Page All Sheep and Lambs: Number by Class, United States, January 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2 Number by Class, State, and United States, January 1.. . . . . . . . . . .4 Number of Operations by State and United States. . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Breeding Sheep: Survey Percent by Size Group, United States, January 1. . . 10 Breeding Sheep and Lambs: Number by Class, State, and United States, January 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 Goats: Inventory, Selected States and Total, January 1 . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Lamb Crop: Per 100 Ewes 1+, Number and Percent of Previous Year, by State, and United States, January 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Market Sheep and Lambs: Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, January 1, 2001 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Market Sheep and Lambs: Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, January 1, 2002 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Mohair: Production, Price, and Value by Selected States, and 3-State Total .13 Reliability of U.S. January 1 Sheep and Lamb Estimates (RMSE). . . . . . . . 14 Wool: Number of Sheep and Lambs Shorn, Weight per Fleece, and Production by State, and United States . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Wool: Price and Value by State and United States. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Wool: Production, Price and Value, United States. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 The next "Sheep" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on July 19, 2002. 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Sharpen Your Strategy at USDA's 78th Outlook Forum February 21-22, 2002 Crystal Gateway Marriott Hotel Arlington, Virginia New Farm Legislation Biotech Crops in World Trade Protecting Livestock and Crops Tracking Crop and Product Identity in the Food Chain 2002 Commodity Prospects Competing in Global Markets Climate and Agriculture Put next year's economic and business outlook in focus at Outlook Forum 2002. Attend this popular event to hear the latest on market-shaping developments ranging from farm legislation to food safety concerns. Government officials, business leaders and commodity analysts will assess the outlook for 2002 and beyond, and noted economist Larry Chimerine will discuss U.S. and global economic prospects. Focus sessions featuring rural innovators will highlight trends in bio-energy, contract negotiation, rural development and other areas. To stretch your planning horizon, USDA will release new 10-year commodity projections. Visit the Forum home page for complete program details and on line registration. Register Today! www.usda.gov/oce (202) 314-3451