HDR1012000130070126961500Sheep and Goats HDR2012000130070126961500Sheep & Goats Narr. & Tables Released January 26, 1996, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Sheep and Goats" call Linda Simpson at (202) 720-3578, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET. For assistance with general agricultural statistics, information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@AG.GOV. Total Sheep and Lamb Inventory Down 5 Percent All sheep and lamb inventory in the United States on January 1, 1996, totaled 8.46 million head, down 5 percent from 1995 and 13 percent below two years ago. Inventory has slowly declined since 1942 when all sheep and lambs reached it's peak of 56.21 million head. Breeding sheep inventory reached 6.22 million head on January 1, 1996, down 3 percent from 1995's 6.44 million head. Ewes one year old and older, at 5.13 million head, were 3 percent below last year's record low. Market sheep and lambs on January 1, 1996 totaled 2.23 million head, down 9 percent from January 1, 1995. Market lambs comprised 96 percent of the total. Twenty-seven percent were under 65 pounds, 16 percent were 65 - 84 pounds, 32 percent 85 - 105 pounds, and 25 percent were over 105 pounds. The 1995 lamb crop of 5.60 million head was down 5 percent from 1994. This compares with the previous record low of 5.90 million head set a year ago. The 1995 lambing rate was 106 per 100 ewes one year old and older on hand January 1, 1995, compared with 102 in 1994. The number of operations with sheep during 1995 totaled 82,120, down 6 percent from 1994 and 12 percent from 1993. Lv Gn 1 (1-96) Sheep and Lambs: Number by Class, United States January 1, 1994-96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : 1994 : 1995 : 1996 : 96/95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : All Sheep and Lambs : *9,714 *8,886 8,457 95 Market : 1/ *2,450 2,234 91 Breeding Sheep and Lambs : 1/ *6,436 6,224 97 Replacement Lambs - : Under One Year Old : 1/ 878 863 98 Ewes - One Year Old : and Older : 5,804 *5,300 5,125 97 Rams - One Year Old : and Older : 302 258 235 91 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ Comparable data not available. All Sheep and Lambs: Balance Sheet, United States, 1993-95 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Item : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : Jan 1 Inventory : 10,906 *9,714 *8,886 Lamb Crop and Imports : 6,409 *5,926 5,642 Total Supply : 17,315 15,640 14,528 : Slaughter : *5,256 *5,014 4,642 Deaths and Exports : *1,929 *1,730 1,240 Total Disappearance : 7,185 6,744 5,882 : Residual : -416 -10 -189 : Jan 1 Inventory : *9,714 *8,886 8,457 (End of year) : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ Final 1994 and preliminary 1995 estimates will be published in "Meat Animals, Production, Disposition, and Income", April 11, 1996. Lamb Crop: Per 100 Ewes 1+, Number and Percent of Previous Year by State and United States, 1994-95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :Breeding Ewes 1 Year : Lambs per 100 : : & Older Jan 1 : Ewes 1+ Jan 1 : Lamb Crop 1/ State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 95/94 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 Head --- --- Percent -- --- 1,000 Head --- Pct : AL : 7.7 4.6 71 87 5.5 4.0 73 AK : 1.1 .9 73 89 .8 .8 100 AZ : 95.0 70.0 74 71 70.0 50.0 71 CA : 400.0 430.0 91 88 365.0 380.0 104 CO : 270.0 210.0 94 114 255.0 240.0 94 CT : 6.0 4.8 100 135 6.0 6.5 108 ID : 185.0 194.0 141 132 260.0 256.0 98 IL : 65.0 55.0 131 144 85.0 79.0 93 IN : 58.0 55.0 121 109 70.0 60.0 86 IA : 145.0 155.0 155 148 225.0 230.0 102 KS : 98.0 87.0 92 115 90.0 100.0 111 KY : 18.5 16.5 119 115 22.0 19.0 86 LA : 11.3 9.6 75 99 8.5 9.5 112 ME : 11.5 *7.8 87 103 10.0 8.0 80 MD : 21.0 14.0 76 121 16.0 17.0 106 MA : 10.0 8.2 95 91 9.5 7.5 79 MI : 50.0 49.0 134 137 67.0 67.0 100 MN : 130.0 110.0 135 145 175.0 160.0 91 MO : 60.0 53.0 122 123 73.0 65.0 89 MT : 410.0 367.0 113 112 465.0 410.0 88 NE : 56.0 70.0 146 137 82.0 96.0 117 NV : 60.0 *61.0 103 107 62.0 65.0 105 NH : 4.7 4.7 117 128 5.5 6.0 109 NJ : 12.3 10.9 77 110 9.5 12.0 126 NM : 260.0 210.0 77 81 200.0 170.0 85 NY : 50.0 44.0 124 127 62.0 56.0 90 NC : 12.8 11.4 107 92 13.7 10.5 77 ND : 104.0 79.0 115 127 120.0 100.0 83 OH : 120.0 107.0 110 113 132.0 121.0 92 OK : 74.0 60.0 101 108 75.0 65.0 87 OR : 240.0 200.0 96 110 230.0 220.0 96 PA : 82.0 74.0 110 115 90.0 85.0 94 SD : 378.0 355.0 112 118 425.0 420.0 99 TN : 7.7 6.1 91 148 7.0 9.0 129 TX : 1,180.0 1,100.0 77 83 910.0 910.0 100 UT : 340.0 310.0 106 110 360.0 340.0 94 VT : 13.0 14.0 138 93 18.0 13.0 72 VA : 68.0 65.0 131 118 89.0 77.0 87 WA : 42.0 35.0 143 143 60.0 50.0 83 WV : 48.0 43.0 115 116 55.0 50.0 91 WI : 52.0 53.0 *154 142 *80.0 75.0 94 WY : 510.0 460.0 100 100 510.0 460.0 90 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 36.6 25.8 64 92 23.4 23.8 102 : US : 5,804.2 *5,300.3 102 106 *5,897.4 5,603.6 95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ Lamb crop is defined as lambs born in the Native States and lambs docked or branded in the Western States. 2/ Other States includes AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, MS, RI, and SC. All Sheep and Lambs: Number, by Class, State, and United States, January 1, 1995-96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : All Sheep and Lambs : Total Breeding : Total Market State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 96/95 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AL : 7.0 7.0 100 5.7 5.5 1.3 1.5 AK : 1.7 1.7 100 1.5 1.5 .2 .2 AZ : 145.0 135.0 93 88.0 65.0 57.0 70.0 CA : 1,060.0 1,000.0 94 540.0 480.0 520.0 520.0 CO : 545.0 535.0 98 250.0 245.0 295.0 290.0 CT : 7.0 7.0 100 5.8 6.0 1.2 1.0 ID : 270.0 273.0 101 237.0 245.0 33.0 28.0 IL : 83.0 79.0 95 65.0 69.0 18.0 10.0 IN : 75.0 53.0 71 65.0 44.0 10.0 9.0 IA : 294.0 345.0 117 184.0 200.0 110.0 145.0 KS : 155.0 160.0 103 100.0 105.0 55.0 55.0 KY : 27.0 20.0 74 22.5 17.0 4.5 3.0 LA : 14.5 16.0 110 13.0 14.0 1.5 2.0 ME : 11.0 10.0 91 10.0 8.4 1.0 1.6 MD : 25.0 25.0 100 21.0 21.0 4.0 4.0 MA : 11.5 9.5 83 10.0 8.4 1.5 1.1 MI : 94.0 93.0 99 60.0 62.0 34.0 31.0 MN : 190.0 185.0 97 140.0 135.0 50.0 50.0 MO : *83.0 73.0 88 68.0 60.0 *15.0 13.0 MT : 490.0 465.0 95 450.0 430.0 40.0 35.0 NE : 105.0 105.0 100 82.0 87.0 2/51.0 18.0 NV : *103.0 87.0 84 *75.0 72.0 2/ 15.0 NH : 7.0 7.5 107 6.1 6.8 .9 .7 NJ : 16.9 18.5 109 13.9 16.0 3.0 2.5 NM : 315.0 265.0 84 265.0 245.0 50.0 20.0 NY : 72.0 65.0 90 58.0 55.0 14.0 10.0 NC : 16.0 13.0 81 13.5 11.0 2.5 2.0 ND : 127.0 125.0 98 93.0 91.0 34.0 34.0 OH : 162.0 153.0 94 132.0 121.0 30.0 32.0 OK : 96.0 85.0 89 70.0 65.0 26.0 20.0 OR : 330.0 353.0 107 242.0 253.0 88.0 100.0 PA : 110.0 107.0 97 96.0 92.0 14.0 15.0 SD : 530.0 500.0 94 405.0 385.0 125.0 115.0 TN : 12.5 14.5 116 8.5 10.5 4.0 4.0 TX : 1,700.0 1,650.0 97 1,350.0 1,300.0 350.0 350.0 UT : 445.0 395.0 89 360.0 355.0 85.0 40.0 VT : 19.5 15.0 77 17.0 12.8 2.5 2.2 VA : 95.0 84.0 88 77.0 67.0 18.0 17.0 WA : 55.0 60.0 109 46.0 50.0 9.0 10.0 WV : 60.0 55.0 92 50.0 45.0 10.0 10.0 WI : 83.0 79.0 95 66.0 65.0 17.0 14.0 WY : 790.0 680.0 86 538.0 560.0 252.0 120.0 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 47.4 48.4 102 35.5 36.6 11.9 11.8 : US : *8,886.0 8,457.1 95 *6,436.0 6,223.5 *2,450.0 2,233.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ Other States includes AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, MS, RI, and SC. 2/ Data combined to avoid disclosing individual operations. Breeding Sheep and Lambs: Number by Class, State, and United States, January 1, 1995-96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :Breeding Sheep-One Year Old & Older: : Total Breeding :-----------------------------------: Replacement : Sheep and State : Ewes : Rams : Lambs : Lambs :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AL : 4.6 3.7 .3 .5 .8 1.3 5.7 5.5 AK : .9 .9 .4 .4 .2 .2 1.5 1.5 AZ : 70.0 54.0 3.0 3.0 15.0 8.0 88.0 65.0 CA : 430.0 390.0 20.0 15.0 90.0 75.0 540.0 480.0 CO : 210.0 210.0 7.0 7.0 33.0 28.0 250.0 245.0 CT : 4.8 4.8 .3 .3 .7 .9 5.8 6.0 ID : 194.0 201.0 5.0 5.0 38.0 39.0 237.0 245.0 IL : 55.0 53.0 3.0 4.0 7.0 12.0 65.0 69.0 IN : 55.0 36.0 3.0 2.0 7.0 6.0 65.0 44.0 IA : 155.0 160.0 8.0 9.0 21.0 31.0 184.0 200.0 KS : 87.0 90.0 5.0 5.0 8.0 10.0 100.0 105.0 KY : 16.5 13.0 1.5 .8 4.5 3.2 22.5 17.0 LA : 9.6 10.4 1.4 1.5 2.0 2.1 13.0 14.0 ME : *7.8 6.6 .7 .7 *1.5 1.1 10.0 8.4 MD : 14.0 14.0 2.5 2.5 4.5 4.5 21.0 21.0 MA : 8.2 6.8 .5 .6 1.3 1.0 10.0 8.4 MI : 49.0 50.0 3.0 3.0 8.0 9.0 60.0 62.0 MN : 110.0 110.0 6.0 5.0 24.0 20.0 140.0 135.0 MO : 53.0 49.0 3.0 3.0 12.0 8.0 68.0 60.0 MT : 367.0 347.0 12.0 11.0 71.0 72.0 450.0 430.0 NE : 70.0 74.0 3.0 3.0 9.0 10.0 82.0 87.0 NV : *61.0 56.0 2.0 2.0 12.0 14.0 *75.0 72.0 NH : 4.7 5.2 .4 .5 1.0 1.1 6.1 6.8 NJ : 10.9 12.0 1.1 1.8 1.9 2.2 13.9 16.0 NM : 210.0 205.0 15.0 10.0 40.0 30.0 265.0 245.0 NY : 44.0 43.0 3.0 3.0 11.0 9.0 58.0 55.0 NC : 11.4 9.0 .8 .8 1.3 1.2 13.5 11.0 ND : 79.0 77.0 3.0 2.5 11.0 11.5 93.0 91.0 OH : 107.0 100.0 6.5 6.0 18.5 15.0 132.0 121.0 OK : 60.0 57.0 3.0 3.0 7.0 5.0 70.0 65.0 OR : 200.0 205.0 12.0 13.0 30.0 35.0 242.0 253.0 PA : 74.0 72.0 7.0 6.0 15.0 14.0 96.0 92.0 SD : 355.0 330.0 12.0 11.0 38.0 44.0 405.0 385.0 TN : 6.1 8.0 .9 1.0 1.5 1.5 8.5 10.5 TX : 1,100.0 1,080.0 55.0 50.0 195.0 170.0 1,350.0 1,300.0 UT : 310.0 305.0 11.0 10.0 39.0 40.0 360.0 355.0 VT : 14.0 10.2 .7 .6 2.3 2.0 17.0 12.8 VA : 65.0 54.0 4.0 3.0 8.0 10.0 77.0 67.0 WA : 35.0 41.0 3.0 3.0 8.0 6.0 46.0 50.0 WV : 43.0 37.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 6.0 50.0 45.0 WI : 53.0 52.0 3.0 3.0 10.0 10.0 66.0 65.0 WY : 460.0 455.0 18.0 15.0 60.0 90.0 538.0 560.0 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 25.8 27.5 6.1 5.8 3.6 3.3 35.5 36.6 : US :*5,300.3 5,125.1 258.1 235.3 *877.6 863.1 *6,436.0 6,223.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ Other States includes AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, MS, RI, and SC. Market Sheep and Lambs: Number by Weight Group by State and United States, January 1, 1995 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Market Lambs : : :-------------------------------------------------: : Total State : Under : 65 to : 85 to : Over : : Market : Market : 65 : 84 : 105 : 105 : Total : Sheep :Sheep and : Pounds : Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : : : Lambs -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AL : .4 .3 .4 .1 1.2 .1 1.3 AK : 1/ 1/ .2 1/ .2 .0 .2 AZ : 15.0 16.0 22.0 2.0 55.0 2.0 57.0 CA : 250.0 110.0 95.0 45.0 500.0 20.0 520.0 CO : 5.0 35.0 115.0 135.0 290.0 5.0 295.0 CT : .5 .2 3/.2 3/ .9 .3 1.2 ID : 8.0 1.0 8.0 16.0 33.0 .0 33.0 IL : 8.5 2.1 4.0 2.4 17.0 1.0 18.0 IN : 2.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 9.0 1.0 10.0 IA : 6.0 12.0 48.0 39.0 105.0 5.0 110.0 KS : 22.0 8.0 15.0 7.0 52.0 3.0 55.0 KY : 2.0 .3 .5 1.0 3.8 .7 4.5 LA : .8 .2 .2 .2 1.4 .1 1.5 ME : .5 .1 .1 .2 .9 .1 1.0 MD : 2.8 .7 .1 .1 3.7 .3 4.0 MA : .6 .4 .4 1/ 1.4 .1 1.5 MI : 6.0 8.0 11.0 8.5 33.5 .5 34.0 MN : 4.0 6.0 18.0 20.0 48.0 2.0 50.0 MO : *3.5 *1.0 *5.5 4.0 *14.0 1.0 *15.0 MT : 2.0 14.0 18.0 5.0 39.0 1.0 40.0 NE : 3.0 3.0 8.0 5.0 19.0 4.0 3/51.0 NV : 2.0 12.0 11.0 2.0 27.0 1.0 3/ NH : .4 .1 1/ 1/ .5 .4 .9 NJ : 1.5 .3 3/.6 3/ 2.4 .6 3.0 NM : 2.0 5.0 37.0 3.0 47.0 3.0 50.0 NY : 6.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 13.0 1.0 14.0 NC : 1.0 .4 .1 .1 1.6 .9 2.5 ND : 1.0 5.0 12.5 14.5 33.0 1.0 34.0 OH : 8.0 8.5 7.5 5.0 29.0 1.0 30.0 OK : 18.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 25.0 1.0 26.0 OR : 8.0 23.0 44.0 11.0 86.0 2.0 88.0 PA : 5.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 11.0 3.0 14.0 SD : 11.0 15.0 45.0 47.0 118.0 7.0 125.0 TN : 1.2 .5 .5 .2 2.4 1.6 4.0 TX : 150.0 75.0 85.0 30.0 340.0 10.0 350.0 UT : 1.0 2.0 40.0 27.0 70.0 15.0 85.0 VT : .7 .4 .7 .5 2.3 .2 2.5 VA : 4.0 4.0 6.5 2.5 17.0 1.0 18.0 WA : 3.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 9.0 .0 9.0 WV : 1.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 10.0 .0 10.0 WI : 4.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 16.0 1.0 17.0 WY : 10.0 25.0 100.0 114.0 249.0 3.0 252.0 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 5.1 2.3 1.3 .7 9.4 2.5 11.9 : US : *586.5 *418.8 *782.3 *559.0 *2,346.6 103.4 *2,450.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ Less than 100 head. 2/ Other States includes AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, MS, RI, and SC. 3/ Data combined to avoid disclosing individual operations. Market Sheep and Lambs: Number by Weight Group by State and United States, January 1, 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Market Lambs : : :-------------------------------------------------: : Total State : Under : 65 to : 85 to : Over : : Market : Market : 65 : 84 : 105 : 105 : Total : Sheep :Sheep and : Pounds : Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : : : Lambs -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AL : .7 .2 3/.4 3/ 1.3 .2 1.5 AK : .0 .0 .2 .0 .2 .0 .2 AZ : 28.0 8.0 31.0 2.0 69.0 1.0 70.0 CA : 220.0 80.0 110.0 90.0 500.0 20.0 520.0 CO : 3.0 40.0 100.0 145.0 288.0 2.0 290.0 CT : .4 .1 .1 .0 .6 .4 1.0 ID : 6.0 1.0 13.0 7.0 27.0 1.0 28.0 IL : 3.0 1.5 2.5 2.0 9.0 1.0 10.0 IN : 1.5 1.0 4.5 1.0 8.0 1.0 9.0 IA : 17.0 18.0 56.0 53.0 144.0 1.0 145.0 KS : 24.0 8.0 12.0 7.0 51.0 4.0 55.0 KY : 1.5 .4 .4 .1 2.4 .6 3.0 LA : 1.1 .3 .2 .2 1.8 .2 2.0 ME : .4 .4 .2 .1 1.1 .5 1.6 MD : 2.6 .8 .2 .1 3.7 .3 4.0 MA : .6 3/ 3/ 3/.1 .7 .4 1.1 MI : 5.0 9.0 10.0 6.0 30.0 1.0 31.0 MN : 7.0 8.0 15.0 18.0 48.0 2.0 50.0 MO : 5.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 12.0 1.0 13.0 MT : 2.0 9.0 15.0 7.0 33.0 2.0 35.0 NE : 4.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 17.0 1.0 18.0 NV : .0 .0 14.0 1.0 15.0 .0 15.0 NH : .2 .1 .2 .0 .5 .2 .7 NJ : .7 .9 .4 .2 2.2 .3 2.5 NM : 6.0 7.0 6.0 .0 19.0 1.0 20.0 NY : 4.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 9.0 1.0 10.0 NC : 1.2 .2 3/.3 3/ 1.7 .3 2.0 ND : 1.5 3.5 15.5 12.5 33.0 1.0 34.0 OH : 11.0 7.0 9.0 4.0 31.0 1.0 32.0 OK : 12.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 19.0 1.0 20.0 OR : 19.0 12.0 43.0 24.0 98.0 2.0 100.0 PA : 6.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 12.0 3.0 15.0 SD : 6.0 22.0 46.0 39.0 113.0 2.0 115.0 TN : 1.7 .5 .6 .2 3.0 1.0 4.0 TX : 145.0 70.0 80.0 40.0 335.0 15.0 350.0 UT : 1.0 3.0 11.0 18.0 33.0 7.0 40.0 VT : .2 .2 .5 .9 1.8 .4 2.2 VA : 6.5 3.5 4.5 2.0 16.5 .5 17.0 WA : 5.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 10.0 1/ 10.0 WV : 4.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 .0 10.0 WI : 3.0 4.0 3.5 3.0 13.5 .5 14.0 WY : 1.0 9.0 67.0 42.0 119.0 1.0 120.0 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 4.6 1.9 1.7 .3 8.5 3.3 11.8 : US : 572.4 348.5 690.9 539.7 2,151.5 82.1 2,233.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Less than 100 head. 2/ Other States includes AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, MS, RI, and SC. 3/ Data combined to avoid disclosing individual operations. Sheep and Lambs: January 1, 1992-95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Operations with Sheep State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1992 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : AL : 350 340 340 310 AK : 40 40 40 40 AZ : 450 450 450 450 CA : 5,300 5,200 5,000 4,800 CO : 1,900 1,800 *1,600 1,300 CT : 450 470 480 450 ID : 1,600 1,400 1,400 1,300 IL : 4,000 3,700 3,700 3,500 IN : 3,500 3,300 3,200 3,200 IA : 7,500 7,000 6,500 6,300 KS : 2,400 2,400 2,300 1,900 KY : 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 LA : 1,300 1,200 1,100 1,000 ME : 650 670 700 620 MD : 1,200 1,200 1,100 1,000 MA : 650 650 600 550 MI : 2,400 2,300 2,100 2,000 MN : 4,800 4,000 3,600 3,500 MO : 3,300 3,100 2,900 2,800 MT : 2,500 2,500 2,300 2,200 NE : 2,600 2,200 1,700 1,800 NV : 350 350 *350 350 NH : 500 480 540 480 NJ : 800 900 900 850 NM : 1,200 1,200 1,000 1,000 NY : 1,900 2,000 1,800 1,700 NC : 600 600 600 600 ND : 1,800 1,700 1,400 1,200 OH : 5,500 5,200 5,200 5,000 OK : 2,300 2,300 2,000 1,700 OR : 3,900 3,500 3,200 2,600 PA : 3,400 3,400 3,300 3,200 SD : 4,000 3,900 3,500 3,000 TN : 650 650 650 650 TX : 8,000 7,800 7,600 7,300 UT : 2,300 2,100 2,000 1,900 VT : 750 700 *720 750 VA : 2,200 2,100 1,800 1,600 WA : 2,200 2,000 1,500 1,500 WV : 1,800 1,700 1,500 1,600 WI : 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,400 WY : 1,500 1,500 *1,200 1,100 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 1,850 1,780 1,780 1,620 : US : 97,890 93,280 *87,150 82,120 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ Other States includes AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, MS, RI, and SC. Breeding Sheep: Survey Percent of Operations by Size Group, Native States, Western States, and United States, 1995-96 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Regions : 1-99 Head : 100-499 Head : 500-4999 Head : 5000+ Head :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : Native States : 94.7 94.9 4.9 4.7 .4 .4 2/ 2/ : Western States: 84.1 82.8 10.4 11.8 5.2 5.1 .3 .3 : US : 91.3 90.9 6.7 7.0 2.0 2.0 .1 .1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Percents reflect distributions of end of year survey. 2/ Less than 0.05 percent. Breeding Sheep: Survey Percent of Inventory by Size Group, Native States, Western States, and United States, 1995-96 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Inventory on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Regions : 1-99 Head : 100-499 Head : 500-4999 Head : 5000+ Head :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : Native States : 55.2 58.4 29.4 29.5 13.8 11.1 1.6 1.0 : Western States: 10.5 10.4 15.8 16.5 53.5 53.9 20.2 19.2 : US : 24.1 25.0 19.9 20.4 41.4 40.9 14.6 13.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Percents reflect distributions of end of year survey. All Goats: Inventory, Texas, January 1, 1993-96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year : Number -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : 1993 : 1,960 1994 : 1,960 1995 : *1,850 1996 : 1,900 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. Angora Goats: Inventory, 5 States and Total, January 1, 1994-96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AZ : 82 52 80 MI : 5 4 4 NM : 110 85 85 OK : 40 15 15 TX : 1,490 *1,250 1,250 : Total : 1,727 *1,406 1,434 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. Reliability of January 1 Sheep and Goat Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of U. S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all sheep and goat producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. About 18,000 operators were contacted during the first half of January by mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews and 88 percent of the reports were usable. Regardless of when operators responded they were asked to report inventories as of January 1. Estimation Procedures: These sheep and goat estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each State office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years. A balance sheet for all sheep and lambs was also used at the U. S. level. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate for all sheep and lambs, adds estimates of births and imports and subtracts estimates of slaughter, exports and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared with the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve the current estimate. Previous year estimates are subject to revision when current estimates are made. Estimates were reviewed after data from the Department of Commerce's five-year Census of Agriculture were made available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising sheep and goats are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors, such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected sheep items in the table below. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between the first and latest estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for sheep and lamb inventory estimates over the past 11 years is 1.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 8.5 million head by more than 1.0 percent, or about 85,000 head. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.2 percent, or about 101,500 head (the 90 percent confidence level). Also shown in the table is a 11-year record showing the range between the first inventory estimate and the latest estimate. Using estimates for All Sheep and Lambs as an example, changes between the first inventory estimate and the latest estimate during the past 11 years have averaged 78,200 head, ranging from 6,800 to 272,800 head. The inventory estimate of All Sheep and Lambs has been below the latest estimate 5 times and above the latest estimate 6 times in the last 11 years. Reliability of U. S. January 1 Sheep and Lamb Estimates 1/ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Number of : Root : : First and Latest Estimates : Years : Mean : 90 % :---------------------------------------------- Item :Square: Confidence : : : : First :First : Error: Level :Average : Smallest : Largest : Above :Below : : : : : :Latest:Latest ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- : - Percent - --------------- 1,000 Head ------------- - Number - All : Sheep& : Lambs : 1.0 1.2 101.5 78.2 6.8 272.8 5 6 : Brdng : Sheep : 1.9 2.2 136.9 86.7 4.0 371.0 5 6 : Brdng : Ewes : 2.7 3.2 164.0 26.9 3.7 479.7 5 6 : Lamb : Crop : 2.8 3.3 184.9 41.2 18.0 416.8 6 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on data from 1985 through 1995. Index Page All Goats, Inventory, Texas, 1993-96......................... 11 All Sheep and Lambs: Balance Sheet, U. S.................................... 2 Number by Class, by State and U. S..................... 4 Operations with Sheep.................................. 8 Angora Goats, Inventory, 5 States............................ 11 Breeding Sheep: Inventory, Percent by Size Group, U. S................. 10 Operations, Percent by Size Group, U. S................ 9 Breeding Sheep and Lambs, Number by Class, by State and U. S. 5 Lamb Crop per 100 Ewes 1+, Number and Percent of Previous Year, by State and U. S............................................ 3 Market Sheep and Lambs, Number by Weight Group, by State and U. S January 1, 1995.................................... 6 Market Sheep and Lambs, Number by Weight Group, by State and U. S. January 1, 1996................................... 7 Reliability of U. S. January 1 Sheep and Lamb Estimates (RMSE) 14 The next "Sheep and Goats" report will be released in January 1997. 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